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26 pages, 1585 KB  
Article
Vibration-Based Machine Learning Model Training for Railway Bridge Health Monitoring
by Rocco Alaggio, Muhammad Asad, Riccardo Cirella, Stefania Costantini and Giovanni De Gasperis
Sensors 2026, 26(13), 4323; https://doi.org/10.3390/s26134323 (registering DOI) - 7 Jul 2026
Abstract
Bridge health monitoring and machine learning are increasingly intertwined for civil engineers and artificial intelligence experts. Bridges’ poor health can result in severe outcomes if not addressed in time. Therefore, continuous monitoring is required to detect any anomaly or damage. Sensors, such as [...] Read more.
Bridge health monitoring and machine learning are increasingly intertwined for civil engineers and artificial intelligence experts. Bridges’ poor health can result in severe outcomes if not addressed in time. Therefore, continuous monitoring is required to detect any anomaly or damage. Sensors, such as accelerometers, inclinometers, thermistors, etc., can help actively monitor these bridges. The signals from these sensors help record physiological activities. Such activities are helpful for anomaly detection, damage localization, and bridge health predictions with the help of machine learning algorithms. The proposed method extracts features from the dynamic response of a bridge to ambient excitation. It focuses on processing the signal received from different accelerometers installed on a steel railway bridge to determine the location of the damage and the level of the damage predictions. Initially, features are extracted from time-series data; then, they are fed to a deep neural network after some pre-processing. Normal and augmented data are used with different parameter tuning for results. Original data is also subdivided, and the effect of data slicing on the predictions is investigated. The results show that one-fourth of the slicing of the original data gives the best results for training and testing accuracy with a deep neural network. The results show that the reduced matrix representation, particularly the 40 × 40 feature slicing, improved the classification performance for the predefined bridge scenario classes under the considered experimental settings. For bridge scenario classification, the best reported accuracy was 93.54%, while for damage intensity classification the best reported accuracy was 98.21%. In the DNN-based optimizer comparison, the Adam optimizer achieved higher and more stable performance than Stochastic Gradient Descent (SGD), with test accuracies of 92.3% and 93.7% compared with 75.2% and 86.4%, respectively. It is also observed that the Adam optimizer outperformed Stochastic Gradient Descent (SGD) in terms of both damage localization and damage intensity estimation. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Fault Diagnosis & Sensors)
15 pages, 3064 KB  
Systematic Review
Diagnostic Performance of Artificial Intelligence Models for Periodontitis Disease Detection Using Panoramic Radiographs: A Systematic Review
by Khalid Almutairi, Tariq Almanseer, Enrique España Guerrero, Antonio José España and Gerardo Moreu
Dent. J. 2026, 14(7), 416; https://doi.org/10.3390/dj14070416 (registering DOI) - 7 Jul 2026
Abstract
Background/Objectives: Periodontitis is a highly prevalent inflammatory disease and a major cause of tooth loss worldwide. Accurate diagnosis requires integration of clinical and radiographic findings, but interpretation of panoramic radiographs is subject to variability. Artificial intelligence (AI) has emerged as a promising [...] Read more.
