Search Results (16)

Mathematical modeling is indispensable in oncology for unraveling the interplay between tumor growth, vascular remodeling, and therapeutic resistance. We present a hybrid modeling framework (continuum-discrete) and present its hybrid mathematical formulation as a coupled partial differential equation–agent-based (PDE-ABM) system. It couples reaction–diffusion fields for oxygen, drug, and tumor angiogenic factor (TAF) with discrete vessel agents and stochastic phenotype transitions in tumor cells. Stochastic phenotype switching is handled with an exact Gillespie algorithm (a Monte Carlo method that simulates random phenotype flips and their timing), while moment-closure methods (techniques that approximate higher-order statistical moments to obtain a closed, tractable PDE description) are used to derive mean-field PDE limits that connect microscale randomness to macroscopic dynamics. We provide existence/uniqueness results for the coupled PDE-ABM system, perform numerical analysis of discretization schemes, and derive analytically tractable continuum limits. By linking stochastic microdynamics and deterministic macrodynamics, this hybrid mathematical formulation—i.e., the coupled PDE-ABM system—captures bidirectional feedback between hypoxia-driven angiogenesis and resistance evolution and provides a rigorous foundation for predictive, multiscale oncology models. Full article

By introducing the concept of nanoreaction-based fluctuating mixing entropy, the challenge posed by the smallness of a closed molecular system is addressed through equilibrium statistical–mechanical averaging over fluctuating reaction extent. Based on the canonical partition function, the interplay between the mixing entropy and fluctuations in the reaction extent in nanoscale environments is unraveled while maintaining consistency with macroscopic behavior. The nanosystem size dependence of the mixing entropy, the reaction extent, and a concept termed the “reaction extent entropy” are modeled for the combination reactions $A+B\leftrightarrow 2C$ and the specific case of $H_2+I_2\leftrightarrow 2HI$. A distinct inverse correlation is found between the first two properties, revealing consistency with the nanoconfinement entropic effect on chemical equilibrium (NCECE). To obtain the time dependence of the instantaneous mixing entropy following equilibration, the Stochastic Simulation (Gillespie) Algorithm is employed. In particular, the smallest nanosystems exhibit a step-like behavior that deviates significantly from the smooth mean values and is associated with the discrete probability distribution of the reaction extent. As illustrated further for molecular adsorption and spin polarization, the current approach can be extended beyond nanoreactions to other confined systems with a limited number of species. Full article

We propose a reproducible pipeline of work consisting of the time-driven simulation of discrete logistic growth based on the corresponding master equation, focusing on demographic variation under a carrying capacity limit. The mathematical modeling that leads to the stochastic implementation is presented in a step-by-step fashion to statistically ground the designed simulation. The main parameters of the system, whose settings include extreme values, are varied to analyze the simulation behavior and explore the empirical limits of its applicability, minimizing the distance between the theoretical and observed carrying capacity trough parameter tuning. After such tuning, a single simulation scenario is chosen and compared with the state-of-the-art Gillespie algorithm, which adopts a contrasting event-driven approach. The output analysis of these two strategies and the assessment of their statistical significance highlight the trade-off between adherence to the model and the computational effort of the proposed approach, while shedding light on multiple facets of logistic growth, including discrepancies between continuous and discrete models. Full article

Alzheimer’s disease has been a serious problem for humankind, one without a promising cure for a long time now, and researchers around the world have been working to better understand this disease mathematically, biologically and computationally so that a better cure can be developed and finally humanity can get some relief from this disease. In this study, we try to understand the progression of Alzheimer’s disease by modeling the progression of amyloid-beta aggregation, leading to the formation of filaments using the stochastic method. In a noble approach, we treat the progression of filaments as a random chemical reaction process and apply the Monte Carlo simulation of the kinetics to simulate the progression of filaments of lengths up to 8. By modeling the progression of disease as a progression of filaments and treating this process as a stochastic process, we aim to understand the inherent randomness and complex spatial–temporal features and the convergence of filament propagation process. We also analyze different reaction events and observe the events such as primary as well as secondary elongation, aggregations and fragmentation using different propensities for different possible reactions. We also introduce the random switching of the propensity at random time, which further changes the convergence of the overall dynamics. Our findings show that the stochastic modeling can be utilized to understand the progression of amyloid-beta aggregation, which eventually leads to larger plaques and the development of Alzheimer disease in the patients. This method can be generalized for protein aggregation in any disease, which includes both the primary and secondary aggregation and fragmentation of proteins. Full article

