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Search Results (217)

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Keywords = regional sea-level projections

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29 pages, 2806 KiB  
Review
Bridging Design and Climate Realities: A Meta-Synthesis of Coastal Landscape Interventions and Climate Integration
by Bo Pang and Brian Deal
Land 2025, 14(9), 1709; https://doi.org/10.3390/land14091709 (registering DOI) - 23 Aug 2025
Abstract
This paper is aimed at landscape managers and designers. It looks at 123 real-world coastal landscape projects and organizes them into clear design categories, i.e., wetland restoration, hybrid infrastructure, or urban green spaces. We looked at how these projects were framed (whether they [...] Read more.
This paper is aimed at landscape managers and designers. It looks at 123 real-world coastal landscape projects and organizes them into clear design categories, i.e., wetland restoration, hybrid infrastructure, or urban green spaces. We looked at how these projects were framed (whether they focused on climate adaptation, flood protection, or other goals) and how they tracked performance. We are hoping to bring some clarity to a very scattered field, helping us to see patterns in what is actually being carried out in terms of landscape interventions and increasing sea levels. We are hoping to provide a practical reference for making better, more climate-responsive design decisions. Coastal cities face escalating climate-driven threats from increasing sea levels and storm surges to urban heat islands. These threats are driving increased interest in nature-based solutions (NbSs) as green adaptive alternatives to traditional gray infrastructure. Despite an abundance of individual case studies, there have been few systematic syntheses aimed at landscape designers and managers linking design typologies, project framing, and performance outcomes. This study addresses this gap through a meta-synthesis of 123 implemented coastal landscape interventions aimed directly at landscape-oriented research and professions. Flood risk reduction was the dominant framing strategy (30.9%), followed by climate resilience (24.4%). Critical evidence gaps emerged—only 1.6% employed integrated monitoring approaches, 30.1% provided ambiguous performance documentation, and mean monitoring quality scored 0.89 out of 5.0. While 95.9% of the projects acknowledged SLR as a driver, only 4.1% explicitly integrated climate projections into design parameters. Community monitoring approaches demonstrated significantly higher ecosystem service integration, particularly cultural services (36.4% vs. 6.9%, p<0.001), and enhanced monitoring quality (mean score 1.64 vs. 0.76, p<0.001). Implementation barriers spanned technical constraints, institutional fragmentation, and data limitations, each affecting 20.3% of projects. Geographic analysis revealed evidence generation inequities, with systematic underrepresentation of high-risk regions (Africa: 4.1%; Latin America: 2.4%) versus concentration in well-resourced areas (North America: 27.6%; Europe: 17.1%). Full article
22 pages, 7227 KiB  
Article
Mechanisms Driving Recent Sea-Level Acceleration in the Gulf of Guinea
by Ayinde Akeem Shola, Huaming Yu, Kejian Wu and Nir Krakauer
Remote Sens. 2025, 17(16), 2834; https://doi.org/10.3390/rs17162834 - 15 Aug 2025
Viewed by 336
Abstract
The Gulf of Guinea is undergoing accelerated sea-level rise (SLR), with localized rates surpassing 10 mm yr−1, more than double the global mean. Integrating GRACE/FO ocean mass data, reanalysis products, and machine learning, we identify a regime shift in the regional [...] Read more.
