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Search Results (596)

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Keywords = runoff conservation

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24 pages, 4250 KB  
Article
Drivers of Runoff–Sediment Load Nexus Evolution in the Liujiaxia–Heishanxia Reach of the Upper Yellow River: Natural Variability Versus Anthropogenic Interventions
by Zhi Wei, Xueting Wu, Yancong Wu, Caihong Chen, Yu Pang and Jinkui Wu
Water 2026, 18(12), 1490; https://doi.org/10.3390/w18121490 - 17 Jun 2026
Viewed by 136
Abstract
The Liujiaxia–Heishanxia reach is critical for water and sediment regulation in the upper Yellow River, where changes in runoff–sediment relationships greatly affect downstream channel stability and flood safety. Climate change and intensive human activities have substantially altered local hydrological regimes in recent decades. [...] Read more.
The Liujiaxia–Heishanxia reach is critical for water and sediment regulation in the upper Yellow River, where changes in runoff–sediment relationships greatly affect downstream channel stability and flood safety. Climate change and intensive human activities have substantially altered local hydrological regimes in recent decades. Using long-term hydrological records from five stations during 1956–2020, this study applied the Mann–Kendall test, moving t-test, wavelet analysis and XGBoost algorithms to analyze the trends, abrupt changes and periodic features of runoff and sediment load, and quantify the contributions of natural and human drivers. The results show that both runoff and sediment load decreased significantly, with a sharper decline in sediment load. Major abrupt changes occurred in 1969, 1986, 1996 and 2008, and both variables presented a dominant 40-year interdecadal cycle. Human-induced landscape changes became the leading factor driving hydrological variations after 1996. Our findings suggest that future watershed management should combine landscape optimization and climate adaptation to maintain stable runoff-sediment conditions. This work provides scientific references for water resource management and the construction of the Heishanxia Water Conservancy Project. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Water Erosion and Sediment Transport)
18 pages, 1634 KB  
Article
Long-Term Conservation Agriculture Training Improves Maize Yields and Soil Health Knowledge Among Smallholder Farmers in Ghana
by Daniel Fobi and Kurt B. Waldman
Sustainability 2026, 18(12), 6068; https://doi.org/10.3390/su18126068 - 12 Jun 2026
Viewed by 232
Abstract
Environmental degradation caused by unsustainable farming practices has depleted soil resources across sub-Saharan Africa. Conservation agriculture (CA) has been promoted to reverse this damage, yet outcomes remain variable, and the role of long-term training is underexplored. Using propensity score matching with 238 smallholder [...] Read more.
Environmental degradation caused by unsustainable farming practices has depleted soil resources across sub-Saharan Africa. Conservation agriculture (CA) has been promoted to reverse this damage, yet outcomes remain variable, and the role of long-term training is underexplored. Using propensity score matching with 238 smallholder households across five communities in Ghana, we examine the impacts of long-term CA training. Specifically, we assess whether participation in a training program characterized by repeated engagement and follow-up workshops improves yields, farmer knowledge of soil health, and soil indicators (nitrogen and carbon). Farmers receiving long-term CA training did not exhibit significantly better soil chemical metrics. However, they demonstrated significantly more accurate knowledge of soil health (nitrogen, p < 0.001; carbon, p < 0.05), produced a 10.7% higher maize yield (kg/acre) (p < 0.001), and reported fewer soil problems, including fertilizer runoff, top-soil erosion, and waterlogging, compared to conventional farmers (all p < 0.05). We conclude that long-term CA training enhances farmer knowledge and maize yields, suggesting it is a critical intervention for improving productivity and farm management resilience, even where direct improvements in measured soil metrics are not immediately detectable. These findings highlight the need for training programs to emphasize the full suite of CA principles and for evaluation timeframes of 5–10 years to capture soil regeneration. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Sustainable Agriculture)
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27 pages, 6755 KB  
Article
Mechanism and Simulation of Water–Heat–Salt Coupling Process Regulated by Tillage Measures and Straw Return in Cold Black Soil
by Zonglin Mu, Ennan Zheng, Zhijuan Qi and Yangpeng Yan
Agriculture 2026, 16(12), 1300; https://doi.org/10.3390/agriculture16121300 - 12 Jun 2026
Viewed by 232
Abstract
This study investigates the synergistic regulation mechanism of water–heat–salt transport in the black soil of cold regions in Northeast China by combining field monitoring with HYDRUS-2D simulations. Four tillage treatments were evaluated: control group (CK), no-tillage with flat straw mulching (NM), ridge tillage [...] Read more.