Background/Objectives: Periodontitis is a highly prevalent inflammatory disease and a major cause of tooth loss worldwide. Accurate diagnosis requires integration of clinical and radiographic findings, but interpretation of panoramic radiographs is subject to variability. Artificial intelligence (AI) has emerged as a promising adjunct for radiographic assessment. This systematic review evaluated the diagnostic performance of AI-based models for detecting periodontitis using panoramic radiographic images. Methods: A systematic search of PubMed, Scopus, and Web of Science identified studies published between 1 January 2015 and 1 March 2026. Eligible studies assessed AI models for periodontitis detection on panoramic radiographs and used either clinically confirmed periodontal diagnosis or expert radiographic annotation as the reference standard. Data extraction and quality assessment were performed independently by two reviewers using the QUADAS-2 tool. Owing to heterogeneity in AI architectures, datasets, and outcome measures, a narrative synthesis was conducted. Results: Nine studies met the inclusion criteria, comprising more than 20,000 radiographs. AI models included convolutional neural networks (CNNs), segmentation-based systems, and hybrid architectures. Sensitivity ranged from 0.795 to 1.00, specificity from 0.784 to 0.99, and AUC values from 0.843 to 0.967. Studies using clinical periodontal diagnosis as the reference standard generally reported lower performance than those relying solely on expert annotation. Only four studies performed external validation, and dataset sizes varied widely. One study combining panoramic and periapical radiographs showed moderate diagnostic performance. Conclusions: AI-based diagnostic models demonstrate promising performance for detecting periodontitis on panoramic radiographs, with several studies reporting high sensitivity and AUC values. However, heterogeneity in reference standards, limited external validation, and inconsistent dataset quality restrict generalizability. AI should be considered an adjunct to, rather than a replacement for, comprehensive clinical periodontal examination. Standardized datasets and robust external validation are needed to support clinical implementation. Full article
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24 pages, 965 KB  
Review
Sensor Fusion and Perception for Autonomous Driving: A Critical Review of Modalities, AI Models, Algorithms, and Industry Configurations
by Esraa Khatab, Fares Fathy, Abdallah AlKholy and Omar Shalash
Mach. Learn. Knowl. Extr. 2026, 8(7), 199; https://doi.org/10.3390/make8070199 (registering DOI) - 7 Jul 2026
Abstract
Autonomous driving systems rely on a sophisticated pipeline of artificial intelligence models to perceive, predict, and plan in dynamic environments. This review presents a systematic analysis of the machine learning and deep learning models underpinning vehicle autonomy, spanning classical convolutional neural networks (CNNs) [...] Read more.
Autonomous driving systems rely on a sophisticated pipeline of artificial intelligence models to perceive, predict, and plan in dynamic environments. This review presents a systematic analysis of the machine learning and deep learning models underpinning vehicle autonomy, spanning classical convolutional neural networks (CNNs) for object detection and semantic segmentation to recurrent and Transformer-based architectures for trajectory prediction and motion planning. It also provides a critical examination of the autonomous vehicle sensor stack, including cameras, LiDAR, radar, ultrasonics, and GNSS/IMU as data acquisition systems, highlighting modality-specific AI challenges such as monocular depth estimation, 3D point cloud processing, and radar Doppler interpretation. The evolution of perception and decision-making pipelines is reviewed, contrasting modular architectures with end-to-end learning paradigms that directly map raw sensor data to control commands, and discussing their trade-offs in interpretability, safety assurance, and robustness to rare edge cases. We further survey specialized hardware accelerators and heterogeneous automotive SoCs designed to meet stringent real-time and power constraints. Industrial strategies are compared, including multi-modal sensor fusion and vision-centric approaches based on large-scale imitation learning. Finally, we identify open challenges related to robustness under adverse conditions, domain shift, causal ambiguity, and the need for interpretable and certifiable AI in safety-critical autonomous driving systems. Full article
44 pages, 4860 KB  
Article
PM2.5/PM10 Forecasting System with Benchmarking of 44 Machine Learning Algorithms and Ensemble Learning Approaches
by Pedro Mamani-Suclla, Sharon Villavicencio-Siu and Antonio Arroyo-Paz
Sensors 2026, 26(13), 4315; https://doi.org/10.3390/s26134315 (registering DOI) - 7 Jul 2026
Abstract
Air pollution from particulate matter (PM2.5 and PM10) poses a serious public health risk in urban environments, particularly in areas with heavy vehicular traffic. Against this backdrop, the present study proposes an Internet of Things (IoT)-based system designed to support air quality monitoring [...] Read more.
