Search Results (117)

The distribution of forest aboveground biomass density (AGBD) is a key indicator of carbon stock and ecosystem health in the Eastern Himalayas, which represents a global biodiversity hotspot that sustains diverse forest types across an elevation gradient from lowland rainforests to alpine meadows and contributes to the livelihoods of more than 200 distinct indigenous communities. This study aimed to identify the key factors influencing forest AGBD across this region by analyzing the underlying biophysical and anthropogenic drivers through machine learning (random forest). We processed AGBD data from the Global Ecosystem Dynamics Investigation (GEDI) spaceborne LiDAR and applied filtering to retain 30,257 high-quality footprints across ten ecoregions. We then analyzed the relationship between AGBD and 17 climatic, topographic, soil, and anthropogenic variables using random forest regression models. The results revealed significant spatial variability in AGBD (149.6 ± 79.5 Mg ha⁻¹) across the region. State-wise, Sikkim recorded the highest mean AGBD (218 Mg ha⁻¹) and Manipur the lowest (102.8 Mg ha⁻¹). Within individual ecoregions, the Himalayan subtropical pine forests exhibited the highest mean AGBD (245.5 Mg ha⁻¹). Topographic factors, particularly elevation and latitude, were strong determinants of biomass distribution, with AGBD increasing up to elevations of 2000 m before declining. Protected areas (PAs) consistently showed higher AGBD than unprotected forests for all ecoregions, while proximity to urban and agricultural areas resulted in lower AGBD, pointing towards negative anthropogenic impacts. Our full model explained 41% of AGBD variance across the Eastern Himalayas, with better performance in individual ecoregions like the Northeast India-Myanmar pine forests (R² = 0.59). While limited by the absence of regionally explicit stand-level forest structure data (age, stand density, species composition), our results provide valuable evidence for conservation policy development, including expansion of PAs, compensating avoided deforestation and modifications in shifting cultivation. Future research should integrate field measurements with remote sensing and use high-resolution LiDAR with locally derived allometric models to enhance biomass estimation and GEDI data validation. Full article

To support the national goals of carbon peaking and carbon neutrality, this study proposes a household carbon emission prediction model based on Gene Expression Programming (GEP) for low-carbon retrofitting of aging residential areas in arid-cold regions. Focusing on 15 typical aging communities in Kundulun District, Baotou City, a 17-dimensional dataset encompassing building characteristics, demographic structure, and energy consumption patterns was collected through field surveys. Key influencing factors (e.g., electricity usage and heating energy consumption) were selected using Pearson correlation analysis and the Random Forest (RF) algorithm. Subsequently, a hybrid prediction model was constructed, with its parameters optimized by minimizing the root mean square error (RMSE) as the fitness function. Experimental results demonstrated that the model achieved an R² value of 0.81, reducing RMSE by 77.1% compared to conventional GEP models and by 60.4% compared to BP neural networks, while significantly improving stability. By combining data dimensionality reduction with adaptive evolutionary algorithms, this model overcomes the limitations of traditional methods in capturing complex nonlinear relationships. It provides a reliable tool for precision-based low-carbon retrofits in aging residential areas of arid-cold regions and offers a methodological advance for research on building carbon emission prediction driven by urban renewal. Full article

China’s accelerated urbanization has instigated construction land expansion and ecological land attrition, aggravating the carbon emission disequilibrium. Notably, the “land carbon emission elasticity coefficient” in urban agglomerations far exceeds international benchmarks, underscoring the contradiction between spatial expansion and low-carbon goals. Existing research predominantly centers on single-spatial-type or static-model analyses, lacking cross-scale mechanism exploration, policy heterogeneity consideration, and differentiated carbon metabolism assessment across functional spaces. This study takes Xiong’an New Area as a case, delineating the spatiotemporal evolution of land use and carbon emissions during 2017–2023. Construction land expanded by 26.8%, propelling an 11-fold escalation in carbon emissions, while emission intensity decreased by 11.4% due to energy efficiency improvements and renewable energy adoption. Cultivated land reduction (31.8%) caused a 73.4% decline in agricultural emissions, and ecological land network restructuring (65.3% forest expansion and wetland restoration) significantly enhanced carbon sequestration. This research validates a governance paradigm prioritizing “structural optimization” over “scale expansion”—synergizing construction land intensification with ecological restoration to decelerate emission growth and strengthen carbon sink systems. Full article

