Sign in to use this feature.

Years

Between: -

Subjects

remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline

Journals

remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline

Article Types

Countries / Regions

remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline

Search Results (57,707)

Search Parameters:
Keywords = distribution modelling

Order results
Result details
Results per page
Select all
Export citation of selected articles as:
16 pages, 5287 KB  
Article
Doing Good or Doing Better? Comparing Freelance and Employment Models for a Social Sustainable Food Delivery Sector
by Riccardo Tronconi and Francesco Pilati
Sustainability 2025, 17(19), 8876; https://doi.org/10.3390/su17198876 (registering DOI) - 4 Oct 2025
Abstract
Delivery platforms in urban logistics connect providers with customers through distribution riders, who are usually distinguished by low incomes and limited social rights. This paper aims to compare and analyze the freelance and employment models for riders in different European countries in terms [...] Read more.
Delivery platforms in urban logistics connect providers with customers through distribution riders, who are usually distinguished by low incomes and limited social rights. This paper aims to compare and analyze the freelance and employment models for riders in different European countries in terms of social sustainability, i.e., work motivation and labor rights. To reach this goal, two activities were performed. On the one hand, qualitative interviews with German and Italian riders were carried out. On the other hand, a dynamic metaheuristic algorithm was developed and implemented to simulate an employment model with a central provider that manages order requests in real-time. The qualitative interviews indicate that riders’ motivations differ between freelance riders and employed riders: freelance riders do feel more controlled. Using a quantitative algorithm, this manuscript shows that when an efficient centralized order–rider assignment strategy is applied, a socially sustainable and simultaneously profitable employment model for food delivery businesses is possible. The results have the potential to legitimize adequate rights and salaries for riders while allowing digital platforms to operate profitably. Such win–win situations could support the implementation of platform structures across different logistics sectors and overcome conflicts regarding working rights in such contexts. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Sustainable Engineering and Science)
16 pages, 4460 KB  
Article
Fluidic Response and Sensing Mechanism of Meissner’s Corpuscles to Low-Frequency Mechanical Stimulation
by Si Chen, Tonghe Yuan, Zhiheng Yang, Weimin Ru and Ning Yang
Sensors 2025, 25(19), 6151; https://doi.org/10.3390/s25196151 (registering DOI) - 4 Oct 2025
Abstract
Meissner’s corpuscles are essential mechanoreceptors that detect low-frequency vibrations. However, the internal fluid dynamic processes that convert directional mechanical stimuli into neural signals are not yet fully understood. This study aims to clarify the direction-specific sensing mechanism by analyzing internal fluid flow and [...] Read more.
Meissner’s corpuscles are essential mechanoreceptors that detect low-frequency vibrations. However, the internal fluid dynamic processes that convert directional mechanical stimuli into neural signals are not yet fully understood. This study aims to clarify the direction-specific sensing mechanism by analyzing internal fluid flow and shear stress distribution under different vibration modes. A biomimetic microfluidic platform was developed and coupled with a dynamic mesh computational fluid dynamics (CFD) model to simulate the response of the corpuscle to 20 Hz normal and tangential vibrations. The simulation results showed clear differences in fluid behavior. Normal vibration produced localized vortices and peak wall shear stress greater than 0.0054 Pa along the short axis. In contrast, tangential vibration generated stable laminar flow with a lower average shear stress of about 0.0012 Pa along the long axis. These results suggest that the internal structure of the Meissner corpuscle is important for converting mechanical inputs from different directions into specific fluid patterns. This study provides a physical foundation for understanding mechanotransduction and supports the design of biomimetic sensors with improved directional sensitivity for use in smart skin and soft robotic systems. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Biosensors)
14 pages, 5038 KB  
Article
The Diversity Pattern of Two Endangered Dung Beetles in China Under the Influence of Climate Change
by Nina Zhang, Yijie Tong, Lulu Li, Ming Lai, Xinpu Wang and Ming Bai
Diversity 2025, 17(10), 696; https://doi.org/10.3390/d17100696 (registering DOI) - 4 Oct 2025
Abstract
Comprehending the effects of climate change on the range of endangered species is essential for formulating successful conservation strategies. This research examines two nationally protected dung beetle species (Heliocopris dominus and Heliocopris bucephalus) in China to forecast their probable habitat range [...] Read more.
Comprehending the effects of climate change on the range of endangered species is essential for formulating successful conservation strategies. This research examines two nationally protected dung beetle species (Heliocopris dominus and Heliocopris bucephalus) in China to forecast their probable habitat range under present and future climate scenarios. Employing MaxEnt modeling with validated occurrence records and environmental variables, we discerned critical factors affecting their distribution and anticipated changes in habitat suitability. Results reveal that isothermality, temperature seasonality, maximum temperature of the warmest month, and annual precipitation are the principal environmental drivers. Presently, appropriate habitats are primarily located in southern Yunnan and Hainan, with future forecasts indicating a northward extension into additional areas. These findings offer critical insights for choosing conservation zones for these vulnerable species amid shifting climate conditions. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Diversity and Taxonomy of Scarabaeoidea)
Show Figures