The Gulf of Guinea is undergoing accelerated sea-level rise (SLR), with localized rates surpassing 10 mm yr−1, more than double the global mean. Integrating GRACE/FO ocean mass data, reanalysis products, and machine learning, we identify a regime shift in the regional sea-level budget post-2015. Over 60% of observed SLR near major riverine outlets stems from ocean mass increase, driven primarily by intensified terrestrial hydrological discharge, marking a transition from steric to barystatic and manometric dominance. This shift coincides with enhanced monsoonal precipitation, wind-forced equatorial wave adjustments, and Atlantic–Pacific climate coupling. Piecewise regression reveals a significant 2015 breakpoint, with mean coastal SLR rates increasing from 2.93 ± 0.1 to 5.4 ± 0.25 mm yr−1 between 1993 and 2014, and 2015 and 2023. GRACE data indicate extreme mass accumulation (>10 mm yr−1) along the eastern Gulf coast, tied to elevated river discharge and estuarine retention. Dynamical analysis reveals the reorganization of wind field intensification, which modifies Rossby wave dispersion and amplifies zonal water mass convergence. Random forest modeling attributes 16% of extreme SLR variance to terrestrial runoff (comparable to wind stress at 19%), underscoring underestimated land–ocean interactions. Current climate models underrepresent manometric contributions by 20–45%, introducing critical projection biases for high-runoff regions. The societal implications are severe, with >400 km2 of urban land in Lagos and Abidjan vulnerable to inundation by 2050. These findings reveal a hybrid steric–manometric regime in the Gulf of Guinea, challenging existing paradigms and suggesting analogous dynamics may operate across tropical margins. This calls for urgent model recalibration and tailored regional adaptation strategies. Full article
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27 pages, 1605 KiB  
Article
Using Hydro-Pneumatic Energy Storage for Improving Offshore Wind-Driven Green Hydrogen Production—A Preliminary Feasibility Study in the Central Mediterranean Sea
by Oleksii Pirotti, Diane Scicluna, Robert N. Farrugia, Tonio Sant and Daniel Buhagiar
Energies 2025, 18(16), 4344; https://doi.org/10.3390/en18164344 - 14 Aug 2025
Viewed by 419
Abstract
This paper presents a preliminary feasibility study for integrating hydro-pneumatic energy storage (HPES) with off-grid offshore wind turbines and green hydrogen production facilities—a concept termed HydroGenEration (HGE). This study compares the performance of this innovative concept system with an off-grid direct wind-to-hydrogen plant [...] Read more.
This paper presents a preliminary feasibility study for integrating hydro-pneumatic energy storage (HPES) with off-grid offshore wind turbines and green hydrogen production facilities—a concept termed HydroGenEration (HGE). This study compares the performance of this innovative concept system with an off-grid direct wind-to-hydrogen plant concept without energy storage, both under central Mediterranean wind conditions. Numerical simulations were conducted at high temporal resolution, capturing 10-min fluctuations of open field measured wind speeds at an equivalent offshore wind turbine (WT) hub height over a full 1-year, seasonal cycle. Key findings demonstrate that the HPES system of choice, namely the Floating Liquid Piston Accumulator with Sea Water under Compression (FLASC) system, significantly reduces Proton Exchange Membrane (PEM) electrolyser (PEMEL) On/Off cycling (with a 66% reduction in On/Off events), while maintaining hydrogen production levels, despite the integration of the energy storage system, which has a projected round-trip efficiency of 75%. The FLASC-integrated HGE solution also marginally reduces renewable energy curtailment by approximately 0.3% during the 12-month timeframe. Economic analysis reveals that while the FLASC HPES system does introduce an additional capital cost into the energy chain, it still yields substantial operational savings exceeding EUR 3 million annually through extended PEM electrolyser lifetime and improved operational efficiency. The Levelized Cost of Hydrogen (LCOH) for the FLASC-integrated HGE system, which is estimated to be EUR 18.83/kg, proves more economical than a direct wind-to-hydrogen approach with a levelized cost of EUR 21.09/kg of H2 produced. This result was achieved through more efficient utilisation of wind energy interfaced with energy storage as it mitigated the natural intermittency of the wind and increased the lifecycle of the equipment, especially that of the PEM electrolysers. Three scenario models were created to project future costs. As electrolyser technologies advance, cost reductions would be expected, and this was one of the scenarios envisaged for the future. These scenarios reinforce the technical and economic viability of the HGE concept for offshore green hydrogen production, particularly in the Mediterranean, and in regions having similar moderate wind resources and deeper seas for offshore hybrid sustainable energy systems. Full article
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24 pages, 4111 KiB  
Article
Evaluation of the Performance of a Nitrogen Treatment Plant in a Continental Mediterranean Climate: A Spanish Pig Farm Case Study
by Laura Escudero-Campos, Francisco J. San José, María del Pino Pérez Álvarez-Castellanos, Adrián Jiménez-Sánchez, Berta Riaño, Raúl Muñoz and Diego Prieto-Herráez
Nitrogen 2025, 6(3), 68; https://doi.org/10.3390/nitrogen6030068 - 14 Aug 2025
Viewed by 252
Abstract
This study presents a four-year evaluation (2020–2024) of an integrated climate mitigation project on a pig farm in Ávila, Spain, at an elevation of over 1100 m above sea level with continental climate conditions. The project aimed to reduce greenhouse gas emissions (GHG) [...] Read more.