Forest land plays a vital role as a terrestrial carbon sink. Urbanization, particularly the conversion of forest land into agricultural and construction areas, has significantly affected the carbon sink capacity of forests. The protection of carbon sinks in forest land has become a critical issue in advancing the dual carbon strategy. Taking Liushahe Town as a case study, this study develops an integrated framework of analysis and response strategies, which encompass “land use change prediction, forest land carbon sink evaluation, and multi-objective optimization”. The purpose is to identify an optimal forest planning scheme that balances carbon sink capacity and biodiversity. The results indicate that: (1) Land use change substantially affects the extent of forest land in Liushahe Town, in which the area exhibits an initial increase followed by a decrease, and is projected to shrink to 89.88% of its 2021 level by 2041. (2) There are significant disparities in carbon sink performance among various forest land plots. The strategic elimination of inefficient plots and preservation of those with high carbon sink potential are key to enhancing the resilience of forest land to disturbances. (3) Multi-objective optimization planning schemes effectively reconcile carbon sinks and biodiversity, and enhance the synergistic effects of forest ecosystem services. Overall, this research provides practical guidance and methodological support for the protection of carbon sinks in forest land within township-scale spatial planning. Full article

Mangrove forests support coastal resilience, biodiversity, and significant carbon sequestration, yet they face escalating threats from climate change, urban expansion, and land-use change. Traditional remote sensing workflows often struggle with large data volumes, complex preprocessing, and limited computational resources. Google Earth Engine (GEE) addresses these challenges through scalable, cloud-based computation, extensive, preprocessed imagery catalogs, built-in algorithms for rapid feature engineering, and collaborative script sharing that improves reproducibility. To evaluate how the potential of GEE has been harnessed for mangrove research, we systematically reviewed peer-reviewed articles published between 2017 and 2022. We examined the spectrum of GEE-based tasks, the extent to which studies incorporated mangrove-specific preprocessing, and the challenges encountered. Our analysis reveals a noteworthy yearly increase in GEE-driven mangrove studies but also identifies geographic imbalances, with several high-mangrove-density countries remaining underrepresented. Although most studies leveraged streamlined preprocessing and basic classification workflows, relatively few employed advanced automated methods. Persistent barriers include limited coding expertise, platform quotas, and sparse high-resolution data in certain regions. We outline a generalized workflow that includes automated tidal filtering, dynamic image composite generation, and advanced classification pipelines to address these gaps. By synthesizing achievements and ongoing limitations, this review offers guidance for future GEE-based mangrove studies and conservation efforts and aims to improve methodological rigor and maximize the potential of GEE. Full article

As the global population continues to rise, the impact of urbanization on land utilization and ecosystems are growing more pronounced, particularly within the expanding area of Asia. The land use/land change (LULC) brought by urban expansion directly impacts plant growth and ecological productivity, altering the carbon cycle and climate regulation functions of the region. This research focuses on Harbin City as a case study, employing an enhanced version of the Carnegie–Ames–Stanford Approach (CASA) model to analyze the spatial–temporal variations in vegetation Net Primary Productivity (NPP) across the area from 2000 to 2020. The findings indicate that Net Primary Productivity (NPP) in Harbin exhibited notable interannual variability and spatial heterogeneity. From 2000 to 2005, a decline in NPP was observed across 60.75% of the area. This reduction was predominantly concentrated in the central and eastern areas of the city, where forested landscapes are the dominant feature. In contrast, from 2010 to 2015, 92.12% of the region saw an increase in NPP, closely related to the overall improvement in NPP across all land-use types. Land-use change significantly influenced NPP dynamics. Between 2000 and 2005, 54.26% of NPP increases stemmed from the transition of farmland into forest, highlighting the effectiveness of the “conversion of farmland back to forests” policy. From 2005 to 2010, 98.6% of the area experienced NPP decline, mainly due to forest and cropland degradation, especially the unstable carbon sink function of forest ecosystems. Between 2010 and 2015, NPP improved across 96.86% of the area, driven by forest productivity recovery and better agricultural management. These results demonstrate the profound and lasting impact of land-use transitions on the spatiotemporal dynamics of NPP. Full article