Populations of ecological systems generally have demographic fluctuations due to birth and death processes. At the same time, they are exposed to changing environments. We studied populations composed of two phenotypes of bacteria and analyzed the impact that both types of fluctuations have on the mean time to extinction of the entire population if extinction is the final fate. Our results are based on Gillespie simulations and on the WKB approach applied to classical stochastic systems, here in certain limiting cases. As a function of the frequency of environmental changes, we observe a non-monotonic dependence of the mean time to extinction. Its dependencies on other system parameters are also explored. This allows the control of the mean time to extinction to be as large or as small as possible, depending on whether extinction should be avoided or is desired from the perspective of bacteria or the perspective of hosts to which the bacteria are deleterious. Full article

The elevation of Synthetic Biology from single cells to multicellular simulations would be a significant scale-up. The spatiotemporal behavior of cellular populations has the potential to be prototyped in silico for computer assisted design through ergonomic interfaces. Such a platform would have great practical potential across medicine, industry, research, education and accessible archiving in bioinformatics. Existing Synthetic Biology CAD systems are considered limited regarding population level behavior, and this work explored the in silico challenges posed from biological and computational perspectives. Retaining the connection to Synthetic Biology CAD, an extension of the Infobiotics Workbench Suite was considered, with potential for the integration of genetic regulatory models and/or chemical reaction networks through Next Generation Stochastic Simulator (NGSS) Gillespie algorithms. These were executed using SBML models generated by in-house SBML-Constructor over numerous topologies and benchmarked in association with multicellular simulation layers. Regarding multicellularity, two ground-up multicellular solutions were developed, including the use of Unreal Engine 4 contrasted with CPU multithreading and Blender visualization, resulting in a comparison of real-time versus batch-processed simulations. In conclusion, high-performance computing and client–server architectures could be considered for future works, along with the inclusion of numerous biologically and physically informed features, whilst still pursuing ergonomic solutions. Full article

In this paper, we propose a novel Poisson process generator that uses multiple thermal noise amplifiers (TNAs) as a source of randomness and controls its event rate via a frequency-locked loop (FLL). The increase in the number of TNAs extends the effective bandwidth of amplified thermal noise and hence enhances the maximum event rate the proposed architecture can generate. Verilog-A simulation of the proposed Poisson process generator shows that its maximum event rate can be increased by a factor of 26.5 when the number of TNAs increases from 1 to 10. In order to realize parallel stochastic simulations of the biochemical reaction network, we present a fundamental reaction building block with continuous-time multiplication and addition using an AND gate and a 1-bit current-steering digital-to-analog converter, respectively. Stochastic biochemical reactions consisting of the fundamental reaction building blocks are simulated in Verilog-A, demonstrating that the simulation results are consistent with those of conventional Gillespie algorithm. An increase in the number of TNAs to accelerate the Poisson events and the use of digital AND gates for robust reaction rate calculations allow for faster and more accurate stochastic simulations of biochemical reactions than previous parallel stochastic simulators. Full article

