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Keywords = river flow regime

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27 pages, 56245 KB  
Article
Hybrid Deep Learning–Monte Carlo-Based MNDWI Ensemble for Probabilistic Water Extent Mapping Under Dynamic Spectral Flow Conditions in Large Waterbodies
by Kola Yusuff Kareem, Yeonguk Yu, Innkyo Choo and Younghun Jung
Remote Sens. 2026, 18(14), 2412; https://doi.org/10.3390/rs18142412 - 20 Jul 2026
Viewed by 221
Abstract
Reliable surface water extent (SWE) delineation remains challenging in river–reservoir monitoring systems characterized by complex hydrologic variability and spectral uncertainty in land/water transition zones, leading to significant classification errors in large waterbodies. This study developed a probabilistic ensemble technique that integrates deep transfer [...] Read more.
Reliable surface water extent (SWE) delineation remains challenging in river–reservoir monitoring systems characterized by complex hydrologic variability and spectral uncertainty in land/water transition zones, leading to significant classification errors in large waterbodies. This study developed a probabilistic ensemble technique that integrates deep transfer learning (DTL) with 1000 Monte Carlo-based Modified Normalized Difference Water Index (MNDWI) runs to improve water delineation under dynamic flow regimes in the Kanji Reservoir and transboundary Niger River. Six DTL segmentation models with backbones were trained on 1562 7-band Landsat 8/9 surface reflectance using an 80/20 train/validation split. The U-shaped Residual Network (UResNet) recorded the most stable convergence and highest performance and was subsequently coupled with 1000 Monte Carlo–MNDWI runs using a pixel-level maximum positive probability rule for reservoir delineation from 2019 to 2024 and flood event detection under complex confluence conditions. The resulting UResNetMNDWI ensemble achieved the highest classification performance against seven classification techniques across all metrics, with accuracy from 0.92 to 0.99 and false detection rates below 2%. Bootstrap uncertainty analysis of 5000 resamples further confirmed the statistical reliability of ensemble predictions. The model identified key flood hotspots at Mugatare Island and Inugu Settlement, demonstrating strong potential for operational flood monitoring applications. Full article
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23 pages, 2731 KB  
Article
Experimental and Numerical Study of Flow over the Weir–Flume Combination Facility
by Fan Yang, Gang Ling, Jichao Yang, Hui Wang, Yuxiang Ba, Xingjiao Yu, Wene Wang and Xiaotao Hu
Water 2026, 18(14), 1747; https://doi.org/10.3390/w18141747 - 19 Jul 2026
Viewed by 402
Abstract
The weir–flume combination facility is a type of river flow-measurement structure consisting of a flow weir and a Crump weir, designed to integrate flow measurement and upstream backwater regulation, while incorporating a central flume intended to provide a potential passage for aquatic organisms. [...] Read more.
The weir–flume combination facility is a type of river flow-measurement structure consisting of a flow weir and a Crump weir, designed to integrate flow measurement and upstream backwater regulation, while incorporating a central flume intended to provide a potential passage for aquatic organisms. This study proposes a novel combined weir–flume structure and systematically validates its hydraulic performance through integrated physical experimentation and high-fidelity numerical simulation. Laboratory tests across a flow range of 5–79 L/s revealed longitudinal water surface profiles and Froude number (Fr) distributions. The study findings show that: (1) As the flow increases, the flow regime of the combination facility transitions from flume flow to weir flow, with the critical transition point at a relative water depth of 0.885. (2) The RNG k-ε turbulence model in Flow-3D software (v11.2, Flow Science, Inc., Santa Fe, NM, USA) effectively simulates the flow movement in the weir–flume combination facility, with water depth simulation results closely matching the measured values, and the maximum relative error not exceeding 5%. (3) The Fr and flow velocity in the weir–flume combination facility first increase and then decrease along the length, forming a large, thin water layer area downstream of the facility, where both Fr and flow velocity reach their maximum values. (4) Flow measurement formulas for flume flow and weir flow are obtained through data fitting, with relative errors between the calculated values and measured flow rates being less than 3%. The present study focuses on the hydraulic performance and flow measurement capability of the proposed facility. Although the structural configuration is intended to facilitate ecological passage, its ecological effectiveness was not evaluated and requires further investigation in future studies. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Advanced Technology in Agricultural Water-Saving Irrigation)
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20 pages, 3817 KB  
Article
Hydrological Assessment of Run-of-River Hydropower Plants Under Ecological Flow Constraints: The Ambi River Basin Case, Ecuador
by Paul Tafur-Escanta, Kenneth Quilumba-España, Lisbeth N. Jaramillo-Zabala, Oscar Rosales-Enríquez, Lizbeth Barrera-Cifuentes, Bryan X. Medina-Rodríguez and Robert Valencia-Chapi
Water 2026, 18(14), 1687; https://doi.org/10.3390/w18141687 - 13 Jul 2026
Viewed by 490
Abstract
Hydrological variability affects the operational sustainability of run-of-river hydroelectric plants, particularly in Andean basins with marked climatic seasonality. This study evaluated the effective water availability of the Ambi River basin in Ecuador for the La Algodonera and Atuntaqui hydroelectric plants, integrating hydroclimatic analysis, [...] Read more.
