Sign in to use this feature.

Years

Between: -

Article Types

Countries / Regions

remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline

Search Results (12,123)

Search Parameters:
Journal = Atmosphere

Order results
Result details
Results per page
Select all
Export citation of selected articles as:
18 pages, 2244 KB  
Technical Note
A Pilot Study on Meteorological Support for the Low-Altitude Economy—Consistency of Meteorological Measurements on UAS with Numerical Simulation Results
by Ming Chun Lam, Wai Hung Leung, Ka Wai Lo, Kai Kwong Lai, Pak Wai Chan, Jun Yi He and Qiu Sheng Li
Atmosphere 2026, 17(1), 107; https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos17010107 - 20 Jan 2026
Abstract
Meteorological measurements from Unmanned Aircraft Systems (UASs) increase the volume of observations available for validating and improving high-spatiotemporal-resolution models. Accurate model forecasts for UAS operations are essential to the successful development of the low-altitude economy (LAE). In this study, two UAS test flights [...] Read more.
Meteorological measurements from Unmanned Aircraft Systems (UASs) increase the volume of observations available for validating and improving high-spatiotemporal-resolution models. Accurate model forecasts for UAS operations are essential to the successful development of the low-altitude economy (LAE). In this study, two UAS test flights were analyzed to assess the consistency between UAS measurements and Regional Atmospheric Modeling System model outputs, thereby evaluating model forecast skill. UAS measurements were compared with ground-based anemometer and radiosonde observations to meet the World Meteorological Organization observational requirements at both the Threshold and Goal levels. Model-forecast turbulence exhibited strong agreement with atmospheric turbulence derived from high-frequency UAS wind data. The numerical weather prediction model at high spatial and temporal resolution is found to have sufficiently accurate forecasts to support UAS operation. A computational fluid dynamics model was also tested for high-resolution wind and turbulence forecasting; however, it did not yield improvements over the meteorological model. This work represents the first study of its kind for LAE applications in Hong Kong, and further statistical analyses are planned. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Meteorological Issues for Low-Altitude Economy)
18 pages, 2989 KB  
Article
Seasonal and Regional Variations in CO2 Concentrations: A Large-Scale Sensor-Based Study from Croatian Schools Using Machine Learning
by Valentino Petrić, Goran Škvarč, Tihomir Markulin, Nikolina Račić, Hana Matanović, Francesco Mureddu, Henry Burridge, Gordana Pehnec and Mario Lovrić
Atmosphere 2026, 17(1), 106; https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos17010106 - 20 Jan 2026
Abstract
This study investigates indoor CO2 levels in Croatian schools to identify environmental and temporal factors influencing classroom air quality. Using data from hundreds of low-cost sensors installed in 243 schools, we analyze seasonal patterns and differences in CO2 concentrations between schools. [...] Read more.
This study investigates indoor CO2 levels in Croatian schools to identify environmental and temporal factors influencing classroom air quality. Using data from hundreds of low-cost sensors installed in 243 schools, we analyze seasonal patterns and differences in CO2 concentrations between schools. In two-shift schools, the longer occupied period was associated with CO2 remaining elevated later in the day. Time-series forecasting with the Prophet model accounts for seasonal variations, while statistical analyses quantify variability and identify key factors driving concentration differences. Additionally, Land Use Regression (LUR) models are developed and compared with direct sensor measurements at the school level to assess their association with CO2 levels across different counties in the country. The results reveal consistent seasonal trends and notable local differences between schools, emphasizing the importance of detailed monitoring in environments with vulnerable populations. This research offers insights into the strengths and limitations of statistical and modeling methods for school-based air quality assessment and provides recommendations for enhancing monitoring strategies in similar large-scale networks. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Enhancing Indoor Air Quality: Monitoring, Analysis and Assessment)
Show Figures

