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Search Results (683)

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Keywords = analysis of photovoltaic potential

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27 pages, 2995 KiB  
Article
Photovoltaic System for Residential Energy Sustainability in Santa Elena, Ecuador
by Angela García-Guillén, Marllelis Gutiérrez-Hinestroza, Lucrecia Moreno-Alcívar, Lady Bravo-Montero and Gricelda Herrera-Franco
Environments 2025, 12(8), 281; https://doi.org/10.3390/environments12080281 - 15 Aug 2025
Abstract
The instability of the energy supply, growing demand and the need to reduce carbon emissions are priority challenges in developing countries such as Ecuador, where power outages affect productivity and generate economic losses. Therefore, solar energy is positioned as a sustainable alternative. The [...] Read more.
The instability of the energy supply, growing demand and the need to reduce carbon emissions are priority challenges in developing countries such as Ecuador, where power outages affect productivity and generate economic losses. Therefore, solar energy is positioned as a sustainable alternative. The objective of this study is to evaluate a pilot photovoltaic (PV) system for residential housing in coastal areas in the Santa Elena province, Ecuador. The methodology included the following: (i) criteria for the selection of three representative residential housings; (ii) design of a distributed generation system using PVsyst software; and (iii) proposal of strategic guidelines for the design of PV systems. This proposed system proved to be environmentally friendly, achieving reductions of between 16.4 and 32 tonnes of CO2 in the first 10 years. A return on investment (ROI) of 16 years was achieved for the low-demand (L) scenario, with 4 years for the medium-demand (M) scenario and 2 years for the high-demand (H) scenario. The sensitivity analysis showed that the Levelized Cost of Energy (LCOE) is more variable in the L scenario, requiring more efficient designs. It is proposed to diversify the Ecuadorian energy matrix through self-supply PV systems, which would reduce electricity costs by 6% of consumption (L scenario), 30% (M scenario), and 100% (H scenario). Although generation is concentrated during the day, the net metering scheme enables compensation for nighttime consumption without the need for batteries, thereby improving the system’s profitability. The high solar potential and high tariffs make the adoption of sustainable energy solutions a justifiable choice. Full article
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28 pages, 4927 KiB  
Review
A Review on Perovskite/Silicon Tandem Solar Cells: Current Status and Future Challenges
by Jingyu Huang and Lin Mao
Energies 2025, 18(16), 4327; https://doi.org/10.3390/en18164327 - 14 Aug 2025
Viewed by 298
Abstract
Perovskite/Si tandem solar cells (PSTSCs) have emerged as a leading candidate for surpassing the Shockley–Queisser (SQ) efficiency limit inherent to single-junction silicon solar cells. Following their inaugural demonstration in 2015, perovskite/Si tandem solar cells have experienced remarkable technological progression, reaching a certified power [...] Read more.
Perovskite/Si tandem solar cells (PSTSCs) have emerged as a leading candidate for surpassing the Shockley–Queisser (SQ) efficiency limit inherent to single-junction silicon solar cells. Following their inaugural demonstration in 2015, perovskite/Si tandem solar cells have experienced remarkable technological progression, reaching a certified power conversion efficiency of 34.9% by 2025. To elucidate pathways for realizing the full potential of perovskite/Si tandem solar cells, this review commences with an examination of fundamental operational mechanisms in multi-junction photovoltaic architectures. Subsequent sections systematically analyze technological breakthroughs across three critical PSTSC components organized by an optical path sequence: (1) innovations in perovskite photoactive layers through component engineering, additive optimization, and interfacial modification strategies; (2) developments in charge transport and recombination management via advanced interconnecting layers; and (3) silicon subcell architectures. The review concludes with a critical analysis of persistent challenges in device stability, scalability, structural optimization and fabrication method, proposing strategic research directions to accelerate the transition from laboratory-scale achievements to commercially viable photovoltaic solutions. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section A2: Solar Energy and Photovoltaic Systems)
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15 pages, 2755 KiB  
Article
Comparative Analysis of the Substitution Effect of Smart Inverter-Based Energy Storage Systems on the Improvement of Distribution System Hosting Capacity Using Vertical Photovoltaic Systems
by Seungmin Lee, Garam Kim, Seungwoo Son and Junghun Lee
Energies 2025, 18(16), 4307; https://doi.org/10.3390/en18164307 - 13 Aug 2025
Viewed by 211
Abstract
Renewable energy sources, particularly solar photovoltaics (PVs), are rapidly expanding to achieve carbon neutrality. Integrated photovoltaic (IPV) solutions in underutilized spaces offer a viable option for countries with land constraints and public opposition. Vertical PV (VPV) systems, featuring bifacial solar modules installed vertically, [...] Read more.
