Search Results (561)

In 1961, Los Angeles experienced the disastrous Bel Air fire, which swept through an affluent neighborhood situated in a hilly, WUI (wildland–urban interface) location. In January 2025, the city was devastated again by a nearly-simultaneous series of wildfires, the most severe of which took place close to the 1961 fire location. Disastrous WUI fires are, unfortunately, an anticipatable occurrence in many U.S. cities. A number of issues identified earlier remained the same. Some were largely solved, while other new ones have emerged. The paper examines the Palisades Fire of January, 2025 in this context. In the intervening decades, the population of the city grew substantially. But firefighting resources did not keep pace. Very likely, the single-most-important factor in causing the 2025 disasters is that the Los Angeles Fire Department operational vehicle count shrank to 1/5 of what it was in 1961 (per capita). This is likely why critical delays were experienced in the initial attack on the Palisades Fire, leading to a runaway conflagration. Two other crucial issues were the management of vegetation and the adequacy of water supplies. On both these issues, the Palisades Fire revealed serious problems. A problem which arose after 1961 involves the unintended consequences of environmental legislation. Communities will continue to be devastated by wildfires unless adequate vegetation management is accomplished. Yet, environmental regulations are focused on maintaining the status quo, often making vegetation management difficult or ineffective. House survival during a wildfire is strongly affected by whether good vegetation management practices and good building practices (“ignition-resistant” construction features) have been implemented. The latter have not been mandatory for housing built prior to 2008, and the vast majority of houses in the area predated such building code requirements. California has also suffered from a highly counterproductive stance on insurance regulation. This has resulted in some residents not having property insurance, due to the inhospitable operating conditions for insurance firms in the state. Because of the historical precedent, the details in this paper focus on the Palisades Fire; however, many of the lessons learned apply to managing fires in all WUI areas. Policy recommendations are offered, which could help to reduce the potential for future conflagrations. Full article

The paper provides an analysis of the causes of accidents in oil and gas pipeline systems. As part of a comprehensive overview of the topic, it also presents the historical development of pipeline systems, from the first commercial oil pipelines in the United States to modern infrastructure projects, with a particular focus on the role of regulatory requirements and measures (prevention, detection, and mitigation) to improve transport efficiency and pipeline safety. The research uses historical accident data from various databases to identify the main causes of accidents and analyse trends. The focus is on factors such as corrosion, third-party interference, and natural disasters that can lead to accidents. A comparison of the various accident databases shows that there are different practises and approaches to operation and reporting. As each database differs in terms of inclusion criteria, the categories are divided into five main groups to allow systematic interpretation of the data and cross-comparison of accident causes. Regional differences in the causes of accidents involving oil and gas pipelines in Europe, the USA, and Canada are visible. However, an integrated analysis shows that the number of accidents is declining in almost all categories. The majority of all recorded accidents are in the “Human factors and Operational disruption” and “Corrosion and Material damage” groups. It is recommended to use the database as required, as each category has its own specifics. Full article

On 20 April 2024, an extreme rainfall event occurred in Jiangwan Town Shaoguan City, Guangdong Province, China, where a historic 24 h precipitation of 206 mm was recorded. This triggered extensive landslides that destroyed residential buildings, severed roads, and drew significant societal attention. Rapid acquisition of landslide inventories, distribution patterns, and key controlling factors is critical for post-disaster emergency response and reconstruction. Based on high-resolution Planet satellite imagery, landslide areas in Jiangwan Town were automatically extracted using the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) differential method, and a detailed landslide inventory was compiled. Combined with terrain, rainfall, and geological environmental factors, the spatial distribution and causes of landslides were analyzed. Results indicate that the extreme rainfall induced 1426 landslides with a total area of 4.56 km², predominantly small-to-medium scale. Landslides exhibited pronounced clustering and linear distribution along river valleys in a NE–SW orientation. Spatial analysis revealed concentrations on slopes between 200–300 m elevation with gradients of 20–30°. Four machine learning models—Logistic Regression, Support Vector Machine (SVM), Random Forest (RF), and Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost)—were employed to assess landslide susceptibility mapping (LSM) accuracy. RF and XGBoost demonstrated superior performance, identifying high-susceptibility zones primarily on valley-side slopes in Jiangwan Town. Shapley Additive Explanations (SHAP) value analysis quantified key drivers, highlighting elevation, rainfall intensity, profile curvature, and topographic wetness index as dominant controlling factors. This study provides an effective methodology and data support for rapid rainfall-induced landslide identification and deep learning-based susceptibility assessment. Full article

