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Search Results (534)

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Keywords = electric vehicle penetration

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17 pages, 2085 KiB  
Article
Identification Method of Weak Nodes in Distributed Photovoltaic Distribution Networks for Electric Vehicle Charging Station Planning
by Xiaoxing Lu, Xiaolong Xiao, Jian Liu, Ning Guo, Lu Liang and Jiacheng Li
World Electr. Veh. J. 2025, 16(8), 433; https://doi.org/10.3390/wevj16080433 - 2 Aug 2025
Viewed by 219
Abstract
With the large-scale integration of high-penetration distributed photovoltaic (DPV) into distribution networks, its output volatility and reverse power flow characteristics are prone to causing voltage violations, necessitating the accurate identification of weak nodes to enhance operational reliability. This paper investigates the definition, quantification [...] Read more.
With the large-scale integration of high-penetration distributed photovoltaic (DPV) into distribution networks, its output volatility and reverse power flow characteristics are prone to causing voltage violations, necessitating the accurate identification of weak nodes to enhance operational reliability. This paper investigates the definition, quantification criteria, and multi-indicator comprehensive determination methods for weak nodes in distribution networks. A multi-criteria assessment method integrating voltage deviation rate, sensitivity analysis, and power margin has been proposed. This method quantifies the node disturbance resistance and comprehensively evaluates the vulnerability of voltage stability. Simulation validation based on the IEEE 33-node system demonstrates that the proposed method can effectively identify the distribution patterns of weak nodes under different penetration levels (20~80%) and varying numbers of DPV access points (single-point to multi-point distributed access scenarios). The study reveals the impact of increased penetration and dispersed access locations on the migration characteristics of weak nodes. The research findings provide a theoretical basis for the planning of distribution networks with high-penetration DPV, offering valuable insights for optimizing the siting of volatile loads such as electric vehicle (EV) charging stations while considering both grid safety and the demand for distributed energy accommodation. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Fast-Charging Station for Electric Vehicles: Challenges and Issues)
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23 pages, 2295 KiB  
Article
A Two-Stage Sustainable Optimal Scheduling Strategy for Multi-Contract Collaborative Distributed Resource Aggregators
by Lei Su, Wanli Feng, Cao Kan, Mingjiang Wei, Rui Su, Pan Yu and Ning Zhang
Sustainability 2025, 17(15), 6767; https://doi.org/10.3390/su17156767 - 25 Jul 2025
Viewed by 264
Abstract
To address the challenges posed by the instability of renewable energy output and load fluctuations on grid operations and to support the low-carbon sustainable development of the energy system, this paper integrates artificial intelligence technology to establish an economic stability dispatch framework for [...] Read more.
To address the challenges posed by the instability of renewable energy output and load fluctuations on grid operations and to support the low-carbon sustainable development of the energy system, this paper integrates artificial intelligence technology to establish an economic stability dispatch framework for distributed resource aggregators. A phased multi-contract collaborative scheduling model oriented toward sustainable development is proposed. Through intelligent algorithms, the model dynamically optimises decisions across the day-ahead and intraday phases: During the day-ahead scheduling phase, intelligent algorithms predict load demand and energy output, and combine with elastic performance-based response contracts to construct a user-side electricity consumption behaviour intelligent control model. Under the premise of ensuring user comfort, the model generates a 24 h scheduling plan with the objectives of minimising operational costs and efficiently integrating renewable energy. In the intraday scheduling phase, a rolling optimisation mechanism is used to activate energy storage capacity contracts and dynamic frequency stability contracts in real time based on day-ahead prediction deviations. This efficiently coordinates the intelligent frequency regulation strategies of energy storage devices and electric vehicle aggregators to quickly mitigate power fluctuations and achieve coordinated control of primary and secondary frequency regulation. Case study results indicate that the intelligent optimisation-driven multi-contract scheduling model significantly improves system operational efficiency and stability, reduces system operational costs by 30.49%, and decreases power purchase fluctuations by 12.41%, providing a feasible path for constructing a low-carbon, resilient grid under high renewable energy penetration. Full article
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20 pages, 13715 KiB  
Article
Dynamic Reconfiguration for Energy Management in EV and RES-Based Grids Using IWOA
by Hossein Lotfi, Mohammad Hassan Nikkhah and Mohammad Ebrahim Hajiabadi
World Electr. Veh. J. 2025, 16(8), 412; https://doi.org/10.3390/wevj16080412 - 23 Jul 2025
Viewed by 204
Abstract
Effective energy management is vital for enhancing reliability, reducing operational costs, and supporting the increasing penetration of electric vehicles (EVs) and renewable energy sources (RESs) in distribution networks. This study presents a dynamic reconfiguration strategy for distribution feeders that integrates EV charging stations [...] Read more.
