Search Results (276)

The present study explores the application of RNNs for the prediction and propagation of flood waves along a section of the Bârsa River, Romania, as a fast alternative to classical hydraulic models, aiming to identify new ways to alert the population. Five neural architectures were analyzed as follows: S-RNN, LSTM, GRU, Bi-LSTM, and Bi-GRU. The input data for the neural networks were derived from 2D hydraulic simulations conducted using HEC-RAS software, which provided the necessary training data for the models. It should be mentioned that the input data for the hydraulic model are synthetic hydrographs, derived from the statistical processing of recorded floods. Performance evaluation was based on standard metrics such as NSE, $R^2$ MSE, and RMSE. The results indicate that all studied networks performed well, with NSE and $R^2$ values close to 1, thus validating their capacity to reproduce complex hydrological dynamics. Overall, all models yielded satisfactory results, making them useful tools particularly the GRU and Bi-GRU architectures, which showed the most balanced behavior, delivering low errors and high stability in predicting peak discharge, water level, and flood wave volume. The GRU and Bi-GRU networks yielded the best performance, with RMSE values below 1.45, MAE under 0.3, and volume errors typically under 3%. On the other hand, LSTM architecture exhibited the most significant instability and errors, especially in estimating the flood wave volume, often having errors exceeding 9% in some sections. The study concludes by identifying several limitations, including the heavy reliance on synthetic data and its local applicability, while also proposing solutions for future analyses, such as the integration of real-world data and the expansion of the methodology to diverse river basins thus providing greater significance to RNN models. The final conclusions highlight that RNNs are powerful tools in flood risk management, contributing to the development of fast and efficient early warning systems for extreme hydrological and meteorological events. Full article

Floods stand as one of the most harmful natural disasters, which have become more dangerous because of climate change effects on urban structures and agricultural fields. This research presents a comprehensive flood mapping approach that combines multi-sensor satellite data with a machine learning method to evaluate the July 2021 flood in the Netherlands. The research developed 25 different feature scenarios through the combination of Sentinel-1, Landsat-8, and Radarsat-2 imagery data by using backscattering coefficients together with optical Normalized Difference Water Index (NDWI) and Hue, Saturation, and Value (HSV) images and Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR)-derived Grey Level Co-occurrence Matrix (GLCM) texture features. The Random Forest (RF) classifier was optimized before its application based on two different flood-prone regions, which included Zutphen’s urban area and Heijen’s agricultural land. Results demonstrated that the multi-sensor fusion scenarios (S18, S20, and S25) achieved the highest classification performance, with overall accuracy reaching 96.4% (Kappa = 0.906–0.949) in Zutphen and 87.5% (Kappa = 0.754–0.833) in Heijen. For the flood class F1 scores of all scenarios, they varied from 0.742 to 0.969 in Zutphen and from 0.626 to 0.969 in Heijen. Eventually, the addition of SAR texture metrics enhanced flood boundary identification throughout both urban and agricultural settings. Radarsat-2 provided limited benefits to the overall results, since Sentinel-1 and Landsat-8 data proved more effective despite being freely available. This study demonstrates that using SAR and optical features together with texture information creates a powerful and expandable flood mapping system, and RF classification performs well in diverse landscape settings. Full article

Artificial neural networks (ANNs) adjust to the underlying behavior in the dataset using a training rule or optimizer. The most popular first-and second-order optimizers, Adam (AD) and Levenberg–Marquardt (LM), were compared with the aim of predicting extreme flash floods of a runoff-dominated hydrological system. A fully connected multilayer perceptron with a shallow structure was used to reduce complexity and limit overfitting. The inputs of the ANN were determined by rainfall–water level cross-correlation analysis. For each optimizer, the hyperparameters of the ANN were selected using a grid search and the cross-validation score on a novel criterion (PERS PEAK) mixing the persistency (PERS) and the quality of flood-peak restitution (PEAK). For an extreme and unseen event used as a test set, LM outperformed AD by 25% on all performance criteria. The peak water level of this event, 66% greater than that of the training set, was predicted by 92% after more training iterations were done by the LM optimizer. This shows that the ANN can predict beyond the ranges of the training set, given the right optimizer. Nevertheless, the LM training time was up to five times longer than that of AD during grid search. Full article