Graphical abstract

1 pages, 122 KB  
Correction
Correction: Aljoda et al. Examining Seasonality Based on Probabilistic Properties of Extreme Precipitation Timing in the Eastern United States. Atmosphere 2023, 14, 366
by Ali Aljoda, Nirajan Dhakal and Bhikhari Tharu
Atmosphere 2026, 17(1), 105; https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos17010105 - 20 Jan 2026
Abstract
Bhikhari Tharu was not included as an author in the original publication [...] Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Climatology)
14 pages, 6019 KB  
Article
Long-Term In Situ Monitoring of Ambient Gamma Dose Equivalent Rates in Macedonia: Temporal Trends from 2010 to 2020
by Lambe Barandovski, Irena Zlatanovska, Trajče Stafilov, Robert Šajn and Aneta Gacovska-Barandovska
Atmosphere 2026, 17(1), 104; https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos17010104 - 19 Jan 2026
Abstract
In situ measurements of ambient dose equivalent rates were conducted across the territory of Macedonia at five-year intervals in 2010, 2015, and 2020. Data were collected from 68 uniformly distributed locations in 2010 and from 72 locations in both 2015 and 2020, ensuring [...] Read more.
In situ measurements of ambient dose equivalent rates were conducted across the territory of Macedonia at five-year intervals in 2010, 2015, and 2020. Data were collected from 68 uniformly distributed locations in 2010 and from 72 locations in both 2015 and 2020, ensuring representative spatial coverage. The main objective of this study was to establish a baseline dataset of outdoor gamma dose rates, evaluate their potential temporal variations, and identify the dominant factors influencing their spatial variability. The results indicate a high degree of temporal stability over the investigated decade, with mean values of 113 nSv/h in 2010 and 110 nSv/h in both 2015 and 2020. Following descriptive statistical analysis, spatial distribution maps were created, revealing that the observed dose rate variability is primarily associated with the country’s diverse geology rather than anthropogenic sources. These findings confirm the reliability of direct in situ monitoring and provide a robust reference framework for assessing environmental and atmospheric contributions to external gamma radiation exposure in Macedonia. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Atmospheric Techniques, Instruments, and Modeling)
Show Figures

Figure 1

16 pages, 1642 KB  
Article
Past and Future Trends in Atmospheric Transparency Derived from a Revised Formulation of the Ångström–Prescott Equation
by Sergiu-Mihai Hategan, Eugenia Paulescu, Ciprian Dughir and Marius Paulescu
Atmosphere 2026, 17(1), 103; https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos17010103 - 18 Jan 2026
Viewed by 60
Abstract
Most studies have focused on extending the applicability of the Ångström–Prescott equation and improving its accuracy in estimating solar irradiation. Only a limited number of studies have addressed atmospheric climatology using the Ångström–Prescott equation. In contrast, this study reformulates the Ångström–Prescott equation to [...] Read more.
Most studies have focused on extending the applicability of the Ångström–Prescott equation and improving its accuracy in estimating solar irradiation. Only a limited number of studies have addressed atmospheric climatology using the Ångström–Prescott equation. In contrast, this study reformulates the Ångström–Prescott equation to explore its potential for extracting long-term atmospheric transparency information from radiometric measurements. It introduces a new annual formulation of the Ångström–Prescott equation derived from its common monthly version. While the formal structure is preserved, the equation shifts from its usual role, as a solar irradiation estimator, to a new role, as a predictor of long-term atmospheric transparency. The revised equation naturally defines an annual effective sunshine duration, which assigns greater weight to relative sunshine during summer months than during winter months. To enable prediction, the revised Ångström–Prescott equation is combined with Gaussian process regression. The equation provides the historical annual time series, while Gaussian process regression predicts future values and quantifies their associated uncertainty. To demonstrate the predictive capability of the method, it is applied to the analysis and prediction of four annual parameters characterizing atmospheric transparency: mean clear-sky atmospheric transparency, mean cloud transmittance, mean atmospheric transparency, and effective relative sunshine duration. The analysis is conducted using radiometric data collected at 14 stations distributed across Europe. Predictions for the upcoming decade (2024–2033) indicate that, at most stations, mean atmospheric transparency is expected to remain stable or change within approximate margins of −5% to +10%. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Solar Radiation and Its Influences on Climate Change)
Show Figures

