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Risks, Volume 13, Issue 6

2025 June - 18 articles

Cover Story: Although levels of the European natural gas market surged after the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia–Ukraine conflict, the futures curve still shows a strong seasonal pattern. Pricing models must reflect this, ensuring consistency with no-arbitrage conditions on the risk-neutral drift of the spot price, where seasonality is embedded. On the other side, when considering future pricing options, constant volatility assumptions must be relaxed: accurate pricing requires incorporating both seasonality and time-varying volatility. View this paper
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Articles (18)

  • Article
  • Open Access
900 Views
14 Pages

Non-Uniqueness of Best-Of Option Prices Under Basket Calibration

  • Mohammed Ahnouch,
  • Lotfi Elaachak and
  • Abderrahim Ghadi

18 June 2025

This paper demonstrates that perfectly calibrating a multi-asset model to observed market prices of all basket call options is insufficient to uniquely determine the price of a best-of call option. Previous research on multi-asset option pricing has...

  • Article
  • Open Access
1 Citations
6,471 Views
26 Pages

17 June 2025

Accurate corporate credit ratings are essential for financial risk assessment; yet, traditional methodologies relying on manual evaluation and basic statistical models often fall short in dynamic economic conditions. This study investigated the poten...

  • Article
  • Open Access
1,526 Views
11 Pages

17 June 2025

Several empirical studies have attempted to clarify whether differences in regulations affect people’s behavior. However, due to a lack of data, few have attempted to clarify whether these differences affect the purchase of insurance. Therefore...

  • Article
  • Open Access
2 Citations
4,949 Views
25 Pages

17 June 2025

The relationship between ESG and firm performance is complex and tends to yield mixed results globally. In South Africa, ESG implementation is still in its infancy stage due to economic and developmental challenges. Despite these challenges, the JSE...

  • Article
  • Open Access
2 Citations
3,682 Views
21 Pages

16 June 2025

There has been growing interest among investors to include cryptocurrencies in their portfolios because of their diversification potential. However, the diversification role of cryptocurrencies when added to South African bank equities is yet to be d...

  • Article
  • Open Access
1,071 Views
20 Pages

13 June 2025

In this paper, we study perpetual American put options with a generalized standard put payoff and establish sufficient conditions for the existence and uniqueness of the solution to the associated pricing problem. As a key tool, we express the Black&...

  • Article
  • Open Access
1 Citations
1,439 Views
20 Pages

Stochastic Uncertainty of Institutional Quality and the Corporate Capital Structure in the G8 and MENA Countries

  • Tarek Eldomiaty,
  • Islam Azzam,
  • Jasmine Fouad,
  • Hussein Mowafak Sadek and
  • Marwa Anwar Sedik

12 June 2025

This paper examines the impacts of observed versus uncertain (stochastic) institutional quality of corporate debt financing. This paper compares the impacts of two distinct levels of institutional quality in developed and developing economies. World...

  • Article
  • Open Access
1 Citations
1,679 Views
19 Pages

Stock Returns’ Co-Movement: A Spatial Model with Convex Combination of Connectivity Matrices

  • Nadia Ben Abdallah,
  • Halim Dabbou,
  • Mohamed Imen Gallali and
  • Salem Hathroubi

5 June 2025

This paper examines the extent of stock-returns’ co-movements among firms in different countries and explores how various measures of closeness affect those co-movements by estimating a spatial autoregressive (SAR) convex combination model that...

  • Article
  • Open Access
2,433 Views
15 Pages

4 June 2025

In recent years, scholars have been paying more attention to financial inclusion, which has been positioned as a crucial component in accomplishing the majority of the seventeen Sustainable Development Goals set forward by the United Nations. Investi...

  • Article
  • Open Access
3,097 Views
42 Pages

3 June 2025

The emergence of InsurTech has significantly transformed the traditional insurance industry, leading to the development of a new ecosystem characterized by digital intermediation, strategic partnerships, and increasing interdependence among actors. T...

  • Feature Paper
  • Article
  • Open Access
1 Citations
4,643 Views
28 Pages

3 June 2025

A robust model for natural gas prices should simultaneously capture the observed prices of both futures and options. While incorporating a seasonal factor in the convenience yield of the spot price effectively replicates forward curves, it proves ins...

  • Article
  • Open Access
9 Citations
5,034 Views
22 Pages

The Impact of Fintech on the Stability of Middle Eastern and North African (MENA) Banks

  • Aisha Mohammad Afzal,
  • Bashar Abu Khalaf,
  • Maryam Saad Al-Naimi and
  • Enas Samara

29 May 2025

This study investigates the impact of financial technology (Fintech) on bank stability in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA). Utilizing panel data from 94 banks in 10 countries over a 13-year period from 2011 to 2023, this research employs panel...

  • Article
  • Open Access
6 Citations
4,130 Views
27 Pages

Assessing the Integrated Role of IT Governance, Fintech, and Blockchain in Enhancing Sustainability Performance and Mitigating Organizational Risk

  • Faozi A. Almaqtari,
  • Ali Thabit Yahya,
  • Nahad Al-Maskari,
  • Najib H. S. Farhan and
  • Al-Muaayad Yaqoob Yahya Al-Aamri

29 May 2025

In a digitalized business, blockchain technology, fintech, AI, and IT governance are crucial for reducing risks and aligning with organizational goals. IT governance ensures smooth and efficient adoption of fintech solutions and AI. Blockchain introd...

  • Article
  • Open Access
1 Citations
2,296 Views
23 Pages

A Deep Dive into Institutional and Economic Influences on Poverty in Europe

  • Dorin Jula,
  • Lavinia Mastac,
  • Diane Paula Corina Vancea and
  • Kamer-Ainur Aivaz

28 May 2025

This study analyzed the evolution of the poverty rate between 2004 and 2023 in 29 European countries, using two categories of variables: institutional variables (Corruption Control Index and Rule of Law Index) and economic variables (unemployment rat...

  • Article
  • Open Access
909 Views
17 Pages

26 May 2025

This study evaluates the utility derived by policyholders in a Danish pension company, from their life insurance coverages. We quantify the relative importance policyholders assign to their existing coverages versus a hypothetical complete coverage s...

  • Article
  • Open Access
1 Citations
7,463 Views
20 Pages

The Use of the Fraud Pentagon Model in Assessing the Risk of Fraudulent Financial Reporting

  • Georgiana Burlacu,
  • Ioan-Bogdan Robu,
  • Ion Anghel,
  • Marius Eugen Rogoz and
  • Ionela Munteanu

22 May 2025

This study examines the relevance of the Fraud Pentagon Theory in detecting fraudulent financial reporting among companies listed on the Bucharest Stock Exchange. While financial reporting is essential for informed stakeholder decisions, requiring in...

  • Article
  • Open Access
3 Citations
2,089 Views
21 Pages

22 May 2025

In natural resource-dependent economies, global resource price volatility makes financial systems more vulnerable to economic shocks. The relationship between natural resource rent and bank stability lies in how fluctuations in resource revenues can...

  • Article
  • Open Access
1,551 Views
19 Pages

22 May 2025

The estimation of age-to-age development factors is fundamental to loss reserving, with direct implications for risk management and regulatory compliance in the auto insurance sector. The precise and robust estimation of these factors underpins the c...

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Risks - ISSN 2227-9091