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18 pages, 1078 KB  
Article
Spatial Patterns of Mercury and Geochemical Baseline Values in Arctic Soils
by Evgeny Lodygin
Soil Syst. 2026, 10(1), 14; https://doi.org/10.3390/soilsystems10010014 - 14 Jan 2026
Viewed by 24
Abstract
The issue of formulating scientifically sound standards for mercury (Hg) content in Arctic soils is becoming increasingly pertinent in view of the rising human impact and climate change, which serve to augment the mobility of Hg compounds and their involvement in biogeochemical processes. [...] Read more.
The issue of formulating scientifically sound standards for mercury (Hg) content in Arctic soils is becoming increasingly pertinent in view of the rising human impact and climate change, which serve to augment the mobility of Hg compounds and their involvement in biogeochemical processes. In the absence of uniform criteria for regulating Hg concentrations, it is particularly important to determine its geochemical baseline values and the factors that determine the spatial and vertical distribution of the element in the soil profile. The study conducted a comprehensive investigation of Hg content and patterns of its distribution in various types of tundra soils in the European North-East of Russia. The mass fraction of total Hg was determined by atomic absorption spectrometry, and the spatial features of accumulation were analysed using geoinformation technologies. The distribution of Hg in the soils of the tundra zone was found to be distinctly mosaic in nature, determined by the combined influence of organic matter, granulometric composition, and hydrothermal conditions. It has been established that the complex influence of the physicochemical properties of soils determines the spatial heterogeneity of Hg distribution in the soils of the tundra zone. The most effective Hg accumulators are peat and gley horizons enriched with organic matter and physical clay fraction, while in Podzols, vertical migration of Hg is observed in the presence of a leaching water regime. In order to standardise geochemical baseline Hg values, a 95% upper confidence limit (UCL95%) is proposed. This approach enables the consideration of natural background fluctuations and the exclusion of extreme values. The results obtained provide a scientific basis for the establishment of standards for Hg content in background soils of the Arctic. Full article
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42 pages, 12738 KB  
Article
Spectral Indices and Principal Component Analysis for Lithological Mapping in the Erongo Region, Namibia
by Ryan Theodore Benade and Oluibukun Gbenga Ajayi
Appl. Sci. 2025, 15(24), 13251; https://doi.org/10.3390/app152413251 - 18 Dec 2025
Viewed by 363
Abstract
The mineral deposits in Namibia’s Erongo region are renowned and frequently associated with complex geological environments, including calcrete-hosted paleochannels and hydrothermal alteration zones. Mineral extraction is hindered by high operational costs, restricted accessibility and stringent environmental regulations. To address these challenges, this study [...] Read more.
The mineral deposits in Namibia’s Erongo region are renowned and frequently associated with complex geological environments, including calcrete-hosted paleochannels and hydrothermal alteration zones. Mineral extraction is hindered by high operational costs, restricted accessibility and stringent environmental regulations. To address these challenges, this study proposes an integrated approach that combines satellite remote sensing and machine learning to map and identify mineralisation-indicative zones. Sentinel 2 Multispectral Instrument (MSI) and Landsat 8 Operational Land Imager (OLI) multispectral data were employed due to their global coverage, spectral fidelity and suitability for geological investigations. Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) masking was applied to minimise vegetation interference. Spectral indices—the Clay Index, Carbonate Index, Iron Oxide Index and Ferrous Iron Index—were developed and enhanced using false-colour composites. Principal Component Analysis (PCA) was used to reduce redundancy and extract significant spectral patterns. Supervised classification was performed using Support Vector Machine (SVM), Random Forest (RF) and Maximum Likelihood Classification (MLC), with validation through confusion matrices and metrics such as Overall Accuracy, User’s Accuracy, Producer’s Accuracy and the Kappa coefficient. The results showed that RF achieved the highest accuracy on Landsat 8 and MLC outperformed others on Sentinel 2, while SVM showed balanced performance. Sentinel 2’s higher spatial resolution enabled improved delineation of alteration zones. This approach supports efficient and low-impact mineral prospecting in remote environments. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Environmental Sciences)
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30 pages, 10644 KB  
Article
Integrating PCA and Fractal Modeling for Identifying Geochemical Anomalies in the Tropics: The Malang–Lumajang Volcanic Arc, Indonesia
by Wahyu Widodo, Ernowo Ernowo, Ridho Nanda Pratama, Mochamad Rifat Noor, Denni Widhiyatna, Edya Putra, Arifudin Idrus, Bambang Pardiarto, Zach Boakes, Martua Raja Parningotan, Triswan Suseno, Retno Damayanti, Purnama Sendjaja, Dwi Rachmawati and Ayumi Hana Putri Ramadani
Geosciences 2025, 15(12), 470; https://doi.org/10.3390/geosciences15120470 - 12 Dec 2025
Viewed by 470
Abstract
Intense chemical weathering in tropical environments poses challenges for conventional geochemical exploration, as primary lithological signatures become heavily altered. Stream sediment geochemistry provides a robust alternative for detecting anomalous geochemical patterns under these conditions. In this study, 636 stream sediment samples and 15 [...] Read more.