Renewable energy sources, particularly solar photovoltaics (PVs), are rapidly expanding to achieve carbon neutrality. Integrated photovoltaic (IPV) solutions in underutilized spaces offer a viable option for countries with land constraints and public opposition. Vertical PV (VPV) systems, featuring bifacial solar modules installed vertically, facing east and west, present a promising alternative. In contrast to conventional tilted PV (CPV) systems, which peak around midday, VPV systems generate more power in the morning and afternoon. This mitigates issues such as the duck curve and curtailment caused by midday overgeneration. Moreover, combining VPV and CPV systems can increase the solar hosting capacity of a distribution line (DL) for PV-system interconnections, driving research interest. This study assessed the hosting-capacity improvements from VPV systems by analyzing voltage fluctuations and thermal constraints using OpenDSS software (Version 9.1.1.1). The potential substitution effect of a smart inverter-based energy-storage system (ESS) was also explored. The analysis, based on real-grid conditions in South Korea, incorporated actual DL data, generation and demand profiles, and operational data from both VPV and CPV systems. Worst-case scenarios were simulated to evaluate their impact on grid stability. The results demonstrate that VPV systems can increase hosting capacity by up to 23% and ensure stable grid operation by reducing power-generation uncertainties. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section F2: Distributed Energy System)
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19 pages, 3371 KiB  
Article
Prediction of Photovoltaic Module Characteristics by Machine Learning for Renewable Energy Applications
by Rafał Porowski, Robert Kowalik, Bartosz Szeląg, Diana Komendołowicz, Anita Białek, Agata Janaszek, Magdalena Piłat-Rożek, Ewa Łazuka and Tomasz Gorzelnik
Appl. Sci. 2025, 15(16), 8868; https://doi.org/10.3390/app15168868 - 11 Aug 2025
Viewed by 437
Abstract
Photovoltaic (PV) modules undergo comprehensive testing to validate their electrical and thermal properties prior to market entry. These evaluations consist of durability and efficiency tests performed under realistic outdoor conditions with natural climatic influences, as well as in controlled laboratory settings. The overall [...] Read more.
