A Bibliometric Analysis on Network-Based Systemic Risk
Abstract
1. Introduction
2. Theoretical Foundation
2.1. Systemic Risk
2.2. Systemic Risk Taxonomy
- Narrow: Affecting one or a few institutions, with adverse effects on others.
- Broad: Shocks that simultaneously impact many institutions.
- Strong: Lead to the failure of entities that were solvent before the event.
- Contagion: A combination of a strong and narrow event.
- Contagion through direct externalities: Occurs when the difficulties of one entity affect others due to their financial connections. For example, defaults or forced sales of assets.
- Feedback effects and self-fulfilling prophecies: These are induced by beliefs and incentives, such as massive withdrawals in response to the perception of a bank’s insolvency.
2.3. Systemic Risk Measurement
- Conditional risk: Measures how much additional risk the financial system assumes if one or more key institutions encounter financial difficulties. For example, SRISK measures how much an institution could lose if the market enters a crisis, connecting concepts such as “too big to fail” and “too interconnected to fail.”
- Network theory: It analyzes how financial institutions are interconnected and how problems at one entity can spread to others. It measures the intensity of causal relationships and the effect of one entity’s volatility on others. In addition, it identifies who emits and receives risk in the event of extreme contagion.
- CoVaR approach: Measures the tail dependence of bank asset returns.
- Expected Systemic Risk: Measures a bank’s tendency to be undercapitalized if the entire system is undercapitalized.
- SRISK: A measure of a financial institution’s capital shortfall conditional on a severe market downturn. It is a measure based on size, leverage, and credit risk.
- Put Option Portfolio: Analyzes how the assets in the portfolio are correlated with each other. Based on the above, the probability of banks defaulting simultaneously is estimated. The present value of the expected loss is interpreted as a put option on the bank’s assets to calculate the value and volatility of the expected loss.
- Interbank Network Analysis: This is one of the methods that has been used to investigate the emergence of systemic risk through connections between banks. In this network structure, each node represents a bank, and the connections between banks are represented by edges (Leventides et al. 2019).
2.4. Impact of Systemic Risk
2.5. Systemic Risk Control
3. Materials and Methods
- Papers published between 2020 and 2025 were selected to capture recent developments in this field and developments associated with systemic risk analysis. This criterion may generate bias by omitting historical background or seminal works; however, it allows for a focus on the most recent research, which is useful for identifying emerging trends in the conceptual structure and models applicable to systemic risk. Result: 3428 papers.
- Scientific papers published in English and not retracted, in the fields of economics, business finance, administration, computer science, information systems, operations research, management sciences, and business. This criterion may introduce bias by omitting conceptual contributions in peripheral areas of research. However, it allows the analysis to focus on the conceptual structure of systemic risk within its disciplinary core. Result: 1643 papers.
- Literature reviews were excluded to avoid analytical redundancies and ensure that the bibliometric mapping focuses exclusively on original studies that contribute directly to the empirical or theoretical development of the field. Focusing on original papers allows for the collection of higher-quality data (Wan Mustapa et al. 2025), which helps to facilitate the identification of advances and trends in primary research, avoiding biases derived from high citation rates (Öztürk et al. 2024) and the synthetic nature of review papers.
- This criterion may generate bias by underrepresenting literature produced in other languages and limiting the scope to works that have not been reviewed in greater depth; however, it improves the comparability of results and avoids problems in bibliometric analysis arising from terminological dispersion across multiple languages. Only one review was identified. Result: 1642 papers.
- Intermediation Centrality: CiteSpace uses intermediation centrality to measure importance in the network, as this metric reflects the control strength and bridging effect of a node (Yan and Du 2025).
- Modularity: This measures how the network can be divided into relatively independent blocks or modules. The coefficient takes values between 0 and 1; the closer to 1, the greater the modularity and, therefore, the clarity in the formation of clusters in the network (Chen et al. 2010).
- Silhouette Coefficient: This is useful for evaluating the internal coherence and separation between the identified clusters. Its values range from −1 to 1, where a value close to 1 indicates a well-defined assignment and a clear separation between groups. In general, values above 0.7 are considered indicative of high clustering quality, which facilitates the tasks of interpreting, aggregating, and labeling clusters (Chen et al. 2010).
- Coverage (Cov): Represents the proportion of references cited by a specific paper relative to the total number of references that make up a cluster. This value allows us to analyze the degree of representativeness or contribution of each paper in the cluster and its contribution to the thematic construction of the group (Chen 2014).
- Burst: Burst detection determines whether the number of references to a particular citation has increased dramatically in a short period of time (Chen et al. 2010). In other words, it reports a sudden and significant increase in citations that may indicate intense and concentrated attention from the academic community toward that work and the emergence of emerging or frontier topics.
- Sigma: This is used to measure the novelty of nodes and combines their importance in the network structure and their temporal variability. According to Yan and Du (2025), papers with high sigma values tend to be innovative and crucial.
- Define the objective and scope of the research: The research questions and categories of analysis were specified, based on which the search equation was constructed.
- Choice of bibliometric analysis technique: Web of Science (WoS) was selected for its broad and curated coverage, recognized for providing high-quality peer-reviewed papers and widely used in the literature (Khan et al. 2022). CiteSpace was used as an analysis tool to map the conceptual structure and evolutionary dynamics of a scientific field.
- Data collection: The search equation defined in Table 2 was applied, verifying duplicates and metadata completeness to ensure the quality of the records.
- Development of bibliometric analysis and reporting of findings: This included the systematization of WoS results, cluster algorithm testing, manual cluster labeling, and content characterization to identify the conceptual structure.
- Bibliometric synthesis and discussion of findings: The results were integrated with the theoretical and empirical literature on systemic risk, highlighting models, approaches, and the application of network analysis.
4. Results
- Stock Market Contagion: Capturing the independence between assets or sectors to analyze the spread of price shocks or volatility. In this case, the nodes are financial assets, the links are statistical relationships, and the type of contagion is generally indirect, for example, the amplification of volatility.
- Systemic crisis: Understand how an adverse event can affect the entire financial system. The propagation, amplification, and consequences of shocks in interconnected networks associated with systemic macroeconomic, market, or microeconomic problems are analyzed.
- Banking Networks: Evaluate the spread of losses and failures among interconnected banks. In this case, the nodes are banks, the links are financial exposures such as loans or shared trends in financial assets. Unlike stock markets, interbank networks tend to show greater temporary stability, as they operate under more structured and regulated relationships, leading to lower volatility (Ahelegbey et al. 2021).
- Multilayer Networks: Modeling the dynamics of complex financial systems where there are different types of relationships between nodes (Wang et al. 2021). For example, one layer could be volatility, and another layer could be extreme risk.
- Network Topology: Analyze the effect of the structure and shape of the network of connections between financial institutions (Das et al. 2022). This allows us to address the speed and scale of systemic risk propagation by studying propagation routes, system resilience or fragility, systemic nodes, and macro-prudential policies.
- External Shocks: Examine how events originating outside the financial industry or the domestic market affect the system. These shocks may originate from geopolitical events, such as the Russia-Ukraine war, from the sustainability of the system, such as the debt crisis due to exposure to sovereign bonds, or even from health issues, such as the global pandemic.
