Search Results (81)

Coastal cities face escalating flood risk under sea-level rise, yet landscape-based adaptation strategies often remain speculative and weakly connected to the accessibility and economic constraints that shape sustainable urban development. This study developed a modeling-to-design framework that translates coupled climate and land-use projections into implementable landscape interventions, through planning-level spatial allocation, using Dalian, China as a case study under “middle of the road” (SSP2-4.5) climate conditions. The framework integrates the Land-use Evolution and Assessment Model (LEAM) with connected-bathtub flood modeling to evaluate whether strategic landscape design can redirect development away from flood-prone zones while accommodating projected growth and maintaining accessibility to employment and services. Interventions—protective wetland restoration (810 km²) and blue–green corridors (8 km²)—derived from a meta-synthesis of implemented coastal projects were operationalized as LEAM spatial constraints. Our results show that residential development can be redirected away from coastal risk with 100% demand satisfaction and elimination of moderate-risk allocations. Cropland demand was fully accommodated. In contrast, commercial development experienced 99.8% reduction under strict coastal protection, reflecting locational dependence on port-adjacent sites. This modeling-to-design framework offers a transferable approach to quantifying where landscape interventions succeed, where they face barriers, and where complementary measures are required, supporting decision-making that balances environmental protection, economic function, and social accessibility in sustainable coastal development. Full article

Rapid urbanization has profoundly impacted regional ecosystem services. However, most current studies have not paid enough attention to the implicit quality-of-life dimensions of urbanization, and few studies have been published on the dynamic interactions between urbanization and the evolution of ecosystem services. This study investigated the temporal and spatial dynamics of urbanization and ecosystem services value (ESV) in the Yangtze River Delta (YRD) region from 2010 to 2020 and their correlation. We conceptualized and measured the level of urbanization in two dimensions: Urbanization I (population, economy, and landscape) and Urbanization II (public services, education and spiritual life, and habitation environment construction). ESV was quantitatively evaluated by the equivalent factor method. The global and local spatial autocorrelation analysis was used to reveal the influence of urbanization dynamic evolution on ESV change. The results show the following: (1) the level of Urbanization I rose steadily, while the level of Urbanization II, though starting from a lower base, grew at a significantly faster rate, especially after 2017; (2) total ESV declined, with the largest decline in regulating services; (3) a significant negative spatial correlation was found between urbanization and ESV, with Urbanization I exerting a greater negative impact than Urbanization II; (4) spatially, “high-low” clusters (high urbanization, low neighboring ESV) dominate in the eastern coastal areas, while “low-high” clusters dominate in the western inland areas. The findings are of great significance for regional sustainable development and can provide a reference for other rapidly urbanizing regions in the world. Full article

Under the dual pressures of rapid urbanization and climate change, urban expansion in high-density estuarine urban agglomerations has intensified economic–ecological trade-offs in the aquatic–terrestrial ecotone, necessitating land-use planning that reconciles economic growth with ecological protection. Here, we integrated linear programming with the CLUE-S model and incorporated marine–terrestrial integration objectives and typical natural disturbance factors. With this approach, a landscape pattern simulation framework capable of jointly optimizing ecological and economic benefits was developed. The framework was applied to the estuarine aquatic–terrestrial ecotone of the Pearl River Delta. This study drew on a land-use dataset, landscape dynamics, socioeconomic and biophysical drivers, and regional planning constraints to conduct simulation experiments under alternative development scenarios. The model achieved a Kappa coefficient of 0.904. From 2010 to 2020, built-up land expanded rapidly and encroached on ecological space. Simulations indicated that the natural evolution scenario increased fragmentation and ecological conflicts despite economic gains, whereas the sustainable development scenario balanced expansion and protection, reduced forestland fragmentation, safeguarded key ecological spaces, and improved ecological benefits while maintaining economic growth. Ecological benefits in the coastal aquatic–terrestrial ecotone from −0.2 to 0 km increased by 283.3%. The framework embeds land-use dynamics and spatial constraints, providing decision support for territorial spatial planning and ecological security pattern optimization. Full article

