Search Results (555)

The present study presents long-term monitoring data on the dynamics of bedload transport processes in alpine gravel-bed river systems in Austria (Urslau, Strobler-Weißenbach) using radio frequency identification (RFID) technology. The detection of embedded RFID tracers was facilitated by the use of stationary antennas. This methodology enabled the acquisition of high-resolution data on particle transport velocities, transport distances, and sediment dynamics. Monitoring has been in operation permanently over a period of 8 years, including several intense flood events. In total, 1612 RFID-tagged stones were deployed, and the maximum measured particle velocity was 2.47 m s⁻¹. The measurements at the Urslau stream revealed seasonal variability and long-term trends, while targeted short-term measurements at the Strobler-Weißenbach stream provided valuable insights into the dynamics of flood events. The results underscore the significance of environmental factors, including the grain size, river gradient, and hydraulic parameters, in the dynamics of bedload transport in alpine gravel bed streams. Furthermore, the efficiency of stationary antennas was optimised to ensure uninterrupted monitoring. This study underscores the importance of contemporary monitoring technologies in analysing river processes and addressing challenges, including those brought about by climate change. Full article

Intensity–Duration–Frequency (IDF) curves are essential tools in the design of stormwater management systems and are often used over long periods without frequent updates. However, the continuous collection of rainfall data and the expansion of monitoring networks call for regular revisions of these curves. In Romania, current engineering and hydrological practices still rely on regionalized IDF graphs developed in 1973. Given the ongoing effects of climate change—particularly the increased frequency and, more significantly, intensity of extreme rainfall events—updating these curves has become critical. Incorporating recent observations is essential not only for methodological accuracy but also to support climate-resilient infrastructure design. This study employs updated IDF curves provided by the National Administration of Meteorology, based on 30 years of precipitation records from 68 meteorological stations across Romania. The main objective is to evaluate alternative regionalization approaches—including clustering methods, geographic proximity analysis, and hourly precipitation isolines for a 1:10 Annual Exceedance Frequency—to develop a new regionalization model and the corresponding nationwide IDF relationships. A comparative analysis using raster-based regional rainfall datasets from both the 1973 and 2025 regionalizations revealed significant changes in precipitation patterns. Short-duration rainfall events (5, 10, and 30 min) have increased in intensity across most regions, while long-duration events (3, 6, 12, and 24 h) have generally decreased in magnitude in several areas. These findings highlight a growing trend toward more intense short-term convective storms, underlining the urgent need for improved flash flood prevention and urban stormwater management strategies. Full article

Understanding extreme precipitation (EP) evolution is crucial for global climate adaptation and hazardous disasters prevention. However, spatial non-stationarity of urbanization relationships with EP variations has been rarely discussed in a complex topographic context. Taking the city Liuzhou in China as the example, this study separately quantified the evolution of EP intensity, magnitude, duration, and frequency on different temporal scales with Innovative Trend Analysis (ITA). Based on a finer spatial (5 km grid) scale and multiple temporal (daily, daytime, nighttime, and 14 h) scale analyses, it innovatively identified spatially varying urbanization effects on EP with more details in different elevations. Our results indicate that: (1) from 2009 to 2023, EP events became more intense, persistent, and frequent, particularly for higher-grade EPs and in the steeper north of Liuzhou; (2) despite the globally negative correlations, spatial correlations between comprehensive urbanization (CUB) and each EP index on individual temporal scales were still explicitly categorized into four types using LISA maps—high-high, high-low, low-low, and low-high; (3) Geographically Weighted Regression (GWR) was demonstrated to precisely explain the response of most EP characteristics to multiple manifestation of urbanization with respect to population (POP), economy (GDP), and urban area (URP) expansion (adjusted R²: 0.5–0.8). The predictive accuracy of GWR on urbanization and EPs was spatially non-stationary and variable with temporal scales. The local influential strength and direction varied significantly with elevations. The most significant and positive influences of three urbanization predictors on EPs occurred at different elevation grades, respectively. Compared with POP and GDP, urban area percent (URP) was indicated to positively relate to EP changes in more areas of Liuzhou. The spatial and quantitative relationships between urbanization and EPs can help to guide effective urban planning and location-specific management of flood risks. Full article