Air pollution from particulate matter (PM2.5 and PM10) poses a serious public health risk in urban environments, particularly in areas with heavy vehicular traffic. Against this backdrop, the present study proposes an Internet of Things (IoT)-based system designed to support air quality monitoring and evidence-based decision-making regarding PM2.5 and PM10 concentrations, integrating low-cost sensors with a machine learning prediction module. The study follows an experimental-applied design with a quantitative–comparative approach. Its scientific contribution is organized around an integrated IoT-ML framework addressing a concrete gap in the literature: the lack of local empirical evidence regarding which family of machine learning algorithms delivers the greatest accuracy, stability, and computational efficiency for particulate matter forecasting in mid-altitude urban environments using low-cost sensors. On one hand, the framework proposes and deploys a four-node IoT network for continuous PM2.5 and PM10 monitoring in high-traffic urban microenvironments—representing one of the first sustained deployments with low-cost, high-temporal-resolution sensors (10-minute intervals) in Arequipa, Peru. On the other hand, the study presents the most extensive benchmarking reported in the local literature: a systematic evaluation of 44 machine learning algorithms under homogeneous experimental conditions, covering classical statistical models, traditional machine learning techniques, deep learning architectures, and hybrid approaches, along with an analysis of ensemble learning strategies using Ridge stacking and K-Fold cross-validation. This unified comparative analysis—applying consistent metrics (MAE, RMSE, R2, and MAPE), the same prediction horizon, and a shared dataset—provides replicable empirical evidence that had not previously been reported for the urban context of Arequipa. The results show that traditional statistical models perform poorly overall, while tree-based and boosting algorithms consistently achieve R2 values above 0.90 for both pollutants. Ensemble models, particularly stacking with Ridge regression and cross-validation, yielded the strongest overall performance, demonstrating greater robustness and prediction stability. Explainability criteria were also incorporated, enabling an assessment of each base model’s individual contribution and identifying the variables most relevant to the prediction process. The methodological contribution provides future researchers with a rigorous reference framework for algorithm selection in environmental IoT systems. Taken together, the findings demonstrate that combining low-cost IoT networks with advanced machine learning and ensemble learning techniques constitutes an effective, scalable, and cost-efficient alternative for air quality monitoring, predictive analysis, and the support of informed mitigation strategies in urban environments. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Environmental Sensing)
33 pages, 14758 KB  
Review
Advanced Techniques in Stability Analysis of Trans-Neptunian Objects
by Tamás Kovács
Universe 2026, 12(7), 203; https://doi.org/10.3390/universe12070203 (registering DOI) - 7 Jul 2026
Abstract
The trans-Neptunian region (30–50 AU) is a dynamically structured reservoir of icy planetesimals whose orbital architecture reflects resonant dynamics, chaotic transport, and long-term gravitational sculpting by the giant planets. This review synthesizes recent developments in the dynamical investigation of trans-Neptunian objects (TNOs), with [...] Read more.
The trans-Neptunian region (30–50 AU) is a dynamically structured reservoir of icy planetesimals whose orbital architecture reflects resonant dynamics, chaotic transport, and long-term gravitational sculpting by the giant planets. This review synthesizes recent developments in the dynamical investigation of trans-Neptunian objects (TNOs), with an emphasis on mean-motion and secular resonances, as well as chaotic diffusion, in a system whose growing observational census makes it an ideal testbed for chaos detection methods. Classical indicators, including Lyapunov exponents, MEGNO, SALI/GALI, and frequency map analysis, provide the quantitative backbone for mapping TNO phase space and are complemented by modern approaches such as Lagrangian descriptors, the FAIR resonance identification method, entropy-based chaos indicators, and recurrence plot divergence methods. An anomalous diffusion framework, in which mean squared displacement scales as a power law in time, further enables classification of sub- and superdiffusive orbital transport. Machine learning has emerged as a powerful complement to traditional dynamical methods: surrogate classifiers, deep neural network solvers, and hybrid physics–data-driven frameworks together extend reliable prediction horizons in chaotic regimes and open new routes for Bayesian inference of migration scenarios. The review concludes that the most promising path forward lies in hybrid dynamical–statistical frameworks anchored to Hamiltonian dynamics, enabling efficient exploration of high-dimensional parameter spaces informed by the expanding body of trans-Neptunian observations. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue The Hidden Stories of Small Planetary Bodies)
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27 pages, 2852 KB  
Article
Causal-Structure-Based Cryptocurrency Price Direction Prediction Model
by Yuantai Cui and Hiroaki Fukunishi
Forecasting 2026, 8(4), 58; https://doi.org/10.3390/forecast8040058 (registering DOI) - 7 Jul 2026
Abstract
In the highly volatile cryptocurrency market, trading decision support based on price prediction remains a challenging task. Although machine learning and deep learning techniques have been widely applied to cryptocurrency price prediction, many existing approaches rely on correlation-based black-box models, which limits interpretability [...] Read more.