This study investigates the synergistic regulation mechanism of water–heat–salt transport in the black soil of cold regions in Northeast China by combining field monitoring with HYDRUS-2D simulations. Four tillage treatments were evaluated: control group (CK), no-tillage with flat straw mulching (NM), ridge tillage with flat straw mulching (RM), and straw return with rotary tillage (RR). Monitoring data indicated that all straw incorporation treatments significantly improved soil moisture retention capacity. Compared with CK, soil water content under RM increased by 63.93% correspondingly; soil salinity in CK was 5.75–13.68% higher than that in straw-amended treatments. In addition, RM exerted a more prominent regulatory effect on soil temperature fluctuations relative to CK. Simulation results reveal that straw incorporation effectively reduces surface runoff, thereby substantially weakening the driving force for upward salt migration. Structural equation modeling (SEM) quantified path coefficients, revealing that straw incorporation optimizes the soil microenvironment. This integrated approach provides a mechanistic basis for black soil conservation in seasonally frozen regions, identifying RM as the optimal management practice to balance water retention and salt inhibition. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Effects of Straw Returning on Soil-Crop Systems)
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34 pages, 20731 KB  
Article
Dual-Track Attribution and Compound-Drought Risk Quantification Under Coupled Climate Change and Land-Use Dynamics: An Integrated SWAT–CMIP6–Budyko–XGBoost/SHAP–C-Vine Copula Framework Applied to a Subtropical Monsoon Basin
by Jing Wang, Tao Liu, Yusu Zhao and Zhenjiang Si
Agriculture 2026, 16(11), 1178; https://doi.org/10.3390/agriculture16111178 - 27 May 2026
Viewed by 264
Abstract
Reliable quantification of compound-drought risk under coupled climate change and land-use dynamics remains a critical challenge. This study employed the Ganjiang River Basin (80,948 km2) as a representative subtropical monsoon catchment, integrating the SWAT hydrological model, CMIP6 multi-model ensembles, the PLUS [...] Read more.
Reliable quantification of compound-drought risk under coupled climate change and land-use dynamics remains a critical challenge. This study employed the Ganjiang River Basin (80,948 km2) as a representative subtropical monsoon catchment, integrating the SWAT hydrological model, CMIP6 multi-model ensembles, the PLUS land-use simulation model, C-vine Copula joint probability analysis, Budyko elasticity attribution, and XGBoost–SHAP decomposition to assess multi-dimensional drought evolution under SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5, and SSP5-8.5 scenarios (2030–2070). The calibrated SWAT model exhibited robust performance (R2 = 0.92/0.90; NSE = 0.92/0.89), while the PLUS model (accuracy = 93.6%) projected progressive forest decline (15–19%) with concomitant cropland expansion under escalating emissions. Drought characteristics extracted via run theory from SPEI, SRI, and SSMI revealed a shift toward high-frequency, short-duration events under SSP1-2.6 and pronounced nonlinear amplification under SSP5-8.5. C-vine Copula analysis demonstrated a fundamental transition from Gaussian to Gumbel dependency structures under SSP5-8.5, with three-dimensional AND probability escalating from 0.44 to 0.70 (+59%). Budyko elasticity attribution identified climatic forcing as the dominant driver of runoff variability (94.7–108.9%), while land-use contributions exhibited scenario-dependent sign reversal: forest conservation under SSP1-2.6 suppressed runoff (−8.9%) through enhanced evapotranspiration, whereas forest degradation under SSP5-8.5 amplified runoff (+2.1%) via diminished water retention. XGBoost–SHAP independently corroborated these findings (climate: 95–97%). These results underscore the dominance of climatic forcing in governing drought variability, highlight forest conservation as a cost-effective nature-based mitigation strategy, and emphasize the necessity of multi-index monitoring frameworks for compound-drought risk management. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Ecosystem, Environment and Climate Change in Agriculture)
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26 pages, 2305 KB  
Article
Unraveling the Drivers of Seasonal Runoff Dynamics in a Data-Scarce West African Basin: Separate and Combined Impacts of Land Use and Climate Change
by Santigie Morlor Conteh, Jianrong Pan, Jie Jiang, Chengguang Lai, Xushu Wu and Zhaoli Wang
Atmosphere 2026, 17(6), 543; https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos17060543 - 24 May 2026
Viewed by 352
Abstract
Environmental changes driven by land use and climate variability profoundly affect basin water balance, yet their separate and combined effects remain poorly understood in data-scarce regions. This study investigates the individual and combined impacts of land use/land cover (LULC) and climate change on [...] Read more.