This study presents a four-year evaluation (2020–2024) of an integrated climate mitigation project on a pig farm in Ávila, Spain, at an elevation of over 1100 m above sea level with continental climate conditions. The project aimed to reduce greenhouse gas emissions (GHG) and nitrogen pollution by implementing solid–liquid filtration followed by biological treatment in a 625 m3 Sequencing Batch Reactor (SBR) operating under a nitrification–denitrification (N-DN) regime. The SBR carried out four daily cycles, alternating aerobic and anoxic phases, with 5 and 8 m3 inlets. Aeration intensity and redox potential were continuously monitored to optimize bacterial activity. Analytical parameters (pH, electrical conductivity, solids content, nitrogen, phosphorus, and potassium) were measured using ISO methods and tracked frequently. Annual emission reductions were 75% for N2O, up to 97% for NH3, and 80% for N2. In the summer months, we observed higher efficiency reduction for N2, NH3, and NO2. Additionally, there was a 75% average reduction for COD and up to 92% for total GHG emissions. This real-world case study highlights the effectiveness of SBR-based N-DN systems for nutrient removal and emission reduction in high-altitude, climate-sensitive regions, contributing to EU nitrate directive compliance and circular economy practices. Full article
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21 pages, 447 KiB  
Article
Aerodynamic Design of Wind Turbine Blades Using Multi-Fidelity Analysis and Surrogate Models
by Rosalba Cardamone, Riccardo Broglia, Francesco Papi, Franco Rispoli, Alessandro Corsini, Alessandro Bianchini and Alessio Castorrini
Int. J. Turbomach. Propuls. Power 2025, 10(3), 16; https://doi.org/10.3390/ijtpp10030016 - 16 Jul 2025
Viewed by 446
Abstract
A standard approach to design begins with scaling up state-of-the-art machines to new target dimensions, moving towards larger rotors with lower specific energy to maximize revenue and enable power production in lower wind speed areas. This trend is particularly crucial in floating offshore [...] Read more.
A standard approach to design begins with scaling up state-of-the-art machines to new target dimensions, moving towards larger rotors with lower specific energy to maximize revenue and enable power production in lower wind speed areas. This trend is particularly crucial in floating offshore wind in the Mediterranean Sea, where the high levelized cost of energy poses significant risks to the sustainability of investments in new projects. In this context, the conventional approach of scaling up machines designed for fixed foundations and strong offshore winds may not be optimal. Additionally, modern large-scale wind turbines for offshore applications face challenges in achieving high aerodynamic performance in thick root regions. This study proposes a holistic optimization framework that combines multi-fidelity analyses and tools to address the new challenges in wind turbine rotor design, accounting for the novel demands of this application. The method is based on a modular optimization framework for the aerodynamic design of a new wind turbine rotor, where the cost function block is defined with the aid of a model reduction strategy. The link between the full-order model required to evaluate the target rotor’s performance, the physical aspects of blade aerodynamics, and the optimization algorithm that needs several evaluations of the cost function is provided by the definition of a surrogate model (SM). An intelligent SM definition strategy is adopted to minimize the computational effort required to build a reliable model of the cost function. The strategy is based on the construction of a self-adaptive, automatic refinement of the training space, while the particular SM is defined by the use of stochastic radial basis functions. The goal of this paper is to describe the new aerodynamic design strategy, its performance, and results, presenting a case study of a 15 MW wind turbine blades optimized for specific deepwater sites in the Mediterranean Sea. Full article
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31 pages, 6565 KiB  
Article
Remotely Sensing Phytoplankton Size Structure in the Mediterranean Sea: Insights from In Situ Data and Temperature-Corrected Abundance-Based Models
by John A. Gittings, Eleni Livanou, Xuerong Sun, Robert J. W. Brewin, Stella Psarra, Manolis Mandalakis, Alexandra Peltekis, Annalisa Di Cicco, Vittorio E. Brando and Dionysios E. Raitsos
Remote Sens. 2025, 17(14), 2362; https://doi.org/10.3390/rs17142362 - 9 Jul 2025
Viewed by 447
Abstract
Since the mid-1980s, the Mediterranean Sea’s surface and deeper layers have warmed at unprecedented rates, with recent projections identifying it as one of the regions most impacted by rising global temperatures. Metrics that characterize phytoplankton abundance, phenology and size structure are widely utilized [...] Read more.