In the highly volatile cryptocurrency market, trading decision support based on price prediction remains a challenging task. Although machine learning and deep learning techniques have been widely applied to cryptocurrency price prediction, many existing approaches rely on correlation-based black-box models, which limits interpretability and robustness. In this study, we employed a NOTEARS-Linear-based Prediction Model (NLBPM) that directly incorporated causal structures inferred through a causal discovery method as structural constraints within the prediction model. Unlike conventional approaches that focus primarily on minimizing prediction error, the NLBPM emphasized return maximization as its objective function, thereby prioritizing practical economic value. Using Bitcoin as a case study, we constructed a model to predict the direction of price movement four hours ahead and evaluated its performance using a rolling-window scheme with a one-month sliding window. Analysis of the inferred causal structures showed that the returns improved when trades were executed only during rolling-window trials in which specific directed edges to the target variable were detected. Based on this finding, we proposed a causal filter strategy that restricts trading to periods in which specific directed edges to the target variable are detected. In the data period analyzed in this study, the selected edge was the one from the opening price (Open) to the target variable. Backtesting experiments incorporating a transaction fee of 0.1% demonstrated that, while the benchmark LSTM model achieved a negative monthly average return of −3.20% and the NLBPM without filtering yielded −0.72%, the NLBPM with the Open filter attained a higher monthly average return of 10.35%. This study supports the usefulness of using inferred causal structure for cryptocurrency trading decision support. Full article
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20 pages, 5122 KB  
Proceeding Paper
Resource-Significant Activity Costing in Offshore Structure Construction Projects Using Artificial Neural Network
by Mofiyinfoluwa Tobi Olowe and Michael Ayomoh
Eng. Proc. 2026, 138(1), 13; https://doi.org/10.3390/engproc2026138013 (registering DOI) - 7 Jul 2026
Abstract
Fixed-bottom or floating offshore structures are the foundations, platforms, and associated infrastructure that allow for oil and gas production systems, offshore wind turbines, and cabling. The remote nature of these structures and the harsh environment with high variability in wind, waves, currents, and [...] Read more.
Fixed-bottom or floating offshore structures are the foundations, platforms, and associated infrastructure that allow for oil and gas production systems, offshore wind turbines, and cabling. The remote nature of these structures and the harsh environment with high variability in wind, waves, currents, and weather make construction activity very difficult and unpredictable; the cost of variation in the schedule can lead to high construction vessel and personnel costs. The adoption of artificial intelligence using trends observed in historical data can help achieve more accurate construction costs and schedule predictions, reducing the capital expenditure cost of installation. A resource-significant activity, sometimes called a resource-critical activity or high-resource-demand activity, is an activity on a construction or project schedule that consumes a disproportionately large share of one or more resources compared with others. Plant Design Modelling (PDM) is a digital process that creates and manages a detailed 3D model of a building’s physical and functional characteristics and semantic information, such as cost and schedule. PDM serves as a single source of truth for multidisciplinary activities and, therefore, serves as a rich data source for various construction applications, including project scheduling and cost estimation. Neural networks (NNs), a subset of machine learning algorithms inspired by the human brain, excel at identifying patterns in complex datasets and making predictions, such as forecasting costs based on non-linear relationships and historical trends. Data from an offshore structure modification project were extracted from Aveva’s Everything PDM, focusing on installation activities to create a dataset for machine learning model training. The structured data extracted exhibit non-linear patterns; therefore, linear, regularised linear, robust linear, and the ensemble (tree-based) models and supervised neural network models with varied architecture and hyperparameter values were evaluated and compared. The best performance was obtained using the deep-optimised ANN model. The result obtained is consistent with previous studies. The neural network models show a superior ability to predict the non-linear nature of offshore construction activities’ time. Full article
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23 pages, 2472 KB  
Review
High-Resolution Global Methane Mapping: Advances in Satellite Remote Sensing, Machine Learning, and Policy Frameworks
by Amit Kumar Singh and Madhubala
Methane 2026, 5(3), 21; https://doi.org/10.3390/methane5030021 - 7 Jul 2026
Abstract
Methane (CH4) is the second most important anthropogenic greenhouse gas, accounting for approximately 30% of current global warming. Since 2007, atmospheric methane concentrations have been increasing at an accelerating rate, reaching a record 1945.85 ppb in November 2025. The [...] Read more.
