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Keywords = spatiotemporal deformation

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41 pages, 11576 KB  
Article
Revealing Spatiotemporal Deformation Patterns Through Time-Dependent Clustering of GNSS Data in the Japanese Islands
by Yurii Gabsatarov, Irina Vladimirova, Dmitrii Ignatev and Nadezhda Shcheveva
Algorithms 2026, 19(1), 13; https://doi.org/10.3390/a19010013 - 23 Dec 2025
Viewed by 52
Abstract
Understanding the spatial and temporal structure of crustal deformation is essential for identifying tectonic blocks, assessing seismic hazard, and detecting precursory deformation associated with major megathrust earthquakes. In this study, we analyze twenty years of continuous GNSS observations from the Japanese Islands to [...] Read more.
Understanding the spatial and temporal structure of crustal deformation is essential for identifying tectonic blocks, assessing seismic hazard, and detecting precursory deformation associated with major megathrust earthquakes. In this study, we analyze twenty years of continuous GNSS observations from the Japanese Islands to identify coherent deformation domains and anomalous regions using an integrated time-dependent clustering framework. The workflow combines six machine learning algorithms (Hierarchical Agglomerative Clustering, K-means, Gaussian Mixture Models, Spectral Clustering, HDBSCAN and consensus clustering) and constructs a set of deformation-related features including steady-state velocities, strain rates, co-seismic and post-seismic displacements, and spatial distance metrics. Optimal cluster numbers are determined by validity metrics, and the most robust segmentation is obtained using a consensus approach. The resulting spatiotemporal domains reveal clear segmentation associated with major geological structures such as the Fossa Magna graben, the Median Tectonic Line, and deformation belts related to Pacific Plate subduction. The method also highlights deformation patterns potentially associated with the preparation stages of megathrust earthquakes. Our results demonstrate that machine learning-based clustering of long-term GNSS time series provides a powerful data-driven tool for quantifying deformation heterogeneity and improving the understanding of active geodynamic processes in subduction zones. Full article
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22 pages, 3023 KB  
Article
Enhancing Continuous Sign Language Recognition via Spatio-Temporal Multi-Scale Deformable Correlation
by Yihan Jiang, Degang Yang and Chen Chen
Appl. Sci. 2026, 16(1), 124; https://doi.org/10.3390/app16010124 - 22 Dec 2025
Viewed by 59
Abstract
Deep learning-based sign language recognition plays a pivotal role in facilitating communication for the deaf community. Current approaches, while effective, often introduce redundant information and incur excessive computational overhead through global feature interactions. To address these limitations, this paper introduces a Deformable Correlation [...] Read more.
Deep learning-based sign language recognition plays a pivotal role in facilitating communication for the deaf community. Current approaches, while effective, often introduce redundant information and incur excessive computational overhead through global feature interactions. To address these limitations, this paper introduces a Deformable Correlation Network (DCA) designed for efficient temporal modeling in continuous sign language recognition. The DCA integrates a Deformable Correlation (DC) module that leverages spatio-temporal driven offsets to adjust the sampling range adaptively, thereby minimizing interference. Additionally, a multi-scale local sampling strategy, guided by motion prior, enhances temporal modeling capability while reducing computational costs. Furthermore, an attention-based Correlation Matrix Filter (CMF) is proposed to suppress interference elements by accounting for feature motion patterns. A long-term temporal enhancement module, based on spatial aggregation, efficiently leverages global temporal information to model the performer’s holistic limb motion trajectories. Extensive experiments on three benchmark datasets demonstrate significant performance improvements, with a reduction in Word Error Rate (WER) of up to 7.0% on the CE-CSL dataset, showcasing the superiority and competitive advantage of the proposed DCA algorithm. Full article
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24 pages, 3754 KB  
Article
Measured Spatiotemporal Development and Environmental Implications of Ground Settlement and Carbon Emissions Induced by Sequential Twin-Tunnel Shield Excavation
by Xin Zhou, Haosen Chen, Yijun Zhou, Lei Hou, Jianhong Wang and Sang Du
Buildings 2026, 16(1), 25; https://doi.org/10.3390/buildings16010025 - 20 Dec 2025
Viewed by 178
Abstract
Sequential twin-tunnel excavation has become increasingly common as urban rail networks expand, making both deformation control and construction-phase carbon management essential for sustainable underground development. This study investigates the spatiotemporal development of ground settlement induced by parallel Earth Pressure Balance shield tunnelling in [...] Read more.
