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Search Results (3,932)

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Keywords = vehicle energy model

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19 pages, 1860 KiB  
Article
Multi-Objective Vibration Control of a Vehicle-Track-Bridge Coupled System Using Tuned Inerter Dampers Based on the FE-SEA Hybrid Method
by Xingxing Hu, Qingsong Feng, Min Yang and Jian Liu
Appl. Sci. 2025, 15(15), 8675; https://doi.org/10.3390/app15158675 (registering DOI) - 5 Aug 2025
Abstract
To address the adverse effects of Tuned Inertia Dampers (TIDs) on track slab vibrations while controlling high-frequency rail vibrations, a hybrid Finite Element-Statistical Energy Analysis (FE-SEA) method is developed for modeling the vehicle-track-bridge coupled system. Short-wavelength track irregularities are introduced as high-frequency excitation, [...] Read more.
To address the adverse effects of Tuned Inertia Dampers (TIDs) on track slab vibrations while controlling high-frequency rail vibrations, a hybrid Finite Element-Statistical Energy Analysis (FE-SEA) method is developed for modeling the vehicle-track-bridge coupled system. Short-wavelength track irregularities are introduced as high-frequency excitation, and the accuracy and efficiency of this method are validated by comparison with the traditional finite element method (FEM). A vibration control model for track-bridge structures incorporating TIDs is designed, and the effects of the TID’s inertance, stiffness, and damping coefficients on the vertical acceleration responses of the rail and track slab are investigated in detail. The study reveals that although TIDs effectively reduce rail vibrations, they may induce adverse effects on track slab vibrations. Using the vibration acceleration amplitudes of both the rail and track slab as dual control objectives, a multi-objective optimization model is established, and the TID’s optimal parameters are determined using a multi-objective genetic algorithm. The results show that the optimized TID parameters reduce rail acceleration amplitudes by 16.43% and improve the control efficiency by 12.45%, while also addressing the negative effects on track slab vibration. The track slab’s vibration acceleration is reduced by 5.47%, and the vertical displacement and acceleration of the vehicle body are reduced by 14.22% and 47.5%, respectively, thereby enhancing passenger comfort. This study provides new insights and theoretical guidance for vibration control analysis in vehicle-track-bridge coupled systems. Full article
16 pages, 2886 KiB  
Article
Incremental Capacity-Based Variable Capacitor Battery Model for Effective Description of Charge and Discharge Behavior
by Ngoc-Thao Pham, Sungoh Kwon and Sung-Jin Choi
Batteries 2025, 11(8), 300; https://doi.org/10.3390/batteries11080300 - 5 Aug 2025
Abstract
Determining charge and discharge behavior is essential for optimizing charging strategies and evaluating balancing algorithms in battery energy storage systems and electric vehicles. Conventionally, a sequence of circuit simulations or tedious hardware tests is required to evaluate the performance of the balancing algorithm. [...] Read more.
Determining charge and discharge behavior is essential for optimizing charging strategies and evaluating balancing algorithms in battery energy storage systems and electric vehicles. Conventionally, a sequence of circuit simulations or tedious hardware tests is required to evaluate the performance of the balancing algorithm. To mitigate these problems, this paper proposes a variable capacitor model that can be easily built from the incremental capacity curve. This model provides a direct and insightful R-C time constant method for the charge/discharge time calculation. After validating the model accuracy by experimental results based on the cylindrical lithium-ion cell test, a switched-capacitor active balancing and a passive cell balancing circuit are implemented to further verify the effectiveness of the proposed model in calculating the cell balancing time within 2% error. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Batteries: 10th Anniversary)
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34 pages, 1183 KiB  
Article
Parallel Export and Differentiated Production in the Supply Chain of New Energy Vehicles
by Lingzhi Shao, Ziqing Zhu, Haiqun Li and Xiaoxue Ding
Systems 2025, 13(8), 662; https://doi.org/10.3390/systems13080662 - 5 Aug 2025
Abstract
Considering the supply chain of new energy vehicles composed of a local manufacturer, an authorized distributor in the domestic market, and a competitive manufacturer in the export market, this paper studies three different cases of parallel export as well as their decisions about [...] Read more.