Figure 1

20 pages, 2980 KB  
Article
Assessment of Vertical Wind Characteristics for Wind Energy Utilization and Carbon Emission Reduction
by Li Jiang, Changqing Shi, Shijia Zhang, Lvbing Cao, Xiangdong Meng, Ligang Jiang, Xiaodong Ji and Tingning Zhao
Atmosphere 2026, 17(1), 102; https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos17010102 - 18 Jan 2026
Viewed by 55
Abstract
With the rapid advancement of clean energy, wind farm planning and construction are expanding worldwide, increasing the demand for accurate resource assessments. This study investigates the influence of vertical wind characteristics on wind farm siting and energy production, using measured meteorological data from [...] Read more.
With the rapid advancement of clean energy, wind farm planning and construction are expanding worldwide, increasing the demand for accurate resource assessments. This study investigates the influence of vertical wind characteristics on wind farm siting and energy production, using measured meteorological data from the Hangjinqi wind farm. Results show that both mean wind speed increase substantially with altitude, indicating that upper layers provide richer and more stable wind resources. The estimated annual energy production of the site reaches 23,500 MWh, with capacity factors ranging from 35% to 42%, well above the national average. Seasonal and diurnal variations are evident: wind speeds strengthen during winter and spring, particularly at night, while turbulence intensity peaks in the daytime and decreases with height. Carbon dioxide (CO2) reduction also increases with hub height, with the most pronounced seasonal reductions in spring (3367.6–5041.1 tCO2, +49.7%) and winter (3215.7–5380.0 tCO2, +67.4%), equivalent to several thousand tons of standard coal per turbine annually. Optimal performance is observed at 100–140 m, demonstrating efficient utilization of mid- to high-altitude resources. Nevertheless, discrepancies in turbine performance at different hub heights suggest untapped potential at higher elevations. These findings highlight the importance of incorporating vertical wind characteristics into wind farm siting decisions, and support the deployment of turbines with tower heights ≥140 m alongside intelligent scheduling and forecasting strategies to maximize energy yield and economic benefits. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Climatology)
Show Figures

Figure 1

31 pages, 16797 KB  
Article
Synoptic Ocean–Atmosphere Coupling at the Intertropical Convergence Zone and Its Vicinity in the Western Tropical Atlantic Ocean
by Breno Tramontini Steffen, Ronald Buss de Souza, Rose Ane Pereira de Freitas, Mauricio Almeida Noernberg and Claudia Klose Parise
Atmosphere 2026, 17(1), 101; https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos17010101 - 18 Jan 2026
Viewed by 46
Abstract
In the Atlantic Ocean, the Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) sustains the climate of northeastern Brazil and northwestern Africa by modulating their rainy and dry seasons. Using observational data, radiosondes and Expendable Bathythermographs (XBTs), we investigated short-term ocean–atmosphere coupling across the ITCZ region along [...] Read more.
In the Atlantic Ocean, the Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) sustains the climate of northeastern Brazil and northwestern Africa by modulating their rainy and dry seasons. Using observational data, radiosondes and Expendable Bathythermographs (XBTs), we investigated short-term ocean–atmosphere coupling across the ITCZ region along the 38° W meridian. The data represents synchronous measurements of the marine atmospheric boundary layer (MABL) and the ocean’s mixed layer (OML) for the period between 17 October and 8 November 2018. The ITCZ demonstrated pronounced variability in position, intensity, and width, driven by the changes in the predominance of northeast and southeast trade winds. These atmospheric changes directly impacted the Equatorial Divergence (ED), which transitioned from an asymmetric structure with shallower isothermal layer depths (ILDs) (~−14 m) around 11° N to a more homogenous region between 5° N and 10° N, with an average ILD of −21.83 ± 5.23 m. A comparison with ORAS5 and WOA23 indicates that the products reproduce the vertical thermal structure of the WTAO well (r2 > 0.9) but systematically overestimate the temperature at the bottom of the ILD by 3–4 °C. The difference between the ILD and the mixed layer depth (MLD) is more pronounced south of the ED due to the Amazon River salinity front, advected by the NECC, but the ILD estimated from XBT data closely matches the MLD estimated for ORAS5 and WOA23 in the ED region. These unprecedented observations showcase, for the first time, short-term ocean–atmosphere coupled variability across the WTAO ITCZ region, highlighting the importance of atmospheric synoptic-scale processes in modulating the OML and the ED. Full article
Show Figures