- Quantile Analysis: This statistical technique allows you to estimate the relationship between variables based not only on averages, but also on the different quantile points of the endogenous variable distribution.
- Connectivity in multilayer networks: The trend toward addressing complex networks by analyzing multilayer connections, which allows for capturing diverse sources of contagion, identifying hidden vulnerabilities, and assessing the compound effects of shocks.
- Sectoral and geographic connectivity: The trend toward analyzing connectivity between specific sectors, regions, or industries. For example, the banking, energy, oil, or manufacturing sectors. Fianu et al. (2022) apply Bayesian graphical autoregressive vector models (BG-VARX) and Bayesian structural equations with external variables (BG-SEMX), which allow for the representation of interdependence between electricity zones, thereby enabling the identification of vulnerable zones or risk transmitters within the market.
- Extreme connectivity and tail risk: The trend toward applying quantile analysis to study volatility and assess extreme connectivity, market sentiments and fears, and their impact on the network. This approach can be valuable for analyzing public and investor sentiment, which can be influenced by market performance during crises like COVID-19 (Ahelegbey et al. 2022).
- Demirer et al. (2017): They make an innovative contribution by introducing the LASSO approach applied to high-dimensional VAR models, which overcomes the traditional limitations of global bank network estimates. This is because this model allows VAR to be estimated in high-dimensional environments, where the parameters can exceed the number of observations, and can be useful for estimating global banking connectivity networks, maintaining parsimony, and avoiding overfitting.
- Ando et al. (2022): Their methodological contribution consists of extending the connectivity framework of Diebold and Yilmaz (2009, 2014), based on estimates of conditional means from a VAR, towards a quantile formulation capable of capturing the structural heterogeneity of the network under different magnitudes of shocks. This allows us to address the assumption that the topology of the financial system is established in the face of shocks of varying intensity by modeling the variation in connectivity across the conditional distribution of shocks, from the mildest to the most extreme.
- Wang et al. (2018): Make a significant contribution to the measurement of systemic risk by empirically operationalizing the TENET (Tail-Event driven NETwork) model proposed by Härdle et al. (2016). Their contribution lies in the possibility of articulating the network structure with dependence on the distribution tails to overcome the limitations of linear contagion models. This articulation allows us to see beyond the average relationships between nodes, addressing how interconnections intensify in periods of financial stress, which can reveal propagation patterns that traditional models do not capture.
5. Discussion
- Volatility networks and spillovers: Notable work in this field includes that of Diebold and Yilmaz (2012, 2014, 2023), who developed a method that integrates financial network theory and VAR models to analyze the transmission of volatility shocks and conceptualize systemic risk as a dynamic contagion phenomenon. This tradition is dominated by empirical studies on volatility spillovers, financial contagion, and macroprudential risk.
- Dynamic correlations and temporal dependence: This tradition integrates classical time series theory with conditional heteroscedasticity models (GARCH and its extensions) and nonlinear tests of dependence and causality focused on the tails of the distribution. Its objective is to capture how conditional volatility and higher-order dependence transmit risk over time. For example, Hong et al. (2009) propose tests that allow many lags to be incorporated using kernel weights, mitigating the loss of degrees of freedom and preserving power compared to alternatives with lagged effects. In addition, it offers robustness against conditional heteroscedasticity and facilitates the detection of nonlinear dynamic dependencies and long-term memory.
- Complex Networks and Topological Analysis: This tradition is inspired by complex network theory and financial topology. It focuses on the structure of the system, which includes nodes (institutions) and links (debt relationships, exposure, and correlation). Billio et al. (2012) demonstrate, through principal component analysis and Granger causality networks, that connectivity increases systemic vulnerability, while Elliott et al. (2014) explain the financial cascades that arise when failures are transmitted through contractual links.
- Bayesian Approach and Dynamic Inference: Extends traditional VAR models toward a dynamic Bayesian approach, which allows for capturing the temporal and nonlinear evolution of interdependencies between financial variables. This framework enables real-time analysis of systemic risk dynamics, incorporating macroeconomic information and conditional volatility. Among the techniques used is TVP-VAR, which estimates parameters that vary over time and allows for updated Bayesian predictions. According to Antonakakis and Gabauer (2017), this methodology has advantages over the moving window VAR proposed by Diebold and Yilmaz (2014), adjusting more quickly to economic shocks and offering greater flexibility in the face of structural changes in financial connectivity.
6. Conclusions
- Encourage the integration of advanced quantitative tools such as QVAR or TVP-VAR to measure and monitor risk connectivity between assets and markets.
- Dynamically adjust the weighting of assets within investment portfolios, considering the connectivity between markets and their exposure to events such as pandemics or geopolitical conflicts.
- Develop supervisory frameworks that incorporate multi-layered networks to capture the complex dynamic transmission of risks between markets.
- Strengthen the transparency of financial markets, considering phenomena such as shadow banking and the rapid development of the crypto-asset market, to identify potential contagion and facilitate early intervention.
- Establish early warning systems based on social media information and investor sentiment, which allow for the anticipation of events such as short squeezes, especially in high-risk assets such as digital tokens.
- Adapt regulations and strategies to minimize spillover risks in energy, carbon, and agricultural markets, considering external shocks such as pandemics, conflicts, and the energy transition.
Author Contributions
Funding
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Acknowledgments
Conflicts of Interest
Abbreviations
| IMF | International Monetary Fund |
| BIS | Bank for International Settlements |
| AIG | American International Group |
| SIFI | Systemically Important Financial Institutions |
| WoS | Web of Science |
| TENET | Tail-Event-Driven Network |
| SAR | Spatial Autoregression |
| DY | Spillover Index |
| VAR | Vector Autoregression |
| TVP-VAR | Time-Varying Parameter Vector Autoregression |
| QVAR | Quantile Vector Autoregression |
| CoVar | Conditional Value at Risk |
| QFVAR | Quantile Factor Vector Autoregression |
| SRISK | Systemic Risk Measure |
| PCQ | Partial Cross Quantogram |
| EDB | Exposed-Distressed-Bankrupter |
| FEVD | Forecast Error Variance Decomposition |
References
- Abduraimova, Kumushoy, and Paul Nahai-Williamson. 2021. Solvency Distress Contagion Risk. Network Structure, Bank Heterogeneity and Systemic Resilience (909). Available online: www.bankofengland.co.uk/working-paper/staff-working-papers (accessed on 14 June 2025).
- Ahelegbey, Daniel Felix, and Paolo Giudici. 2022. NetVIX—A network volatility index of financial markets. Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and Its Applications 594: 127017. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Ahelegbey, Daniel Felix, Paola Cerchiello, and Roberta Scaramozzino. 2022. Network based evidence of the financial impact of COVID-19 pandemic. International Review of Financial Analysis 81: 102101. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Ahelegbey, Daniel Felix, Paolo Giudici, and Shatha Qamhieh Hashem. 2021. Network VAR models to measure financial contagion. The North American Journal of Economics and Finance 55: 101318. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Aldasoro, Iñaki, Domenico Delli Gatti, and Ester Faia. 2017. Bank networks: Contagion, systemic risk and prudential policy. Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization 142: 164–88. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Ando, Tomohiro, Matthew Greenwood-Nimmo, and Yongcheol Shin. 2018. Quantile Connectedness: Modelling Tail Behaviour in the Topology of Financial Networks. Available online: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3164772 (accessed on 20 June 2025).