With the acceleration of global urbanisation, the pace of evolution in urban waterfront areas has intensified, consequently hastening the renewal rate of their constituent public spaces. Compared to the macro-level planning and regulation of traditional port and coastal waterfronts, balancing the historical preservation of urban heritage waterfront public spaces with contemporary demands has emerged as a critical issue in urban regeneration. This study examines the historical waterfront area of the Xiaoqinhuai River in Yangzhou, establishing a public space perception evaluation framework encompassing five dimensions: spatial structure, landscape elements, environmental perception, socio-cultural context, and facility systems. This framework comprises 33 secondary indicators. The perception assessment system was developed through a literature review, field research, and expert interviews, refined using the Delphi method, and weighted via the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP). Finally, cloud modelling was employed to evaluate perceptions among residents and visitors. Findings indicate that spatial structure and socio-cultural dimensions received high perception ratings, highlighting historical layout and cultural identity as strengths of the Xiaoqinhuai Riverfront public space, while significant shortcomings were noted in terms of landscape elements, environmental perception, and facilities. These deficiencies manifest primarily in limited vegetation diversity, inadequate hard paving and surface materials, insufficient landscape node design, poor thermal comfort, suboptimal air quality and olfactory perception, uncomfortable resting facilities, limited activity diversity, and inadequate slip-resistant surfaces. Further analysis reveals perceptual differences between residents and visitors: the former prioritise daily living needs, while the latter emphasise cultural experiences and recreational facilities. Based on these findings, this paper proposes targeted optimisation strategies emphasising the continuity of historical context and enhancement of spatial inclusivity. It recommends improving public space quality through multi-dimensional measures including environmental perception enhancement, landscape system restructuring, and the tiered provision of facilities. This research offers an actionable theoretical framework and practical pathway for the protective renewal, public space reconstruction, and optimisation of contemporary urban historic waterfront areas, demonstrating broad transferability and applicability. Full article

The origin of humans on Earth is closely linked to understanding how ancient populations dispersed into adjacent territories. Traditionally, studies have identified landscape and climatic changes as the primary factors in this dispersal. However, we propose that regional tectonic and geodynamic factors also played a significant role in shaping these movements. To analyze this phenomenon, we employed several primary methods, including radiometric dating, magnetostratigraphy, paleomagnetic correlation, isotope–oxygen analysis, tectonothermal studies, gravity mapping, paleobiogeographic assessment, lithofacies analysis, and event and cyclic stratigraphy. Our research indicates that the Akchagylian hydrospheric maximum, which reached up to +200 m, significantly limited the early dispersal of hominins from Africa to Eurasia. The migration corridor was shaped by tectonic activity between the Dead Sea Transform and the boundary of the Mesozoic Terrane Belt carbonate platform. We argue that, during the early stages of hominin evolution in East Africa, the Levantine Corridor (LC) had not yet developed into an optimal route for dispersal, either tectonically or paleogeographically. Suitable habitats for early hominins emerged only after the regression at the end of the Middle Gelasian, around two million years ago, when sea level fell by approximately 200 m, leading to the dissection of the coastal high plateau of the Eastern Mediterranean. We therefore suggest that the LC became established only after the termination of the Akchagylian transgression and the subsequent landscape reconfiguration of the Eastern Mediterranean. Our integrated analysis, combining paleomagnetic, structural, tectonic, and event stratigraphy data, indicates that the age of the renowned ‘Ubeidiya site in northern Israel is several thousand years older than previously thought. This paleogeographic impact had not been considered in earlier studies. Considering the diverse and complex factors that governed hominin dispersal from Africa into Eurasia within this multifaceted region, we propose that the scope of research should be broadened. Our detailed study of the Carmel area, located northeast of the Levantine Corridor and influenced by it during the Pleistocene, indicates that this region was inundated during the early phases of hominin migration out of Eastern Africa. Besides this, we have conducted an integrated geological–geophysical landscape analysis of the central part of the Israeli coastal plain. Full article

