Search Results (1,443)

Evaluating the economic value of carbon sinks is fundamental to advancing carbon market mechanisms and supporting sustainable regional development. This study focuses on Fujian Province in China, aiming to assess the spatiotemporal evolution of carbon sink value and analyze the influence of socio-economic drivers. Carbon sink values from 2000 to 2020 were estimated using Net Ecosystem Productivity (NEP) simulation combined with the carbon market valuation method. Eleven socio-economic variables were selected through correlation and multicollinearity testing, and their impacts were examined using Geographically and Temporally Weighted Regression (GTWR) at the county level. The results indicate that the total carbon sink value in Fujian declined from CNY 3.212 billion in 2000 to CNY 2.837 billion in 2020, showing a spatial pattern of higher values in the southern region and lower values in the north. GTWR analysis reveals spatiotemporal heterogeneity in the effects of socio-economic factors. For example, the influence of urbanization and retail sales of consumer goods shifts direction over time, while the effects of industrial structure, population, road, and fixed asset investment vary across space. This study emphasizes the necessity of incorporating spatial and temporal dynamics into carbon sink valuation. The findings suggest that northern areas of Fujian should prioritize ecological restoration, rapidly urbanizing regions should adopt green development strategies, and counties guided by investment and consumption should focus on sustainable development pathways to maintain and enhance carbon sink capacity. Full article

In Ukraine, SARS-CoV-2 detection and national genomic surveillance have been complicated by full-scale war, limited resources, and varying levels of public health infrastructure impacted across the country. Following the Spring of 2022, only a paucity of data have been reported describing the prevalence and variant dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 in the country. Comparative whole genome analysis has overtaken diagnostics as the new gold standard for detecting and tracing emerging variants while showing utility to rapidly inform diagnostics, vaccine strategies, and health policy. Herein, we provide an updated report characterizing the dynamics and prevalence of SARS-CoV-2 in Ukraine from 1 May 2022 to 31 March 2024. The present study extends previous reports for disease incidence Waves 1–4 in Ukraine with the addition herein of Waves 5, 6, and 7, occurring from August to November 2022 (Wave 5), February to May 2023 (Wave 6), and October 2023 to January 2024 (Wave 7). During the study period, the national Case Fatality Rate (CFR) fluctuated between 0.46% and 1.74%, indicating a consistent yet modest rate when compared to the global average. The epidemiological dynamics of Variants of Concern (VOCs) in Ukraine reflected global patterns over this period, punctuated by the rise of the BA.5 lineage and its subsequent replacement by the Omicron subvariants XBB and JN.1. Our analysis of variant dispersal patterns revealed multiple potential spatiotemporal introductions into Ukraine from Europe, Asia, and North America. Our results highlight the importance of ongoing genomic surveillance to monitor variant dynamics and support global efforts to control and mitigate COVID-19 disease risks as new variants arise. Full article

This study presents a novel spatio-temporal detection framework for identifying False Data Injection (FDI) attacks in DC microgrid systems from the perspective of cyber–physical symmetry. While modern DC microgrids benefit from increasingly sophisticated cyber–physical symmetry network integration, this interconnected architecture simultaneously introduces significant cybersecurity vulnerabilities. Notably, FDI attacks can effectively bypass conventional Chi-square detector-based protection mechanisms through malicious manipulation of communication layer data. To address this critical security challenge, we propose a hybrid deep learning framework that synergistically combines: Convolutional Neural Networks (CNN) for robust spatial feature extraction from power system measurements; Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks for capturing complex temporal dependencies; and an attention mechanism that dynamically weights the most discriminative features. The framework operates through a hierarchical feature extraction process: First-level spatial analysis identifies local measurement patterns; second-level temporal analysis detects sequential anomalies; attention-based feature refinement focuses on the most attack-relevant signatures. Comprehensive simulation studies demonstrate the superior performance of our CNN-LSTM-Attention framework compared to conventional detection approaches (CNN-SVM and MLP), with significant improvements across all key metrics. Namely, the accuracy, precision, F1-score, and recall could be improved by at least 7.17%, 6.59%, 2.72% and 6.55%. Full article