Intense chemical weathering in tropical environments poses challenges for conventional geochemical exploration, as primary lithological signatures become heavily altered. Stream sediment geochemistry provides a robust alternative for detecting anomalous geochemical patterns under these conditions. In this study, 636 stream sediment samples and 15 rock samples were evaluated using Principal Component Analysis (PCA), Median + 2 Median Absolute Deviation (MAD), and Concentration–Area (C–A) fractal modeling to identify potential anomaly zones. These results were compared with the traditional Mean plus 2 Standard Deviation (SD) approach. The findings indicated that Mean + 2SD offers a conservative threshold but overlooks anomalies in heterogeneous datasets, while Median + 2MAD provides robustness against outliers. The C-A fractal model effectively characterizes low- and high-order anomalies by capturing multiscale variability. Elements such as Au–Ag–Hg–Se–Sb–As form a system indicating low- to intermediate-sulphated epithermal mineralization. Au–Pb points to polymetallic hydrothermal mineralization along intrusive contacts. The southern region is a primary mineralization center controlled by an intrusive–volcanic boundary, whereas the east and west areas exhibit secondary mineralization, characterized by altered lava breccia. The correlation between shallow epithermal and deeper intrusive-related porphyry systems, especially regarding Au–Ag, offers new insights into the metallogenic landscape of the Sunda–Banda arc. Beyond regional significance, this research presents a geostatistical workflow designed to mitigate exploration uncertainty in geochemically complex zones, providing a structured approach applicable to volcanic-arc mineralized provinces worldwide. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Geochemistry)
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21 pages, 17743 KB  
Article
Garnet Geochemistry of the Tietangdong Breccia Pipe, Yixingzhai Gold Deposit, North China Craton: Constraints on Hydrothermal Fluid Evolution
by Junwu Zhang, Jing Lu, Juquan Zhang, Fangyue Wang and Xian Liang
Minerals 2025, 15(12), 1290; https://doi.org/10.3390/min15121290 - 9 Dec 2025
Viewed by 439
Abstract
The Yixingzhai deposit is a giant gold system containing four cryptovolcanic breccia pipes, several of which host significant porphyry-type gold orebodies at depth. A key exploration target is the Tietangdong cryptovolcanic breccia pipe, characterized by skarn alteration in its upper zones. However, the [...] Read more.
The Yixingzhai deposit is a giant gold system containing four cryptovolcanic breccia pipes, several of which host significant porphyry-type gold orebodies at depth. A key exploration target is the Tietangdong cryptovolcanic breccia pipe, characterized by skarn alteration in its upper zones. However, the evolution of early hydrothermal fluids and their implications for gold enrichment potential remain poorly understood. This study employs an integrated approach—combining petrography, electron probe microanalysis, laser ablation-inductively coupled plasma–mass spectrometry (LA-ICP-MS), and LA-ICP-MS elemental mapping—to analyze zoned garnets within the Tietangdong skarn, with the aim of deciphering changes in magmatic–hydrothermal composition and physicochemical conditions, as well as their influence on gold enrichment. Textural and compositional data reveal three distinct generations of garnets. Garnets from generations I and III consist of a grossular–andradite solid solution and commonly exhibits optical anisotropy. In contrast, generation II garnet is predominantly andraditic and optically homogeneous. LA-ICP-MS elemental mapping of generations I and III indicates that both generations contain significant Al and Fe, with their optical anisotropy attributed to a high degree of Fe3+/Al3+ cationic ordering. Compared to generations I and III, generation II garnet displays distinct geochemical characteristics, including enrichment in Fe, As, Sn, W, and U, patterns enriched in light rare earth elements, a positive Eu anomaly, and a wide range of Y/Ho ratios. Garnets from generations I and III crystallized under relatively high-pressure, high-temperature, and low-oxygen fugacity conditions, whereas generation II garnets formed under lower pressure–temperature conditions and higher oxygen fugacity. Moreover, concentrations of Co, Ni, and Cu increase systematically from generation I to generation III. We interpret the sharp compositional break at generation II as recording of the pulsed injection of magmatic–hydrothermal fluids, which enhanced the potential for gold mineralization. The zoning patterns in garnet provide a robust record of the temporal evolution of physicochemical conditions and fluid composition in the hydrothermal system. Full article
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19 pages, 9483 KB  
Article
Application of Portable X-Ray Fluorescence Analysis in Mineral Exploration: A Case Study from Cimabanshuo Porphyry Copper Deposit
by Zheming Li, Naiying Wei, Miao Li, Song Wu, Hao Li and Peng Liu
Minerals 2025, 15(12), 1286; https://doi.org/10.3390/min15121286 - 7 Dec 2025
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 389
Abstract
The Cimabanshuo deposit, situated in the western Gangdese Belt, is a recently discovered porphyry Cu deposit formed in a post-collisional setting, approximately 10 km from the giant Zhunuo porphyry Cu deposit. Despite its proximity to Zhunuo, Cimabanshuo remains poorly studied, and the current [...] Read more.