Effective energy management is vital for enhancing reliability, reducing operational costs, and supporting the increasing penetration of electric vehicles (EVs) and renewable energy sources (RESs) in distribution networks. This study presents a dynamic reconfiguration strategy for distribution feeders that integrates EV charging stations (EVCSs), RESs, and capacitors. The goal is to minimize both Energy Not Supplied (ENS) and operational costs, particularly under varying demand conditions caused by EV charging in grid-to-vehicle (G2V) and vehicle-to-grid (V2G) modes. To improve optimization accuracy and avoid local optima, an improved Whale Optimization Algorithm (IWOA) is employed, featuring a mutation mechanism based on Lévy flight. The model also incorporates uncertainties in electricity prices and consumer demand, as well as a demand response (DR) program, to enhance practical applicability. Simulation studies on a 95-bus test system show that the proposed approach reduces ENS by 16% and 20% in the absence and presence of distributed generation (DG) and EVCSs, respectively. Additionally, the operational cost is significantly reduced compared to existing methods. Overall, the proposed framework offers a scalable and intelligent solution for smart grid integration and distribution network modernization. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Power and Energy Systems for E-Mobility, 2nd Edition)
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38 pages, 1945 KiB  
Review
Grid Impacts of Electric Vehicle Charging: A Review of Challenges and Mitigation Strategies
by Asiri Tayri and Xiandong Ma
Energies 2025, 18(14), 3807; https://doi.org/10.3390/en18143807 - 17 Jul 2025
Viewed by 850
Abstract
Electric vehicles (EVs) offer a sustainable solution for reducing carbon emissions in the transportation sector. However, their increasing widespread adoption poses significant challenges for local distribution grids, many of which were not designed to accommodate the heightened and irregular power demands of EV [...] Read more.
Electric vehicles (EVs) offer a sustainable solution for reducing carbon emissions in the transportation sector. However, their increasing widespread adoption poses significant challenges for local distribution grids, many of which were not designed to accommodate the heightened and irregular power demands of EV charging. Components such as transformers and distribution networks may experience overload, voltage imbalances, and congestion—particularly during peak periods. While upgrading grid infrastructure is a potential solution, it is often costly and complex to implement. The unpredictable nature of EV charging behavior further complicates grid operations, as charging demand fluctuates throughout the day. Therefore, efficient integration into the grid—both for charging and potential discharging—is essential. This paper reviews recent studies on the impacts of high EV penetration on distribution grids and explores various strategies to enhance grid performance during peak demand. It also examines promising optimization methods aimed at mitigating negative effects, such as load shifting and smart charging, and compares their effectiveness across different grid parameters. Additionally, the paper discusses key challenges related to impact analysis and proposes approaches to improve them in order to achieve better overall grid performance. Full article
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18 pages, 484 KiB  
Article
Short-Term Forecasting of Total Aggregate Demand in Uncontrolled Residential Charging with Electric Vehicles Using Artificial Neural Networks
by Giovanni Panegossi Formaggio, Mauro de Souza Tonelli-Neto, Danieli Biagi Vilela and Anna Diva Plasencia Lotufo
Inventions 2025, 10(4), 54; https://doi.org/10.3390/inventions10040054 - 8 Jul 2025
Viewed by 247
Abstract
Electric vehicles are gaining attention and being adopted by new users every day. Their widespread use creates a new scenario and challenge for the energy system due to the high energy storage demands they generate. Forecasting these loads using artificial neural networks has [...] Read more.
