Search Results (1,576)

With increasing global pressure to decarbonize electricity systems, particularly in regions outside international carbon trading frameworks, it is essential to develop adaptive optimization tools that account for regulatory policies and system-level uncertainty. An emission-constrained power dispatch strategy based on an Adaptive Grouped Fish Migration Optimization (AGFMO) algorithm is proposed. The algorithm incorporates dynamic population grouping, a perturbation-assisted escape strategy from local optima, and a performance-feedback-driven position update rule. These enhancements improve the algorithm’s convergence reliability and global search capacity in complex constrained environments. The proposed method is implemented in Taiwan’s 345 kV transmission system, covering a decadal planning horizon (2023–2033) with scenarios involving varying load demands, wind power integration levels, and carbon tax schemes. Simulation results show that the AGFMO approach achieves greater reductions in total dispatch cost and CO₂ emissions compared with conventional swarm-based techniques, including PSO, GACO, and FMO. Embedding policy parameters directly into the optimization framework enables robustness in real-world grid settings and flexibility for future carbon taxation regimes. The model serves as decision-support tool for emission-sensitive operational planning in power markets with limited access to global carbon trading, contributing to the advanced modeling of control and optimization processes in low-carbon energy systems. Full article

Accurate and stable power-load forecasting is crucial for optimizing generation scheduling and ensuring the economic and secure operation of power grids. To address the issues of low prediction accuracy and poor robustness during abrupt load changes, this study proposes a Bayesian-optimized GCN-BiLSTM-Adaboost model (abbreviated as GCN-BiLSTM-AB). It combines Graph Convolutional Networks (GCN), Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory Networks (BiLSTM), and a Bayesian-optimized AdaBoost framework. Firstly, the GCN is employed to capture the spatial correlation features of the input data. Then, the BiLSTM is employed to extract the long-term dependencies of the data time series. Finally, the AdaBoost framework is used to dynamically adjust the base learner weights, and a Bayesian method is employed to optimize the weight adjustment process and prevent overfitting. The experiment results on actual load data from a regional power grid show the GCN-BiLSTM-AB outperforms other compared models in prediction error metrics, with $MAE$, $MAPE$, and $RMSE$ values of 1.86, 3.13%, and 2.26, respectively, which improve the prediction robustness during load change periods. Therefore, the proposed method shows that the synergistic effect of spatiotemporal feature extraction and dynamic weight adjustment improves prediction accuracy and robustness, which provides a new forecasting model with high precision and reliability for power system dispatch decisions. Full article

Integrating renewable energy, particularly wind power, into modern power systems introduces challenges concerning stability and reliability. These issues require enhanced regulation to balance power supply with load demand. Flexible loads and energy storage provide viable solutions to stabilize the grid without relying on new resources. This paper proposes building thermostatically controlled loads (BTLs), such as heating, ventilation, and air conditioning (HVAC) systems, as flexible demand-side management tools to address the challenges of intermittent energy sources. A new concept is introduced, portraying BTLs as a stochastic battery with losses, offering a compact representation of their dynamics. BTLs’ thermal characteristics, user-defined set points, and ambient temperature changes determine the power limits and energy capacity of this stochastic battery. The model is simulated using DIgSILENT Power Factory, which includes thermal power plants, gas turbines, wind power plants, and BTLs. A dynamic dispatch strategy optimizes power generation while utilizing BTLs to balance grid fluctuations caused by variable wind energy. Performance analysis shows that integrating BTLs with conventional thermal plants can reduce variability and improve grid stability. The study highlights the dual role of simulating overall flexibility and applying dynamic dispatch strategies to enhance power systems with high renewable energy integration. Full article

The accurate short-term forecasting (PV) of power is crucial for grid stability control, energy trading optimization, and renewable energy integration in smart grids. However, PV generation is extremely variable and non-linear due to environmental fluctuations, which challenge the conventional forecasting models. This study proposes a hybrid deep learning architecture, Wavelet Transform–Transformer–Temporal Convolutional Network–Efficient Channel Attention Network–Gated Recurrent Unit (WT–Transformer–TCN–ECANet–GRU), to capture the overall temporal complexity of PV data through integrating signal decomposition, global attention, local convolutional features, and temporal memory. The model begins by employing the Wavelet Transform (WT) to decompose the raw PV time series into multi-frequency components, thereby enhancing feature extraction and denoising. Long-term temporal dependencies are captured in a Transformer encoder, and a Temporal Convolutional Network (TCN) detects local features. Features are then adaptively recalibrated by an Efficient Channel Attention (ECANet) module and passed to a Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU) for sequence modeling. Multiscale learning, attention-driven robust filtering, and efficient encoding of temporality are enabled with the modular pipeline. We validate the model on a real-world, high-resolution dataset of a Moroccan university building comprising 95,885 five-min PV generation records. The model yielded the lowest error metrics among benchmark architectures with an MAE of 209.36, RMSE of 616.53, and an R² of 0.96884, outperforming LSTM, GRU, CNN-LSTM, and other hybrid deep learning models. These results suggest improved predictive accuracy and potential applicability for real-time grid operation integration, supporting applications such as energy dispatching, reserve management, and short-term load balancing. Full article

