Search Results (44)

The combined effects of climate change and socio-economic development have intensified the risk of water supply–demand imbalance in China. To project future trends, this study develops a multi-scenario coupled prediction framework integrating climate, socio-economic, and human activity drivers, combining data-driven and physically based modeling approaches to assess terrestrial water storage imbalance in nine major river basins under six representative SSP–RCP scenarios through the end of the 21st century. Using ISIMIP multi-model runoff outputs along with GDP and population projections, agricultural, industrial, and domestic water demands were estimated. A Water Conflict Index was proposed by integrating the Water Supply–Demand Stress Index and the Standardized Hydrological Runoff Index to identify high-risk basins. Results show that under high-emission scenarios, the WCI in the Yellow River, Hai River, and Northwest Rivers remains high, peaking during 2040–2069, while low-emission scenarios significantly alleviate stress in most basins. Water allocation inequity is mainly driven by insufficient supply in arid northern regions and limited redistribution capacity in resource-rich southern basins. Targeted strategies are recommended for different risk types, including inter-basin water transfer, optimization of water use structure and pricing policies, and the development of resilient management systems, providing scenario-based quantitative support for future water security and policy-making in China. Full article

Inter-basin water transfer projects are core infrastructure for achieving sustainable water resource allocation and addressing regional water scarcity, and pumping station units, as their critical energy-consuming and operation-controlling components, are vital to the projects’ sustainable performance. With the growing complexity and scale of these projects, pumping station units have become more intricate, leading to a gradual rise in failure rates. However, existing fault diagnosis methods are relatively backward, failing to promptly detect potential faults—this not only threatens operational safety but also undermines sustainable development goals: equipment failures cause excessive energy consumption (violating energy efficiency requirements for sustainability), unplanned downtime disrupts stable water supply (impairing reliable water resource access), and even leads to water waste or environmental risks. To address this sustainability-oriented challenge, this paper focuses on the fault characteristics of pumping station units and proposes a comprehensive and accurate fault diagnosis model, aiming to enhance the sustainability of water transfer projects through technical optimization. The model utilizes advanced algorithms and data processing technologies to accurately identify fault types, thereby laying a technical foundation for the low-energy, reliable, and sustainable operation of pumping stations. Firstly, continuous wavelet transform (CWT) converts one-dimensional time-domain signals into two-dimensional time-frequency graphs, visually displaying dynamic signal characteristics to capture early fault features that may cause energy waste. Next, the multi-head attention mechanism (MHA) segments the time-frequency graphs and correlates feature-location information via independent self-attention layers, accurately capturing the temporal correlation of fault evolution—this enables early fault warning to avoid prolonged inefficient operation and energy loss. Finally, the improved convolutional neural network (CNN) layer integrates feature information and temporal correlation, outputting predefined fault probabilities for accurate fault determination. Experimental results show the model effectively solves the difficulty of feature extraction in pumping station fault diagnosis, considers fault evolution timeliness, and significantly improves prediction accuracy and anti-noise performance. Comparative experiments with three existing methods verify its superiority. Critically, this model strengthens sustainability in three key ways: (1) early fault detection reduces unplanned downtime, ensuring stable water supply (a core sustainable water resource goal); (2) accurate fault localization cuts unnecessary maintenance energy consumption, aligning with energy-saving requirements; (3) reduced equipment failure risks minimize water waste and environmental impacts. Thus, it not only provides a new method for pumping station fault diagnosis but also offers technical support for the sustainable operation of water conservancy infrastructure, contributing to global sustainable development goals (SDGs) related to water and energy. Full article

Climate change is intensifying droughts and threatening water security worldwide, particularly in arid and semi-arid regions. Israel’s innovative response has been to integrate large-scale desalination into its water supply and climate resilience strategy, recently constructing the Reverse Water Carrier, a pioneering project that conveys desalinated seawater from the Mediterranean inland to Lake Kinneret (Sea of Galilee). This study examines the objectives, rationale, and feasibility of this system as a model for climate-resilient water management. Using a qualitative case study approach, it evaluates the project across four dimensions: water security, environmental sustainability, economic feasibility and regional cooperation. Data were drawn from policy documents, expert interviews, and government reports. The analysis finds that replenishing the Kinneret with surplus desalinated water enhances national water reliability, reduces salinity, stabilizes agricultural production, and provides a critical emergency reserve, while introducing manageable energy and ecological trade-offs. Although long-term sustainability will depend on continued efficiency improvements and adaptive management, Israel’s experience demonstrates how inter-basin desalination transfers can strengthen water security and offer a replicable framework for other regions confronting climate-induced scarcity. Full article

