Search Results (278)

The present study explores the application of RNNs for the prediction and propagation of flood waves along a section of the Bârsa River, Romania, as a fast alternative to classical hydraulic models, aiming to identify new ways to alert the population. Five neural architectures were analyzed as follows: S-RNN, LSTM, GRU, Bi-LSTM, and Bi-GRU. The input data for the neural networks were derived from 2D hydraulic simulations conducted using HEC-RAS software, which provided the necessary training data for the models. It should be mentioned that the input data for the hydraulic model are synthetic hydrographs, derived from the statistical processing of recorded floods. Performance evaluation was based on standard metrics such as NSE, $R^2$ MSE, and RMSE. The results indicate that all studied networks performed well, with NSE and $R^2$ values close to 1, thus validating their capacity to reproduce complex hydrological dynamics. Overall, all models yielded satisfactory results, making them useful tools particularly the GRU and Bi-GRU architectures, which showed the most balanced behavior, delivering low errors and high stability in predicting peak discharge, water level, and flood wave volume. The GRU and Bi-GRU networks yielded the best performance, with RMSE values below 1.45, MAE under 0.3, and volume errors typically under 3%. On the other hand, LSTM architecture exhibited the most significant instability and errors, especially in estimating the flood wave volume, often having errors exceeding 9% in some sections. The study concludes by identifying several limitations, including the heavy reliance on synthetic data and its local applicability, while also proposing solutions for future analyses, such as the integration of real-world data and the expansion of the methodology to diverse river basins thus providing greater significance to RNN models. The final conclusions highlight that RNNs are powerful tools in flood risk management, contributing to the development of fast and efficient early warning systems for extreme hydrological and meteorological events. Full article

Asynchrony between the movement of water and sediment in a reservoir will affect long-term maintenance of the reservoir’s capacity to a certain extent. Based on water and sediment data on the Three Gorges Reservoir (TGR) measured over the years and a river network model, optimization of the dispatching mode of the reservoir’s sand peak process was studied, and the corresponding water and sediment dispatching indicators were provided. The results show that (1) sand peak discharge dispatching of the TGR can be divided roughly into three stages, namely the flood detention period, the sediment transport period, and the sediment discharge period. (2) According to the process of the flood peak and the sand peak, a division method for each period is proposed. (3) A corresponding scheduling index is proposed according to the characteristics of the sand peak process and the needs of flood control scheduling. This research can provide operational indicators for the operation and management of the sediment load in the TGR and also provide technical support for sustainable reservoirs similar to TGR. Full article

Quantifying future changes in extreme events and associated flooding is challenging yet fundamental for stormwater managers. Along the U.S. Atlantic Coast, Eastern North Carolina (ENC) is frequently exposed to catastrophic floods from extreme rainfall that is typically associated with tropical cyclones. This study presents a novel approach that uses rainfall data from five dynamically and statistically downscaled (DD and SD) global climate models under two scenarios to visualize a potential future extent of flooding in ENC. Here, we use DD data (at 36-km grid spacing) to compute future changes in precipitation intensity–duration–frequency (PIDF) curves at the end of the 21st century. These PIDF curves are further applied to observed rainfall from Hurricane Matthew—a landfalling storm that created widespread flooding across ENC in 2016—to project versions of “Matthew 2100” that reflect changes in extreme precipitation under those scenarios. Each Matthew-2100 rainfall distribution was then used in hydrologic models (HEC-HMS and HEC-RAS) to simulate “2100” discharges and flooding extents in the Neuse River Basin (4686 km²) in ENC. The results show that DD datasets better represented historical changes in extreme rainfall than SD datasets. The projected changes in ENC rainfall (up to 112%) exceed values published for the U.S. but do not exceed historical values. The peak discharges for Matthew-2100 could increase by 23–69%, with 0.4–3 m increases in water surface elevation and 8–57% increases in flooded area. The projected increases in flooding would threaten people, ecosystems, agriculture, infrastructure, and the economy throughout ENC. Full article

