Search Results (648)

To improve the accuracy of heating load forecasting and effectively address the energy waste caused by supply–demand imbalances and uneven thermal distribution, this study innovatively proposes a hybrid prediction model incorporating seasonal adjustment strategies. The model establishes a dynamically adaptive forecasting framework through synergistic integration of the Sparrow Search Algorithm (SSA), Variational Mode Decomposition (VMD), and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) network. Specifically, VMD is first employed to decompose the historical heating load data from Arizona State University’s Tempe campus into multiple stationary modal components, aiming to reduce data complexity and suppress noise interference. Subsequently, the SSA is utilized to optimize the hyperparameters of the LSTM network, with targeted adjustments made according to the seasonal characteristics of the heating load, enabling the identification of optimal configurations for each season. Comprehensive experimental evaluations demonstrate that the proposed model achieves the lowest values across three key performance metrics—Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE), Mean Absolute Error (MAE), and Root Mean Square Error (RMSE)—under various seasonal conditions. Notably, the MAPE values are reduced to 1.3824%, 0.9549%, 6.4018%, and 1.3272%, with average error reductions of 9.4873%, 3.8451%, 6.6545%, and 6.5712% compared to alternative models. These results strongly confirm the superior predictive accuracy and fitting capability of the proposed model, highlighting its potential to support energy allocation optimization in district heating systems. Full article

Accurate heat load forecasting is essential for the efficiency of District Heating Systems (DHS). Still, it is challenged by the need to model long-term temporal dependencies and nonlinear relationships with weather and other factors. This study proposes a hybrid deep learning framework combining an attention-enhanced Neural Basis Expansion Analysis for Time Series (N-BEATS) model and eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost). The N-BEATS component, with a multi-head self-attention mechanism, captures temporal dynamics, while XGBoost models non-linear impacts of external variables. Predictions are integrated using an optimized weighted averaging strategy. Evaluated on a dataset from 103 heating units, the model outperformed 13 baselines, achieving an MSE of 0.4131, MAE of 0.3732, RMSE of 0.6427, and R² of 0.9664. This corresponds to a reduction of 32.6% in MSE, 32.0% in MAE, and 17.9% in RMSE, and an improvement of 5.1% in R² over the best baseline. Ablation studies and statistical tests confirmed the effectiveness of the attention mechanism and ensemble strategy. This model provides an efficient solution for DHS load forecasting, facilitating optimized energy dispatch and enhancing system performance. Full article

Gasification of municipal solid waste and other biogenic residues (e.g., biomass and biowaste) is increasingly recognized as a promising thermochemical pathway for converting non-recyclable fractions into valuable energy carriers, with applications in electricity generation, district heating, hydrogen production, and synthetic fuels. This paper provides a comprehensive analysis of major gasification technologies, including fixed bed, fluidized bed, entrained flow, plasma, supercritical water, microwave-assisted, high-temperature steam, and rotary kiln systems. Key aspects such as feedstock compatibility, operating parameters, technology readiness level, and integration within circular economy frameworks are critically evaluated. A comparative assessment of incineration and pyrolysis highlights the environmental and energetic advantages of gasification. The valorization pathways for main product (syngas) and by-products (syngas, ash, tar, and biochar) are also explored, emphasizing their reuse in environmental, agricultural, and industrial applications. Despite progress, large-scale adoption in Europe is constrained by economic, legislative, and technical barriers. Future research should prioritize scaling emerging systems, optimizing by-product recovery, and improving integration with carbon capture and circular energy infrastructures. Supported by recent European policy frameworks, gasification is positioned to play a key role in sustainable waste-to-energy strategies, biomass valorization, and the transition to a low-emission economy. Full article