Inter-basin water transfer projects (IBWTPs) play a crucial role in addressing the uneven spatial and temporal distribution of water resources and ensuring water security in the receiving areas. However, these projects are subject to various risk factors during their operation. While risk management is critical, current research in this field lacks a systematic and dynamic approach. A three-dimensional measurement model for probability, loss, and risk value, based on Dempster–Shafer (DS) evidence theory, Bayesian networks, and the equivalence method, was established in this study and, in consideration of the engineering characteristics of the IBWTP, a dynamic transmission evolution model for risk is constructed. The applicability and effectiveness of the model are demonstrated through a case study of the Central Line Project of South-to-North Water Diversion (CLPSNWD). The results indicate that the system risk of the CLPSNWD is in an unstable state, with the key influencing factors being channel engineering risk, flood disaster risk, pipeline engineering risk, and water transfer (discharge) cross-structure risk. The research findings offer a novel approach to the quantitative analysis and evolution of risk and contribute to the further development of engineering risk management theory. Full article

Research on the impact and response strategies of inter-basin water transfer projects (IBWTs) on regional hydrology, water resources, the ecological environment, the economy, and society holds significant strategic importance for the protection of the environment and long-term economic and social development throughout the entire lifecycle of IBWTs. In this study, the current state and trends in research on the comprehensive impact of IBWTs were explored using CiteSpace and HistCite, two analytical tools, to perform a bibliometric analysis on 498 studies (2002–2024) in the Web of Science Core Collection (WoSCC). The following aspects are addressed in depth: (1) The characteristics of publications on the comprehensive impact of IBWTs. (2) Critical information on the countries, institutions, and subjects engaged in research about the comprehensive impact of IBWTs. (3) The trends and hotspots of research on the comprehensive impact of IBWTs. In this study, we review and evaluate the results of research on the comprehensive impact of large-scale IBWTs, efficiently providing scholars an understanding of the existing research and new frontiers in this field. In addition, for domestic and foreign scholars who are about to delve into the assessment of IBWTs’ impacts and related research, this article can provide valuable information on hot topics and next steps in research from a global perspective. Full article

This study quantitatively assesses the risk of water shortage (WSR) in the Baiyangdian area due to the Inter-Basin Water Transfer (IBWT) project, focusing on the impact of water transfer on regional water security. The actual evapotranspiration (ETa) is calculated, and the correlation simulation using Archimedes’ Copula function is implemented in Python 3.7.1, with optimization using the sum of squares of deviations (OLS) and the AIC criterion. The joint distribution model between ETa and three water supply scenarios is constructed. Key findings include (1) ETa increased by 27.3% after water transfer, far exceeding the slight increase in water supply before the transfer; (2) various Archimedean Copulas effectively capture the dependence and joint probability distribution between water supply and ETa; (3) water shortage risk increased after water transfer, with rainfall and upstream water unable to alleviate the problem in Baiyangdian; and (4) cross-basin water transfer reduced risk, with a reduction of 8.90% in the total probability of three key water resource scheduling combinations. This study establishes a Copula-based framework for water shortage risk assessment, providing a scientific basis for water allocation strategies in ecologically sensitive areas affected by human activities. Full article