Electric vehicles are gaining attention and being adopted by new users every day. Their widespread use creates a new scenario and challenge for the energy system due to the high energy storage demands they generate. Forecasting these loads using artificial neural networks has proven to be an efficient way of solving time series problems. This study employs a multilayer perceptron network with backpropagation training and Bayesian regularisation to enhance generalisation and minimise overfitting errors. The research aggregates real consumption data from 200 households and 348 electric vehicles. The developed method was validated using MAPE, which resulted in errors below 6%. Short-term forecasts were made across the four seasons, predicting the total aggregate demand of households and vehicles for the next 24 h. The methodology produced significant and relevant results for this problem using hybrid training, a few-neuron architecture, deep learning, fast convergence, and low computational cost, with potential for real-world application. The results support the electrical power system by optimising these loads, reducing costs and energy generation, and preparing a new scenario for EV penetration rates. Full article
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22 pages, 2137 KiB  
Article
Cars and Greenhouse Gas Goals: A Big Stone in Europe’s Shoes
by Roberto Ivo da Rocha Lima Filho, Thereza Cristina Nogueira de Aquino, Anderson Costa Reis and Bernardo Motta
Energies 2025, 18(13), 3371; https://doi.org/10.3390/en18133371 - 26 Jun 2025
Viewed by 499
Abstract
If new technologies can increase production efficiency and reduce the consumption of natural resources, they can also bring new environmental risks. This dynamic is particularly relevant for the automotive industry, since it is one of the sectors that invests most in R&D, but [...] Read more.
If new technologies can increase production efficiency and reduce the consumption of natural resources, they can also bring new environmental risks. This dynamic is particularly relevant for the automotive industry, since it is one of the sectors that invests most in R&D, but at the same time also contributes a significant portion of greenhouse gas emissions and consumes a large amount of energy. This article aims to analyze the feasibility of meeting the environmental targets in place within 32 European countries in light of the recent technological trajectory of the automotive industry, namely with regard to the adoption of the propulsion model’s alternative to oil and diesel. Using data disaggregated by countries from 2000 up until 2020, in this paper, the estimated regressions aimed to not only verify whether electrical vehicles had a positive impact on CO2 emissions found in the European market, but to also assess whether they will meet the target set for the next 30 years, with attention to the economy recovery after 2025 and a more robust EV market penetration in replacement of traditional fossil fuels cars. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Energy Markets and Energy Economy)
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24 pages, 6043 KiB  
Article
Coordinated Control of Photovoltaic Resources and Electric Vehicles in a Power Distribution System to Balance Technical, Environmental, and Energy Justice Objectives
by Abdulrahman Almazroui and Salman Mohagheghi
Processes 2025, 13(7), 1979; https://doi.org/10.3390/pr13071979 - 23 Jun 2025
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 554
Abstract
Recent advancements in photovoltaic (PV) and battery technologies, combined with improvements in power electronic converters, have accelerated the adoption of rooftop PV systems and electric vehicles (EVs) in distribution networks, while these technologies offer economic and environmental benefits and support the transition to [...] Read more.