This article presents an analysis on natural gas heating in residential areas, focusing on two primary systems: (1) local heating, where piped gas is delivered directly to individual dwellings equipped with autonomous gas boilers, and (2) district heating, where gas or an alternative fuel powers a central heating plant, and the generated heat is distributed to buildings via a thermal network. The choice between these systems should first consider safety and environmental factors, followed by the urban characteristics of the settlement. In particular, building typology—such as size, function, and spatial configuration—and urban topology, referring to the relative positioning of buildings, play a crucial role. For example, very tall buildings often exclude the use of piped gas due to safety concerns, whereas in other cases, economic efficiency becomes the determining factor. To support decision-making, a comparative cost analysis is conducted, assessing the required infrastructure for both systems, including pipelines, boilers, and associated components. The study identifies representative residential building types in selected urban areas of Serbia and Czechia that are suitable for either heating approach. Additionally, the article examines the broader energy context in both countries, with emphasis on recent developments in the natural gas sector and their implications for urban heating strategies. Full article

This study empirically delves into whether residential heating methods significantly affect apartment prices in Uiwang City, a suburban city near the Seoul Metropolitan area, South Korea. Using data from 1256 apartment sales, where both district heating systems (DHSs) and individual heating systems (IHSs) coexist, a hedonic price equation was estimated to analyze the impact of the heating method choices on housing values. Various housing attributes, including physical, locational, and environmental factors, were controlled, and multiple regression models were compared to identify the best-performing specification. The results show that apartments equipped with a DHS are priced, on average, KRW 92 million (USD 72 thousand) higher than those with an IHS. The price difference corresponds to KRW 849 thousand (USD 665) per m² and possesses the statistical significance at the 5% level. Moreover, it is quite meaningful, representing roughly 11.2% of the price of an average apartment. These findings suggest that the use of DHS has a positive effect on apartment prices that reflect consumers’ preferences, beyond its advantages in stable heat supply and energy cost savings. This article provides empirical evidence that DHS can serve as an important urban infrastructure contributing to asset value enhancement. Although this study is based on a specific geographic area and caution must be exercised in generalizing its findings, it reports the interesting finding that residential heating method significantly affects housing prices. Full article

Steam networks are widely used for industrial heat supply. High-temperature heat pumps (HTHPs) are an increasingly attractive low-emission solution to traditional steam generation, which could also improve the operational efficiency and energy demand flexibility of industrial processes. This work characterises 4-bar steam supply via HTHPs and aims to assess how variations in power input that result from flexible HTHP operation may affect steam flow and temperature, both with and without a downstream steam accumulator (SA). First, steady-state modelling is used for system design. Then, dynamic component models are developed and used to simulate the system response to HTHP power input variations. The performance of different SA integration layouts and sizes is evaluated. Results demonstrate that steam supply fluctuations closely follow changes in HTHP operation. A downstream SA is shown to mitigate these variations to an extent that depends on its capacity. Practical SA sizing recommendations are derived, which allow for the containment of steam supply fluctuations within acceptability. By providing a basis for evaluating the financial viability of flexible HTHP operation for steam provision, the results support clean technology’s development and uptake in industrial steam and district heating networks. Full article

In light of the ongoing discussion concerning the energy transition of the heating sector, primarily focused on district heating and shaped by heating corporations towards an incremental transformation, an alternative direction for the energy transition of the heating sector towards electroheating—a breakthrough transformation—is presented in this paper, along with a justification of its rationale. Arguments “for” and “against” both transformation paths are provided. Analyses of the costs of transforming district heating systems along both trajectories are conducted. The opportunities of a breakthrough transformation are characterized. An alternative approach to the energy transformation of district heating systems will provoke resistance and opposition from representatives of institutions operating within the current model. Transforming the existing heating model without changing its structure will burden society with high transformation costs through demands for government guarantees to cover these expenses. The analysis presented in this paper shows that these costs can be significantly reduced if the approach to the generation and distribution of district heat is changed. Full article