Considering the supply chain of new energy vehicles composed of a local manufacturer, an authorized distributor in the domestic market, and a competitive manufacturer in the export market, this paper studies three different cases of parallel export as well as their decisions about prices, sales scale, and the degree of production differentiation. Three game models are constructed and solved under the cases of no parallel exports (CN), authorized distributors’ parallel exports (CR), and third-party parallel exports (CT), respectively, and the equilibrium analysis is carried out, and finally, the influence of relevant parameters is explored through numerical simulation. It is found that (1) the manufacturer’s decisions on production and sales are influenced by the characteristics of consumer preferences in local and export markets, the cost of differentiated production, and the consumer recognition of parallel exports; (2) the manufacturers’ profits will always be damaged by parallel exports; (3) differentiated production can reduce the negative impact of parallel exports under certain conditions, and then improve the profits of manufacturers; (4) manufacturers can increase their profits by improving the purchase intention of consumers in the local market, improve the level of production differentiation in the export market, or reducing the cost of differentiation. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Supply Chain Management)
23 pages, 1804 KiB  
Review
Recent Progress on Underwater Wireless Communication Methods and Applications
by Zhe Li, Weikun Li, Kai Sun, Dixia Fan and Weicheng Cui
J. Mar. Sci. Eng. 2025, 13(8), 1505; https://doi.org/10.3390/jmse13081505 - 5 Aug 2025
Abstract
The rapid advancement of underwater wireless communication technologies is critical to unlocking the full potential of marine resource exploration and environmental monitoring. This paper reviews recent progress in three primary modalities: underwater acoustic communication, radio frequency (RF) communication, and underwater optical wireless communication [...] Read more.
The rapid advancement of underwater wireless communication technologies is critical to unlocking the full potential of marine resource exploration and environmental monitoring. This paper reviews recent progress in three primary modalities: underwater acoustic communication, radio frequency (RF) communication, and underwater optical wireless communication (UWOC), each designed to address specific challenges posed by complex underwater environments. Acoustic communication, while effective for long-range transmission, is constrained by ambient noise and high latency; recent innovations in noise reduction and data rate enhancement have notably improved its reliability. RF communication offers high-speed, short-range capabilities in shallow waters, but still faces challenges in hardware miniaturization and accurate channel modeling. UWOC has emerged as a promising solution, enabling multi-gigabit data rates over medium distances through advanced modulation techniques and turbulence mitigation. Additionally, bio-inspired approaches such as electric field communication provide energy-efficient and robust alternatives under turbid conditions. This paper further examines the practical integration of these technologies in underwater platforms, including autonomous underwater vehicles (AUVs), highlighting trade-offs between energy efficiency, system complexity, and communication performance. By synthesizing recent advancements, this review outlines the advantages and limitations of current underwater communication methods and their real-world applications, offering insights to guide the future development of underwater communication systems for robotic and vehicular platforms. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Ocean Engineering)
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51 pages, 4099 KiB  
Review
Artificial Intelligence and Digital Twin Technologies for Intelligent Lithium-Ion Battery Management Systems: A Comprehensive Review of State Estimation, Lifecycle Optimization, and Cloud-Edge Integration
by Seyed Saeed Madani, Yasmin Shabeer, Michael Fowler, Satyam Panchal, Hicham Chaoui, Saad Mekhilef, Shi Xue Dou and Khay See
Batteries 2025, 11(8), 298; https://doi.org/10.3390/batteries11080298 - 5 Aug 2025
Abstract
The rapid growth of electric vehicles (EVs) and new energy systems has put lithium-ion batteries at the center of the clean energy change. Nevertheless, to achieve the best battery performance, safety, and sustainability in many changing circumstances, major innovations are needed in Battery [...] Read more.
The rapid growth of electric vehicles (EVs) and new energy systems has put lithium-ion batteries at the center of the clean energy change. Nevertheless, to achieve the best battery performance, safety, and sustainability in many changing circumstances, major innovations are needed in Battery Management Systems (BMS). This review paper explores how artificial intelligence (AI) and digital twin (DT) technologies can be integrated to enable the intelligent BMS of the future. It investigates how powerful data approaches such as deep learning, ensembles, and models that rely on physics improve the accuracy of predicting state of charge (SOC), state of health (SOH), and remaining useful life (RUL). Additionally, the paper reviews progress in AI features for cooling, fast charging, fault detection, and intelligible AI models. Working together, cloud and edge computing technology with DTs means better diagnostics, predictive support, and improved management for any use of EVs, stored energy, and recycling. The review underlines recent successes in AI-driven material research, renewable battery production, and plans for used systems, along with new problems in cybersecurity, combining data and mass rollout. We spotlight important research themes, existing problems, and future drawbacks following careful analysis of different up-to-date approaches and systems. Uniting physical modeling with AI-based analytics on cloud-edge-DT platforms supports the development of tough, intelligent, and ecologically responsible batteries that line up with future mobility and wider use of renewable energy. Full article
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21 pages, 1952 KiB  
Article
Research on Consumer Purchase Intention for New Energy Vehicles Based on Text Mining and Bivariate Logit Model: Empirical Evidence from Urumqi, China
by Zhenxiang Hao, Jianping Hu, Jin Ran, Qiong Lu, Yuhang Zheng and Xuetao Zhang
World Electr. Veh. J. 2025, 16(8), 440; https://doi.org/10.3390/wevj16080440 - 5 Aug 2025
Abstract
This study combines text mining and binary logit model to analyze the main influencing factors of consumers’ purchase intention for new energy vehicles (NEVs) in Urumqi. Through the analysis of 34,561 consumer reviews and 400 valid questionnaire data, the study found that battery [...] Read more.