Photovoltaic (PV) modules undergo comprehensive testing to validate their electrical and thermal properties prior to market entry. These evaluations consist of durability and efficiency tests performed under realistic outdoor conditions with natural climatic influences, as well as in controlled laboratory settings. The overall performance of PV cells is affected by several factors, including solar irradiance, operating temperature, installation site parameters, prevailing weather, and shading effects. In the presented study, three distinct PV modules were analyzed using a sophisticated large-scale steady-state solar simulator. The current–voltage (I-V) characteristics of each module were precisely measured and subsequently scrutinized. To augment the analysis, a three-layer artificial neural network, specifically the multilayer perceptron (MLP), was developed. The experimental measurements, along with the outputs derived from the MLP model, served as the foundation for a comprehensive global sensitivity analysis (GSA). The experimental results revealed variances between the manufacturer’s declared values and those recorded during testing. The first module achieved a maximum power point that exceeded the manufacturer’s specification. Conversely, the second and third modules delivered power values corresponding to only 85–87% and 95–98% of their stated capacities, respectively. The global sensitivity analysis further indicated that while certain parameters, such as efficiency and the ratio of Voc/V, played a dominant role in influencing the power-voltage relationship, another parameter, U, exhibited a comparatively minor effect. These results highlight the significant potential of integrating machine learning techniques into the performance evaluation and predictive analysis of photovoltaic modules. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue New Trends in Renewable Energy and Power Systems)
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17 pages, 2652 KiB  
Article
First-Principles and Device-Level Investigation of β-AgGaO2 Ferroelectric Semiconductors for Photovoltaic Applications
by Wen-Jie Hu, Xin-Yu Zhang, Xiao-Tong Zhu, Yan-Li Hu, Hua-Kai Xu, Xiang-Fu Xu, You-Da Che, Xing-Yuan Chen, Li-Ting Niu and Bing Dai
Photonics 2025, 12(8), 803; https://doi.org/10.3390/photonics12080803 - 11 Aug 2025
Viewed by 221
Abstract
Ferroelectric semiconductors, with their inherent spontaneous polarization, present a promising approach for efficient charge separation, making them attractive for photovoltaic applications. The potential of β-AgGaO2, a polar ternary oxide with an orthorhombic Pna21 structure, as a light-absorbing material is evaluated. [...] Read more.
Ferroelectric semiconductors, with their inherent spontaneous polarization, present a promising approach for efficient charge separation, making them attractive for photovoltaic applications. The potential of β-AgGaO2, a polar ternary oxide with an orthorhombic Pna21 structure, as a light-absorbing material is evaluated. First-principles computational analysis reveals that β-AgGaO2 possesses an indirect bandgap of 2.1 eV and exhibits pronounced absorption within the visible spectral range. Optical simulations suggest that a 300 nm thick absorber layer could theoretically achieve a power conversion efficiency (PCE) of 20%. Device-level simulations using SCAPS-1D evaluate the influence of hole and electron transport layers on solar cell performance. Among the tested hole transport materials, Cu2FeSnS4 (CFTS) achieves the highest PCE of 14%, attributed to its optimized valence band alignment and reduced recombination losses. In contrast, no significant improvements were observed with the electron transport layers tested. These findings indicate the potential of β-AgGaO2 as a ferroelectric photovoltaic absorber and emphasize the importance of band alignment and interface engineering for optimizing device performance. Full article
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35 pages, 12369 KiB  
Article
Technical and Economic Analysis of Sustainable Photovoltaic Systems for Street Lighting
by Valeriu-Sebastian Hudișteanu, Ionuț Nica, Marina Verdeș, Iuliana Hudișteanu, Nelu-Cristian Cherecheș, Florin-Emilian Țurcanu, Iulian Gherasim and Catalin-Daniel Galatanu
Sustainability 2025, 17(16), 7179; https://doi.org/10.3390/su17167179 - 8 Aug 2025
Viewed by 305
Abstract
This paper presents an analysis of the feasibility and sustainability of using local photovoltaic systems, ON-GRID central photovoltaic systems, and HYBRID systems for street lighting. By generating electricity from renewable sources (photovoltaic panels), solar energy contributes to environmental protection by avoiding the use [...] Read more.