Intensity–Frequency–Duration Curves (IDF curves) are a tool applied in hydraulic and hydrology engineering to design infrastructure for rainfall management. They express how precipitation, with a defined duration (D) and intensity (I), is frequent in a certain area. They are built from past recorded rainfall series, applying the extreme value statistics, and they are considered invariant in time. However, the current climate change projections are showing a detectable positive trend in temperatures, which, according to Clausius–Clapeyron, is expected to intensify extreme precipitation (higher temperatures bring more water vapour available for precipitation). According to the IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change) reports, rainfall events are projected to intensify their magnitude and frequency, becoming more extreme, especially across “climatic hot-spot” areas such as the Mediterranean basin. Therefore, a sensible modification of IDF curves is expected, posing some challenges for future hydraulic infrastructure design (i.e., sewage networks), which may experience damage and failure due to extreme intensification. In this paper, a methodology for reconstructing IDF curves by analysing the EURO-CORDEX climate model outputs is presented. The methodology consists of the analysis of climatic rainfall series (that cover a future period up to 2100) using GEV (Generalised Extreme Value) techniques. The future anomalies of rainfall height (H) and their return period (RP) have been evaluated and then compared to the currently adopted IDF curves. The study is applied in Lombardy (Italy), a region characterised by strong orographic precipitation gradients due to the influence of Alpine complex orography. The future anomalies of H evaluated in the study show an increase of 20–30 mm (2071–2100 ensemble median, RCP 8.5) in rainfall depth. Conversely, a significant reduction in the return period by 40–60% (i.e., the current 100-year event becomes a ≈40–60-year event by 2071–2100 under RCP 8.5) is reported, leading to an intensification of extreme events. The former have been considered to correct the currently adopted IDF curves, taking into account climate change drivers. A series of applications in the field of hydraulic infrastructure (a stormwater retention tank and a sewage pipe) have demonstrated how the influence of IDF curve modification may change their design. The latter have shown how future RP modification (i.e., reduction) of the design rainfall may lead to systematic under-design and increased flood risk if not addressed properly. Full article

Dry climate regions face heightened risks of flooding and infrastructure damage even with minimal rainfall. Climate change is intensifying this vulnerability by increasing the duration, frequency, and intensity of precipitation events in areas that have historically experienced arid conditions. As a result, accurate precipitation estimation in these regions is critical for effective planning, risk mitigation, and infrastructure resilience. This study evaluates the performance of five satellite- and model-based precipitation products by comparing them against in situ rain gauge observations in a dry-climate region: The fifth generation European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts Reanalysis (ERA5) (analyzing maximum and minimum precipitation rates separately), the Modern-Era Retrospective analysis for Research and Applications version 2 (MERRA2), the Western Land Data Assimilation System (WLDAS), and the Integrated Multi-satellite Retrievals for Global Precipitation Measurement (IMERG). The analysis focuses on both average daily rainfall and extreme precipitation events, with particular attention to precipitation magnitude and the accuracy of event detection, using a combination of statistical metrics—including bias ratio, mean error, and correlation coefficient—as well as contingency statistics such as probability of detection, false alarm rate, missed precipitation fraction, and false precipitation fraction. The study area is Palm Desert, a mountainous, arid, and urban region in Southern California, which exemplifies the challenges faced by dry regions under changing climate conditions. Among the products assessed, WLDAS ranked highest in measuring total precipitation and extreme rainfall amounts but performed the worst in detecting the occurrence of both average and extreme rainfall events. In contrast, IMERG and ERA5-MIN demonstrated the strongest ability to detect the timing of precipitation, though they were less accurate in estimating the magnitude of rainfall per event. Overall, this study provides valuable insights into the reliability and limitations of different precipitation estimation products in dry regions, where even small amounts of rainfall can have disproportionately large impacts on infrastructure and public safety. Full article

With global climate changing, numerous cities have a rise in the frequency of heavy rainfall events. Concurrently, the rapid urbanization is increasing the impermeable surfaces, heightening the vulnerability to cope with flooding of urban stormwater drainage systems. This work compared the different retention strategies to mitigate flooding risks by simulating various scenarios using StormDesk 2.0. Additionally, it conducts multi-objective optimization of retention volume reduction, overflow volume reduction, and cost constraints through NSGA-II to obtain adaptation schemes across diverse scenarios. The findings demonstrate that, compared with the maximum area and overflow reduction ratio schemes, the drainage capacity can increase 15% under the adaptation scheme. Furthermore, the investment of the adaptation scheme is the most economical, at 10.59% of the maximum area scheme, and the overflow reduction surpasses that of the maximum area scheme by 45.8%. The most economical unit control cost in the adaptation scheme was USD 64.2/m³, while the full cost reached USD 277,337.9, highlighting its superior cost-benefit. The above results can provide a paradigmatic reference for enhancing stormwater drainage capacity in urban built-up areas. Full article