Recent advancements in photovoltaic (PV) and battery technologies, combined with improvements in power electronic converters, have accelerated the adoption of rooftop PV systems and electric vehicles (EVs) in distribution networks, while these technologies offer economic and environmental benefits and support the transition to sustainable energy systems, they also introduce operational challenges, including voltage fluctuations, increased system losses, and voltage regulation issues under high penetration levels. Traditional Voltage and Var Control (VVC) strategies, which rely on substation on-load tap changers, voltage regulators, and shunt capacitors, are insufficient to fully manage these challenges. This study proposes a novel Voltage, Var, and Watt Control (VVWC) framework that coordinates the operation of PV and EV resources, conventional devices, and demand responsive loads. A mixed-integer nonlinear multi-objective optimization model is developed, applying a Chebyshev goal programming approach to balance objectives that include minimizing PV curtailment, reducing system losses, flattening voltage profile, and minimizing demand not met. Unserved demand has, in particular, been modeled while incorporating the concepts of distributional and recognition energy justice. The proposed method is validated using a modified version of the IEEE 123-bus test distribution system. The results indicate that the proposed framework allows for high levels of PV and EV integration in the grid, while ensuring that EV demand is met and PV curtailment is negligible. This demonstrates an equitable access to energy, while maximizing renewable energy usage. Full article
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18 pages, 4804 KiB  
Article
Hierarchical Charging Scheduling Strategy for Electric Vehicles Based on NSGA-II
by Yikang Chen, Zhicheng Bao, Yihang Tan, Jiayang Wang, Yang Liu, Haixiang Sang and Xinmei Yuan
Energies 2025, 18(13), 3269; https://doi.org/10.3390/en18133269 - 22 Jun 2025
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 427
Abstract
Electric vehicles (EVs) are gradually gaining high penetration in transportation due to their low carbon emissions and high power conversion efficiency. However, the large-scale charging demand poses significant challenges to grid stability, particularly the risk of transformer overload caused by random charging. It [...] Read more.
Electric vehicles (EVs) are gradually gaining high penetration in transportation due to their low carbon emissions and high power conversion efficiency. However, the large-scale charging demand poses significant challenges to grid stability, particularly the risk of transformer overload caused by random charging. It is necessary that a coordinated charging strategy be carried out to alleviate this challenge. We propose a hierarchical charging scheduling framework to optimize EV charging consisting of demand prediction and hierarchical scheduling. Fuzzy reasoning is introduced to predict EV charging demand, better modeling the relationship between travel distance and charging demand. A hierarchical model was developed based on NSGA-II, where the upper layer generates Pareto-optimal power allocations and then the lower layer dispatches individual vehicles under these allocations. A simulation under this strategy was conducted in a residential scenario. The results revealed that the coordinated strategy reduced the user costs by 21% and the grid load variance by 64% compared with uncoordinated charging. Additionally, the Pareto front could serve as a decision-making tool for balancing user economic interest and grid stability objectives. Full article
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15 pages, 664 KiB  
Article
A Bio-Inspired Optimization Approach for Low-Carbon Dispatch in EV-Integrated Virtual Power Plants
by Renfei Gao, Kunze Song, Bijiang Zhu and Hongbo Zou
Processes 2025, 13(7), 1969; https://doi.org/10.3390/pr13071969 - 21 Jun 2025
Viewed by 399
Abstract
With the increasing penetration of renewable energy and the large-scale integration of electric vehicles (EVs), the economic optimization dispatch of EV-integrated virtual power plants (VPPs) faces multiple uncertainties and challenges. This paper first proposes an optimized dispatching model for EV clusters to form [...] Read more.
With the increasing penetration of renewable energy and the large-scale integration of electric vehicles (EVs), the economic optimization dispatch of EV-integrated virtual power plants (VPPs) faces multiple uncertainties and challenges. This paper first proposes an optimized dispatching model for EV clusters to form large-scale coordinated regulation capabilities. Subsequently, considering diversified resources such as energy storage systems and photovoltaic (PV) generation within VPPs, a low-carbon economic optimization dispatching model is established to minimize the total system operation costs and polluted gas emissions. To address the limitations of traditional algorithms in solving high-dimensional, nonlinear dispatching problems, this paper introduces a plant root-inspired growth optimization algorithm. By simulating the nutrient-adaptive uptake mechanism and branching expansion strategy of plant roots, the algorithm achieves a balance between global optimization and local fine-grained search. Compared with the genetic algorithm, particle swarm optimization algorithm and bat algorithm, simulation results demonstrate that the proposed method can effectively enhance the low-carbon operational economy of VPPs with high PV, ESS, and EV penetration. The research findings provide theoretical support and practical references for optimal dispatch of multi-stakeholder VPPs. Full article
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23 pages, 3864 KiB  
Article
Co-Optimization of Market and Grid Stability in High-Penetration Renewable Distribution Systems with Multi-Agent
by Dongli Jia, Zhaoying Ren and Keyan Liu
Energies 2025, 18(12), 3209; https://doi.org/10.3390/en18123209 - 19 Jun 2025
Viewed by 462
Abstract
The large-scale integration of renewable energy and electric vehicles(EVs) into power distribution systems presents complex operational challenges, particularly in coordinating market mechanisms with grid stability requirements. This study proposes a new dispatching method based on dynamic electricity prices to coordinate the relationship between [...] Read more.