With the widespread integration of renewable energy sources such as wind and solar power into power systems, their inherent unpredictability and fluctuations present significant challenges to grid stability and security. To address these issues, Battery Energy Storage Systems (BESSs) offer an effective means of enhancing renewable energy absorption and improving the overall system efficiency. This study proposes a coordinated planning method based on the improved bat algorithm (IBA) to tackle the challenges associated with integrating renewable energy into distribution networks. A bi-level optimization framework is introduced to coordinate the planning and operation of the distributed generation (DG) and BESS. The upper-level model focuses on selecting optimal sites and determining the capacity of wind turbines, photovoltaic arrays, and storage systems from an economic perspective. The lower-level model optimizes the curtailment of wind and solar energy and minimizes network losses based on the upper-level planning outcomes. Additionally, the lower-level model also coordinates the dispatch between renewable energy generation and storage systems to ensure the reliable operation of the system. To effectively solve this bi-level optimization model, we have improved the conventional bat algorithm. Simulation results show that the improved bat algorithm not only significantly enhances the convergence speed but also improves the voltage stability, with the photovoltaic utilization rate reaching 90.27% and the wind energy utilization rate reaching 92.18%. These results highlight the practical advantages and success of the proposed method in optimizing renewable energy configurations. Full article

Time-series forecasting is widely recognized as essential for integrating renewable energy, managing emissions, and optimizing demand across energy and environmental applications. Initially, traditional forecasting methods are hindered by limitations including poor interpretability, limited generalization to diverse scenarios, and substantial computational demands. Consequently, a novel minimum-variance self-tuning (MVST) method is proposed, grounded in adaptive control theory, to overcome these challenges. The method utilizes recursive least squares with self-tuning parameter updates, delivering high prediction accuracy, rapid computation, and robust multi-step forecasting without pre-training requirements. Testing is performed on CO₂ emissions (annual), transformer load (15 min), and building electric load (hourly) datasets, comparing MVST against LSTM, ARDL, fixed-PID, XGBoost, and Prophet across varied scales and contexts. Significant improvements are observed, with prediction errors reduced by 3–8 times and computational time decreased by up to 2000 times compared to these methods. Finally, these advancements facilitate real-time power system dispatch, enhance energy planning, and support carbon emission management, demonstrating substantial research and practical value. Full article

South Africa’s transition to a renewable-powered grid faces critical challenges due to the inherent variability of wind and solar generation as well as the need for economically viable and reliable dispatch strategies. This study proposes a scenario-based stochastic optimization framework that integrates machine learning forecasting and uncertainty modeling to enhance operational decision making. A hybrid Long Short-Term Memory–XGBoost model is employed to forecast wind, photovoltaic (PV) power, concentrated solar power (CSP), and electricity demand, with Monte Carlo dropout and quantile regression used for uncertainty quantification. Scenarios are generated using appropriate probability distributions and are reduced via Temporal-Aware K-Means Scenario Reduction for tractability. A two-stage stochastic program then optimizes power dispatch under uncertainty, benchmarked against Deterministic, Rule-Based, and Perfect Information models. Simulation results over 7 days using five years of real-world South African energy data show that the stochastic model strikes a favorable balance between cost and reliability. It incurs a total system cost of ZAR 1.748 billion, with 1625 MWh of load shedding and 1283 MWh of curtailment, significantly outperforming the deterministic model (ZAR 1.763 billion; 3538 MWh load shedding; 59 MWh curtailment) and the rule-based model (ZAR 1.760 billion, 1.809 MWh load shedding; 1475 MWh curtailment). The proposed stochastic framework demonstrates strong potential for improving renewable integration, reducing system penalties, and enhancing grid resilience in the face of forecast uncertainty. Full article