The Cimabanshuo deposit, situated in the western Gangdese Belt, is a recently discovered porphyry Cu deposit formed in a post-collisional setting, approximately 10 km from the giant Zhunuo porphyry Cu deposit. Despite its proximity to Zhunuo, Cimabanshuo remains poorly studied, and the current exploration depth of 600 m leaves the potential for deeper resources uncertain. In this study, 840 samples from four drill holes along the NW-SE section (A-A′) were analyzed using portable X-ray fluorescence (pXRF). Based on the geochemical characteristics of primary halos, the deep mineralization potential of Cimabanshuo was evaluated. The results show that Co, Pb, and Ag are near-ore indicator elements; Zn, Cs, Hg, Sb, As, and Ba represent the frontal elements; and Te, Sn, and Bi occur as tail elements. Based on these distributions, a 14-element zoning sequence is defined along the A-A′ profile according to Gregorian’s zoning index, showing Mo-Co-Cu-Pb-Bi-Ag-Sn-Te-Sb-Hg-Cs-Zn-Ba-As from shallow to deep. This sequence shows a distinct reverse zonation pattern, in which tail elements occur in the middle and frontal elements appear at depth, suggesting the existence of a concealed ore body in the lower part of the deposit. Horizontally, the geochemical ratios Ag/Mo and Ag/Cu decrease from northwest to southeast along the profile, implying hydrothermal flow from southeast to northwest. Vertically, the ratios As/Bi, (As × Cs)/(Bi × Te), (As × Ba)/(Bi × Sn), and (As × Ba × Cs)/(Bi × Sn × Te) display a downward-decreasing then upward-increasing trend, further indicating hidden mineralization at depth. This inference is supported by the predominance of propylitic alteration and the deep polarization anomaly revealed by audio-magnetotelluric imaging. pXRF analysis provides a fast, efficient, and environmentally friendly approach, showing strong potential for rapid geochemical evaluation in porphyry Cu exploration. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Mineral Exploration Methods and Applications)
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25 pages, 18749 KB  
Article
Elemental Geochemical Analysis for the Gold–Antimony Segregation in the Gutaishan Deposit: Insights from Stibnite and Pyrite
by Shiyi Lu, Yongyun Ning, Liang Xiao, Ke Huang, Siqi Chen, Xuan Zhu, Hao He and Miao Yu
Geosciences 2025, 15(12), 462; https://doi.org/10.3390/geosciences15120462 - 4 Dec 2025
Viewed by 774
Abstract
In many gold–antimony deposits throughout the world, the sequence of Au and Sb precipitation varies significantly. In high-temperature systems such as hydrothermal Au deposits, gold typically precipitates prior to antimony, whereas in lower-temperature systems (e.g., Carlin-type deposits), no consistent depositional sequence is observed. [...] Read more.