Since the mid-1980s, the Mediterranean Sea’s surface and deeper layers have warmed at unprecedented rates, with recent projections identifying it as one of the regions most impacted by rising global temperatures. Metrics that characterize phytoplankton abundance, phenology and size structure are widely utilized as ecological indicators that enable a quantitative assessment of the status of marine ecosystems in response to environmental change. Here, using an extensive, updated in situ pigment dataset collated from numerous past research campaigns across the Mediterranean Sea, we re-parameterized an abundance-based phytoplankton size class model that infers Chl-a concentration in three phytoplankton size classes: pico- (<2 μm), nano- (2–20 μm) and micro-phytoplankton (>20 μm). Following recent advancements made within this category of size class models, we also incorporated information of sea surface temperature (SST) into the model parameterization. By tying model parameters to SST, the performance of the re-parameterized model was improved based on comparisons with concurrent, independent in situ measurements. Similarly, the application of the model to remotely sensed ocean color observations revealed strong agreement between satellite-derived estimates of phytoplankton size structure and in situ observations, with a performance comparable to the current regional operational datasets on size structure. The proposed conceptual regional model, parameterized with the most extended in situ pigment dataset available to date for the area, serves as a suitable foundation for long-term (1997–present) analyses on phytoplankton size structure and ecological indicators (i.e., phenology), ultimately linking higher trophic level responses to a changing Mediterranean Sea. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Ocean Remote Sensing)
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19 pages, 3235 KiB  
Article
Characteristics and Evaluation of Living Shorelines: A Case Study from Fujian, China
by Xingfan Li, Shihui Lin, Libing Qian, Zhe Wang, Chao Cao, Qi Gao and Jiwen Cai
J. Mar. Sci. Eng. 2025, 13(7), 1307; https://doi.org/10.3390/jmse13071307 - 5 Jul 2025
Viewed by 429
Abstract
Under the context of global climate change, sea-level rise and frequent storm surge events pose significant challenges to coastal areas. Protecting coastlines from erosion, mitigating socio-economic losses, and maintaining ecosystem balance are critical for the sustainable development of coastal zones. The concept of [...] Read more.
Under the context of global climate change, sea-level rise and frequent storm surge events pose significant challenges to coastal areas. Protecting coastlines from erosion, mitigating socio-economic losses, and maintaining ecosystem balance are critical for the sustainable development of coastal zones. The concept of “living shorelines” based on Nature-based Solutions (NbS) employs near-natural ecological restoration and protection measures. In low-energy coastal segments, natural materials are prioritized, while high-energy segments are supplemented with artificial structures. This approach not only enhances disaster resilience but also preserves coastal ecosystem stability and ecological functionality. This study constructs a coastal vitality evaluation system for Fujian Province, China, using the entropy weight method, integrating three dimensions: protective safety, ecological resilience, and economic vitality. Data from 2010 and 2020 were analyzed to assess the spatiotemporal evolution of coastal vitality. Results indicate that coastal vitality initially exhibited a spatial pattern of “low in the north, high in the center, and low in the south,” with vitality values ranging from 0.20 to 0.67 (higher values indicate stronger vitality). Over the past decade, ecological restoration projects have significantly improved coastal vitality, particularly in central and southern regions, where high-vitality segments increased markedly. Key factors influencing coastal vitality include water quality, cyclone intensity, biological shoreline length, and wetland area. NbS-aligned coastal management strategies and soft revetment practices have generated substantial ecological and economic benefits. To further enhance coastal vitality, region-specific approaches are recommended, emphasizing rational resource utilization, optimization of ecological and economic values, and the establishment of a sustainable evaluation framework. This study provides scientific insights for improving coastal protection capacity, ecological resilience, and economic potential. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Coastal Geochemistry: The Processes of Water–Sediment Interaction)
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26 pages, 41871 KiB  
Article
Episodic vs. Sea Level Rise Coastal Flooding Scenarios at the Urban Scale: Extreme Event Analysis and Adaptation Strategies
by Sebastian Spadotto, Saverio Fracaros, Annelore Bezzi and Giorgio Fontolan
Water 2025, 17(13), 1991; https://doi.org/10.3390/w17131991 - 2 Jul 2025
Viewed by 718
Abstract
Sea level rise (SLR) and increased urbanisation of coastal areas have exacerbated coastal flood threats, making them even more severe in important cultural sites. In this context, the role of hard coastal defences such as promenades and embankments needs to be carefully assessed. [...] Read more.