This study combines text mining and binary logit model to analyze the main influencing factors of consumers’ purchase intention for new energy vehicles (NEVs) in Urumqi. Through the analysis of 34,561 consumer reviews and 400 valid questionnaire data, the study found that battery technology, sales price, and policy support have a significant impact on purchase intention. Based on the differences in consumers’ price sensitivity, technology preference, and policy support, this paper segments consumers into six groups. Based on these findings, we propose policy recommendations to optimize subsidy policies, promote battery technology upgrades, and improve charging infrastructure, in order to drive the development of the NEV market. Full article
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50 pages, 9033 KiB  
Article
Heat Pipe Integrated Cooling System of 4680 Lithium–Ion Battery for Electric Vehicles
by Yong-Jun Lee, Tae-Gue Park, Chan-Ho Park, Su-Jong Kim, Ji-Su Lee and Seok-Ho Rhi
Energies 2025, 18(15), 4132; https://doi.org/10.3390/en18154132 - 4 Aug 2025
Abstract
This study investigates a novel heat pipe integrated cooling system designed for thermal management of Tesla’s 4680 cylindrical lithium–ion batteries in electric vehicles (EVs). Through a comprehensive approach combining experimental analysis, 1-D AMESim simulations, and 3-D Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD) modeling, the thermal [...] Read more.
This study investigates a novel heat pipe integrated cooling system designed for thermal management of Tesla’s 4680 cylindrical lithium–ion batteries in electric vehicles (EVs). Through a comprehensive approach combining experimental analysis, 1-D AMESim simulations, and 3-D Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD) modeling, the thermal performance of various wick structures and working fluid filling ratios was evaluated. The experimental setup utilized a triangular prism chamber housing three surrogate heater blocks to replicate the heat generation of 4680 cells under 1C, 2C, and 3C discharge rates. Results demonstrated that a blended fabric wick with a crown-shaped design (Wick 5) at a 30–40% filling ratio achieved the lowest maximum temperature (Tmax of 47.0°C), minimal surface temperature deviation (ΔTsurface of 2.8°C), and optimal thermal resistance (Rth of 0.27°C/W) under 85 W heat input. CFD simulations validated experimental findings, confirming stable evaporation–condensation circulation at a 40% filling ratio, while identifying thermal limits at high heat loads (155 W). The proposed hybrid battery thermal management system (BTMS) offers significant potential for enhancing the performance and safety of high-energy density EV batteries. This research provides a foundation for optimizing thermal management in next-generation electric vehicles. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Optimized Energy Management Technology for Electric Vehicle)
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14 pages, 650 KiB  
Article
Determining the Spanish Public’s Intention to Adopt Hydrogen Fuel-Cell Vehicles
by Roser Sala, Lila Gonçalves, Hitomi Sato, Ning Huan, Toshiyuki Yamamoto, Dimitrios Tzioutzios and Jose-Blas Navarro
World Electr. Veh. J. 2025, 16(8), 436; https://doi.org/10.3390/wevj16080436 - 4 Aug 2025
Abstract
Understanding what people think about hydrogen energy and how this influences their acceptance of the associated technology is a critical area of research. The public’s willingness to adopt practical applications of hydrogen energy, such as hydrogen fuel-cell vehicles (HFCVs), is a key factor [...] Read more.