In the Chan Buddhism koan (gong’an 公案) tradition, the act of “slaying the snake” functions as a signature gesture imbued with complex, historically layered cultural meanings. Rather than merely examining its motivations, this paper emphasizes tracing the semantic transformations that this motif has undergone across different historical contexts. It argues that “snake-slaying” operated variously as an imperial narrative strategy reinforcing ruling class ideology; as a form of popular resistance by commoners against flood-related disasters; as a dietary practice among aristocrats and literati seeking danyao (elixirs) 丹藥 for reclusion and transcendence; and ultimately, within the Chan tradition, as a method of spiritual cultivation whereby masters sever desires rooted in attachment to both selfhood and the Dharma. More specifically, first, as an imperial narrative logic, snake-slaying embodied exemplary power: both Liu Bang 劉邦 and Guizong 歸宗 enacted this discursive strategy, with Guizong’s legitimacy in slaying the snake deriving from the precedent set by Liu Bang. Second, as a folk strategy of demystification, snake-slaying acquired a moral aura—since the snake was perceived as malevolent force, their slaying appeared righteous and heroic. Finally, as a mode of self-cultivation among the aristocracy, snake-slaying laid the groundwork for its later internalization. In Daoism, slaying the snake was a means of cultivating the body; in Chan Buddhism, the act is elevated to a higher plane—becoming a way of cultivating the mind. This transformation unfolded naturally, as if predestined. In all cases, the internalization of the snake-slaying motif was not an overnight development: the cultural genes that preceded its appearance in the Chan tradition provided the fertile ground for its karmic maturation and discursive proliferation. Full article

Loess deposits in China, covering extensive regions, exhibit distinctive physical and mechanical characteristics, including collapsibility and reduced mechanical strength. These properties contribute to heightened susceptibility to slope-related geological hazards, such as landslides and collapses, in these areas. The widespread distribution and challenging prevention of these geological disasters have emerged as significant impediments to both public safety and economic development in China. Moreover, geological disaster data originates from diverse sources and exists in substantial fragmented, decentralized, and unstructured formats, including textual records and graphical representations. These datasets exhibit complex structures and heterogeneous formats yet suffer from inadequate organization and storage due to the absence of unified descriptive standards. The lack of systematic categorization and standardized representation significantly hinders effective data integration and knowledge extraction across different sources. To address these challenges, this study proposes a novel loess slope stability assessment method employing a dendrogram neural network (GNN-TreeNet) integrated with knowledge graph technology. The methodology progresses through three phases: (1) construction of a multi-domain knowledge graph integrating a large number of loess slopes with historical disaster records, instability factor relationships, and empirical parameter correlations; (2) generation of expressive node embeddings capturing inherent connections via graph neural networks; (3) development and training of the GNN-TreeNet architecture that leverages the graph’s enhanced representation capacity for stability evaluation. This structured framework enables cross-disciplinary data synthesis and interpretable slope stability analysis through a systematic integration of geological, geographical, and empirical knowledge components. Full article

The hydrological response of a watershed is strongly influenced by the spatiotemporal dynamics of rainfall. Rainfall events of similar magnitude can produce markedly different flood processes due to variations in the spatiotemporal patterns of rainfall, posing significant challenges for flood forecasting under complex rainfall scenarios. Traditional methods typically rely on high-resolution or synthetic rainfall data to characterize the scale, direction and velocity of rainstorms, in order to analyze their impact on the flood process. These studies have shown that storms traveling along the main river channel tend to exert the greatest impact on flood processes. Therefore, tracking the movement of the rainfall center along the flow direction, especially when only rain gauge data are available, can reduce model complexity while maintaining forecast accuracy and improving model applicability. This study proposes a machine learning-based time-variable instantaneous unit hydrograph that integrates rainfall spatiotemporal dynamics using quantitative spatial indicators. To overcome limitations of traditional variable unit hydrograph methods, a pre-training and fine-tuning strategy is employed to link the unit hydrograph S-curve with rainfall spatial distribution. First, synthetic pre-training data were used to enable the machine learning model to learn the shape of the S-curve and its general pattern of variation with rainfall spatial distribution. Then, real flood data were employed to learn the actual runoff routing characteristics of the study area. The improved model allows the unit hydrograph to adapt dynamically to rainfall evolution during the flood event, effectively capturing hydrological responses under varying spatiotemporal patterns. The case study shows that the improved model exhibits superior performance across all runoff routing metrics under spatiotemporal rainfall variability. The improved model increased the simulation qualified rate for historical flood events, with significant rainfall center movement during the event from 63% to 90%. This study deepens the understanding of how rainfall dynamics influence watershed response and enhances hourly-scale flood forecasting, providing support for disaster early warning with strong theoretical and practical significance. Full article