This paper presents a Systematic Mapping Study (SMS) on data-driven approaches in flood forecasting from 2019 to 2024, a period marked by transformative developments in Deep Learning (DL) technologies. Analysing 363 selected studies, this paper provides an overview of the technological evolution in this field, methodological approaches, evaluation practices and geographical distribution of studies. The study revealed that meteorological and hydrological factors constitute approximately 76% of input variables, with rainfall/precipitation and water level measurements forming the core predictive basis. Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks emerged as the dominant algorithm (21% of implementations), whilst hybrid and ensemble approaches showed the most dramatic growth (from 2% in 2019 to 10% in 2024). The study also revealed a threefold increase in publications during this period, with significant geographical concentration in East and Southeast Asia (56% of studies), particularly China (36%). Several research gaps were identified, including limited exploration of graph-based approaches for modelling spatial relationships, underutilisation of transfer learning for data-scarce regions, and insufficient uncertainty quantification. This SMS provides researchers and practitioners with actionable insights into current trends, methodological practices, and future directions in data-driven flood forecasting, thereby advancing this critical field for disaster management. Full article

Dams play a vital role in securing water and electricity supplies for households and industry, and they contribute significantly to flood protection. Regular monitoring of dam deformations holds fundamental socio-economic and ecological importance. Traditionally, this has relied on time-consuming in situ techniques that offer either high spatial or temporal resolution. Persistent Scatterer Interferometry (PSI) addresses these limitations, enabling high-resolution monitoring in both domains. Sensors such as TerraSAR-X (TSX) and Sentinel-1 (S-1) have proven effective for deformation analysis with millimeter accuracy. Combining TSX and S-1 datasets enhances monitoring capabilities by leveraging the high spatial resolution of TSX with the broad coverage of S-1. This improves monitoring by increasing PS point density, reducing revisit intervals, and facilitating the detection of environmental deformation drivers. This study aims to investigate two objectives: first, we evaluate the benefits of a spatially and temporally densified PS time series derived from TSX and S-1 data for detecting radial deformations in individual dam segments. To support this, we developed the TSX2StaMPS toolbox, integrated into the updated snap2stamps workflow for generating single-master interferogram stacks using TSX data. Second, we identify deformation drivers using water level and temperature as exogenous variables. The five-year study period (2017–2022) was conducted on a gravity dam in North Rhine-Westphalia, Germany, which was divided into logically connected segments. The results were compared to in situ data obtained from pendulum measurements. Linear models demonstrated a fair agreement between the combined time series and the pendulum data ($R^2$ = 0.5; MAE = 2.3 mm). Temperature was identified as the primary long-term driver of periodic deformations of the gravity dam. Following the filling of the reservoir, the variance in the PS data increased from 0.9 mm to 3.9 mm in RMSE, suggesting that water level changes are more responsible for short-term variations in the SAR signal. Upon full impoundment, the mean deformation amplitude decreased by approximately 1.7 mm toward the downstream side of the dam, which was attributed to the higher water pressure. The last five meters of water level rise resulted in higher feature importance due to interaction effects with temperature. The study concludes that integrating multiple PS datasets for dam monitoring is beneficial particularly for dams where few PS points can be identified using one sensor or where pendulum systems are not installed. Identifying the drivers of deformation is feasible and can be incorporated into existing monitoring frameworks. Full article

Water insecurity, intensified by climate change, presents a significant challenge globally, especially in arid and semi-arid regions of Africa. In northern Ghana, where agriculture heavily depends on seasonal rainfall, prolonged dry seasons exacerbate water and food insecurity. Despite efforts to improve water access, there is limited understanding of how climate change preparedness affects water insecurity risk in rural contexts. This study investigates the relationship between climate preparedness and water insecurity in semi-arid northwestern Ghana. Grounded in the Sustainable Livelihoods Framework, data was collected through a cross-sectional survey of 517 smallholder households. Nested ordered logistic regression was used to analyze how preparedness measures and related socio-environmental factors influence severe water insecurity. The findings reveal that higher levels of climate change preparedness significantly reduce water insecurity risk at individual [odds ratio (OR) = 0.35, p < 0.001], household (OR = 0.037, p < 0.001), and community (OR = 0.103, p < 0.01) levels. In contrast, longer round-trip water-fetching times (OR = 1.036, p < 0.001), water-fetching injuries (OR = 1.054, p < 0.01), reliance on water borrowing (OR = 1.310, p < 0.01), untreated water use (OR = 2.919, p < 0.001), and exposure to climatic stressors like droughts (OR = 1.086, p < 0.001) and floods (OR = 1.196, p < 0.01) significantly increase insecurity. Community interventions, such as early warning systems (OR = 0.218, p < 0.001) and access to climate knowledge (OR = 0.228, p < 0.001), and long-term residency further reduce water insecurity risk. These results underscore the importance of integrating climate preparedness into rural water management strategies to enhance resilience in climate-vulnerable regions. Full article