Understanding what people think about hydrogen energy and how this influences their acceptance of the associated technology is a critical area of research. The public’s willingness to adopt practical applications of hydrogen energy, such as hydrogen fuel-cell vehicles (HFCVs), is a key factor in their deployment. To analyse the direct and indirect effects of key attitudinal variables that could influence the intention to use HFCVs in Spain, an online questionnaire was administered to a representative sample of the Spanish population (N = 1000). A path analysis Structural Equation Model (SEM) was applied to determine the effect of different attitudinal variables. A high intention to adopt HFCVs in Spain was found (3.8 out of 5), assuming their wider availability in the future. The path analysis results indicated that general acceptance of hydrogen technology and perception of its benefits had the greatest effect on the public’s intention to adopt HFCVs. Regarding indirect effects, the role of trust in hydrogen technology was notable, having significant mediating effects not only through general acceptance of hydrogen energy and local acceptance of hydrogen refuelling stations (HRS), but also through positive and negative emotions and benefits perception. The findings will assist in focusing the future hydrogen communication strategies of both the government and the private (business) sector. Full article
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24 pages, 4441 KiB  
Article
Simulation of Trip Chains in a Metropolitan Area to Evaluate the Energy Needs of Electric Vehicles and Charging Demand
by Pietro Antonio Centrone, Giuseppe Brancaccio and Francesco Deflorio
World Electr. Veh. J. 2025, 16(8), 435; https://doi.org/10.3390/wevj16080435 - 4 Aug 2025
Abstract
The typical ranges available for electric vehicles (EVs) may be considered by users to be inadequate when compared to long, real-life trips, and charging operations may need to be planned along journeys. To evaluate the compatibility between vehicle features and charging options for [...] Read more.
The typical ranges available for electric vehicles (EVs) may be considered by users to be inadequate when compared to long, real-life trips, and charging operations may need to be planned along journeys. To evaluate the compatibility between vehicle features and charging options for realistic journeys performed by car, a simulation approach is proposed here, using travel data collected from real vehicles to obtain trip chains for multiple consecutive days. Car travel activities, including stops with the option of charging, were simulated by applying an agent-based approach. Charging operations can be integrated into trip chains for user activities, assuming that they remain unchanged in the event that vehicles switch to electric. The energy consumption of the analyzed trips, disaggregated by vehicle type, was estimated using the average travel speed, which is useful for capturing the main route features (ranging from urban to motorways). Data were recorded for approximately 25,000 vehicles in the Turin Metropolitan Area for six consecutive days. Market segmentation of the vehicles was introduced to take into consideration different energy consumption rates and charging times, given that the electric power, battery size, and consumption rate can be related to the vehicle category. Charging activities carried out using public infrastructure during idle time between consecutive trips, as well as those carried out at home or work, were identified in order to model different needs. Full article
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33 pages, 1698 KiB  
Article
Green Energy Fuelling Stations in Road Transport: Poland in the European and Global Context
by Tomasz Neumann
Energies 2025, 18(15), 4110; https://doi.org/10.3390/en18154110 - 2 Aug 2025
Viewed by 114
Abstract
The transition to green energy in the transport sector is becoming a priority in the context of global climate challenges and the European Green Deal. This paper investigates the development of alternative fuelling stations, particularly electric vehicle (EV) charging infrastructure and hydrogen stations, [...] Read more.
The transition to green energy in the transport sector is becoming a priority in the context of global climate challenges and the European Green Deal. This paper investigates the development of alternative fuelling stations, particularly electric vehicle (EV) charging infrastructure and hydrogen stations, across EU countries with a focus on Poland. It combines a policy and technology overview with a quantitative scientific analysis, offering a multidimensional perspective on green infrastructure deployment. A Pearson correlation analysis reveals significant links between charging station density and both GDP per capita and the share of renewable energy. The study introduces an original Infrastructure Accessibility Index (IAI) to compare infrastructure availability across EU member states and models Poland’s EV charging station demand up to 2030 under multiple growth scenarios. Furthermore, the article provides a comprehensive overview of biofuels, including first-, second-, and third-generation technologies, and highlights recent advances in hydrogen and renewable electricity integration. Emphasis is placed on life cycle considerations, energy source sustainability, and economic implications. The findings support policy development toward zero-emission mobility and the decarbonisation of transport systems, offering recommendations for infrastructure expansion and energy diversification strategies. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section B: Energy and Environment)
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24 pages, 1964 KiB  
Article
Data-Driven Symmetry and Asymmetry Investigation of Vehicle Emissions Using Machine Learning: A Case Study in Spain
by Fei Wu, Jinfu Zhu, Hufang Yang, Xiang He and Qiao Peng
Symmetry 2025, 17(8), 1223; https://doi.org/10.3390/sym17081223 - 2 Aug 2025
Viewed by 204
Abstract
Understanding vehicle emissions is essential for developing effective carbon reduction strategies in the transport sector. Conventional emission models often assume homogeneity and linearity, overlooking real-world asymmetries that arise from variations in vehicle design and powertrain configurations. This study explores how machine learning and [...] Read more.