In the context of global “dual carbon” objectives, land use dynamics exhibit a strong correlation with regional carbon storage. Facing significant ecological–economic conflicts, the Chengdu–Chongqing Economic Circle in western China necessitates multi-scenario modeling of carbon storage. This research integrates the PLUS model (simulation accuracy Kappa = 0.84) and InVEST model to project land use and carbon storage trajectories under natural development (NDS), urban development (UDS), carbon peak (CPS), and carbon neutrality (CNS) scenarios from 2030 to 2060, leveraging historical data from 2000 to 2020. The results show the following: (1) The study area is dominated by forest land and cultivated land (accounting for more than 90%). From 2000 to 2020, cultivated land decreased, and construction land increased; construction land continued to expand under all future scenarios. (2) Carbon storage showed a trend of first increasing and then decreasing, reaching 4974.55 × 10⁶ t in 2020 (an increase of 4.0 × 10⁶ t compared with 2000). The peak carbon storage in the CPS scenario reached 5015.18 × 10⁶ t, and the overall spatial pattern was “high around and low in the middle”. (3) The CPS achieved a carbon peak through intensive land use and ecological restoration, and the CNS further strengthened carbon sink protection and promoted carbon neutrality. Constructing a multi-scenario coupling model chain provides a new method for regional carbon management, which has important guiding significance for the low-carbon development of the Chengdu–Chongqing Twin Cities Economic Circle. Full article

This study, taking Anhui Province as a case study, systematically evaluated the spatiotemporal differentiation characteristics of six ecosystem services (biodiversity maintenance, water yield, carbon fixation, vegetation net primary productivity (NPP), soil retention, and crop production) from 2000 to 2020 through the integration of multi-stakeholder decision-making preferences and the Marxan model. Four conservation scenarios (ecological security priority, social benefit orientation, minimum cost constraint, and balance synergy) were established to explore the spatial optimization pathways of ecological protection zones under differentiated policy objectives. The findings indicated that: (1) The ecosystem services in Anhui Province exhibited a “low north and high south” spatial gradient, with significant synergies observed in natural ecosystem services in the southern Anhui mountainous areas, while the northern Anhui agricultural areas were subjected to significant trade-offs due to intensive development. (2) High service provision in the southern Anhui mountainous areas was maintained by topographic barriers and forest protection policies (significant NPP improvement zones accounted for 50.125%), whereas soil–water services degradation in the northern Anhui plains was caused by agricultural intensification and groundwater overexploitation (slight soil retention degradation covered 24.505%, and water yield degradation areas reached 29.766%). Urbanization demonstrated a double-edged sword effect—the expansion of the Hefei metropolitan area triggered suburban biodiversity degradation (significant degradation patches occupied 0.0758%), while ecological restoration projects promoted mountain NPP growth, highlighting the necessity of synergizing natural recovery and artificial interventions. (3) Multi-scenario planning revealed that the spatial congruence between the ecological security priority scenario and traditional ecological protection redlines reached 46.57%, whereas the social benefit scenario achieved only 12.13%, exposing the inadequate responsiveness of the current conservation framework to service demands in densely populated areas. This research validated the technical superiority of multi-objective systematic planning in reconciling ecological protection and development conflicts, providing scientific support for optimizing ecological security patterns in the Yangtze River Delta region. Full article