- Ando, Tomohiro, Matthew Greenwood-Nimmo, and Yongcheol Shin. 2022. Quantile connectedness: Modeling tail behavior in the topology of financial networks. Management Science 68: 2401–31. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Antonakakis, Nikolaos, and David Gabauer. 2017. Refined Measures of Dynamic Connectedness Based on TVP-VAR. MPRA Pap. No. 782782. Munich: University Library of Munich.
- Arreola Hernandez, José, Sang Hoon Kang, Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad, and Seong-Min Yoo. 2020. Spillovers and diversification potential of bank equity returns from developed and emerging America. North American Journal of Economics and Finance 54: 101219. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Bai, Xiao, Huaping Sun, Shibao Lu, and Farhad Taghizadeh-Hesary. 2020. A Review of Micro-Based Systemic Risk Research from Multiple Perspectives. Entropy 22: 711. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef] [PubMed]
- Banerjee, Tathagata, Alex Bernstein, and Zachary Feinstein. 2025. Dynamic Clearing and Contagion in Financial Networks. European Journal of Operational Research 321: 664–75. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Banerjee, Tathagata, and Zachary Feinstein. 2019. Impact of contingent payments on systemic risk in financial networks. Mathematics and Financial Economics 13: 617–36. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Barnett, William A., Xue Wang, Hai-Chuan Xu, and Wei-Xing Zhou. 2022. Hierarchical contagions in the interdependent financial network. Journal of Financial Stability 61: 101037. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Barucca, Paolo, Marco Bardoscia, Fabio Caccioli, Marco D’Errico, Gabriele Visentin, Guido Caldarelli, and Stefano Battiston. 2020. Network valuation in financial systems. Mathematical Finance 30: 1181–204. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Battiston, Stefano, and Serafin Martinez-Jaramillo. 2018. Financial networks and stress testing: Challenges and new research avenues for systemic risk analysis and financial stability implications. Journal of Financial Stability 35: 6–16. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Ben Amor, Nawel, Amal Ghorbel, and Slah Bahloul. 2025. Frequency connectedness and portfolio implication between financial, green and commodity markets: A TVP-VAR approach. Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics and Econometrics. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Bhattacherjee, Purba, Sibanjan Mishra, and Sang Hoon Kang. 2024. Extreme time-frequency connectedness across U.S. sector stock and commodity futures markets. International Review of Economics and Finance 93: 1176–97. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Bian, Yuetang (Peter), Yu Wang, and Lu Xu. 2020. Systemic risk contagion in reconstructed financial credit network within banking and firm sectors on DebtRank based model. Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society 2020: 8885657. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Billio, Monica, Mila Getmansky, Andrew W. Lo, and Loriana Pelizzon. 2012. Econometric measures of connectedness and systemic risk in the finance and insurance sectors. Journal of Financial Economics 104: 535–59. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Bouri, Elie, Oguzhan Cepni, David Gabauer, and Rangan Gupta. 2021. Return connectedness across asset classes around the COVID-19 outbreak. International Review of Financial Analysis 73: 101646. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Brunetti, Celso, Jeffrey H. Harris, Shawn Mankad, and George Michailidis. 2015. Interconnectedness in the interbank market. In Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2015–090. Washington: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. [Google Scholar]
- Caccioli, Fabio, Paolo Barucca, and Teruyoshi Kobayashi. 2018. Network models of financial systemic risk: A review. Journal of Computational Social Science 1: 81–114. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Caiazzo, Emmanuel, and Alberto Zazzaro. 2025. Bank diversity and financial contagion. Journal of Financial Stability 77: 101392. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Cao, Jie, Fenghua Wen, H. Eugene Stanley, and Xiong Wang. 2021. Multilayer financial networks and systemic importance: Evidence from China. International Review of Financial Analysis 78: 101882. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Carro, Adrian, and Patricia Stupariu. 2024. Uncertainty, non-linear contagion and the credit quality channel: An application to the Spanish interbank market. Journal of Financial Stability 71: 101226. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Cerqueti, Roy, Gian Paolo Clemente, and Rosanna Grassi. 2021. Systemic risk assessment through high order clustering coefficient. Annals of Operations Research 299: 1165–87. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Chen, Chaomei. 2006. CiteSpace II: Detecting and visualizing emerging trends and transient patterns in scientific literature. Journal of the American Society for Information Science and Technology 57: 359–77. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Chen, Chaomei. 2014. The CiteSpace Manual. Philadelphia: College of Computing and Informatics, Drexel University, p. 84. [Google Scholar]
- Chen, Chaomei, Fidelia Ibekwe-SanJuan, and Jianhua Hou. 2010. The structure and dynamics of cocitation clusters: A multiple-perspective cocitation analysis. Journal of the American Society for Information Science and Technology 61: 1386–409. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Chen, Hui, Winston Wei Dou, Hongye Guo, and Yan Ji. 2023. Feedback and Contagion Through Distressed Competition. National Bureau of Economic Research, Working Paper Series. Cambridge: National Bureau of Economic Research. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Chen, Jinyu, Zhipeng Liang, Quian Ding, and Zhenhua Liu. 2022. Quantile connectedness between energy, metal, and carbon markets. International Review of Financial Analysis 83: 102282. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Chen, Jiusheng, and Xianning Wang. 2025. Climate policy uncertainty and the Chinese sectoral stock market: A multilayer network analysis. Economic Systems 49: 101250. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Chen, Tingqiang, Xin Zheng, and Lei Wang. 2025. Systemic risk among Chinese oil and petrochemical firms based on dynamic tail risk spillover networks. North American Journal of Economics and Finance 77: 102404. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Chen, Xi, Junbo Wang, Chunchi Wu, and Di Wu. 2024. Extreme Illiquidity and Cross-Sectional Corporate Bond Returns. Journal of Financial Markets 68: 100895. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Choi, Ki-Hong, Ron P. McIver, Salvatore Ferraro, Lei Xu, and Sang Hoon Kang. 2021. Dynamic volatility spillover and network connectedness across ASX sector markets. Journal of Economics and Finance 45: 677–91. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Choi, Seo Joon, Kanghyun Kim, and Sunyoung Park. 2020. Is systemic risk systematic? Evidence from the U.S. stock markets. International Journal of Finance & Economics 25: 642–63. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Dai, Zhifeng, Rui Tang, and Xiaotong Zhang. 2023a. A new multilayer network for measuring interconnectedness among the energy firms. Energy Economics 124: 106880. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Dai, Zhifeng, Rui Tang, and Xiaotong Zhang. 2023b. Multilayer network analysis for measuring the interconnectedness between the oil market and G20 stock markets. Energy Economics 120: 106639. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Das, Sanjiv R., Kris James Mitchener, and Angela Vossmeyer. 2022. Bank regulation, network topology, and systemic risk: Evidence from the Great Depression. Journal of Money, Credit and Banking 54: 1261–312. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Demirer, Mert, Francis X. Diebold, Laura Liu, and Kamil Yilmaz. 2017. Estimating global bank network connectedness. Journal of Applied Econometrics 33: 1–15. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Diebold, Francis X., and Kamil Yilmaz. 2009. Measuring financial asset return and volatility spillovers, with application to global equity markets. The Economic Journal 119: 158–71. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Diebold, Francis X., and Kamil Yilmaz. 2012. Better to give than to receive: Predictive directional measurement of volatility spillovers. International Journal of Forecasting 28: 57–66. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Diebold, Francis X., and Kamil Yilmaz. 2014. On the network topology of variance decompositions: Measuring the connectedness of financial firms. Journal of Econometrics 182: 119–34. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Diebold, Francis X., and Kamil Yilmaz. 2023. On the past, present, and future of the Diebold–Yilmaz approach to dynamic network connectedness. Journal of Econometrics 234: 115–20. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Donthu, Naveen, Satish Kumar, Debmalya Mukherjee, Nitesh Pandey, and Weng Marc Lim. 2021. How to conduct a bibliometric analysis: An overview and guidelines. Journal of Business Research 133: 285–96. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Echchakoui, Said. 2020. Why and how to merge Scopus and Web of Science during bibliometric analysis: The case of sales force literature from 1912 to 2019. Journal of Marketing Analytics 8: 165–84. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Elliott, Matthew, Benjamin Golub, and Matthew Jackson. 2014. Financial networks and contagion. American Economic Review 104: 3115–53. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Ellis, Scott, Satish Sharma, and Janusz Brzeszczyński. 2022. Systemic risk measures and regulatory challenges. Journal of Financial Stability 61: 100960. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- El Omari, Salaheddine, Noureddine Benlagha, and Shabeen Taj Afsar Basha. 2025. Sectorial connectivity behavior in times of turmoil: A comparison of a geopolitical and health crises. Emerging Markets Finance and Trade 61: 4326–50. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Engle, Robert F., and Simone Manganelli. 2004. CAViaR: Conditional autoregressive value at risk by regression quantiles. Journal of Business and Economic Statistics 22: 367–81. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Farooq, Rayees. 2024. A review of knowledge management research in the past three decades: A bibliometric analysis. VINE Journal of Information and Knowledge Management Systems 54: 339–78. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Feng, Qianqian, Xiaolei Sun, Chang Liu, and Jianping Li. 2021. Spillovers between sovereign CDS and exchange rate markets: The role of market fear. North American Journal of Economics and Finance 55: 101308. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Fianu, Emmanuel Senyo, Daniel Felix Ahelegbey, and Luigi Grossi. 2022. Modeling risk contagion in the Italian zonal electricity market. European Journal of Operational Research 298: 656–79. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Foglia, Matteo, Abdelhamid Addi, and Eliana Angelini. 2022a. The Eurozone banking sector in the time of COVID-19: Measuring volatility connectedness. Global Finance Journal 51: 100677. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Foglia, Matteo, Abdelhamid Addi, Gang-Jin Wang, and Eliana Angelini. 2022b. Bearish Vs Bullish risk network: A Eurozone financial system analysis. Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money 77: 101522. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Forliano, Canio, Paola De Bernardi, and Dorra Yahiaoui. 2021. Entrepreneurial universities: A bibliometric analysis within the business and management domains. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 165: 120522. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Gao, Qianqian. 2022. Systemic risk analysis of multi-layer financial network system based on multiple interconnections between banks, firms, and assets. Entropy 24: 1252. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Greenwood-Nimmo, Matthew, Jingong Huang, and Viet Hoang Nguyen. 2019. Financial sector bailouts, sovereign bailouts, and the transfer of credit risk. Journal of Financial Markets 42: 121–42. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Hasse, Jean-Baptiste. 2022. Systemic risk: A network approach. Empirical Economics 63: 313–44. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Härdle, Wolfgang Karl, Weining Wang, and Lining Yu. 2016. TENET: Tail-Event driven NETwork risk. Journal of Econometrics 192: 499–513. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Hoang, Anh-Duc. 2025. Evaluating bibliometrics reviews. A practical guide for peer review and critical reading. Evaluation Review 49: 1074–102. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef] [PubMed]
- Hong, Yongmiao. 2001. A test for volatility spillover with application to exchange rates. Journal of Econometrics 103: 183–224. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Hong, Yongmiao, Yanhui Liu, and Shouyang Wang. 2009. Granger causality in risk and detection of extreme risk spillover between financial markets. Journal of Econometrics 150: 271–87. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Huang, Jionghao, Ziruo Li, and Xiaohua Xia. 2021. Network diffusion of international oil volatility risk in China’s stock market: Quantile interconnectedness modelling and shock decomposition analysis. International Review of Economics and Finance 76: 1–39. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Hurd, Thomas. 2016. Contagion! Systemic Risk in Financial Networks Financial Systemic Risk. Berlin and Heidelberg: Springer. [Google Scholar]
- Jackson, Matthew O., and Agathe Pernoud. 2021. Systemic risk in financial networks. A survey. Annual Review of Economics 13: 171–202. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Jin, Xin, Bisharat Hussain Chang, Chaosheng Han, and Mohammed Ahmar Uddin. 2025. The tail connectedness among conventional, religious, and sustainable investments: An empirical evidence from neural network quantile regression approach. International Journal of Finance and Economics 30: 1124–42. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Khan, Ashraf, John W. Goodell, M. Kabir Hassan, and Andrea Paltrinieri. 2022. A bibliometric review of finance bibliometric papers. Finance Research Letters 47: 102520. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Landaberry, Victoria, Fabio Caccioli, Anahi Rodriguez-Martinez, Andrea Baron, Serafin Martinez-Jaramillo, and Rodrigo Lluberas. 2021. The contribution of the intra-firm exposures network to systemic risk. Latin American Journal of Central Banking 2: 100032. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Leventides, John, Kalliopi Loukaki, and Vassilios G. Papavassiliou. 2019. Simulating financial contagion dynamics in random interbank networks. Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization 158: 500–25. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Macchiati, Valentina, Giuseppe Brandi, Tiziana Di Matteo, Daniela Paolotti, Guido Caldarelli, and Giulio Cimini. 2022. Systemic liquidity contagion in the European interbank market. Journal of Economic Interaction and Coordination 17: 443–74. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Maia, Saulo Cardoso, Gideon Carvalho de Benedicto, José Willer do Prado, David Alastaír Robb, Oscar Neto de Almeida Bispo, and Mozar José de Brito. 2019. Mapping the literature on credit unions: A bibliometric investigation grounded in Scopus and Web of Science. Scientometrics 120: 929–60. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Markose, Sheri, Simone Giansante, Nicolas A. Eterovic, and Mateusz Gatkowski. 2021. Early warning of systemic risk in global banking: Eigen-pair R number for financial contagion and market price-based methods. Annals of Operations Research 330: 691–729. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr, Sitara Karim, Larisa Yarovaya, and Brian M. Lucey. 2025. Systemic risk contagion of green and Islamic markets with conventional markets. Annals of Operations Research 347: 265–87. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Neveu, Andre R. 2018. A survey of network-based analysis and systemic risk measurement. Journal of Economic Interaction and Coordination 13: 241–81. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Nica, Ionuț, Camelia Delcea, Nora Chiriță, and Ștefan Ionescu. 2024. Quantifying Impact, Uncovering Trends: A Comprehensive Bibliometric Analysis of Shadow Banking and Financial Contagion Dynamics. International Journal of Financial Studies 12: 25. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Ninkov, Anton, Jason R. Frank, and Lauren A. Maggio. 2021. Bibliometrics: Methods for studying academic publishing. Perspectives on Medical Education 11: 173–76. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Nobanee, Haitham, Fatima Youssef Al Hamadi, Fatma Ali Abdulaziz, Lina Subhi Abukarsh, Aysha Falah Alqahtani, Shayma Khalifa AlSubaey, Sara Mohamed Alqahtani, and Hamama Abdulla Almansoori. 2021. A bibliometric analysis of sustainability and risk management. Sustainability 13: 3277. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Ouyang, Zisheng, Xuewei Zhou, Min Lu, and Ke Liu. 2024. Imported financial risk in global stock markets: Evidence from the interconnected network. Research in International Business and Finance 69: 102300. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Öztürk, Oğuzhan, Ridvan Kocaman, and Dominik K. Kanbach. 2024. How to design bibliometric research: An overview and a framework proposal. Review of Managerial Science 18: 3333–61. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Pacelli, Vicenzo, Ida Claudia Panetta, and Maria Melania Povia. 2025. Systemic Risk and Network Science: A Bibliometric and Systematic Review. In Systemic Risk and Complex Networks in Modern Financial Systems. Edited by Vincenzo Pacelli. New Economic Windows. Cham: Springer. [Google Scholar]
- Petrone, Daniele, and Vito Latora. 2018. A dynamic approach merging network theory and credit risk techniques to assess systemic risk in financial networks. Scientific Reports 8: 5561. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Piccotti, Louis R. 2017. Financial contagion risk and the stochastic discount factor. Journal of Banking and Finance 77: 230–48. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Pichler, Anton, Sebastian Poledna, and Stefan Thurner. 2021. Systemic risk-efficient asset allocations: Minimization of systemic risk as a network optimization problem. Journal of Financial Stability 52: 100809. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Polat, Onur. 2019. Systemic risk contagion in FX market: A frequency connectedness and network analysis. Bulletin of Economic Research 71: 585–98. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Polat, Onur. 2020. Measuring dynamic connectedness networks in energy commodities: Evidence from the D-Y and frequency connectedness approaches. OPEC Energy Review 44: 404–28. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Ramadiah, Amanah, Domenico Di Gangi, D. Ruggiero Lo Sardo, Valentina Macchiati, Tuan Pham Minh, Francesco Pinotti, Mateusz Wilinski, Paolo Barucca, and Giulio Cimini. 2019. Network sensitivity of systemic risk. Journal of Network Theory in Finance 5: 53–72. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Schwarcz, Steven L. 2008. Systemic Risk. Georgetown Law Journal 97: 193–249. [Google Scholar]
- Shang, Li, Biao Zhou, Jianna Li, Decai Tang, Valentina Boamah, and Zhiwei Pan. 2024. Evaluating financial fragility: A case study of Chinese banking and finance systems. Humanities and Social Sciences Communications 11: 425. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Shi, Huai-Long, and Huayi Chen. 2025. Quantile return connectedness of theme factors and portfolio implications: Evidence from the US and China. Global Finance Journal 64: 101079. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Silva, Thiago Christiano, Michel da Silva Alexandre, and Benjamin Miranda Tabak. 2018. Bank lending and systemic risk: A financial-real sector network approach with feedback. Journal of Financial Stability 38: 98–118. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Silva, Thiago Christiano, Solange Maria Guerra, and Benjamin Miranda Tabak. 2020. Fiscal risk and financial fragility. Emerging Markets Review 45: 100711. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Silva, Walmir, Helbert Kimura, and Vinicius Amorim Sobreiro. 2017. An analysis of the literature on systemic financial risk: A survey. Journal of Financial Stability 28: 91–114. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Su, Fei, Lili Zhai, Yunyan Zhou, Zixi Zhuang, and Feifan Wang. 2024. Risk contagion in financial markets: A systematic review using bibliometric methods. Australian Economic Papers 63: 163–99. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Sun, Lixin. 2023. Systemic risk and macro-financial contagion in China: Financial balance sheet-based network analysis. Journal of the Asia Pacific Economy 28: 1140–73. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Teply, Petr, and Tomas Klinger. 2019. Agent-based modeling of systemic risk in the European banking sector. Journal of Economic Interaction and Coordination 14: 811–33. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Veraart, Luitgard Anna Maria. 2020. Distress and default contagion in financial networks. Mathematical Finance 30: 705–37. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Wang, Gang-Jin, Chi Xie, Kaijian He, and Harry Eugene Stanley. 2017. Extreme risk spillover network: Application to financial institutions. Quantitative Finance 17: 1417–33. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Wang, Gang-Jin, Shuyue Yi, Chi Xie, and Harry Eugene Stanley. 2021. Multilayer information spillover networks: Measuring interconnectedness of financial institutions. Quantitative Finance 21: 1163–85. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Wang, Gang-Jin, Yusen Feng, Yufeng Xiao, You Zhu, and Chi Xie. 2022. Connectedness and systemic risk of the banking industry along the Belt and Road. Journal of Management Science and Engineering 7: 303–29. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Wang, Gang-Jin, Zhi-Qiang Jiang, Min Lin, Chi Xie, and Harry Eugene Stanley. 2018. Interconnectedness and systemic risk of China’s financial institutions. Emerging Markets Review 35: 1–18. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Wan Mustapa, Wan Nurulasiah, Nurul Labanihuda Abdull Rahman, Ahmad Zulhusny Rozali, Hafizul Fahri Hanafi, Rabeatul Husna Abdull Rahman, and Fatin Syazwani Safiyuddin. 2025. A bibliometric analysis of financial management from Web of Science (WoS) database. Frontiers in Blockchain 8: 1613354. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Xiang, Youtao, and Sumuya Borjigin. 2024. Multilayer networks for measuring interconnectedness among global stock markets through the lens of trading volume-price relationship. Global Finance Journal 62: 101006. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Yan, Lichuan, and You Du. 2025. Exploring Trends and Clusters in Human Posture Recognition Research: An Analysis Using CiteSpace. Sensors 25: 632. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Yao, Yinhong, Zhensong Chen, Wei Chen, and Xueyong Liu. 2025. Quantile-based spillover network analysis of financial institutions in Chinese Mainland and Hong Kong. International Journal of Information Technology and Decision Making 24: 817–42. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Yi, Shuyue, Zishuang Xu, and Gang-Jin Wang. 2018. Volatility connectedness in the cryptocurrency market: Is Bitcoin a dominant cryptocurrency? International Review of Financial Analysis 60: 98–114. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Yousaf, Imran, Yasir Riaz, and John W. Goodell. 2023. The impact of the SVB collapse on global financial markets: Substantial but narrow. Finance Research Letters 55: 103948. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Zedda, Stefano, and Giuseppina Cannas. 2020. Analysis of banks’ systemic risk contribution and contagion determinants through the leave-one-out approach. Journal of Banking and Finance 112: 105160. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Zhang, Hua, Jinyu Chen, and Liuguo Shao. 2021. Dynamic spillovers between energy and stock markets and their implications in the context of COVID-19. International Review of Financial Analysis 77: 101828. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef] [PubMed]