Environmental changes driven by land use and climate variability profoundly affect basin water balance, yet their separate and combined effects remain poorly understood in data-scarce regions. This study investigates the individual and combined impacts of land use/land cover (LULC) and climate change on seasonal runoff in the Rokel-Seli River Basin (RSRB), Sierra Leone, over two periods (1965–1990 and 1991–2016). Using LULC maps derived from 1988 and 2013 Landsat imagery and the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT), we simulated hydrological responses under four scenario frameworks. The results reveal a marked expansion of urban, bare, and agricultural land at the expense of forest cover. The SWAT model satisfactorily captured streamflow dynamics during calibration and validation. Land use change alone increased wet-season runoff by 6.55% and decreased dry-season runoff by −13.15%, whereas climate change contributed changes of +24.87% and −31.43%, respectively. A double mass curve analysis and Budyko framework further revealed a regime shift toward higher runoff efficiency (runoff coefficient increased from 0.67 to 0.69), indicating a loss of basin retention capacity. Notably, land use change partially masked the full hydrological deficit induced by climate change, acting as a counter-buffering mechanism. This study provides critical evidence for water resource authorities and local stakeholders to develop adaptive land use and water conservation strategies in data-scarce tropical basins, emphasizing the need to consider both climatic and anthropogenic drivers in seasonal water availability assessments. Full article
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27 pages, 4280 KB  
Article
Tracking Toxins: A Pilot Investigation of Cyanotoxins in North-Central Tennessee’s Surface Waters and Wells
by Kristi L. Hill, Andrea C. Jaegge, Devin M. Moore and Thomas D. Byl
Toxins 2026, 18(6), 239; https://doi.org/10.3390/toxins18060239 - 22 May 2026
Viewed by 843
Abstract
Cyanobacterial toxins (cyanotoxins) threaten aquatic ecosystems and human health, yet the factors influencing their production and distribution in freshwater remain unclear. In north-central Tennessee, nutrient-rich runoff from agricultural and urban areas, combined with a karst landscape that supports drinking and recreational water use, [...] Read more.
Cyanobacterial toxins (cyanotoxins) threaten aquatic ecosystems and human health, yet the factors influencing their production and distribution in freshwater remain unclear. In north-central Tennessee, nutrient-rich runoff from agricultural and urban areas, combined with a karst landscape that supports drinking and recreational water use, heightens the need to understand cyanotoxin behavior. To examine cyanotoxin patterns, the U.S. Geological Survey and the Tennessee Department of Environment and Conservation monitored 18 sites, including two wells under the influence of surface water, every two weeks from September 2022 to November 2024. At least one cyanotoxin was detected at all sites, with the highest concentrations in deep reservoirs and lower levels in shallow systems. Most detections occurred during summer and fall, aligning with high temperatures and rapid-onset drought. Statistical analysis indicated that increased specific conductivity and pH raised the likelihood of detecting total microcystin, likely resulting from drought conditions and nutrient-laden runoff. Additionally, dissolved microcystin showed an inverse relationship with Cumberland River water levels, and principal component analysis showed that Secchi depth, chlorophyll a, pH, temperature, and conductivity explained most water quality variability. These results help increase understanding of cyanotoxin distribution and associated water quality conditions during detections to guide future freshwater cyanotoxin monitoring studies. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Detection and Adsorption of Cyanotoxins in Waters)
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19 pages, 5489 KB  
Article
Quantifying the Impacts of Land Use/Cover and Climate Change on Water Conservation in the Source Region of the Yellow River
by Yiming Su, Guoxin Chen, Yiming Li, Haiyue Peng and Qiong Li
Land 2026, 15(5), 876; https://doi.org/10.3390/land15050876 - 19 May 2026
Viewed by 356
Abstract
The Source Region of the Yellow River (YRSR) is a key ecological barrier and a major water supply area, where water conservation is highly sensitive to ongoing climate change (CC) and land use/cover change (LUCC). However, the relative roles of CC and LUCC [...] Read more.