To address the challenges of photovoltaic (PV) power prediction in highly dynamic environments. We propose an improved Long Short-Term Memory (ILSTM) model. The model uses Principal Component Analysis (PCA) and Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO) for feature selection, ensuring key information is preserved while reducing dimensionality. The Depthwise Separable Convolution (DSC) module extracts spatial features, while the Channel-Spatial Attention Mechanism (CBAM) focuses on important time-dependent patterns. Finally, Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory (BiLSTM) captures nonlinear dynamics and long-term dependencies, boosting prediction performance. The model is called DSC-CBAM-BiLSTM. It selects important features adaptively. It captures key spatial-temporal patterns and improves forecasting performance based on RMSE, MAE, and $R^2$. Extensive experiments using real-world PV datasets under varied meteorological scenarios show the proposed model significantly outperforms traditional approaches. Specifically, RMSE and MAE are reduced by over 70%, and the coefficient of determination ($R^2$) is improved by 8.5%. These results confirm the framework’s effectiveness for real-time, short-term PV forecasting and its applicability in energy dispatching and smart grid operations. Full article

Aiming at the problem that the existing research mostly focuses on a single microgrid or an independent optimization goal and lacks the cooperative scheduling of multi-microgrids and the deep integration with the green certificate (GC) and carbon trading (CT) mechanisms, this paper proposes a low-carbon and economic-oriented dispatch method for multi-microgrids considering a GC-CT mechanism driven by an artificial intelligence (AI) reinforcement learning-enhanced genetic algorithm (GA). First of all, under the constructed architecture model of the GC-CT mechanism and multi-microgrid, this method constructs an optimal objective model that incorporates economic revenue and GC-CT costs. Secondly, regarding the two key parameters, crossover rate and mutation rate, which seriously influence the performance of the GA, this paper utilizes an AI reinforcement learning algorithm to adaptively adjust them and solves the constructed model based on the AI reinforcement learning-enhanced GA. Finally, based on a regional multi-microgrid system, the simulation results show that the proposed method can significantly improve the operating efficiency of the microgrid system after integrating the GC-CT mechanism into the microgrid system, which provides a theoretical framework and technical path for low-carbon and economic-oriented dispatch of multi-microgrids and helps the power system to evolve into a zero-carbon smart energy system. Full article

To address the challenges of power generation rights trading and profit distribution in the integrated energy system of multi-park combined cooling, heating, and power (CCHP) with new energy grid integration, we constructed a hierarchical game model involving multi-energy system aggregators. By having aggregators price electricity, heat, cold, and carbon costs, the model establishes a hierarchical game framework with the linkage of the four prices (electricity, heat, cold, and carbon), achieving inter-park peer-to-peer (P2P) multi-energy dynamic price matching for the first time. It aims to coordinate distribution network dispatching, renewable energy, energy storage, gas turbine units, demand response, cooling–heating–power coupling, and inter-park P2P multi-energy interaction. With the goal of optimizing the profits of integrated energy aggregators, a hierarchical game mechanism is established, which integrates power generation rights trading models and incentive-based demand response. The upper layer of this mechanism is the profit function of integrated energy aggregators, while the lower layer is the cost function of park microgrid alliances. A hierarchical game mechanism with Two-Level Optimization, integrating the Adaptive Disturbance Quantum Particle Swarm Optimization (ADQPSO) algorithm and the branch and bound method (ADQPSO-Driven Branch and Bound Two-Level Optimization), is used to determine dynamic prices, thereby realizing dynamic matching of energy supply and demand and cross-park collaborative optimal allocation. Under the hierarchical game mechanism, the convergence speed of the ADQPSO-driven branch and bound method is 40% faster than that of traditional methods, and the optimization profit accuracy is improved by 1.59%. Moreover, compared with a single mechanism, the hierarchical game mechanism (Scenario 4) increases profits by 17.17%. This study provides technical support for the efficient operation of new energy grid integration and the achievement of “dual-carbon” goals. Full article

With the rapid growth of renewable energy integration, power systems are facing increasing uncertainty and variability in operation. The intermittent and uncontrollable nature of wind and solar generation requires operational decisions to anticipate future fluctuations, creating strong temporal coupling across days. This leads to large-scale mixed-integer linear programming (MILP) with a large number of binary variables, which is computationally intensive—especially in year-long simulations. As a result, there is a growing need for efficient modeling approaches that can reduce complexity while preserving key temporal features. This paper proposes a temporal–spatial acceleration framework for long-term power system operation simulation. In the temporal dimension, a monthly K-means clustering algorithm is applied to reconstruct typical scenario days from 8760 h time series, preserving the characteristics of seasonal and intraday variability. In the spatial dimension, thermal units with similar characteristics are aggregated, and binary decision variables are relaxed into continuous variables, transforming the MILP into a tractable LP model, and thereby reducing computational burden. Case studies are performed based on the six-bus and the IEEE RTS-79 systems to validate the framework, being able to provide a practical solution for renewable-integrated power system planning and dispatch applications. Full article

