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Risks, Volume 10, Issue 6

2022 June - 21 articles

Cover Story: Faced with the need to adjust public pension systems to meet changing demographic, economic, and social conditions, most developed countries have created government reserve funds to ensure macroeconomic sustainability. This paper aims to study the importance that this reserve fund plays in the sustainability of the Spanish public pension system. Using data for the 2000 to 2019 (20 observations) on the main variables impacting the system, we calculated probabilities and other indicators of its unsustainability in relation to the reserve fund. View this paper
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Articles (21)

  • Article
  • Open Access
2 Citations
4,918 Views
16 Pages

17 June 2022

We introduce here a diffusion-type approximation of the ruin probability both in finite and infinite time for a two-dimensional risk process, where claims and premiums are shared with a predetermined proportion. This type of process is often called t...

(This article belongs to the Special Issue Multivariate Risks)
  • Article
  • Open Access
16 Citations
14,005 Views
20 Pages

16 June 2022

Since December 2019 we have been living with the virus known as SARS-CoV-2, a situation which has led to health policies being given prevalence over economic ones and has caused a paralysis in the demand for raw materials for several months due to th...

(This article belongs to the Special Issue Frontiers in Quantitative Finance and Risk Management)
  • Technical Note
  • Open Access
11 Citations
13,518 Views
12 Pages

16 June 2022

There are numerous risks associated with mining and owning cryptocurrencies, and exploring and producing oil and natural gas are highly risky, costly, and controversial. A marriage of digital mining and exploring and producing oil and natural gas has...

(This article belongs to the Special Issue Cryptocurrencies and Risk Management)
  • Article
  • Open Access
7 Citations
5,347 Views
21 Pages

Air Pollution and Mortality Impacts

  • Zhe Michelle Dong,
  • Han Lin Shang and
  • Aaron Bruhn

14 June 2022

This study quantifies the air quality impact on population mortality from an actuarial perspective, considering implications to the industry through the application of findings. The study focuses on the increase in mortality from air quality changes...

  • Article
  • Open Access
10 Citations
3,897 Views
20 Pages

14 June 2022

The objective of this paper is to analyze the volatility spillover effects in the Moroccan interbank sector before and during the COVID-19 pandemic crisis using the DY model. Specifically, this study assesses the impact of the recent COVID-19 outbrea...

  • Feature Paper
  • Article
  • Open Access
10 Citations
5,567 Views
29 Pages

Meta-Learning Approaches for Recovery Rate Prediction

  • Paolo Gambetti,
  • Francesco Roccazzella and
  • Frédéric Vrins

12 June 2022

While previous academic research highlights the potential of machine learning and big data for predicting corporate bond recovery rates, the operations management challenge is to identify the relevant predictive variables and the appropriate model. I...

  • Article
  • Open Access
8 Citations
9,484 Views
15 Pages

12 June 2022

Research on cryptocurrencies has proliferated in recent years. Our research objective was to answer the question of whether macroeconomic news from the U.S. affects Bitcoin in the same way it affects other common investment assets such as gold, the S...

(This article belongs to the Special Issue Cryptocurrencies and Risk Management)
  • Article
  • Open Access
7 Citations
4,396 Views
30 Pages

A Managed Volatility Investment Strategy for Pooled Annuity Products

  • Shuanglan Li,
  • Héloïse Labit Hardy,
  • Michael Sherris and
  • Andrés M. Villegas

10 June 2022

Pooled annuity products, where the participants share systematic and idiosyncratic mortality risks as well as investment returns and risk, provide an attractive and effective alternative to traditional guaranteed life annuity products. While longevit...

(This article belongs to the Special Issue Longevity Risk Modelling and Management)
  • Article
  • Open Access
5 Citations
3,573 Views
20 Pages

10 June 2022

Online activity increasing spreads with the power of technological development. Many studies reported the impact of online activities on decision making. From the statistical perspective, decision making is related to statistical inference. In this r...

  • Article
  • Open Access
5 Citations
4,783 Views
17 Pages

Analyzing How the Social Security Reserve Fund in Spain Affects the Sustainability of the Pension System

  • Emilio Gómez-Déniz,
  • Jorge V. Pérez-Rodríguez and
  • Simón Sosvilla-Rivero

10 June 2022

Faced with the need to adjust public pension systems to meet changing demographic, economic and social conditions, most developed countries have created government reserve funds to ensure macroeconomic sustainability. This paper aims to study the imp...