Figure 1

26 pages, 1656 KB  
Article
Day-Ahead Coordinated Scheduling of Distribution Networks Considering 5G Base Stations and Electric Vehicles
by Lin Peng, Aihua Zhou, Junfeng Qiao, Qinghe Sun, Zhonghao Qian, Min Xu and Sen Pan
Electronics 2025, 14(19), 3940; https://doi.org/10.3390/electronics14193940 (registering DOI) - 4 Oct 2025
Abstract
The rapid growth of 5G base stations (BSs) and electric vehicles (EVs) introduces significant challenges for distribution network operation due to high energy consumption and variable loads. This paper proposes a coordinated day-ahead scheduling framework that integrates 5G BS task migration, storage utilization, [...] Read more.
The rapid growth of 5G base stations (BSs) and electric vehicles (EVs) introduces significant challenges for distribution network operation due to high energy consumption and variable loads. This paper proposes a coordinated day-ahead scheduling framework that integrates 5G BS task migration, storage utilization, and EV charging or discharging with mobility constraints. A mixed-integer second-order cone programming (MISOCP) model is formulated to optimize network efficiency while ensuring reliable power supply and maintaining service quality. The proposed approach enables dynamic load adjustment via 5G computing task migration and coordinated operation between 5G BSs and EVs. Case studies demonstrate that the proposed method can effectively generate an optimal day-ahead scheduling strategy for the distribution network. By employing the task migration strategy, the computational workloads of heavily loaded 5G BSs are dynamically redistributed to neighboring stations, thereby alleviating computational stress and reducing their associated power consumption. These results highlight the potential of leveraging the joint flexibility of 5G infrastructures and EVs to support more efficient and reliable distribution network operation. Full article
16 pages, 1557 KB  
Article
A Finite-Element Model of Seated Human Body Representing the Distribution of Static Pressures and Dynamic Forces over a Rigid Seat During Vertical Vibration for Sitting Postures with Various Thigh Contact
by Weitan Yin, Shaoqing Liu, Jianying Liang, Chi Liu, Yi Qiu, Xu Zheng, Linfeng Sun and Shan Huang
Appl. Sci. 2025, 15(19), 10716; https://doi.org/10.3390/app151910716 (registering DOI) - 4 Oct 2025
Abstract
Overall sitting comfort is related to both static pressure distribution and dynamic human–seat interaction during vibration. This study proposes a simplified finite-element model of the seated human body that could potentially be used to assess overall sitting comfort. The static pressures of the [...] Read more.
Overall sitting comfort is related to both static pressure distribution and dynamic human–seat interaction during vibration. This study proposes a simplified finite-element model of the seated human body that could potentially be used to assess overall sitting comfort. The static pressures of the seated human body measured on a rigid seat with different footrest layouts, together with the overall and localised apparent masses of the human body measured in a previous study, were used for model validation. The proposed model contained homogeneous soft tissues of the buttocks and thighs and rigid bodies connected to represent the torso. The tissue geometry was adjusted to match the measured anthropometry. Viscoelastic material was assigned to the tissues, and the properties were identified by fitting the modelled pressures and apparent masses to the measurement results. The proposed model was capable of reproducing static pressures and dynamic forces over the seat for the three sitting postures. Full article
25 pages, 666 KB  
Article
Continual Learning for Intrusion Detection Under Evolving Network Threats
by Chaoqun Guo, Xihan Li, Jubao Cheng, Shunjie Yang and Huiquan Gong
Future Internet 2025, 17(10), 456; https://doi.org/10.3390/fi17100456 (registering DOI) - 4 Oct 2025
Abstract
In the face of ever-evolving cyber threats, modern intrusion detection systems (IDS) must achieve long-term adaptability without sacrificing performance on previously encountered attacks. Traditional IDS approaches often rely on static training assumptions, making them prone to forgetting old patterns, underperforming in label-scarce conditions, [...] Read more.
In the face of ever-evolving cyber threats, modern intrusion detection systems (IDS) must achieve long-term adaptability without sacrificing performance on previously encountered attacks. Traditional IDS approaches often rely on static training assumptions, making them prone to forgetting old patterns, underperforming in label-scarce conditions, and struggling with imbalanced class distributions as new attacks emerge. To overcome these limitations, we present a continual learning framework tailored for adaptive intrusion detection. Unlike prior methods, our approach is designed to operate under real-world network conditions characterized by high-dimensional, sparse traffic data and task-agnostic learning sequences. The framework combines three core components: a clustering-based memory strategy that selectively retains informative historical samples using DP-Means; multi-level knowledge distillation that aligns current and previous model states at output and intermediate feature levels; and a meta-learning-driven class reweighting mechanism that dynamically adjusts to shifting attack distributions. Empirical evaluations on benchmark intrusion detection datasets demonstrate the framework’s ability to maintain high detection accuracy while effectively mitigating forgetting. Notably, it delivers reliable performance in continually changing environments where the availability of labeled data is limited, making it well-suited for real-world cybersecurity systems. Full article
Show Figures