In many gold–antimony deposits throughout the world, the sequence of Au and Sb precipitation varies significantly. In high-temperature systems such as hydrothermal Au deposits, gold typically precipitates prior to antimony, whereas in lower-temperature systems (e.g., Carlin-type deposits), no consistent depositional sequence is observed. The Gutaishan Au-Sb deposit, located in the Xiangzhong Basin of the Jiangnan Orogenic Belt, South China, exhibits a distinct spatial segregation within a continuously evolving system of gold and antimony mineralization—a pattern commonly observed in many Au-Sb deposits throughout the region. To elucidate the mechanisms controlling Au-Sb co-occurrence and segregation, we conducted electron probe microanalysis (EPMA) and laser ablation inductively coupled plasma mass spectrometry (LA–ICP–MS) major and trace element analyses of stibnite and pyrite from quartz veins across different ore zones within the Gutaishan deposit. Trace element signatures—such as Cu-Pb correlations and Hg/(Cu + Pb) ratios which classify stibnite into Woxi-type and Xikuangshan-type, and Co/Ni ratios classifies pyrite into magmatic–hydrothermal and sedimentary types—suggest that the ore-forming fluids were predominantly magmatic–hydrothermal in origin, with minor contributions from metamorphic basement fluids. The occurrence of low-temperature trace element signatures in the Au-Sb deposit indicates that temperature is the primary control on Au-Sb segregation. The thermodynamic model further confirms that high-temperature fluids favored the precipitation of Au veins, while lower-temperature fluids facilitated the co-precipitation of stibnite and gold in Sb-Au veins. Therefore, we propose a metallogenic model for the Gutaishan deposit that highlights temperature-driven Au-Sb segregation, resulting from the progressive cooling of the ore-forming fluids. Full article
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24 pages, 47592 KB  
Article
Structural Ore-Control Model of the Daliangzi Pb–Zn Deposit, Southwest China
by Jianbiao Wu, Runsheng Han, Hongsheng Gong, Shunchuan Wu, Yan Zhang, Chengjie Li, Lingjie Li, Xinglei Hu and Ziguang Wang
Geosciences 2025, 15(11), 431; https://doi.org/10.3390/geosciences15110431 - 13 Nov 2025
Viewed by 537
Abstract
The oblique distribution of orebodies is a fundamental characteristic of the spatial arrangement of orebody groups in non-magmatic hydrothermal deposits and is closely related to shearing. The Daliangzi Pb–Zn deposit in the Sichuan–Yunnan–Guizhou Pb–Zn polymetallic metallogenic area is a typical representative of epigenetic [...] Read more.
The oblique distribution of orebodies is a fundamental characteristic of the spatial arrangement of orebody groups in non-magmatic hydrothermal deposits and is closely related to shearing. The Daliangzi Pb–Zn deposit in the Sichuan–Yunnan–Guizhou Pb–Zn polymetallic metallogenic area is a typical representative of epigenetic hydrothermal deposits controlled by a strike-slip–fault-fold structure. However, the underlying ore-controlling mechanism of this strike-slip–fault-fold structure remains unclear; as a result, achieving breakthroughs in mineral exploration in the deposit’s deep and peripheral zones is directly hindered. This paper focuses on the Daliangzi Pb–Zn deposit. Based on the Theory and Methods of Ore-field Geomechanics, the hierarchical structural ore-controlling pattern of the deposit is clarified, identifying the NE-trending tectonic zone from the Middle-Late Indosinian to Early Yanshanian as the Pb–Zn metallogenic tectonic system. It proposes the spatial oblique distribution patterns of the deposits, ore sections, orebodies, and ore blocks, along with the mechanical mechanisms of multi-scale structural ore control. A compound negative flower structure–fault-fold–diapiric ore-controlling model was constructed for the Daliangzi Pb–Zn deposit. Finally, the locations of concealed orebodies at different scales within the Daliangzi Pb–Zn deposit and its surrounding areas were predicted; moreover, the locations of concealed orebodies at various depths within the deposit area were also predicted. Full article
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18 pages, 6397 KB  
Article
Pyrite Trace-Element Signatures of Porphyry-Epithermal Systems in Xizang: Implications for Metallogenic Discrimination and Hydrothermal Evolution
by Hongzhong Guan, Jiancuo Luosang, Lutong Gao and Fuwei Xie
Minerals 2025, 15(11), 1113; https://doi.org/10.3390/min15111113 - 26 Oct 2025
Viewed by 784
Abstract
The Zhunuo porphyry Cu deposit (2.9 Mt Cu @ 0.48%) in the Gangdese belt, southern Xizang, represents a key Miocene post-collisional system. This study integrates textural, major-, and trace-element analyses of pyrite from distinct alteration zones to unravel its hydrothermal evolution and metal [...] Read more.