Methane (CH4) is the second most important anthropogenic greenhouse gas, accounting for approximately 30% of current global warming. Since 2007, atmospheric methane concentrations have been increasing at an accelerating rate, reaching a record 1945.85 ppb in November 2025. The emergence of high-resolution satellite constellations has transformed our ability to detect, quantify, and attribute methane emissions from space. This review provides a comprehensive analysis of the current state of high-resolution global methane mapping, examining: (1) the evolution of satellite missions from coarse-resolution sounders like TROPOMI (5.5 × 7 km) to very high-resolution imagers including WorldView-3 (3.7 m), GHGSat (50 m), and the recently launched Tanager-1 (30 m); (2) advances in retrieval algorithms, including the transition from physics-based matched filter methods to deep learning approaches such as U-Net architectures achieving F1-scores of 78.4% on Sentinel-2 imagery; (3) integration of satellite observations with atmospheric inverse models for flux estimation; (4) the impact of satellite-derived data on policy frameworks including the Global Methane Pledge and EPA’s Super-Emitter Program; and (5) remaining challenges including cloud contamination, detection limit trade-offs, and the need for sustained validation networks. We synthesize findings from over 200 peer-reviewed studies and analyze 42 years of NOAA global methane observations to demonstrate how the convergence of improved spatial resolution, machine learning, and international coordination is enabling unprecedented transparency in global methane monitoring. The review concludes with recommendations for future satellite missions and data assimilation strategies needed to meet the Global Methane Pledge target of 30% emission reductions by 2030. Full article
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19 pages, 2899 KB  
Article
Comparing Unsupervised and Supervised Classifiers on Multispectral UAV Data to Detect Crop Water–Nitrogen Co-Limitation
by Christophe Frem, Sheng Wang, Stojanche Nechkovski, Xiaolin Yang, Shaohui Zhang, Blagoja Mukanov, Junxiang Peng, Chariton Kalaitzidis and Kiril Manevski
Appl. Sci. 2026, 16(13), 6808; https://doi.org/10.3390/app16136808 - 7 Jul 2026
Abstract
This study compared unsupervised and supervised machine learning, and deep learning (U-Net) classifiers on Unmanned Aerial Vehicle (UAV) multispectral imagery to identify nitrogen status in potato crops under nitrogen (N) fertilization treatments, irrigation (I), and their interaction (N × I). The U-Net model [...] Read more.
This study compared unsupervised and supervised machine learning, and deep learning (U-Net) classifiers on Unmanned Aerial Vehicle (UAV) multispectral imagery to identify nitrogen status in potato crops under nitrogen (N) fertilization treatments, irrigation (I), and their interaction (N × I). The U-Net model outperformed all other methods, achieving accuracies for crop nitrogen status of 65–99% in N, 84–100% in I, and 41–82% in N × I treatments, with variation due to different input data. Supervised machine learning also performed well, with Support Vector Machine achieving 53–87, 66–86, and 32–66% respectively, and Random Forest 61–96, 70–81, and 33–65%. Unsupervised K-means yielded the lowest accuracies (47–58, 9–65, and 8–34%), demonstrating necessity of substantial supervision to delineate crop nitrogen and water status. These findings were confirmed by repeated analyses of UAV imagery acquired later in the growing season with consistent results. Comparable classification performance was observed for crop water status and leaf area index at both time points. Despite being demonstrated in a single-field, single-crop framework, the results provide proof of concept for applying deep learning classifiers to detect subtle nitrogen and water stress under field conditions in precision agriculture. Future research could test diverse agroecosystems and growing seasons, alternative deep learning algorithms, and sensor data fusion to improve classification accuracies. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Computing and Artificial Intelligence)
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23 pages, 12377 KB  
Article
A Comparative Assessment of Machine and Deep Learning Approaches for Grassland Mapping with Sentinel-1, Sentinel-2 and Ancillary Data
by Princess Khoza, Zinhle Mashaba-Munghemezulu, Elias Mabetoa, Sipho Sibanda and George Johannes Chirima
Land 2026, 15(7), 1215; https://doi.org/10.3390/land15071215 - 7 Jul 2026
Abstract
Grasslands represent one of the most extensive terrestrial biomes globally, covering approximately one-third of the Earth’s land surface, yet they are increasingly threatened by land-use change and overgrazing, underscoring the need for reliable monitoring approaches. This study compares the performance of machine learning [...] Read more.