Hydrological variability affects the operational sustainability of run-of-river hydroelectric plants, particularly in Andean basins with marked climatic seasonality. This study evaluated the effective water availability of the Ambi River basin in Ecuador for the La Algodonera and Atuntaqui hydroelectric plants, integrating hydroclimatic analysis, water balance, flow duration curves, ecological flow estimation using the Tennant method, and hydrological projections from the LSTM network. The results showed marked seasonality in the hydrological regime and allowed the identification of characteristic values of Q20 = 6.98 m3/s, Q50 = 4.29 m3/s and Q95 = 0.98 m3/s, with Q50 being adopted as the design flow because it represents a reliable average condition for the system. The incorporation of the ecological flow established thresholds of 0.471 m3/s in the dry season and 1.413 m3/s in the rainy season, demonstrating that gross water availability is not equivalent to effective availability for generation. Under current conditions, peak power reached 1.92 MW, and monthly energy production ranged between 1.2 and 1.4 GWh during the months of highest availability. The hydrological projection indicated future flows between 0.9 and 9.60 m3/s, while territorial suitability analysis identified favourable areas for future photovoltaic integration, broadening system planning under an integrated water–energy perspective. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Water Resources Management, Policy and Governance)
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20 pages, 2399 KB  
Article
A Proactive and Generalizable Framework for Urban Water Resilience in Semi-Arid Basins: Integrating Predictive Hydrology with LEED Certification
by Mustafa Tunç and Burcu Şeşeoğulları Bars
Sustainability 2026, 18(14), 7125; https://doi.org/10.3390/su18147125 - 13 Jul 2026
Viewed by 183
Abstract
This study addresses the dual challenges of seasonal water scarcity and urban flooding in the Garzan River basin, a region with a semi-arid climate. We propose and analyze an integrated water management system designed to mitigate these risks and promote both ecological and [...] Read more.
This study addresses the dual challenges of seasonal water scarcity and urban flooding in the Garzan River basin, a region with a semi-arid climate. We propose and analyze an integrated water management system designed to mitigate these risks and promote both ecological and economic sustainability. Our methodology began with a comprehensive analysis of meteorological data from 2000 to 2024, which quantified the significant seasonal irregularity in the annual rainfall regime. The findings revealed that the bulk of the average 800 mm of rainfall occurs between January and May, while the summer months experience near-drought conditions. Based on this, we calculated the potential of various water conservation strategies. The system combines rainwater harvesting from a 1000 m2 roof and a 500 m2 parking lot, projected to collect 1020 m3 annually, with greywater reclamation and low-flow fixtures, which add a combined 400 m3 of annual savings. The total annual water savings of 1420 m3 were found to provide a gross annual economic benefit of $3550. Considering the installation and maintenance costs, the project’s payback period is estimated to be around 32 years. We also developed an annual precipitation prediction model providing a locally applicable early warning mechanism that forecasts total rainfall based on spring data. The use of proactive hydrometeorological data can improve the feasibility of long-term infrastructure projects to a certain extent. Finally, the proposed system’s design was confirmed to be eligible for multiple LEED certification credits, demonstrating its alignment with international sustainability standards. In conclusion, this research provides a comprehensive and viable solution that addresses local water issues and offers a valuable model for other regions facing similar challenges. Full article
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27 pages, 3188 KB  
Article
The Emerging Importance of TOC in River Water Quality Management: Climate Change-Based Streamflow and Water Quality Modeling for Total Load Control of TOC in the Climate-Vulnerable Tamjin River Basin, Korea
by Chunggil Jung, Darae Kim, Jieun Kang and Jongyoon Park
Water 2026, 18(13), 1622; https://doi.org/10.3390/w18131622 - 3 Jul 2026
Viewed by 317
Abstract
Climate change may intensify the deterioration of river water quality by altering streamflow regimes, precipitation patterns, and organic matter transport pathways. In this study, a Hydrological Simulation Program-FORTRAN (HSPF)-based streamflow and total organic carbon (TOC) water quality model for the Tamjin River Basin, [...] Read more.