The large-scale integration of renewable energy and electric vehicles(EVs) into power distribution systems presents complex operational challenges, particularly in coordinating market mechanisms with grid stability requirements. This study proposes a new dispatching method based on dynamic electricity prices to coordinate the relationship between the market and the physical characteristics of the power grid. The proposed approach introduces a multi-agent transaction model incorporating voltage regulation metrics and network loss considerations into market bidding mechanisms. For EV integration, a differentiated scheduling strategy categorizes vehicles based on usage patterns and charging elasticity. The methodological innovations primarily include an enhanced scheduling algorithm for coordinated optimization of renewable energy and energy storage, and a dynamic coordinated optimization method for EV clusters. Implemented on a modified IEEE test system, the framework demonstrates improved voltage stability through price-guided energy storage dispatch, with coordinated strategies effectively balancing peak demand management and renewable energy utilization. Case studies verify the system’s capability to align economic incentives with technical objectives, where time-of-use pricing dynamically regulates storage operations to enhance reactive power support during critical periods. This research establishes a theoretical linkage between electricity market dynamics and grid security constraints, providing system operators with a holistic tool for managing high-renewable penetration networks. By bridging market participation with operational resilience, this work contributes actionable insights for developing interoperable electricity market architectures in energy transition scenarios. Full article
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28 pages, 6345 KiB  
Article
Multimodal Switching Control Strategy for Wide Voltage Range Operation of Three-Phase Dual Active Bridge Converters
by Chenhao Zhao, Chuang Huang, Shaoxu Jiang and Rui Wang
Processes 2025, 13(6), 1921; https://doi.org/10.3390/pr13061921 - 17 Jun 2025
Viewed by 322
Abstract
In recent years, to achieve “dual carbon” goals, increasing the penetration of renewable energy has become a critical approach in China’s power sector. Power electronic converters play a key role in integrating renewable energy into the power system. Among them, the Dual Active [...] Read more.
In recent years, to achieve “dual carbon” goals, increasing the penetration of renewable energy has become a critical approach in China’s power sector. Power electronic converters play a key role in integrating renewable energy into the power system. Among them, the Dual Active Bridge (DAB) DC-DC converter has gained widespread attention due to its merits, such as galvanic isolation, bidirectional power transfer, and soft switching. It has been extensively applied in microgrids, distributed generation, and electric vehicles. However, with the large-scale integration of stochastic renewable sources and uncertain loads into the grid, DAB converters are required to operate over a wider voltage regulation range and under more complex operating conditions. Conventional control strategies often fail to meet these demands due to their limited soft-switching range, restricted optimization capability, and slow dynamic response. To address these issues, this paper proposes a multi-mode switching optimized control strategy for the three-port DAB (3p-DAB) converter. The proposed method aims to broaden the soft-switching range and optimize the operation space, enabling high-power transfer capability while reducing switching and conduction losses. First, to address the issue of the narrow soft-switching range at medium and low power levels, a single-cycle interleaved phase-shift control mode is proposed. Under this control, the three-phase Dual Active Bridge can achieve zero-voltage switching and optimize the minimum current stress, thereby improving the operating efficiency of the converter. Then, in the face of the actual demand for wide voltage regulation of the converter, a standardized global unified minimum current stress optimization scheme based on the virtual phase-shift ratio is proposed. This scheme establishes a unified control structure and a standardized control table, reducing the complexity of the control structure design and the gain expression. Finally, both simulation and experimental results validate the effectiveness and superiority of the proposed multi-mode optimized control strategy. Full article
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23 pages, 612 KiB  
Review
A Review of Agent-Based Models for Energy Commodity Markets and Their Natural Integration with RL Models
by Silvia Trimarchi, Fabio Casamatta, Laura Gamba, Francesco Grimaccia, Marco Lorenzo and Alessandro Niccolai
Energies 2025, 18(12), 3171; https://doi.org/10.3390/en18123171 - 17 Jun 2025
Viewed by 690
Abstract
Agent-based models are a flexible and scalable modeling approach employed to study and describe the evolution of complex systems in different fields, such as social sciences, engineering, and economics. In the latter, they have been largely employed to model financial markets with a [...] Read more.