The Source Region of the Yellow River (YRSR) is a key ecological barrier and a major water supply area, where water conservation is highly sensitive to ongoing climate change (CC) and land use/cover change (LUCC). However, the relative roles of CC and LUCC in regulating water conservation remain insufficiently quantified. In this study, we applied the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) to simulate the spatiotemporal dynamics of water conservation in the YRSR and to disentangle the respective contributions of CC and LUCC using a fixing–changing approach, in which one driver is fixed and the other is varied across paired scenarios, followed by projections driven by CMIP6 forcing under SSP2–4.5 and SSP5–8.5. Water conservation showed a pronounced southeast–northwest contrast and increased over 2000–2019 (+4.56 mm/year). Attribution analysis revealed that CC dominated changes in water conservation, whereas LUCC exerted a weak net negative influence. Most increasing regions were precipitation-driven, whereas declining regions were concentrated where evapotranspiration and surface runoff increased concurrently. Under SSP2–4.5, water conservation is projected to continue increasing (+1.16 mm/year). In contrast, under SSP5–8.5, water conservation is projected to slightly decline (−0.26 mm/year). These findings highlight the primary role of climate in regulating water conservation in the YRSR and provide scientific support for adaptive watershed management under a changing climate. Full article
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33 pages, 18619 KB  
Article
Risk-Based Spatial Planning for Resource-Efficient Inspection and Maintenance of Urban Drainage Systems in Arid Regions
by Abdulrahman Alhamar, Husnain Haider, Md. Shafiquzzaman, Sulaiman Ahmed Altami, Majed Alreshoodi and Wael Alattyih
Sustainability 2026, 18(10), 4901; https://doi.org/10.3390/su18104901 - 13 May 2026
Viewed by 409
Abstract
Efficient storm drainage systems (SDSs) play a pivotal role in sustainable urban development. In arid regions, urban SDS often underperform during prolonged dry periods, leaving them inoperable due to sediment buildup and clogging from the intrusion of sprawling waste. Municipalities either rely on [...] Read more.
Efficient storm drainage systems (SDSs) play a pivotal role in sustainable urban development. In arid regions, urban SDS often underperform during prolonged dry periods, leaving them inoperable due to sediment buildup and clogging from the intrusion of sprawling waste. Municipalities either rely on emergency response to flooding complaints or inspect storm sewers individually to handle flash floods and conserve high-value rainwater. The present study developed a risk-based decision-analysis framework for resource-efficient inspection and maintenance (I&M) planning of SDS to prioritize geographically clustered sub-zones. The study applied the framework to a case study of three urban zones with varying population densities and land use distributions in Buraydah, Qassim, Saudi Arabia. The framework integrates fuzzy synthetic evaluation (FSE) to address data limitations and subjective expert knowledge, with geographic information system (GIS)-based spatial analysis to assess three risk factors: likelihood, consequences, and detectability of sewer clogging potential. In addition to traditional likelihood-based evaluation of the susceptibility of smaller sewers to sediment accumulation due to performance anomalies, the consequence analysis augmented the process by considering land-use characteristics, exemplified by commercial areas exhibiting higher socio-economic losses than open spaces that buffer excess runoff. The detectability factor consolidated the decision analysis by incorporating the impacts of past delayed inspections, deep manholes, and scattered construction-related waste on clogging potential. The analysis identified sub-zones with aged sewers, deep manholes, long-awaited inspections, and high population densities, resulting in a high risk. GIS maps showing distinct impacts of the three factors on overall flood risk facilitate municipalities facing unique urban flooding challenges arising from sediment accumulation during long dry periods, followed by short-duration, high-intensity rainfall. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Sustainable Water Management)
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31 pages, 28203 KB  
Article
Response of Agricultural Non-Point Source Pollution in the Beijiang River Basin to Future Land Use/Cover and Climate Change Based on Improved ES-PLUS and SWAT Models
by Yi Wang, Jun Wang, Siyi Zhang, Bin He and Bam Haja Nirina Razafindrabe
Agriculture 2026, 16(10), 1054; https://doi.org/10.3390/agriculture16101054 - 12 May 2026
Viewed by 397
Abstract
The Beijiang River Basin is an important ecological security protection area and water source supply area in Guangdong Province. This study assesses the spatiotemporal distribution characteristics of watershed water quality based on on-site monitoring data and multivariate statistical analysis. The results indicate that [...] Read more.