The Huaihe River Basin stands as a vital grain-producing base in China. Predicting the dynamic evolution of its carbon storage (CS) is of great theoretical value and practical significance for maintaining regional ecological security, guaranteeing food production capacity, and coping with climate change. This study established a multi-dimensional analysis framework of “scenario simulation–reservoir assessment–value quantification”. Using a sample of 195 cities, the PLUS-InVEST-GIS method was combined to explore the overall CS, spatial differentiation, and value changes in future scenarios. The results indicate that the following: (1) From 2000 to 2020, CS kept on declining, with cultivated land and forest land being the dominant carbon pools, accounting for over 86% of the total CS. (2) From a “city–grid–raster” perspective, the spatial pattern of high-value hot spots of CS remained stable, and the overall pattern remained unchanged under multi-scenario simulation, yet the overall carbon sink center of gravity shifted to the southwest. (3) The top five driving factors are elevation, slope, NDVI, GDP per capita, and population density, accounting for 77.2% of the total driving force. (4) The carbon sequestration capacity at the county scale continued to weaken, and the overall capacity presented the following order: 2035 Farmland protection scenario (FPS) > 2035 Natural development scenario (NDS) > 2035 Urban development scenario (UDS). The resulting carbon economic losses were USD 2.28 × 10⁸, 4.57 × 10⁸, and 6.90 × 10⁸, respectively. The research results will provide scientific land use decision-making support for the realization of the “double-carbon” goals in the Huaihe River grain-producing area. Full article

Forest carbon sinks have faced significant challenges with the accelerating warming trend in the 21st century. Net primary productivity (NPP) serves as a critical indicator of the carbon cycle in forest ecosystems and is intricately influenced by both human activities and climate change. This study focuses on the subtropical Southern Forests of China as the research object, using the Wuyi Mountains as a representative study area. The positive and negative contributions of ecologically oriented human activities driven by China’s forestry construction over the past few decades were investigated along with potential extreme climate factors affecting the forest NPP from an altitude gradient perspective and regional-scale forest NPP changes from a novel viewpoint. MODIS NPP, climate, and land use data, along with a vegetation type transfer matrix and statistical methods, were utilized for this purpose. The results are summarized as follows. (1) From 2000 to 2022, NPP in the Wuyi Mountains exhibited a high distribution pattern in the northeastern and southern areas and a low distribution pattern in the central region, with a weak overall increase and an average annual growth increment of only 0.11 gC·m⁻²·year⁻¹. NPP increased with altitude, with a mean growth rate of 5.0 gC·m⁻²·hm⁻¹. Notably, the growth rate of NPP was most pronounced in the altitude range below 298 m in both temporal and vertical dimensions. (2) In the context of China’s long-term Forestry Ecological Engineering Projects and Natural Forest Protection Projects, as well as climate warming, the transformation of vegetation types from relatively low NPP types to high NPP types in the Wuyi Mountains has resulted in a total NPP increase of 211.58 GgC over the past 23 years. Specifically, only the altitude range below 298 m showed negative vegetation type transformation, leading to an NPP decrease of 119.44 GgC. The expansion of urban and built-up lands below 500 m over the 23-year period reduced NPP by 147.92 GgC. (3) The climatic factors inhibiting NPP in the Wuyi Mountains were extreme nighttime high temperatures from June to September, which significantly weakened the NPP of evergreen broadleaf forests above 500 m in elevation. This inhibitory effect still resulted in a reduction of 127.36 GgC in the NPP of evergreen broadleaf forests within this altitude range, despite a cumulative increment in the area of evergreen broadleaf forests above 500 m over the past 23 years. In conclusion, the growth in NPP in the southern inland subtropical regions of China slowed after 2000, primarily due to the significant rise in nighttime extreme high temperatures and the expansion of human-built areas in the region. This study provides valuable data support for the adaptation of subtropical forests to climate change. Full article