The remote sensing monitoring of land use changes and future scenario simulation hold crucial significance for accurately characterizing urban expansion patterns, optimizing urban land use configurations, and thereby promoting coordinated regional development. Through the integration of multi-source data, this study systematically analyzes the spatiotemporal trajectories and driving forces of land use changes in the Pearl River Delta urban agglomeration (PRD) from 1990 to 2020 and further simulates the spatial patterns of urban land use under diverse development scenarios from 2025 to 2035. The results indicate the following: (1) During 1990–2020, urban expansion in the Pearl River Delta urban agglomeration exhibited a “stepwise growth” pattern, with an annual expansion rate of 3.7%. Regional land use remained dominated by forest (accounting for over 50%), while construction land surged from 6.5% to 21.8% of total land cover. The gravity center trajectory shifted southeastward. Concurrently, cropland fragmentation has intensified, accompanied by deteriorating connectivity of ecological lands. (2) Urban expansion in the PRD arises from synergistic interactions between natural and socioeconomic drivers. The Geographically and Temporally Weighted Regression (GTWR) model revealed that natural constraints—elevation (regression coefficients ranging −0.35 to −0.05) and river network density (−0.47 to −0.15)—exhibited significant spatial heterogeneity. Socioeconomic drivers dominated by year-end paved road area (0.26–0.28) and foreign direct investment (0.03–0.11) emerged as core expansion catalysts. Geographic detector analysis demonstrated pronounced interaction effects: all factor pairs exhibited either two-factor enhancement or nonlinear enhancement effects, with interaction explanatory power surpassing individual factors. (3) Validation of the Patch-generating Land Use Simulation (PLUS) model showed high reliability (Kappa coefficient = 0.9205, overall accuracy = 95.9%). Under the Natural Development Scenario, construction land would exceed the ecological security baseline, causing 408.60 km² of ecological space loss; Under the Ecological Protection Scenario, mandatory control boundaries could reduce cropland and forest loss by 3.04%, albeit with unused land development intensity rising to 24.09%; Under the Economic Development Scenario, cross-city contiguous development zones along the Pearl River Estuary would emerge, with land development intensity peaking in Guangzhou–Foshan and Shenzhen–Dongguan border areas. This study deciphers the spatiotemporal dynamics, driving mechanisms, and scenario outcomes of urban agglomeration expansion, providing critical insights for formulating regionally differentiated policies. Full article

As a typical reforested region of the Loess Plateau, the Caijiachuan watershed plays a vital role in ecological security and resource management. This study evaluates the spatiotemporal variations in key ecosystem services—namely soil retention, water yield, carbon storage, and habitat quality—between 2002 and 2024 using the InVEST model, calibrated with field-measured rainfall, carbon density, and high-resolution land use data derived from integrated remote sensing and field surveys. Statistical analyses based on the R language reveal dynamic trade-offs and synergies among these services. The results show that: (1) soil retention, carbon storage, and habitat quality have steadily improved, while water yield shows an overall upward trend with significant spatial heterogeneity; (2) a consistent and significant trade-off exists between carbon storage and water yield (average R² ≈ 0.28), while other ecosystem service interactions are relatively weak; (3) climatic variability, topographic heterogeneity (e.g., slope and elevation), and vegetation structure are key drivers of these trade-offs. This study provides scientific evidence to support ecological management and policy formulation in reforested areas of the Loess Plateau. Full article

Contrary to what is represented in geospatial databases, places are dynamic and shaped by events. Point clustering analysis commonly assumes events occur in an empty space and therefore ignores geospatial features where events take place. This research introduces relational density, a novel concept redefining density as relative to the spatial structure of geospatial features rather than an absolute measure. Building on this, we developed Space-Time Plume, a new algorithm for detecting and tracking evolving event clusters as smoke plumes in space and time, representing dynamic places. Unlike conventional density-based methods, Space-Time Plume dynamically adapts spatial reachability based on the underlying spatial structure and other zone-based parameters across multiple temporal intervals to capture hierarchical plume dynamics. The algorithm tracks plume progression, identifies spatiotemporal relationships, and reveals the emergence, evolution, and disappearance of event-driven places. A case study of crime events in Dallas, Texas, USA, demonstrates the algorithm’s performance and its capacity to represent and compute criminogenic places. We further enhance metaball rendering with Perlin noise to visualize plume structures and their spatiotemporal evolution. A comparative analysis with ST-DBSCAN shows Space-Time Plume’s competitive computational efficiency and ability to represent dynamic places with richer geographic insights. Full article