Climate change may intensify the deterioration of river water quality by altering streamflow regimes, precipitation patterns, and organic matter transport pathways. In this study, a Hydrological Simulation Program-FORTRAN (HSPF)-based streamflow and total organic carbon (TOC) water quality model for the Tamjin River Basin, Korea, was developed, and future TOC pollution was evaluated under quantile delta mapping (QDM) bias-corrected Shared Socioeconomic Pathway 5-8.5 (SSP5-8.5) climate scenarios. Unlike previous studies that generally applied climate bias correction, watershed modeling, or pollutant-load assessment as separate procedures, this study links QDM-preserved climate change signals, process-based HSPF simulations, and TOC-specific discharge-load, delivered-load, exceedance-frequency, and load-reduction indicators within a single management framework. The model showed acceptable performance, with Nash–Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE) values of 0.67 and 0.68 for streamflow at Jangheung Dam and Gamcheon Bridge, respectively, and a TOC deviation of volume (DV) of 0.6% at Tamjin5. Under the SSP5-8.5 no-action scenario for the 2040s, the mean streamflow decreased by 33.1%, whereas the mean TOC concentration increased by 76.8% relative to the baseline. The number of days exceeding 4 mg/L TOC increased from 41 to 216 days yr−1, and the Korean TOC-based water quality class deteriorated from Ib to III. In contrast, the 20% and 30% load reduction scenarios offset approximately 33.8% and 67.9% of the climate-driven increase in TOC, respectively, with the 30% reduction scenario showing greater effectiveness during low-flow seasons. Elevated TOC levels may have implications for downstream water treatment because organic matter can increase chemical demand and disinfection-byproduct formation potential. However, these treatment-related effects were not directly evaluated in this study. These results suggest that TOC should be considered as a complementary indicator to conventional biochemical oxygen demand (BOD)-based management when developing climate-resilient water-quality strategies for the Tamjin River Basin. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Advanced Aquaculture Water Quality Management Research)
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23 pages, 11232 KB  
Article
Extreme Streamflow and Sediment Yield Responses and Seasonal Eco-Hydrological Stress in the Koshi River Basin Under a Warming and Wetting Climate
by Chengjiang Deng, Bo Kong, Huan Yu, Han Wang, Jianan Li, Kangkang Li and Yunfeng Gao
Water 2026, 18(12), 1502; https://doi.org/10.3390/w18121502 - 18 Jun 2026
Viewed by 278
Abstract
This study established a refined, distributed SWAT modeling framework that integrates elevation-band and snowmelt modules to reconstruct the alpine hydrological and sediment cycles of the Koshi River Basin (KRB) over the period 1990–2024, with climate scenarios constructed using the delta change approach. The [...] Read more.
This study established a refined, distributed SWAT modeling framework that integrates elevation-band and snowmelt modules to reconstruct the alpine hydrological and sediment cycles of the Koshi River Basin (KRB) over the period 1990–2024, with climate scenarios constructed using the delta change approach. The KRB, a major transboundary watershed traversing China, Nepal, and India, was selected owing to its critical hydro-climatic role under the destabilizing “Asian Water Tower”; it generates substantial sediment yield, hosts the densest concentration of hydropower potential within the Ganges system, and spans an extreme vertical gradient from Mount Everest to the southern alluvial plains. Results reveal accelerated warming at a rate of 0.21 °C per decade and an overall warming–wetting trend, punctuated by an abrupt interdecadal shift around 2015. Precipitation dominated interannual streamflow variability, with enhanced rainfall triggering basin-wide sediment surges that overwhelmed the natural buffering capacity of the land surface. Conversely, rising temperatures intensified actual evapotranspiration, markedly depleting soil water and reducing total water yield and monsoon runoff, although sustained snow and glacier melt effectively elevated the dry-season low-flow baseline. The integrated climate forcing reshaped the disparity between hydrological extremes, imposing severe seasonal eco-hydrological stress that manifested as a pre-monsoon deficit in terrestrial green water and acute summer sediment outbursts for aquatic habitats. Furthermore, the flood regime exhibited an altered distribution, with mid-to-high frequency floods enhanced while low-frequency extreme flood peaks declined. The hydro-sedimentological regime consequently exhibits pronounced nonlinear responses to climate change, providing a critical, threshold-based scientific foundation for adaptive transboundary water resource management. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Water and Climate Change)
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2 pages, 127 KB  
Abstract
Tidal and Seasonal Drivers of Epibenthic Fauna Dynamics in the Minho River Estuary
by Mafalda Fernandes, Nuno Gomes and Carlos Antunes
Proceedings 2026, 146(1), 35; https://doi.org/10.3390/proceedings2026146035 - 17 Jun 2026
Viewed by 118
Abstract
Introduction: Estuaries are among the most productive ecosystems in the world, holding great ecological and economic importance. As transitional zones between rivers and the sea, they experience abrupt abiotic changes linked to the tidal cycle, as well as seasonal changes related to greater [...] Read more.