Figure 1

21 pages, 15053 KB  
Article
Estimation and Prediction of Water Conservation Capacity Based on PLUS–InVEST Model: A Case Study of Baicheng City, China
by Rumeng Duan, Yanfeng Wu and Xiaoyu Li
Land 2025, 14(10), 1993; https://doi.org/10.3390/land14101993 (registering DOI) - 4 Oct 2025
Abstract
As an important ecosystem service, water conservation is influenced by land use related to human activities. In this study, we first evaluated spatial and temporal changes in water conservation in Baicheng City, western Jilin Province, from 2000 to 2020. Then, we identified three [...] Read more.
As an important ecosystem service, water conservation is influenced by land use related to human activities. In this study, we first evaluated spatial and temporal changes in water conservation in Baicheng City, western Jilin Province, from 2000 to 2020. Then, we identified three different scenarios: the natural development scenario (NDS), cropland protection scenario (CPS), and ecological protection scenario (EPS). We coupled the Patch-generating Land Use Simulation (PLUS) and Integrated Valuation of Ecosystem Services and Trade-offs (InVEST) models to predict the distribution of land use types and water conservation in Baicheng City under these scenarios for 2030. The results showed the following: (1) The average water conservation in Baicheng City from 2000 to 2020 was 7.08 mm. (2) Areas with higher water conservation were distributed in the northwest and northeast, while lower water conservation areas were distributed in the central and southwest of Baicheng City. (3) The simulation results of the future pattern of land use show an increasing water conservation trend in all three scenarios. Compared with the other two scenarios, the ecological protection scenario is the most suitable option for the current development planning of Baicheng City. Under the ecological protection scenario (EPS), ecological land is strictly protected, the area of agricultural land increases to some extent, and the overall structure of changes in land use becomes more rational. This study provides a reference for land resource allocation and ecosystem conservation. Full article
19 pages, 3282 KB  
Article
A Transformer-Based Framework for DDoS Attack Detection via Temporal Dependency and Behavioral Pattern Modeling
by Yi Li, Xingzhou Deng, Ang Yang and Jing Gao
Algorithms 2025, 18(10), 628; https://doi.org/10.3390/a18100628 (registering DOI) - 4 Oct 2025
Abstract
With the escalating global cyber threats, Distributed Denial of Service (DDoS) attacks have become one of the most disruptive and prevalent network attacks. Traditional DDoS detection systems face significant challenges due to the unpredictable nature, diverse protocols, and coupled behavioral patterns of attack [...] Read more.
With the escalating global cyber threats, Distributed Denial of Service (DDoS) attacks have become one of the most disruptive and prevalent network attacks. Traditional DDoS detection systems face significant challenges due to the unpredictable nature, diverse protocols, and coupled behavioral patterns of attack traffic. To address this issue, this paper proposes a novel approach for DDoS attack detection by leveraging the Transformer architecture to model both temporal dependencies and behavioral patterns, significantly improving detection accuracy. We utilize the global attention mechanism of the Transformer to effectively capture long-range temporal correlations in network traffic, and the model’s ability to process multiple traffic features simultaneously enables it to identify nonlinear interactions. By reconstructing the CIC-DDoS2019 dataset, we strengthen the representation of attack behaviors, enabling the model to capture dynamic attack patterns and subtle traffic anomalies. This approach represents a key contribution by applying Transformer-based self-attention mechanisms to accurately model DDoS attack traffic, particularly in handling complex and dynamic attack patterns. Experimental results demonstrate that the proposed method achieves 99.9% accuracy, with 100% precision, recall, and F1 score, showcasing its potential for high-precision, low-false-alarm automated DDoS attack detection. This study provides a new solution for real-time DDoS detection and holds significant practical implications for cybersecurity systems. Full article
18 pages, 1641 KB  
Article