A reasonable water price for interbasin water transfer projects (IWTPs) is vital for solving the problem of unequal water use among different water users caused by different water source supply prices, promoting external water transfer consumption, and ensuring the stable and equitable project operation. However, the formulation of the water price is influenced by many factors, and it is necessary to identify the key factors and their interactions in the water prices formulation for IWTPs. In this study, we identified 15 factors that affect it. This paper used the fuzzy decision-making trial and evaluation laboratory (DEMATEL) to analyze the causal relationships and importance levels among the influencing factors. A four-level hierarchical structural model was established using an interpretive structural model (ISM), which intuitively displayed the hierarchical structure and pathways of each factor. The role of each influencing factor was determined by using MICMAC. Finally, the grey relational analysis method was used to identify the top five key factors: the socioeconomic development level, diversification of water resources, water demand of water users, cost of the project’s water supply, and national policies and regulations. Strategies to improve the formulation of water prices have also been proposed. The results show that the top five factors influencing the water price for IWTPs are the socio-economic development level, diversification of water resources, water demand of water users, cost of the project’s water supply, and national policies and regulations. The water price should be formulated based on the water resource cost, supply–demand relationships of water resources, and policy objectives to ensure scientific and reasonable cost allocation and differentiated pricing. For water-transfer projects with strong public welfare, the government may lower water prices through financial subsidies to alleviate the burden on water users. Full article

The hydrodynamics characteristics of artificial water diversion canals with long-distance and inter-basin multi-stage sluice gate regulations are prone to sudden increases and decreases, and sluice gate discharge differs from that of natural rivers. Research on the change characteristics of hydrological elements in artificial canals under the control of sluice gates is lacking, as are scientifically accurate calculations of sluice gate discharge. Therefore, addressing these gaps in long-distance artificial water transfer is of great importance. In this study, real-time operation data of 61 sluice gates, pertaining to the period from May 2019 to July 2021, including data on water levels, flow discharge, velocity, and sluice gate openings in the main canal of the Middle Route of the South-to-North Water Diversion Project of China, were analyzed. The discharge coefficient of each sluice gate was calculated by the dimensional analysis method, and the unit-width discharge was modeled as a function of gate opening ($e$), gravity acceleration ($g$), and energy difference ($H$). Through logarithmic transformation of the Buckingham Pi theorem-derived equation, a linear regression model was used. Data within the relative opening orifice flow regime were selected for fitting, yielding the discharge coefficients and stage–discharge relationships. The results demonstrate that during the study period, the water level, discharge, and velocity of the main canal showed an increasing trend year by year. The dimensional analysis results indicate that the stage–discharge response relationship followed a power function ($Q\propto {(\frac{H}{e})}^{constant}$) and that there was a good linear relationship between $l{g}^{(\frac{H}{e})}$ and $l{g}^{(\frac{K}{e})}$ (R² > 0.95, $K={(q^2/g)}^{1/3}$). By integrating geometric, operational, and hydraulic parameters, the proposed method provides a practical tool and a scientific reference for analyzing sluice gates’ regulation and hydrological response characteristics, optimizing water allocation, enhancing ecological management, and improving operational safety in long-distance inter-basin water diversion projects. Full article

To address the water-use conflicts between the original water-receiving areas of the lower Hongze, Luoma, and Nansihu lakes and the receiving areas of the East Route of the South-to-North Water Diversion (ESNWD) project, a multi-objective simulation-optimization coupling model was developed. To ensure that the operating costs of the system are reduced while safeguarding water in the original receiving area of the lakes, the model had two objectives: minimizing the water shortage in the original receiving areas of the lakes and minimizing the total system cost of the ESNWD project. The water allocation scheme was optimized by adjusting the northward water transfer levels of the lakes. The Nondominated Sorting Genetic Algorithm II was used to solve the model and generate a set of non-inferior solutions for the northward water transfer levels of the lakes. The optimal solution for the northward water transfer level in the ESNWD project was obtained using the entropy weight technique for order preference by similarity to an ideal solution method. The results showed that, compared with the current northward water transfer levels, the optimally obtained northward water transfer level solution could reduce the water shortage in the original receiving area by 7.86% at a cost increase of 0.45%, which balanced the water demand of the original lake receiving area with the economic requirements of the water-receiving area of the ESNWD system, respectively. Thus, the proposed solution effectively improves the system benefits. Full article