This paper presents an analysis of the feasibility and sustainability of using local photovoltaic systems, ON-GRID central photovoltaic systems, and HYBRID systems for street lighting. By generating electricity from renewable sources (photovoltaic panels), solar energy contributes to environmental protection by avoiding the use of fossil fuels and nuclear fission energy, while also aligning with the European Union’s Energy Strategy commitments for the medium term (until 2030) and long term (toward 2050). The implementation of local/central photovoltaic systems for street lighting largely depends on the existing power supply infrastructure, the solar potential of the site, and a clear understanding of potential electricity and cost savings. This study compares local and central photovoltaic systems for street lighting to analyze their technical performance and economic feasibility. The main sustainable objective that this work aims to achieve is Sustainable Development Goal 7. The optimal solution for photovoltaic systems in street lighting was determined through this analysis. The estimated cost for implementing an ON-GRID photovoltaic power plant with a capacity of 153.90 kWp is approximately EUR 773,977.22, with a discounted Payback Time of about 9.33 years. The implementation of this solution results in an annual reduction in greenhouse gas emissions by approximately 58.52 tons of CO2. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Outdoor Lighting Innovations and the Sustainable Development Goals)
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32 pages, 5466 KiB  
Article
Comprehensive Energy and Economic Analysis of Selected Variants of a Large-Scale Photovoltaic Power Plant in a Temperate Climate
by Dennis Thom, Artur Bugała, Dorota Bugała and Wojciech Czekała
Energies 2025, 18(15), 4198; https://doi.org/10.3390/en18154198 - 7 Aug 2025
Viewed by 464
Abstract
In recent years, solar energy has emerged as one of the most advanced renewable energy sources, with its production capacity steadily growing. To maximize output and efficiency, choosing the right configuration for a specific location for these installations is crucial. This study uniquely [...] Read more.
In recent years, solar energy has emerged as one of the most advanced renewable energy sources, with its production capacity steadily growing. To maximize output and efficiency, choosing the right configuration for a specific location for these installations is crucial. This study uniquely integrates detailed multi-variant fixed-tilt PV system simulations with comprehensive economic evaluation under temperate climate conditions, addressing site-specific spatial constraints and grid integration considerations that have rarely been combined in previous works. In this paper, an energy and economic efficiency analysis for a photovoltaic power plant, located in central Poland, designed in eight variants (10°, 15°, 20°, 25°, 30° PV module inclination angle for a south orientation and 10°, 20°, 30° for an east–west orientation) for a limited building area of approximately 300,000 m2 was conducted. In PVSyst computer simulations, PVGIS-SARAH2 solar radiation data were used together with the most common data for describing the Polish local solar climate, called Typical Meteorological Year data (TMY). The most energy-efficient variants were found to be 20° S and 30° S, configurations with the highest surface production coefficient (249.49 and 272.68 kWh/m2) and unit production efficiency values (1123 and 1132 kWh/kW, respectively). These findings highlight potential efficiency gains of up to approximately 9% in surface production coefficient and financial returns exceeding 450% ROI, demonstrating significant economic benefits. In economic terms, the 15° S variant achieved the highest values of financial parameters, such as the return on investment (ROI) (453.2%), the value of the average annual share of profits in total revenues (56.93%), the shortest expected payback period (8.7 years), the value of the levelized cost of energy production (LCOE) (0.1 EUR/kWh), and one of the lowest costs of building 1 MWp of a photovoltaic farm (664,272.7 EUR/MWp). Among the tested variants of photovoltaic farms with an east–west geographical orientation, the most advantageous choice is the 10° EW arrangement. The results provide valuable insights for policymakers and investors aiming to optimize photovoltaic deployment in temperate climates, supporting the broader transition to renewable energy and alignment with national energy policy goals. Full article
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24 pages, 19050 KiB  
Article
Innovative Deposition of AZO as Recombination Layer on Silicon Nanowire Scaffold for Potential Application in Silicon/Perovskite Tandem Solar Cell
by Grażyna Kulesza-Matlak, Marek Szindler, Magdalena M. Szindler, Milena Kiliszkiewicz, Urszula Wawrzaszek, Anna Sypień, Łukasz Major and Kazimierz Drabczyk
Energies 2025, 18(15), 4193; https://doi.org/10.3390/en18154193 - 7 Aug 2025
Viewed by 342
Abstract
Transparent conductive aluminum-doped zinc oxide (AZO) films were investigated as potential recombination layers for perovskite/silicon tandem solar cells, comparing the results of atomic layer deposition (ALD) and magnetron sputtering (MS) on vertically aligned silicon nanowire (SiNW) scaffolds. Conformality and thickness control were examined [...] Read more.