Sequential twin-tunnel excavation has become increasingly common as urban rail networks expand, making both deformation control and construction-phase carbon management essential for sustainable underground development. This study investigates the spatiotemporal development of ground settlement induced by parallel Earth Pressure Balance shield tunnelling in a twin-tunnel section of the Hangzhou Metro, based on long-term field monitoring. The settlement process is divided into three stages—immediate construction settlement, time-dependent additional settlement, and long-term consolidation—each associated with distinct levels of energy input, grouting demand, and embodied-carbon release. Peck’s Gaussian function is used to model transverse settlement troughs, and Gaussian superposition is applied to separate the contributions of the leading and trailing tunnels. The results indicate that the trailing shield induces ahead-of-face settlement at approximately two excavation diameters and produces a deeper–narrower settlement trough due to cumulative disturbance within the overlapping interaction zone. A ratio-type indicator, the Twin-Tunnel Interaction Ratio (TIR), is proposed to quantify disturbance intensity and reveal its environmental implications. High TIR values correspond to amplified ground response, prolonged stabilization, repeated compensation grouting, and increased embodied carbon during construction. Reducing effective TIR through coordinated optimization of shield attitude, face pressure, and grouting parameters can improve both deformation control and carbon efficiency. The proposed framework links geotechnical behaviour with environmental performance and provides a practical basis for risk-controlled, energy-efficient, and low-carbon management of sequential shield tunnelling. Full article
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19 pages, 7820 KB  
Article
High-Efficiency Cryopreservation of Silver Pomfret Sperm: Protocol Development and Cryodamage Assessment
by Man Zhang, Yijun Jiang, Yubei Qiu, Zukang Feng, Xianglong Chen, Chongyang Wang, Yuanbo Li, Qinqin Dai, Jiabao Hu, Xiaojun Yan and Yajun Wang
Animals 2025, 15(24), 3602; https://doi.org/10.3390/ani15243602 - 15 Dec 2025
Viewed by 157
Abstract
The silver pomfret (Pampus argenteus), widely distributed across the Indo-West Pacific and prevalent in China’s coastal waters, has experienced significant resource decline due to anthropogenic impacts such as habitat alteration and overfishing, which disrupt its natural reproduction and growth. Cryopreservation technology [...] Read more.
The silver pomfret (Pampus argenteus), widely distributed across the Indo-West Pacific and prevalent in China’s coastal waters, has experienced significant resource decline due to anthropogenic impacts such as habitat alteration and overfishing, which disrupt its natural reproduction and growth. Cryopreservation technology overcomes spatiotemporal constraints by enabling the long-term storage of high-quality sperm for future use. This study optimized cryopreservation protocols for silver pomfret sperm, evaluation key parameters including extenders, cryoprotectants, dilution ratios, cooling heights, and thawing temperatures. Sperm quality was assessed post thaw via enzyme activity assays and electron microscopy. Results demonstrated that modified plaice Ringer solution (MPRS) extender yielded the highest post-thaw motility (95.98 ± 1.59)%. The optimal cryopreservation conditions for silver pomfret sperm were established as follows: MPRS diluent, 20% EG, a 1:6 dilution ratio, a 7 cm cooling height, and a 28 °C thawing temperature. This protocol yielded post-thaw sperm with motility and motion parameters most closely resembling those of fresh sperm. Ultrastructural observations and enzyme activity assays, however, confirmed that cryopreservation induced sublethal damage, including significant reduction in ATPase activity, as well as structural anomalies such as head deformation, membrane damage, and organelle disarray. This work establishes a foundational cryopreservation protocol, providing critical tools for conserving the genetic resources of this declining species and supporting sustainable aquaculture and wild population restoration efforts. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Animal Reproduction)
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28 pages, 16312 KB  
Article
PS-InSAR Monitoring Integrated with a Bayesian-Optimized CNN–LSTM for Predicting Surface Subsidence in Complex Mining Goafs Under a Symmetry Perspective
by Tianlong Su, Linxin Zhang, Xuzhao Yuan, Xiaoquan Li, Xuefeng Li, Xuxing Huang, Zheng Huang and Danhua Zhu
Symmetry 2025, 17(12), 2152; https://doi.org/10.3390/sym17122152 - 14 Dec 2025
Viewed by 258
Abstract
Mine-induced surface subsidence threatens infrastructure and can trigger cascading geohazards, so accurate and computationally efficient monitoring and forecasting are essential for early warning. We integrate Persistent Scatterer InSAR (PS-InSAR) time series with a Bayesian-optimized CNN–LSTM designed for spatiotemporal prediction. The CNN extracts spatial [...] Read more.