Introduction: Estuaries are among the most productive ecosystems in the world, holding great ecological and economic importance. As transitional zones between rivers and the sea, they experience abrupt abiotic changes linked to the tidal cycle, as well as seasonal changes related to greater river discharge during periods of higher rainfall. Therefore, salinity and temperature are key factors in structuring communities. These estuarine areas are recognized as nursery grounds, offering an abundance of food and shelter from predators, which creates ideal conditions for juvenile growth. Objective: Intense heatwaves were recorded in northern Spain during 2021 and 2022. This study aimed to understand how environmental factors influence the daily and seasonal dynamics of epibenthic communities and to compare these results with those obtained 40 years ago. Methodology: The epibenthic community in the Minho River estuary was assessed between September 2021 and August 2022 during spring tides at both low tide and high tide. Five trawls were carried out at each tide using a 2-meter-wide beam trawl. Several physical and chemical parameters were evaluated during the sampling process. Results: A total of 10,527 demersal fish and epibenthic crustaceans belonging to 21 species were caught in the sampling area. The structure of epibenthic assemblages was heavily influenced by tidal regimes. Assemblages at low tide had a greater number of taxa. In contrast, high-tide assemblages exhibited significantly higher diversity and evenness. Significant differences were observed between the spring/summer and winter assemblages. A SIMPER analysis revealed that Carcinus maenas contributed most to assemblage dissimilarity, both seasonally and by tide. Furthermore, Echiichthys vipera and Platichthys flesus were the species that contributed most to assemblage dissimilarity in both 1982 and 2021–2022. Conclusions: Compared with historical data, the rise in temperature and salinity, coupled with reduced water flow, has caused a profound restructuring of benthopelagic communities. This is driven by a significant increase in the marine character of the habitat. Substantial taxonomic turnover is evident, characterized by reductions in abundance and increases in the number of taxa sampled, as well as in diversity and evenness. Full article
(This article belongs to the Proceedings of The XI Iberian Congress of Ichthyology)
2 pages, 150 KB  
Abstract
LIFE REVIVE: Innovative and Integrated Solutions to Mitigate Hydro Morphological Pressures and Enhance Ecological Status in the Lima and Vouga Basins
by Sandra Barca, Rufino Vieira-Lanero, Fernando Cobo, Carlos M. Alexandre, Pedro R. Almeida, Esmeralda Pereira, Silvia Pedro, Gonçalo Rodrigues, Luís Macedo, Luís Silveirinha, Gonçalo Brás, Beatriz Mendes, Célia Laranjeira, Luísa Sousa, Pedro Marques and Isabel Pragana
Proceedings 2026, 146(1), 27; https://doi.org/10.3390/proceedings2026146027 - 16 Jun 2026
Viewed by 168
Abstract
LIFE REVIVE aims to restore ecological status and ecosystem services in the Lima and Vouga river basins (NW Iberian Peninsula), where hydromorphological alteration and hydropower-driven flow regulation are major causes of water bodies failing to reach Good Ecological Status under the EU WFD. [...] Read more.