This study investigates the dynamic response mechanisms of discharge capacity in the Han River Estuary to hydrological process changes at the Yangtze–Han River confluence. By constructing a one-dimensional hydrodynamic model for the 265 km Xinglong–Hankou reach, we quantitatively decouple the synergistic effects of riverbed scouring (mean annual incision rate: 0.12 m) and Three Gorges Dam (TGD) operation through four orthogonal scenarios. Key findings reveal: (1) Riverbed incision dominates discharge variation (annual mean contribution >84%), enhancing flood conveyance efficiency with a peak flow increase of 21.3 m³/s during July–September; (2) TGD regulation exhibits spatiotemporal intermittency, contributing 25–36% during impoundment periods (September–October) by reducing Yangtze backwater effects; (3) Nonlinear interactions between drivers reconfigure flow paths—antagonism occurs at low confluence ratios (R < 0.15, e.g., Cd increases to 45 under TGD but decreases to 8 under incision), while synergy at high ratios (R > 0.25) reduces Hanchuan Station flow by 13.84 m³/s; (4) The 180–265 km confluence-proximal zone is identified as a sensitive area, where coupled drivers amplify water surface gradients to −1.41 × 10⁻³ m/km (2.3× upstream) and velocity increments to 0.0027 m/s. The proposed “Natural/Anthropogenic Dual-Stressor Framework” elucidates estuary discharge mechanisms under intensive human interference, providing critical insights for flood control and trans-basin water resource management in tide-free estuaries globally. Full article

The remote sensing inversion of the Suspended Sediment Concentration (SSC) at the Yellow River estuary is crucial for regional sediment management and the advancement of monitoring techniques for highly turbid waters. Traditional in situ methods and low-resolution imagery are no longer sufficient for high-accuracy studies. Using SSC data from the Longmen Hydrological Station (2019–2020) and Sentinel-2 imagery, multiple models were compared, and the random forest regression model was selected for its superior performance. A non-parametric regression model was developed based on optimal band combinations to estimate the SSC in high-sediment rivers. Results show that the model achieved a high coefficient of determination (R² = 0.94) and met accuracy requirements considering the maximum SSC, MAPE, and RMSE. The B4, B7, B8A, and B9 bands are highly sensitive to high-concentration sediment rivers. SSC exhibited significant seasonal and spatial variation, peaking above 30,000 mg/L in summer (July–September) and dropping below 1000 mg/L in winter, with a positive correlation with discharge. Spatially, the SSC was higher in the gorge section than in the main channel during the flood season and higher near the banks than in the river center during the dry season. Overall, the random forest model outperformed traditional methods in SSC prediction for sediment-laden rivers. Full article

Rainfall–runoff processes and flood propagation were quantified to clarify floodwater dynamics in the upper Tenryu River basin. The basin is characterized by contrasting runoff behaviors between its left- and right-bank subbasins and large upstream river storage created by gorge topography. Radar rainfall and dam inflow data were analyzed to determine the runoff characteristics, on which the rainfall–runoff simulation was based. A higher storage capacity was observed in the left-bank subbasins, while an exceptionally large specific discharge was observed in one of the right-bank subbasins after several hours of intense rainfall. Based on these findings, the basin-scale storage was quantitatively evaluated. Water level peaks in the main channel appeared earlier at downstream locations, indicating that tributary inflows strongly affect the flood peak timing. A two-dimensional unsteady model successfully reproduced this behavior and captured the delay in the flood wave speed due to the complex morphology of the Tenryu River. The average α value, representing the ratio of flood wave speed to flow velocity, was 1.38 over the 70 km study reach. This analysis enabled quantification of river channel storage and clarified its relative relationship to basin storage, showing that river channel storage is approximately 12% of basin storage. Full article