Grasslands represent one of the most extensive terrestrial biomes globally, covering approximately one-third of the Earth’s land surface, yet they are increasingly threatened by land-use change and overgrazing, underscoring the need for reliable monitoring approaches. This study compares the performance of machine learning and deep learning algorithms for grassland mapping using multi-source remote sensing data derived from Sentinel-1, Sentinel-2, and terrain variables. The research was conducted in Mpumalanga Province, South Africa, a heterogeneous landscape comprising lowland savannas, high-altitude grasslands, escarpments, and riverine wetlands. Random Forest (RF) and Support Vector Machine (SVM) classifiers were implemented in Google Earth Engine using fused satellite and terrain datasets with field-collected samples for training and validation, while a One-Dimensional Convolutional Neural Network (1D-CNN) was developed in Python 3.13.5 using the same inputs. Results demonstrate that integrating multi-source data improves classification accuracy, with radar-based features contributing the most. RF achieved the highest performance, with an overall accuracy of 97.7% and grass-class precision, recall, and F1-score exceeding 0.97, closely followed by the 1D-CNN with 91% overall accuracy and complete grass detection. In contrast, SVM performed notably lower with an overall accuracy of 80,8%. These findings highlight the effectiveness of advanced learning approaches for grassland mapping and support their application in ecological restoration and environmental management. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Challenges and Future Trends in Land Cover/Use Monitoring)
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30 pages, 649 KB  
Article
Multimodal Social Sensing with Hierarchical Consistency Constraints for Robust Detection of Social Financial Risk Patterns
by Shangshan Chen, Rong Fu, Yi Zeng, Yunfei Li, Lirui Chen, Jianan Xu and Jinghui Yin
Appl. Sci. 2026, 16(13), 6800; https://doi.org/10.3390/app16136800 - 7 Jul 2026
Abstract
In social sensing environments, misinformation and coordinated manipulation often manifest through implicit semantic signals, complex behavioral dynamics, and highly coupled propagation structures. These factors pose significant challenges to artificial intelligence-driven sensing systems regarding data quality, multimodal fusion, and robustness. To address these issues, [...] Read more.
In social sensing environments, misinformation and coordinated manipulation often manifest through implicit semantic signals, complex behavioral dynamics, and highly coupled propagation structures. These factors pose significant challenges to artificial intelligence-driven sensing systems regarding data quality, multimodal fusion, and robustness. To address these issues, this study proposes an artificial intelligence-driven multi-granularity sensing framework. This framework integrates heterogeneous sensing signals from post-level semantic perception, user-level behavioral sensing, and group-level structural sensing into a unified representation space. Hierarchical consistency constraints enable cross-granularity sensing collaboration. This mechanism enhances stability and discriminative capability under complex and noisy data conditions. Methodologically, the framework jointly incorporates semantic sensing via text encoding, temporal sensing via behavioral sequence modeling, and structural sensing via graph neural network-based propagation. This integration effectively mitigates information bias induced by single-perspective sensing and improves the modeling of latent risk patterns. Experimental results on real-world datasets demonstrate that the proposed framework achieves significant improvements across multiple evaluation metrics. Specifically, it achieves a Precision of 0.847, a Recall of 0.812, an F1-score of 0.829, an Accuracy of 0.856, and an Area Under Curve of 0.913. It consistently outperforms traditional machine learning models, as well as mainstream deep learning and graph-based approaches. Furthermore, comparison experiments validate the complementarity among semantic, behavioral, and structural sensing signals. The full model achieves an improvement of more than 3 percentage points in the F1-score compared to single-granularity configurations. An ablation study further demonstrates that each sensing module contributes substantially to performance enhancement, with the semantic sensing and hierarchical consistency constraints playing particularly critical roles. Overall, the proposed method exhibits a strong capability to handle complex heterogeneous sensing data. It improves robustness and enhances cross-level information utilization, providing an effective solution to data-related challenges in artificial intelligence-driven sensing systems. Full article
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32 pages, 5102 KB  
Article
Quantifying Uncertainty in Permeability Estimation Using Deep Learning and Generative Models
by Oriyomi Raheem, Misael M. Morales, Michael Pyrcz, Carlos Torres-Verdín, Wen Pan, Yuanjun Li, Xiaohui Xiao, Rafael Centeno, Jay Chen and Pandu Devarakota
Geosciences 2026, 16(7), 275; https://doi.org/10.3390/geosciences16070275 - 6 Jul 2026
Abstract
Uncertainty quantification of well-log interpretation is essential to derisking subsurface exploration and development decision-making by providing possible scenarios for reservoir property distribution, fluid flow behaviors, and hydrocarbon potential. Well-log interpretation offers crucial insights into permeability variations, reservoir compartmentalization, mineral composition, and fluid mobility. [...] Read more.