Coastal reclamation reshapes both soils and vegetation, yet their coupled trajectories remain poorly understood. Here we investigated soil–vegetation co-evolution across a 15-year chronosequence on Hengsha Island in the Yangtze River estuary. The reclaimed soils were formed primarily from dredged estuarine silt and clay slurry deposited during hydraulic filling. Four representative sites were studied, spanning 3 (Y3), 7 (Y7), 10 (Y10), and 15 (Y15) years since reclamation. Soil physicochemical properties (pH, electrical conductivity, salinity, nitrogen, phosphorus, potassium) were measured, while vegetation cover was quantified using NDVI and fractional vegetation cover (FVC) derived from satellite data. Soil conditions improved markedly with reclamation age: pH, conductivity, and salinity declined, whereas nitrogen, phosphorus, and potassium accumulated significantly (p < 0.001). Vegetation shifted from salt-tolerant pioneers (e.g., Suaeda salsa, Phragmites australis) to mixed communities and cultivated rice fields (Oryza sativa), reflecting progressive improvements in soil quality. Vegetation cover increased in parallel, with NDVI rising from 0.12 ± 0.05 (Y3) to 0.35 ± 0.09 (Y15), reflecting a shift from salt-tolerant pioneers to structurally complex communities. Mantel tests revealed strong positive associations of NDVI with organic matter, nitrogen, and phosphorus, and negative associations with pH, conductivity, and salinity. Structural equation modeling identified organic matter and nitrogen enrichment, along with declining pH and dissolved salts, as dominant drivers of vegetation recovery. These results highlight a co-evolutionary process in which soil improvement and vegetation succession reinforce one another, offering insights for ecological restoration and sustainable management in coastal reclamation landscapes. Full article

As a typical coastal tourist city, Sanya has experienced large-scale urbanization driven by tourism development, leading to landscape fragmentation, disorderly urban sprawl, and irrational resource utilization. These factors have intensified regional ecological risks and caused the degradation of ecosystem service functions, thereby constraining sustainable urban development. Therefore, establishing urban ecological zoning can identify the dynamic relationship between ecological conditions and urban growth, ease human-land conflicts, and promote high-quality urban development. This study employed the value equivalency method and the landscape ecological risk index method to calculate the ecosystem service value (ESV) and the ecological risk index (ERI) of Sanya City from 2000 to 2020 and to delineate ecological zones. The PLUS model was used to predict the changes in ecological zoning of Sanya City under a natural development scenario in 2030. The results demonstrate the following: (1) The ecological risk in the study area shows a distribution pattern of “high in the south and low in the north,” with low-risk areas being the dominant type, accounting for about 80% of the total area. Over time, the area of high-risk zones has shown an increasing trend, while that of low-risk zones has decreased year by year. (2) The ecosystem service value in the study area shows a distribution pattern of “high in the north and low in the south,” with a decreasing trend over time, with a cumulative reduction of 2.11 × 10⁸ ten thousand yuan from 2000 to 2020. (3) Among the four ecological zones, the ecological protection zone is the dominant type, accounting for about 50%. The increase in the ecological early warning zone is the most significant. In contrast, the ecological optimization and improvement zones show a marked decrease. The prediction results show that by 2030, the ecological early warning and ecological protection zones will increase, while the other zones will decrease. This study adopts a temporal-dynamic approach by constructing a framework that integrates historical evolution with future simulation, providing scientific evidence for building Sanya’s ecological security pattern and spatial governance. It offers practical significance for coordinating regional ecological conservation with urban development. Full article

