Search Results (8,033)

In arid regions with limited water resources, improving cropland water-use efficiency (WUEc) is crucial for maintaining crop production. This study aims to investigate how changes in meteorological and vegetation factors affect WUEc in drylands and to identify its primary drivers, which are essential for understanding how cropland ecosystems respond to complex environmental changes. Using remote sensing data, we analyzed the spatiotemporal patterns of WUEc in Xinjiang from 2002 to 2022 by applying STL decomposition, Sen’s slope combined with the Mann–Kendall test, and an XGBoost–SHAP model, quantifying its key controlling factors. The results indicate that from 2002 to 2022, WUEc in Xinjiang showed an overall declining trend. Prior to 2007, WUEc increased at 0.05 gC·m⁻¹·m⁻²·a⁻¹, after which it fluctuated downward at −0.01 gC·m⁻¹·m⁻²·a⁻¹. Intra-annual peaks consistently occurred in May and during September–October. Spatially, WUEc exhibited significant heterogeneity, increasing from south to north, with 53.26% of the region showing declines. Temperature (T) and leaf area index (LAI) emerged as the primary meteorological and vegetation drivers, respectively, influencing WUEc change in 45.7% and 17.6% of the area. Both variables were negatively correlated with WUEc, with negative correlations covering 60% of the region for T and 83% for LAI. These findings provide scientific guidance for optimizing crop structure and water-resource management strategies in arid regions. Full article

Soil moisture is a key factor in the exchange of energy and matter between the soil and atmosphere, playing a vital role in the hydrological cycle and agricultural management. Traditional monitoring methods are limited in achieving large-scale, real-time observations, while deep learning offers new avenues to model the complex nonlinear relationships between spectral features and soil moisture content. This study focuses on the Wei-Ku Oasis in Xinjiang, using multi-source remote sensing data (Landsat series and Sentinel-1) and in situ multi-layer soil moisture measurements. The BOSS feature selection algorithm was applied to construct 46 feature parameters, including vegetation indices, soil indices, and microwave indices, and to identify optimal variable sets for each depth. Convolutional Neural Network (CNN), Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), and their hybrid model (CNN-LSTM) were used to build soil moisture inversion models at various depths. Their performances were systematically compared on both training and testing sets, and the optimal model was used for spatiotemporal mapping. The results show that the CNN-LSTM-based multi-depth soil moisture inversion model achieved superior performance, with the 0–10 cm model showing the highest accuracy and a testing R² of 0.64, outperforming individual models. The testing R² values for the soil moisture inversion models at depths of 10–20 cm, 20–40 cm, and 40–60 cm were 0.59, 0.54, and 0.59, respectively. According to the mapping results, soil moisture in the 0–60 cm profile of the Wei-Ku Oasis exhibited a vertical gradient, increasing with depth. Spatially, soil moisture was higher in the central oasis and lower toward the periphery, forming a “center-high, edge-low” pattern. This study provides a high-accuracy method for multi-layer soil moisture remote sensing in arid regions, offering valuable data support for oasis water resource management and precision irrigation planning. Full article

With the rapid development of the social economy, human activities have increasingly disrupted water environments, and the continuous input of pollutants poses significant challenges for water environment management. Taking the Xiaoxingkai Lake basin as the study area, this paper develops a social–economic–water environment model based on the system dynamics methodology, incorporating subsystems for population, agriculture, and water pollution. The model focuses on four key indicators of pollution severity, namely, total nitrogen (TN), total phosphorus (TP), chemical oxygen demand (COD), and ammonia nitrogen (NH₃-N), and simulates the changes in pollutant loads entering the river under five different scenarios from 2020 to 2030. The results show that agricultural non-point sources are the primary contributors to TN (79.5%) and TP (73.7%), while COD primarily originates from domestic sources (64.2%). NH₃-N is mainly influenced by urban domestic activities (44.7%) and agricultural cultivation (41.2%). Under the status quo development scenario, pollutant loads continue to rise, with more pronounced increases under the economic development scenario, thus posing significant sustainability risks. The pollution control enhancement scenario is most effective in controlling pollutants, but it does not promote socio-economic development and has high implementation costs, failing to achieve coordinated socio-economic and environmental development in the region. The dual-reinforcement scenario and moderate-reinforcement scenario achieve a balance between pollution control and economic development, with the moderate-reinforcement scenario being more suitable for long-term regional development. The findings can provide a scientific basis for water resource management and planning in the Xiaoxingkai Lake basin. Full article