As sea levels rise and extreme weather events become more frequent due to climate change, coastal urban areas are increasingly vulnerable to wave overtopping and flooding. Retrofitting existing vertical seawalls with retreated storm walls represents a key adaptive strategy, especially in the Mediterranean, where steep foreshores and limited public space constrain conventional coastal defenses. This study investigates the effectiveness of storm walls in reducing wave overtopping on vertical walls with steep foreshores (1:7 to 1:10) through high-fidelity numerical simulations using the SWASH model. A comprehensive parametric study, involving 450 test cases, was conducted using Latin Hypercube Sampling to explore the influence of geometric and hydrodynamic variables on overtopping rate. Model validation against Eurotop/CLASH physical data demonstrated strong agreement (r = 0.96), confirming the reliability of SWASH for such applications. Key findings indicate that longer promenades (Gc) and reduced impulsiveness of the wave conditions reduce overtopping. A new empirical reduction factor, calibrated for integration into the Eurotop overtopping equation for plain vertical walls, is proposed based on dimensionless promenade width and water depth. The modified empirical model shows strong predictive performance (r = 0.94) against SWASH-calculated overtopping rates. This work highlights the practical value of integrating storm walls into urban seawall design and offers engineers a validated tool for enhancing coastal resilience. Future research should extend the framework to other superstructure adaptations, such as parapets or stilling basins, to further improve flood protection in the face of climate change. Full article

Mining activities in Pakistan’s mineral-rich provinces threaten freshwater security through groundwater depletion, contamination, and flood-induced pollution. This study develops an Inclusive Disaster Risk Reduction (IDRR) framework integrating governance, social, environmental, and technical (GSET) dimensions to holistically assess mining-induced water hazards across Balochistan, Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, and Punjab. Using GIS-based spatial risk mapping with multi-layer hydrological modeling, we combine computational analysis and participatory validation to identify vulnerability hotspots and prioritize high-risk mines. Community workshops involving women water collectors, indigenous leaders, and local experts enhanced map accuracy by translating indigenous knowledge into spatially referenced mitigation plans and integrating gender-sensitive metrics to address gendered water access disparities. Key findings reveal severe groundwater depletion, acid mine drainage, and gendered burdens near Saindak and Cherat mines. Multi-sectoral engagements secured corporate commitments for water stewardship and policy advances in inclusive governance. The framework employs four priority-ranked risk categories (Governance-Economic 15%, Social-Community 30%, Environmental 40%, Technical-Geological 15%) derived via local stakeholder collaboration, enabling context-specific interventions. Despite data limitations, the GIS-driven methodology provides a scalable model for regions facing socio-environmental vulnerabilities. The results demonstrate how community participation directly shaped village-level water management alongside GSET analysis to craft equitable risk reduction strategies. Spatially explicit risk maps guided infrastructure upgrades and zoning regulations, advancing SDG 6 and 13 progress in Pakistan. This work underscores the value of inclusive, weighted frameworks for sustainable mining–water nexus management in Pakistan and analogous contexts. Full article

In this study, we selected a series of pothole wetlands to investigate their nucleation, evolution, and recent anthropogenic degradation in the Alcores Depression (AD), southern Iberian Peninsula, where over 100 closed watersheds containing shallow, ephemeral water bodies up to 2 hm² have been identified. We surveyed the regional geological framework, utilized digital elevation models (DEMs), orthophotos, and aerial images since 1956. Moreover, we analyzed precipitation and temperature data in Seville from 1900 to 2024, collected hydrometeorological data since 1990 and modelled the water level evolution from 2002 to 2025 in a representative pothole in the area. Our observations indicate a flooded surface reduction by more than 90% from the 1950s to 2025. Climatic data reveal an increase in annual mean temperatures since 1960 and a sharp decline in annual precipitation since 2000. The AD’s inception due to tectonic isolation during the Quaternary favoured the formation of pothole wetlands in the floodplain. The reduction in the hydroperiod and wetland degradation was primarily due to agricultural expansion since 1950, which followed an increase in groundwater extraction and altered the original topography. Recently, decreased precipitation has exponentially accelerated the degradation and even the complete disappearance of many potholes. This study underscores the fragility of small wetlands in the Mediterranean basin and the critical role of human management in their preservation. Restoring these ecosystems could be a highly effective nature-based solution, especially in semi-arid climates like southern Spain. These prairie potholes are crucial for enhancing groundwater recharge, which is vital for maintaining water availability in regions with limited precipitation. By facilitating rainwater infiltration into the aquifer, recharge potholes increase groundwater levels. Additionally, they capture and store run-off during heavy rainfall, reducing the risk of flooding and soil erosion. Beyond their hydrological functions, these wetlands provide habitats that support biodiversity and promote ecological resilience, reinforcing the need for their protection and recovery. Full article