The Zhunuo porphyry Cu deposit (2.9 Mt Cu @ 0.48%) in the Gangdese belt, southern Xizang, represents a key Miocene post-collisional system. This study integrates textural, major-, and trace-element analyses of pyrite from distinct alteration zones to unravel its hydrothermal evolution and metal precipitation mechanisms. Our study identifies four distinct pyrite types (Py1-Py4) that record sequential hydrothermal stages: main-stage Py2-Py3 formed at 354 ± 48 to 372 ± 43 °C (based on Se thermometry), corresponding to A and B vein formation, respectively, and late-stage Py4 crystallized at 231 ± 30 °C, coinciding with D-vein development. LA-ICP-MS data revealed pyrite contains diverse trace elements with concentrations mostly below 1000 ppm, showing distinct distribution patterns among different pyrite types (Py1-Py4). Elemental correlations revealed coupled behaviors (e.g., Au-As, Zn-Cd positive correlations; Mo-Sc negative correlation). Tellurium variability (7–82 ppm) records dynamic fO2 fluctuations during system cooling. A comparative analysis of pyrite from the regional deposits (Xiongcun, Tiegelongnan, Bada, and Xiquheqiao) highlighted discriminative geochemical signatures: Zhunuo pyrite was enriched in Co-Bi-Ag-Pb (galena inclusions); Tiegelongnan exhibited the highest Cu but low Au-As; Xiquheqiao had the highest Au-As coupling; and Bada showed epithermal-type As enrichment. Partial Least Squares Discriminant Analysis (PLS-DA) identified Cu, As, and Bi as key discriminators for deposit types (VIP > 0.8), with post-collisional systems (Zhunuo and Xiquheqiao) showing intermediate Cu-Bi and elevated As versus arc-related deposits. This study establishes pyrite trace-element proxies (e.g., Se/Te, Co/Ni, and As-Bi-Pb) for reconstructing hydrothermal fluid evolution and proposes mineral-chemical indicators (Cu-As-Bi) to distinguish porphyry-epithermal systems in the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau. The results underscore pyrite’s utility in decoding metallogenic processes and exploration targeting in collisional settings. Full article
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17 pages, 13385 KB  
Article
Femtosecond Laser Ablation of Copper-Hydroxyphosphate-Modified CFRP
by Denys Baklan, Oleksiy Myronyuk, Anna Bilousova, Paulius Šlevas, Justinas Minkevičius, Orestas Ulčinas, Sergej Orlov and Egidijus Vanagas
Materials 2025, 18(21), 4879; https://doi.org/10.3390/ma18214879 - 24 Oct 2025
Viewed by 629
Abstract
Carbon-fiber-reinforced plastic (CFRP) machining by ultrashort-pulse lasers promises high precision but is limited due to the heterogeneous epoxy–carbon fiber structure, which creates heat-affected zones and variable kerf quality. This work investigates synthesized copper hydroxyphosphate as a laser-absorbing additive to improve femtosecond (1030 nm) [...] Read more.
Carbon-fiber-reinforced plastic (CFRP) machining by ultrashort-pulse lasers promises high precision but is limited due to the heterogeneous epoxy–carbon fiber structure, which creates heat-affected zones and variable kerf quality. This work investigates synthesized copper hydroxyphosphate as a laser-absorbing additive to improve femtosecond (1030 nm) laser ablation of CFRP. Copper hydroxyphosphate particles were synthesized hydrothermally and incorporated into an epoxy matrix to produce single-ply CFRP laminates. Square patterns (0.5 × 0.5 mm) were ablated with a pulse energy of 0.5–16 μJ. Then, ablated volumes were profiled and materials characterized by SEM and EDS. In neat epoxy the copper additive reduced optimum ablation efficiency and decreased penetration depth, while producing smoother, less porous surfaces. In contrast, CFRP with copper hydroxyphosphate showed increased efficiency and higher penetration depth. SEM and EDS analyses indicate more uniform matrix removal and retention of resin residues on fibers. These results suggest that copper hydroxyphosphate acts as a local energy absorber that trades volumetric removal for improved surface quality in epoxy and enhances uniformity and process stability in CFRP femtosecond laser machining. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Advanced Composites)
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32 pages, 9494 KB  
Article
Mineral Prospectivity Maps for Critical Metals in the Clean Energy Transition: Examples for Hydrothermal Copper and Nickel Systems in the Carajás Province
by Luiz Fernandes Dutra, Lena Virgínia Soares Monteiro, Marco Antonio Couto and Cleyton de Carvalho Carneiro
Minerals 2025, 15(10), 1086; https://doi.org/10.3390/min15101086 - 18 Oct 2025
Viewed by 1280
Abstract
Machine learning algorithms are essential tools for developing Mineral Prospectivity Models (MPMs), enabling a data-driven approach to mineral exploration. This study integrated airborne geophysical, topographic, and geological data with a mineral system framework to build MPMs for iron oxide–copper–gold (IOCG) and hydrothermal nickel [...] Read more.
