Search Results (1,485)

Surface solar radiation (SSR) is a critical component of the Earth’s energy balance and plays a pivotal role in climate modelling, hydrological processes, and solar energy planning. In data-scarce regions like India, where dense ground-based radiation networks are limited, reanalysis and satellite-derived SSR datasets are often utilized to fill observational gaps. However, these datasets are subject to systematic biases, particularly under diverse sky and seasonal conditions. This study presents a comprehensive evaluation of four widely used SSR datasets: ERA5, IMDAA, MERRA2, and CERES, against high-quality in situ observations from 27 India Meteorological Department (IMD) stations, for the period 1985–2020. The assessment incorporates multi-scale temporal analysis (daily/monthly), spatial validation, and sky-condition stratification via the clearness index (K_t). The results indicate that CERES exhibits the best overall performance with the lowest RMSE (16.30 W/m²), minimal bias (–2.5%), and strong correlation (r = 0.97; p = 0.01), particularly under partly cloudy conditions. ERA5, with a finer spatial resolution, also performs robustly (RMSE = 20.80 W/m²; MBE = –0.8%; r = 0.94; p = 0.01), showing consistent agreement with observed seasonal cycles, though slightly underestimating SSR during monsoonal cloud cover. MERRA2 shows moderate overestimation (+4.4%) with region-specific bias variability, while IMDAA demonstrates persistent overestimation (+10.2%) across all conditions, highlighting limited sensitivity to atmospheric transparency. Importantly, this study reconciles apparent contradictions between monthly and sky condition-based bias analyses, attributing them to aggregation differences. While reanalysis datasets overestimate SSR during the monsoon on average, they tend to underestimate it under heavily overcast conditions. These insights are critical for guiding the selection and application of SSR datasets in solar energy modelling, SPV system design, and climate diagnostics across India’s heterogeneous atmospheric regimes. Full article

Asphalt pavements are highly sensitive to climatic conditions, and their performance and longevity are significantly affected by temperature fluctuations, precipitation, and extreme weather events. With increasing climate variability, the development of refined and adaptive climate zoning systems for pavement engineering has become essential. This study reviews the evolution, methodologies, and applications of asphalt pavement climate zoning in China. First, it delineates the historical progression of climate zoning into three stages, from general natural zoning to the specialized three-indicator model and performance grade (PG) system, and finally to refined spatial processing based on meteorological data. Notably, 48% of provinces have conducted localized zoning studies, with South and Northeast China as key focus areas. Second, this study classifies existing zoning models into three major categories: the traditional three-indicator model (based on high temperature, low temperature, and precipitation), the hydrothermal coefficient model tailored to hot, humid climates, and clustering models incorporating spatial interpolation and multivariate analysis. While the three-indicator model remains the most widely applied due to its simplicity, it may result in coarse divisions in climatically diverse regions. The hydrothermal model offers general guidance but limited accuracy, whereas clustering methods provide high-resolution, adaptive zoning results at the cost of increased computational complexity. Third, the application of climate zoning results to the PG system for asphalt binder classification is analyzed. Although SHRP, LTPP, and C-SHRP formulas are commonly used, C-SHRP tends to overestimate pavement temperatures by 6.0–8.6 °C in China. Approximately 68.8% of studies rely on existing formulas, while 31.2% propose localized conversions to improve PG grading accuracy. Overall, this review identifies both the methodological diversity and key challenges in China’s climate zoning practices and provides a scientific foundation for more performance-oriented, climate-resilient pavement design strategies. Full article