- Zhou, Xuewei, Zisheng Ouyang, and Min Lu. 2025. Global volatility connectedness and the determinants: Evidence from multilayer networks. The European Journal of Finance 31: 1369–404. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]




| Model | Definition | Applicability | Mathematical Expression |
|---|---|---|---|
| Conditional Value at Risk (CoVaR) | It measures the tail risk of the conditional distribution of returns for a bank in a situation of financial stress. | Capture dependencies between institutions and identify those that generate systemic risks. | where : Return of the financial system : Return of institution i |
| Systemic Risk Measure (SRISK) | Estimate the expected capital shortfall in a severe market downturn based on size, leverage, and credit risk. | Provide a practical measure for identifying recapitalization needs, linking systemic risk to solvency. | where : prudential capital ratio : total debt of institution i : market value of equity : Lon − Run Marginal Expected Shorfall |
| Tail-Event-Driven Network (TENET) | A network model that analyzes the propagation of systemic risk when tail events occur that affect multiple institutions. | Visualize contagion through the banking network, considering the dynamics of propagation in extreme stress scenarios. | where : logarithmic return of institution i over time t. : Vector of lagging macro variables reflecting the state of the system : institutional sensitivity coefficients to macro events |
| Quantile Vector Autoregression (QVAR) | Extension of the traditional VAR model to address dependencies between financial variables in different quantiles of the distribution | Capture nonlinear dependency relationships and tail effects to assess asymmetric impacts in adverse scenarios. | where : Conditional quantile τ of the vector of financial variables , given the track record : matrices of coefficients dependent on the quantile level |
| Database | Search Equation |
|---|---|
| WoS | (ALL = (“system* risk*” OR “financ* contagion” OR “macroprudential risk” OR “financ* default*” OR “bank* default*” OR “interbank* contagion” OR “system* collapse” OR “financ* shock*” OR “cascad* failure*” OR “domino effect*” OR “risk* spillover*” OR “shock* transmission*”)) AND ALL = (network* OR interconnect*) and Article or Early Access (Document Types) and Economics or Business Finance or Management or Computer Science Information Systems or Operations Research Management Science or Business (Web of Science Categories) and 2025 or 2024 or 2023 or 2022 or 2021 or 2020 (Publication Years) and Retracted Publication (Exclude—Document Types) and French or Russian (Exclude—Languages) and Review Article (Exclude—Document Types) |
| C0 | Stock Market Contagion | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Authors | Cov | Model | Paper Result |
| Xiang and Borjigin (2024) | 14 | Elastic-Net-VAR | Contagion networks constructed using price and volume variables exhibit heterogeneous transmission mechanisms. Volume stands out as a key variable for the analysis of financial networks. |
| Yao et al. (2025) | 13 | Quantile Vector Autoregression (QVAR) | Risk diffusion effects among the institutions analyzed are most intense under extreme conditions, with predominant spread from China to Hong Kong. |
| Ben Amor et al. (2025) | 12 | Time-Varying Parameter Vector Autoregression (TVP-VAR) | Stock markets show greater interconnectivity during the pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine conflict. Short-term shocks largely explain the transmission between assets. |
| Bhattacherjee et al. (2024) | 11 | Quantile Vector Autoregression (QVAR) | Business sectors act as shock transmitters, while commodities tend to be shock receivers. During the global pandemic, connectivity was more intense in the short term, especially in bear markets. |
| Ouyang et al. (2024) | 11 | DY Spillover Index | Sentiment risk has a greater impact than volatility and acts as an early warning signal. Risk connectivity changes during the crisis and varies across regions. |
| The main objective of the papers identified in cluster C0 is to measure interdependence and contagion, quantifying spillovers and connectivity in financial markets such as equities, commodities, and debt markets. A recurring analytical framework is evident in Diebold and Yilmaz (2009, 2012, 2014) and methodological extensions based on Elastic-Net VAR, TVP VAR, and Quantile VAR. The importance of additional layers of information, such as transaction volume, financial market volatility, and investor sentiment, is highlighted. | |||
| C1 | Systemic Crisis | ||
| Authors | Cov | Model | Paper Result |
| Wang et al. (2021) | 13 | Multilayer networks based on Granger causality | Multi-layered financial information dissemination networks can detect early signs of financial crises, as spikes in connectivity often appear before the crisis erupts. |
| Foglia et al. (2022a) | 13 | DY Spillover Index | Volatility and contagion increase during crises, with clear peaks during the financial crisis, the eurozone sovereign debt crisis, non-performing loan (NPL) problems, and the global pandemic era. |
| Foglia et al. (2022b) | 12 | Granger causality | When the market is in crisis, risk contagion between different sectors increases, which could jeopardize the resilience of the entire financial system. |
| Hasse (2022) | 12 | Correlation Matrices Performed | Higher levels of the systemic risk indicator are observed during the global financial crisis and, to a lesser extent, during the European sovereign debt crisis. |
| Wang et al. (2022) | 12 | Tail-Event-Driven Network (TENET) | During the 2015–2016 Chinese stock market crash, financial system connectivity reached its peak, indicating a strong interdependence between institutions during periods of stress. |
| The papers identified in cluster C1 focus on quantifying the interconnection between institutions and markets and their contribution to the spread of systemic risk, as well as identifying sources of vulnerability that can trigger or amplify crises. There is intensive use of network connectivity models and frequent use of approaches that capture tail/extreme risks, such as TENET and CoVaR. Topological changes before stress episodes that have the potential to generate early warning signals are analyzed, and evidence is provided that the study of temporal evolution is key to detecting when the system becomes more vulnerable. | |||
| C2 | Banking Networks | ||
| Authors | Cov | Model | Paper Result |
| Arreola Hernandez et al. (2020) | 8 | Tail-Event-Driven Network (TENET) | Connectivity and risk spread among banks in emerging economies are significantly lower than among developed banks. During the global pandemic, the intensity of contagion among emerging banks increased more than among developed banks. |