The Beijiang River Basin is an important ecological security protection area and water source supply area in Guangdong Province. This study assesses the spatiotemporal distribution characteristics of watershed water quality based on on-site monitoring data and multivariate statistical analysis. The results indicate that PO43−P concentrations peak during the flood season, whereas pH, NO3-N, and total nitrogen (TN) reach their highest levels during the autumn normal-flow period. Spatially, water quality follows a gradient of upstream > downstream > midstream, with the midstream region identified as the primary zone of water quality degradation. Future non-point source (NPS) pollution characteristics in the Beijiang River Basin are influenced by land use/cover change (LUCC) and climate change, showing significant variation across Shared Socioeconomic Pathway (SSP) scenarios. Under SSP126, precipitation increases at the slowest rate, with a peak annual value of 1599.77 mm during 2031–2040 and an average basin temperature of 19.61 °C. In contrast, SSP245 exhibits a marked increase in precipitation, reaching 1802.92 mm by 2061–2070. Under SSP585, annual precipitation rises to 2200.04 mm, with temperatures approximately 0.5 °C higher than those under SSP126. Simulations based on the improved ESP-PLUS model indicate that, under the natural development scenario (NDS), expansion of construction land increases urban runoff pollution by 32.97%. Under the economic development scenario (EDS), 1023 km2 of ecological land is lost, significantly weakening pollution interception capacity, while construction land increases by 26.01%. In contrast, the coordinated development scenario (CDS) reduces ecological land loss by more than 60% compared to EDS through balanced development and conservation, thereby maintaining the basin’s pollutant purification function. Overall, future nitrogen and phosphorus loads in the watershed are projected to first decrease and then increase. Accordingly, differentiated management strategies are recommended, emphasizing the coordinated development of economic growth and ecological protection, and providing a scientific basis for controlling NPS pollution under changing climatic conditions. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Ecosystem, Environment and Climate Change in Agriculture)
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24 pages, 944 KB  
Review
Polycyclic Aromatic Hydrocarbons Through the One Health Lens: Integrating Human, Animal, and Environmental Health Perspectives
by Jose L. Domingo, Marília Cristina Oliveira Souza and Fernando Barbosa
Toxics 2026, 14(5), 417; https://doi.org/10.3390/toxics14050417 - 11 May 2026
Viewed by 1124
Abstract
Polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs) are ubiquitous combustion-derived contaminants that represent a significant cross-cutting threat to human, animal, and environmental health. Viewed through an explicit One Health lens, this review shows how the shared combustion sources, evolutionarily conserved toxicological mechanisms, and food-web linkages connecting [...] Read more.
Polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs) are ubiquitous combustion-derived contaminants that represent a significant cross-cutting threat to human, animal, and environmental health. Viewed through an explicit One Health lens, this review shows how the shared combustion sources, evolutionarily conserved toxicological mechanisms, and food-web linkages connecting environmental contamination to wildlife and human exposure justify an integrated, cross-domain approach to PAH risk assessment and management. PAHs are generated predominantly through incomplete combustion of organic materials and are globally distributed through atmospheric transport, aquatic runoff, and food-web transfer, persisting in soils and sediments for decades. The present review synthesizes current knowledge on PAHs through an explicit One Health lens, examining shared sources, environmental fate, and convergent health effects across species and health domains, while also highlighting the need to move beyond the classical US EPA priority PAHs to include high-molecular-weight PAHs (>302 Da), alkylated homologues, and transformation products such as oxy- and nitro-PAHs. Common pathways such as dietary intake of grilled and smoked foods, inhalation of contaminated air, and occupational exposure create parallel toxicological burdens in both human and wildlife populations, particularly through genotoxic mechanisms mediated by aryl hydrocarbon receptor (AhR) activation and CYP1A1/CYP1B1-catalyzed