This research investigates the challenges and opportunities of flood-prone buyback land in the context of intensifying climate change and urban intensification, taking the suburbs of Brisbane City in Australia as a case study. While the floodable land buyback strategy has gained global interest, there has been limited focus on the future of this acquired land in cities. Approaching the design of flood-prone buyback land requires an understanding of the impacts and the specific manifestations of buyback land while embracing the increasing presence of water in these areas. Buyback land represents spaces to rethink the design of cities, going beyond flood resilience and addressing other climate change-related urban challenges. By combining adaptation and regenerative measures, design disciplines can contribute to generating site-specific buyback land strategies, establishing a stronger connection between these newly acquired lands, hydrological systems, urban intensification, and ecological balance to address the current and future needs of the city. The methodology involves a design-led investigation, combining analytical and speculative–exploratory methods, grounded on a site-specific approach, working at multidisciplinary and multi-scalar levels at city, suburb and site scale. This study identifies five typologies of buyback land: isolated, isolated clusters, block-clusters, park-fronted and water-fronted. Understanding these typologies should shape how we rethink buyback land in the context of climate change and urban intensification. When reconceptualized, the buyback land can redefine the flood-prone cities, by applying strategies that reimagine these areas through local climate adaptation, land repair, regeneration and resource recovery. Current and future buyback land offers opportunities for future design practices and policymakers to rethink the city’s long-term development in a changing climate. Full article

Dam breaks can lead to important economic and human losses. Design floods, which are useful to assess possible dam breaks, are usually estimated through statistical analysis of rainfall and streamflow observed data. However, such available samples are commonly limited and, consequently, high uncertainties are associated with the design flood estimates. In addition, climate change is expected to increase the frequency and magnitude of extreme rainfall and flood events in the future. Therefore, a methodology based on a stochastic rainfall generator is proposed to assess hydrological dam safety by considering climate change. We selected the Eugui Dam on the Arga river in the north of Spain as a case study that has a spillway operated by gates with a maximum capacity of 270 m³/s. The stochastic rainfall generator STORAGE is used to simulate long time series of 15-min precipitation in both current and future climate conditions. Precipitation projections of 12 climate modeling chains, related to the usual three 30-year periods (2011–2024; 2041–2070 and 2071–2100) and two emission scenarios of AR5 (RCP 4.5 and 8.5), are used to consider climate change in the STORAGE model. The simulated precipitation time series are transformed into runoff time series by using the continuous COSMO4SUB hydrological model, supplying continuous 15-min runoff time series as output. Annual maximum flood hydrographs are selected and considered as inflows to the Eugui Reservoir. The Volume Evaluation Method is applied to simulate the operation of the Eugui Dam spillway gates, obtaining maximum water levels in the reservoir and outflow hydrographs. The results show that the peak outflows at the Eugui Dam will be lower in the future. Therefore, maximum reservoir water levels will not increase in the future. The methodology proposed could allow practitioners and dam managers to check the hydrological dam safety requirements, accounting for climate change. Full article

In response to the growing demand for improved operational efficiency in road and bridge networks, constructing parallel bridges in complex river sections has become a crucial strategy. This study focuses on a parallel bridge construction project in the Jinan section of the lower Yellow River, conducting physical model tests to investigate the unique aspects of the impacts of different pier shapes and spans on the flow characteristics of sediment-laden rivers under real-world engineering scenarios. The experimental results demonstrate that the hydraulic physical model of this river section that was constructed is reliable, with a relative error of <20% in sediment deposition, in the simulation of sediment erosion and deposition, flow velocity patterns, water levels, and riverbed morphological changes during parallel bridge construction in bridge-clustered river sections. The newly constructed bridges have a limited influence on the overall regime of this river section, with their impacts on both banks remaining within controllable limits, and the river flow remains largely stable. In areas with denser pier arrangements, the phenomenon of backwater upstream of the bridges is more pronounced, and under characteristic flood conditions, the newly built bridges amplify the water level differences between the upstream and downstream sections near the bridge sites. The ranges of influence of the water level drop downstream of the bridges increase, particularly in the main flow areas. Flow velocities generally increase in the main channel, while significant fluctuations are observed in the floodplain areas. Flood process experiments reveal that the slope at the junction between the main channel and the floodplain becomes gentler, with noticeable scouring occurring in the main channel. After flood events, the river tends to evolve toward a U-shaped channel, posing certain safety risks to the piers located at the junction of the floodplains and the main channel. This research methodology can serve as a reference for studying flow characteristics in similar parallel bridge construction projects in river sections, and the findings hold significant implications for practical engineering. Full article