With the rapid development of energy transformation, the proportion of new energy is increasing, and the efficient trading mechanism of multi-microgrids can realize energy sharing to improve the consumption rate of new energy. A distributed multi-microgrid cooperative energy sharing strategy is proposed based on Nash bargaining. Firstly, by comprehensively considering the adjustable heat-to-electrical ratio, ladder-type positive and negative carbon trading, peak–valley electricity price and demand response, a multi-microgrid system with wind–solar-storage-load and combined heat and power is constructed. Then, a multi-microgrid cooperative game optimization framework is established based on Nash bargaining, and the complex nonlinear problem is decomposed into two stages to be solved. In the first stage, the cost minimization problem of multi-microgrids is solved based on the alternating direction multiplier method to maximize consumption rate and protect privacy. In the second stage, through the established contribution quantification model, Nash bargaining theory is used to fairly distribute the benefits of cooperation. The simulation results of three typical microgrids verify that the proposed strategy has good convergence properties and computational efficiency. Compared with the independent operation, the proposed strategy reduces the cost by 41% and the carbon emission by 18,490 kg, thus realizing low-carbon operation and optimal economic dispatch. Meanwhile, the power supply pressure of the main grid is reduced through energy interaction, thus improving the utilization rate of renewable energy. Full article

AC/DC parallel transmission is a critical approach for large-scale centralized transmission. Existing assessments of power transfer capability in AC/DC corridors rarely incorporate comprehensive security and stability constraints, potentially leading to overestimated results. This paper investigates a grid-forming renewable energy system integrated via AC/DC parallel transmission. First, the transmission section’s power transfer limit under N-1 static security constraints is determined. Subsequently, analytical conditions satisfying synchronization and frequency stability constraints are derived using the equal area criterion and frequency security indices, revealing the impacts of AC/DC power allocation and system parameters on transfer capability. Finally, by integrating static security, synchronization stability, and frequency stability constraints, an operational region for secure AC/DC power dispatch is established. Based on this region, an optimal power allocation scheme maximizing the corridor’s transfer capability is proposed. The theoretical framework and methodology enhance system transfer capacity while ensuring AC/DC parallel transmission security, with case studies validating the theory’s correctness and method’s effectiveness. Full article

In order to achieve the goals of carbon neutrality, large-scale storage of renewable energy sources has been integrated into the power grid. Under these circumstances, the power grid faces the challenge of peak shaving. Therefore, this paper proposes a coordinated variable-power control strategy for multiple battery energy storage stations (BESSs), improving the performance of peak shaving. Firstly, the strategy involves constructing an optimization model incorporating load forecasting, capacity constraints, and security indices to design a coordination mechanism tracking the target load band with the equivalent power. Secondly, it establishes a quantitative evaluation system using metrics such as peak–valley difference and load standard deviation. Comparison based on typical daily cases shows that, compared with the constant power strategy, the coordinated variable-power control strategy has a more obvious and comprehensive improvement in overall peak-shaving effects. Furthermore, it employs a “dynamic dispatch of multiple BESS” mode, effectively mitigating the risks and flexibility issues associated with single BESSs. This strategy provides a reliable new approach for large-scale energy storage to participate in high-precision peaking. Full article

The rapid development of the modern power system puts forward high requirements for economic dispatch, and the defects of the traditional centralized economic dispatch method with low security and poor optimization effect have been difficult to adapt to the development of power system. Therefore, finding an economic dispatch method that reduces electricity generation costs and CO₂ emissions is important. This study establishes a multi-region distributed optimization model and combines the multi-region distributed optimization model with a multi-gradient optimization algorithm to propose a multi-region distributed multi-gradient whale optimization algorithm (MRDMGWOA). In this study, MRDMGWOA is simulated on the IEEE 39 system and 118 system, and its performance is compared with other heuristic algorithms. The results show that: (1) in the IEEE 39 system, MRDMGWOA reduces the power generation cost and CO₂ emission by 17% and 22%, respectively, and reduces the computation time by 16.14 s compared with the centralized optimization; (2) in the IEEE 118 system, the two metrics are further optimized, with a 20% and 17% reduction in the cost and emission, respectively, and an improvement in the computational efficiency by 45.46 s; (3) in the spacing, hypervolume, and Euclidian metrics evaluation, MRDMGWOA outperforms other algorithms; (4) compared with the existing DMOGWO and DMOMFO, the computation time of MRDMGWOA is reduced by 177.49 s and 124.15 s, respectively, and the scheduling scheme obtained by MRDMGWOA is more optimal than DMOGWO and DMOMFO. Full article