LIFE REVIVE aims to restore ecological status and ecosystem services in the Lima and Vouga river basins (NW Iberian Peninsula), where hydromorphological alteration and hydropower-driven flow regulation are major causes of water bodies failing to reach Good Ecological Status under the EU WFD. The project targets key pressures such as longitudinal fragmentation by weirs and dams, artificial flow regimes, degradation of spawning substrates, and the spread of invasive aquatic plants, which strongly affect fish communities, including sea lamprey, salmonids, and other diadromous species. Technically, the project combines barrier removal or eco-adaptation, nature-like fish passes, and spawning-habitat renaturalisation with optimized environmental flow regimes (EFR) downstream of important hydropower systems, explicitly accounting for present and future hydroclimatic scenarios. Multi-scale ecohydrological modelling (species distribution models, habitat suitability models, GLM/GAM approaches) will quantify fish–flow–habitat relationships and support the definition of operational EFR guidelines that balance ecological requirements with hydropower and agricultural constraints through joint work with the main Portuguese hydropower operator, EDP. Impact evaluation is structured around a rigorous BACI monitoring design in intervention and control tributaries, using standard WFD biological indices for fish and aquatic/riparian vegetation, hydromorphological indices (HQA, HMS, RHS), and project-specific Key Performance Indicators for water quality, biodiversity, and habitat. Expected outcomes include the restoration of at least 51 km of rivers towards free-flowing conditions, reduced hydromorphological pressure in more than 20 km of heavily modified river stretches, and measurable increases in the distribution and abundance of fish species and native vegetation. A strong communication and capacity-building programme underpins public engagement, while a decision matrix for barrier prioritization, technical workshops, and pilot replications in additional basins (e.g., Alva, Mouro, Deva, and Tea in Galicia) are designed to maximize transferability, policy uptake, and long-term sustainability of the solutions beyond the project lifetime. Full article
(This article belongs to the Proceedings of The XI Iberian Congress of Ichthyology)
2 pages, 150 KB  
Abstract
Revision of the Management Plan of the Recreational Fishing Zone of the Rabaçal River (Northern Portugal)
by António Martinho and Simone Varandas
Proceedings 2026, 146(1), 16; https://doi.org/10.3390/proceedings2026146016 - 16 Jun 2026
Viewed by 128
Abstract
This study presents the revision of the Rabaçal River Recreational Fishing Area Management Plan (ZPL), implemented in 2020, aiming to evaluate its effectiveness and identify the need for adjustments after five years. The study area includes part of Montesinho Natural Park, covering water [...] Read more.
This study presents the revision of the Rabaçal River Recreational Fishing Area Management Plan (ZPL), implemented in 2020, aiming to evaluate its effectiveness and identify the need for adjustments after five years. The study area includes part of Montesinho Natural Park, covering water bodies upstream of the Vale de Armeiro Reservoir (RH3—Douro Basin), excluding the Assureira River sub-basin. The methodology followed the initial study design, with electrofishing conducted at ten stations (30 surveys). Hydromorphological and riparian conditions were assessed using the River Habitat Survey (RHS), enabling the calculation of the Riparian Quality Index (RQI), Habitat Modification Score (HMS), and Habitat Quality Assessemt (HQA). Results indicate high habitat diversity and overall good-to-excellent hydromorphological quality, although they are locally affected by human pressures and global change. Brown trout (Salmo trutta) was recorded at all sites, showing wide spatial distribution. Population structure was dominated by young individuals (≤2 years; 70%), indicating high recruitment rates. However, growth patterns and reduced body condition suggest that habitat features, particularly flow regime and riparian quality, are influencing population dynamics, highlighting the need to explicitly integrate habitat–population relationships into management measures. A notable expansion of the invasive signal crayfish (Pacifastacus leniusculus) was also observed (now present at stations T3, T4, and T5), reinforcing the need for targeted monitoring and control actions. Overall, the results support the continuation of the current management model, aligned with the conservation objectives defined in the initial plan and in project POSEUR-03-2215-FC-000096, while emphasizing the importance of habitat conservation to ensure the long-term sustainability of trout populations and aquatic ecosystems. Full article
(This article belongs to the Proceedings of The XI Iberian Congress of Ichthyology)
35 pages, 15985 KB  
Article
Evaluation of Classical Sediment Load Formulas and Proposal of CFD-Based Deposition Formula for Deep Stormwater Drainage Tunnels
by Yoon Seo Lee, Chan Jin Jeong and Seung Oh Lee
Appl. Sci. 2026, 16(12), 6016; https://doi.org/10.3390/app16126016 - 14 Jun 2026
Viewed by 196
Abstract
Deep stormwater drainage tunnels are increasingly being used to mitigate urban flooding, but in-tunnel sediment deposition reduces their discharge capacity and complicates their maintenance. With direct field observation constrained, numerical simulation is essential, and river-based total sediment load formulas require reassessment for use [...] Read more.