Transparent conductive aluminum-doped zinc oxide (AZO) films were investigated as potential recombination layers for perovskite/silicon tandem solar cells, comparing the results of atomic layer deposition (ALD) and magnetron sputtering (MS) on vertically aligned silicon nanowire (SiNW) scaffolds. Conformality and thickness control were examined by cross-sectional SEM/TEM and profilometry, revealing fully conformal ALD coatings with tunable thicknesses (40–120 nm) versus tip-capped, semi-uniform MS films (100–120 nm). Optical transmission measurements on glass substrates showed that both 120 nm ALD and MS layers exhibit interference maxima near 450–500 nm and 72–89% transmission across 800–1200 nm; the thinnest ALD films reached up to 86% near-IR transparency. Four-point probe analysis demonstrated that ALD reduces surface resistance from 1150 Ω/□ at 40 nm to 245 Ω/□ at 120 nm, while MS layers achieved 317 Ω/□ at 120 nm. These results delineate the balance between conformality, transparency, and conductivity, providing design guidelines for AZO recombination interfaces in next-generation tandem photovoltaics. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Perovskite Solar Cells and Tandem Photovoltaics)
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26 pages, 5304 KiB  
Article
Multi-Criteria Optimization and Techno-Economic Assessment of a Wind–Solar–Hydrogen Hybrid System for a Plateau Tourist City Using HOMER and Shannon Entropy-EDAS Models
by Jingyu Shi, Ran Xu, Dongfang Li, Tao Zhu, Nanyu Fan, Zhanghua Hong, Guohua Wang, Yong Han and Xing Zhu
Energies 2025, 18(15), 4183; https://doi.org/10.3390/en18154183 - 7 Aug 2025
Viewed by 401
Abstract
Hydrogen offers an effective pathway for the large-scale storage of renewable energy. For a tourist city located in a plateau region rich in renewable energy, hydrogen shows great potential for reducing carbon emissions and utilizing uncertain renewable energy. Herein, the wind–solar–hydrogen stand-alone and [...] Read more.
Hydrogen offers an effective pathway for the large-scale storage of renewable energy. For a tourist city located in a plateau region rich in renewable energy, hydrogen shows great potential for reducing carbon emissions and utilizing uncertain renewable energy. Herein, the wind–solar–hydrogen stand-alone and grid-connected systems in the plateau tourist city of Lijiang City in Yunnan Province are modeled and techno-economically evaluated by using the HOMER Pro software (version 3.14.2) with the multi-criteria decision analysis models. The system is composed of 5588 kW solar photovoltaic panels, an 800 kW wind turbine, a 1600 kW electrolyzer, a 421 kWh battery, and a 50 kW fuel cell. In addition to meeting the power requirements for system operation, the system has the capacity to provide daily electricity for 200 households in a neighborhood and supply 240 kg of hydrogen per day to local hydrogen-fueled buses. The stand-alone system can produce 10.15 × 106 kWh of electricity and 93.44 t of hydrogen per year, with an NPC of USD 8.15 million, an LCOE of USD 0.43/kWh, and an LCOH of USD 5.26/kg. The grid-connected system can generate 10.10 × 106 kWh of electricity and 103.01 ton of hydrogen annually. Its NPC is USD 7.34 million, its LCOE is USD 0.11/kWh, and its LCOH is USD 3.42/kg. This study provides a new solution for optimizing the configuration of hybrid renewable energy systems, which will develop the hydrogen economy and create low-carbon-emission energy systems. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section B: Energy and Environment)
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28 pages, 2340 KiB  
Article
Determining the Operating Performance of an Isolated, High-Power, Photovoltaic Pumping System Through Sensor Measurements
by Florin Dragan, Dorin Bordeasu and Ioan Filip
Appl. Sci. 2025, 15(15), 8639; https://doi.org/10.3390/app15158639 - 4 Aug 2025
Viewed by 402
Abstract
Modernizing irrigation systems (ISs) from traditional gravity methods to sprinkler and drip technologies has significantly improved water use efficiency. However, it has simultaneously increased electricity demand and operational costs. Integrating photovoltaic generators into ISs represents a promising solution, as solar energy availability typically [...] Read more.