Sea level rise (SLR) and increased urbanisation of coastal areas have exacerbated coastal flood threats, making them even more severe in important cultural sites. In this context, the role of hard coastal defences such as promenades and embankments needs to be carefully assessed. Here, a thorough investigation is conducted in Grado, one of the most significant coastal and historical towns in the Friuli Venezia Giulia region of Italy. Grado is located on a barrier island of the homonymous lagoon, the northernmost of the Adriatic Sea, and is prone to flooding from both the sea and the back lagoon. The mean and maximum sea levels from the historical dataset of Venice (1950–2023) were analysed using the Gumbel-type distribution, allowing for the identification of annual extremes based on their respective return periods (RPs). Grado and Trieste sea level datasets (1991–2023) were used to calibrate the statistics of the extremes and to calculate the local component (subsidence) of relative SLR. The research examined the occurrence of annual exceedance of the minimum threshold water level of 110 cm, indicating Grado’s initial notable marine ingression. The study includes a detailed analysis of flood impacts on the urban fabric, categorised into sectors based on the promenade elevation on the lagoon side, the most vulnerable to flooding. Inundated areas were obtained using a high-resolution digital terrain model through a GIS-based technique, assessing both the magnitude and exposure of the urban environment to flood risk due to storm surges, also considering relative SLR projections for 2050 and 2100. Currently, approximately 42% of Grado’s inhabited area is inundated with a sea level threshold value of 151 cm, which occurs during surge episodes with a 30-year RP. By 2100, with an optimistic forecast (SSP1-2.6) of local SLR of around +53 cm, the same threshold will be met with a surge of ca. 100 cm, which occurs once a year. Thus, extreme levels linked with more catastrophic events with current secular RPs will be achieved with a multi-year frequency, inundating more than 60% of the urbanized area. Grado, like Venice, exemplifies trends that may impact other coastal regions and historically significant towns of national importance. As a result, the generated simulations, as well as detailed analyses of urban sectors where coastal flooding may occur, are critical for medium- to long-term urban planning aimed at adopting proper adaptation measures. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Urban Flood Frequency Analysis and Risk Assessment)
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20 pages, 1743 KiB  
Article
Understanding Wave Attenuation Across Marshes: Insights from Numerical Modeling
by Madeline R. Foster-Martinez, Ioannis Y. Georgiou, Duncan M. FitzGerald, Zoe J. Hughes, Alyssa Novak and Md Mohiuddin Sakib
J. Mar. Sci. Eng. 2025, 13(6), 1188; https://doi.org/10.3390/jmse13061188 - 18 Jun 2025
Viewed by 988
Abstract
Marsh vegetation dampens wave energy, providing protection to coastal communities from storms. A new modeling framework was applied to study wave height evolution over the saltmarsh bordering Newbury, MA. A regional Delft3D hydrodynamic model generated wind driver waves in the open water portions [...] Read more.
Marsh vegetation dampens wave energy, providing protection to coastal communities from storms. A new modeling framework was applied to study wave height evolution over the saltmarsh bordering Newbury, MA. A regional Delft3D hydrodynamic model generated wind driver waves in the open water portions of the study area, which were then one-way coupled with an analytical model, the Marsh Transect Wave Attenuation (MTWA) model, which tracked wave evolution along select transects throughout the marsh. Field observations of vegetation and wave height evolution were used to calibrate MTWA. Seven scenarios were run covering a range of possible future management and environmental conditions, in addition to projected sea level rise. Results underscore the importance of vegetation and elevation to wave attenuation. Full article
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23 pages, 1050 KiB  
Review
Integrating Environmental Sensitivity Analysis into Strategic Environmental Assessment for Sustainable Tourism Planning: A Review
by Diana Salciccia-Frezza, Teresa Rodríguez-Espinosa and José Navarro-Pedreño
Sustainability 2025, 17(12), 5439; https://doi.org/10.3390/su17125439 - 12 Jun 2025
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 679
Abstract
Tourism development frequently leads to significant environmental impacts, particularly in vulnerable areas. While strategic environmental assessment (SEA) serves as a crucial tool for integrating environmental considerations into policies and plans, its effectiveness in tourism destinations is often constrained by a lack of integrated [...] Read more.
