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Econometrics, Volume 8, Issue 3

September 2020 - 12 articles

Cover Story: Climate models commonly employ energy balance conditions that link the average global temperature, surface radiation, and greenhouse gases. Global balance suggests the existence of an econometric linkage between the trends that these variables separately manifest. Such linkages are evident in empirical research and appear in panel models used in recent econometric studies of Earth’s climate to measure the holy grail of climate science – transient climate sensitivity to CO2, the effect on the temperature of doubling atmospheric CO2 levels from the pre-industrial era. Asymptotic analysis and Monte Carlo simulations reveal substantial differences between the standard methods of dynamic panel estimation. Estimates of global TCS are identical and, therefore, robust to estimation method as well as the specific trending mechanisms that are present in global temperature, radiation, and CO2. View this paper
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Articles (12)

  • Article
  • Open Access
22 Citations
11,320 Views
16 Pages

Long-Lasting Economic Effects of Pandemics:Evidence on Growth and Unemployment

  • C. Vladimir Rodríguez-Caballero and
  • J. Eduardo Vera-Valdés

This paper studies long economic series to assess the long-lasting effects of pandemics. We analyze if periods that cover pandemics have a change in trend and persistence in growth, and in level and persistence in unemployment. We find that there is...

  • Article
  • Open Access
4 Citations
4,149 Views
28 Pages

In this paper the theory on the estimation of vector autoregressive (VAR) models for I(2) processes is extended to the case of long VAR approximation of more general processes. Hereby the order of the autoregression is allowed to tend to infinity at...

  • Feature Paper
  • Article
  • Open Access
6,469 Views
23 Pages

Building on arguments by Joshua Angrist and Jörn-Steffen Pischke arguments for how the teaching of undergraduate econometrics could become more effective, I propose a redesign of graduate econometrics that would better serve most students and he...

  • Article
  • Open Access
2 Citations
4,294 Views
22 Pages

The econometric data to which autoregressive moving-average models are commonly applied are liable to contain elements from a limited range of frequencies. If the data do not cover the full Nyquist frequency range of [0,π] radians, then severe bia...

  • Article
  • Open Access
14 Citations
4,832 Views
26 Pages

Indirect Inference Estimation of Spatial Autoregressions

  • Yong Bao,
  • Xiaotian Liu and
  • Lihong Yang

The ordinary least squares (OLS) estimator for spatial autoregressions may be consistent as pointed out by Lee (2002), provided that each spatial unit is influenced aggregately by a significant portion of the total units. This paper presents a unifie...

  • Feature Paper
  • Article
  • Open Access
17 Citations
6,014 Views
27 Pages

Climate Disaster Risks—Empirics and a Multi-Phase Dynamic Model

  • Stefan Mittnik,
  • Willi Semmler and
  • Alexander Haider

Recent research in financial economics has shown that rare large disasters have the potential to disrupt financial sectors via the destruction of capital stocks and jumps in risk premia. These disruptions often entail negative feedback effects on the...

  • Article
  • Open Access
20 Citations
6,650 Views
28 Pages

This paper estimates the drift parameters in the fractional Vasicek model from a continuous record of observations via maximum likelihood (ML). The asymptotic theory for the ML estimates (MLE) is established in the stationary case, the explosive case...

  • Feature Paper
  • Article
  • Open Access
8 Citations
5,085 Views
25 Pages

The relation between causal structure and cointegration and long-run weak exogeneity is explored using some ideas drawn from the literature on graphical causal modeling. It is assumed that the fundamental source of trending behavior is transmitted fr...

  • Feature Paper
  • Article
  • Open Access
4 Citations
6,382 Views
28 Pages

We discuss some conceptual and practical issues that arise from the presence of global energy balance effects on station level adjustment mechanisms in dynamic panel regressions with climate data. The paper provides asymptotic analyses, observational...

  • Article
  • Open Access
7 Citations
6,855 Views
15 Pages

Cointegration and Structure in Norwegian Wage–Price Dynamics

  • Marit Gjelsvik,
  • Ragnar Nymoen and
  • Victoria Sparrman

Wage coordination plays an important role in macroeconomic stabilization. Pattern wage bargaining systems have been common in Europe, but in different forms, and with different degrees of success in terms of actual coordination reached. We focus on w...

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Econometrics - ISSN 2225-1146