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Remote SensingRemote Sensing
  • Article
  • Open Access

10 May 2025

21 Pages

A Novel Sea Surface Temperature Prediction Model Using DBN-SVR and Spatiotemporal Secondary Calibration

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1
College of Atmospheric Sciences, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou 730000, China
2
Key Laboratory of Climate Resource Development and Disaster Prevention in Gansu Province, Lanzhou 730000, China
3
Center for Weather Forecasting and Climate Prediction of Lanzhou University, Lanzhou 730000, China
4
School of Mathematics and Statistics, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou 730000, China

Abstract

Sea surface temperature (SST) is crucial for weather forecasting, climate modeling, and environmental monitoring. This study proposes a novel prediction model that achieves a 60-day forecast with a root mean square error (RMSE) consistently below 0.9 °C. The model combines the nonlinear feature extraction of a deep belief network (DBN) with the high-precision regression of support vector regression (SVR), enhanced by spatiotemporal secondary calibration (SSC) to better capture SST variation patterns. Using satellite-derived remote sensing data, the DBN-SVR model outperforms baseline methods in both the Indian Ocean and North Pacific regions, demonstrating strong applicability across diverse marine environments. This work advances long-term SST prediction capabilities, providing a reliable foundation for extended-range marine forecasts.

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