Tourism development frequently leads to significant environmental impacts, particularly in vulnerable areas. While strategic environmental assessment (SEA) serves as a crucial tool for integrating environmental considerations into policies and plans, its effectiveness in tourism destinations is often constrained by a lack of integrated tools to assess environmental sensitivity. Environmental sensitivity analysis (ESA), which identifies areas sensitive to anthropogenic disturbance, is applied at the project level (environmental impact assessment), rather than being proactively integrated into strategic territorial planning for tourism. The analysis of this concept is crucial for identifying high-priority areas for conservation and sustainable tourism management. This systematic review addresses this gap by analyzing the inter-relationship between the conceptual aspects of SEA and ESA methodologies and the sustainable planning of territories. The central research question guiding this study is as follows: can the integration of ESA into the SEA of the tourism sector lead to improved territorial environmental management in areas with tourism potential? The research evidences the necessity for strategic environmental planning that effectively prevents impacts before tourism projects commence. The best way to achieve this goal is by integrating ESA into SEA. The notion of sustainable territorial management is particularly relevant in regions where tourism growth has the potential to affect local ecosystems and the quality of life of local communities. The incorporation of tools to better assess the environmental sensitivity of such areas is, therefore, essential to ensure policy decisions do not compromise the socio-environmental conditions of these areas. The study lays the groundwork for future research to develop and apply practical ESA methodologies for strategic and sustainable tourism planning. Full article
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45 pages, 5448 KiB  
Article
Runaway Climate Across the Wider Caribbean and Eastern Tropical Pacific in the Anthropocene: Threats to Coral Reef Conservation, Restoration, and Social–Ecological Resilience
by Edwin A. Hernández-Delgado and Yanina M. Rodríguez-González
Atmosphere 2025, 16(5), 575; https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos16050575 - 11 May 2025
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 2769
Abstract
Marine heatwaves (MHWs) are increasingly affecting tropical seas, causing mass coral bleaching and mortality in the wider Caribbean (WC) and eastern tropical Pacific (ETP). This leads to significant coral loss, reduced biodiversity, and impaired ecological functions. Climate models forecast a troubling future for [...] Read more.
Marine heatwaves (MHWs) are increasingly affecting tropical seas, causing mass coral bleaching and mortality in the wider Caribbean (WC) and eastern tropical Pacific (ETP). This leads to significant coral loss, reduced biodiversity, and impaired ecological functions. Climate models forecast a troubling future for Latin American coral reefs, but downscaled projections for the WC and ETP remain limited. Understanding regional temperature thresholds that threaten coral reef futures and restoration efforts is critical. Our goals included analyzing historical trends in July–August–September–October (JASO) temperature anomalies and exploring future projections at subregional and country levels. From 1940 to 2023, JASO air and ocean temperature anomalies showed significant increases. Projections indicate that even under optimistic scenario 4.5, temperatures may exceed the +1.5 °C air threshold beyond pre-industrial levels by the 2040s and the +1.0 °C ocean threshold beyond historical annual maximums by the 2030s, resulting in severe coral bleaching and mortality. Business-as-usual scenario 8.5 suggests conditions will become intolerable for coral conservation and restoration by the 2030s, with decadal warming trends largely surpassing historical rates, under unbearable conditions for corals. The immediate development of regional and local adaptive coral reef conservation and restoration plans, along with climate change adaptation and mitigation strategies, is essential to provide time for optimistic scenarios to materialize. Full article
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21 pages, 20411 KiB  
Article
Time-Lag Effects of Winter Arctic Sea Ice on Subsequent Spring Precipitation Variability over China and Its Possible Mechanisms
by Hao Wang, Wen Wang and Fuxiong Guo
Water 2025, 17(10), 1443; https://doi.org/10.3390/w17101443 - 10 May 2025
Viewed by 698
Abstract
Arctic sea ice variations exhibit relatively strong statistical associations with precipitation variability over northeastern and southern China. Using Arctic Ocean reanalysis data from the EU Copernicus Project, this study examines the time-lagged statistical relationships between winter Arctic sea ice conditions and subsequent spring [...] Read more.