Uncertainty quantification of well-log interpretation is essential to derisking subsurface exploration and development decision-making by providing possible scenarios for reservoir property distribution, fluid flow behaviors, and hydrocarbon potential. Well-log interpretation offers crucial insights into permeability variations, reservoir compartmentalization, mineral composition, and fluid mobility. Inherent uncertainties, such as those arising from geological heterogeneity, limited sampling, and non-uniform distribution of rock properties, can lead to inaccuracies that compromise petrophysical interpretation and formation evaluation. However, traditional data-driven well-log interpretation methods, which map well logs to formation properties based on core measurements, are primarily deterministic and fail to quantify uncertainty accurately. By leveraging deep learning and generative models, we introduce a probabilistic approach that significantly improves permeability estimation and uncertainty quantification. Our methodology integrates co-kriging techniques with Conditional Generative Adversarial Networks (cGANs) and Conditional Variational Autoencoders (cVAEs), establishing a quantitative relationship between kriged core, well-log data and permeability. Our approach enhances petrophysical property uncertainty estimations based on geostatistics by establishing a quantitative relationship between kriged estimates and flow-related properties. Training features are constructed using collocated co-kriging, capturing the cross-correlation between well logs (input features) and core data (output formation properties). Core bulk density, calculated from grain density, is kriged to well-log resolution to enable porosity estimation, while permeability is similarly kriged. A low-pass filter is then applied to smooth the kriged core bulk density, permeability, and estimated porosity, ensuring more accurate interpretations. The results reveal that cGANs and cVAEs consistently produce lower uncertainty estimates compared to traditional machine learning models. High-permeability zones exhibit lower uncertainty (approximately 3–5%), while low-permeability zones show higher uncertainty (10–15%). Traditional deep learning models tend to overestimate uncertainty, whereas generative models provide more reliable estimates. Additionally, applying kriged permeability data improves uncertainty estimations, further reducing uncertainty to 3% in high-permeability zones and 10% in low-permeability zones. To ensure broad applicability, the methods were tested on datasets from both carbonate and clastic reservoirs. In carbonate formations, prior classification steps are necessary to achieve accurate permeability predictions. The interpretation workflow improves permeability estimation accuracy and enhances uncertainty quantification across conventional and unconventional reservoirs. Additionally, this method is adaptable for CO2 injection and H2 storage wells, demonstrating versatility across various reservoir types. Full article
27 pages, 8713 KB  
Article
Integrated Traffic–Weather-Aware Forecasting of Urban EV Charging Demand for Infrastructure Planning
by Christoph Sommer, Jahangir Hossain and Abbas Tabandeh
Energies 2026, 19(13), 3199; https://doi.org/10.3390/en19133199 - 6 Jul 2026
Abstract
The accelerating adoption of electric vehicles (EVs) presents significant challenges for maintaining grid stability and optimizing charging infrastructure. Accurate short-term forecasting of EV charging demand is therefore critical to support reliable grid operation and effective energy management in urban environments. However, existing forecasting [...] Read more.
The accelerating adoption of electric vehicles (EVs) presents significant challenges for maintaining grid stability and optimizing charging infrastructure. Accurate short-term forecasting of EV charging demand is therefore critical to support reliable grid operation and effective energy management in urban environments. However, existing forecasting models often fail to capture the intricate interdependencies among mobility patterns, weather variations, and real-world charging behaviors, which constrains their generalizability and robustness. This study develops a multi-model forecasting framework that leverages Transformer-based deep learning architectures to integrate real-world charging data with traffic flow and meteorological variables for predicting short-term EV charging demand across metropolitan areas. To benchmark performance, two additional machine learning models—CatBoost and convolutional neural networks (CNNs)—are systematically evaluated using datasets from urban EV supply equipment (EVSE) and electric bus systems. The results indicate that Transformer-based models deliver superior predictive accuracy, temporal consistency, and adaptability compared with CNNs and CatBoost. Furthermore, sensitivity analysis reveals that traffic dynamics and user charging behavior exert the strongest influence on forecast performance. The proposed framework offers actionable insights for utilities and urban planners, facilitating resilient grid operation, optimized charging infrastructure deployment, and accelerated integration of EVs into the power system. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Advancements in Vehicle-to-Grid Technology for Smart Energy Systems)
26 pages, 1642 KB  
Article
Electricity Consumption Databases and Contribution of a New Equatorial Dataset from Ecuador for Load Forecasting Applications
by Erik Fernando Mendez-Garces, David Buldain and María Paz Comech
Energies 2026, 19(13), 3198; https://doi.org/10.3390/en19133198 - 6 Jul 2026
Abstract
Accurate electricity consumption forecasting is essential for the efficient planning and operation of modern power systems. The development of predictive models based on machine learning and deep learning strongly depends on the availability of well-documented and publicly accessible electricity consumption datasets. However, most [...] Read more.