Being an essential issue in global climate warming, the response of urban green spaces to air pollution and climate variability because of rapid urbanization has become an increasing concern at both the local and global levels. This study explored the response of urban vegetation to air pollution and climate variability in the Bucharest metropolis in Romania from a spatiotemporal perspective during 2000–2024, with a focus on the 2020–2024 period. Through the synergy of time series in situ air pollution and climate data, and derived vegetation biophysical variables from MODIS Terra/Aqua satellite data, this study applied statistical regression, correlation, and linear trend analysis to assess linear relationships between variables and their pairwise associations. Green spaces were measured with the MODIS normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI), leaf area index (LAI), photosynthetically active radiation (FPAR), evapotranspiration (ET), and net primary production (NPP), which capture the complex characteristics of urban vegetation systems (gardens, street trees, parks, and forests), periurban forests, and agricultural areas. For both the Bucharest center (6.5 km × 6.5 km) and metropolitan (40.5 km × 40.5 km) test areas, during the five-year investigated period, this study found negative correlations of the NDVI with ground-level concentrations of particulate matter in two size fractions, PM2.5 (city center r = −0.29; p < 0.01, and metropolitan r = −0.39; p < 0.01) and PM10 (city center r = −0.58; p < 0.01, and metropolitan r = −0.56; p < 0.01), as well as between the NDVI and gaseous air pollutants (nitrogen dioxide—NO₂, sulfur dioxide—SO₂, and carbon monoxide—CO. Also, negative correlations between NDVI and climate parameters, air relative humidity (RH), and land surface albedo (LSA) were observed. These results show the potential of urban green to improve air quality through air pollutant deposition, retention, and alteration of vegetation health, particularly during dry seasons and hot summers. For the same period of analysis, positive correlations between the NDVI and solar surface irradiance (SI) and planetary boundary layer height (PBL) were recorded. Because of the summer season’s (June–August) increase in ground-level ozone, significant negative correlations with the NDVI (r = −0.51, p < 0.01) were found for Bucharest city center and (r = −76; p < 0.01) for the metropolitan area, which may explain the degraded or devitalized vegetation under high ozone levels. Also, during hot summer seasons in the 2020–2024 period, this research reported negative correlations between air temperature at 2 m height (TA) and the NDVI for both the Bucharest city center (r = −0.84; p < 0.01) and metropolitan scale (r = −0.90; p < 0.01), as well as negative correlations between the land surface temperature (LST) and the NDVI for Bucharest (city center r = −0.29; p< 0.01) and the metropolitan area (r = −0.68, p < 0.01). During summer seasons, positive correlations between ET and climate parameters TA (r = 0.91; p < 0.01), SI (r = 0.91; p < 0.01), relative humidity RH (r = 0.65; p < 0.01), and NDVI (r = 0.83; p < 0.01) are associated with the cooling effects of urban vegetation, showing that a higher vegetation density is associated with lower air and land surface temperatures. The negative correlation between ET and LST (r = −0.92; p < 0.01) explains the imprint of evapotranspiration in the diurnal variations of LST in contrast with TA. The decreasing trend of NPP over 24 years highlighted the feedback response of vegetation to air pollution and climate warming. For future green cities, the results of this study contribute to the development of advanced strategies for urban vegetation protection and better mitigation of air quality under an increased frequency of extreme climate events. Full article

Sustainable urban development increasingly aligns with the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), highlighting the importance of integrating local cultural landscapes into city planning. One compelling example is the concept of fengshui forests in China, which are deeply rooted in traditional beliefs associated with prosperity for local communities. This study explores how fengshui forests can inform urban landscape design, particularly in the context of biodiversity conservation. We conducted a comprehensive literature review to examine studies on the ecological functions and cultural significance of fengshui forests. This review included research articles, case studies, and ecological assessments, revealing that fengshui forests provide essential ecosystem services—such as preserving biodiversity, regulating microclimates, and sequestering carbon—while also offering unique cultural insights, economic resources, and tourism potential. Recognizing the critical role of plant selection and combination in urban landscape design, we compiled a database of 1196 recorded plant species from fengshui forests, detailing their physiological traits, geographical distribution, and social values. By employing diverse plant arrangement and combination, urban landscape designers can select suitable species to create green spaces that support a well-functioning food web and ecosystem, ultimately fostering biodiversity conservation. By harnessing both the ecological functions and cultural values of fengshui forests, this research highlights their potential to enhance urban eco-landscape design, promote eco-tourism, and aid in the preservation of local species. These forests, with their traditional roots and ecological significance, hold promise for advancing ecological civilization through effective biodiversity conservation and sustainable urban planning. Full article