Arctic sea ice variations exhibit relatively strong statistical associations with precipitation variability over northeastern and southern China. Using Arctic Ocean reanalysis data from the EU Copernicus Project, this study examines the time-lagged statistical relationships between winter Arctic sea ice conditions and subsequent spring precipitation variability over China through wavelet analysis and Granger causality tests. Singular value decomposition (SVD) identifies the Barents, Kara, East Siberian, and Chukchi Seas as key regions exhibiting strong associations with spring precipitation anomalies. Increased winter sea ice in the East Siberian and Chukchi Seas generates positive geopotential height anomalies over the Arctic and negative anomalies over Northeast Asia, adjusting upper-level jet streams and influencing precipitation patterns in Northeast China. Conversely, increased sea ice in the Barents–Kara Seas leads to persistent negative geopotential height anomalies simultaneously occurring over both the Arctic and South China regions, enhancing southern jet stream activity and intensifying warm-moist airflow at the 850 hPa level, thus favoring precipitation in southern China. Compared to considering only climate factors such as the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO), El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO), and Arctic Oscillation (AO), the inclusion of Arctic sea ice significantly enhances the influence of multiple climate factors on precipitation variability in China. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Climate Change and Hydrological Processes, 2nd Edition)
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33 pages, 8503 KiB  
Article
Multi-Scenario Land Use and Carbon Storage Assessment in the Yellow River Delta Under Climate Change and Resource Development
by Zekun Wang, Xiaolei Liu, Shaopeng Zhang, Xiangshuai Meng, Hongjun Zhang and Xingsen Guo
Remote Sens. 2025, 17(9), 1603; https://doi.org/10.3390/rs17091603 - 30 Apr 2025
Viewed by 644
Abstract
Land use and land cover change (LULCC) is a key driver of carbon storage changes, especially in complex coastal ecosystems such as the Yellow River Delta (YRD), which is jointly influenced by climate change and resource development. The compounded effects of sea-level rise [...] Read more.
Land use and land cover change (LULCC) is a key driver of carbon storage changes, especially in complex coastal ecosystems such as the Yellow River Delta (YRD), which is jointly influenced by climate change and resource development. The compounded effects of sea-level rise (SLR) and land subsidence (LS) are particularly prominent. This study is the first to integrate the dual impacts of SLR and LS into a unified framework, using three climate scenarios (SSP1–26, SSP2–45, SSP5–85) provided in the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Sixth Assessment Report (AR6), along with LS monitoring data, to comprehensively assess future inundation risks. Building on this, and taking into account land use and ecological protection policies in the YRD, three strategic scenarios—Ecological Protection Scenario (EPS), Natural Development Scenario (NDS), and Economic Growth Scenario (EGS)—are established. The PLUS and InVEST models are used to jointly simulate LULCC and carbon storage changes across these scenarios. Unlike previous studies focusing on single driving factors, this research innovatively develops a dynamic simulation system for LULCC and carbon storage driven by the SLR-LS compound effects, providing scientific guidance for land space development and coastal zone planning in vulnerable coastal areas, while enhancing carbon sink potential. The results of the study show the following: (1) Over the past 30 years, the land use pattern of the YRD has generally extended toward the sea, with land use transitions mainly from grasslands (the largest reduction: 1096.20 km2), wetlands, reservoirs and ponds, and paddy fields to drylands, culture areas, construction lands, salt pans, and tidal flats. (2) Carbon storage in the YRD exhibits significant spatial heterogeneity. Low-carbon storage areas are primarily concentrated in the coastal regions, while high-carbon storage areas are mainly found in grasslands, paddy fields, and woodlands. LULCC, especially the conversion of high carbon storage ecosystems to low carbon storage uses, has resulted in an overall net regional carbon loss of 2.22 × 106 t since 1990. (3) The risk of seawater inundation in the YRD is closely related to LS, particularly under low sea-level scenarios, with LS playing a dominant role in exacerbating this risk. Under the EGS, the region is projected to face severe seawater inundation and carbon storage losses by 2030 and 2060. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Carbon Sink Pattern and Land Spatial Optimization in Coastal Areas)
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11 pages, 4122 KiB  
Proceeding Paper
UKSBAS Testbed Performance Assessment of Two Years of Operations
by Javier González Merino, Fernando Bravo Llano, Michael Pattinson, Madeleine Easom, Juan Ramón Campano Hernández, Ignacio Sanz Palomar, María Isabel Romero Llapa, Sangeetha Priya Ilamparithi, David Hill and George Newton
Eng. Proc. 2025, 88(1), 35; https://doi.org/10.3390/engproc2025088035 - 21 Apr 2025
Viewed by 379
Abstract
Current Satellite-Based Augmentation Systems (SBASs) improve the positioning accuracy and integrity of GPS satellites and provide safe civil aviation navigation services for procedures from en-route to LPV-200 precision approach over specific regions. SBAS systems, such as WAAS, EGNOS, GAGAN, and MSAS, already operate. [...] Read more.