Figure 1

16 pages, 2435 KB  
Article
Vegetation Dynamics and Atmospheric Glyoxal in Houston, Texas (2018–2022)
by Salma Bibi and Bernhard Rappenglück
Atmosphere 2026, 17(1), 100; https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos17010100 - 18 Jan 2026
Viewed by 53
Abstract
Twenty years of MODIS satellite data (2002–2022), TROPOMI glyoxal observations (2018–2022), and ground-based isoprene measurements were used to examine vegetation greenness (NDVI) and atmospheric glyoxal over Houston, Texas. Biogenically produced glyoxal grew by 51% between 2018 and 2022, despite a 2% per decade [...] Read more.
Twenty years of MODIS satellite data (2002–2022), TROPOMI glyoxal observations (2018–2022), and ground-based isoprene measurements were used to examine vegetation greenness (NDVI) and atmospheric glyoxal over Houston, Texas. Biogenically produced glyoxal grew by 51% between 2018 and 2022, despite a 2% per decade decrease in summer vegetation greenness and continued urbanization. Ambient mixing ratios of isoprene, the main biogenic glyoxal precursor, paradoxically dropped by 14% within the same time frame. Temperature (+0.68 °C/year), ozone (+28%), and photochemical oxidants all significantly increased over this time, according to analysis of concurrent environmental data. The results indicate that higher temperature-driven isoprene emissions (+35%) and accelerated photochemical oxidation (+10%) overcame the declining vegetation signal, resulting in net increases in atmospheric glyoxal. This suggests that Houston’s remaining flora is experiencing temperature-driven changes in biogenic volatile organic compound (VOC) emissions per unit area, even while its greenness has reduced. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Biosphere/Hydrosphere/Land–Atmosphere Interactions)
Show Figures