Climate change intensifies hydrological cycles, leading to an increased variability in terrestrial water storage anomalies (TWSAs) and a heightened drought risk. Understanding the spatiotemporal dynamics of TWSAs and their driving factors is crucial for sustainable water management. While previous studies have primarily attributed TWSAs to regional factors, this study employs wavelet coherence, partial correlation analysis, and multiple linear regression to comprehensively analyze TWSA dynamics and their drivers in the Hengduan Mountains (HDM) region from 2003 to 2022, incorporating both regional and global influences. Additionally, dry–wet variations were quantified using the GRACE-based Drought Severity Index (GRACE-DSI). Key findings include the following: The annual mean TWSA showed a non-significant decreasing trend (−2.83 mm/y, p > 0.05), accompanied by increased interannual variability. Notably, approximately 36.22% of the pixels in the western HDM region exhibited a significantly decreasing trend. The Nujiang River Basin (NRB) (−17.17 mm/y, p < 0.01) and the Lancang (−17.17 mm/y, p < 0.01) River Basin experienced the most pronounced declines. Regional factors—particularly precipitation (PRE)—drove TWSA in 59% of the HDM region, followed by potential evapotranspiration (PET, 28%) and vegetation dynamics (13%). Among global factors, the North Atlantic Oscillation showed a weak correlation with TWSAs (r = −0.19), indirectly affecting it via winter PET (r = −0.56, p < 0.05). The decline in TWSAs corresponds to an elevated drought risk, notably in the NRB, which recorded the largest GRACE-DSI decline (slope = −0.011, p < 0.05). This study links TWSAs to climate drivers and drought risk, offering a framework for improving water resource management and drought preparedness in climate-sensitive mountain regions. Full article

Ubiquitous blended learning, leveraging mobile devices, has democratized education by enabling autonomous and readily accessible knowledge acquisition. However, its reliance on traditional interfaces often limits learner immersion and meaningful interaction. The emergence of the wearable metaverse offers a compelling solution, promising enhanced multisensory experiences and adaptable learning environments that transcend the constraints of conventional ubiquitous learning. This research proposes a novel framework for ubiquitous blended learning in the wearable metaverse, aiming to address critical challenges, such as multi-source data fusion, effective human–computer collaboration, and efficient rendering on resource-constrained wearable devices, through the integration of embodied interaction and multi-agent collaboration. This framework leverages a real-time multi-modal data analysis architecture, powered by the MobileNetV4 and xLSTM neural networks, to facilitate the dynamic understanding of the learner’s context and environment. Furthermore, we introduced a multi-agent interaction model, utilizing CrewAI and spatio-temporal graph neural networks, to orchestrate collaborative learning experiences and provide personalized guidance. Finally, we incorporated lightweight SLAM algorithms, augmented using visual perception techniques, to enable accurate spatial awareness and seamless navigation within the metaverse environment. This innovative framework aims to create immersive, scalable, and cost-effective learning spaces within the wearable metaverse. Full article

Vegetation is a fundamental component of terrestrial ecosystems. Understanding how vegetation changes and what drives these evolutions is crucial for developing a high-quality ecological environment and addressing global climate change. Extensive evidence has shown that China has undergone substantial vegetation changes, characterized primarily by greening. To quantify vegetation dynamics in China and assess the contributions of various drivers, we explored the spatiotemporal variations in the kernel Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (kNDVI) from 2001 to 2020, and quantitatively separated the influences of climate and human factors. The kNDVI time series were generated from the MCD19A1 v061 dataset based on the Google Earth Engine (GEE) platform. We employed the Theil-Sen trend analysis, the Mann-Kendall test, and the Hurst index to analyze the historical patterns and future trajectories of kNDVI. Residual analysis was then applied to determine the relative contributions of climate change and human activities to vegetation dynamics across China. The results show that from 2001 to 2020, vegetation in China showed a fluctuating but predominantly increasing trend, with a significant annual kNDVI growth rate of 0.002. The significant greening pattern was observed in over 48% of vegetated areas, exhibiting a clear spatial gradient with lower increases in the northwest and higher amplitudes in the southeast. Moreover, more than 60% of vegetation areas are projected to experience a sustained increase in the future. Residual analysis reveals that climate change contributed 21.89% to vegetation changes, while human activities accounted for 78.11%, being the dominant drivers of vegetation variation. This finding is further supported by partial correlation analysis between kNDVI and temperature, precipitation, and the human footprint. Vegetation dynamics were found to respond more strongly to human influences than to climate drivers, underscoring the leading role of human activities. Further analysis of tree cover fraction and cropping intensity data indicates that the greening in forests and croplands is primarily attributable to large-scale afforestation efforts and improved agricultural management. Full article