Mine-induced surface subsidence threatens infrastructure and can trigger cascading geohazards, so accurate and computationally efficient monitoring and forecasting are essential for early warning. We integrate Persistent Scatterer InSAR (PS-InSAR) time series with a Bayesian-optimized CNN–LSTM designed for spatiotemporal prediction. The CNN extracts spatial deformation patterns, the LSTM models temporal dependence, and Bayesian optimization selects the architecture, training hyperparameters, and the most informative exogenous drivers. Groundwater level and backfilling intensity are encoded as multichannel inputs. Endpoint anchoring with affine calibration aligns the historical series and the forward projections. PS-InSAR indicates a maximum subsidence rate of 85.6 mm yr−1, and the estimates are corroborated against nearby leveling benchmarks and FLAC3D simulations. Cross-site comparisons show acceleration followed by deceleration after backfilling and groundwater recovery, which is consistent with geological engineering conditions. A symmetry-aware preprocessing step exploits axial regularities of the deformation field through mirroring augmentation and documents symmetry-breaking hotspots linked to geological heterogeneity. These choices improve generalization to shifted and oscillatory patterns in both the spatial CNN and the temporal LSTM branches. Short-term forecasts from the BO–CNN–LSTM indicate subsequent stabilization with localized rebound, highlighting its practical value for operational planning and risk mitigation. The framework combines automated hyperparameter search with physically consistent objectives, reduces manual tuning, enhances reproducibility and generalizability, and provides a transferable quantitative workflow for forecasting mine-induced deformation in complex goaf systems. Full article
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22 pages, 6811 KB  
Article
An Integration Framework of Remote Sensing and Social Media for Dynamic Post-Earthquake Impact Assessment
by Zhigang Ren, Tengfei Yang, Guoqing Li, Shengwu Hu, Naixia Mou and Zugang Chen
Appl. Sci. 2025, 15(24), 13125; https://doi.org/10.3390/app152413125 - 13 Dec 2025
Viewed by 255
Abstract
Effective post-disaster management requires continuous and reliable monitoring of the evolving disaster situation. While remote sensing provides objective measurements of ground deformation, social media data offer dynamic insights into public perception and disaster progression. However, integrating these complementary data sources to achieve sustained [...] Read more.
Effective post-disaster management requires continuous and reliable monitoring of the evolving disaster situation. While remote sensing provides objective measurements of ground deformation, social media data offer dynamic insights into public perception and disaster progression. However, integrating these complementary data sources to achieve sustained monitoring of disaster remains a challenge. To address this, we propose a novel framework that combines Sentinel-1 SAR data with Sina Weibo posts to improve dynamic earthquake impact assessment. Physical damage was quantified using D-InSAR-derived deformation. Disaster-related locations were identified using a fine-tuned pre-trained language model, and public sentiment was inferred through prompt-based few-shot learning with a large language model. Spatiotemporal analysis was performed to examine the relationship between sentiment dynamics and varying levels of physical damage, followed by an analysis of topic transitions within regional semantic networks to compare discussion patterns across areas. A case study of the 2023 Jishishan earthquake demonstrates the framework’s capability to continuously track disaster evolution: regions experiencing severe physical damage exhibit clear concentrations of negative sentiment, whereas increases in positive sentiment coincide with areas where rescue operations are effectively underway. These findings indicate that integrating the two data sources improves continuous disaster monitoring and situational awareness, thereby supporting emergency response. Full article
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29 pages, 40548 KB  
Article
InSAR-Based Multi-Source Monitoring and Modeling of Multi-Seam Mining-Induced Deformation and Hazard Chain Evolution in the Loess Gully Region
by Qunjia Zhang, Zhenhua Guo, Meng Wang, Jiacheng Mei, Lei Liu, Tariq Ashraf and Xue Wang
Remote Sens. 2025, 17(24), 3993; https://doi.org/10.3390/rs17243993 - 10 Dec 2025
Viewed by 287
Abstract
In recent years, coal mining has shifted from surface to underground multi-seam and multi-panel operations, leading to enhanced ground deformation and elevated risks of secondary geo-hazards. However, the deformation mechanisms and spatiotemporal evolution of mining-induced ground movement in high-intensity repeated mining areas require [...] Read more.