Graphical abstract

28 pages, 18551 KB  
Article
Addressing the Advance and Delay in the Onset of the Rainy Seasons in the Tropical Andes Using Harmonic Analysis and Climate Change Indices
by Sheila Serrano-Vincenti, Jonathan González-Chuqui, Mariana Luna-Cadena and León A. Escobar
Atmosphere 2026, 17(1), 98; https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos17010098 - 17 Jan 2026
Viewed by 85
Abstract
The advance and delay of the rainy season is among the most frequently cited effects of climate change in the central Ecuadorian Andes. However, its assessment is not feasible using the indicators recommended by the standardized indices of the Expert Team on Climate [...] Read more.
The advance and delay of the rainy season is among the most frequently cited effects of climate change in the central Ecuadorian Andes. However, its assessment is not feasible using the indicators recommended by the standardized indices of the Expert Team on Climate Change Detection and Indices (ETCCDI), designed to detect changes in intensity, frequency, or duration of intense events. This study aims to analyze such advances and delays through harmonic analysis in Tungurahua, a predominantly agricultural province in the Tropical Central Andes, where in situ data are scarce. Daily in situ data from five meteorological stations were used, including precipitation, maximum, and minimum temperature records spanning 39 to 68 years. The study involved an analysis of the region’s climatology, climate change indices, and harmonic analysis using Cross-Wavelet Transform (XWT) and Wavelet Coherence Transform (WCT) to identify seasonal patterns and their variability (advance or delay) by comparing historical and recent time series, and Krigging for regionalization. The year 2000 was used as a study point for comparing past and present trends. Results show a generalized increase in both minimum and maximum temperatures. In the case of extreme rainfall events, no significant changes were detected. Harmonic analysis was found to be sensitive to missing data. Furthermore, the observed advances and delays in seasonality were not statistically significant and appeared to be more closely related to the geographic location of the stations than to temporal shifts. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Hydrometeorological Simulation and Prediction in a Changing Climate)
20 pages, 2875 KB  
Article
Characteristics and Sources of Particulate Matter During a Period of Improving Air Quality in Urban Shanghai (2016–2020)
by Xinlei Wang, Zheng Xiao, Lian Duan and Guangli Xiu
Atmosphere 2026, 17(1), 99; https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos17010099 - 17 Jan 2026
Viewed by 95
Abstract
Following the implementation of the Shanghai Clean Air Act, this study investigates the evolution of air pollution in central Shanghai (Putuo District) by analyzing continuous monitoring data (2016–2020) and chemical speciation of particulate matter (2017–2018). The results confirm a transition toward a “low [...] Read more.
Following the implementation of the Shanghai Clean Air Act, this study investigates the evolution of air pollution in central Shanghai (Putuo District) by analyzing continuous monitoring data (2016–2020) and chemical speciation of particulate matter (2017–2018). The results confirm a transition toward a “low exceedance rate and low background concentration” regime. However, short-term exceedance episodes persist, generally occurring in winter and spring, with significantly amplified diurnal variations on exceedance days. Distinct patterns emerged between PM fractions: PM10 exceedances were characterized by a single morning peak linked to traffic-induced coarse particles, while PM2.5 exceedances showed synchronized diurnal peaks with NO2, suggesting a stronger contribution from vehicle exhaust. Source apportionment revealed that mineral components (21.61%) and organic matter (OM, 21.02%) dominated in PM10, implicating construction and road dust. In contrast, PM2.5 was primarily composed of OM (26.73%) and secondary inorganic ions (dominated by nitrate), highlighting the greater importance of secondary formation. The findings underscore that sustained PM2.5 mitigation requires targeted control of gasoline vehicle emissions and gaseous precursors. Full article
Show Figures