Flooding is one of Africa’s most impactful natural disasters, significantly affecting human lives, infrastructure, and economies. This study examines the spatial and temporal distribution of historical flood events across the continent from 1927 to 2020, with a focus on fatalities, affected populations, and economic damage. Data from the Emergency Events Database (EM-DAT), the fifth generation of bias-corrected European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts Reanalysis (ERA5), and the Climate Hazards Group InfraRed Precipitation with Stations (CHIRPS) observational datasets were used to calculate extreme precipitation indices—Consecutive Wet Days (CWD), annual precipitation on very wet days (R95PTOT), and Annual Maximum Precipitation (AMP). Spatial analysis tools and the Mann–Kendall test were used to assess trends in flood occurrences, while Pearson correlation analysis identified key meteorological drivers across 16 African capital cities for 1981–2019. A flood frequency analysis was conducted using Weibull, Gamma, Lognormal, Gumbel, and Logistic probability distribution models to compute flood return periods for up to 100 years. Results reveal a significant upward trend with a slope above 0.50 floods per year in flood frequency and impact over the period, particularly in regions such as West Africa (Nigeria, Ghana), East Africa (Ethiopia, Kenya, Tanzania), North Africa (Algeria, Morocco), Central Africa (Angola, Democratic Republic of Congo), and Southern Africa (Mozambique, Malawi, South Africa). Positive trends (at 99% significance level with slopes ranging between 0.50 and 0.60 floods per year) were observed in flood-related fatalities, affected populations, and economic damage across Regional Economic Communities (RECs), individual countries, and cities of Africa. The CWD, R95PTOT, and AMP indices emerged as reliable predictors of flood events, while non-stationary return periods exhibited low uncertainties for events within 20 years. These findings underscore the urgency of implementing robust flood disaster management strategies, enhancing flood forecasting systems, and designing resilient infrastructure to mitigate growing flood risks in Africa’s rapidly changing climate. Full article

River flood management is a complex, multidimensional challenge that requires the integration of technical, social, and regulatory perspectives, among others. This study examines the main challenges in achieving sustainable river flood management and provides a comprehensive framework for addressing them. It explores approaches to mitigate the increasing frequency and severity of river floods, which are worsened by urban expansion and climate change. This study distinguishes river floods from other types, highlighting their specific characteristics and impacts. It presents a timeline of flood management, from traditional levee construction to modern integration in water resources management. Three critical perspectives are included: the Social Component, which stresses the importance of community engagement, equitable risk distribution, and cultural considerations; the Technical Component, which evaluates current technologies such as predictive hydrological models, green infrastructure, and early warning systems; and the Regulatory Component, which reviews existing policies and legal frameworks, noting gaps in international cooperation and enforcement. The paper emphasizes the need for interdisciplinary collaboration and robust governance. By addressing these core challenges, it offers insights for policymakers, engineers, and stakeholders seeking to mitigate flood risks in a rapidly changing world. Full article

Climate change increases the intensity and frequency of extreme rainfall. Heavy rain is one of the main input sources for the complex water resources system in the watershed. Understanding its regional spatial correlation is of vital importance for promoting sustainable disaster management in the watershed. The Qiantang River Basin is a significant ecological and economic area in the Yangtze River Delta, yet systematic research on its multi-regional rainstorm-dependent structure remains insufficient. In this study, hourly rainfall data of the basin from 1950 to 2024 were used to construct marginal functions by using the peaks-over-threshold and the generalized Pareto distribution, and a mixed Copula model was established to describe the dependence structure of multi-regional extreme rainfall events. The model has been tested by RMSE and Cramér–von Mises statistics and shows reliable performance. The study reveals that the basin has a “double cluster” spatial pattern: the internal conditions of northern clusters (Hangzhou–Shaoxing) and southern clusters (Jinhua–Lishui–Quzhou) showed a strong dependence. On the contrary, under cluster conditions with low inter-regional dependence, all high-probability combinations occurred within the clusters, not outside them. This finding provides quantitative support for optimizing trans-regional emergency response, improving flood control resilience, and realizing precise allocation of resources, and is of great significance for promoting sustainable watershed governance. Full article