Machine learning algorithms are essential tools for developing Mineral Prospectivity Models (MPMs), enabling a data-driven approach to mineral exploration. This study integrated airborne geophysical, topographic, and geological data with a mineral system framework to build MPMs for iron oxide–copper–gold (IOCG) and hydrothermal nickel deposits in the Southern Copper Belt of the Carajás Province, Brazil. Seven machine learning algorithms were tested using stratified 10-fold cross-validation: Logistic Regression, k-Nearest Neighbors, AdaBoost, Support Vector Machine (SVM), Random Forest, XGBoost, and Multilayer Perceptron. SVM delivered the highest classification accuracy and robustness, highlighting new mineralized zones while minimizing false positives and negatives, and accounting for geological complexity. SHapley Additive ExPlanations (SHAP) analysis revealed that structural controls (e.g., faults, shear zones, and geochronological contacts) exert a stronger influence on mineralization patterns than lithological factors. The resulting prospectivity maps identified geologically distinct zones of IOCG and hydrothermal nickel mineralization, with high-probability closely aligned with major structural corridors oriented E–W, NE–SW, and NW–SE. Results also suggest an indirect association with volcanic units, Orosirian A1-type granites and Neoarchean A2-type granites. Full article
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17 pages, 4241 KB  
Article
Spatiotemporal Dynamics of Forest Fire Risk in Southeastern China Under Climate Change: Hydrothermal Drivers and Future Projections
by Dapeng Gong and Min Jing
Atmosphere 2025, 16(10), 1189; https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos16101189 - 15 Oct 2025
Viewed by 755
Abstract
Forest fire regimes are undergoing systematic reorganization under climate change, particularly in monsoon–human coupled ecosystems such as Southeastern China, where risk dynamics remain poorly quantified. This study proposes a meteorology-driven machine learning model designed to assess long-term forest fire risk. Using kernel density [...] Read more.
Forest fire regimes are undergoing systematic reorganization under climate change, particularly in monsoon–human coupled ecosystems such as Southeastern China, where risk dynamics remain poorly quantified. This study proposes a meteorology-driven machine learning model designed to assess long-term forest fire risk. Using kernel density estimation and standard deviational ellipse analysis, we assessed the spatiotemporal patterns of fire risk during the observational period and their future shifts across the SSP1-2.6 and SSP5-8.5 scenarios. The results indicate a significant overall decline in fire frequency from 2008 to 2024 (−467.3 fires/year, representing an annual average reduction of 10.8%, p < 0.001), which is attributed primarily to enhanced regional fire prevention and control measures, yet with a notable reversal after 2016 in Guangdong and Fujian. Fires are highly seasonal, with 74% occurring in the dry season (December–March). The meteorologically driven random forest model exhibited excellent performance (R2 = 0.889), validating meteorological conditions as key drivers of regional fire dynamics. It is projected that intensified warming (+5.5 °C under SSP5-8.5) and increased precipitation variability (+23%) are likely to drive pronounced northward and inland migration in high-risk zones. Our projections indicate that by the end of the century, high-risk area coverage could expand to 19.2%, with a shift from diffuse to clustered patterns, particularly in Jiangsu and Zhejiang. These findings underscore the critical role of hydrothermal reconfiguration in reshaping fire risk geography and highlight the need for dynamic, region-specific fire management strategies in response to compound climate risks. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Climatology)
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22 pages, 7292 KB  
Article
Revealing Nonlinear Relationships and Thresholds of Human Activities and Climate Change on Ecosystem Services in Anhui Province Based on the XGBoost–SHAP Model
by Lei Zhang, Xinmu Zhang, Shengwei Gao and Xinchen Gu
Sustainability 2025, 17(19), 8728; https://doi.org/10.3390/su17198728 - 28 Sep 2025
Cited by 4 | Viewed by 1224
Abstract
Under the combined influence of global climate change and intensified human activities, ecosystem services (ESs) are undergoing substantial transformations. Identifying their nonlinear driving mechanisms is crucial for promoting regional sustainable development. Taking Anhui Province as a case study, this research evaluates the spatial [...] Read more.