Figure 1

21 pages, 647 KB  
Review
A Critical Analysis of Agricultural Greenhouse Gas Emission Drivers and Mitigation Approaches
by Yezheng Zhu, Yixuan Zhang, Jiangbo Li, Yiting Liu, Chenghao Li, Dandong Cheng and Caiqing Qin
Atmosphere 2026, 17(1), 97; https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos17010097 - 17 Jan 2026
Viewed by 62
Abstract
Agricultural activities are major contributors to global greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, with methane (CH4) and nitrous oxide (N2O) emissions accounting for 40% and 60% of total agricultural emissions, respectively. Therefore, developing effective emission reduction pathways in agriculture is crucial [...] Read more.
Agricultural activities are major contributors to global greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, with methane (CH4) and nitrous oxide (N2O) emissions accounting for 40% and 60% of total agricultural emissions, respectively. Therefore, developing effective emission reduction pathways in agriculture is crucial for achieving carbon budget balance. This article synthesizes the impact of farmland management practices on GHG emissions, evaluates prevalent accounting methods and their applicable scenarios, and proposes mitigation strategies based on systematic analysis. The present review (2000-2025) indicates that fertilizer management dominates research focus (accounting for over 50%), followed by water management (approximately 18%) and tillage practices (approximately 14%). Critically, the effects of these practices extend beyond GHG emissions, necessitating concurrent consideration of crop yields, soil health, and ecosystem resilience. Therefore, it is necessary to conduct joint research by integrating multiple approaches such as water-saving irrigation, conservation tillage and intercropping of leguminous crops, so as to enhance productivity and soil quality while reducing emissions. The GHG accounting framework and three primary accounting methods (In situ measurement, Satellite remote sensing, and Model simulation) each exhibit distinct advantages and limitations, requiring scenario-specific selection. Further refinement of these methodologies is imperative to optimize agricultural practices and achieve meaningful GHG reductions. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Gas Emissions from Soil)
21 pages, 5686 KB  
Article
Analysis of Spatiotemporal Characteristics of Lightning Activity in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Region Based on a Comparison of FY-4A LMI and ADTD Data
by Yahui Wang, Qiming Ma, Jiajun Song, Fang Xiao, Yimin Huang, Xiao Zhou, Xiaoyang Meng, Jiaquan Wang and Shangbo Yuan
Atmosphere 2026, 17(1), 96; https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos17010096 - 16 Jan 2026
Viewed by 149
Abstract
Accurate lightning data are critical for disaster warning and climate research. This study systematically compares the Fengyun-4A Lightning Mapping Imager (FY-4A LMI) satellite and the Advanced Time-of-arrival and Direction (ADTD) lightning location network in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei (BTH) region (April–August, 2020–2023) using coefficient of [...] Read more.
Accurate lightning data are critical for disaster warning and climate research. This study systematically compares the Fengyun-4A Lightning Mapping Imager (FY-4A LMI) satellite and the Advanced Time-of-arrival and Direction (ADTD) lightning location network in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei (BTH) region (April–August, 2020–2023) using coefficient of variation (CV) analysis, Welch’s independent samples t-test, Pearson correlation analysis, and inverse distance weighting (IDW) interpolation. Key results: (1) A significant systematic discrepancy exists between the two datasets, with an annual mean ratio of 0.0636 (t = −5.1758, p < 0.01); FY-4A LMI shows higher observational stability (CV = 5.46%), while ADTD excels in capturing intense lightning events (CV = 28.01%). (2) Both datasets exhibit a consistent unimodal monthly pattern peaking in July (moderately strong positive correlation, r = 0.7354, p < 0.01) but differ distinctly in diurnal distribution. (3) High-density lightning areas of both datasets concentrate south of the Yanshan Mountains and east of the Taihang Mountains, shaped by topography and water vapor transport. This study reveals the three-factor (climatic background, topographic forcing, technical characteristics) coupled regulatory mechanism of data discrepancies and highlights the complementarity of the two datasets, providing a solid scientific basis for satellite-ground data fusion and regional lightning disaster defense. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Atmospheric Techniques, Instruments, and Modeling)
Show Figures

Figure 1

18 pages, 7385 KB  
Article
Observation and Analysis of VLF Electromagnetic Pulse Sequences Triggered by Solar Flares on the CSES
by Siyu Liu, Ying Han, Jianping Huang, Zhong Li, Xuhui Shen and Qingjie Liu
Atmosphere 2026, 17(1), 95; https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos17010095 - 16 Jan 2026
Viewed by 59
Abstract
This study investigates the influence of solar flare events on the time–frequency characteristics of very low frequency (VLF) signals based on observations from the China Seismo–Electromagnetic Satellite (CSES) satellite. By analyzing the VLF electromagnetic wave HDF5 data downloaded on the day of the [...] Read more.
This study investigates the influence of solar flare events on the time–frequency characteristics of very low frequency (VLF) signals based on observations from the China Seismo–Electromagnetic Satellite (CSES) satellite. By analyzing the VLF electromagnetic wave HDF5 data downloaded on the day of the solar flare, the data were converted into a sequence of spectrograms, and linear structures within them were identified using image processing techniques and the K-means clustering algorithm. In this work, we detect more than twenty candidate transient near-vertical stripe elements (image-domain linear features) in the VLF spectrograms on solar-flare event days and use them as an operational texture fingerprint for large-scale screening. This finding suggests that solar flare events may trigger pulse sequence phenomena in VLF signals, providing new observational evidence for understanding the impact of solar activity on the ionosphere and offering a new perspective for investigating solar-flare effects using VLF signals. Full article
Show Figures

