Search Results (114)

Amid China’s national strategic prioritization of the Chengdu–Chongqing Economic Circle and accelerated territorial spatial planning, this study deciphered the synergistic evolution of Land Use Intensity (LUI) and Balance Degree of Land Use Structure (BDLUS) during rapid urbanization. Leveraging 1 km grid units and integrating emerging spatiotemporal hotspot analysis, BFAST, and geographic detectors, we systematically analyzed spatiotemporal patterns and drivers of LUI, BDLUS, and their Coupling Coordination Degree (CCD) from 2000 to 2022. Key findings: (1) LUI strongly correlated with economic growth, with core areas reaching high-intensity development (average > 2.96) versus ecologically constrained marginal zones (<2.42), marked by abrupt changes during 2011–2014; (2) BDLUS improvements covered 82.22% of the study area, driven by the Yangtze River Economic Belt strategy (21.96% hotspot concentration), yet structural imbalance persisted in transitional zones (18.81% cold spots); (3) CCD exhibited center-edge dichotomy, contrasting high-value cores (CCD > 0.68) with ecologically sensitive edges (9.80% cold spots), peaking in regulatory shifts around 2010; (4) terrain constraints and intensified human activities (the interaction effect between nighttime lighting and population density increased by 219.49% after 2020) jointly governed coupling mechanisms, with urbanization and industrial transition becoming dominant drivers. This research advances an “intensity–structure–coordination” framework and elucidates “dual-core resonance” dynamics, offering theoretical foundations for spatial optimization and ecological civilization. Full article

With increasing urban economic development, some industrial parks and residential areas are being situated adjacent to each other, creating a potential risk of soil and groundwater contamination from the wastewater and solid waste produced by enterprises. This contamination poses a threat to the health of nearby residents. Currently, groundwater pollution prevention and control zoning in China primarily targets groundwater environmental pollution risks and does not consider the health risks associated with groundwater exposure in industry–city integration areas. Therefore, a scientific assessment of environmental risks in industry–city integration areas is essential for effectively managing groundwater pollution. This study focuses on the high frequency and rapid pace of human activities in industry–city integration areas. It combines health risk assessment and groundwater pollution simulation results with traditional groundwater pollution control classification outcomes to develop a groundwater pollution risk zoning framework specifically suited to these integrated areas. Using this framework, we systematically assessed groundwater pollution risks in a representative industry–city integration area in the middle reaches of the Yangtze River in China and delineated groundwater pollution risk zones to provide a scientific basis for local groundwater environmental management. The assessment results indicate that the total area of groundwater pollution risk control zones is 30.37 km², accounting for 19.06% of the total study area. The first-level control zone covers 5.38 km² (3.38% of the total area), while the secondary control zone spans 24.99 km² (15.68% of the total area). The first-level control zone is concentrated within industrial clusters, whereas the secondary control zone is widely distributed throughout the region. In comparison to traditional assessment methods, the zoning results derived from this study are more suitable for industry–city integration areas. This study also provides groundwater management recommendations for such areas, offering valuable insights for groundwater control in integrated industrial–residential zones. Full article

The inter-provincial border region in eastern China, encompassing the junction of Jiangsu, Anhui, Shandong, and Henan provinces, serves as a crucial zone that connects the important economic zones of Beijing–Tianjin–Hebei and the Yangtze River Delta. It is of great significance to study the temporal variation characteristics, spatial distribution patterns, and driving factors of PM_2.5 concentrations in this region. Based on the PM_2.5 concentration observation data, ground meteorological data, environmental data, and socio-economic data from 2022 to 2024, this study conducted in-depth and systematic research by using advanced methods, such as spatial autocorrelation analysis and geographical detectors. The research results show that the concentration of PM_2.5 rose from 2022 to 2023, but decreased from 2023 to 2024. From the perspective of seasonal variations, the concentration of PM_2.5 shows a distinct characteristic of being “high in winter and low in summer”. The monthly variation shows a “U”-shaped distribution pattern. In terms of spatial changes, the PM_2.5 concentration in the inter-provincial border region of eastern China (Jiangsu, Anhui, Shandong, Henan) forms a gradient difference of “higher in the west and lower in the east”. The high-concentration agglomeration areas are mainly concentrated in the Henan part of the study region, while the low-concentration agglomeration areas are distributed in the eastern coastal parts of the study region. The analysis of the driving factors of the PM_2.5 concentration based on geographical detectors reveals that the average temperature is the main factor affecting the PM_2.5 concentration. The interaction among the factors contributing to the spatial differentiation of the PM_2.5 concentration is very obvious. Temperature and population density (q = 0.92), temperature and precipitation (q = 0.95), slope and precipitation (q = 0.97), as well as DEM and population density (q = 0.96), are the main combinations of factors that have continuously affected the spatial differentiation of the PM_2.5 concentration for many years. The research results from this study provide a scientific basis and decision support for the prevention, control, and governance of PM_2.5 pollution. Full article