Agent-based models are a flexible and scalable modeling approach employed to study and describe the evolution of complex systems in different fields, such as social sciences, engineering, and economics. In the latter, they have been largely employed to model financial markets with a bottom-up approach, with the aim of understanding the price formation mechanism and to generate market scenarios. In the last few years, they have found application in the analysis of energy markets, which have experienced profound transformations driven by the introduction of energy policies to ease the penetration of renewable energy sources and the integration of electric vehicles and by the current unstable geopolitical situation. This review provides a comprehensive overview of the application of agent-based models in energy commodity markets by defining their characteristics and highlighting the different possible applications and the open-source tools available. In addition, it explores the possible integration of agent-based models with machine learning techniques, which makes them adaptable and flexible to the current market conditions, enabling the development of dynamic simulations without fixed rules and policies. The main findings reveal that while agent-based models significantly enhance the understanding of energy market mechanisms, enabling better profit optimization and technical constraint coherence for traders, scaling these models to highly complex systems with a large number of agents remains a key limitation. Full article
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21 pages, 4572 KiB  
Article
Enhancing Grid Stability in Microgrid Systems with Vehicle-to-Grid Support and EDLC Supercapacitors
by Adrián Criollo, Dario Benavides, Paul Arévalo, Luis I. Minchala-Avila and Diego Morales-Jadan
Batteries 2025, 11(6), 231; https://doi.org/10.3390/batteries11060231 - 15 Jun 2025
Viewed by 614
Abstract
Grid stability in microgrids represents a critical challenge, particularly with the increasing integration of variable renewable energy sources and the loss of systematic inertia. This study analyzes the use of vehicle-to-grid (V2G) technology and supercapacitors as complementary solutions to improve grid stability. A [...] Read more.
Grid stability in microgrids represents a critical challenge, particularly with the increasing integration of variable renewable energy sources and the loss of systematic inertia. This study analyzes the use of vehicle-to-grid (V2G) technology and supercapacitors as complementary solutions to improve grid stability. A hybrid approach is proposed in which electric vehicles act as temporary storage units, supplying energy to regulate grid frequency. Supercapacitors, due to their rapid charging and discharging capabilities, are used to mitigate power fluctuations and provide immediate support during peak demand. The proposed management model integrates two strategies for frequency control, leveraging the linear relationship between power and frequency. Power smoothing is combined with Kalman filter-based frequency control, allowing for accurate estimation of the dynamic system state, even in the presence of noise or load fluctuations. This methodology improves grid stability and frequency regulation accuracy. A frequency variability analysis is also included, highlighting grid disturbance events related to renewable-energy penetration and demand changes. Furthermore, the effectiveness of the Kalman filter in improving grid stability control, ensuring an efficient dynamic response, is highlighted. The results obtained demonstrate that the combination of V2G and supercapacitors contributes significantly to reducing grid disturbances, optimizing energy efficiency, and enhancing system reliability. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Innovations in Batteries for Renewable Energy Storage in Remote Areas)
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30 pages, 1122 KiB  
Article
Inventory Strategies for Warranty Replacements of Electric Vehicle Batteries Considering Symmetric Demand Statistics
by Miaomiao Feng, Wei Xie and Xia Wang
Symmetry 2025, 17(6), 928; https://doi.org/10.3390/sym17060928 - 11 Jun 2025
Viewed by 352
Abstract
Driven by growing environmental awareness and supportive regulatory frameworks, electric vehicles (EVs) are witnessing accelerating market penetration. However, a key consumer concern remains: the economic impact of battery degradation, manifesting as vehicle depreciation and diminished driving range. To alleviate this concern, EV manufacturers [...] Read more.