This study explores modernization strategies for existing district heating (DH) networks to enhance their efficiency and sustainability, focusing on achieving net-zero emissions in urban heating systems. Building upon a literature review and expert interviews, we developed a strategic decision-support framework that outlines distinct strategies for retrofitting district heating grids and includes a portfolio analysis. This framework serves as a tool to guide DH operators and stakeholders in selecting well-founded modernization pathways by considering technical, economic, and social dimensions. The review identifies several promising measures, such as reducing operational temperatures at substations, implementing optimized substations, integrating renewable and waste heat sources, implementing thermal energy storage (TES), deploying smart metering and monitoring infrastructure, and expanding networks while addressing public concerns. Additionally, the review highlights the importance of stakeholder engagement and policy support in successfully implementing these strategies. The developed strategic decision-support framework helps practitioners select a tailored modernization strategy aligned with the local context. Furthermore, the findings show the necessity of adopting a comprehensive approach that combines technical upgrades with robust stakeholder involvement and supportive policy measures to facilitate the transition to sustainable urban heating solutions. For example, the development of decision-support tools enables stakeholders to systematically evaluate and select grid modernization strategies, directly helping to reduce transmission losses and lower greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions contributing to climate goals and enhancing energy security. Indeed, as shown in the reviewed literature, retrofitting high-temperature district heating networks with low-temperature distribution and integrating renewables can lead to near-complete decarbonization of the supplied heat. Additionally, integrating advanced digital technologies, such as smart grid systems, can enhance grid efficiency and enable a greater share of variable renewable energy thus supporting national decarbonization targets. Further investigation could point to the most determining context factors for best choices to improve the sustainability and efficiency of existing DH systems. Full article

The use of geothermal energy is gaining strategic importance in the context of sustainable development and the decarbonisation of local energy systems. As a stable and low-emission renewable energy source, geothermal energy offers tangible environmental and social benefits, including improved air quality, reduced greenhouse gas emissions, and enhanced energy independence. This article presents a comprehensive overview of the social dimensions of geothermal energy deployment in Poland, with a particular focus on environmental impacts, public acceptance, and participatory governance. Based on a Polish geothermal district heating system example, the paper demonstrates that geothermal projects can significantly reduce local pollution and support low-carbon economic transitions. The study includes a comparative assessment of avoided emissions, a critical discussion of potential social barriers, and SWOT and PESTEL analyses identifying systemic enablers and constraints. The authors argue that for geothermal energy to fulfil its sustainability potential, it must be supported by inclusive planning, transparent communication, and a holistic policy framework integrating environmental, technological, and social criteria. Full article

In this paper, a new type of cogeneration system using LNG cold energy as a cooling source and geothermal energy as a heat source is designed and studied from the perspective of LNG cold energy gradient utilization. The system integrates power generation, cold storage, and district cooling. In order to provide more detailed information, the proposed system was analyzed in terms of energy, exergy, and economy. The effects of separator pressure, LNG pump outlet pressure, the mass flow rate of n-Pentane in ORC-I, liquefaction temperature of R23 in the cold storage module, and pump 5 outlet pressure in the refrigeration module on the performance of the system were also investigated. Additionally, the particle swarm algorithm (PSO) was used to optimize the CCHP system with multiple objectives to determine the system’s optimal operation. The optimization results show that the system’s thermal efficiency, exergy efficiency, and depreciation payback period are 66.06%, 42.52%, and 4.509 years, respectively. Full article

The University of the Balearic Islands is undertaking a significant energy transition toward a zero-emissions model, motivated by escalating energy costs and strong institutional commitments to climate neutrality. This study investigates the technical and operational feasibility of deploying 7.1 MWp of photovoltaic capacity across the campus, integrated with Li-FePO₄ battery systems and thermal energy storage. Through a detailed analysis of hourly energy demand, PV generation profiles, and storage constraints, the research evaluates how these technologies can be optimized to meet campus needs. A linear optimization model is applied to assess system performance under the constraint of a 3 MW grid export limit. Furthermore, the potential of demand-side electrification, implemented via a centralized HVAC plant and a 4th–5th generation district heating and cooling network, is analyzed in terms of its ability to maximize on-site PV self-consumption and reduce reliance on grid electricity during non-generation periods. Full article