As an extreme event driven by global climate change, drought poses a severe threat to terrestrial ecosystems. The Yangtze River Basin (YZRB) and Yellow River Basin (YRB) are key ecological barriers and economic zones in China, holding strategic importance for exploring the evolution of drought patterns and their ecological impacts. Using meteorological station data and Climatic Research Unit Gridded Time Series (CRU TS) data, this study analyzed the spatiotemporal characteristics of drought evolution in the YZRB and YRB from 1961 to 2021 using the standardized precipitation evapotranspiration index (SPEI) and run theory. Additionally, this study examined drought effects on ecosystem carbon sequestration (CS) at the city, county, and pixel scales. The results revealed the following: (1) the CRU data effectively captured precipitation (annual r = 0.94) and temperature (annual r = 0.95) trends in both basins, despite significantly underestimating winter temperatures, with the optimal SPEI calculation accuracy found at the monthly scale; (2) both basins experienced frequent autumn–winter droughts, with the YRB facing stronger droughts, including nine events which exceeded 10 months (the longest lasting 25 months), while the mild droughts increased in frequency and extreme intensity; and (3) the drought impacts on CS demonstrated a significant threshold effect, where the intensified drought unexpectedly enhanced CS in western regions, such as the Garzê Autonomous Prefecture in Sichuan Province and Changdu City in the Xizang Autonomous Region, but suppressed CS in the midstream and downstream plains. The CS responded positively under weak drought conditions but declined once the drought intensity surpassed the threshold. This study revealed a nonlinear relationship between drought and CS across climatic zones, thereby providing a scientific foundation for enhancing ecological resilience. Full article

Rapid urbanization and climate extremes expose cities to multi-dimensional risks, necessitating the coordinated development of new urbanization and urban resilience for achieving urban sustainability. While existing studies focus on core economic zones like the Yangtze River Delta, secondary economic cooperation regions remain understudied. This study examined the Huaihai Economic Zone (HEZ)—a quadri-provincial border area—by constructing the evaluation systems for new urbanization and urban resilience. The development indices of the two systems were measured using the entropy weight-CRITIC method. The spatiotemporal evolution characteristics of their coupling coordination degree (CCD) were analyzed through a CCD model, while key driving factors influencing the CCD were investigated using a grey relational analysis model. The results indicated that both the new urbanization construction and urban resilience development indices in the HEZ exhibited a steady upward trend during the study period, with the urban resilience development index surpassing the new urbanization construction index. The new urbanization index increased from 0.3026 (2013) to 0.4702 (2023), and the urban resilience index increased from 0.3520 (2013) to 0.6366 (2023). The CCD between new urbanization and urban resilience reached 0.7368 by 2023, with 80% of cities in the HEZ achieving good coordination types. The variation of the CCD among cities was minimal, revealing a spatially clustered coordinated development pattern. In terms of driving factors, economic development level, public service capacity, and municipal resilience level were identified as core drivers for enhancing coupling coordination. Infrastructure construction, digital capabilities, and spatial intensification served as important supports, while ecological governance capacity remained a weakness. This study establishes a transferable framework for the coordinated development of secondary economic cooperation region, though future research should integrate diverse data sources and expand indicator coverage for higher precision. Moreover, the use of linear models to analyze the key driving factors of the CCD has limitations. The incorporation of non-linear techniques can better elucidate the complex interactions among factors. Full article