bioactivation to reactive diol epoxides. The resulting DNA adduct formation links environmental PAH exposure to carcinogenicity, reproductive toxicity, immunosuppression, and developmental impairment across vertebrate species with remarkable mechanistic consistency. Wildlife, especially fish, marine mammals, and seabirds, serve as critical sentinels for environmental PAH contamination, while simultaneously facing direct health impacts on immune function, reproduction, and population viability. Vulnerable human populations, including children, subsistence communities, occupational workers, and residents near combustion-intensive industries, bear disproportionate burdens reflecting underlying environmental justice concerns. Integrated intervention strategies encompassing source control, dietary exposure reduction, site remediation, and coordinated biomonitoring are urgently needed. By incorporating emerging PAH classes with distinct persistence, trophic behavior, and toxicological potency, the One Health paradigm provides a more comprehensive conceptual framework for modern environmental surveillance, food safety, and integrated risk assessment, recognizing that the health of terrestrial and aquatic ecosystems is inseparable from that of the animals and humans within them. Full article
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18 pages, 12564 KB  
Article
Key Characteristics of the Ecological and Geodynamic Conditions in Southern Karakalpak Ustyurt of Uzbekistan
by Mirabbos M. Zakirov, Golib E. Ochilov, Karamatdin M. Djaksimuratov, Alim O. Asamatdinov and Daniel Snow
Land 2026, 15(5), 782; https://doi.org/10.3390/land15050782 - 6 May 2026
Viewed by 396
Abstract
This article addresses a pressing issue—the study of ecological and geodynamic conditions in the southern part of the Uzbekistan Republic of Karakalpakstan Ustyurt plateau. The article synthesizes and systematizes the findings from both archival and personal research on the current state of ecological [...] Read more.
This article addresses a pressing issue—the study of ecological and geodynamic conditions in the southern part of the Uzbekistan Republic of Karakalpakstan Ustyurt plateau. The article synthesizes and systematizes the findings from both archival and personal research on the current state of ecological and geodynamic conditions. A schematic map of ecological–geodynamic conditions has been developed to assess the manifestation of various processes and their impact on the region’s flora and fauna, as well as on engineering and geological conditions relevant to mineral development and human economic activities. The overarching methodology involves system analysis and mapping of the natural-geological environment and geodynamically active zones. The primary criteria for evaluation include the state of the landscape, soil-grounds, and soil-forming rocks. The ecosystem serves as a nutrient base for plants and a fodder base for livestock development. In the Karakalpak Ustyurt, precipitation distribution is uneven, with annual precipitation ranging from 200–220 mm in the central and northern parts to 120–140 mm in the southern part. The Karakalpak Ustyurt presents morphological challenges related to the study of the nature of the relief, surface runoff, and the composition, state, and properties of the soil massif, including its ecological and geodynamic indicators. This study aims to provide a comprehensive understanding of the region’s ecological dynamics, contributing to sustainable development and conservation efforts. Thus, the conducted studies have revealed geodynamic processes associated with both natural geological phenomena and human engineering or economic activities. In principle, ecological geodynamics and engineering geodynamics rely on the same geological information to assess the manifestation of these processes Full article
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23 pages, 28048 KB  
Article
Quantifying the Role of Urban Development and Rainfall Shifts in Dynamic Hydrological Extremes
by Wati Asriningsih Pranoto, Rijal Muhammad Fikri, Doddi Yudianto, Steven Reinaldo Rusli and Obaja Triputera Wijaya
Hydrology 2026, 13(5), 123; https://doi.org/10.3390/hydrology13050123 - 30 Apr 2026
Viewed by 655
Abstract
Urbanization, together with shifts in rainfall patterns, has become an increasingly important driver of hydrological extremes in many rapidly developing tropical regions. In the Cimanceuri River Basin, Tangerang Regency, Indonesia, these processes have intensified over the last decade, raising concerns regarding flood risk. [...] Read more.