(This article belongs to the Special Issue Longevity Risk Modelling and Management)
  • Article
  • Open Access
5 Citations
4,596 Views
19 Pages

9 June 2022

The aim of the paper is to identify groups of banks with similar environmental commitment, taking into account their direct environmental impact. The study, which employs the aggregation method, reveals that small banks with a relatively worse financ...

  • Article
  • Open Access
4 Citations
3,344 Views
17 Pages

Nightly Automobile Claims Prediction from Telematics-Derived Features: A Multilevel Approach

  • Allen R. Williams,
  • Yoolim Jin,
  • Anthony Duer,
  • Tuka Alhani and
  • Mohammad Ghassemi

7 June 2022

In recent years it has become possible to collect GPS data from drivers and to incorporate these data into automobile insurance pricing for the driver. These data are continuously collected and processed nightly into metadata consisting of mileage an...

  • Article
  • Open Access
5 Citations
6,310 Views
27 Pages

2 June 2022

This paper aims to study the international experience (in the aspect and taking into account the specifics of regions of the world) integrating the SDGs into corporate strategies and to identify the following: (1) supported SDGs (UN standards); (2) i...

(This article belongs to the Special Issue Managing Financial Risks Based on Corporate Social Responsibility for Sustainable Development)
  • Article
  • Open Access
1 Citations
3,802 Views
23 Pages

2 June 2022

We consider the optimal dividend problem in the so-called degenerate bivariate risk model under the assumption that the surplus of one branch may become negative. More specific, we solve the stochastic control problem of maximizing discounted dividen...

(This article belongs to the Special Issue Multivariate Risks)
  • Article
  • Open Access
7 Citations
7,803 Views
18 Pages

Using Econometric Models to Manage the Price Risk of Cocoa Beans: A Case from India

  • Kepulaje Abhaya Kumar,
  • Cristi Spulbar,
  • Prakash Pinto,
  • Iqbal Thonse Hawaldar and ,
  • Ramona Birau and
  • Jyeshtaraja Joisa
  • + 1 author+ 0 author

1 June 2022

This study aims at developing econometric models to manage the price risk of Dry and Wet Cocoa beans with the help of ARIMA (Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average) and VAR (Vector Auto Regressive). The monthly price of Cocoa beans is collected for...

  • Article
  • Open Access
60 Citations
10,864 Views
13 Pages

Determinants of Behavioral Intentions to Use Islamic Financial Technology: An Empirical Assessment

  • Mohammad Shahfaraz Khan,
  • Mustafa Raza Rabbani,
  • Iqbal Thonse Hawaldar and
  • Abu Bashar

30 May 2022

This study examines the antecedents/determinants of behavioral intentions toward the utilization of Islamic financial technology for Middle Eastern customers. The study applied structural equation modeling (PLS-SEM). After robust research efforts wer...

  • Article
  • Open Access
3 Citations
4,071 Views
26 Pages

30 May 2022

Dependent Tail Value-at-Risk, abbreviated as DTVaR, is a copula-based extension of Tail Value-at-Risk (TVaR). This risk measure is an expectation of a target loss once the loss and its associated loss are above their respective quantiles but bounded...

  • Article
  • Open Access
14 Citations
7,605 Views
21 Pages

The Interplay of Leverage, Financing Constraints and Real Earnings Management: A Panel Data Approach

  • Ammar Hussain,
  • Minhas Akbar,
  • Muhmmad Kaleem Khan,
  • Marcela Sokolová and
  • Ahsan Akbar

27 May 2022

Organizations are formed to gain long-term benefits. However, sometimes myopic management for feigned value enhancement led to the early demise of the firm. Further, to the best of our knowledge empirical role of financing constraints has not yet bee...

  • Article
  • Open Access
6 Citations
3,416 Views
17 Pages

27 May 2022

The Lee–Carter model, the dominant mortality projection modeling in the literature, was criticized for its homoscedastic error assumption. This was corrected in extensions to the model based on the assumption that the number of deaths follows P...

(This article belongs to the Special Issue Actuarial Mathematics and Risk Management)
  • Article
  • Open Access
15 Citations
4,589 Views
14 Pages

24 May 2022

The economic and financial chaos caused by COVID-19 has been a discussion topic since the beginning of 2020. This study intends to provide a parallel comparison of volatility change and external shock persistence of the Islamic and conventional stock...

(This article belongs to the Special Issue Stochastic Modeling and Computational Statistics in Finance)
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Risks - ISSN 2227-9091