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Entropy 2019, 21(3), 241;

On Possible Electromagnetic Precursors to a Significant Earthquake (Mw = 6.3) Occurred in Lesvos (Greece) on 12 June 2017

Department of Electrical and Electronics Engineering, University of West Attica, Campus 2, 250 Thivon and P. Ralli, Aigaleo, GR-12244 Athens, Greece
Institute of Physics of the Earth, Russian Academy of Sciences, 10 Bolshaya Gruzinskaya, Moscow 123995, Russia
Institute of Astronomy, Astrophysics, Space Applications and Remote Sensing, National Observatory of Athens, Metaxa and Vasileos Pavlou, Penteli, GR-15236 Athens, Greece
Institute of Geodynamics, National Observatory of Athens, Lofos Nimfon, Thissio, GR-11810 Athens, Greece
Hayakawa Institute of Seismo Electromagnetics, Co.Ltd. (Hi-SEM), UEC Alliance Center #521, 1-1- Kojima-cho, Chofu-shi 182-0026, Tokyo, Japan
University of Electro-Communications, Advanced Wireless & Communications research Center (AWCC), Chofu Tokyo 182-8585, Japan
Department of Physics, Section of Solid State Physics, University of Athens, Panepistimiopolis, GR-15784, Zografos, GR-15784 Athens, Greece
Author to whom correspondence should be addressed.
Received: 16 February 2019 / Revised: 25 February 2019 / Accepted: 26 February 2019 / Published: 2 March 2019
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This paper reports an attempt to use ultra-low-frequency (ULF) magnetic field data from a space weather monitoring magnetometer array in the study of earthquake (EQ) precursors in Greece. The data from four magnetometer stations of the HellENIc GeoMagnetic Array (ENIGMA) have been analyzed in the search for possible precursors to a strong EQ that occurred south of Lesvos Island on 12 June 2017, with magnitude Mw = 6.3 and focal depth = 12 km. The analysis includes conventional statistical methods, as well as criticality analysis, using two independent methods, the natural time (NT) method and the method of critical fluctuations (MCF). In terms of conventional statistical methods, it is found that the most convincing ULF precursor was observed in the data of ULF (20–30 mHz) depression (depression of the horizontal component of the magnetic field), which is indicative of lower ionospheric perturbation just 1 day before the EQ. Additionally, there are indications of a precursor in the direct ULF emission from the lithosphere 4 days to 1 day before the EQ. Further study in terms of NT analysis identifies criticality characteristics from 8 to 2 days before the EQ both for lithospheric ULF emission and ULF depression, while MCF reveals indications of criticality in all recorded magnetic field components, extending from 10 to 3 days before the EQ. Beyond the recordings of the geomagnetic stations of ENIGMA, the recordings of the fracto-electromagnetic emission stations of the HELlenic Seismo-ElectroMagnetics Network (ELSEM-Net) in Greece have been analyzed. The MHz recordings at the station that is located on Lesvos Island presented criticality characteristics (by means of both NT analysis and MCF) 11 days before the EQ, while a few days later (7–6 days before the EQ), the kHz recordings of the same station presented tricritical behavior. It is noted that the magnetosphere was quiet for a period of two weeks before the EQ and including its occurrence. View Full-Text
Keywords: The 2017 Lesvos earthquake (EQ); ultra-low-frequency (ULF) effects; EQ precursor; lithospheric ULF emission; ULF depression; fracto-electromagnetic emissions The 2017 Lesvos earthquake (EQ); ultra-low-frequency (ULF) effects; EQ precursor; lithospheric ULF emission; ULF depression; fracto-electromagnetic emissions

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Potirakis, S.M.; Schekotov, A.; Contoyiannis, Y.; Balasis, G.; Koulouras, G.E.; Melis, N.S.; Boutsi, A.Z.; Hayakawa, M.; Eftaxias, K.; Nomicos, C. On Possible Electromagnetic Precursors to a Significant Earthquake (Mw = 6.3) Occurred in Lesvos (Greece) on 12 June 2017. Entropy 2019, 21, 241.

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