| Silva et al. (2020) | 8 | Multilayer Networks | Banks are resilient to defaults by Brazilian states, especially those under fiscal pressure. State-owned banks are more sensitive to defaults by Brazilian states, as they are the largest creditors and occupy central positions in the network. |
| Barucca et al. (2020) | 8 | Theoretical-Formal Study | The generalization of financial contagion and valuation models guarantees an optimal solution for setting the value of bank shares. The model can be applied to assessing bank losses in a network of liabilities, conditioned on shocks to their external assets. |
| Veraart (2020) | 7 | Theoretical-Formal Study | Bankruptcy costs can amplify losses in two ways: 1. Direct: through bank default. 2. Indirect: through contagion from the crisis. |
| Jackson and Pernoud (2021) | 7 | Theoretical-Formal Study | Public bailouts can induce moral hazard, reducing banks’ incentives to invest prudently. In contrast, private bailouts can reduce systemic risk if sufficient incentives exist, which depend on network topology and the regulator’s credible commitment. |
| The papers identified in cluster C2 are relevant since banks form densely interconnected networks through credit agreements, cross-exposures, and correlations in their portfolios. Some notable empirical studies show that banks in the United States and Brazil are important transmitters of risk in the Americas and that COVID-19 intensified the connectivity of emerging banks, reducing their potential for diversification. Furthermore, the studies highlight the regulatory usefulness of the findings, for example, identifying systemic nodes (large banks or banks with central positions) and projecting macroprudential regulation. The findings are also relevant for identifying non-traditional channels of contagion, such as fiscal risk, cross-selling, and common portfolios. | |||
| C3 | Multilayer Networks | ||
| Authors | Model | Paper Result | |
| Dai et al. (2023a) | 10 | Time-Varying Parameter Vector Autoregression (TVP-VAR) | Companies in the oil and gas sector are more vulnerable and tend to generate risk in the network. The volatility layer is the most connected in the network, reflecting that market expectations and panic can spread quickly. |
| Zhou et al. (2025) | 10 | Shapley decomposition approach | The lagged layer, representing time-delayed volatility transmission, is a major source of contagion in the United States, Austria, and Canada. The contemporaneous layer, based on immediate volatility spillovers, is characteristic of France, the Netherlands, and the United Kingdom and is more relevant in acute crises. |
| Yao et al. (2025) | 9 | Quantile Vector Autoregression (QVAR) | Risk diffusion effects among the institutions analyzed are most intense under extreme conditions, with predominant spread from China to Hong Kong. |
| Dai et al. (2023b) | 9 | Time-Varying Parameter Vector Autoregression (TVP-VAR) | Volatility layers react more quickly to crisis events because they reflect market expectations. Developed markets are seen as risk issuers, while emerging and oil markets are seen as risk recipients. |
| Chen and Wang (2025) | 8 | Dynamic Multilayer Network | The crisis increases the intensity of risk contagion, especially in the return propagation layer. An asynchronous effect between layers is observed during financial turmoil, and the profitability layer appears more sensitive to risk events. |
| In the papers identified in cluster C3, data are analyzed based on multilayer networks that represent a different dimension of financial risk, allowing for the heterogeneity of transmission mechanisms to be captured. Volatility consistently appears as the densest or most connected layer, and returns seem to react first, functioning as warning signals for subsequent risks of volatility and extreme risk. Overall, the results demonstrate how multilayer networks serve as early warnings for systemic risks and facilitate understanding of transmission mechanisms between markets, sectors, and institutions. | |||
| C4 | Network Topology | ||
| Authors | Cov | Model | Paper Result |
| Cerqueti et al. (2021) | 6 | High-order clustering coefficient | The evolution of systemic risk can be captured through clustering coefficients that reflect the density of interconnections. Countries based in Global Systemically Important Banks (GSIBs) have shown less cohesion since 2013, likely because of regulatory reforms. |
| Barnett et al. (2022) | 5 | Default Waterfall and Forced Sale | Denser and more diverse networks are more resilient to contagion. This demonstrates how network topology, connection diversification, and exposure level are key factors in assessing system fragility. |
| Caiazzo and Zazzaro (2025) | 5 | Contagion Model in Financial Networks | The combined topology of the interbank network and the common asset network determines systemic resilience and fragility. Incomplete networks can be more stable if exposure to common assets is misaligned with bank connections. However, these networks can be highly vulnerable when interbank exposures coincide with high asset commonality. |
| Macchiati et al. (2022) | 5 | Exposed-Distressed-Bankrupted (EDB) | The interaction between market topology and contagion dynamics is not trivial. For example, in Greece, a high liquidity indicator is observed, but the default rate turns out to be less prominent because local banks are not closely connected to foreign banks. |
| Carro and Stupariu (2024) | 4 | DebtRank Financial Distress Contagion Assessment Model for Interconnected Credit Institutions | Banks with smaller positions in the network structure can become highly contagious, revealing hidden weaknesses under nonlinear conditions. |
| The papers identified in cluster C4 explore how network structures determine risk propagation and systemic risk fragility. They are therefore, since network topology matters as much or more than the sum of individual exposures. The application of some classic network theory techniques for the analysis of banking connections is identified, such as clustering coefficients and node centrality, as well as the use of rankings to identify systemic nodes and failure hierarchies. The results show how topology-based measures can contribute to stress testing the most central nodes and seeing their effect on propagation, as well as evaluating the homogeneity of the network to define policies focused on key participants in the network. | |||
| C5 | External Shocks | ||
| Authors | Cov | Model | Paper Result |
| Choi et al. (2021) | 7 | DY Spillover Index | The 2008 financial crisis intensified the degree of volatility connectivity. The financial sector is the largest provider of such connectivity, indicating that the financial industry is a significant source of volatility spillovers. |
| Zhang et al. (2021) | 6 | Time-Varying Parameter Vector Autoregression (TVP-VAR), and the DY Spillover Index | The greatest indirect effects emerged during the global pandemic crisis. Indirect effects are evident between the stock and energy markets, with the latter being the net recipients. |
| Huang et al. (2021) | 6 | Partial Cross Quantogram (PCQ), Spatial Autoregression (SAR) | Significant indirect effects are observed that amplify the impact of oil volatility on industry returns. Oil price shocks have indirect effects on sectoral returns, but only under extreme market conditions do these effects diffuse significantly across the industry network. |
| Polat (2020) | 5 | DY Spillover Index | The global pandemic influenced commodity market conditions, causing wide price fluctuations. Energy commodity connectivity increased during political unrest and eased during periods of calm. Unfavorable weather conditions play a central role in commodity connectivity. |
| Feng et al. (2021) | 5 | DY Spillover Index | Shocks, such as the global pandemic, the oil crisis, and the debt crisis, have a significant contagion effect on the system. |