The significant contribution of buildings to the global primary energy consumption necessitates the application of energy management methodologies at a building scale. Although dynamic simulation tools and decision-making algorithms are core components of energy management methodologies, they are often accompanied by excessive computational cost. As future controlling structures tend to become autonomized in building heating layouts, encouraging distributed heating services, the research scope calls for creating lightweight building energy system modeling as well monitoring and controlling methods. Following this notion, the proposed methodology turns a programmable controller into a smart thermostat that utilizes surrogate modeling formed by the ALAMO approach and is applied in a 4-m-by-4-m-by-2.85-m environmental chamber setup heated by a heat pump. The results indicate that the smart thermostat trained on the indoor environmental conditions of the chamber for a one-week period attained a predictive RMSE of 0.082–0.116 °C. Consequently, it preplans the heating hours and applies preheating controlling strategies in real time effectively, using only the computational power of a conventional controller, essentially managing to attain at least 97% thermal comfort on the test days. Finally, the methodology has the potential to meet the requirements of future building energy systems featured in urban-scale RES-based district heating networks. Full article

Given the widespread use of gas-fired boilers and combined heat and power (CHP) units in existing district heating (DH) systems, this study investigates the integration of medium-scale heat pumps (HPs) into such configurations. Fifteen DH system variants were analysed, differing in installed HP capacity, operational strategies, and the synchronisation of heat and electricity production with thermal demand. A dynamic simulation model incorporating real-world equipment performance was developed to assess energy efficiency, environmental impact, and economic viability under three distinct energy price scenarios. The results demonstrate that an HP sized to 17% of the total heating capacity of the DH system achieves a 54% decrease in primary energy consumption and a 68% decrease in emissions compared to the base system. Larger HP capacities enhance environmental performance and increase the share of renewable energy but also entail higher investment. An economic analysis reveals that electricity-to-gas price ratios strongly influence the cost-effectiveness of HP integration. Under favourable electricity pricing conditions, systems with HP operational priority achieve the lowest levelized cost of heating. The most economically viable configuration consists of 600 kW HP and achieves a payback period of 4.7 years. The findings highlight the potential for HPs to decarbonize DH systems while emphasising the importance of market conditions and system design in ensuring economic feasibility. Full article

District heating systems in northern China predominantly rely on coal-fired heat sources, necessitating sustainable alternatives to reduce carbon emissions. This study investigates a biomass combined heat and power (CHP) system integrated with cascaded absorption heat pump (AHP) technology to recover waste heat from semi-dry flue gas desulfurization exhaust and turbine condenser cooling water. A multi-source operational framework is developed, coordinating biomass CHP units with coal-fired boilers for peak-load regulation. The proposed system employs a two-stage heat recovery methodology: preliminary sensible heat extraction from non-saturated flue gas (elevating primary heating loop (PHL) return water from 50 °C to 55 °C), followed by serial AHPs utilizing turbine extraction steam to upgrade waste heat from circulating cooling water (further heating PHL water to 85 °C). Parametric analyses demonstrate that the cascaded AHP system reduces turbine steam extraction by 4.4 to 8.8 t/h compared to conventional steam-driven heating, enabling 3235 MWh of annual additional power generation. Environmental benefits include an annual CO₂ reduction of 1821 tonnes, calculated using regional grid emission factors. The integration of waste heat recovery and multi-source coordination achieves synergistic improvements in energy efficiency and operational flexibility, advancing low-carbon transitions in district heating systems. Full article

District heating (DH) systems offer a sustainable solution to local energy needs by improving energy efficiency, reducing emissions, and fostering economic development. Despite their growing technological relevance, DH systems remain underexplored in the economics, business, and management literature. This study addresses this gap by conducting a bibliometric analysis of DH research at the intersection of these fields, using data extracted from the Web of Science. We identify major theoretical foundations, including the resource-based view, stakeholder theory, and institutional economics, and explore key themes such as economic viability, business model innovation, regulatory frameworks, and sustainability strategies. By framing DH systems within broader economic and managerial discourses, our findings highlight the interdisciplinary nature of DH research and suggest critical avenues for future investigation, including the role of emerging technologies, consumer behavior, and policy design, and contribute to low-carbon, sustainable development. Full article