As the world’s third-longest river supporting 40% of China’s population, the Yangtze River Basin exemplifies the critical challenges of balancing riparian development and ecological resilience for major fluvial systems globally. This study analyzed the spatiotemporal evolution, proximity dynamics to the Yangtze River, and driving mechanisms of the “three types of spaces” (urban, agricultural, and ecological) in 130 counties along the Yangtze River mainstem from 2000 to 2020, utilizing an integrated approach incorporating land use transfer matrices, centroid-based distance metrics and GeoDetector models. Key findings reveal: (1) Urban space exhibited significant irreversible expansion while agricultural space continued to shrink, with ecological space maintaining overall stability but showing high-frequency bidirectional conversion with agricultural areas in localized zones. (2) Spatial proximity analysis demonstrated contrasting patterns—eastern riparian counties showed urban spatial agglomeration towards the river, whereas most mid-western regions experienced urban expansion away from the watercourse, with marked regional disparities in agricultural and ecological spatial changes. (3) Driving mechanism analysis identified topography as the dominant natural factor influencing ecological space evolution, while socioeconomic factors exerted stronger impacts on proximity variations of agricultural and urban spaces, with natural–socioeconomic interactive effects showing the most significant explanatory power. These spatial dynamics reflect universal trade-offs between economic development and ecosystem conservation in large river basins worldwide. We advocate differentiated spatial governance strategies, including rigorous riparian ecological redlines, eco-agricultural models in agricultural retreat zones, and proximity-based real-time monitoring for ecological early warning. The integrated methodology and spatial governance framework offer transferable solutions for sustainable management of major fluvial systems under rapid urbanization pressure. These findings provide scientific evidence and implementable pathways for coordinating socioeconomic development with ecosystem resilience in the Yangtze River Economic Belt. Full article

Engineering contract management is a critical component of project management systems, serving as a key mechanism for ensuring successful project implementation. This study systematically analyzes 349 s-instance judicial cases related to construction engineering contract disputes in the Yangtze River Delta Economic Zone from 2017 to 2021, based on data obtained from the China Judgments Online database. The research identifies contractual risk characteristics across dimensions such as regional distribution, dispute terminology, legal citation patterns, and appellate role transitions. The key findings include the following: (1) Primary risks involve payment disputes, quality assurance failures, contractual validity issues, and schedule compliance challenges. (2) Litigation patterns reveal complex interdependencies between contracting parties and stakeholders, posing significant risk management challenges. (3) High second-instance modification rates stem from procedural irregularities, new evidence, improper legal application, and factual errors in initial trials. The study proposes stratified risk mitigation strategies, including governmental regulatory improvements and enterprise-level management optimizations. These findings offer valuable insights into advancing risk governance in construction contract administration, particularly through an enhanced understanding of dispute complexity and systemic vulnerabilities. Full article

With climate warming, the global precipitation patterns have undergone significant changes, which will profoundly impact flood–drought disaster regimes and socioeconomic development in key regions of human activity worldwide. The convergence zone of the Indian Ocean monsoon and Pacific monsoon in China covers most of the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River (MLRYR), which is located in the transitional area of the second and third steps of China’s terrain. Changes in precipitation patterns in this region will significantly impact flood and drought control in the MLRYR, as well as the socioeconomic development of the MLRYR Economic Belt. In this study, Huaihua area in China was selected as the study area to study the characteristics of regional precipitation change, and to analyze the evolution in the trends in annual precipitation, extreme precipitation events, and their spatiotemporal distribution, so as to provide a reference for the study of precipitation change patterns in the intersection zone. This study utilizes precipitation data from meteorological stations and the China Meteorological Forcing Dataset (CMFD) reanalysis data for the period 1979–2023 in Huaihua region. The spatiotemporal variation in precipitation in the study area was analyzed by using linear regression, the Mann–Kendall trend test, the moving average method, the Mann–Kendall–Sneyers test, wavelet analysis, and R/S analysis. The results demonstrate the following: (1) The annual precipitation in the study area is on the rise as a whole, the climate tendency rate is 9 mm/10 a, and the precipitation fluctuates greatly, showing an alternating change of “dry–wet–dry–wet”. (2) Wavelet analysis reveals that there are 28-year, 9-year, and 4-year main cycles in annual precipitation, and the precipitation patterns at different timescales are different. (3) The results of R/S analysis show that the future precipitation trend will continue to increase, with a strong long-term memory. (4) Extreme precipitation events generally show an upward trend, indicating that their intensity and frequency have increased. (5) Spatial distribution analysis shows that the precipitation in the study area is mainly concentrated in the northeast and south of Jingzhou and Tongdao, and the precipitation level in the west is lower. The comprehensive analysis shows that the annual precipitation in the study area is on the rise and has a certain periodic precipitation law. The spatial distribution is greatly affected by other factors and the distribution is uneven. Extreme precipitation events show an increasing trend, which may lead to increased flood risk in the region and downstream areas. In the future, it is necessary to strengthen countermeasures to reduce the impact of changes in precipitation patterns on local and downstream economic and social activities. Full article