Precipitation concentration reflects the uneven temporal distribution of rainfall. It plays a critical role in water resource management and flood–drought risk under climate change. However, its long-term trends, associations with atmospheric teleconnections as potential drivers, and links to extreme heavy precipitation events remain poorly understood in complex basins like the Yangtze River Basin. This study analyzes these aspects using ground station data from 1960 to 2019 and conducts a comparison using the Global Precipitation Measurement Integrated Multi-satellitE Retrievals for GPM (GPM IMERG) satellite product. We calculated three indices—Daily Precipitation Concentration Index (PCID), Monthly Precipitation Concentration Index (PCIM), and Seasonal Precipitation Concentration Index (SPCI)—to quantify rainfall unevenness, selected for their ability to capture multi-scale variability and associations with extremes. Key methods include Mann–Kendall trend tests for detecting changes, Hurst exponents for persistence, Pettitt detection for abrupt shifts, random forest modeling to assess atmospheric teleconnections, and hot spot analysis for spatial clustering. Results show a significant basin-wide decrease in PCID, driven by increased frequency of small-to-moderate rainfall events, with strong spatial synchrony to extreme heavy precipitation indices. PCIM is most strongly associated with El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO). GPM IMERG captures PCIM patterns well but underestimates PCID trends and magnitudes, highlighting limitations in daily-scale resolution. These findings provide a benchmark for satellite product improvement and support adaptive strategies for extreme precipitation risks in changing climates. Full article

Agricultural activities and dry climatic conditions promote the evaporation and salinization of groundwater in arid areas. Long-term irrigation alters the groundwater circulation and environment in arid plains, as well as its hydraulic connection with surface water. A comprehensive assessment of groundwater irrigation suitability and its interaction with surface water is essential for water–ecology–agriculture security in arid areas. This study evaluates the irrigation water quality and groundwater–surface water interaction influenced by agricultural activities in a typical arid plain region using hydrochemical and stable isotopic data from 51 water samples. The results reveal that the area of cultivated land increases by 658.9 km² from 2000 to 2023, predominantly resulting from the conversion of bare land. Groundwater TDS (total dissolved solids) value exhibits significant spatial heterogeneity, ranging from 516 to 2684 mg/L. Cl⁻, SO₄²⁻, and Na⁺ are the dominant ions in groundwater, with a widespread distribution of brackish water. Groundwater δ¹⁸O values range from −9.4‰ to −5.4‰, with the mean value close to surface water. In total, 86% of the surface water samples are good and suitable for agricultural irrigation, while 60% of shallow groundwater samples are marginally suitable or unsuitable for irrigation at present. Groundwater hydrochemistry is largely controlled by intensive evaporation, water–rock interaction, and agricultural activities (e.g., cultivated land expansion, irrigation, groundwater exploitation, and fertilizers). Agricultural activities could cause shallow groundwater salinization, even confined water deterioration, with an intense and frequent exchange between groundwater and surface water. In order to sustainably manage groundwater and maintain ecosystem stability in arid plain regions, controlling cultivated land area and irrigation water amount, enhancing water utilization efficiency, limiting groundwater exploitation, and fully utilizing floodwater resources would be the viable ways. The findings will help to deepen the understanding of the groundwater quality evolution mechanism in arid irrigated regions and also provide a scientific basis for agricultural water management in the context of extreme climatic events and anthropogenic activities. Full article

Water is essential to human civilization and development, yet its quality is increasingly threatened by climate change, pollution, and resource mismanagement. This work introduces an empirical, non-invasive framework for assessing water potability using electrical impedance spectroscopy (EIS) combined with a novel equivalent circuit model. A customized sensor holder was designed to reduce impedance magnitude and enhance phase sensitivity, improving detection accuracy. Various water samples, including seawater, groundwater, and commercially bottled water, were analyzed. The proposed method achieved a 100% classification accuracy in distinguishing among water types, as validated by extracted circuit parameters and verified by inductively coupled plasma (ICP) measurements. Sensitivity analysis demonstrated the ability to detect compositional changes as small as 10%, highlighting a strong potential for fine discrimination of ionic contents. The extracted parameters, such as resistance, capacitance, and inductance, showed clear correlations with ionic composition, enabling reliable potability classification in accordance with WHO guidelines. The approach is rapid, label-free, and suitable for field applications, offering a promising tool for real-time water quality monitoring and supporting sustainable water resource management. Full article