This review paper presents a comprehensive overview of DNA preservation in hard tissues (bones and teeth) for applications in forensic and archaeogenetic analyses. It presents bone structure, DNA location in bones and teeth, and extensive information about postmortem DNA location and preservation. Aged bones are a challenging biological material for DNA isolation due to their low DNA content, degraded DNA, and the potential presence of PCR inhibitors. In addition, the binding of DNA to the mineral matrix necessitates the inclusion of a demineralization process in extraction, and its contribution to the resulting increase in both DNA quality and quantity is explained. Guidelines and recommendations on bone sample selection to obtain higher DNA yields are discussed in terms of past, recent, and possible future recommendations. Interskeletal and intraskeletal differences in DNA yield are also explained. Recent studies have shown that current recommendations for the genetic identification of skeletal remains, including femurs, tibias, and teeth, may not be the most effective sampling approach. Moreover, when mass disasters and mass graves with commingled skeletal remains are considered, there is a greater possibility that the recommended set of skeletal elements will not be available for sampling and subsequent genetic testing. This review highlights interskeletal and intraskeletal variability in DNA yield, with a focus on studies conducted on poorly preserved skeletal remains, including both postwar (1945) victims from Slovenia and ancient human skeletons. Special emphasis is placed on anatomical differences and potential mechanisms influencing DNA preservation, as demonstrated in research on both modern and historical skeletons. Finally, the petrous part of the temporal bone and tooth cementum were reviewed in greater detail because they have been recognized as an optimal sampling type in both ancient DNA studies and routine forensic case analyses. Our experiences with the Second World War and archaeological petrous bones are discussed and compared to those of other bone types. Full article

Historical districts are the mark of the continuity of urban history and are non-renewable. Typhoon disasters rank among the most serious and frequent natural threats to China’s coastal regions. Improving the wind resilience of China’s coastal historical districts is of great significance for their protection and inheritance. Accurately analyzing the different characteristics of the influencing factors of wind resilience in China’s coastal historical districts can provide a theoretical basis for alleviating the damage caused by typhoons and formulating disaster prevention measures. This paper accurately identifies the main influencing factors of wind resilience in China’s coastal historical districts and constructs an influencing factor system from four aspects: block level, building level, typhoon characteristics, and emergency management. An IIM model for the systematic analysis of influencing factors of wind resilience in China’s coastal historical districts based on the Improved Decision Making Trial and Evaluation Laboratory (IDEMATEL), Interpretive Structural Modeling (ISM), and Matrices Impacts Croises-Multiplication Appliance Classement (MICMAC) methods is established. This allows us to explore the mechanism of action of internal influencing factors of typhoon disasters and construct an influencing factor system, in order to propose prevention measures from the perspective of typhoon disaster characteristics and the overall perspective of China’s coastal historical districts. The results show that the driving force of a building’s windproof design in China’s coastal historical districts is low, but its dependence is strong; the driving forces of block morphology, typhoon level, and emergency plan are strong, but their dependence is low. A building’s windproof design is a direct influencing factor of the wind resilience of China’s coastal historical districts; block morphology, typhoon level, and emergency plan are the most fundamental and key influencing factors of the wind resilience of China’s coastal historical districts. Full article