Transposons are genomic elements that can relocate within a host genome using a ‘cut’- or ‘copy-and-paste’ mechanism. They make up a significant part of many genomes, serve as a driving force for genome evolution, and are linked with Mendelian diseases and cancers. Interactions between two specific retrotransposon types, autonomous (e.g., LINE1/L1) and nonautonomous (e.g., Alu), may lead to fluctuations in the number of these transposons in the genome over multiple cell generations. We developed and examined a simple model of retrotransposon dynamics under conditions where transposon replication machinery competed for cellular resources: namely, free ribosomes and available energy (i.e., ATP molecules). Such competition is likely to occur in stress conditions that a malfunctioning cell may experience as a result of a malignant transformation. The modeling revealed that the number of actively replicating LINE1 and Alu elements in a cell decreases with the increasing competition for resources; however, stochastic effects interfere with this simple trend. We stochastically simulated the transposon dynamics in a cell population and showed that the population splits into pools with drastically different transposon behaviors. The early extinction of active Alu elements resulted in a larger number of LINE1 copies occurring in the first pool, as there was no competition between the two types of transposons in this pool. In the other pool, the competition process remained and the number of L1 copies was kept small. As the level of available resources reached a critical value, both types of dynamics demonstrated an increase in noise levels, and both the period and the amplitude of predator–prey oscillations rose in one of the cell pools. We hypothesized that the presented dynamical effects associated with the impact of the competition for cellular resources inflicted on the dynamics of retrotransposable elements could be used as a characteristic feature to assess a cell state, or to control the transposon activity. Full article

Plants are vital for man and many species. They are sources of food, medicine, fiber for clothes and materials for shelter. They are a fundamental part of a healthy environment. However, plants are subject to virus diseases. In plants most of the virus propagation is done by a vector. The traditional way of controlling the insects is to use insecticides that have a negative effect on the environment. A more environmentally friendly way to control the insects is to use predators that will prey on the vector, such as birds or bats. In this paper we modify a plant-virus propagation model with delays. The model is written using delay differential equations. However, it can also be expressed in terms of biochemical reactions, which is more realistic for small populations. Since there are always variations in the populations, errors in the measured values and uncertainties, we use two methods to introduce randomness: stochastic differential equations and the Gillespie algorithm. We present numerical simulations. The Gillespie method produces good results for plant-virus population models. Full article

Many methods have been used to model epidemic spreading. They include ordinary differential equation systems for globally homogeneous environments and partial differential equation systems to take into account spatial localisation and inhomogeneity. Stochastic differential equations systems have been used to model the inherent stochasticity of epidemic spreading processes. In our case study, we wanted to model the numbers of individuals in different states of the disease, and their locations in the country. Among the many existing methods we used our own variant of the well known Gillespie stochastic algorithm, along with the sub-volumes method to take into account the spatial localisation. Our algorithm allows us to easily switch from stochastic discrete simulation to continuous deterministic resolution using mean values. We applied our approaches on the study of the Covid-19 epidemic in France. The stochastic discrete version of Pandæsim showed very good correlations between the simulation results and the statistics gathered from hospitals, both on day by day and on global numbers, including the effects of the lockdown. Moreover, we have highlighted interesting differences in behaviour between the continuous and discrete methods that may arise in some particular conditions. Full article

A pathogen can infect multiple hosts. For example, zoonotic diseases like rabies often colonize both humans and animals. Meanwhile, a single host can sometimes be infected with many pathogens, such as malaria and meningitis. Therefore, we studied two susceptible classes $S_1(t)$ and $S_2(t)$ , each of which can be infected when interacting with two different infectious groups $I_1(t)$ and $I_2(t)$ . The stochastic models were formulated through the continuous time Markov chain (CTMC) along with their deterministic analogues. The statistics for the developed model were studied using the multi-type branching process. Since each epidemic class was assumed to transmit only its own type of pathogen, two reproduction numbers were obtained, in addition to the probability-generating functions of offspring. Thus, these, together with the mean number of infections, were used to estimate the probability of extinction. The initial population of infectious classes can influence their probability of extinction. Understanding the disease extinctions and outbreaks could result in rapid intervention by the management for effective control measures. Full article