Under the influence of global climate change, water conservancy projects located in the high-latitude cold regions of the world are facing severe challenges. This study addresses the contradiction between water supply stability and ecological flow during the dry season in cold regions. Taking Linhai Reservoir as the core, it integrates the HEC-RAS hydrodynamic model with multi-source data such as basin topography, hydro-meteorological data, and water conservancy project parameters to construct a multi-scenario water supply scheduling model during the dry season. The aim is to provide scientific recommendations for different reservoir operation strategies in response to varying frequencies of upstream inflow, based on simulations conducted after the reservoir’s completion. Taking into account winter runoff reduction characteristics and engineering parameters, we simulated the relationships between water level and flow, ecological flow requirements, and urban water shortages. The results indicate that in both flood and normal years, dynamic coordination of storage and discharge can achieve a daily water supply of 120,000 cubic meters, with 100% compliance for the ecological flow rate. For mild and moderate drought years, additional water diversion becomes necessary to achieve 93.5% and 89% supply reliability, respectively. During severe and extreme droughts, significantly reduced reservoir inflows lower ecological compliance rates, necessitating emergency measures, such as utilizing dead storage capacity and exploring alternative water sources. The study proposes operational strategies tailored to different drought intensities: initiating storage adjustments in September for mild droughts and implementing peak-shifting measures by mid-October for extreme droughts. These approaches enhance storage efficiency and mitigate ice blockage risks. This research supports the water supply security and river ecological health of urban and rural areas in Mudanjiang City and Hailin City and provides a certain scientific reference basis for the multi-objective coordinated operation of reservoirs in the same type of high-latitude cold regions. Full article

To investigate the species composition, reproductive dynamics, and hydrological drivers of fish resources in the early stage in the Guiping section of the Xunjiang River, we conducted a two-year survey (2022–2023) downstream of the Datengxia Dam. A total of 22,464 fish eggs and larvae were collected, representing 6 orders, 17 families, and 67 species, with Cyprinidae (58.2%) as the dominant family. Dominant species included Squaliobarbus curriculus, Gobiidae, Hemiculter leucisculus, and Culter, exhibiting significant interannual variation in abundance. The breeding season peaked from May to September, accounting for 94.6% of annual recruitment. Hydrological conditions strongly influenced reproductive output: the multiple flood pulse periods in 2022 (peak discharge: 29,000 m³/s) yielded 34.997 billion eggs and larvae, whereas reduced flows in 2023 (peak discharge: 12,200 m³/s) led to a 75.4% decline (8.620 billion). Redundancy analysis (RDA) revealed that discharge, water temperature, natural hydrological data, and dissolved oxygen were the primary environmental drivers, explaining 46.11% of variability in larval abundance (p < 0.001). Notably, the proportion of important economic fish, “four major Chinese carps”, plummeted from 4.9% (2022) to less than 0.1% (2023), indicating spawning ground function degradation. Our results demonstrate that flood pulses are essential for sustaining fish recruitment, particularly for pelagic spawning riverine fish like the four major Chinese carps. Their proportion plummeted to less than 0.1% in 2023, highlighting the urgent need for eco-hydrological management in the Xunjiang River. Full article

This study presents a global assessment of the climatological seasonal variability of river discharge into the oceans, based on an expanded dataset comprising 958 gauging stations across 136 countries. Monthly discharges were compiled for 145 major rivers and tributaries, with a focus on improving the accuracy and spatial coverage of global freshwater flux estimates. Compared to previous datasets, this updated compilation includes a broader set of rivers, explicitly integrates tributary inflows, and quantifies both the absolute and relative seasonal amplitudes of discharge variability. The results reveal substantial differences among ocean basins. The Atlantic Ocean, although receiving the highest total runoff, shows relatively weak seasonal variability, with a coefficient of variation of CV = 12.6% due to asynchronous peak discharge from its major rivers (Amazon, Congo, Orinoco). In contrast, the Indian Ocean exhibits the most pronounced seasonal cycle (CV = 88.3%), driven by monsoonal rivers. The Pacific Ocean shows intermediate variability (CV = 62.1%), influenced by a combination of monsoon rains and snowmelt. At the river scale, Orinoco and Changjiang display high seasonal amplitudes, exceeding 89% of their mean flows, whereas more stable regimes are found in equatorial and temperate rivers like the Amazon and Saint Lawrence. In addition, the critical role of tributaries in altering discharge magnitude and seasonal variability is well established. This study provides high-resolution monthly discharge climatologies at global and basin scales, enhancing freshwater forcing in OGCMs. By improving the representation of land–ocean exchanges, it enables more accurate simulations of salinity, circulation, biogeochemical cycles, and climate-sensitive processes in coastal and open-ocean regions. Full article