The spatial extent of the global land monsoon (GLM), known as the global land monsoon area, is a fundamental climate characteristic with significant socio-ecological implications. While the influence of natural external forcing on GLM intensity during the last millennium (950–1850) is becoming increasingly understood, the responses of the GLM area remain less explored. This study investigates the forced interdecadal variability in the GLM area using the Community Earth System Model Ensemble, focusing on two key drivers: global mean surface temperature (GMST) changes and variations in the tropical Pacific temperature gradient (TPTG). Our analysis reveals that these drivers explain approximately 33% of forced GLM area variance. Global cooling (Cool-GMST) and weakened Pacific gradients (Weak-TPTG) induce significant area contractions of −0.37% and −0.74%, respectively. Most notably, the response to compound forcing is highly non-linear. Concurrent episodes of strong cooling and Weak-TPTG induce a substantially amplified GLM area reduction of −1.37%, far exceeding the linear sum of the individual driver effects. This non-linear amplification, driven by synergistic decreases in both APR and SPF, challenges the conventional assumptions used to model and attribute monsoon boundary changes. This discovery of a non-linear threshold-dependent behavior in the monsoon’s spatial extent, which contrasts with the more linear response of monsoon intensity, is a key finding of our study. This distinction is critical for interpreting paleoclimate records, and serves as a strong indication that future climate projections must account for such non-linearities to avoid underestimating the risk of abrupt monsoon boundary shifts under combined natural and anthropogenic stressors. Full article

Longnan is the largest olive cultivation area in China. The unique microclimates in Longnan make it an ideal testing ground for climate-resilient cultivation strategies with broader applications across similar regions, yet predictive models linking weather to oil quality remain scarce. This study establishes a climate suitability evaluation model for olive cultivation in central Longnan based on meteorological data and olive quality data in the Fotanggou planting base. Four key climatic factors are identified: cumulative sunshine hours during the fruit coloring to ripening period, average temperature during the fruit coloring to harvesting period, number of cloudy and rainy days during the harvesting period, and relative humidity during the fruit setting to fruit enlargement period. Olive oil quality is graded into three levels (Excellent III, Good II, Fair I) based on acidity, linoleic acid, and peroxide value using K-means clustering. A climate suitability index is developed by integrating these factors, with weights determined via principal component analysis. The model is validated against an olive quality report from the Dabao planting base, showing an 80% match rate. From 1991 to 2023, 87.9% of years exhibit suitable or moderately suitable conditions, with 100% of years in the past decade (2014–2023) reaching “Good” or “Excellent” levels. This model provides a scientific basis for evaluating and predicting olive oil quality, supporting sustainable olive industry development in Longnan. This model provides policymakers and farmers with actionable insights to ensure the long-term sustainability of olive industry amid climate uncertainty. Full article

To investigate the spatiotemporal evolution characteristics and primary driving factors of Gross Primary Productivity (GPP) on the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau, we employed an enhanced MODIS-PSN model. Utilizing the fifth-generation global climate reanalysis dataset (ECMWF ERA5), we generated GPP remote sensing products by integrating six natural factors. Through correlation analysis and geographical detector modeling, we quantitatively analyzed the spatiotemporal dynamics and key drivers of vegetation GPP across the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau from 2001 to 2022. The results demonstrate that GPP changes across the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau display pronounced spatial heterogeneity. The humid northeastern and southeastern regions exhibit significantly positive change rates, primarily distributed across wetland and forest ecosystems, with a maximum mean annual change rate of 12.40 gC/m²/year. In contrast, the central and southern regions display a decreasing trend, with the minimum change rate reaching −1.61 gC/m²/year, predominantly concentrated in alpine grasslands and desert areas. Vegetation GPP on the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau shows significant correlations with temperature, vapor pressure deficit (VPD), evapotranspiration (ET), leaf area index (LAI), precipitation, and radiation. Among the factors analyzed, LAI demonstrates the strongest explanatory power for spatial variations in vegetation GPP across the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau. The dominant factors influencing vegetation GPP on the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau are LAI, ET, and precipitation. The pairwise interactions between these factors exhibit linear enhancement effects, demonstrating synergistic multifactor interactions. This study systematically analyzed the response mechanisms and variations of vegetation GPP to multiple driving factors across the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau from a spatial heterogeneity perspective. The findings provide both a critical theoretical framework and practical insights for better understanding ecosystem response dynamics and drought conditions on the plateau. Full article