Under the combined influence of global climate change and intensified human activities, ecosystem services (ESs) are undergoing substantial transformations. Identifying their nonlinear driving mechanisms is crucial for promoting regional sustainable development. Taking Anhui Province as a case study, this research evaluates the spatial patterns and temporal dynamics of six key ecosystem services from 2000 to 2020—namely, biodiversity maintenance (BM), carbon fixation (CF), crop production (CP), net primary productivity (NPP), soil retention (SR), and water yield (WY). The InVEST and CASA models were employed to quantify service values, and the XGBoost–SHAP framework was used to reveal the nonlinear response paths and threshold effects of dominant drivers. Results show a distinct “high in the south, low in the north” spatial gradient of ES across Anhui. Regulatory services such as BM, NPP, and WY are concentrated in the southern mountainous areas (high-value zones > 0.7), while CP is prominent in the northern and central agricultural zones (>0.8), indicating a clear spatial complementarity of service types. Over the two-decade period, areas with significant increases in NPP and CP accounted for 50% and 64%, respectively, suggesting notable achievements in ecological restoration and agricultural modernization. CF remained stable across 98.3% of the region, while SR and WY exhibited strong sensitivity to topography and precipitation. Temporal trend analysis indicated that NPP rose from 395.83 in 2000 to 537.59 in 2020; SR increased from 150.02 to 243.28; and CP rose from 203.18 to 283.78, reflecting an overall enhancement in ecosystem productivity and regulatory functions. Driver analysis identified precipitation (PRE) as the most influential factor for most services, while elevation (DEM) was particularly important for CF and NPP. Temperature (TEM) and potential evapotranspiration (PET) affected biomass formation and hydrothermal balance. SHAP analysis revealed key threshold effects, such as the peak positive contribution of PRE to NPP occurring near 1247 mm, and the optimal temperature for BM at approximately 15.5 °C. The human footprint index (HFI) exerted negative impacts on both BM and NPP, highlighting the suppressive effect of intensive anthropogenic disturbances on ecosystem functioning. Anhui’s ES exhibit a trend of multifunctional synergy, governed by the nonlinear coupling of climatic, hydrological, topographic, and anthropogenic drivers. This study provides both a modeling toolkit and quantitative evidence to support ecosystem restoration and service optimization in similar transitional regions. Full article
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30 pages, 9020 KB  
Article
Performance of Fault-Controlled Hydrothermal System: Insights from Multi-Field Coupled Rock Mechanics Analysis
by Bo Cheng, Xiaofei Gong, Qiang Li, Yong Liu and Jinghong Yan
Appl. Sci. 2025, 15(18), 10064; https://doi.org/10.3390/app151810064 - 15 Sep 2025
Viewed by 678
Abstract
As is typical of deep rock engineering, fault-controlled hydrothermal systems (FHS) have emerged as a highly promising solution for geothermal energy exploitation. The stability and thermal recovery performance of such systems are critical to their long-term efficiency and viability. In this study, we [...] Read more.
As is typical of deep rock engineering, fault-controlled hydrothermal systems (FHS) have emerged as a highly promising solution for geothermal energy exploitation. The stability and thermal recovery performance of such systems are critical to their long-term efficiency and viability. In this study, we establish a coupled Thermo-Hydro-Mechanical (THM) model to investigate the mechanical response and thermal output of an FHS. The stability of the system is evaluated based on the evolution of the failure zone within the fault. Key findings include the following: (1) The pore pressure distribution between injection and production wells leads to an elliptical failure pattern in the fault, caused by the constraint exerted by the negative pore pressure zone around the production well on the positive pressure zone around the injection well along the well connectivity direction; (2) Reducing the injection flow rate by 50% can result in a 76% decrease in the thermal recovery efficiency. Meanwhile, reducing the number of reinjection sub-wells from seven to three can lead to a 95% reduction in the failure volume; and (3) Larger fault thickness diminishes both failure volume and thermal performance; specifically, increasing the fault thickness from 5 m to 30 m can result in an 89% reduction in the failure volume. The fault damage zone volume exhibits a sharp decrease as permeability rises from 2 × 10−12 m2 to 8 × 10−12 m2. This study provides scientific insights and practical guidelines for the design and stability assessment of FHS-based geothermal systems. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Advances and Technologies in Rock Mechanics and Rock Engineering)
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19 pages, 20899 KB  
Article
Spatiotemporal Dynamics of Roadside Water Accumulation and Its Hydrothermal Impacts on Permafrost Stability: Integrating UAV and GPR
by Minghao Liu, Bingyan Li, Yanhu Mu, Jing Luo, Fei Yin and Fan Yu
Remote Sens. 2025, 17(17), 3110; https://doi.org/10.3390/rs17173110 - 6 Sep 2025
Viewed by 1205
Abstract
The Gonghe–Yushu Expressway (GYE) traverses the degrading permafrost region of the Qinghai–Xizang Plateau, where climate warming has resulted in widespread water ponding, posing significant engineering challenges. However, the spatiotemporal dynamics of this water accumulation and its impacts on permafrost embankment stability remain inadequately [...] Read more.