Understanding the spatio-temporal evolution of land consolidation is essential for optimizing regional land resource allocation and mitigating human–land conflicts during socio-economic development. This study introduced a novel framework for analyzing such patterns in China. Utilizing a two-decade (2002–2022) prefecture-level city dataset of land consolidation projects in Lianyungang, Jiangsu Province, we developed a “land consolidation intensity” metric and applied quantitative techniques—including land use transfer matrices, landscape pattern indices, Sankey diagrams, and standard deviation ellipses—to assess spatio-temporal dynamics and centroid shifts. Key findings included: (1) Land consolidation intensity exhibited distinct stages, evolving from initial development to rapid growth and eventual stabilization, closely aligning with national policy shifts. (2) The primary sources for supplemented cultivated land were ponds, rivers, and tidal flats, followed by grassland, construction land, and forest land, with cultivated land consistently dominating the consolidated landscape. (3) Land consolidation projects distribution concentrated in economic and political centers, with a spatial shift from inland western region towards the eastern coastal region. (4) Gray relational analysis identified economic development as the predominant driver, with policy and social factors providing secondary guidance. This research elucidates the spatio-temporal evolution characteristics of land consolidation at the prefecture-level city and demonstrates the utility of the proposed framework for similar analyses, offering insights relevant to national land use planning and policy formulation. Full article

Wetland ecosystems are critical for biodiversity conservation and carbon sequestration, underpinning climate regulation and sustainable development. Accurate prediction of wetland evolution is therefore essential for informed regional planning, particularly in International Wetland Cities. As one of the first designated International Wetland Cities, Haikou exemplifies the intensifying pressures faced by coastal wetlands in rapidly urbanizing regions, balancing economic development imperatives with ecological conservation. This study addresses this challenge by employing the PLUS model to simulate the spatiotemporal dynamics of wetland evolution in Haikou from 2010 to 2030 under four distinct scenarios: Business-as-Usual (BAU), Ecological Conservation (EC), Economic Development (ED), and Multi-Objective Development (MOD). The integrated approach combines landscape pattern dynamics analysis, land-use transition matrices, and quantitative assessment of driving factor contributions. Key findings reveal significant historical wetland loss between 2010 and 2020 (21.01 km²), characterized by substantial declines in artificial wetlands (paddy fields: −14.43 km²; agricultural ponds: −8.99 km²) alongside resilient growth in natural wetlands (rivers: +2.70 km²; mangroves: +1.25 km²), highlighting fundamental trade-offs between economic and ecological priorities. Scenario projections indicate that unregulated development (ED) would exacerbate wetland loss (−26.33 km²; dynamic change rate: −0.61%), including unprecedented river fragmentation (−16.0%). Conversely, strict conservation (EC) achieves near net-zero wetland loss (−0.05%) but constrains economic development capacity by 24%. Critically, the MOD scenario demonstrates an effective balance, maintaining 86% of EC’s wetland preservation efficacy while satisfying 73% of ED’s development demand. This is achieved through strategic interventions including establishing wetland protection constraints and optimizing bidirectional land conversion rules, yielding synergistic benefits. Spatial analysis identifies key conflict hotspots such as Nandu River shoreline, Dongzhai Port mangroves, necessitating targeted management strategies aligned with the heterogeneity of driving factors. This study advances the framework for sustainable wetland governance by demonstrating how multi-objective spatial planning can transform ecological-economic trade-offs into synergistic co-benefits. It provides a transferable methodological approach for coastal cities in the Global South and other International Wetland City. Full article