Figure 1

24 pages, 3795 KB  
Article
Bayesian Model Averaging Method for Merging Multiple Precipitation Products over the Arid Region of Northwest China
by Yong Yang, Rensheng Chen, Xinyu Lu, Weiyi Mao, Zhangwen Liu and Xueliang Wang
Atmosphere 2026, 17(1), 94; https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos17010094 - 16 Jan 2026
Viewed by 96
Abstract
Accurate precipitation estimation is essential for hydrological modeling and water resource management in arid regions; however, complex terrain and sparse meteorological station networks introduce substantial uncertainties into gridded precipitation datasets. This study evaluates the performance of nine widely used precipitation products in the [...] Read more.
Accurate precipitation estimation is essential for hydrological modeling and water resource management in arid regions; however, complex terrain and sparse meteorological station networks introduce substantial uncertainties into gridded precipitation datasets. This study evaluates the performance of nine widely used precipitation products in the arid region of Northwest China (ARNC) at both the meteorological station scale and the sub-basin scale, and applies the Bayesian Model Averaging (BMA) approach to merge multi-source precipitation estimates. The results reveal pronounced spatial heterogeneity and significant differences in performance among datasets, with the Integrated Multi-Satellite Retrievals for the Global Precipitation Measurement mission performing best at the station scale and the Famine Early Warning Systems Network Land Data Assimilation System performing best at the sub-basin scale. Compared with individual products, the BMA-merged precipitation demonstrates substantial improvements at both scales, providing higher coefficients of determination and agreement indices, and lower relative mean absolute error and relative root mean square error, indicating enhanced accuracy and robustness. The BMA-merged precipitation product generally exhibits superior and more spatially consistent performance than the individual datasets across the ARNC, thereby providing a more reliable basis for regional hydrological and climate-related applications. The merged dataset shows that the mean annual precipitation in the ARNC during 2000–2024 is approximately 230.4 mm, exhibiting a statistically significant increasing trend of 1.4 mm per year, with the strongest increases occurring in the Tianshan and Qilian Mountains. This study provides a reliable foundation for hydrological modeling and climate-change assessments in data-limited arid environments. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Meteorology)
Show Figures

Figure 1

14 pages, 1283 KB  
Article
Long-Term Evolution of the Ozone Layer Under CMIP7 Scenarios
by Margarita A. Tkachenko and Eugene V. Rozanov
Atmosphere 2026, 17(1), 92; https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos17010092 - 16 Jan 2026
Viewed by 161
Abstract
Recovery of the stratospheric ozone layer following the ban on ozone-depleting substances represents one of the most successful examples of international environmental policy. However, the long-term fate of ozone under continuing climate change remains uncertain. We present the first multi-century projections of ozone [...] Read more.
Recovery of the stratospheric ozone layer following the ban on ozone-depleting substances represents one of the most successful examples of international environmental policy. However, the long-term fate of ozone under continuing climate change remains uncertain. We present the first multi-century projections of ozone evolution to 2200 using emission-driven CMIP7 scenarios in the SOCOL-MPIOM chemistry-climate model. Our results show that despite the elimination of halogenated compounds, total column ozone exhibits non-monotonic evolution, with an initial increase of 8–12% by 2080–2100, followed by a decline to 2200, remaining 4.5–7% above the 2020 baseline. Stratospheric ozone at 50 hPa shows a monotonic decline of 2–11% by 2200 across all scenarios, with no recovery despite ongoing Montreal Protocol implementation. Critically, even in the high-overshoot scenario where CO2 concentrations decline from 830 to 350 ppm between 2100 and 2200, stratospheric ozone continues to decrease. Intensification of the Brewer-Dobson circulation in warmer climates reduces ozone residence time in the tropical stratosphere, decreasing photochemical production efficiency. This dynamic effect outweighs the reduction in ozone-depleting substances, leading to persistent stratospheric ozone depletion despite total column ozone enhancements in polar regions. Spatial analysis reveals pronounced regional differentiation: Antarctic regions show sustained total column enhancement of +18–26% by 2190–2200, while tropical regions decline to levels below baseline (−4 to −5%). Our results reveal fundamental asymmetry between climate forcing and ozone response, with characteristic adjustment timescales of 100–200 years, and have critical implications for long-term atmospheric protection policy. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Climatology)
Show Figures

Figure 1

Back to TopTop