Free trade zone (FTZ) policies and port integration play critical roles in advancing international shipping and port development. While Free trade zones (FTZs) promote trade liberalization and attract investment to support port infrastructure, port integration helps alleviate excessive competition, reduce redundant labor, and minimize resource inefficiencies. Given these dynamics, it is important to examine how FTZs and port integration differentially shape shipping capacity and port competitiveness across China’s coastal provinces. To this end, this study introduces a comprehensive evaluation framework for port competitiveness, which considers both port operation–related factors and the external environment. The framework employs a combination of principal component analysis and the entropy weight method to assess port competitiveness in coastal regions. The findings reveal that comprehensive port service capacity and management efficiency capacity have the most significant influence on port competitiveness, outweighing the impact of other evaluated indicators. It also reveals that the development of China’s coastal ports is regionally unbalanced, with strong competitiveness in the Yangtze River Delta, Pearl River Delta, and Bohai Rim clusters, moderate development in the southeastern cluster, and relatively weak performance in the Beibu Gulf cluster. Both FTZ and port integration policies can promote port competitiveness to some extent, especially for professional technical support and services, digital management, and overall management efficiency. The dynamics of port competitiveness under the FTZs are higher than those under port integration. The research results deepen the understanding of the roles of FTZ and port integration policies in promoting the competitiveness of ports in various regions and provide insights for ports to seize opportunities and enhance development. The reinforcement of industrial synergies with neighboring regions and the formation of complementary development patterns enhance their overall competitiveness. Exploring new modes aligned with the advancement of FTZs and port integration can further stimulate regional economic development and support national opening-up strategies. Full article

Under the global urbanization context, irrational land use patterns have exacerbated ecosystem imbalance. Developing watershed ecological risk assessment methods based on adaptive cycle theory holds significant scientific importance for flood risk prevention. This study established a watershed ecological risk assessment framework within the adaptive cycle framework, focusing on the Poyang Lake Ecological Economic Zone in the middle-lower Yangtze River Basin. The results revealed that high-risk ecological areas clustered around the Poyang Lake water system with scattered urban distribution, while medium-risk zones dominated the study area. Low-risk regions primarily concentrated in the Yuanhe Plain of southwestern region. The system exhibited significant spatial heterogeneity in “exposure” and “disturbance” risks. Medium–high exposure pixels accounted for 43.3% with a dispersed distribution, whereas disturbance pixels concentrated in Poyang Lake waters and developed urban areas (64.34%), indicating that disturbance exerted a stronger influence on risk assessment outcomes. Governance practices demonstrated that policy preferences may introduce biases into watershed ecological risk evaluations. Multi-scenario simulations using an Ordered Weighted Averaging (OWA) algorithm identified risk-uncertain zones in southeastern hilly areas and northern Poyang Lake waters, while distinguishing stable high/low-risk regions unaffected by decision-making influences. These findings provide critical references for formulating sustainable watershed management strategies. Full article