The riverine fish species are highly vulnerable and responsive to large-scale water diversion projects. These adverse impacts are more pronounced in the plateau river ecosystems, which may change the environmental conditions of fish habitats and community structure. We investigated the effects of various environmental factors on fish diversity in seven rivers of the Western Sichuan Plateau, which is the planned area of China’s South-to-North Water Diversion Project. Twenty-two fish species, including eight exotic species, were collected during September 2023 (Autumn) and May 2024 (Spring). The fish communities exhibited no significant difference between seasons but had prominent variations among different rivers. The heterogeneity of fish communities was significantly and positively correlated with the geographical distance between the sampling sites (based on a projected coordinate system). Furthermore, the canonical correspondence analysis (CCA) illustrated that altitude contributed more to the distribution of fish species than other physicochemical factors, such as channel width, conductivity, and water temperature. Rivers at low altitudes are likely to be vulnerable to invasion of exotic fish. Our results demonstrated that the dispersal limitation by geographical distance and altitudinal gradient were the primary regulatory factors on the spatial differentiation of fish communities in the rivers of the study area, which reflected a high dependence of fish species on local habitats. As the water diversion project is implemented, more attention is expected to be paid to protecting fish habitats and regime shifts in fish communities. Additionally, the risk assessment of biological invasion under inter-basin water transfers and human activities should be carried out as soon as possible. Full article

This study employs the Graph Model for Conflict Resolution (GMCR) to systematically analyze and evaluate potential solutions to disputes arising from the Parambikulam-Aliyar Project (PAP) agreement in India. By incorporating hydrological analysis in the study, the research assesses the potential impacts of proposed solutions on water demand. The GMCR methodology is applied through a comprehensive decision support system (GMCR II), involving the identification of decision-makers, options, and preferences, followed by the development of a conflict resolution model. The analysis is based on a thorough literature review of previous studies on GMCR and PAP systems. The strategic analysis using GMCR II reveals nine stable states, representing feasible resolution scenarios. The study evaluates the real-world implications of various resolution scenarios by assessing their hydrological consequences on demand sites using Water Evaluation and Planning (WEAP). The results provide valuable insights into both conflict resolution and environmental considerations, evaluating various resolution scenarios and their feasibility. The study discusses the practical applicability and long-term effectiveness of the proposed solutions, addressing potential challenges and impacts. For instance, this study examines the potential impacts of new constructions in the PAP system, based on hypothetical data assumptions regarding water divergence and reservoir capacity. The study indicates that such a solution involving new construction can reduce the overall unmet water demand by up to 39%, with a notable decrease of up to 50% in unmet demand for irrigation in Tamil Nadu. However, the study also reveals potential challenges, including a 14% increase in unmet demand for irrigation in Kerala. This study contributes to the existing literature by providing a novel application of GMCR to a complex water management conflict, highlighting its potential to support policymakers in mitigating conflicts and promoting cooperation in the context of transboundary water management. While offering valuable insights into the strategic dynamics of the PAP agreement, the analysis is constrained by limited data availability, such as long-term hydrologic data and real-time water usage data. Future research addressing data scarcity can leverage this study’s framework to develop more robust and actionable management strategies. Full article

Inter-basin water transfer projects, such as the Yellow River to Qingdao Water Diversion Project (YQWD), are essential for addressing water scarcity, but impact local aquatic ecosystems. This study investigates the seasonal characteristics of eukaryotic microbial communities in the Jihongtan Reservoir, the main water-receiving body of YQWD, over a one-year period using 18S rDNA amplicon sequencing. The results showed that the eukaryotic microbial diversity did not exhibit significant seasonal variation (p > 0.05), but there was a notable variance in the community structure (p < 0.05). Arthropoda and Paracyclopina, representing the most dominant phylum and the most dominant genus, respectively, both exhibited the lowest abundance during the winter. The Chlorophyta, as the second-dominant phylum, demonstrates its higher abundance in the spring and winter. The Mantel test and PLS-PM (Partial Least Squares Path Modeling) revealed that water temperature (WT), dissolved oxygen (DO), and pH influenced the seasonal dynamic of eukaryotic microbial communities significantly, of which WT was the primary driving factor. In addition to environmental factors, water diversion is likely to be an important influencing factor. The results of the co-occurrence network and robustness suggested that the spring network is the most complex and exhibits the highest stability. Moreover, keystone taxa within networks have been identified, revealing that these key groups encompass both abundant and rare species, with specificity to different seasons. These insights are vital for understanding the seasonal variation of microbial communities in the Jihongtan Reservoir during ongoing water diversions. Full article