In recent years, coal mining has shifted from surface to underground multi-seam and multi-panel operations, leading to enhanced ground deformation and elevated risks of secondary geo-hazards. However, the deformation mechanisms and spatiotemporal evolution of mining-induced ground movement in high-intensity repeated mining areas require further investigation. To gain further insight, this study focuses on elucidating the deformation mechanisms and hazard-chain evolution induced by downward multi-seam and multi-panel mining in the Hongyan coal mine, located in the loess gully region. An integrated InSAR-based multi-source monitoring and modeling framework was adopted, systematically combining InSAR, historical satellite imagery, UAV-based surveys, and ground observations with numerical simulations to characterize the spatiotemporal evolution of mining-induced deformation and examine the coupling processes within the hazard chain. The monitoring results show a strong spatiotemporal correlation between mining activities and ground deformation: subsidence basins and temporal variations correspond closely to the mining sequence, and the spatial distribution of fissures aligns with the advancing working faces. The analysis indicates mining-induced stress redistribution and stratum instability are the root causes of subsidence. Subsidence characteristics are affected by topography, mining sequence, and the cumulative impacts of multi-seam mining, leading to stepwise subsidence and subsidence basins. The overlying loess’s topography and characteristics affect the subsidence distribution. The “stress arch” formed in the goaf evolves with the multi-panel mining process, gradually collapsing during continuous mining and leading to stratum instability. Initially spreading stress and preventing rock movement, the upper residual pillars aggravate stratum damage following critical stratum failure. Mining exerts spatiotemporal control over hazard development, with the hazard chain evolving upward from the mining horizon, driven by fissure propagation and subsidence as the core processes, and reinforced by a bottom-up chain reaction and feedback among successive hazards. This study provides scientific insights for the planning and hazard prevention of multi-seam mining in loess gully regions. Full article
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26 pages, 6495 KB  
Article
Shaping Multi-Dimensional Traffic Features for Covert Communication in QUIC Streaming
by Dongfang Zhang, Dongxu Liu, Jianan Huang, Lei Guan and Xiaotian Yin
Mathematics 2025, 13(23), 3879; https://doi.org/10.3390/math13233879 - 3 Dec 2025
Viewed by 466
Abstract
Network covert channels embed secret data into legitimate traffic, but existing methods struggle to balance undetectability, robustness, and throughput. Application-independent channels at lower protocol layers are easily normalized or disrupted by network noise, while application-dependent streaming schemes rely on handcrafted traffic manipulations that [...] Read more.