Understanding vehicle emissions is essential for developing effective carbon reduction strategies in the transport sector. Conventional emission models often assume homogeneity and linearity, overlooking real-world asymmetries that arise from variations in vehicle design and powertrain configurations. This study explores how machine learning and explainable AI techniques can effectively capture both symmetric and asymmetric emission patterns across different vehicle types, thereby contributing to more sustainable transport planning. Addressing a key gap in the existing literature, the study poses the following question: how do structural and behavioral factors contribute to asymmetric emission responses in internal combustion engine vehicles compared to new energy vehicles? Utilizing a large-scale Spanish vehicle registration dataset, the analysis classifies vehicles by powertrain type and applies five supervised learning algorithms to predict CO2 emissions. SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAPs) are employed to identify nonlinear and threshold-based relationships between emissions and vehicle characteristics such as fuel consumption, weight, and height. Among the models tested, the Random Forest algorithm achieves the highest predictive accuracy. The findings reveal critical asymmetries in emission behavior, particularly among hybrid vehicles, which challenge the assumption of uniform policy applicability. This study provides both methodological innovation and practical insights for symmetry-aware emission modeling, offering support for more targeted eco-design and policy decisions that align with long-term sustainability goals. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Engineering and Materials)
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19 pages, 3154 KiB  
Article
Optimizing the Operation of Local Energy Communities Based on Two-Stage Scheduling
by Ping He, Lei Zhou, Jingwen Wang, Zhuo Yang, Guozhao Lv, Can Cai and Hongbo Zou
Processes 2025, 13(8), 2449; https://doi.org/10.3390/pr13082449 - 2 Aug 2025
Viewed by 194
Abstract
Flexible energy sources such as electric vehicles and the battery energy storage systems of intelligent distribution systems can provide system-wide auxiliary services such as frequency regulation for power systems. This paper proposes an optimal method for operating the local energy community that is [...] Read more.
Flexible energy sources such as electric vehicles and the battery energy storage systems of intelligent distribution systems can provide system-wide auxiliary services such as frequency regulation for power systems. This paper proposes an optimal method for operating the local energy community that is based on two-stage scheduling. Firstly, the basic concepts of the local energy community and flexible service are introduced in detail. Taking LEC as the reserve unit of artificial frequency recovery, an energy information interaction model among LEC, balance service providers, and the power grid is established. Then, a two-stage scheduling framework is proposed to ensure the rationality and economy of community energy scheduling. In the first stage, day-ahead scheduling uses the energy community management center to predict the up/down flexibility capacity that LEC can provide by adjusting the BESS control parameters. In the second stage, real-time scheduling aims at maximizing community profits and scheduling LEC based on the allocation and activation of standby flexibility determined in real time. Finally, the correctness of the two-stage scheduling framework is verified through a case study. The results show that the control parameters used in the day-ahead stage can significantly affect the real-time profitability of LEC, and that LEC benefits more in the case of low BESS utilization than in the case of high BESS utilization and non-participation in frequency recovery reserve. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Energy Systems)
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24 pages, 3172 KiB  
Article
A DDPG-LSTM Framework for Optimizing UAV-Enabled Integrated Sensing and Communication
by Xuan-Toan Dang, Joon-Soo Eom, Binh-Minh Vu and Oh-Soon Shin
Drones 2025, 9(8), 548; https://doi.org/10.3390/drones9080548 - 1 Aug 2025
Viewed by 209
Abstract
This paper proposes a novel dual-functional radar-communication (DFRC) framework that integrates unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) communications into an integrated sensing and communication (ISAC) system, termed the ISAC-UAV architecture. In this system, the UAV’s mobility is leveraged to simultaneously serve multiple single-antenna uplink users [...] Read more.