Urban flooding is a major challenge to sustainable development in rapidly urbanizing cities. This study applies an integrated approach that combines Sentinel-1 SAR data, geomorphological analysis, and the DPSIR (Drivers–Pressures–State–Impacts–Responses) framework to assess the relationship between urbanization and flooding in Hanoi during the 2010–2024 period (with Sentinel-1 time-series data for 2015–2024). A time series of Sentinel-1 images (2015–2024) was processed on Google Earth Engine to detect inundation and construct a flood frequency map, which was validated against 148 field survey points (overall accuracy = 87%, Kappa = 0.79). The results show that approximately 80% of newly urbanized areas are situated on geomorphologically sensitive units, including inside- and outside-dike floodplains, fluvio-marine plains, paleochannels, and karst terrains, characterized by low elevation and high flood susceptibility. Meanwhile, about 73% of the total inundated area occurs within newly developed urban zones, primarily in western and southwestern Hanoi, where rapid expansion on flood-prone terrain has intensified hazards. The DPSIR analysis highlights rapid population growth, land use change, and inadequate drainage infrastructure as the main pressures driving both the frequency and extent of flooding. To our knowledge, this is the first study integrating geomorphology, Sentinel-1, and DPSIR for Hanoi, thereby providing robust evidence to support sustainable urban planning and climate-resilient development. Full article

Climate change has increased the frequency and severity of extreme weather events such as wildfires, storms, high winds, and floods. Overhead lines are particularly vulnerable to these hazards, prompting utilities to consider reinforcement solutions through undergrounding overhead lines or structural hardening. However, these mitigation strategies are expensive and should be used selectively, prioritized for areas that are most at risk. This necessitates a framework to concurrently balance cost and resilience. In addition, the adopted reinforcement strategy must consider the consequences of possible outages on communities. This paper presents a multi-objective optimization framework to identify overhead line reinforcement strategies in a distribution system exposed to different hazards. A case study is presented for the city of Greeley, CO, which is prone to both wildfire and flood risks. Undergrounding overhead lines and reinforcing tower structures are considered as possible solutions for wildfire-prone areas and flood-prone areas, respectively. The proposed model is adaptable and can be applied to other hazard types and/or geographic regions. The proposed framework incorporates energy justice by prioritizing vulnerable populations and ensuring equitable distribution of reinforcement benefits. The results indicate that targeted hardening can reduce load shedding, improve outage response, and support equitable resilience planning. Full article

Global warming is recognized as a climate crisis that extends beyond a mere increase in the Earth’s temperature, triggering rapid and widespread climatic changes worldwide. In particular, the frequency and intensity of extreme rainfall events have increased in Korea and the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) region, leading to a significant increase in flood damage. The growing number of large-scale hydrological disasters underscores the urgent need for accurate and rapid flood-forecasting systems that can support disaster preparedness and mitigation. Compared with conventional physics-based forecasting systems, artificial intelligence (AI) models can provide faster predictions using limited observational data. In this study, a river water-level prediction model was constructed using real-time observation data and a long short-term memory (LSTM) algorithm, which is a recurrent neural network-based deep learning approach suitable for hydrological time-series forecasting. A repeated k-fold cross-validation technique was applied to enhance model generalization and prevent overfitting. In addition, water-level differencing was employed to convert nonstationary water-level data into stationary time-series inputs, thereby improving the prediction stability. Water-level observation stations in the Philippines, Indonesia, and the Republic of Korea were selected as study sites, and the model performance was evaluated at each location. The differenced LSTM model achieved a root mean square error of 0.13 m, coefficient of determination (R²) of 0.866, Nash–Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE) of 0.844, and Kling–Gupta efficiency of 0.893, thus outperforming the non-differenced baseline by approximately 17%. The repeated k-fold validation approach was particularly effective when the training data period was short or the number of input variables was limited. These results confirm that ensuring temporal stationarity and applying repeated cross-validation can significantly enhance the predictive accuracy of real-time flood forecasting. The proposed framework exhibits strong potential for implementation in regional early warning systems across data-limited flood-prone areas in the ASEAN region. Ongoing studies that apply and verify this approach in diverse hydrological contexts are expected to further improve and expand AI-based flood prediction models. Full article