Urbanization, together with shifts in rainfall patterns, has become an increasingly important driver of hydrological extremes in many rapidly developing tropical regions. In the Cimanceuri River Basin, Tangerang Regency, Indonesia, these processes have intensified over the last decade, raising concerns regarding flood risk. This study examines the combined influence of urban expansion and rainfall variability on flood dynamics over 2013–2025. Multi temporal land use classification based on Landsat imagery indicates a pronounced growth of impervious surfaces, primarily driven by rapid urban development and the conversion of agricultural land. To assess the hydrological consequences of these changes, rainfall–runoff processes and flood inundation were simulated using the Soil Conservation Service Curve Number (SCS–CN) method within a coupled HEC-HMS and HEC-RAS 2D modelling framework. Simulations were performed for multiple temporal conditions and design rainfall scenarios. Model calibration relied on observed flood events recorded in March 2025 in the Mustika Residential Area, Tangerang. The results suggest that urbanization has contributed to measurable increases in both peak discharge and inundation extent. Between 2013 and 2025, impervious surface coverage expanded by approximately 67%, accompanied by a rise in the composite Curve Number from 85.86 to 86.63 and an estimated 5.2% increase in flood extent. Also, the design rainfall increased from 85.01 to 90.95 with an average increase of 7.34%. Comparison between simulated inundation patterns and aerial imagery shows satisfactory agreement, with an average deviation of less than 10%, indicating acceptable model performance. Hydrologic analyses generated two discharge scenarios, consisting of event-based flow from the 5 March 2025 rainfall data and return-period flows derived from design rainfall under different rainfall-shift periods. The rainfall-shift analysis quantified changes in design rainfall and corresponding discharge using progressively updated rainfall records. Together, the results emphasize the combined effects of urban expansion and shifting rainfall patterns on flood dynamics, underscoring the need for adaptive land-use planning and climate-responsive water management in rapidly urbanizing catchments. Full article
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26 pages, 3478 KB  
Article
Optimising Vegetation Buffers for Soil and Water Conservation in Dryland Cropping Systems: A Modelling Framework Integrating Causal and Process-Based Approaches
by Michael Aliyi Ame, Wei Wei and Gadisa Fayera Gemechu
Agriculture 2026, 16(9), 993; https://doi.org/10.3390/agriculture16090993 - 30 Apr 2026
Viewed by 1006
Abstract
Soil erosion and nutrient loss degrade the soil resource base and water quality in dryland agricultural landscapes, yet optimal design of vegetation buffers for soil conservation under intensifying rainfall remains poorly quantified, particularly for nutrient retention. This study is novel in integrating event-scale [...] Read more.
Soil erosion and nutrient loss degrade the soil resource base and water quality in dryland agricultural landscapes, yet optimal design of vegetation buffers for soil conservation under intensifying rainfall remains poorly quantified, particularly for nutrient retention. This study is novel in integrating event-scale rainfall-simulation experiments, Bayesian hierarchical modelling, Causal Forest analysis, and WEPP simulations to quantify how the sequential addition of biocrusts and grasses to shrub buffers shifts density thresholds for runoff, soil loss, and nutrient export across varying rainfall intensities. Experiments were conducted across a continuous shrub-density gradient (0–11,429 plants ha−1) representing three configurations: shrub monoculture, shrub-biocrust, and shrub-biocrust-grass on agricultural hillslopes of the Chinese Loess Plateau. Runoff, soil loss, and exports of total nitrogen (TN) and total phosphorus (TP) were measured. Results demonstrate three main findings. First, multilayer shrub–biocrust–grass buffers exhibited lower soil loss than monocultures. Posterior estimates indicate reductions from approximately 3.8 t ha−1 at moderate monoculture density to below 1.0 t ha−1 at lower planting densities, with 94% of the highest-density intervals reflecting uncertainty in these estimates. Second, Causal Forest analysis reveals a functional separation of controls: rainfall intensity dominates soil loss (88% importance) and runoff (84%), whereas nutrient retention responds more strongly to buffer structure and density management. Third, WEPP simulations across rainfall intensities (50–180 mm h−1) and slopes (10–30%) identify an optimal multilayer buffer density of 3800–5700 plants ha−1, which delivers robust multifunctional benefits with 50–67% lower planting requirements than conventional high-density monocultures. These findings demonstrate that multilayer vegetation buffers enhance soil retention and reduce nitrogen and phosphorus losses from hillslopes, sustaining the soil resource base and protecting water quality in dryland agricultural landscapes. The integrated modelling framework provides transferable, evidence-based density recommendations for climate-resilient soil conservation in similar dryland regions. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Soil Management and Interdisciplinary Approaches to Global Challenges)
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28 pages, 8120 KB  
Article
Optimizing Water Allocation and Simulating Groundwater Overexploitation Control Through a One-Way GWAS–GMS Coupled Framework: A Case Study of the Kuitun River Basin
by Yankun Liu, Mingliang Du, Xiaofei Ma and Longyao Chen
Sustainability 2026, 18(8), 3960; https://doi.org/10.3390/su18083960 - 16 Apr 2026
Viewed by 451
Abstract
The “Golden Triangle” area of the Kuitun River Basin is a typical arid irrigated region where limited surface-water supply and intensive groundwater abstraction have caused persistent groundwater decline and overexploitation. This study developed a one-way semi-loosely coupled GWAS–GMS/MODFLOW framework for allocation optimization, spatial [...] Read more.