In both scientific and industrial fields, there has been a notable increase in attention toward High-Altitude Pseudo-Satellites (HAPSs) in recent years. This surge is driven by their distinct advantages over traditional satellites and Remotely Piloted Aircraft Systems (RPASs). These benefits are particularly evident in critical areas such as intelligent transportation systems, surveillance, remote sensing, traffic and environmental monitoring, emergency communications, disaster relief efforts, and the facilitation of large-scale temporary events. This review provides an overview of key aspects related to the propellers and propulsion systems of HAPSs. To date, propellers remain the most efficient means of propulsion for high-altitude applications. However, due to the unique operational conditions at stratospheric altitudes, propeller design necessitates specific approaches that differ from those applied in conventional applications. After a brief overview of the propulsion systems proposed in the literature or employed by HAPSs, focusing on both the technical challenges and advancements in this emerging field, this review integrates theoretical foundations, historical design approaches, and the latest multi-fidelity optimization techniques to provide a comprehensive comparison of propeller design methods for HAPSs. It identifies key trends, including the growing use of CFD-based simulations methodologies, which contribute to notable performance improvements. Additionally, the review includes a critical assessment of experimental methods for performance evaluation. These developments have enabled the design of propellers with efficiencies exceeding 85%, offering valuable insights for the next generation of high-endurance, high-altitude platforms. Full article

Typo-morphology, as interpreted by the Italian School of Planning, provides an approach to investigate the relationship between built form and socio-cultural patterns in vernacular settlements. This study examines Harran, a heritage site in southeastern Türkiye known for its distinctive conic domed dwellings, to explore how typo-morphological analysis can inform culturally sensitive design and adaptive reuse approaches. Despite its historical significance and inclusion in the UNESCO tentative list, Harran faces insufficient documentation, fragmented governance, limited conservation, and increasing pressure from urbanization and natural disasters. Using multiple sources and fieldwork, the research reconstructs the morphological evolution of Harran through diachronic maps across compound, district, and town scales. Reflections from Alberobello, Italy, i.e., the sister city of Harran and a UNESCO-listed town with a similarly unique vernacular fabric, provide a comparative view to explore different heritage management approaches. Harran evolved through informal, culture-driven growth, whereas Alberobello followed a regulated path. While Alberobello benefits from planned development and institutional preservation, Harran faces partial abandonment and neglect. By positioning typo-morphology as a conceptual planning tool, this paper emphasizes the need for context-responsive, ethically grounded, and inclusive approaches to heritage planning and conservation. It argues for planning practices that are not only technically competent but also attuned to place-based knowledge, local identities, and the long-term sustainability of living heritage. Full article

Understanding and mapping forest fire vulnerability is essential for informed landscape management and disaster risk reduction, especially in the context of increasing anthropogenic and climatic pressures. This study aims to model and spatially predict forest fire vulnerability across Romania using two machine learning algorithms: MaxEnt and XGBoost. We integrated forest fire occurrence data from 2006 to 2024 with a suite of climatic, topographic, ecological, and anthropogenic predictors at a 250 m spatial resolution. MaxEnt, based on presence-only data, achieved moderate predictive performance (AUC = 0.758), while XGBoost, trained on presence–absence data, delivered higher classification accuracy (AUC = 0.988). Both models revealed that the impact of environmental variables on forest fire occurrence is complex and heterogeneous, with the most influential predictors being the Fire Weather Index, forest fuel type, elevation, and distance to human proximity features. The resulting vulnerability and uncertainty maps revealed hotspots in Sub-Carpathian and lowland regions, especially in Mehedinți, Gorj, Dolj, and Olt counties. These patterns reflect historical fire data and highlight the role of transitional agro-forested landscapes. This study delivers a replicable, data-driven approach to wildfire risk modelling, supporting proactive management and emphasising the importance of integrating vulnerability assessments into planning and climate adaptation strategies. Full article

Landslides are among the most destructive natural hazards in the Western Ghats region of Kerala, driven by complex interactions between geological, hydrological, and anthropogenic factors. This study aims to generate a high-resolution Landslide Susceptibility Level Map (LSLM) using a machine learning (ML)-based Random Forest (RF) model integrated with Geographic Information Systems (GIS). A total of 231 historical landslide locations obtained from the Bhukosh portal were used as reference data. Eight predictive factors—Stream Order, Drainage Density, Slope, Aspect, Geology, Land Use/Land Cover (LULC), Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI), and Moisture Stress Index (MSI)—were derived from remote sensing and ancillary datasets, preprocessed, and reclassified for model input. The RF model was trained and validated using a 50:50 split of landslide and non-landslide points, with variable importance values derived to weight each predictive factor of the raster layer in ArcGIS. The resulting Landslide Susceptibility Index (LSI) was reclassified into five susceptibility zones: Very Low, Low, Moderate, High, and Very High. Results indicate that approximately 17.82% of the study area falls under high to very high susceptibility, predominantly in the steep, weathered, and high rainfall zones of the Western Ghats. Validation using Area Under the Curve–Receiver Operating Characteristic (AUC-ROC) analysis yielded an accuracy of 0.890, demonstrating excellent model performance. The output LSM provides valuable spatial insights for planners, disaster managers, and policymakers, enabling targeted mitigation strategies and sustainable land-use planning in landslide-prone regions. Full article