The preservation and protection of historic urban centers in climate-sensitive coastal areas contributes to the promotion of culture as a driver and enabler of achieving temporal and spatial sustainability, as it is recognized that urban heritage is an integral part of the urban landscape, culture, and economy. The aim of this study was to enhance the resilience and protection of cultural heritage and historic urban centers (HUCs) in the coastal area of Kaštela, Croatia, by providing recommendations and action guidelines in response to climate change impacts, including rising temperatures, sea levels, storms, droughts, and flooding. Preserving HUCs is essential to maintain their cultural values, original structures, and appearance. Many ancient coastal Roman HUCs lie partially or entirely below mean sea level, while low-lying medieval castles, urban areas, and modern developments are increasingly at risk. Based on vulnerability assessments, targeted mitigation and adaptation measures were proposed to address HUC vulnerability sources. The Historical Urban Landscape Approach tool was used to transition and manage HUCs, linking past, present, and future hazard contexts to enable rational, comprehensive, and sustainable solutions. The effective protection of HUCs requires a deeper understanding of the evolution of urban development, climate dynamics, and the natural environments, including both tangible and intangible urban heritage elements. The “hazard-specific” vulnerability assessment framework, which incorporates hazard-relevant indicators of sensitivity and adaptive capacity, was a practical tool for risk reduction. This method relies on analyzing the historical performance and physical characteristics of the system, without necessitating additional simulations of transformation processes. Full article

The coastal region of Klaipėda (Lithuania) has experienced major political, economic, social, and cultural transformations since the 20th century. Landscapes as evolving expressions of land use and land cover patterns offer a valuable lens to analyse these changes. This study examines the evolution of physical landscape structures across the pre-Soviet, Soviet, and post-Soviet periods, using historical maps and open-access geospatial data. An ontological approach, combined with morphological and configurational metrics, reveals four major and relatively persistent landscape structures: hydrological systems (sea, lagoon, rivers), forest cover, farming intensity (from extensive grassland use to intensive arable farming), and semi-natural environments. Their structural evolution reflects broader cultural factors, such as contrasting land use traditions between former Prussian and Russian territories. The study also highlights the impact of Soviet collectivisation, marked by irrigation networks, agricultural intensification, and forest expansion. The post-Soviet period is characterised by widespread farmland abandonment and fragmentation, revealing new spatial dynamics and challenges in land reappropriation. Landscape transformations are predominantly structured around agricultural dynamics. Although the analysis was limited by the incomplete availability of data for this specific land use class, the centrality of agriculture in shaping territorial organisation is evident and reinforces the strong rural identity associated with the landscape. Full article

Free trade zones are key regions experiencing rapid economic growth, urbanization, and a sharp increase in population density. During the development of free trade zones, these areas undergo drastic transformations in landscape types, large-scale urban construction, heightened resource consumption, and other associated challenges. These factors have led to severe landscape ecological risk (LER). Therefore, conducting comprehensive assessments and implementing effective management strategies for LER is crucial in advancing ecological civilization and ensuring high-quality development. This study takes Hainan Island (HI), China, as a case study and utilizes multi-source data to quantitatively evaluate land use and land cover change (LULCC) and the evolution of the LER in the study area from 2015 to 2023. Additionally, it examines the spatial patterns of LER under three future scenarios projected for 2033: a natural development scenario (NDS), an economic priority scenario (EPS), and an ecological conservation scenario (ECS). Adopting a spatiotemporal dynamic perspective framed by the “historical–present–future” approach, this research constructs a zoning framework for LER management to examine the temporal and spatial processes of risk evolution, its characteristics, future trends, and corresponding management strategies. The results indicate that, over an eight-year period, the area of built-up land expanded by 40.31% (504.85 km²). Specifically, between 2015 and 2018, built-up land increased by 95.85 km², while, from 2018 to 2023, the growth was significantly larger at 409.00 km², highlighting the widespread conversion of cropland into built-up land. From 2015 to 2023, the spatial distribution of LER in the study area exhibited a pattern of high-risk peripheries (central mountainous areas) and low-risk central regions (coastal areas). Compared to 2023, projections for 2033 under different scenarios indicate a decline in cropland (by approximately 17.8–19.45%) and grassland (by approximately 24.06–24.22%), alongside an increase in forestland (by approximately 4.5–5.35%) and built-up land (by approximately 23.5–41.35%). Under all three projected scenarios, high-risk areas expand notably, accounting for 4.52% (NDS), 3.33% (ECS), and 5.75% (EPS) of the total area. The LER maintenance area (65.25%) accounts for the largest proportion, primarily distributed in coastal economic development areas and urban–rural transition areas. In contrast, the LER mitigation area (7.57%) has the smallest proportion. Among the driving factors, the GDP (q = 0.1245) and year-end resident population (q = 0.123) were identified as the dominant factors regarding the spatial differentiation of LER. Furthermore, the interaction between economic factors and energy consumption further amplifies LER. This study proposes a policy-driven dynamic risk assessment framework, providing decision-making support and scientific guidance for LER management in tropical islands and the optimization of regional land spatial planning. Full article