Against the backdrop of multifaceted strategies to combat climate change, understanding soil erosion’s role in carbon cycling is critical due to terrestrial carbon pool vulnerability. This study integrates bibliometric methods with visualization tools (CiteSpace, VOSviewer) to analyze 3880 Web of Science core publications (1994–2024, inclusive), constructing knowledge graphs and forecasting trends. The results show exponential publication growth, shifting from slow development (1994–2011) to rapid expansion (2012–2024), aligning with international climate policy milestones. The Chinese Academy of Sciences led productivity (519 articles), while the US demonstrated major influence (H-index 117; 52,297 citations), creating a China–US bipolar research pattern. It was also found that Dutch journals dominate this research field. A keyword analysis revealed a shift from erosion-driven carbon transport to ecosystem service assessments. Emerging hotspots include microbial community regulation, climate–erosion feedback, and model–policy integration, though developing country collaboration remains limited. Future research should prioritize isotope tracing, multiscale modeling, and studies in ecologically vulnerable regions to enhance global soil carbon management. This study provides a novel analytical framework and forward-looking perspective for the soil erosion research on soil carbon cycling, serving as an extension of climate change mitigation strategies. Full article

This study investigated the nuanced influence of urban morphology on the thermal performance of nine mass housing blocks (21–26, 28–30) in New Belgrade’s Central Zone. These blocks, showcasing diverse structures, provided a robust basis for evaluating the design parameters. ENVI-met simulations were used to assess two scenarios: an “asphalt-only” environment, isolating the urban structure’s impact, and a “real-world” scenario, including green infrastructure (GI). Overall, the findings emphasize that while GI offers mitigation, the inherent urban built structure fundamentally determines thermal outcomes. An urban block’s thermal performance, it turns out, is a complex interplay between morphological factors and local climate. Crucially, simple metrics like Green Area Percentage (GAP) and Building Coverage Ratio (BCR) proved unreliable predictors of thermal performance. This highlights the critical need for urban planning regulations to evolve beyond basic surface indicators and embrace sophisticated, context-sensitive design principles for effective heat mitigation. Optimal performance arises from morphologies that actively manage heat accumulation and facilitate its dissipation, a characteristic exemplified by Block 22’s integrated design. However, even the best-performing Block 22 remains warmer compared to denser central areas, suggesting that urban densification can be a strategy for heat mitigation. Given New Belgrade’s blocks are protected heritage, targeted GI reinforcements remain the only viable approach for improving the outdoor thermal comfort. Full article

As the climate problem is getting more and more serious and the “low-carbon revolution” of globalization is emerging, the logistics industry, as a high-end service industry, must also take the road of low-carbon development. Improving logistics carbon emission efficiency (LCEE) is gradually becoming an inevitable choice to maintain sustainable social development. The study uses the Super-SBM (Super-Slack-Based Measure) model to evaluate the urban LCEE from 2013 to 2022, explores the contribution of efficiency changes and technological progress to LCEE through the decomposition of the GML (Global Malmquist–Luenberger) index, and reveals the influence of digital transformation and energy consumption structure on LCEE by using the Spatial Durbin Model, concluding as follows: (1) LCEE declines from east to west, with large regional differences. (2) LCEE has steadily increased over the past decade, with slower growth from east to west. It fell in 2020 due to COVID-19 but has since recovered. (3) LCEE shows a catching-up effect among the three major regions, with technological progress being a key driver of improvement. (4) LCEE has significant spatial dependence. Energy consumption structure has a short-term negative spillover effect, while digital transformation has a positive spillover effect. Full article