The Gonghe–Yushu Expressway (GYE) traverses the degrading permafrost region of the Qinghai–Xizang Plateau, where climate warming has resulted in widespread water ponding, posing significant engineering challenges. However, the spatiotemporal dynamics of this water accumulation and its impacts on permafrost embankment stability remain inadequately understood. This study integrates high-resolution unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) remote sensing with ground-penetrating radar (GPR) to characterize the spatial patterns of water ponding and to quantify the spatial distribution, seasonal dynamics, and hydrothermal effects of roadside water on permafrost sections of the GYE. UAV-derived point cloud models, optical 3D models, and thermal infrared imagery reveal that approximately one-third of the 228 km study section of GYE exhibits water accumulation, predominantly occurring near the embankment toe in flat terrain or poorly drained areas. Seasonal monitoring showed a nearly 90% reduction in waterlogged areas from summer to winter, closely corresponding to climatic variations. Statistical analysis demonstrated significantly higher embankment distress rates in waterlogged areas (14.3%) compared to non-waterlogged areas (5.7%), indicating a strong correlation between surface water and accelerated permafrost degradation. Thermal analysis confirmed that waterlogged zones act as persistent heat sources, intensifying permafrost thaw and consequent embankment instability. GPR surveys identified notable subsurface disturbances beneath waterlogged sections, including a significant lowering of the permafrost table under the embankment and evidence of soil loosening due to hydrothermal erosion. These findings provide valuable insights into the spatiotemporal evolution of water accumulation along transportation corridors and inform the development of climate-adaptive strategies to mitigate water-induced risks in degrading permafrost regions. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Remote Sensing of Water Dynamics in Permafrost Regions)
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Article
Application of Multispectral Data in Detecting Porphyry Copper Deposits: The Case of Aidarly Deposit, Eastern Kazakhstan
by Elmira Serikbayeva, Kuanysh Togizov, Dinara Talgarbayeva, Elmira Orynbassarova, Nurmakhambet Sydyk and Aigerim Bermukhanova
Minerals 2025, 15(9), 938; https://doi.org/10.3390/min15090938 - 3 Sep 2025
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Abstract
The Koldar Massif in southeastern Kazakhstan is a geologically complex area with potential for porphyry copper and rare-metal mineralization. This study applies a multi-scale remote sensing approach to delineate hydrothermal alteration zones using medium-resolution ASTER imagery and very high-resolution WorldView-3 data. Image processing [...] Read more.
The Koldar Massif in southeastern Kazakhstan is a geologically complex area with potential for porphyry copper and rare-metal mineralization. This study applies a multi-scale remote sensing approach to delineate hydrothermal alteration zones using medium-resolution ASTER imagery and very high-resolution WorldView-3 data. Image processing techniques—including false color composites (FCCs), band ratios (BRs), and the Spectral Angle Mapper (SAM)—were employed across the VNIR and SWIR bands to detect alteration minerals such as kaolinite, illite, montmorillonite, chlorite, epidote, calcite, quartz, and muscovite. These minerals correspond to argillic, propylitic, and phyllic alteration zones. While ASTER supported regional-scale mapping, WorldView-3 enabled detailed analysis at the Aidarly deposit. Validation was performed using copper occurrences, lithogeochemical anomaly contours, and ore body boundaries. The results show a strong spatial correlation between the mapped alteration zones and known mineralization patterns. Importantly, this study reports the identification of a previously undocumented hydrothermal zone north of the Aidarly deposit, detected using WorldView-3 data. This zone exhibits concentric phyllic and argillic alterations, similar to those at Aidarly, and may represent an extension of the mineralized system. Unlike earlier studies on the Aktogay deposit based on ASTER and Landsat-8, this work focuses on the Aidarly deposit and introduces higher-resolution analysis and SAM-based classification, offering improved spatial accuracy and target delineation. The proposed methodology provides a reproducible and scalable workflow for early-stage mineral exploration in underexplored regions, especially where field access is limited. These results highlight the value of high-resolution remote sensing in detecting concealed porphyry copper systems in structurally complex terrains. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Mineral Exploration Methods and Applications)
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