The Conca d’Oro of Palermo, a plain in NW Sicily of significant historical and agricultural importance, has undergone significant landscape alterations due to agricultural strengthening and urbanization. This paper analyses the evolution of the plant landscape from early human settlements to the present by integrating historical records, cartographic analysis, and floristic surveys. Three key periods of change were identified: Roman-era deforestation for cereal cultivation, the expansion of irrigated agriculture under Arab rule, and the dominance of citrus monoculture in the 19th century. Post-World War II urban expansion led to the loss of agricultural land and natural habitats, particularly wetlands and coastal dunes. Spatial analysis revealed a drastic reduction in semi-natural areas, with agricultural land giving way to urban sprawl. Floristic studies showed the persistence of endemic plant species in fragmented natural habitats alongside the local extinction of wetlands and coastal vegetation. The Oreto River, a river with a basin that extends into the territories of the municipalities of Altofonte, Monreale, and Palermo, remains a critical biodiversity reservoir, and most other natural ecosystems have been degraded. This research provides insights into the long-term interactions between human activities and biodiversity and offers a foundation for sustainable conservation strategies in Mediterranean urban and peri-urban environments. Full article

This research examines the transformation of the Lake Pontchartrain coastal landscape, including the New Orleans shoreline. The paper addresses the critical need to understand long-term environmental change through a comprehensive geospatial analysis of historical cartographic representations. The study employs a methodology involving three key steps: (1) georeferencing maps using QGis v. 3.4.8., (2) vectorization using AutoCAD v. 2013, and (3) comparative spatial analysis to quantify coastal morphological changes. The quantitative results reveal significant coastal dynamics, with Lake Pontchartrain experiencing a total erosion balance of −36.42 km², although the New Orleans coastal zone has experienced land reclamation. This loss can be attributed to the synergistic interaction of natural (e.g., subsidence, sea level rise, hurricanes) and anthropogenic (e.g., urban development, infrastructure, ecological fragmentation) processes that have accelerated coastal erosion in the study area. The research provides a critical historical analysis of the evolution of coastal landscapes in response to anthropogenic influences. However, the methodology is constrained when it comes to addressing the socioeconomic impacts. Nevertheless, the study considered the profound environmental and societal consequences of historical governmental and social decisions, thereby underscoring the intricate interplay between natural processes and human intervention in coastal ecosystems. These findings contribute to a more profound comprehension of the processes of coastal landscape transformation, underscoring the dynamic and fragile nature of coastal environments. Full article

The Salento Leccese coast (southern Apulia, Italy) is marked both by primary and secondary coasts (cliffs and beaches); beaches, in particular, constitute about a quarter of the coastal perimeter. The Salento Leccese coast experienced dramatic change over the last two centuries due to natural and anthropic causes. This change was reconstructed through a geomorphological survey, historical cartography, and an aerial photo analysis. In particular, two case studies are described: the first one stretches along the Adriatic coast of the peninsula (Torre dell’Orso locality), and the second one is located along the Ionian coast (Torre Pali locality). For these coastal tracts, the main geomorphological features and the natural evolution that occurred during the Holocene are described, along with the anthropic modifications induced in the coastal landscape over the last two centuries. This study represents a useful knowledge background for coastal planners and decision makers, which will be utilized by the National Restoration Plans to be implemented in the near future, with the aim of restoring degraded ecosystems according to the recent Nature Restoration Law of the European Commission (2024). Full article