Network covert channels embed secret data into legitimate traffic, but existing methods struggle to balance undetectability, robustness, and throughput. Application-independent channels at lower protocol layers are easily normalized or disrupted by network noise, while application-dependent streaming schemes rely on handcrafted traffic manipulations that fail to preserve the spatio-temporal dynamics of real encrypted flows and thus remain detectable by modern machine learning (ML)-based classifiers. Meanwhile, with the rapid adoption of HTTP/3, Quick UDP Internet Connections (QUIC) has become the dominant transport for streaming services, offering stable long-lived flows with rich spatio-temporal structure that create new opportunities for constructing resilient covert channels. In this paper, a QUIC streaming-based Covert Channel framework, QuicCC-SMD, is proposed that dynamically Shapes Multi-Dimensional traffic features to identify and exploit redundancy spaces for secret data embedding. QuicCC-SMD models the statistical and temporal dependencies of QUIC flows via Markov chain-based state representations and employs convex optimization to derive an optimal deformation matrix that maps source traffic to legitimate target distributions. Guided by this matrix, a packet-level modulation performs through packet padding, insertion, and delay operations under a periodic online optimization strategy. Evaluations on a real-world HTTP/3 over QUIC (HTTP/3-QUIC) dataset containing 18,000 samples across four video resolutions demonstrate that QuicCC-SMD achieves an average F1 score of 56% at a 1.5% embedding rate, improving detection resistance by at least 7% compared with three representative baselines. Full article
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33 pages, 12224 KB  
Article
Unsupervised Clustering of InSAR Time-Series Deformation in Mandalay Region from 2022 to 2025 Using Dynamic Time Warping and Longest Common Subsequence
by Jingyi Qin, Zhifang Zhao, Dingyi Zhou, Mengfan Yuan, Chaohai Liu, Xiaoyan Wei and Tin Aung Myint
Remote Sens. 2025, 17(23), 3920; https://doi.org/10.3390/rs17233920 - 3 Dec 2025
Viewed by 490
Abstract
Urban land subsidence poses a significant threat in rapidly urbanizing regions, threatening infrastructure integrity and sustainable development. This study focuses on Mandalay, Myanmar, and presents a novel clustering framework—Dynamic Time Warping and Trend-based Longest Common Subsequence with Agglomerative Hierarchical Clustering (DTLCS-AHC)—to classify spatiotemporal [...] Read more.
Urban land subsidence poses a significant threat in rapidly urbanizing regions, threatening infrastructure integrity and sustainable development. This study focuses on Mandalay, Myanmar, and presents a novel clustering framework—Dynamic Time Warping and Trend-based Longest Common Subsequence with Agglomerative Hierarchical Clustering (DTLCS-AHC)—to classify spatiotemporal deformation patterns from Small Baseline Subset (SBAS) Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar (InSAR) time series derived from Sentinel-1A imagery covering January 2022 to March 2025. The method identifies four characteristic deformation regimes: stable uplift, stable subsidence, primary subsidence, and secondary subsidence. Time–frequency analysis employing Empirical Mode Decomposition (EMD) and Discrete Fourier Transform (DFT) reveals seasonal oscillations in stable areas. Notably, a transition from subsidence to uplift was detected in specific areas approximately seven months prior to the Mw 7.7 earthquake, but causal relationships require further validation. This study further establishes correlations between subsidence and both urban expansion and rainfall patterns. A physically informed conceptual model is developed through multi-source data integration, and cross-city validation in Yangon confirms the robustness and generalizability of the approach. This research provides a scalable technical framework for deformation monitoring and risk assessment in tropical, data-scarce urban environments. Full article
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17 pages, 7995 KB  
Article
Dynamic Response of Gradient Composite Rock Masses Under Explosive Plane Waves
by Yuantong Zhang, Xiufeng Zhang, Bingbing Yu, Bo Wang, Bing Zhou and Yang Chen
Processes 2025, 13(12), 3854; https://doi.org/10.3390/pr13123854 - 28 Nov 2025
Viewed by 246
Abstract
This study investigates the dynamic mechanical characteristics of strength-gradient composite rock masses under one-dimensional explosive plane waves by integrating digital image correlation (DIC) and Lagrangian inverse analysis. Using a one-dimensional explosive plane wave generator, high-spatiotemporal resolution displacement and strain data were acquired from [...] Read more.