Extreme precipitation events severely impact agriculture, reducing yields and land use efficiency. The spatiotemporal distribution of Total Column Water Vapor (TCWV), the primary gaseous form of water, directly influences sustainable agricultural management. This study, through multi-source data fusion, employs methods including the Mann–Kendall test, sliding change-point detection, wavelet transform, pixel-scale trend estimation, and linear regression to analyze the spatiotemporal dynamics of global TCWV from 1959 to 2023 and its impacts on agricultural systems, surpassing the limitations of single-method approaches. Results reveal a global TCWV increase of 0.0168 kg/m²/year from 1959–2023, with a pivotal shift in 2002 amplifying changes, notably in tropical regions (e.g., Amazon, Congo Basins, Southeast Asia) where cumulative increases exceeded 2 kg/m² since 2000, while mid-to-high latitudes remained stable and polar regions showed minimal content. These dynamics escalate weather risks, impacting sustainable agricultural management with irrigation and crop adaptation. To enhance prediction accuracy, we propose a novel hybrid model combining wavelet transform with LSTM, TCN, and GRU deep learning models, substantially improving multidimensional feature extraction and nonstationary trend capture. Comparative analysis shows that WT-TCN performs the best (MAE = 0.170, R² = 0.953), demonstrating its potential for addressing climate change uncertainties. These findings provide valuable applications for precision agriculture, sustainable water resource management, and disaster early warning. Full article

Accurate estimation of actual evapotranspiration (ET) is critical for understanding hydrothermal cycles and ecosystem functioning in arid regions, where water scarcity governs ecological resilience. To address persistent gaps in ET quantification, this study integrates multi-source remote sensing data, energy balance modeling, and ground-based validation that significantly enhances spatiotemporal ET accuracy in the vulnerable desert steppe ecosystems. The study utilized meteorological data from several national stations and Landsat-8 imagery to process monthly remote sensing images in 2019. The Surface Energy Balance System (SEBS) model, chosen for its ability to estimate ET over large areas, was applied to derive modeled daily ET values, which were validated by a large-weighted lysimeter. It was shown that ET varied seasonally, peaking in July at 6.40 mm/day, and reaching a minimum value in winter with 1.83 mm/day in December. ET was significantly higher in southern regions compared to central and northern areas. SEBS-derived ET showed strong agreement with lysimeter measurements, with a mean relative error of 4.30%, which also consistently outperformed MOD16A2 ET products in accuracy. This spatial heterogeneity was driven by greater vegetation coverage and enhanced precipitation in the southeast. The steppe ET showed a strong positive correlation with surface temperatures and vegetation density. Moreover, the precipitation gradients and land use were primary controllers of spatial ET patterns. The process-based SEBS frameworks demonstrate dual functionality as resource-optimized computational platforms while enabling multi-scale quantification of ET spatiotemporal heterogeneity; it was therefore a reliable tool for ecohydrological assessments in an arid steppe, providing critical insights for water resource management and drought monitoring. Full article

This study assesses future agricultural drought risk in the Ganjiang River Basin under climate change and land use change. A coupled analysis framework was established using the SWAT hydrological model, the CMIP6 climate models (SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5, SSP5-8.5), and the PLUS land use simulation model. Key methods included the Standardized Soil Moisture Index (SSMI), travel time theory for drought event identification and duration analysis, Mann–Kendall trend test, and the Pettitt change-point test to examine soil moisture dynamics from 2027 to 2100. The results indicate that the CMIP6 ensemble performs excellently in temperature simulations, with a correlation coefficient of R² = 0.89 and a root mean square error of RMSE = 1.2 °C, compared to the observational data. The MMM-Best model also performs well in precipitation simulations, with R² = 0.82 and RMSE = 15.3 mm, compared to observational data. Land use changes between 2000 and 2020 showed a decrease in forestland (−3.2%), grassland (−2.8%), and construction land (−1.5%), with an increase in water (4.8%) and unused land (2.7%). Under all emission scenarios, the SSMI values fluctuate with standard deviations of 0.85 (SSP1-2.6), 1.12 (SSP2-4.5), and 1.34 (SSP5-8.5), with the strongest drought intensity observed under SSP5-8.5 (minimum SSMI = −2.8). Drought events exhibited spatial and temporal heterogeneity across scenarios, with drought-affected areas ranging from 25% (SSP1-2.6) to 45% (SSP5-8.5) of the basin. Notably, abrupt changes in soil moisture under SSP5-8.5 occurred earlier (2045–2050) due to intensified land use change, indicating strong human influence on hydrological cycles. This study integrated the CMIP6 climate projections with high-resolution human activity data to advance drought risk assessment methods. It established a framework for assessing agricultural drought risk at the regional scale that comprehensively considers climate and human influences, providing targeted guidance for the formulation of adaptive water resource and land management strategies. Full article

