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Article

Mathematical Modelling and Analysis of Stochastic COVID-19 and Hepatitis B Co-Infection Dynamics

by
Michael Asamani Pobbi
1,*,
Samuel Mindakifoe Naandam
2 and
Stephen Edward Moore
2
1
Department of Applied Mathematics and Statistics, Accra Technical University, Barnes Road Accra P.O. Box GP 561, Ghana
2
Department of Mathematics, University of Cape Coast, Cape Coast P.O. Box DL 50, Ghana
*
Author to whom correspondence should be addressed.
COVID 2025, 5(11), 183; https://doi.org/10.3390/covid5110183
Submission received: 2 September 2025 / Revised: 6 October 2025 / Accepted: 14 October 2025 / Published: 25 October 2025
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Analysis of Modeling and Statistics for COVID-19, 2nd edition)

Abstract

The recent resurgence of COVID-19 in a Hepatitis B virus some endemic countries could lead to adverse outcomes. In this article, we formulate and analyse a mathematical model to explains the co-infection dynamics of Hepatitis B virus and COVID-19. Our aim is to investigate the effect of Hepatitis B virus prevention, COVID-19 prevention, COVID-19 vaccination, and environmental factors on transmission dynamics, and formulate conditions for extinction and persistence of the diseases. First, we derive the basic reproduction number for HBV only, COVID-19 only, and co-infection stochastic models using the next-generation matrix method. Next, we establish the conditions for stability in the stochastic sense for HBV only, COVID-19 only sub-models, and the co-infection model using suitable Lyapunov functions. Furthermore, we devote our attention to finding sufficient conditions for extinction and persistence. Finally, motivated by Ghana data, we applied the Euler–Murayama scheme to illustrate the dynamics of the co-infection, COVID-19, HBV, and the effect of some parameters on disease transmission dynamics by means of numerical simulations.
Keywords: COVID-19; hepatitis B; stochastic model; reproduction number; global stability; extinction COVID-19; hepatitis B; stochastic model; reproduction number; global stability; extinction

Share and Cite

MDPI and ACS Style

Pobbi, M.A.; Naandam, S.M.; Moore, S.E. Mathematical Modelling and Analysis of Stochastic COVID-19 and Hepatitis B Co-Infection Dynamics. COVID 2025, 5, 183. https://doi.org/10.3390/covid5110183

AMA Style

Pobbi MA, Naandam SM, Moore SE. Mathematical Modelling and Analysis of Stochastic COVID-19 and Hepatitis B Co-Infection Dynamics. COVID. 2025; 5(11):183. https://doi.org/10.3390/covid5110183

Chicago/Turabian Style

Pobbi, Michael Asamani, Samuel Mindakifoe Naandam, and Stephen Edward Moore. 2025. "Mathematical Modelling and Analysis of Stochastic COVID-19 and Hepatitis B Co-Infection Dynamics" COVID 5, no. 11: 183. https://doi.org/10.3390/covid5110183

APA Style

Pobbi, M. A., Naandam, S. M., & Moore, S. E. (2025). Mathematical Modelling and Analysis of Stochastic COVID-19 and Hepatitis B Co-Infection Dynamics. COVID, 5(11), 183. https://doi.org/10.3390/covid5110183

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