Driven by growing environmental awareness and supportive regulatory frameworks, electric vehicles (EVs) are witnessing accelerating market penetration. However, a key consumer concern remains: the economic impact of battery degradation, manifesting as vehicle depreciation and diminished driving range. To alleviate this concern, EV manufacturers commonly offer performance-guaranteed free-replacement warranties, under which batteries are replaced at no cost if capacity falls below a specified threshold within the warranty period. This paper develops a symmetry-informed analytical framework to forecast time-varying aggregate warranty replacement demand (AWRD) and to design optimal battery inventory strategies. By coupling stochastic EV sales dynamics with battery performance degradation thresholds, we construct a demand forecasting model that presents structural symmetry over time. Based on this, two inventory optimization models are proposed: the Service-Level Symmetry Model (SLSM), which prioritizes reliability and customer satisfaction, and the Cost-Efficiency Symmetry Model (CESM), which focuses on economic balance and inventory cost minimization. Comparative analysis demonstrates that CESM achieves superior cost performance, reducing total cost by 20.3% while maintaining operational stability. Moreover, incorporating CESM-derived strategies into SLSM yields a hybrid solution that preserves service-level guarantees and achieves a 3.9% cost reduction. Finally, the applicability and robustness of the AWRD forecasting framework and both symmetry-based inventory models are validated using real-world numerical data and Monte Carlo simulations. This research offers a structured and symmetrical perspective on EV battery warranty management and inventory control, aligning with the core principles of symmetry in complex system optimization. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Mathematics)
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17 pages, 868 KiB  
Article
The Impact of Policy Incentives on the Purchase of Electric Vehicles by Consumers in China’s First-Tier Cities: Moderate-Mediate Analysis
by Pei Chen, Mohamad Hisyam Selamat and See-Nie Lee
Sustainability 2025, 17(12), 5319; https://doi.org/10.3390/su17125319 - 9 Jun 2025
Viewed by 988
Abstract
With the rapid development of China’s electric vehicle industry, the influence mechanism of government policies on consumers’ purchase intentions has become a research focus. This study integrates the technology acceptance model (TAM) and SOR theory to propose four key driving factors: policy incentive, [...] Read more.
With the rapid development of China’s electric vehicle industry, the influence mechanism of government policies on consumers’ purchase intentions has become a research focus. This study integrates the technology acceptance model (TAM) and SOR theory to propose four key driving factors: policy incentive, perceived usefulness, perceived ease of use, and test drive experience. Through stratified random sampling of 400 valid questionnaires in Shanghai, Beijing, Shenzhen, and Guangzhou, four cities with a high penetration rate of electric vehicles, the structural equation model (SEM) was used for empirical analysis. The results show that policy incentives have a significant impact on purchase intentions and play a mediating role through perceived usefulness and perceived ease of use; driving experience moderates the effects of perceived usefulness and perceived ease of use on purchase intentions. Based on the research results, this paper proposes a three-stage policy optimization path: strengthening the accuracy of fiscal and tax incentives in the short term, improving the visual construction of the charging network in the medium term, and establishing a network of test drive experience centers in the long term. The research conclusions provide a theoretical basis for the government to formulate differentiated electric vehicle promotion strategies and propose a “policy-technology-service” three-dimensional implementation plan for enterprises to optimize product design and improve user experience, so as to help the sustainable development of China’s electric vehicle market. Full article
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