Enhancing climate resilience is imperative for cities to mitigate the effects of global warming and the rising frequency of extreme weather events. This paper develops an evaluation index system for urban climate resilience in Hebei Province, based on data from 11 cities within the province. It evaluates the levels of climate resilience and identifies their limiting factors using the entropy weight method, an urban climate resilience assessment model, and an obstacle degree model, with a focus on four dimensions: ecological resilience, economic resilience, social resilience, and infrastructure resilience. The results indicate that (1) spatial variations in climate resilience across cities in Hebei Province are minimal, with the majority of cities exhibiting climate resilience levels within the moderate resilience category. (2) The majority of regions display low ecological and infrastructure resilience (0.1–0.3), while economic resilience is distributed across three tiers, with regional variations; social resilience remains moderately resilient (above 0.3). (3) Among the social resilience factors, C₃ and C₈ exhibit the highest obstruction levels, emerging as key barriers. (4) In order to effectively respond to climate change risks and challenges in a scientific manner, differentiated implementation of climate response strategies, the core of which lies in identifying the dominant vulnerability dimensions of different cities and accurately applying policies, such as Shijiazhuang, Baoding, Xingtai, Handan, and other cities with fragile ecological resilience, should comprehensively deepen the construction of sponge cities to alleviate urban flooding and the heat island effect. Full article

Under the dual pressures of global climate change and accelerated urbanization, the impacts of flood disasters on urban systems are becoming increasingly pronounced. Enhancing regional resilience has emerged as a critical factor in achieving sustainable urban development. Compared with existing methods such as CRITIC–Entropy, PCA–AHP, or SWMM-based resilience evaluations, grounded in urban resilience theory, this study takes Fangshan District in Beijing as empirical research to construct a post-flood disaster resilience evaluation index system spanning five dimensions (ecological, social, engineering, economic, and institutional) and leverages the integrated DEMATEL-TOPSIS-AISM model to synergistically identify key drivers, evaluate performance, and uncover internal hierarchies, thereby overcoming the limitations of existing research approaches. The findings indicate that the DEMATEL analysis identified the frequency of heavy rainfall (a12 = 0.889) and the proportion of flood disaster information databases (c51 = 1.153) as key driving factors. The TOPSIS assessment reveals that Fangshan District exhibits the strongest resilience in the economic dimension (Relative Closeness C = 0.21200), while the institutional dimension is the weakest (C = 0.00000), the AISM model constructs a hierarchical topology from a cause–effect priority perspective, elucidating the causal relationships and transmission mechanisms among factors across different dimensions. This study pioneers a novel perspective for urban resilience assessment, thereby establishing a theoretical foundation and practical references for enhancing flood resilience and advancing resilient city development. Full article

Floods are among the most frequent and damaging natural hazards in the Mekong River Basin, where the interplay of monsoon-driven climate variability, complex topography, and rapid socio-economic change creates high exposure and vulnerability. This study presents a comprehensive assessment of flood disaster patterns, loss distribution, and regional disparities across five countries in the Lower Mekong Basin—Cambodia, Laos, Myanmar, Thailand, and Vietnam. Using multivariate spatiotemporal analysis based on EM-DAT, MRC, and national government datasets, the study quantifies flood frequency, casualties, and affected population to reveal cross-country differences in disaster impact and timing. Results show that while Vietnam and Thailand experience high flood frequency and storm-induced events, Laos and Cambodia face riverine flooding under constrained economic and infrastructural conditions. The findings highlight a basin-wide increase in flood frequency over recent decades, driven by climate change, land use transitions, and uneven development. The analysis identifies critical gaps in adaptive governance, particularly the need for dynamic policy frameworks that can adjust to spatial disparities in flood typologies (e.g., Vietnam’s storm floods vs. Cambodia’s riverine floods) and improve transboundary coordination of reservoir operations. Despite the region’s extensive reservoir capacity, most infrastructure prioritizes hydropower over flood mitigation. The study evaluates the role of regional cooperation frameworks such as the Lancang–Mekong Cooperation (LMC), demonstrating how strengthened institutional flexibility and knowledge-sharing mechanisms could enhance progress toward Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) related to water governance (SDG 6), resilient infrastructure (SDG 9), and disaster risk reduction (SDG 11). By constructing the first integrated national-level flood disaster database for the basin and conducting comparative analysis across countries, this research provides empirical evidence to support differentiated yet coordinated flood risk governance strategies at both national and transboundary levels. Full article