Urban carbon emissions account for 75% of the total social emissions and are a key area for achieving the country’s “dual carbon” goals. This study takes the Sino-Singapore Tianjin Eco-City as a case, constructs a multi-dimensional carbon emission accounting model, integrates six systems, including buildings, transportation, water systems, solid waste, renewable energy, and carbon sinks, and proposes a comprehensive research method that takes into account both long-term prediction and a short-term dynamic analysis. The long-term emission trends under different scenarios are simulated through the KAYA model. It is found that under the enhanced low-carbon scenario, the Eco-City will reach its peak in 2043 (2.253 million tons of CO₂) and drop to 2.182 million tons of CO₂ in 2050. At the same time, after comparing models, such as random forest and support vector machine, the XGBoost algorithm is adopted for short-term prediction (R² = 0.984, MAE = 0.195). The results show that it is significantly superior to traditional methods and can effectively capture the dynamic changes in fields, such as buildings and transportation. Based on the prediction results, the study proposes six types of collaborative emission-reduction paths: improving building energy efficiency (annual emission reduction of 93800 tons), promoting green travel (58,900 tons), increasing the utilization rate of non-conventional water resources (3700 tons), reducing per capita solid waste generation (14,400 tons), expanding the application of renewable energy (288,200 tons), and increasing green space carbon sinks (135,000 tons). The total annual emission-reduction potential amounts to 594,000 tons. This study provides a valuable reference for developing carbon reduction strategies in urban areas. Full article

Urban forests play important roles in carbon sequestration and climate change mitigation. However, their adaptive mechanisms and limitations on photosynthesis throughout the canopy are poorly understood. This study takes the most widely distributed 50-year-old camphor plantations (Cinnamomum camphora) in Shanghai as the research objects. We investigated the variations in leaf morphology and photosynthetic physiology and biochemistry at six different canopy positions during a summer and an autumn period. We discovered that on account of leaf nitrogen loss and water deficit, light-saturated photosynthesis (A_max) declined in upper sunlit leaves despite being exposed to high sunlight in the same fashion as stomatal and mesophyll conductance (g_sw, g_m), photochemical quenching coefficient and actual photochemical efficiency of PSII (Φ_PSII, q_P), and maximum rate of electron transport and carboxylation (J_max, V_cmax) during the growing season. Although seasonal change had little effect on A_max, the relative importance of limitations varied temporally. Mesophyll and biochemical limitation were the major contributors to the decline in the A_max in upper sunlit leaves between summer and autumn, respectively. Our study highlights the constraints of carbon fixation capacity in dense stands of mature camphor trees and offers technical support for the accurate prediction of canopy photosynthesis and the enhancement of carbon sequestration management in urban forests. Full article

Following World War II, the swift economic growth in construction and the soaring demand in urban regions led to the excessive extraction of natural resources like fossil fuels, minerals, forests and land. To tackle significant global challenges, including the consumption of natural resources, air pollution and climate change, radical changes have been suggested over the past decades. As part of this strategic initiative, prioritizing sustainability in construction has emerged as a crucial focus in the design of all projects. In order to identify the most environmentally sustainable reinforced concrete (RC) slab system, this research investigates the carbon emissions associated with various slab systems, including solid, voided slabs and precast floor systems. The results demonstrate that beam and slab floor and solid slabs have the highest embodied carbon due to the significant use of concrete and related materials, whereas voided slabs and two-way joist floors exhibit lower carbon emissions. The results indicate that the two-way joist system is the most environmentally advantageous option. For precast floor systems, post-tensioned concrete and hollow-core slabs demonstrate the lowest embodied carbon levels. This research provides practical recommendations for architects and engineers aimed at enhancing sustainable design methodologies. It emphasizes the importance of incorporating low-carbon materials as well as pioneering flooring technologies in upcoming construction initiatives to support the achievement of global sustainability objectives. Full article