Bacterial heteroresistance (i.e., the co-existence of several subpopulations with different antibiotic susceptibilities) can delay the clearance of bacteria even with long antibiotic exposure. Some proposed mechanisms have been successfully described with mathematical models of drug-target binding where the mechanism’s downstream of drug-target binding are not explicitly modeled and subsumed in an empirical function, connecting target occupancy to antibiotic action. However, with current approaches it is difficult to model mechanisms that involve multi-step reactions that lead to bacterial killing. Here, we have a dual aim: first, to establish pharmacodynamic models that include multi-step reaction pathways, and second, to model heteroresistance and investigate which molecular heterogeneities can lead to delayed bacterial killing. We show that simulations based on Gillespie algorithms, which have been employed to model reaction kinetics for decades, can be useful tools to model antibiotic action via multi-step reactions. We highlight the strengths and weaknesses of current models and Gillespie simulations. Finally, we show that in our models, slight normally distributed variances in the rates of any event leading to bacterial death can (depending on parameter choices) lead to delayed bacterial killing (i.e., heteroresistance). This means that a slowly declining residual bacterial population due to heteroresistance is most likely the default scenario and should be taken into account when planning treatment length. Full article

The time evolution of stochastic reaction networks can be modeled with the chemical master equation of the probability distribution. Alternatively, the numerical problem can be reformulated in terms of probability moment equations. Herein we present a new alternative method for numerically solving the time evolution of stochastic reaction networks. Based on the assumption that the entropy of the reaction network is maximum, Lagrange multipliers are introduced. The proposed method derives equations that model the time derivatives of these Lagrange multipliers. We present detailed steps to transform moment equations to Lagrange multiplier equations. In order to demonstrate the method, we present examples of non-linear stochastic reaction networks of varying degrees of complexity, including multistable and oscillatory systems. We find that the new approach is as accurate and significantly more efficient than Gillespie’s original exact algorithm for systems with small number of interacting species. This work is a step towards solving stochastic reaction networks accurately and efficiently. Full article

Stochastic simulation has been widely used to model the dynamics of biochemical reaction networks. Several algorithms have been proposed that are exact solutions of the chemical master equation, following the work of Gillespie. These stochastic simulation approaches can be broadly classified into two categories: network-based and -free simulation. The network-based approach requires that the full network of reactions be established at the start, while the network-free approach is based on reaction rules that encode classes of reactions, and by applying rule transformations, it generates reaction events as they are needed without ever having to derive the entire network. In this study, we compare the efficiency and limitations of several available implementations of these two approaches. The results allow for an informed selection of the implementation and methodology for specific biochemical modeling applications. Full article

Upon infection of a new host, human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) replicates in the mucosal tissues and is generally undetectable in circulation for 1–2 weeks post-infection. Several interventions against HIV including vaccines and antiretroviral prophylaxis target virus replication at this earliest stage of infection. Mathematical models have been used to understand how HIV spreads from mucosal tissues systemically and what impact vaccination and/or antiretroviral prophylaxis has on viral eradication. Because predictions of such models have been rarely compared to experimental data, it remains unclear which processes included in these models are critical for predicting early HIV dynamics. Here we modified the “standard” mathematical model of HIV infection to include two populations of infected cells: cells that are actively producing the virus and cells that are transitioning into virus production mode. We evaluated the effects of several poorly known parameters on infection outcomes in this model and compared model predictions to experimental data on infection of non-human primates with variable doses of simian immunodifficiency virus (SIV). First, we found that the mode of virus production by infected cells (budding vs. bursting) has a minimal impact on the early virus dynamics for a wide range of model parameters, as long as the parameters are constrained to provide the observed rate of SIV load increase in the blood of infected animals. Interestingly and in contrast with previous results, we found that the bursting mode of virus production generally results in a higher probability of viral extinction than the budding mode of virus production. Second, this mathematical model was not able to accurately describe the change in experimentally determined probability of host infection with increasing viral doses. Third and finally, the model was also unable to accurately explain the decline in the time to virus detection with increasing viral dose. These results suggest that, in order to appropriately model early HIV/SIV dynamics, additional factors must be considered in the model development. These may include variability in monkey susceptibility to infection, within-host competition between different viruses for target cells at the initial site of virus replication in the mucosa, innate immune response, and possibly the inclusion of several different tissue compartments. The sobering news is that while an increase in model complexity is needed to explain the available experimental data, testing and rejection of more complex models may require more quantitative data than is currently available. Full article