This study investigates the challenges and opportunities of balancing cultural preservation, tourism investment, and community resilience in historic Syrian cities during the post-war recovery period. The Syrian conflict has imposed considerable harm upon the nation’s cultural heritage, encompassing UNESCO World Heritage sites, thereby interrupting not only the urban infrastructure but also local economies and social networks. Utilizing a comprehensive methodology that includes a literature review, stakeholder interviews, and local surveys, this research investigates the potential for aligning cultural preservation with tourism investment to promote sustainable economic revitalization while simultaneously enhancing social cohesion and community resilience. The results underscore the significance of inclusive governance, participatory planning, and capacity enhancement to guarantee that post-conflict urban redevelopment fosters enduring environmental, social, and cultural sustainability. By framing the Syrian case within the broader context of global urban sustainability and resilience discourse, the study offers valuable insights for policymakers, urban planners, and heritage managers working in post-conflict or post-disaster environments worldwide. In the end, the study highlights that the revitalization of historic cities transcends being a simple technical or economic endeavor; it is a complex process of re-establishing identity, strengthening communities, and fostering sustainable, resilient urban futures. Full article

Hurricanes can cause massive power outages and pose significant disruptions to society. Accurately monitoring hurricane power outages will improve predictive models and guide disaster emergency management. However, many challenges exist in obtaining high-quality data on hurricane power outages. We systematically evaluated machine learning (ML) approaches to reconstruct historical hurricane power outages based on high-resolution (1 km) satellite night light observations from the Defense Meteorological Satellite Program (DMSP) and other ancillary information. We found that the two-step hybrid model significantly improved model prediction performance by capturing a substantial portion of the uncertainty in the zero-inflated data. In general, the classification and regression tree-based machine learning models (XGBoost and random forest) demonstrated better performance than the logistic and CNN models in both binary classification and regression models. For example, the xgb+xgb model has 14% less RMSE than the log+cnn model, and the R-squared value is 25 times larger. The Interpretable ML (SHAP value) identified geographic locations, population, and stable and hurricane night light values as important variables in the XGBoost power outage model. These variables also exhibit meaningful physical relationships with power outages. Our study lays the groundwork for monitoring power outages caused by natural disasters using satellite data and machine learning (ML) approaches. Future work should aim to improve the accuracy of power outage estimations and incorporate more hurricanes from the recently available Visible Infrared Imaging Radiometer Suite (VIIRS) Day/Night Band (DNB) data. Full article

Flood susceptibility modeling (FSM) plays a key role in advancing proactive disaster risk reduction and spatial planning. This research developed FSM for the Buzău River catchment in Romania—a region historically vulnerable to recurrent flood events—using four state-of-the-art ensemble boosting algorithms: AdaBoost, CatBoost, LightGBM, and XGBoost. Initially, a comprehensive set of 13 flood conditioning factors was assessed, which was subsequently narrowed down to 9 essential factors through multi-tier feature selection strategies. Analysis of performance via receiver operating characteristic (ROC) andprecision–recall curves showed only marginal differences between the models; however, CatBoost excelled with an area under the ROC curve (AUC) of 0.972 and an average precision (AP) of 0.971, with XGBoost following closely behind. The SHAP (SHapley Additive exPlanations) analysis of the CatBoost model indicated that the Slope, Distance from Rivers, Topographic Wetness Index (TWI), and Land Use/Land Cover (LULC) are the key contributing factors. The novelty of this research is found in its comparative analysis of AdaBoost alongside three gradient boosting algorithms—CatBoost, LightGBM, and XGBoost—while utilizing explainable artificial intelligence (XAI) and a multi-tier feature selection strategy to create FSM that are precise and comprehensible. These strategies deliver robust tools for managing flood risks and reinforce the viability of data-driven modeling in the various catchments of Europe. Full article