As a pivotal ecological–economic nexus in China, the Yangtze River Basin (YRB)’s spatiotemporal evolution of habitat quality (HQ) profoundly influences regional sustainable development. This study establishes a tripartite analytical framework integrating remote sensing big data, socioeconomic datasets, and ecological modeling. By coupling the InVEST and PLUS models with Theil–Sen median trend analysis and Mann–Kendall tests, we systematically assessed HQ spatial heterogeneity across the basin during 2000–2020 and projected trends under 2030 scenarios (natural development (S1), cropland protection (S2), and ecological conservation (S3)). Key findings reveal that basin-wide HQ remained stable (0.599–0.606) but exhibited marked spatial disparities, demonstrating a “high-middle reach (0.636–0.649), low upper/lower reach” pattern. Urbanized downstream areas recorded the minimum HQ (0.478–0.515), primarily due to landscape fragmentation from peri-urban expansion and transportation infrastructure. Trend analysis showed that coefficient of variation (CV) values ranged from 0.350 to 2.72 (mean = 0.768), indicating relative stability but significant spatial variability. While 76.98% of areas showed no significant HQ changes, 15.83% experienced declines (3.56% with significant degradation, p < 0.05) concentrated in urban agglomerations (e.g., the Wuhan Metropolitan Area, the Yangtze River Delta). Only 7.18% exhibited an HQ improvement, predominantly in snowmelt-affected Qinghai–Tibet Plateau regions, with merely 0.95% showing a significant enhancement. Multi-scenario projections align with Theil–Sen trends, predicting HQ declines across all scenarios. S3 curbs decline to 0.33% (HQ = 0.597), outperforming S1 (1.07%) and S2 (1.15%). Nevertheless, downstream areas remain high-risk (S3 HQ = 0.476). This study elucidated compound drivers of urbanization, agricultural encroachment, and climate change, proposing a synergistic “zoning regulation–corridor restoration–cross-regional compensation” pathway. These findings provide scientific support for balancing ecological protection and high-quality development in the Yangtze Economic Belt, while offering systematic solutions for the sustainable governance of global mega-basins. Full article

Currently, regional flood research often lacks a synergistic assessment of both flood occurrence risk and flood duration, limiting the comprehensive understanding needed for sustainable disaster risk reduction. To address this gap, this study applies advanced machine learning approaches to assess flood hazards in the Yangtze River Delta, one of China’s most economically and environmentally significant regions. Specifically, XGBoost is employed to evaluate flood occurrence risk, while LSTM is used to predict flood duration. A novel flood risk index (FRI) is proposed to quantify the integrated risk by combining these two dimensions, supporting more sustainable and effective flood risk management strategies. Furthermore, SHAP analysis is conducted to identify the most critical factors contributing to flooding. The results demonstrate that XGBoost delivers strong predictive performance, with average precision, recall, F1-score, accuracy, and AUC values of 0.823398, 0.831667, 0.827090, 0.826435, and 0.871062, respectively. Areas with high flood risk, long duration, and elevated FRI values are mainly concentrated in major river basins and coastal zones. The range of flood risk spans from 0.000073 to 0.998483 (mean: 0.237031), flood duration from 0.223598 to 2.077040 (mean: 0.940050), and FRI from 0 to 0.934256 (mean: 0.091711). Cities with over 40% of their areas falling in medium to high FRI zones include Suzhou (48.99%), Jiaxing (48.07%), Yangzhou (46.87%), Suqian (44.19%), Changzhou (43.43%), Wuxi (43.20%), Lianyungang (42.21%), Yancheng (40.88%), Huai’an (40.73%), and Bengbu (40.06%). SHAP analysis reveals that elevation and rainfall are the most critical factors influencing flood occurrence, underscoring the importance of integrating environmental variables into sustainable flood risk governance. Full article