Deep stormwater drainage tunnels are increasingly being used to mitigate urban flooding, but in-tunnel sediment deposition reduces their discharge capacity and complicates their maintenance. With direct field observation constrained, numerical simulation is essential, and river-based total sediment load formulas require reassessment for use in deep tunnels. The three-phase (air–water–sediment) CFD solver SedInterFoam is first validated against a benchmark open-channel suspended sediment experiment, and is then applied to a horseshoe tunnel under a fixed design discharge for multiple inlet sediment concentrations spanning urban stormwater conditions. Four classical formulas (Yang, Shen–Hung, Ackers–White, Engelund–Hansen) are evaluated at the CFD-resolved hydraulic state; Toffaleti is omitted because its zone-based formulation is incompatible with the partially filled horseshoe geometry. The CFD consistently shows persistent retention of a substantial fraction of the inlet sediment load, whereas the transport capacity-limited interpretation of the classical formulas predicts near-complete sediment throughput—indicating structural inadequacy for the dilute, supply-limited regime typical of urban stormwater. A Universal Soil Loss Equation (USLE)-style dimensionless deposition formula is therefore proposed, with inlet sediment loading as the explicit independent variable and a tunnel correction factor Ktunnel absorbing the geometric, hydraulic, and sediment variations. Its regression yields an almost linear scaling and a nearly constant deposition ratio, while analysis of the internal flow and concentration fields shows that the retained sediment is strongly concentrated near the bed and that near-bed turbulent mixing weakens moderately with a rising inlet concentration. While calibrated for a single non-cohesive settleable sand fraction, the framework provides a transferable basis for inlet-loading-dependent deposition prediction in deep stormwater drainage tunnels, and subsequent extension of Ktunnel to broader sediment conditions with field-based validation is expected to enable maintenance planning, dredging volume estimation, and sediment retention risk assessment. Full article
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19 pages, 4197 KB  
Article
Optimizing Ecological Pulse Flows for Spawning Habitats Using a Genetic Algorithm-Enhanced Fuzzy HSI Model: A Case Study of the Downstream West Songhua River Reach of Fengman Dam
by Qingwei Wang, Zhiming Gao, Qiang Yan, Tao Dai, Yan Zhang, Yaxin Lu and Yang Cao
Water 2026, 18(12), 1454; https://doi.org/10.3390/w18121454 - 12 Jun 2026
Viewed by 314
Abstract
The ecological consequences of hydraulic engineering on riverine environments have intensified the need for scientifically grounded ecological flow regimes. To ensure habitat suitability during critical fish spawning periods, this study developed habitat preference curves by correlating physiological parameters with key hydro-environmental drivers. A [...] Read more.
The ecological consequences of hydraulic engineering on riverine environments have intensified the need for scientifically grounded ecological flow regimes. To ensure habitat suitability during critical fish spawning periods, this study developed habitat preference curves by correlating physiological parameters with key hydro-environmental drivers. A habitat suitability index (HSI) model was established using fuzzy logic, integrated with a genetic algorithm (GA) to simultaneously optimize fuzzy membership functions and inference rules. This model was applied to simulate the relationship between the weighted usable area (WUA) and discharge for various fish egg types in the reach downstream of the Fengman Dam, ultimately facilitating the determination of an optimized ecological pulse flow hydrograph. The results reveal distinct hydro-environmental preference variations among species. Specifically, drifting eggs require specific hatching cycles supported by higher flow magnitudes and velocities. Conversely, adhesive eggs experience a significant reduction in suitable habitat area under high-flow and high-velocity conditions. These findings suggest that reservoir water resource allocation must be tailored to the life-history requirements of target species to maximize spawning success. This study provides a robust scientific framework for eco-friendly reservoir scheduling and the conservation of regulated river ecosystems. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Hydraulics and Hydrodynamics)
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32 pages, 8390 KB  
Article
Assessment of Hydroclimatic Change Impacts on Water Resources Through Hydrological Indicators and Machine Learning
by Ufuk Yükseler, Ömerul Faruk Dursun, Sadık Alashan and Hanifeh Imanian
Water 2026, 18(12), 1444; https://doi.org/10.3390/w18121444 - 11 Jun 2026
Viewed by 480
Abstract
This study investigates the hydroclimatic impacts of climate change on the Göynük Stream Basin, a snow-fed tributary within the Euphrates River Basin, utilizing flow, precipitation, and temperature data from 1975 to 2022. The Göynük Stream Basin is characterized by high-altitude, harsh continental conditions, [...] Read more.