Previous research has primarily focused on assessing seasonal mean or annual extreme climate events, whereas intraseasonal variability in extreme climate has received comparatively little attention, despite its importance for understanding short-term climate dynamics and associated risks. This study evaluates the performance of nine climate models from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) in reproducing summer maximum temperature (Tmax) variability across China during 1979–2014, with the variability defined as the standard deviation of daily Tmax anomalies for each summer. Results show that most CMIP6 models fail to reproduce the observed north–south gradient of Tmax variability with significant regional biases and limited agreement on temporal trends. The multi-model ensemble (MME) outperforms most individual models in terms of root-mean-square error and spatial correlation, but it still under-represents the observed temporal trends, especially over southeastern and central China. Taylor diagram analysis reveals that EC-Earth3, GISS-E2-1-G, IPSL-CM6A-LR, and the MME perform relatively well in capturing the spatial characteristics of Tmax variability, whereas MIROC6 shows the poorest performance. These findings highlight the persistent limitations in simulating intraseasonal Tmax variability and underscore the need for improved model representations of regional climate dynamics over China. Full article

Change in sea level (SL) is an important indicator of global warming, since it reflects alterations in several components of the climate system at once. The main factors behind this phenomenon are the melting of glaciers and thermal expansion of ocean water, with the latter contributing about 40% to the overall rise in SL. Rising SL indirectly indicates an increase in ocean heat content and, consequently, its surface temperature. Previous studies have found that tropical sea surface temperature (SST) is critical to regulating the Earth’s climate and weather patterns in high and mid-latitudes. For this reason, SST and SL in the tropics can be considered as precursors of both global climate change and the emergence of climate anomalies in extratropical latitudes. Although SST has been used in this capacity in a number of studies, similar research regarding SL had not been conducted until recently. In this paper, we examine the links between SL in the tropical North Atlantic and North Pacific Oceans and surface air temperature (SAT) at mid- and high latitudes, with the aim of assessing the potential of SL as a predictor in forecasting SAT anomalies. To identify similarities between the variability of tropical SL and SST and that of SAT in high- and mid-latitude regions, as well as to estimate possible time lags, we applied factor analysis, clustering, cross-correlation and cross-spectral analyses. The results reveal a structural similarity in the internal variability of tropical SL and extratropical SAT, along with a significant lagged relationship between them, with a time lag of several years. Full article

Under global warming, persistent extreme heat events (PHEs) in China have increased significantly in both frequency and intensity, posing severe threats to agriculture and socioeconomic development. Combining observational analysis (1961–2019) and numerical simulations, this study investigates the distinct impacts of Northwest Pacific (NWP) and North Atlantic (NA) sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies on PHEs over China. Key findings include the following: (1) PHEs exhibit heterogeneous spatial distribution, with the Yangtze-Huai River Valley as the hotspot showing the highest frequency and intensity. A regime shift occurred post-2000, marked by a threefold increase in extreme indices (+3σ to +4σ). (2) Observational analyses reveal significant but independent correlations between PHEs and SST anomalies in the tropical NWP and mid-high latitude NA. (3) Numerical experiments demonstrate that NWP warming triggers a meridional dipole response (warming in southern China vs. cooling in the north) via the Pacific–Japan teleconnection pattern, characterized by an eastward-retreated and southward-shifted sub-tropical high (WPSH) coupled with an intensified South Asian High (SAH). In contrast, NA warming induces uniform warming across eastern China through a Eurasian Rossby wave train that modulates the WPSH northward. (4) Thermodynamically, NWP forcing dominates via asymmetric vertical motion and advection processes, while NA forcing primarily enhances large-scale subsidence and shortwave radiation. This study elucidates region-specific oceanic drivers of extreme heat, advancing mechanistic understanding for improved heatwave predictability. Full article

In this paper, based on all the data from September 2021 to June 2024 collected by a 30 m meteorological tower and a differential image motion monitor (DIMM) at the Muztagh-Ata site located on the Pamir Plateau in western Xinjiang, China, we study the characteristics of the surface temperature inversion and its effect on astronomical seeing at the site. The results show the following: The temperature inversion at the Muztagh-Ata site is highly pronounced at night; it is typically distributed below a height of about 18 m; it weakens and disappears gradually after sunrise, while it forms gradually after sunset and remains stable during the night; and it is weaker in spring and summer but stronger in autumn and winter. Correlation studies with meteorological parameters show the following: increases in both cloud coverage and humidity weaken temperature inversion; the distribution of inversion with wind speed exhibits a bimodal distribution; southwesterly winds prevail at a frequency of 73.76% and are typically accompanied by strong temperature inversions. Finally, by statistical patterns, we found that strong temperature inversion at the Muztagh-Ata site usually bring better seeing by suppressing atmospheric optical turbulence. Full article