To investigate the slope instability caused by differential frost heaving mechanisms from the slope crest to the toe during frost heave processes, this study takes a typical silty clay slope in Xinjiang, China, as the research object. Through indoor triaxial consolidated undrained shear tests, eight sets of natural and frost-heaved specimens were prepared under confining pressure conditions ranging from 100 to 400 kPa. The geotechnical parameters of the soil in both natural and frost-heaved states were obtained, and a spatiotemporal thermo-hydro-mechanical coupled numerical model was established to reveal the dynamic evolution law of anchor rod axial forces and the frost heave response mechanism between the frame and slope soil. The analytical results indicate that (1) the frost heave process is influenced by slope boundaries, resulting in distinct spatial variations in the temperature field response across the slope surface—namely pronounced responses at the crest and toe but a weaker response in the mid-slope. (2) Under the coupled drive of the water potential gradient and gravitational potential gradient, the ice content in the toe area increases significantly, and the horizontal frost heave force exhibits exponential growth, reaching its peak value of 92 kPa at the toe in February. (3) During soil freezing, the reverse stress field generated by soil arching shows consistent temporal variation trends with the temperature field. Along the height of the soil arch, the intensity of the reverse frost heave force field displays a nonlinear distribution characteristic of initial strengthening followed by attenuation. (4) By analyzing the changes in anchor rod axial forces during frost heaving, it was found that axial forces during the frost heave period are approximately 1.3 times those under natural conditions, confirming the frost heave period as the most critical condition for frame anchor design. Furthermore, through comparative analysis with 12 months of on-site anchor rod axial force monitoring data, the reliability and accuracy of the numerical simulation model were validated. These research outcomes provide a theoretical basis for the design of frame anchor support systems in seasonally frozen regions. Full article

Ningxia has emerged as a strategic hub for China’s photovoltaic (PV) industry by leveraging abundant solar energy resources and geoclimatic advantages. This study analyzed the spatiotemporal expansion trends and microclimatic impacts of PV installations (2015–2024) using Gaofen-1 (GF-1) and Landsat8 satellite imagery with deep learning algorithms and multidimensional environmental metrics. Among semantic segmentation models, DeepLabV3+ had the best performance in PV extraction, and the Mean Intersection over Union, precision, and F1-score were 91.97%, 89.02%, 89.2%, and 89.11%, respectively, with accuracies close to 100% after manual correction. Subsequent land surface temperature inversion and spatial buffer analysis quantified the thermal environmental effects of PV installation. Localized cooling patterns may be influenced by albedo and vegetation dynamics, though further validation is needed. The total PV site area in Ningxia expanded from 59.62 km² to 410.06 km² between 2015 and 2024. Yinchuan and Wuzhong cities were primary growth hubs; Yinchuan alone added 99.98 km² (2022–2023) through localized policy incentives. PV installations induced significant daytime cooling effects within 0–100 m buffers, reducing ambient temperatures by 0.19–1.35 °C on average. The most pronounced cooling occurred in western desert regions during winter (maximum temperature differential = 1.97 °C). Agricultural zones in central Ningxia exhibited weaker thermal modulation due to coupled vegetation–PV interactions. Policy-driven land use optimization was the dominant catalyst for PV proliferation. This study validates “remote sensing + deep learning” framework efficacy in renewable energy monitoring and provides empirical insights into eco-environmental impacts under “PV + ecological restoration” paradigms, offering critical data support for energy–ecology synergy planning in arid regions. Full article

The Wyrtki Jet (WJ), a pivotal surface circulation system in the equatorial Indian Ocean, exerts significant regulatory control over regional climate dynamics through its intense eastward transport characteristics, which modulate water mass exchange, thermohaline balance, and cross-basin energy transfer. To address the scarcity of in situ observational data, this study developed a satellite remote sensing-driven multi-parameter coupled model and reconstructed the WJ’s seasonal variations using the XGBoost machine learning algorithm. The results revealed that wind stress components, sea surface temperature, and wind stress curl serve as the primary drivers of its seasonal dynamics. The XGBoost model demonstrated superior performance in reconstructing WJ’s seasonal variations, achieving coefficients of determination (R²) exceeding 0.97 across all seasons and maintaining root mean square errors (RMSE) below 0.2 m/s across all seasons. The reconstructed currents exhibited strong consistency with the Ocean Surface Current Analysis Real-time (OSCAR) dataset, showing errors below 0.05 m/s in spring and autumn and under 0.1 m/s in summer and winter. The proposed multi-feature integrated modeling framework delivers a high spatiotemporal resolution analytical tool for tropical Indian Ocean circulation dynamics research, while simultaneously establishing critical data infrastructure to decode monsoon current coupling mechanisms, advancing early warning systems for extreme climatic events, and optimizing regional marine resource governance. Full article