This study investigates the hydroclimatic impacts of climate change on the Göynük Stream Basin, a snow-fed tributary within the Euphrates River Basin, utilizing flow, precipitation, and temperature data from 1975 to 2022. The Göynük Stream Basin is characterized by high-altitude, harsh continental conditions, with its flow regime heavily influenced by snowmelt, rendering it particularly sensitive to climate change. Employing a suite of trend analysis methods, including Mann–Kendall, Spearman Rho, Theil–Sen, Şen-Innovative Trend Analysis (ITA), and Innovative Polygon Trend Analysis (IPTA), the research evaluated annual and seasonal data from one stream and four meteorological stations across multiple significance levels (90%, 95%, 99%). Unlike conventional hydroclimatic studies based solely on monotonic trend detection, this study integrates classical trend tests, innovative trend approaches, temporal regime-based analysis (RAPS), and machine learning techniques within a unified assessment framework to evaluate both hydroclimatic variability and runoff predictability under climate change conditions. Key findings indicate a significant decline in annual flow rates by approximately 9.37%, with a notable decrease in maximum flow rates evidenced by a negative trend slope of −0.2726 m3/s/year. While precipitation trends were generally decreasing, temperature data exhibited significant increases, especially during winter and spring. Seasonal analysis revealed substantial flow reductions in summer and autumn, coupled with an earlier timing of the annual maximum flow, shifting from mid-May to late March/early April, suggesting earlier snowmelt. The study concludes that the Göynük Stream Basin is experiencing increasing hydroclimatic pressures attributable to climate change. These insights are crucial for water resource management and serve as a guideline for similar snow-fed sub-basins within the broader Euphrates River Basin. Furthermore, the integration of a machine learning approach, utilizing meteorological and seasonal data, demonstrated strong monthly runoff prediction capabilities with NRMSE of 4.11% and R2 equal to 0.951. Feature importance analysis highlighted seasonality and temperature as primary predictive factors. However, a marked decline in model accuracy after 2011 was observed, indicating a non-stationarity in the hydroclimatic system, likely driven by climate change impacts and underscoring the need for adaptive management strategies. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Machine Learning Approaches to Quantify Hydrological Changes)
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21 pages, 1633 KB  
Article
Impacts of Cascade Hydropower Development on Aquatic Ecosystems in the Middle Jinsha River Basin: A DPSIR-Based Ecological Risk Assessment
by Xiaorong He, Huihuang Luo, Zhen Feng, Bing Liu, Xueqian Wang, Yuling Huang, Tianbao Xu and Qingrui Yang
Water 2026, 18(12), 1406; https://doi.org/10.3390/w18121406 - 9 Jun 2026
Viewed by 323
Abstract
Cascade hydropower alters river hydrological regimes and threatens aquatic ecosystems, calling for robust ecological risk assessment (ERA). Conventional assessments often rigidly apply the full five-layer Driving Force–Pressure–State–Impact–Response framework, leading to indicator redundancy and unbalanced weighting. Single weighting methods also fail to reconcile expert [...] Read more.
Cascade hydropower alters river hydrological regimes and threatens aquatic ecosystems, calling for robust ecological risk assessment (ERA). Conventional assessments often rigidly apply the full five-layer Driving Force–Pressure–State–Impact–Response framework, leading to indicator redundancy and unbalanced weighting. Single weighting methods also fail to reconcile expert judgment with data variability. To address these issues, we developed a three-layer (target–element–indicator) evaluation system embedding DPSIR logic without its full structure, focusing on hydrological regime, water environmental quality, and aquatic ecology with ten indicators. We used an improved group AHP-CRITIC coupling method for weighting: AHP aggregates expert judgments via geometric mean, and CRITIC integrates data variability and inter-indicator conflict. Multi-attribute utility theory normalized indicators into a unified security index, applied to four cascade stations in the middle Jinsha River using 66-year (1953–2018) hydrological and seven-year (2013–2019) in situ monitoring data. The evaluation obtained a comprehensive index of 0.71 to 0.74, which is generally safe. River connectivity loss was the primary limiting factor. Hydrological alteration was mild overall with a value of 0.139, while extreme flow decline rate variation reached a high level of 0.83. Weekly regulated stations achieved over 97% ecological flow guarantee, which is much higher than daily regulated stations. This streamlined framework improves interpretability for cascade basins and supports sustainable watershed management. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Impact of Environmental Factors on Aquatic Ecosystem, 2nd Edition)
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26 pages, 6291 KB  
Article
Integrated SWAT+ and MODFLOW Modeling Reveals Spatially Heterogeneous Surface Water–Groundwater Interactions in the Headwater Region of the Upper Blue Nile Basin
by Zena Tessema Terefe, Nigussie Haregeweyn, Mitsuru Tsubo, Ayele Almaw Fenta, Taye Minichil Meshesha, Getnet Taye Bawoke, Ashebir Sewale Belay, Alebachew Tareke Kehali, Samuel Berihun Kassa, Takeshi Abe and Atsushi Tsunekawa
Water 2026, 18(11), 1328; https://doi.org/10.3390/w18111328 - 30 May 2026
Viewed by 720
Abstract
Surface water–groundwater interactions play a critical role in regulating hydrological fluxes and sustaining water availability, yet they remain poorly understood in hydrogeologically complex terrains. This study employed an integrated modeling approach combining SWAT+ and MODFLOW to quantify water balance components, groundwater flow dynamics, [...] Read more.