This study investigates the institutional innovation pathways for integrating comprehensive transportation networks into China’s territorial spatial planning system, with a focus on resolving the conflicts between ecological conservation and infrastructure development. By proposing a ‘constraint-coupling-innovation’ framework, this research addresses the gaps in existing spatial governance mechanisms, particularly the insufficient alignment between transportation planning and the ‘three zones and three lines’ (ecological conservation, agricultural production, and urban development zones with binding redline) system. The study employs mixed-method approaches, including geospatial conflict analysis (GIS), AI-driven policy coordination tools, and case studies from the Yangtze River Economic Belt. It demonstrates that rigid ecological constraints (e.g., ecological sensitivity veto power) can reduce planning conflicts effectively, while adaptive governance models enhance land use efficiency and stakeholder collaboration. Key findings reveal a significant negative correlation (R² = 0.75) between ecological protection redline (EPR) coverage and transportation network density, underscoring the necessity for differentiated governance strategies in high-conflict regions. A comparative analysis with the EU’s Natura 2000 sites and TEN-T networks further highlights China’s unique hierarchical governance model, which integrates top-down ecological mandates with localized technological innovations, such as digital twins and polycentric decision making. This study contributes to global debates on sustainable spatial planning by offering actionable pathways for balancing infrastructure expansion with ecological resilience, while also proposing institutional reforms, such as a National Transportation Spatial Governance Index (NTSGI), to standardize ecological compliance. These insights provide both theoretical advancements in spatial institutionalism and practical tools for policymakers navigating the dual challenges of urbanization and climate resilience. Full article

The Hubei section of the Yangtze River Economic Belt (YREB) has an important strategic position as the core zone of the central part of the YREB, and the advantages and disadvantages of its ecological environment are closely related to the development quality of the whole YREB. Moreover, the systematic assessment of ecological vulnerability is of great significance to regional ecological environmental protection, the rational exploitation and utilization of resources, and sustainable development. Based on the pressure–state–response–management model, this study analyzes the spatial and temporal evolution characteristics of the ecological vulnerability of the Hubei section of the YREB and its influencing factors using G1–CRITIC–game theory combination weighting, the Theil index, and the Ridge regression model. The results show that from 2010 to 2023, the area was characterized by medium ecological vulnerability, with an average area share of 58.2%; the degree of vulnerability rose and then fell; the ecological environment gradually improved; and there was an overall spatial distribution pattern of high in the central part and low in the east and west. On the trend of vulnerability transformation, 62.2% of the area remained unchanged, 21% of the area shifted to low vulnerability, and 16.8% of the area increased in vulnerability level. The Theil index decreased and then rose, the degree of spatial agglomeration was floating in a “V” shape, and the spatial pattern of vulnerability was essentially the same in the hot- and cold-spot areas. Among the six ecological functional protection zones, the soil preservation function zone exhibited the lowest average ecological vulnerability index (EVI) at 0.371. From 2010 to 2023, the water source conservation function zone demonstrated a significant decline in EVI, while the remaining zones showed a gradual upward trend in EVI. The human disturbance index was the main driver affecting the change in ecological vulnerability, and the pressure layer was the key influence criterion layer. This study can provide a reasonable evaluation model and analytical framework for the scientific and objective assessment of ecological vulnerability. Full article

Assessing URI and its driving mechanisms can promote urban–rural integration (URI). However, existing research has often underexplored county-scale analyses within national strategic zones in China and has given limited attention to the spatiotemporal impacts of drivers. Focusing on the Yangtze River Economic Belt (YREB) of China, this study examined the spatiotemporal dynamics of county-level URI from 2000 to 2020 and analyzed the spatiotemporal heterogeneity effects of drivers using a geo-detector and the geographically and temporally weighted regression (GTWR) model. The findings reveal the following: (1) The level of URI in the counties of the YREB generally increased over the study period, though social and spatial integration lagged behind economic and environmental integration. (2) URI decreased spatially from east to west, forming high and low levels of spatial agglomeration in the YREB’s urban agglomerations and the provincial fringes in the west, respectively. (3) Economic development, social fixed asset investment, transportation accessibility, and geographical conditions drove the spatiotemporal differentiation of URI in YREB counties. The elevation significantly hindered URI in the eastern region, while URI in the central region was significantly promoted by social fixed asset investment and transportation accessibility, despite the inhibitory effect of the slope. In the western region, economic development played a critical facilitating role, but the slope remained a limiting factor. Tailored strategies are needed for different regions to promote URI. Full article