Using Non-Lipschitz Signum-Based Functions for Distributed Optimization and Machine Learning: Trade-Off Between Convergence Rate and Optimality Gap
by Mohammadreza Doostmohammadian, Amir Ahmad Ghods, Alireza Aghasi, Zulfiya R. Gabidullina and Hamid R. Rabiee
Math. Comput. Appl. 2025, 30(5), 108; https://doi.org/10.3390/mca30050108 (registering DOI) - 4 Oct 2025
Abstract
In recent years, the prevalence of large-scale datasets and the demand for sophisticated learning models have necessitated the development of efficient distributed machine learning (ML) solutions. Convergence speed is a critical factor influencing the practicality and effectiveness of these distributed frameworks. Recently, non-Lipschitz [...] Read more.
In recent years, the prevalence of large-scale datasets and the demand for sophisticated learning models have necessitated the development of efficient distributed machine learning (ML) solutions. Convergence speed is a critical factor influencing the practicality and effectiveness of these distributed frameworks. Recently, non-Lipschitz continuous optimization algorithms have been proposed to improve the slow convergence rate of the existing linear solutions. The use of signum-based functions was previously considered in consensus and control literature to reach fast convergence in the prescribed time and also to provide robust algorithms to noisy/outlier data. However, as shown in this work, these algorithms lead to an optimality gap and steady-state residual of the objective function in discrete-time setup. This motivates us to investigate the distributed optimization and ML algorithms in terms of trade-off between convergence rate and optimality gap. In this direction, we specifically consider the distributed regression problem and check its convergence rate by applying both linear and non-Lipschitz signum-based functions. We check our distributed regression approach by extensive simulations. Our results show that although adopting signum-based functions may give faster convergence, it results in large optimality gaps. The findings presented in this paper may contribute to and advance the ongoing discourse of similar distributed algorithms, e.g., for distributed constrained optimization and distributed estimation. Full article
20 pages, 8591 KB  
Communication
Impact of Channel Confluence Geometry on Water Velocity Distributions in Channel Junctions with Inflows at Angles α = 45° and α = 60°
by Aleksandra Mokrzycka-Olek, Tomasz Kałuża and Mateusz Hämmerling
Water 2025, 17(19), 2890; https://doi.org/10.3390/w17192890 (registering DOI) - 4 Oct 2025
Abstract
Understanding flow dynamics in open-channel node systems is crucial for designing effective hydraulic engineering solutions and minimizing energy losses. This study investigates how junction geometry—specifically the lateral inflow angle (α = 45° and 60°) and the longitudinal bed slope (I = 0.0011 to [...] Read more.
Understanding flow dynamics in open-channel node systems is crucial for designing effective hydraulic engineering solutions and minimizing energy losses. This study investigates how junction geometry—specifically the lateral inflow angle (α = 45° and 60°) and the longitudinal bed slope (I = 0.0011 to 0.0051)—influences the water velocity distribution and hydraulic losses in a rigid-bed Y-shaped open-channel junction. Experiments were performed in a 0.3 m wide and 0.5 m deep rectangular flume, with controlled inflow conditions simulating steady-state discharge scenarios. Flow velocity measurements were obtained using a PEMS 30 electromagnetic velocity probe, which is capable of recording three-dimensional velocity components at a high spatial resolution, and electromagnetic flow meters for discharge control. The results show that a lateral inflow angle of 45° induces stronger flow disturbances and higher local loss coefficients, especially under steeper slope conditions. In contrast, an angle of 60° generates more symmetric velocity fields and reduces energy dissipation at the junction. These findings align with the existing literature and highlight the significance of junction design in hydraulic structures, particularly under high-flow conditions. The experimental data may be used for calibrating one-dimensional hydrodynamic models and optimizing the hydraulic performance of engineered channel outlets, such as those found in hydropower discharge systems or irrigation networks. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Hydraulics and Hydrodynamics)
Show Figures