Modernizing irrigation systems (ISs) from traditional gravity methods to sprinkler and drip technologies has significantly improved water use efficiency. However, it has simultaneously increased electricity demand and operational costs. Integrating photovoltaic generators into ISs represents a promising solution, as solar energy availability typically aligns with peak irrigation periods. Despite this potential, photovoltaic pumping systems (PVPSs) often face reliability issues due to fluctuations in solar irradiance, resulting in frequent start/stop cycles and premature equipment wear. The IEC 62253 standard establishes procedures for evaluating PVPS performance but primarily addresses steady-state conditions, neglecting transient regimes. As the main contribution, the current paper proposes a non-intrusive, high-resolution monitoring system and a methodology to assess the performance of an isolated, high-power PVPS, considering also transient regimes. The system records critical electrical, hydraulic and environmental parameters every second, enabling in-depth analysis under various weather conditions. Two performance indicators, pumped volume efficiency and equivalent operating time, were used to evaluate the system’s performance. The results indicate that near-optimal performance is only achievable under clear sky conditions. Under the appearance of clouds, control strategies designed to protect the system reduce overall efficiency. The proposed methodology enables detailed performance diagnostics and supports the development of more robust PVPSs. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue New Trends in Renewable Energy and Power Systems)
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19 pages, 10990 KiB  
Article
Geospatial Assessment and Economic Analysis of Rooftop Solar Photovoltaic Potential in Thailand
by Linux Farungsang, Alvin Christopher G. Varquez and Koji Tokimatsu
Sustainability 2025, 17(15), 7052; https://doi.org/10.3390/su17157052 - 4 Aug 2025
Viewed by 470
Abstract
Evaluating the renewable energy potential, such as that of solar photovoltaics (PV), is important for developing renewable energy policies. This study investigated rooftop solar PV potential in Thailand based on open-source geographic information system (GIS) building footprints, solar PV power output, and the [...] Read more.
Evaluating the renewable energy potential, such as that of solar photovoltaics (PV), is important for developing renewable energy policies. This study investigated rooftop solar PV potential in Thailand based on open-source geographic information system (GIS) building footprints, solar PV power output, and the most recent land use data (2022). GIS-based overlay analysis, buffering, fishnet modeling, and spatial join operations were applied to assess rooftop availability across various building types, taking into account PV module installation parameters and optimal panel orientation. Economic feasibility and sensitivity analyses were conducted using standard economic metrics, including net present value (NPV), internal rate of return (IRR), payback period, and benefit–cost ratio (BCR). The findings showed a total rooftop solar PV power generation potential of 50.32 TWh/year, equivalent to 25.5% of Thailand’s total electricity demand in 2022. The Central region contributed the highest potential (19.59 TWh/year, 38.94%), followed by the Northeastern (10.49 TWh/year, 20.84%), Eastern (8.16 TWh/year, 16.22%), Northern (8.09 TWh/year, 16.09%), and Southern regions (3.99 TWh/year, 7.92%). Both commercial and industrial sectors reflect the financial viability of rooftop PV installations and significantly contribute to the overall energy output. These results demonstrate the importance of incorporating rooftop solar PV in renewable energy policy development in regions with similar data infrastructure, particularly the availability of detailed and standardized land use data for building type classification. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Energy Sustainability)
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37 pages, 10560 KiB  
Article
Optimizing Building Performance with Dynamic Photovoltaic Shading Systems: A Comparative Analysis of Six Adaptive Designs
by Roshanak Roshan Kharrat, Giuseppe Perfetto, Roberta Ingaramo and Guglielmina Mutani
Smart Cities 2025, 8(4), 127; https://doi.org/10.3390/smartcities8040127 - 3 Aug 2025
Viewed by 460
Abstract
Dynamic and Adaptive solar systems demonstrate a greater potential to enhance the satisfaction of occupants, in terms of indoor environment quality and the energy efficiency of the buildings, than conventional shading solutions. This study has evaluated Dynamic and Adaptive Photovoltaic Shading Systems (DAPVSSs) [...] Read more.