This study investigates long-term land surface temperature (LST) trends along the shoreline of Lake Drūkšiai, a transboundary lake in eastern Lithuania that formerly served as a cooling reservoir for the Ignalina Nuclear Power Plant (INPP). Although the INPP was decommissioned in 2009, its legacy continues to influence the lake’s thermal regime. Using Landsat 8 thermal infrared imagery and NDVI-based methods, we analysed spatial and temporal LST variations from 2013 to 2024. The results indicate persistent temperature anomalies and elevated LST values, particularly in zones previously affected by thermal discharges. The years 2020 and 2024 exhibited the highest average LST values; some years (e.g., 2018) showed lower readings due to localised environmental factors such as river inflow and seasonal variability. Despite a slight stabilisation observed in 2024, temperatures remain higher than those recorded in 2013, suggesting that pre-industrial thermal conditions have not yet been restored. These findings underscore the long-term environmental impacts of industrial activity and highlight the importance of satellite-based monitoring for the sustainable management of land, water resources, and coastal zones. Full article

The emergence of SARS-CoV-2 variants highlights the urgent need for novel therapeutic strategies, particularly entry inhibitors that could efficiently prevent viral infection. Medicinal herbs and herbal combination formulas have long been recognized for their effects in treating infectious diseases and their antiviral properties, thus providing abundant resources for the discovery of antiviral candidates. While many candidates have been suggested to have antiviral activity against SARS-CoV-2 infection, few have been validated for their mechanisms, including possible effects on viral entry. This study aimed to identify SARS-CoV-2 entry inhibitors from medicinal herbs and herbal formulas that are known for heat-clearing and detoxifying properties and/or antiviral activities. A SARS-CoV-2 pseudoparticle (SARS-CoV-2pp) system was used to assess mechanism-specific entry inhibition. Our results showed that the methanol extract of Anemarrhena asphodeloides rhizome, as well as the water extracts of Cimicifuga foetida rhizome, Xiao Chai Hu Tang (XCHT), and Sheng Ma Ge Gen Tang (SMGGT), have substantial inhibitory effects on the entry of SARS-CoV-2pps into host cells. Given the observation that Cimicifuga foetida exhibited the most potent inhibition and is a constituent of SMGGT, we further investigated the major compounds of the herb and identified caffeic acid as a bioactive component for blocking SARS-CoV-2pp entry. Entry inhibition of Cimicifuga foetida and caffeic acid was validated on both wild-type and the currently dominant JN.1 strain SARS-CoV-2pp systems. Moreover, caffeic acid was able to both inactivate the pseudoparticles and prevent their entry into pretreated host cells. The results support the traditional use of these herbal medicines and underscore their potential as valuable resources for identifying active compounds and developing therapeutic entry inhibitors for the management of COVID-19. Full article

In China’s Loess Plateau, sustainable agricultural end products are affected by an insufficiency of water resources. Rising crop water use efficiency (WUE) through field management pattern improvement is a crucial plan of action to address this issue. However, there is no agreement among researchers on the most appropriate field management practices regarding WUE, which requires further integrated quantitative analysis. We conducted a meta-analysis by quantifying the effect of agricultural practices surrounding nitrogen (N) fertilizer management. The two experimental cultivars were Yunhan–20410 and Yunhan–618. The subplots included nitrogen 0 kg·ha⁻¹ (N0), 90 kg·ha⁻¹ (N90), 180 kg·ha⁻¹ (N180), 210 kg·ha⁻¹ (N210), and 240 kg·ha⁻¹ (N240). Our results show that higher N rates (up to N210) enhanced water consumption during the node-flowering and flowering-maturity time periods. YH–618 showed higher water use during the sowing–greening and node-flowering periods but decreased use during the greening-node and flowering-maturity periods compared to YH–20410. The N210 treatment under YH–618 maximized water use efficiency (WUE). Increased N rates (N180–N210) decreased covering temperatures (T_max, T_min, T_aver) during flowering, increasing the level of grain filling. Spike numbers rose with N application, with an off-peak at N210 for strong-gluten wheat. The 1000-grain weight was at first enhanced but decreased at the far end of N180–N210. YH–618 with N210 achieved a harvest index (HI) similar to that of YH–20410 with N180, while excessive N (N240) or water reduced the HI. Dry matter accumulation increased up to N210, resulting in earlier stabilization. Soil water consumption from wintering to jointing was strongly correlated with pre-flowering dry matter biological process and yield, while jointing–flowering water use was linked to post-flowering dry matter and spike numbers. Post-flowering dry matter accumulation was critical for yield, whereas spike numbers positively impacted yield but negatively affected 1000-grain weight. In conclusion, our results provide evidence for determining suitable integrated agricultural establishment strategies to ensure efficient water use and sustainable production in the Loess Plateau region. Full article