Surface water–groundwater interactions play a critical role in regulating hydrological fluxes and sustaining water availability, yet they remain poorly understood in hydrogeologically complex terrains. This study employed an integrated modeling approach combining SWAT+ and MODFLOW to quantify water balance components, groundwater flow dynamics, and river–aquifer exchanges in the Chemoga watershed, a representative headwater system of the Upper Blue Nile Basin characterized by strong environmental and geological contrasts. Model results revealed substantial spatial heterogeneity in hydrological partitioning, with annual groundwater recharge ranging from 105 to 711 mm (mean = 296 mm; 24% of annual rainfall). Simulated groundwater flow exhibited a pronounced topographic control, with hydraulic heads declining from highland recharge zones toward deeply incised lowland gorges. River–aquifer interactions showed marked spatial variability, with the Chemoga river predominantly acting as a gaining stream in the highland and nick-point gorge sections (up to 2867 m3 d−1), while transitioning to a losing stream in the midland floodplains and lowland gorge areas, with leakage reaching up to 75.0 m3 d−1. These findings highlight the value of integrated, process-based modeling for resolving complex hydrological interactions, advancing understanding of groundwater flow regimes and supporting sustainable groundwater management in the Ethiopian highlands and other similar regions worldwide. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Hydrogeology)
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Article
Mapping Flood in Endorheic Depressions Using Multitemporal and Multiresolution Remote Sensing Data—Example of Chotts Merouane and Melrhir, Algeria
by Jean-Paul Deroin, Belkacem Boumaraf and Hacini Messaoud
GeoHazards 2026, 7(2), 63; https://doi.org/10.3390/geohazards7020063 - 29 May 2026
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Abstract
Multisource remote sensing data is utilised for the purpose of monitoring annual and interannual changes associated with climate change in the water bodies of the Chotts of Merouane and Melrhir, which are located in the Zone of Chotts in North Africa. These endorheic [...] Read more.
Multisource remote sensing data is utilised for the purpose of monitoring annual and interannual changes associated with climate change in the water bodies of the Chotts of Merouane and Melrhir, which are located in the Zone of Chotts in North Africa. These endorheic depressions are distinguished by recurrent flooding events of varying magnitude and frequency, which are contingent on fluctuations in climate parameters. It has been determined that certain cities located within the surrounding watersheds, such as Biskra, are subject to the intermittent threat of severe flooding. This has been shown to result in land degradation and soil salinisation during the drying-up process. A detailed examination of chronological data from the 1960s onwards reveals a decline in the frequency of flooding in Chott Melrhir in recent years. It is noteworthy that the region has not experienced any substantial flooding since 2020. This phenomenon is concomitant with the marked decline in precipitation levels observed in the region. Since 1980, there have been at least ten significant floods, resulting in varying degrees of damage and disruption. In contrast, Chott Merouane exhibits a more consistent hydrological pattern, with water flowing almost year-round due to wastewater and the drainage of the palm groves by the Oued Righ. Until the 1970s, the occurrence of flooding in the region was exclusively attributable to the direct overflow of the Biskra River and its tributaries. However, from the 1980s onwards, a new type of flooding emerged, linked to insufficient infiltration and drainage capacity in the soil and sewage systems during rainfall that was sometimes considered normal. The hydrological regime in the area has severe ramifications for the water supply and the state of the oases, which are vulnerable to salinisation. Full article
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