Next Article in Journal
Simulating Water Allocation and Cropping Decisions in Yemen’s Abyan Delta Spate Irrigation System
Previous Article in Journal
Using DPSIR and Balances to Support Water Governance
Article Menu
Issue 2 (February) cover image

Export Article

Erratum published on 11 June 2018, see Water 2018, 10(6), 761.

Open AccessArticle
Water 2018, 10(2), 120; https://doi.org/10.3390/w10020120

Impact of Climate Change on Streamflow Hydrology in Headwater Catchments of the Upper Blue Nile Basin, Ethiopia

1
Blackland Research Center, Texas A&M AgriLife Research, Temple, TX 76502, USA
2
Spatial Sciences Laboratory, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX 77843, USA
3
Faculty of Civil and Water Resource Engineering, Bahir Dar University, Bahir Dar P.O.Box 26, Ethiopia
*
Author to whom correspondence should be addressed.
Received: 5 October 2017 / Revised: 22 January 2018 / Accepted: 24 January 2018 / Published: 29 January 2018
Full-Text   |   PDF [3341 KB, uploaded 11 June 2018]   |  

Abstract

This study assessed the impact of climate change on water availability and variability in two subbasins in the upper Blue Nile basin of Ethiopia. Downscaled future climate data from HadCM3 of A2 (medium-high) and B2 (medium-low) emission scenarios were compared to the observed climate data for a baseline period (1961–1990). The emission scenario representing the baseline period was used to predict future climate and as input to a hydrologic model to estimate the impact of future climate on the streamflow at three future time horizons: 2020–2045, 2045–2070 and 2070–2100. Results suggest that medium-high emission scenario best represents the local rainfall and temperature pattern. With A2 scenario, daily maximum/minimum temperature will increase throughout the future time horizons. The minimum and maximum temperature will increase by 3.6 °C and 2.4 °C, respectively, towards the end of the 21st century. Consequently, potential evapotranspiration is expected to increase by 7.8%, although trends in annual rainfall do not show statistically meaningful trends between years. A notable seasonality was found in the rainfall pattern, such that dry season rainfall amounts are likely to increase and wet season rainfall to decrease. The hydrological model indicated that the local hydrology of the study watersheds will be significantly influenced by climate change. Overall, at the end of the century, streamflow will increase in both rivers by up to 64% in dry seasons and decrease by 19% in wet seasons. View Full-Text
Keywords: climate change; HBV; climate projection; Ethiopian highland climate change; HBV; climate projection; Ethiopian highland
Figures

Figure 1

This is an open access article distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution License which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited (CC BY 4.0).
SciFeed

Share & Cite This Article

MDPI and ACS Style

Worqlul, A.W.; Dile, Y.T.; Ayana, E.K.; Jeong, J.; Adem, A.A.; Gerik, T. Impact of Climate Change on Streamflow Hydrology in Headwater Catchments of the Upper Blue Nile Basin, Ethiopia. Water 2018, 10, 120.

Show more citation formats Show less citations formats

Note that from the first issue of 2016, MDPI journals use article numbers instead of page numbers. See further details here.

Related Articles

Article Metrics

Article Access Statistics

1

Comments

[Return to top]
Water EISSN 2073-4441 Published by MDPI AG, Basel, Switzerland RSS E-Mail Table of Contents Alert
Back to Top