Nutrients function as essential biological substrates for coastal phytoplankton growth and serve as pivotal indicators in marine environmental monitoring. The intensification of land-based nutrient sources inputs has exacerbated eutrophication in Chinese coastal water, while mechanistic understanding of differential self-purification processes among distinct land-based source nutrients (river source, domestic source, aquaculture source, and industrial source) remains limited, constraining accurate assessment of bay’s self-purification capacity. This study conducted incubation experiments in Tieshan Bay (TSB) during Summer (June 2023) and winter (January 2024), systematically analyzing the self-purification process of nutrients and associated environmental drivers. Distinct source-specific patterns emerged: river inputs exhibited maximal dissolved inorganic nitrogen (DIN) 1.390 ± 0.74 mg/L, whereas industrial discharges showed peak dissolved inorganic phosphorus (DIP) 4.88 ± 1.45 mg/L. Chlorophyll a (Chl-a) concentrations varied markedly across sources, ranging from 34.97 ± 23.37 μg/L (domestic source) to 86.63 ± 77.08 μg/L (river source). First-order kinetics demonstrated significant source differentiation (p < 0.05). River-derived DIN exhibited the highest attenuation coefficient (−0.3244 ± 0.17 d⁻¹), contrasting with industrial-sourced DIP showing maximum depletion (−0.4332 ± 0.20 d⁻¹). Correlation analysis indicated that summer was significantly associated with the impacts of three key control factors pH, dissolved oxygen, and turbidity on nutrient dynamics (p < 0.05), whereas winter exhibited a stronger dependence on salinity. These parameters collectively may modulate microbial degradation pathways and particulate matter adsorption capacities. These findings establish quantitative thresholds for coastal nutrient buffering mechanisms, highlighting the necessity for source-specific eutrophication mitigation frameworks. The differential self-purification efficiencies underscore the importance of calibrating pollution control strategies according to both anthropogenic discharge characteristics and regional hydrochemical resilience, which is of key importance for ensuring the traceability and control of land-based sources of pollution into the sea and the scientific utilization of the self-purification capacity of the bay water body. Full article

In recent years, both anthropogenic and climate changes have caused the depletion of surface water resources, shifts in rainfall and accelerations in temperature, which indicates the importance of their examination to flood forecasting analyses. This paper studies the importance of synchronised water management strategies, considering upstream and downstream dynamics using field data from 1986 to 2018. Seasonal and decadal variations show the need for adaptive management strategies to address potential climate change impacts on discharge, precipitation and temperature patterns in the Zarrinehrud River, Iran. The regression analysis was considered via R² values, and the statistical analysis was regarded by p-values. The regression analysis of monthly river peak discharge indicates strong correlations between the discharge of specific months (September–October upstream, December–January downstream). By the 2000s and 2020s, both stations showed a shift in peak precipitation to the spring months (April–May for upstream and May–June for downstream). This confirms a synchronisation of rainfall trends, which are influenced by climate changes or regional hydrological patterns. This temporal offset between stations confirms the spatial and seasonal variation in rainfall distribution across the basin. Higher temperatures during the dominant months, particularly late summer to early autumn, accelerate snowmelt from upstream catchments. This aligns with the river discharge peaks observed in the hydrograph. The statistical analysis of river peak discharge indicated that the Weibull (p-value = 0.0901) and the Lognormal (p-value = 0.1736) distributions are the best fitted distributions for the upstream and downstream stations, respectively. Full article

This study examined a sediment plume from Australia’s largest river, The River Murray, which was produced during a major flood event in 2022–2023. This flood resulted from successive La Niña events, causing high rainfall across the Murray–Darling Basin and ultimately leading to a significant riverine flow through South Australia. The flood was characterised by a significant increase in riverine discharge rates, reaching a peak of 1305 m³/s through the Lower Lakes barrage system from November 2022 to February 2023. The water quality anomaly within the coastal region (<~150 km offshore) was effectively quantified and mapped utilising the diffuse attenuation coefficient at 490 nm (Kd490) from products derived from MODIS Aqua Ocean Color satellite imagery. The sediment plume expanded and intensified alongside the increased riverine discharge rates, which reached a maximum spatial extent of 13,681 km². The plume typically pooled near the river’s mouth within the northern corner of Long Bay, before migrating persistently westward around the Fleurieu Peninsula through Backstairs Passage into Gulf St Vincent, occasionally exhibiting brief eastward migration periods. The plume gradually subsided by late March 2023, several weeks after riverine discharge rates returned to pre-flood levels, indicating a lag in attenuation. The assessment of the relationship and accuracy between the Kd490 product and the surface-most in situ turbidity, measured using conductivity, temperature, and depth (CTD) casts, revealed a robust positive linear correlation (R² = 0.85) during a period of high riverine discharge, despite temporal and spatial discrepancies between the two datasets. The riverine discharge emerged as an important factor controlling the spatial extent and intensities of the surface sediment plume, while surface winds also exerted an influence, particularly during higher wind velocity events, as part of a broader interplay with other drivers. Full article