Accurate electricity consumption forecasting is essential for the efficient planning and operation of modern power systems. The development of predictive models based on machine learning and deep learning strongly depends on the availability of well-documented and publicly accessible electricity consumption datasets. However, most existing databases are concentrated in Europe and North America and are typically focused on residential measurements obtained from smart meters, resulting in limited representation of equatorial regions. This work presents a structured review of public electricity consumption repositories, analyzing characteristics such as geographical coverage, temporal resolution, user type, and accessibility. Based on the limitations identified in the literature, a new electricity consumption dataset obtained from real measurements collected at distribution substations located in an equatorial region is presented. The dataset was organized through a systematic preprocessing workflow that included temporal standardization, construction of 48-hour sliding windows, normalization, and stratified partitioning into training, validation, and test subsets. The descriptive statistical analysis confirms the consistency of the generated subsets and reveals differences between working-day and non-working-day consumption patterns. The proposed dataset provides a reproducible resource for the development and evaluation of multi-horizon electricity demand forecasting models, as well as for load analysis and energy management studies in equatorial regions. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section F1: Electrical Power System)
34 pages, 5702 KB  
Article
Multi-Model Approaches for One-Month-Ahead Agricultural Drought Forecasting in a Data-Scarce Andean Basin: Insights from the Northern Region of the Atacama Desert
by Ana Cruz-Baltuano, Pablo Franco-León, Nahuel Molero-Yañez, David Alvarado-Kong, Edgar Taya-Acosta and Edwin Pino-Vargas
Climate 2026, 14(7), 140; https://doi.org/10.3390/cli14070140 - 6 Jul 2026
Abstract
Agricultural drought represents a critical threat to water-dependent economies in arid Andean regions; however, forecasting tools tailored to data-scarce, high-altitude basins remain limited. This study developed and evaluated a multi-model spatiotemporal framework for agricultural drought forecasting in Candarave, in the northern Atacama Desert; [...] Read more.
Agricultural drought represents a critical threat to water-dependent economies in arid Andean regions; however, forecasting tools tailored to data-scarce, high-altitude basins remain limited. This study developed and evaluated a multi-model spatiotemporal framework for agricultural drought forecasting in Candarave, in the northern Atacama Desert; we forecast the 3-month Standardized Precipitation–Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI-3) one month ahead (lead time t + 1) for an agricultural, data-scarce Andean basin. Seven modeling approaches were compared: three machine learning baselines (XGBoost, Random Forest, and Elastic Net), two statistical time-series models (ARIMA and ARIMAX), and two deep learning architectures (CNN-LSTM and ConvRNN). A driver analysis based on Elastic-Net coefficients identified spatiotemporal persistence (SPEI_neighbor, SPEI_lag1), precipitation, maximum temperature, and the Coastal El Niño Index (ICEN) as the dominant drought predictors. ARIMAX achieved the best overall performance (RMSE = 0.377; R2 = 0.909; NSE = 0.909; KGE = 0.889), demonstrating that incorporating exogenous climatic drivers substantially enhances forecasting skill. Among machine learning baselines, Elastic Net outperformed tree-based models (KGE = 0.924). Deep learning models revealed the weakest performance, with very low R2 values, attributed to insufficient training data, overparameterization, and the predominantly linear and persistence-driven nature of drought dynamics in Candarave. Under an operationally realistic configuration (all predictors lagged to forecast time), the approach provides a useful decision-support tool for one-month-ahead agricultural drought early warning, rather than a turnkey operational system. Full article
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