Figure 1

13 pages, 12323 KB  
Article
Spatial Modeling of the Potential Distribution of Dengue in the City of Manta, Ecuador
by Karina Lalangui-Vivanco, Emmanuelle Quentin, Marco Sánchez-Murillo, Max Cotera-Mantilla, Luis Loor, Milton Espinoza, Johanna Mabel Sánchez-Rodríguez, Mauricio Espinel, Patricio Ponce and Varsovia Cevallos
Int. J. Environ. Res. Public Health 2025, 22(10), 1521; https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph22101521 (registering DOI) - 4 Oct 2025
Abstract
In Ecuador, the transmission of dengue has steadily increased in recent decades, particularly in coastal cities like Manta, where the conditions are favorable for the proliferation of the Aedes aegypti mosquito. The objective of this study was to model the spatial distribution of [...] Read more.
In Ecuador, the transmission of dengue has steadily increased in recent decades, particularly in coastal cities like Manta, where the conditions are favorable for the proliferation of the Aedes aegypti mosquito. The objective of this study was to model the spatial distribution of dengue transmission risk in Manta, a coastal city in Ecuador with consistently high incidence rates. A total of 148 georeferenced dengue cases from 2018 to 2021 were collected, and environmental and socioeconomic variables were incorporated into a maximum entropy model (MaxEnt). Additionally, climate and social zoning were performed using a multi-criteria model in TerrSet. The MaxEnt model demonstrated excellent predictive ability (training AUC = 0.916; test AUC = 0.876) and identified population density, sewer system access, and distance to rivers as the primary predictors. Three high-risk clusters were identified in the southern, northwestern, and northeastern parts of the city, while the coastal strip showed lower suitability due to low rainfall and vegetation. These findings reveal the strong spatial heterogeneity of dengue risk at the neighborhood level and provide operational information for targeted interventions. This approach can support more efficient surveillance, resource allocation, and community action in coastal urban areas affected by vector-borne diseases. Full article
Show Figures

