Modeling Approach for Fish Stock Assessment

A special issue of Fishes (ISSN 2410-3888). This special issue belongs to the section "Biology and Ecology".

Deadline for manuscript submissions: 25 December 2025 | Viewed by 505

Special Issue Editors


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Guest Editor
Joint Research Centre, European Commission, 21027 Ispra, Italy
Interests: modeling; fish; stock assessment
East China Sea Fisheries Research Institute, Chinese Academy of Fishery Sciences, Shanghai 200090, China
Interests: spatial–temporal dynamics; marine ecology; fish community; environmental impact
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Special Issue Information

Dear Colleagues,

The concept of fishery resource modeling and assessment is addressed in the scientific literature from two distinct perspectives: (1) as a process of analyzing the dynamics of an exploited population to determine its status or level of exploitation and (2) as an evaluation of the consequences resulting from implementing different management strategies. The second definition is more comprehensive, as it encompasses the first and explicitly connects the assessment process to its broader social purpose—providing scientific advice for the sustainable management of fishery resources. This linkage underscores the importance of integrating ecological understanding with practical decision-making to ensure the long-term health of marine ecosystems.

The modeling approach for fish stock assessment plays a pivotal role in promoting the sustainability of marine resources. By employing mathematical and statistical models, fisheries scientists can estimate critical parameters such as population size, growth rates, mortality, and reproduction, essential for predicting future stock dynamics. These models serve as a scientific foundation for identifying overfished species, establishing sustainable catch limits, and evaluating the effectiveness of various management strategies, such as fishing quotas or marine protected areas. Accurate stock assessments empower policymakers and fisheries managers to make informed decisions that balance ecological preservation with socio-economic needs, ensuring the productivity and resilience of marine ecosystems for future generations. Without robust modeling approaches, there is a heightened risk of overexploitation, potentially leading to the collapse of fish stocks and the degradation of marine biodiversity. Such outcomes would have profound implications for global food security, livelihoods, and the provision of vital ecosystem services, highlighting the indispensable role of modeling in sustainable fisheries management.

Original research on varied topics related to stock assessment modeling and fisheries management are welcome in this Special Issue, titled “Modeling Approach for Fish Stock Assessment”. These include the role of biological processes such as natural mortality, growth, and reproduction, as well as the influence of fishing activities such as selectivity, catch sampling, and discards, including the impact of discard survival rates and landing obligations. Topics also could include stock–recruitment relationships, calibrating assessment models through surveys and CPUEs, and comparative studies involving different methodologies, sensitivity analyses, or simulations. Additionally, we encourage discussions on assessment methods for both data-limited and data-rich stocks, mixed fisheries and spatial data modeling, and reference points and environmental status indicators. Contributions on management strategies, including catch control standards and technical measures, along with management strategy evaluation processes, are also of interest. Additional areas of focus include ecological aspects such as climate change effects on species distribution and life strategies, economic and social considerations, and spatial factors such as connectivity and stock structure.

Dr. Margarita M. Rincón Hidalgo
Dr. Heng Zhang
Guest Editors

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Keywords

  • fish
  • stock assessment
  • modeling

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Published Papers (1 paper)

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Research

16 pages, 3173 KiB  
Article
A Quantitative Approach to Prior Setting for Relative Biomass (B/k) in CMSY++: Application to Snow Crabs (Chionoecetes opilio) in Korean Waters
by Ji-Hyun Eom, Sung-Il Lee and Sang-Chul Yoon
Fishes 2025, 10(8), 400; https://doi.org/10.3390/fishes10080400 - 11 Aug 2025
Viewed by 257
Abstract
Snow crabs (Chionoecetes opilio), a commercially valuable species in Korean waters, have been managed under the Total Allowable Catch (TAC) system since 2002. However, stock assessment has been limited due to difficulties in estimating key ecological traits such as growth, maturity, [...] Read more.
Snow crabs (Chionoecetes opilio), a commercially valuable species in Korean waters, have been managed under the Total Allowable Catch (TAC) system since 2002. However, stock assessment has been limited due to difficulties in estimating key ecological traits such as growth, maturity, and mortality. In this study, the Bayesian Schaefer Model (BSM), implemented within CMSY++ framework, was applied to assess the stock status of snow crabs in Korean waters. BSM requires catch and abundance index data, such as catch per unit effort (CPUE) or biomass, as well as prior information on species resilience and relative biomass (B/k). To improve the reliability of B/k priors, we developed a method to calculate them quantitatively using fishery data, sales amounts, and biological information, unlike the qualitative assumptions on stock and fishing conditions proposed in previous research. Two standardized CPUE indices with differing temporal trends in recent years were used as abundance indices. To address the structural uncertainty associated with these divergent trends, we applied a grid-based approach by treating each CPUE index as an independent model scenario and integrating the posterior distributions. A total of 12,000 posterior estimates (6000 per index) were generated through the BSM and used to construct a Kobe plot. Results indicate that the current biomass is slightly above the level supporting maximum sustainable yield, and fishing mortality slightly below the optimal level, suggesting that the stock is healthy and sustainably exploited. Future research should aim to establish a systematic framework for developing quantitative B/k priors to enhance stock assessment accuracy. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Modeling Approach for Fish Stock Assessment)
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