| The papers identified in cluster C5 point to certain external or global events such as financial crises, the COVID-19 pandemic, oil price volatility, and geopolitical factors that are transmitted across different markets and sectors. These shocks increase connectivity and systemic risk and can turn nodes that were initially peripheral (e.g., energy or emerging Credit Default Swap—CDS) into critical recipients. Therefore, regulatory monitoring, the development of dynamic hedging strategies, and recognition of how the topology of contagion varies between periods of crisis and periods of calm are key. | |||
| C6 | Quantile Analysis | ||
| Authors | Cov | Model | Paper Result |
| Naeem et al. (2025) | 13 | Quantile Regression | Islamic stocks are risk-receiving. Three major risk events are identified: the global financial crisis, the debt crisis, and the global pandemic. |
| Jin et al. (2025) | 14 | Quantile Regression | Traditional and religious investments have greater exposure during the global pandemic. Islamic equities are the main source of systemic risk. |
| El Omari et al. (2025) | 3 | Time-Varying Parameter Vector Autoregression (TVP-VAR) and Quantile Analysis for Robustness | The geopolitical crisis increased sectoral connectivity more than the global pandemic. The financial and industrial sectors are crucial for financial stability, as they are the main channels for transmitting shocks to the market. |
| Shi and Chen (2025) | 3 | Quantile Factor Vector Autoregression (QFVAR) | Most factor-based investment strategies suffered significant losses during the global pandemic, reflecting their vulnerability to external shocks. |
| Chen et al. (2025) | 2 | Quantile Regression | The repercussions of systemic risk and tail risk propagation for oil and petrochemical companies are closely linked to geopolitical and financial events. Shocks increase the intensity of risk propagation, and they are concentrated in more vulnerable companies. |
| The papers identified in cluster C6 focus on analyzing dependence and spillovers in adverse or extraordinary market conditions where systemic risk materializes. To this end, predominant quantile and nonlinear methods are used, such as nonlinear quantile regression or quantile VAR and TPV VAR. Quantile-based measures provide evidence that connectivity between institutions and markets is amplified in the negative tails of the distribution. Furthermore, the studies report that the evidence is not symmetrical, since in periods of stress, such as the global financial crisis, the blockade of Qatar, or the COVID-19 pandemic, spillover patterns are much more intense than under normal conditions. | |||
| Author | Model | Description |
|---|---|---|
| Diebold and Yilmaz (2009) | DY Spillover Index | The model is based on the decomposition of the forecast error variance in a vector autoregression (VAR) model and allows quantifying how much of the uncertainty of a variable is explained by shocks to other variables in the system. |
| Antonakakis and Gabauer (2017) | Time-Varying Parameter Vector Autoregression (TVP-VAR) | It is an extension of the traditional VAR model. It is an improvement on the DY approach, introducing stochastic volatilities and not requiring a fixed observation window, as it uses a Kalman filter to dynamically update estimates. |
| Ando et al. (2018) | Quantile Vector Autoregression (QVAR) | An extension of the traditional VAR model, which allows for the analysis of relationships between variables by considering changes in the different quantile levels of the conditional distribution. Generalized Forecast Error Variance Decomposition (GFEVD) is applied to measure the impact of a shock on the forecast horizon. |
| Härdle et al. (2016) | Tail-Event-Driven Network (TENET) | Model designed to analyze systemic risk interdependence with a focus on extreme events. It combines elements of quantile regression, conditional value-at-risk (CoVaR) analysis, and network theory. |
| Demirer et al. (2017) | Vector Autoregression with Penalty (LASSO-VAR) | Vector autoregression with LASSO penalty (Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator) is a statistical technique for estimating VAR models in high-dimensional contexts, that is, when the number of variables or parameters is large, relative to the number of available observations. |
| Authors | Impact Measures | Thematic Characterization | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Centrality | Degree | Sigma | Burst | Frequency | Cluster | Paper | Theoretical Tradition | Method | |
| Demirer et al. (2017) | 0.18 | 29 | 5.37 | 10.27 | 62 | 1 | Estimating global bank network connectedness | Diebold and Yilmaz (2014) | Vector Autoregressive with Penalty (LASSO-VAR) |
| Wang et al. (2021) | 0.14 | 29 | 1.41 | 2.7 | 44 | 3 | Multilayer information spillover networks: measuring interconnectedness of financial institutions | Hong et al. (2009); Hong (2001) | Granger Causality Test Based on the sample Cross-Correlation Function (CCF) |
| Ando et al. (2022) | 0.13 | 22 | 4.88 | 12.64 | 79 | 0 | Quantile connectedness: Modeling tail behavior in the topology of financial networks | Diebold and Yilmaz (2009, 2014) | Autoregression vectors with common factor structure by quantile regression |
| Wang et al. (2018) | 0.12 | 31 | 3.45 | 10.92 | 49 | 1 | Interconnectedness and systemic risk of China’s financial institutions | Härdle et al. (2016) | Queue Event-Driven Network (TENET) Model |
| Wang et al. (2017) | 0.11 | 24 | 2.1 | 7.24 | 28 | 1 | Extreme risk spillover network: application to financial institutions | Hong et al. (2009); Engle and Manganelli (2004) | Granger causality risk test |
| Chen et al. (2022) | 0.11 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 6 | Quantile connectedness between energy, metal, and carbon markets | Diebold and Yilmaz (2012, 2014); Ando et al. (2022) | DY Spillover Index |
| Brunetti et al. (2015) | 0.11 | 17 | 1.23 | 1.96 | 39 | 1 | Interconnectedness in the interbank market | Billio et al. (2012) | Correlation networks and Granger causality tests between stock returns |
| Bouri et al. (2021) | 0.09 | 19 | 1.27 | 2.77 | 40 | 0 | Return connectedness across asset classes around the COVID-19 outbreak | Antonakakis and Gabauer (2017) | Time-varying vector autoregressions (TVP-VAR) |
| Cao et al. (2021) | 0.08 | 15 | 1.36 | 3.76 | 24 | 3 | Multilayer financial networks and systemic importance: Evidence from China | Elliott et al. (2014) | Multi-layer network structure based on loans and external cross-shareholding |
| Yi et al. (2018) | 0.08 | 10 | 1.27 | 3.25 | 14 | 5 | Volatility connectedness in the cryptocurrency market: Is Bitcoin a dominant cryptocurrency? | Demirer et al. (2017); Diebold and Yilmaz (2012) | Vector Autoregressive with Penalty (LASSO-VAR) |
Disclaimer/Publisher’s Note: The statements, opinions and data contained in all publications are solely those of the individual author(s) and contributor(s) and not of MDPI and/or the editor(s). MDPI and/or the editor(s) disclaim responsibility for any injury to people or property resulting from any ideas, methods, instructions or products referred to in the content. |
© 2025 by the authors. Licensee MDPI, Basel, Switzerland. This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).
Share and Cite
Rojas Rincón, J.S.; Acosta-Prado, J.C.; Castellanos Narciso, J.E. A Bibliometric Analysis on Network-Based Systemic Risk. Risks 2025, 13, 210. https://doi.org/10.3390/risks13110210
Rojas Rincón JS, Acosta-Prado JC, Castellanos Narciso JE. A Bibliometric Analysis on Network-Based Systemic Risk. Risks. 2025; 13(11):210. https://doi.org/10.3390/risks13110210
Chicago/Turabian StyleRojas Rincón, Joan Sebastián, Julio César Acosta-Prado, and José Ever Castellanos Narciso. 2025. "A Bibliometric Analysis on Network-Based Systemic Risk" Risks 13, no. 11: 210. https://doi.org/10.3390/risks13110210
APA StyleRojas Rincón, J. S., Acosta-Prado, J. C., & Castellanos Narciso, J. E. (2025). A Bibliometric Analysis on Network-Based Systemic Risk. Risks, 13(11), 210. https://doi.org/10.3390/risks13110210