Flood risk to rice production has previously been examined in terms of river basins or administrative units, incorporating data about the flood year, inundated area, precipitation, elevation, and impacts. However, there is limited knowledge about this topic, as most flood impact studies have focused on loss and damage to people and the economy. It remains important to identify how flood risk to rice production can be better identified within a long-term, community-based, analytical framework. In addition, flood risk studies in Sri Lanka tend to focus on single-year flood events within an administrative boundary, making it difficult to fully comprehend risks to rice production. This paper aims to fill these gaps by investigating long-term flood risk levels on rice production. With this aim, we collected and analyzed information about rice production, geospatial data, and 15-year precipitation records. Temporal-spatial maps were generated using Google Earth Engine JavaScript coding, Google Earth Pro, and OpenStreetMap. In addition, focus group discussions with farmers and key informant interviews were conducted to verify the accuracy of online information. The collected data were analyzed using descriptive statistics, GIS, and linear regression analysis methods. Regarding rice production impacts, we found that floods in the years 2006–2007, 2010–2011, and 2014–2015 had significant impacts on rice production with 20.5%, 75.8%, and 16.6% reductions, respectively. Flood risk maps identified low-, medium-, and high-risk areas based on 15-year flood events, elevation, proximity to water bodies, and 15-year flood-induced damage to rice fields. High risk areas were further studied through field discussions and interviews, showing the connection between past floods and poor water governance practices in terms of dam management. Our linear regression analysis found a marginal negative correlation between total seasonal rainfall and rice production. Full article

Flood events have become more frequent as a result of seasonal changes, global warming, and changes in sea level. In terms of basin management, it is necessary to know the hydrodynamics of the basin in order to produce faster solutions in emergency action plans. The Filyos River is one of the two most important floodplains in the western Black Sea basin and has so far only been analyzed to a limited extent using modern hydrological and hydraulic models. In order to analyze the flood dynamics and determine the flood risks in the Filyos River. In this context, flood hydrographs, rainfall depths, peak flows, and excess water volumes were calculated for different return periods (2, 5, 10, 20, 50, and 100 years) using HEC-RAS, HEC-HMS, and Hyfran Plus software. The analyses showed that the rainfall depth and peak flow rate increased significantly as the return period increased. It was also observed that although the volume of precipitation increased, the amount of water converted into surface runoff remained limited due to infiltration and other losses. The results of the study contribute to the identification of high flood-risk areas in the Filyos River basin, the improvement of flood prevention infrastructure, and the development of sustainable water management policies. Analyses using modeling tools such as HEC-RAS and HEC-HMS provide a scientific basis to help local governments and decision makers strengthen flood prevention strategies, update risk maps, and make emergency response plans more effective while making flood scenarios more reliable. Full article

Surface water systems face unprecedented stress due to climate variability, urbanization, land-use change, and growing water demand—prompting a shift from traditional hydrological modeling to intelligent, adaptive systems. This review critically explores the integration of Artificial Intelligence (AI) in surface flow management, encompassing applications in streamflow forecasting, sediment transport, flood prediction, water quality monitoring, and infrastructure operations such as dam and irrigation control. Drawing from over two decades of interdisciplinary literature, this study synthesizes recent advances in machine learning (ML), deep learning (DL), the Internet of Things (IoT), remote sensing, and hybrid AI–physics models. Unlike earlier reviews focusing on single aspects, this paper presents a systems-level perspective that links AI technologies to their operational, ethical, and governance dimensions. It highlights key AI techniques—including Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs), Graph Neural Networks (GNNs), Transformer models, and Reinforcement Learning—and discusses their strengths, limitations, and implementation challenges, particularly in data-scarce and climate-uncertain regions. Novel insights are provided on Explainable AI (XAI), algorithmic bias, cybersecurity risks, and institutional readiness, positioning this paper as a roadmap for equitable and resilient AI adoption. By combining methodological analysis, conceptual frameworks, and future directions, this review offers a comprehensive guide for researchers, engineers, and policy-makers navigating the next generation of intelligent surface flow management. Full article