Microplastics (MPs), defined as plastic particles smaller than 5 mm, are an emerging global environmental and health concern due to their pervasive presence in aquatic ecosystems. This systematic review synthesizes data on the distribution, shapes, materials, and sizes of MPs in various water sources, including lakes, rivers, seas, tap water, and bottled water, between 2014 and 2024. Results reveal that river water constitutes the largest share of studies on MP pollution (30%), followed by lake water (24%), sea water (19%), bottled water (17%), and tap water (11%), reflecting their critical roles in MP transport and accumulation. Seasonal analysis indicates that MP concentrations peak in the wet season (38%), followed by the dry (32%) and transitional (30%) seasons. Spatially, China leads MP research globally (19%), followed by the USA (7.8%) and India (5.9%). MPs are predominantly composed of polyethylene (PE), polypropylene (PP), and polyethylene terephthalate (PET), with fibers and fragments being the most common shapes. Sub-millimeter MPs (<1 mm) dominate globally, with significant variations driven by anthropogenic activities, industrial discharge, and environmental factors such as rainfall and temperature. The study highlights critical gaps in understanding the long-term ecological and health impacts of MPs, emphasizing the need for standardized methodologies, improved waste management, and innovative mitigation strategies. This review underscores the urgency of addressing microplastic pollution through global collaboration and stricter regulatory measures. Full article

Increasing environmental variability and operational complexity in reservoir systems necessitate advanced optimization frameworks for flood control. This study proposes the ε-constrained Improved Zebra Optimization Algorithm (ε-IZOA), a novel metaheuristic algorithm integrating an enhanced Zebra Optimization Algorithm (ZOA) with adaptive ε-constraint handling, to address multi-reservoir flood control optimization. Three strategic modifications advance the standard ZOA: (1) Bernoulli chaotic mapping for diversified population initialization; (2) adaptive weight balancing for exploration-exploitation trade-off mitigation; and (3) golden sinusoidal vectorization for global search refinement, collectively forming the Improved ZOA (IZOA). The ε-IZOA synergizes IZOA with ε-dominance criteria to dynamically resolve constrained optimization conflicts. Applied to the Yellow River Basin’s five-reservoir cascade, ε-IZOA achieves a 52.97% peak shaving rate at Huayuankou Station, reducing the maximum discharge to 18,745.02 m³/s—a performance surpassing benchmark methods. The algorithm’s success stems from its bio-inspired hybrid architecture, which embeds swarm intelligence principles into nonlinear constraint management. This work establishes ε-IZOA as a computationally robust tool for large-scale reservoir optimization, with implications for mitigating flood risks in climate-sensitive basins. Future research should prioritize its integration with real-time hydrological forecasting systems. Full article

This study explores flood forecasting in the Pa River basin, a major tributary of the Beijiang River in South China, by integrating the Xin’anjiang hydrological model with the Shuffled Complex Evolution-University of Arizona (SCE-UA) algorithm for parameter calibration. Fifteen observed flood events from April to August 2024 were employed in this study, with twelve events used for model calibration and the remaining three for validation. Additionally, to assess model performance under extreme conditions, a 50-year return period flood event from June 2020 was incorporated as a supplementary validation case. The calibrated model reproduced flood hydrographs with high accuracy, achieving Nash–Sutcliffe Efficiency (NSE) values of up to 0.98, relative peak discharge errors generally within ±10%, and peak timing deviations under 3 h. The validation results demonstrated consistent performance across both typical and extreme events, indicating that the proposed framework provides a feasible and physically interpretable approach for flood forecasting in data-limited catchments. Full article