This study investigates the dynamic mechanical characteristics of strength-gradient composite rock masses under one-dimensional explosive plane waves by integrating digital image correlation (DIC) and Lagrangian inverse analysis. Using a one-dimensional explosive plane wave generator, high-spatiotemporal resolution displacement and strain data were acquired from specimen surfaces via an ultra-high-speed camera and DIC. The study compared the decay patterns of blast stress waves and deformation features of rock under two loading paths (forward and backward gradients) for three explosive charges, and employed Lagrangian inverse analysis to determine the strength-gradient distribution within the composite rock mass. The Lagrange inverse analysis method was employed to derive the constitutive relationship of the strength-gradient composite rock mass. The results indicate that in forward gradient rock masses, stress waves undergo stress jumps at joint surfaces, leading to increased wave amplitudes. In backward gradient rock masses, stress wave attenuation is more pronounced. In forward gradient coarse sandstone, stress attenuation rates are significantly higher than in the other two sandstone types. In backward gradient gray sandstone, attenuation rates are markedly greater than in the other two sandstones. However, under identical charge conditions, coarse sandstone exhibits a higher attenuation coefficient than gray sandstone. This indicates that stress waves decay more rapidly in the immediate vicinity of the explosion and that weaker media exhibit faster decay rates. The findings reveal the propagation patterns of explosive stress waves in layered gradient materials, providing a theoretical basis for engineering blasting in layered rock formations. Full article
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26 pages, 23622 KB  
Article
Comparative Analysis of Tropospheric Correction Methods for Ground Deformation Monitoring over Mining Area with DS-InSAR
by Yajie Meng, Feng Zhao, Yunjia Wang, Liyong Li, Bujun Hu, Xianlong Xu, Rui Wang, Yifei Wei, Kesheng Huang, Ning Chen, Shiying Bu and Lin Zhu
Remote Sens. 2025, 17(23), 3811; https://doi.org/10.3390/rs17233811 - 24 Nov 2025
Viewed by 544
Abstract
In recent years, differential synthetic aperture radar interferometry (DInSAR) has been widely used to monitor ground deformation induced by mineral resource exploitation. Compared with conventional DInSAR, InSAR time series (TS-InSAR) techniques offer significantly improved monitoring accuracy. However, their results still remain strongly influenced [...] Read more.
In recent years, differential synthetic aperture radar interferometry (DInSAR) has been widely used to monitor ground deformation induced by mineral resource exploitation. Compared with conventional DInSAR, InSAR time series (TS-InSAR) techniques offer significantly improved monitoring accuracy. However, their results still remain strongly influenced by atmospheric delays. To address this and discuss the applicability of tropospheric delay correction methods over mining areas, this study applied multiple correction strategies to distributed scatterer InSAR (DS-InSAR), including the Linear, ERA5, GACOS, spatio-temporal filtering method, and their adaptive weighted fusion approach. Meanwhile, an improved Common Scene Stacking (CSS) InSAR tropospheric delay correction method has been proposed. These methods’ performance have been evaluated by the quantitative comparisons of the corrected interferometric phases and by in situ measurements. The results indicated that the adaptive fusion method outperformed any individual model included, where spatio-temporal filtering should be applied with caution, as it may undermine part of the deformation signal. The effectiveness of ERA5 and GACOS is limited due to their resolution mismatch with that of the SAR images. On the other hand, the improved CSS method achieved the best results over the study area, with an average reduction of 32.22% in the RMSE of the interferometric phase, resulting in an RMSE below 8 mm on average and as low as 5 mm over certain areas. Thus, over local mining areas with large-magnitude and ground deformation, the improved CSS outperforms all the other compared methods, where it can effectively mitigate atmospheric delays while preserving the deformation signals. Full article
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28 pages, 99069 KB  
Article
InSAR-Supported Spatiotemporal Evolution and Prediction of Reservoir Bank Landslide Deformation
by Chun Wang, Na Lin, Boyuan Li, Libing Tan, Yujie Xu, Kai Yang, Qingxin Ni, Kai Ding, Bin Wang, Nanjie Li and Ronghua Yang
Appl. Sci. 2025, 15(22), 12092; https://doi.org/10.3390/app152212092 - 14 Nov 2025
Viewed by 513
Abstract
Landslide disasters pose severe threats to mountainous regions, where accurate monitoring and scientific prediction are crucial for early warning and risk mitigation. This study addresses this challenge by focusing on the Outang Landslide, a representative large-scale bank slope in the Three Gorges Reservoir [...] Read more.