As a typical grain base with a dense population and high-level urbanization, the North China Plain (NCP) faces a serious threat to its sustainable development due to water shortage. Surface water area (SWA) is a key indicator for continuously measuring the trends of regional water resources and assessing their current status. Therefore, a deep understanding of its changing patterns and driving forces is essential for achieving the sustainable management of water resources. In this study, we examined the interannual variability and trends of SWA in the NCP from 1990 to 2023 using annual 30 m water body maps generated from all available Landsat imagery, a robust water mapping algorithm, and the cloud computing platform Google Earth Engine (GEE). The results showed that the SWA in the NCP has significantly increased over the past three decades. The continuous emergence of artificial reservoirs and urban lakes, along with the booming aquaculture industry, are the main factors driving the growth of SWA. Consequently, the expansion of artificial water bodies resulted in a significant increase in water evaporation (0.16 km³/yr). Moreover, the proportion of water evaporation to regional evapotranspiration (ET) gradually increased (0–0.7%/yr), indicating that the contribution of water evaporation from artificial water bodies to ET is becoming increasingly prominent. Therefore, it can be concluded that the ever-expanding artificial water bodies have become a new hidden danger affecting the water security of the NCP through evaporative loss and deserve close attention. This study not only provides us with a new perspective for deeply understanding the current status of water resources security in the NCP but also provides a typical case with great reference value for the analysis of water resources changes in other similar regions. Full article

This study presents a hybrid approach to hydrological forecasting by integrating the physically based Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) model with Prophet time-series modeling and machine learning–based multi-output regression. Applied to the Cahaba watershed, the objective is to predict key environmental variables (precipitation, evapotranspiration (ET), potential evapotranspiration (PET), and snowmelt) and their influence on hydrological responses (surface runoff, groundwater flow, soil water, sediment yield, and water yield) under present (2010–2022) and future (2030–2042) climate scenarios. Using SWAT outputs for calibration, the integrated SWAT-Prophet-ML model predicted ET and PET with RMSE values between 10 and 20 mm. Performance was lower for high-variability events such as precipitation (RMSE = 30–50 mm). Under current climate conditions, R² values of 0.75 (water yield) and 0.70 (surface runoff) were achieved. Groundwater and sediment yields were underpredicted, particularly during peak years. The model’s limitations relate to its dependence on historical trends and its limited representation of physical processes, which constrain its performance under future climate scenarios. Suggested improvements include scenario-based training and integration of physical constraints. The approach offers a scalable, data-driven method for enhancing monthly water balance prediction and supports applications in watershed planning. Full article

Climate change is disrupting marine ecosystems, necessitating a deeper understanding of environmental and fishing-related impacts on exploited species. This study examines the effects of physical factors (temperature, thermal anomalies, salinity, seabed conditions), biogeochemical elements (pH, oxygen levels, nutrients, primary production), and fishing pressure on the biomass of commercially important species in the Alboran Sea from 1999 to 2022. Data were sourced from the Copernicus observational program, focusing on the geographical sub-area 1 (GSA-1) zone across three depth ranges. Generalized Additive Models were applied for analysis. Rising temperatures and seasonal anomalies have largely negative effects, disrupting species’ physiological balance. Changes in water quality, including improved nutrient and oxygen concentrations, have yielded complex ecological responses. Fishing indices highlight the vulnerability of small pelagic fish to climate change and overfishing, underscoring their economic and ecological significance. These findings stress the urgent need for ecosystem-based management strategies that integrate climate change impacts to ensure sustainable marine resource management. Full article