The rising frequency of heatwaves, combined with the urban heat island effect, increases the population’s exposure to high temperatures, significantly impacting the health of vulnerable groups and the overall well-being of residents. While mesoscale meteorological models can reliably forecast temperatures across urban neighbourhoods, dense networks of in situ measurements offer more precise data at the street scale. In this work, the Random Forest technique was used to predict street-scale temperatures in the downtown area of Thessaloniki, Greece, during a prolonged heatwave in July 2021. The model was trained using data from a low-cost sensor network, meteorological fields calculated by the mesoscale model MEMO, and micro-environmental spatial features. The results show that, although the MEMO temperature predictions achieve high accuracy during nighttime compared to measurements, they exhibit inconsistent trends across sensor locations during daytime, indicating that the model does not fully account for microclimatic phenomena. Additionally, by using only the observed temperature as the target of the Random Forest model, higher accuracy is achieved, but spatial features are not represented in the predictions. In contrast, the most reliable approach to incorporating spatial characteristics is to use the difference between observed and mesoscale temperatures as the target variable. Full article

Given the increasing challenges posed by frequent extreme climatic events, understanding the climate–human connection between the climate system and the transitions of ancient civilizations is crucial for addressing future climatic challenges, especially when examining the relationship between the abrupt events of the Holocene and the Neolithic culture development. Compared with the globally recognized “4.2 ka collapse” of ancient cultures, the initial start time and the cultural significance of the 5.5 ka climatic fluctuation are more complex and ambiguous. The Hongshan culture (6.5–5.0 ka) is characterized by a complicated society evident in its grand public architecture and elaborate high-status tombs. However, the driving mechanisms behind cultural changes remain complex and subject to ongoing debate. This paper delves into the role of climatic change in Hongshan cultural shifts, presenting an integrated dataset that combines climatic proxy records with archaeological data from the Hongshan culture period. Based on synthesized aeolian, fluvial-lacustrine, loess, and stalagmite deposits, the study indicates a relatively cold and dry climatic fluctuation occurred during ~6.0–5.5 ka, which is widespread in the Horqin dune field and adjacent areas. Combining spatial analysis with ArcGis 10.8 on archaeological sites, we propose that the climatic fluctuation between ~6.0–5.5 ka likely triggered the migration of the Hongshan settlements and adjustment of survival strategies. Full article

Urban green spaces (UGS) serve as critical mitigators of urban heat islands (UHIs), yet the scale-dependent mechanisms through which UGS morphology regulates thermal effects remain insufficiently understood. This study investigates the multi-scale relationships between UGS spatial patterns and cooling effects in Macao, employing morphological spatial pattern analysis (MSPA) to characterize UGS configurations and geographically weighted regression (GWR) to examine city-scale thermal interactions, complemented by patch-scale buffer analyses of area, perimeter, and landscape shape index effects. Results demonstrate that high-UGS-integrity areas significantly enhance cooling capacity (area with proportion of core ≥35% showing optimal performance), while fragmented elements (branches, edges) exacerbate UHIs, with patch-scale analyses revealing nonlinear threshold effects in cooling efficiency. A tripartite classification of UGS by cooling capacity identifies strong mitigation types with optimal shape metrics and cooling extents. These findings establish a tripartite UGS classification system based on cooling performance and identify optimal morphological parameters, advancing understanding of thermal regulation mechanisms in urban environments. This research provides empirical evidence for UGS planning strategies prioritizing core area conservation, morphological optimization, and seasonal adaptation to improve urban climate resilience, offering practical insights for sustainable development in high-density coastal cities. Full article