Reservoir sediment severely impacts water supply in water-scarce regions, making reservoir dredging an urgent global issue. The investment required for deep-water dredging far exceeds that for dry land dredging. Therefore, against the backdrop of the national water network construction, this study focuses on a typical inter-basin water transfer project in Northern China. To increase the proportion of dry land dredging volume and save costs, this study uses compensation reservoirs to replace the emptied reservoir in undertaking water supply tasks as a constraint. Single-objective optimization models for single reservoirs and multi-objective optimization models for reservoir groups are established, using game theory comprehensive subjective and objective weighting methods to select the optimal solution. The following conclusions are drawn from comparing the water supply effects under various emptying sequences: the optimal sequence for emptying reservoirs should be determined through precise quantitative analysis; as the dredging is completed, the water supply tends to stabilize; the satisfaction with the water supply and the variance of the water shortage rate are primarily related to reservoirs with a large inflow and storage capacity; dredging occurs according to the descending order of the storage capacity of reservoirs; and the startup proportion of pump stations shows an increasing trend. Full article

The South-to-North Water Diversion Project in China is an extensive inter-basin water transfer project, for which ensuring the safe operation and maintenance of infrastructure poses a fundamental challenge. In this context, structural health monitoring is crucial for the safe and efficient operation of hydraulic infrastructure. Currently, most health monitoring systems for hydraulic infrastructure rely on commercial software or algorithms that only run on desktop computers. This study developed for the first time a lightweight convolutional neural network (CNN) model specifically for early detection of structural damage in water supply canals and deployed it as a tiny machine learning (TinyML) application on a low-power microcontroller unit (MCU). The model uses damage images of the supply canals that we collected as input and the damage types as output. With data augmentation techniques to enhance the training dataset, the deployed model is only 7.57 KB in size and demonstrates an accuracy of 94.17 ± 1.67% and a precision of 94.47 ± 1.46%, outperforming other commonly used CNN models in terms of performance and energy efficiency. Moreover, each inference consumes only 5610.18 $\mathsf{\mu }$J of energy, allowing a standard 225 mAh button cell to run continuously for nearly 11 years and perform approximately 4,945,055 inferences. This research not only confirms the feasibility of deploying real-time supply canal surface condition monitoring on low-power, resource-constrained devices but also provides practical technical solutions for improving infrastructure security. Full article

Urbanization confronts the dual challenges of water scarcity and environmental degradation, prompting the exploration of diverse water sources for mitigating these impacts. Inter-basin water transfer (IBWT) has emerged as a solution to balance urban water demand and supply in areas with local water shortages. While IBWT can deliver high-quality water over long distances, it is costly, often contributing significantly to carbon emissions. Reclaimed water use (RWU) presents a promising alternative to address this dilemma. In this paper, a valley region of Chongqing municipality in Southwest China, which is confronted with water and environmental risks resulting from rapid urbanization, was explored and discussed as a case study to assess the potential impact of RWU on reducing carbon emissions as compared to IBWT. A method of accumulative accounting was adapted to calculate and sum up carbon emission intensities at various stages, revealing that the operational carbon emission intensities of IBWT and RWU are 0.7447 KgCO₂/m³ and 0.1880 KgCO₂/m³, respectively. This indicates that RWU substitution can reduce carbon emissions by 0.5567 KgCO₂/m³ or 75%. This paper further elucidates the mechanism behind carbon emission reduction, highlighting the energy-saving benefits of using reclaimed water locally without recourse to extensive transportation or elevation changes. Additionally, this result presents three scenarios of reclaimed water use, including urban miscellaneous water, river flow replenishment, and agricultural irrigation in relation to their substitution effects and environmental impacts. Estimates of carbon emission reductions from reclaimed water use were projected at the planned scale, with the maximum potential of reclaimed water utilization predicted. Finally, this paper proposes an enhanced strategy to identify and prioritize factors affecting reclaimed water utilization and the effect of carbon emission reduction. This paper aims to facilitate the establishment of a robust legal, institutional, and managerial framework while fostering interdisciplinary and cross-sectoral cooperation mechanisms in valley urban areas. The methodology employed can be universally applied to other regions grappling with severe water stress, thereby facilitating endeavors toward carbon reduction and contributing significantly to the attainment of water sustainability. Full article