Over the past few decades, occurrences of extreme climatic events have escalated significantly, with severe repercussions for global ecosystems and socio-economics. northern China (NC), characterized by its complex topography and diverse climatic conditions, represents a typical ecologically vulnerable region where vegetation is highly sensitive to climate change. Therefore, monitoring vegetation dynamics and analyzing the influence of extreme climatic events on vegetation are crucial for ecological conservation efforts in NC. Based on extreme climate indicators and the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI), this study employed trend analysis, Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition, all subsets regression analysis, and random forest to quantitatively investigate the spatiotemporal variations in historical and projected future NDVI trends in NC, as well as their responses to extreme climatic conditions. The results indicate that from 1982 to 2018, the NDVI in NC generally exhibited a recovery trend, with an average growth rate of 0.003/a and a short-term variation cycle of approximately 3 years. Vegetation restoration across most areas was primarily driven by short-term high temperatures and long-term precipitation patterns. Future projections under different emission scenarios (SSP245 and SSP585) suggest that extreme climate change will continue to follow historical trends. However, increased radiative forcing is expected to constrain both the rate of vegetation growth and its spatial expansion. These findings provide a scientific basis for mitigating the impacts of climate anomalies and improving ecological quality in NC. Full article

Rubber Tree (Hevea brasiliensis) phenology critically influences tropical plantation productivity and carbon cycling, yet topography and climate impacts remain unclear. By integrating multi-sensor remote sensing (2001–2020) and Google Earth Engine, this study analyzed spatiotemporal dynamics in Hainan Island, China. Results reveal that both the start (SOS occurred between early and late March: day of year, DOY 60–81) and end (EOS occurred late January to early February: DOY 392–406, counted from the previous year) of the growing season exhibit progressive delays from the southeast to northwest, yielding a 10–11 month growing season length (LOS). Significantly, LOS extended by 4.9 days per decade (p < 0.01), despite no significant trends in SOS advancement (−1.1 days per decade) or EOS delay (+3.7 days per decade). Topographic modulation was evident: the SOS was delayed by 0.27 days per 100 m elevation rise (p < 0.01), while the EOS was delayed by 0.07 days per 1° slope increase (p < 0.01). Climatically, a 100 mm precipitation increase advanced SOS/EOS by approximately 1.0 day (p < 0.05), preseasonally, a 1 °C February temperature rise advanced the SOS and EOS by 0.49 and 0.53 days, respectively, and a 100 mm January precipitation increase accelerated EOS by 2.7 days (p < 0.01). These findings advance our mechanistic understanding of rubber phenological responses to climate and topographic gradients, providing actionable insights for sustainable plantation management and tropical forest ecosystem adaptation under changing climatic conditions. Full article

Urbanization has profoundly transformed land surface morphology and amplified thermal environmental modifications, culminating in intensified urban heat island (UHI) phenomena. Local climate zones (LCZs) provide a robust methodological framework for quantifying thermal heterogeneity and dynamics at local scales. Our study investigated the Changsha–Zhuzhou–Xiangtan urban agglomeration (CZXA) as a case study and systematically examined spatiotemporal patterns of LCZs and land surface temperature (LST) from 2002 to 2019, while elucidating mechanisms influencing urban thermal environments and proposing optimized cooling strategies. Key findings demonstrated that through multi-source remote sensing data integration, long-term LCZ classification was achieved with 1,592 training samples, maintaining an overall accuracy exceeding 70%. Landscape pattern analysis revealed that increased fragmentation, configurational complexity, and diversity indices coupled with diminished spatial connectivity significantly elevate LST. Rapid development of the city in the vertical direction also led to an increase in LST. Among seven urban morphological parameters, impervious surface fraction (ISF) and pervious surface fraction (PSF) demonstrated the strongest correlations with LST, showing Pearson coefficients of 0.82 and −0.82, respectively. Pearson coefficients of mean building height (BH), building surface fraction (BSF), and mean street width (SW) also reached 0.50, 0.55, and 0.66. Redundancy analysis (RDA) results revealed that the connectivity and fragmentation degree of LCZ_8 (COHESION8) was the most critical parameter affecting urban thermal environment, explaining 58.5% of LST. Based on these findings and materiality assessment, the regional cooling model of “cooling resistance surface–cooling source–cooling corridor–cooling node” of CZXA was constructed. In the future, particular attention should be paid to the shape and distribution of buildings, especially large, openly arranged buildings with one to three stories, as well as to controlling building height and density. Moreover, tailored protection strategies should be formulated and implemented for cooling sources, corridors, and nodes based on their hierarchical significance within urban thermal regulation systems. These research outcomes offer a robust scientific foundation for evidence-based decision-making in mitigating UHI effects and promoting sustainable urban ecosystem development across urban agglomerations. Full article