Landslide disasters pose severe threats to mountainous regions, where accurate monitoring and scientific prediction are crucial for early warning and risk mitigation. This study addresses this challenge by focusing on the Outang Landslide, a representative large-scale bank slope in the Three Gorges Reservoir area known for its significant deformation responses to rainfall and reservoir-level fluctuations. The landslide’s behavior, characterized by notable hysteresis and nonlinear trends, poses a significant challenge to accurate prediction. To address this, we derived high-precision time-series deformation data by applying atmosphere-corrected Small Baseline Subset Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar (SBAS-InSAR) to Sentinel-1A imagery, with validation from GNSS measurements. A systematic analysis was then conducted to uncover the correlation, hysteresis, and spatial heterogeneity between landslide deformation and key influencing variables (rainfall, water level, temperature). Furthermore, we proposed a Spatio-Temporal Enhanced Convolutional Neural Network (STE-CNN), which innovatively converts influencing variables into grayscale images to enhance spatial feature extraction, thereby improving prediction accuracy. The results indicate that: (1) From June 2022 to March 2024, the landslide showed an overall downward displacement trend, with maximum settlement and uplift rates of −49.34 mm/a and 21.77 mm/a, respectively; (2) Deformation exhibited significant correlation, hysteresis, and spatial variability with environmental factors, with dominant variables shifting across seasons—leading to intensified movement in flood seasons and relative stability in dry seasons; (3) The improved STE-CNN outperforms typical prediction models in forecasting landslide deformation.This study presents an integrated methodology that combines InSAR monitoring, multi-factor mechanistic analysis, and deep learning, offering a reliable solution for landslide early warning and risk management. Full article
(This article belongs to the Topic Remote Sensing and Geological Disasters)
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25 pages, 5830 KB  
Article
Research on Arch Dam Deformation Safety Early Warning Method Based on Effect Separation of Regional Environmental Variables and Knowledge-Driven Approach
by Jianxue Wang, Fei Tong, Zhiwei Gao, Lin Cheng and Shuaiyin Zhao
Water 2025, 17(22), 3217; https://doi.org/10.3390/w17223217 - 11 Nov 2025
Viewed by 425
Abstract
There are significant differences in the deformation patterns of different parts of arch dams, and there is a common situation of periodic data loss. To accurately analyze the deformation behavior of arch dams, this paper proposes a safety warning and anomaly diagnosis method [...] Read more.
There are significant differences in the deformation patterns of different parts of arch dams, and there is a common situation of periodic data loss. To accurately analyze the deformation behavior of arch dams, this paper proposes a safety warning and anomaly diagnosis method for arch dam deformation based on the separation of environmental variable effects in different partitions and a knowledge-driven approach. This method combines various techniques such as an optimized ISODATA clustering method, probabilistic principal component analysis (PPCA), square prediction error (SPE) norm control chart, and contribution chart. By defining data forms and rules, existing engineering specifications and experience are transformed into “knowledge” and applied to the operation and management of arch dams, achieving accurate monitoring of arch dam deformation status and timely diagnosis of outliers. Through monitoring data verification of horizontal displacement in a certain arch dam partition, the results show that this method can accurately identify deformation anomalies in the arch dam and effectively separate the influence of environmental variables and noise interference, providing strong support for the safe operation of the arch dam. Accurate deformation monitoring of arch dams is essential for ensuring structural safety and optimizing operational management. However, conventional early warning indicators and empirical models often fail to capture the spatial heterogeneity of deformation and the complex coupling between environmental variables and structural responses. To overcome these limitations, this study proposes a knowledge-driven safety early warning and anomaly diagnosis model for arch dam deformation, based on spatiotemporal clustering and partitioned environmental variable separation. The method integrates the optimized ISODATA clustering algorithm, probabilistic principal component analysis (PPCA), squared prediction error (SPE) control chart, and contribution chart to establish a comprehensive monitoring framework. The optimized ISODATA identifies deformation zones with similar mechanical behavior, PPCA separates environmental influences such as temperature and reservoir level from structural responses, and the SPE and contribution charts quantify abnormal variations and locate potential risk regions. Application of the proposed method to long-term deformation monitoring data demonstrates that the PPCA-based framework effectively separates environmental effects, improves the interpretability of zoned deformation characteristics, and enhances the accuracy and reliability of anomaly identification compared with conventional approaches. These findings indicate that the proposed knowledge-driven model provides a robust and interpretable framework for precise deformation safety evaluation of arch dams. Full article
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18 pages, 16502 KB  
Article
Settlement and Deformation Characteristics of Grouting-Filled Goaf Areas Using Integrated InSAR Technologies
by Xingli Li, Huayang Dai, Fengming Li, Haolei Zhang and Jun Fang
Sustainability 2025, 17(22), 10015; https://doi.org/10.3390/su172210015 - 10 Nov 2025
Viewed by 443
Abstract
Subsidence over abandoned goaves is a primary trigger for secondary geological hazards such as surface collapse, landslides, and cracking. This threatens safe mining operations, impairs regional economic progress, and endangers local inhabitants and their assets. At present, goaf areas are mainly treated through [...] Read more.