Graphical abstract

19 pages, 5700 KB  
Article
Restoring Spectral Symmetry in Gradients: A Normalization Approach for Efficient Neural Network Training
by Zhigao Huang, Nana Gong, Quanfa Li, Tianying Wu, Shiyan Zheng and Miao Pan
Symmetry 2025, 17(10), 1648; https://doi.org/10.3390/sym17101648 (registering DOI) - 4 Oct 2025
Abstract
Neural network training often suffers from spectral asymmetry, where gradient energy is disproportionately allocated to high-frequency components, leading to suboptimal convergence and reduced efficiency. This paper introduces Gradient Spectral Normalization (GSN), a novel optimization technique designed to restore spectral symmetry by dynamically reshaping [...] Read more.
Neural network training often suffers from spectral asymmetry, where gradient energy is disproportionately allocated to high-frequency components, leading to suboptimal convergence and reduced efficiency. This paper introduces Gradient Spectral Normalization (GSN), a novel optimization technique designed to restore spectral symmetry by dynamically reshaping gradient distributions in the frequency domain. GSN transforms gradients using FFT, applies layer-specific energy redistribution to enforce a symmetric balance between low- and high-frequency components, and reconstructs the gradients for parameter updates. By tailoring normalization schedules for attention and MLP layers, GSN enhances inference performance and improves model accuracy with minimal overhead. Our approach leverages the principle of symmetry to create more stable and efficient neural systems, offering a practical solution for resource-constrained environments. This frequency-domain paradigm, grounded in symmetry restoration, opens new directions for neural network optimization with broad implications for large-scale AI systems. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Computer)
Show Figures

Figure 1

58 pages, 4299 KB  
Article
Optimisation of Cryptocurrency Trading Using the Fractal Market Hypothesis with Symbolic Regression
by Jonathan Blackledge and Anton Blackledge
Commodities 2025, 4(4), 22; https://doi.org/10.3390/commodities4040022 - 3 Oct 2025
Abstract
Cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin can be classified as commodities under the Commodity Exchange Act (CEA), giving the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) jurisdiction over those cryptocurrencies deemed commodities, particularly in the context of futures trading. This paper presents a method for predicting both [...] Read more.
Cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin can be classified as commodities under the Commodity Exchange Act (CEA), giving the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) jurisdiction over those cryptocurrencies deemed commodities, particularly in the context of futures trading. This paper presents a method for predicting both long- and short-term trends in selected cryptocurrencies based on the Fractal Market Hypothesis (FMH). The FMH applies the self-affine properties of fractal stochastic fields to model financial time series. After introducing the underlying theory and mathematical framework, a fundamental analysis of Bitcoin and Ethereum exchange rates against the U.S. dollar is conducted. The analysis focuses on changes in the polarity of the ‘Beta-to-Volatility’ and ‘Lyapunov-to-Volatility’ ratios as indicators of impending shifts in Bitcoin/Ethereum price trends. These signals are used to recommend long, short, or hold trading positions, with corresponding algorithms (implemented in Matlab R2023b) developed and back-tested. An optimisation of these algorithms identifies ideal parameter ranges that maximise both accuracy and profitability, thereby ensuring high confidence in the predictions. The resulting trading strategy provides actionable guidance for cryptocurrency investment and quantifies the likelihood of bull or bear market dominance. Under stable market conditions, machine learning (using the ‘TuringBot’ platform) is shown to produce reliable short-horizon estimates of future price movements and fluctuations. This reduces trading delays caused by data filtering and increases returns by identifying optimal positions within rapid ‘micro-trends’ that would otherwise remain undetected—yielding gains of up to approximately 10%. Empirical results confirm that Bitcoin and Ethereum exchanges behave as self-affine (fractal) stochastic fields with Lévy distributions, exhibiting a Hurst exponent of roughly 0.32, a fractal dimension of about 1.68, and a Lévy index near 1.22. These findings demonstrate that the Fractal Market Hypothesis and its associated indices provide a robust market model capable of generating investment returns that consistently outperform standard Buy-and-Hold strategies. Full article
Show Figures