Current Satellite-Based Augmentation Systems (SBASs) improve the positioning accuracy and integrity of GPS satellites and provide safe civil aviation navigation services for procedures from en-route to LPV-200 precision approach over specific regions. SBAS systems, such as WAAS, EGNOS, GAGAN, and MSAS, already operate. The development of operational SBAS systems is in transition due to the extension of L1 SBAS services to new regions and the improvements expected by the introduction of dual frequency multi-constellation (DFMC) services, which allow the use of more core constellations such as Galileo and the use of ionosphere-free L1/L5 signal combination. The UKSBAS Testbed is a demonstration and feasibility project in the framework of ESA’s Navigation Innovation Support Programme (NAVISP), which is sponsored by the UK’s HMG with the participation of the Department for Transport and the UK Space Agency. UKSBAS Testbed’s main objective is to deliver a new L1 SBAS signal in space (SIS) from May 2022 in the UK region using Viasat’s Inmarsat-3F5 geostationary (GEO) satellite and Goonhilly Earth Station as signal uplink over PRN 158, as well as L1 SBAS and DFMC SBAS services through the Internet. SBAS messages are generated by GMV’s magicSBAS software and fed with data from the Ordnance Survey’s station network. This paper provides an assessment of the performance achieved by the UKSBAS Testbed during the last two years of operations at the SIS and user level, including a number of experimentation campaigns performed in the aviation and maritime domains, comprising ground tests at airports, flight tests on aircraft and sea trials on a vessel. This assessment includes, among others, service availability (e.g., APV-I, LPV-200), protection levels (PL), and position errors (PE) statistics over the service area and in a network of receivers. Full article
(This article belongs to the Proceedings of European Navigation Conference 2024)
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19 pages, 61927 KiB  
Article
Sustainability by Using IoT-PWS Data and Remote Sensing and Geographic Information Systems Technology in Erasmus+ Supported Project: The Case of Antalya/Aksu
by Ercument Aksoy, Gulsen Topcu, Irfan Topcu, Ayse Demirci, Onder Kabas and Mirela Nicoleta Dınca
Sustainability 2025, 17(7), 3194; https://doi.org/10.3390/su17073194 - 3 Apr 2025
Viewed by 876
Abstract
Due to climate change, situations that threaten humanity, such as temperature increases, drought, forest fires, sea level rise, erosion, floods, and migrations, are gradually increasing. Understanding climate change has gained more importance day by day due to the negative effects of disasters. Quantitative [...] Read more.
Due to climate change, situations that threaten humanity, such as temperature increases, drought, forest fires, sea level rise, erosion, floods, and migrations, are gradually increasing. Understanding climate change has gained more importance day by day due to the negative effects of disasters. Quantitative spatial analyses were carried out with the help of Remote Sensing (RS) and Earth Observation (EO) technology using Geographic Information Systems (GIS) by establishing an Internet of Things (IoT) Meteorological Station (IoT-PWS) with Erasmus+ support. The dataset consists of Road, Meteorological Station, Climate (Temperature, Wind Speed), Land Use—Land Cover (Copernicus LULC), and Population data. As a result of the findings of the research, it was determined that IoT-PWS has a positive contribution to many areas such as agriculture, traffic, scientific studies, local administration, and local public information in the region, and the positive contribution will continue as the station data flow continues. The study is designed as a guide to the use of GIS, RS, and EO technology for educators working on curriculum renewal and project implementation in the field of Environment and Combating Climate Change, one of the four key priorities of Erasmus+. The study contributes indirectly to all indicators in the Sustainable Development Goals as well as directly contributes to Goal 11, Goal 13, and Goal 15. Full article
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