Dynamic and Adaptive solar systems demonstrate a greater potential to enhance the satisfaction of occupants, in terms of indoor environment quality and the energy efficiency of the buildings, than conventional shading solutions. This study has evaluated Dynamic and Adaptive Photovoltaic Shading Systems (DAPVSSs) through a comprehensive analysis of six shading designs in which their energy production and the comfort of occupants were considered. Energy generation, thermal comfort, daylight, and glare control have been assessed in this study, considering multiple orientations throughout the seasons, and a variety of tools, such as Rhino 6.0, Grasshopper, ClimateStudio 2.1, and Ladybug, have been exploited for these purposes. The results showed that the prototypes that were geometrically more complex, designs 5 and 6 in particular, had approximately 485 kWh higher energy production and energy savings for cooling and 48% better glare control than the other simplified configurations while maintaining the minimum daylight as the threshold (min DF: 2%) due to adaptive and control methodologies. Design 6 demonstrated optimal balanced performance for all the aforementioned criteria, achieving 587 kWh/year energy production while maintaining the daylight factor within the 2.1–2.9% optimal range and ensuring visual comfort compliance during 94% of occupied hours. This research has established a framework that can be used to make well-informed design decisions that could balance energy production, occupants’ wellbeing, and architectural integration, while advancing sustainable building envelope technologies. Full article
(This article belongs to the Topic Sustainable Building Development and Promotion)
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22 pages, 3409 KiB  
Article
Short-Term Prediction Intervals for Photovoltaic Power via Multi-Level Analysis and Dual Dynamic Integration
by Kaiyang Kuang, Jingshan Zhang, Qifan Chen, Yan Zhou, Yan Yan, Litao Dai and Guanghu Wang
Electronics 2025, 14(15), 3068; https://doi.org/10.3390/electronics14153068 - 31 Jul 2025
Viewed by 239
Abstract
There is an obvious correlation between the photovoltaic (PV) output of different physical levels; that is, the overall power change trend of large-scale regional (high-level) stations can provide a reference for the prediction of the output of sub-regional (low-level) stations. The current PV [...] Read more.
There is an obvious correlation between the photovoltaic (PV) output of different physical levels; that is, the overall power change trend of large-scale regional (high-level) stations can provide a reference for the prediction of the output of sub-regional (low-level) stations. The current PV prediction methods have not deeply explored the multi-level PV power generation elements and have not considered the correlation between different levels, resulting in the inability to obtain potential information on PV power generation. Moreover, traditional probabilistic prediction models lack adaptability, which can lead to a decrease in prediction performance under different PV prediction scenarios. Therefore, a probabilistic prediction method for short-term PV power based on multi-level adaptive dynamic integration is proposed in this paper. Firstly, an analysis is conducted on the multi-level PV power stations together with the influence of the trend of high-level PV power generation on the forecast of low-level power generation. Then, the PV data are decomposed into multiple layers using the complete ensemble empirical mode decomposition with adaptive noise (CEEMDAN) and analyzed by combining fuzzy entropy (FE) and mutual information (MI). After that, a new multi-level model prediction method, namely, the improved dual dynamic adaptive stacked generalization (I-Stacking) ensemble learning model, is proposed to construct short-term PV power generation prediction models. Finally, an improved dynamic adaptive kernel density estimation (KDE) method for prediction errors is proposed, which optimizes the performance of the prediction intervals (PIs) through variable bandwidth. Through comparative experiments and analysis using traditional methods, the effectiveness of the proposed method is verified. Full article
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23 pages, 544 KiB  
Article
Assessment of the Impact of Solar Power Integration and AI Technologies on Sustainable Local Development: A Case Study from Serbia
by Aco Benović, Miroslav Miškić, Vladan Pantović, Slađana Vujičić, Dejan Vidojević, Mladen Opačić and Filip Jovanović
Sustainability 2025, 17(15), 6977; https://doi.org/10.3390/su17156977 - 31 Jul 2025
Viewed by 254
Abstract
As the global energy transition accelerates, the integration of solar power and artificial intelligence (AI) technologies offers new pathways for sustainable local development. This study examines four Serbian municipalities—Šabac, Sombor, Pirot, and Čačak—to assess how AI-enabled solar power systems can enhance energy resilience, [...] Read more.