The “Golden Triangle” area of the Kuitun River Basin is a typical arid irrigated region where limited surface-water supply and intensive groundwater abstraction have caused persistent groundwater decline and overexploitation. This study developed a one-way semi-loosely coupled GWAS–GMS/MODFLOW framework for allocation optimization, spatial projection, groundwater simulation, and effectiveness evaluation. An improved NSGA-II-S algorithm was used to optimize multi-source water allocation, and the resulting management-unit outputs were projected into MODFLOW source–sink terms using area-weighted transformation and mass conservation. GWAS satisfactorily reproduced monthly runoff at the Jiangjunmiao station, and GMS/MODFLOW reasonably matched observed groundwater heads at six national monitoring wells (R2 = 0.952–0.998; RMSE = 0.15–0.355 m; MAE = 0.12–0.315 m). Three 2030 scenarios were compared: baseline, optimized allocation, and combined pumping restriction with allocation adjustment. Under the baseline scenario, groundwater storage remained in deficit. The optimized allocation scenario expanded the quasi-stable zone (−0.1 to 0.1 m/a), whereas the combined scenario most effectively suppressed severe decline hotspots, reducing the proportion of the −3 to −2 m/a zone from 11.22% to 2.68%. These results indicate that recharge reallocation and pumping restriction play complementary roles in groundwater overexploitation control. The framework provides a quantitative basis for coordinated multi-source water management in arid irrigated basins. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Sustainable Water Management)
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19 pages, 4482 KB  
Review
Impact of Reforestation on Soil Quality with Emphasis on Mediterranean Mountain Habitats: Review and Case Studies
by Jorge Mongil-Manso, Raimundo Jiménez-Ballesta and María del Monte-Maíz
Land 2026, 15(4), 625; https://doi.org/10.3390/land15040625 - 11 Apr 2026
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Abstract
Ecological restoration—whether active or passive—includes forest development, forest rehabilitation, and a range of other activities that contribute to ecosystem services. To provide a formal framework, we hypothesized how does reforestation (through different forestry practices) affect the conservation of soil functionality? That is, how [...] Read more.
Ecological restoration—whether active or passive—includes forest development, forest rehabilitation, and a range of other activities that contribute to ecosystem services. To provide a formal framework, we hypothesized how does reforestation (through different forestry practices) affect the conservation of soil functionality? That is, how does reforestation/afforestation/forest restoration improve soil quality? And, specifically, how do they improve physical properties (such as structural stability, infiltration) and chemical properties (such as acidity, electrical conductivity)? For this purpose, we conducted a bibliometric analysis review of the peer-reviewed scientific literature and research reports of numerous articles in order to compile a large database of forest restoration studies, with an emphasis on the Mediterranean region. The final focus was to obtain conclusions about how it affects soil quality. Overall, our examination confirms that deforestation drives a decline in soil carbon and nitrogen, subsequently impairing microbial activity. Consequently, forest removal frequently leads to accelerated erosion, nutrient depletion, and compaction. In contrast, reforestation acts as a critical intervention, stabilizing soil structure, reestablishing fertility, and enhancing soil quality overall. Additionally, three case studies are synthetically presented concerning the short-, medium-, and long-term results of forest restoration projects carried out mainly in central and northern Spain. These cases corroborate the significant role of forest restoration in the control and enhancement of ecosystem services, particularly in relation to soil improvement, the enhancement of hydrological regulation processes within watersheds (runoff, infiltration, erosion), landscape amelioration, and the socio-economic aspects of rural environments. Ultimately, forest restoration is established as a necessary and essential practice in ecological restoration efforts to counteract the impacts of anthropogenic activities. Full article
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