This paper proposes a novel dual-functional radar-communication (DFRC) framework that integrates unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) communications into an integrated sensing and communication (ISAC) system, termed the ISAC-UAV architecture. In this system, the UAV’s mobility is leveraged to simultaneously serve multiple single-antenna uplink users (UEs) and perform radar-based sensing tasks. A key challenge stems from the target position uncertainty due to movement, which impairs matched filtering and beamforming, thereby degrading both uplink reception and sensing performance. Moreover, UAV energy consumption associated with mobility must be considered to ensure energy-efficient operation. We aim to jointly maximize radar sensing accuracy and minimize UAV movement energy over multiple time steps, while maintaining reliable uplink communications. To address this multi-objective optimization, we propose a deep reinforcement learning (DRL) framework based on a long short-term memory (LSTM)-enhanced deep deterministic policy gradient (DDPG) network. By leveraging historical target trajectory data, the model improves prediction of target positions, enhancing sensing accuracy. The proposed DRL-based approach enables joint optimization of UAV trajectory and uplink power control over time. Extensive simulations validate that our method significantly improves communication quality and sensing performance, while ensuring energy-efficient UAV operation. Comparative results further confirm the model’s adaptability and robustness in dynamic environments, outperforming existing UAV trajectory planning and resource allocation benchmarks. Full article
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25 pages, 6272 KiB  
Article
Research on Energy-Saving Control of Automotive PEMFC Thermal Management System Based on Optimal Operating Temperature Tracking
by Qi Jiang, Shusheng Xiong, Baoquan Sun, Ping Chen, Huipeng Chen and Shaopeng Zhu
Energies 2025, 18(15), 4100; https://doi.org/10.3390/en18154100 - 1 Aug 2025
Viewed by 189
Abstract
To further enhance the economic performance of fuel cell vehicles (FCVs), this study develops a model-adaptive model predictive control (MPC) strategy. This strategy leverages the dynamic relationship between proton exchange membrane fuel cell (PEMFC) output characteristics and temperature to track its optimal operating [...] Read more.
To further enhance the economic performance of fuel cell vehicles (FCVs), this study develops a model-adaptive model predictive control (MPC) strategy. This strategy leverages the dynamic relationship between proton exchange membrane fuel cell (PEMFC) output characteristics and temperature to track its optimal operating temperature (OOT), addressing challenges of temperature control accuracy and high energy consumption in the PEMFC thermal management system (TMS). First, PEMFC and TMS models were developed and experimentally validated. Subsequently, the PEMFC power–temperature coupling curve was experimentally determined under multiple operating conditions to serve as the reference trajectory for TMS multi-objective optimization. For MPC controller design, the TMS model was linearized and discretized, yielding a predictive model adaptable to different load demands for stack temperature across the full operating range. A multi-constrained quadratic cost function was formulated, aiming to minimize the deviation of the PEMFC operating temperature from the OOT while accounting for TMS parasitic power consumption. Finally, simulations under Worldwide Harmonized Light Vehicles Test Cycle (WLTC) conditions evaluated the OOT tracking performance of both PID and MPC control strategies, as well as their impact on stack efficiency and TMS energy consumption at different ambient temperatures. The results indicate that, compared to PID control, MPC reduces temperature tracking error by 33%, decreases fan and pump speed fluctuations by over 24%, and lowers TMS energy consumption by 10%. These improvements enhance PEMFC operational stability and improve FCV energy efficiency. Full article
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25 pages, 1183 KiB  
Article
A Novel Data-Driven Multi-Branch LSTM Architecture with Attention Mechanisms for Forecasting Electric Vehicle Adoption
by Md Mizanur Rahaman, Md Rashedul Islam, Mia Md Tofayel Gonee Manik, Md Munna Aziz, Inshad Rahman Noman, Mohammad Muzahidur Rahman Bhuiyan, Kanchon Kumar Bishnu and Joy Chakra Bortty
World Electr. Veh. J. 2025, 16(8), 432; https://doi.org/10.3390/wevj16080432 - 1 Aug 2025
Viewed by 107
Abstract
Accurately predicting how quickly people will adopt electric vehicles (EVs) is vital for planning charging stations, managing supply chains, and shaping climate policy. We present a forecasting model that uses three separate Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) branches—one for past EV sales, one for [...] Read more.
Accurately predicting how quickly people will adopt electric vehicles (EVs) is vital for planning charging stations, managing supply chains, and shaping climate policy. We present a forecasting model that uses three separate Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) branches—one for past EV sales, one for infrastructure and policy signals, and one for economic trends. An attention mechanism first highlights the most important weeks in each branch, then decides which branch matters most at any point in time. Trained end-to-end on publicly available data, the model beats traditional statistical methods and newer deep learning baselines while remaining small enough to run efficiently. An ablation study shows that every branch and both attention steps improve accuracy, and that adding policy and economic data helps more than relying on EV history alone. Because the network is modular and its attention weights are easy to interpret, it can be extended to produce confidence intervals, include physical constraints, or forecast adoption of other clean-energy technologies. Full article
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