As the global energy transition accelerates, the integration of solar power and artificial intelligence (AI) technologies offers new pathways for sustainable local development. This study examines four Serbian municipalities—Šabac, Sombor, Pirot, and Čačak—to assess how AI-enabled solar power systems can enhance energy resilience, reduce emissions, and support community-level sustainability goals. Using a mixed-method approach combining spatial analysis, predictive modeling, and stakeholder interviews, this research study evaluates the performance and institutional readiness of local governments in terms of implementing intelligent solar infrastructure. Key AI applications included solar potential mapping, demand-side management, and predictive maintenance of photovoltaic (PV) systems. Quantitative results show an improvement >60% in forecasting accuracy, a 64% reduction in system downtime, and a 9.7% increase in energy cost savings. These technical gains were accompanied by positive trends in SDG-aligned indicators, such as improved electricity access and local job creation in the green economy. Despite challenges related to data infrastructure, regulatory gaps, and limited AI literacy, this study finds that institutional coordination and leadership commitment are decisive for successful implementation. The proposed AI–Solar Integration for Local Sustainability (AISILS) framework offers a replicable model for emerging economies. Policy recommendations include investing in foundational digital infrastructure, promoting low-code AI platforms, and aligning AI–solar projects with SDG targets to attract EU and national funding. This study contributes new empirical evidence on the digital–renewable energy nexus in Southeast Europe and underscores the strategic role of AI in accelerating inclusive, data-driven energy transitions at the municipal level. Full article
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19 pages, 1761 KiB  
Article
Prediction of China’s Silicon Wafer Price: A GA-PSO-BP Model
by Jining Wang, Hui Chen and Lei Wang
Mathematics 2025, 13(15), 2453; https://doi.org/10.3390/math13152453 - 30 Jul 2025
Viewed by 230
Abstract
The BP (Back-Propagation) neural network model (hereafter referred to as the BP model) often gets stuck in local optima when predicting China’s silicon wafer price, which hurts the accuracy of the forecasts. This study addresses the issue by enhancing the BP model. It [...] Read more.
The BP (Back-Propagation) neural network model (hereafter referred to as the BP model) often gets stuck in local optima when predicting China’s silicon wafer price, which hurts the accuracy of the forecasts. This study addresses the issue by enhancing the BP model. It integrates the principles of genetic algorithm (GA) with particle swarm optimization (PSO) to develop a new model called the GA-PSO-BP. This study also considers the material price from both the supply and demand sides of the photovoltaic industry. These prices are important factors in China’s silicon wafer price prediction. This research indicates that improving the BP model by integrating GA allows for a broader exploration of potential solution spaces. This approach helps to prevent local minima and identify the optimal solution. The BP model converges more quickly by using PSO for weight initialization. Additionally, the method by which particles share information decreases the probability of being confined to local optima. The upgraded GA-PSO-BP model demonstrates improved generalization capabilities and makes more accurate predictions. The MAE (Mean Absolute Error) value of the GA-PSO-BP model is 31.01% lower than those of the standalone BP model and also falls by 19.36% and 16.28% relative to the GA-BP and PSO-BP models, respectively. The smaller the value, the closer the prediction result of the model is to the actual value. This model has proven effective and superior in China’s silicon wafer price prediction. This capability makes it an essential resource for market analysis and decision-making within the silicon wafer industry. Full article
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