Subsidence over abandoned goaves is a primary trigger for secondary geological hazards such as surface collapse, landslides, and cracking. This threatens safe mining operations, impairs regional economic progress, and endangers local inhabitants and their assets. At present, goaf areas are mainly treated through grouting. However, owing to the deficiencies of traditional deformation monitoring methods (e.g., leveling and GPS), including their slow speed, high cost, and limited data accuracy influenced by the number of monitoring points, the surface deformation features of goaf zones treated with grouting cannot be obtained in a timely fashion. Therefore, this study proposes a method to analyze the spatio-temporal patterns of surface deformation in grout-filled goaves based on the fusion of Multi-temporal InSAR technologies, leveraging the complementary advantages of D-InSAR, PS-InSAR, and SBAS-InSAR techniques. An investigation was conducted in a coal mine located in Shandong Province, China, utilizing an integrated suite of C-band satellite data. This dataset included 39 scenes from the RadarSAT-2 and 40 scenes from the Sentinel missions, acquired between September 2019 and September 2022. Key results reveal a significant reduction in surface deformation rates following grouting operations: pre-grouting deformation reached up to −98 mm/a (subsidence) and +134 mm/a (uplift), which decreased to −11.2 mm/a and +18.7 mm/a during grouting, and further stabilized to −10.0 mm/a and +16.0 mm/a post-grouting. Time-series analysis of cumulative deformation and typical coherent points confirmed that grouting effectively mitigated residual subsidence and induced localized uplift due to soil compaction and fracture expansion. The comparison with the leveling measurement data shows that the accuracy of this method meets the requirements, confirming the method’s efficacy in capturing the actual ground dynamics during grouting. It provides a scientific basis for the safe expansion of mining cities and the safe reuse of land resources. Full article
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23 pages, 3886 KB  
Article
Multi-Step Sky Image Prediction Using Cluster-Specific Convolutional Neural Networks for Solar Forecasting Applications
by Stylianos P. Schizas, Markos A. Kousounadis-Knousen, Francky Catthoor and Pavlos S. Georgilakis
Energies 2025, 18(21), 5860; https://doi.org/10.3390/en18215860 - 6 Nov 2025
Viewed by 430
Abstract
Effective integration of photovoltaic (PV) systems into electric power grids presents significant challenges due to the inherent variability in solar energy. Therefore, accurate PV power forecasting in various timescales is critical for the reliable operation of modern electric power systems. For short-term horizons, [...] Read more.
Effective integration of photovoltaic (PV) systems into electric power grids presents significant challenges due to the inherent variability in solar energy. Therefore, accurate PV power forecasting in various timescales is critical for the reliable operation of modern electric power systems. For short-term horizons, the primary source of solar power stochasticity is cloud movement and deformation, which are typically captured at high spatiotemporal resolutions using ground-based sky images. In this paper, we propose a novel multi-step sky image prediction framework for improved cloud tracking, which can be deployed for short-term PV power forecasting. The proposed method is based on deep learning, but instead of being purely data-driven, we propose a hybrid approach where we combine Auto-Encoder-like Convolutional Neural Networks (AE-like CNNs) with physics-informed sky image clustering to enhance robustness towards fast-varying sky conditions and effectively model non-linearities without adding to the computational overhead. The proposed method is compared against several state-of-the-art approaches using a real-world case study comprising minutely sky images. The experimental results show improvements of up to 17.97% on structural similarity and 62.14% on mean squared error, compared to persistence. These findings demonstrate that by combining effective physics-informed preprocessing with deep learning, multi-step ahead sky image forecasting can be reliably achieved even at low temporal resolutions. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Challenges and Progresses of Electric Power Systems)
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