Figure 1

24 pages, 2442 KB  
Article
Development of a Novel Weighted Maximum Likelihood-Based Parameter Estimation Technique for Improved Annual Energy Production Estimation of Wind Turbines
by Woobeom Han, Kanghee Lee, Jonghwa Kim and Seungjae Lee
Energies 2025, 18(19), 5265; https://doi.org/10.3390/en18195265 - 3 Oct 2025
Abstract
Conventional statistical models consider all wind speed ranges as equally important, causing significant prediction errors, particularly in wind speed intervals that contribute the most to wind turbine power generation. To overcome this limitation, this study proposes a novel parameter estimation method—Weighted Maximum Likelihood [...] Read more.
Conventional statistical models consider all wind speed ranges as equally important, causing significant prediction errors, particularly in wind speed intervals that contribute the most to wind turbine power generation. To overcome this limitation, this study proposes a novel parameter estimation method—Weighted Maximum Likelihood Estimation (WMLE)—to improve the accuracy of annual energy production (AEP) predictions for wind turbine systems. The proposed WMLE incorporates wind-speed-specific weights based on power generation contribution, along with a weighting amplification factor (β), to construct a power-oriented wind distribution model. WMLE performance was validated by comparing four offshore wind farm candidate sites in Korea—each exhibiting distinct wind characteristics. Goodness-of-fit evaluations against conventional wind statistical models demonstrated the improved distribution fitting performance of WMLE. Furthermore, WMLE consistently achieved relative AEP errors within ±2% compared to those of time-series-based methods. A sensitivity analysis identified the optimal β value, which narrowed the distribution fit around high-energy-contributing wind speeds, thereby enhancing the reliability of AEP predictions. In conclusion, WMLE provides a practical and robust statistical framework that bridges the gap between statistical distribution fitting and time-series-based methods for AEP. Moreover, the improved accuracy of AEP predictions enhances the reliability of wind farm feasibility assessments, reduces investment risk, and strengthens financial bankability. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section B: Energy and Environment)
25 pages, 6201 KB  
Article
Modeling the Habitat Suitability and Range Shift of Daphniphyllum macropodum in China Under Climate Change Using an Optimized MaxEnt Model
by Yangzhou Xiang, Suhang Li, Qiong Yang, Jiaojiao Liu, Ying Liu, Ling Zhao, Hua Lin, Yang Luo, Jun Ren, Xuqiang Luo and Hua Wang
Biology 2025, 14(10), 1360; https://doi.org/10.3390/biology14101360 - 3 Oct 2025
Abstract
Climate change continues to threaten global biodiversity, making it essential to assess how keystone species may shift their distributions and to use these findings to inform conservation planning. This study evaluated the current and future habitat suitability of D. macropodum, an important [...] Read more.
Climate change continues to threaten global biodiversity, making it essential to assess how keystone species may shift their distributions and to use these findings to inform conservation planning. This study evaluated the current and future habitat suitability of D. macropodum, an important tree species within subtropical evergreen broad-leaved forests in China, using 354 occurrence records and a suite of environmental variables. A parameter-optimized MaxEnt model (calibrated with ENMeval; RM = 4, FC = QHPT) was applied to simulate the species’ present distribution and projected changes under three climate scenarios (SSP126, SSP245, SSP585). The main factors influencing distribution were determined to be moisture and temperature seasonality, with the precipitation of the coldest quarter (Bio19, 36.3%), the mean diurnal range (Bio2, 37.5%), and the precipitation of the warmest quarter (Bio18, 14.2%) jointly contributing 88.0% of the total influence. The model projections indicated a 40.1% reduction in the total number of suitable habitats under high-emission scenarios (SSP585) by the 2090s, including a loss of over 80% of highly suitable areas. Centroid movements also diverged across the scenarios: a southwestern shift under SSP126 and SSP245 contrasted with a southeastern shift under SSP585, with each accompanied by significant habitat fragmentation. Key climate refugia were identified primarily in central Taiwan Province and the mountainous zones of Zhejiang and Fujian Provinces, which should be prioritized for conservation activities. These insights offer a foundational understanding for the conservation of D. macropodum and other ecologically similar subtropical evergreen species. However, direct extrapolation to other taxa should be made cautiously, as specific responses may vary based on differing ecological tolerances and dispersal capacities. Further research is needed to test the generalizability of these patterns across diverse plant functional types. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Conservation Biology and Biodiversity)
Show Figures

Figure 1

Back to TopTop