Search Results (921)

Soil moisture is a key factor in the exchange of energy and matter between the soil and atmosphere, playing a vital role in the hydrological cycle and agricultural management. Traditional monitoring methods are limited in achieving large-scale, real-time observations, while deep learning offers new avenues to model the complex nonlinear relationships between spectral features and soil moisture content. This study focuses on the Wei-Ku Oasis in Xinjiang, using multi-source remote sensing data (Landsat series and Sentinel-1) and in situ multi-layer soil moisture measurements. The BOSS feature selection algorithm was applied to construct 46 feature parameters, including vegetation indices, soil indices, and microwave indices, and to identify optimal variable sets for each depth. Convolutional Neural Network (CNN), Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), and their hybrid model (CNN-LSTM) were used to build soil moisture inversion models at various depths. Their performances were systematically compared on both training and testing sets, and the optimal model was used for spatiotemporal mapping. The results show that the CNN-LSTM-based multi-depth soil moisture inversion model achieved superior performance, with the 0–10 cm model showing the highest accuracy and a testing R² of 0.64, outperforming individual models. The testing R² values for the soil moisture inversion models at depths of 10–20 cm, 20–40 cm, and 40–60 cm were 0.59, 0.54, and 0.59, respectively. According to the mapping results, soil moisture in the 0–60 cm profile of the Wei-Ku Oasis exhibited a vertical gradient, increasing with depth. Spatially, soil moisture was higher in the central oasis and lower toward the periphery, forming a “center-high, edge-low” pattern. This study provides a high-accuracy method for multi-layer soil moisture remote sensing in arid regions, offering valuable data support for oasis water resource management and precision irrigation planning. Full article

The Amazon Basin plays a crucial role in the global hydrological cycle, where seasonal and interannual variations in terrestrial water storage (TWS) are essential for understanding climate–hydrology coupling mechanisms. This study utilizes data from the Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) satellite mission and its follow-on mission (GRACE-FO, collectively referred to as GRACE) to investigate the spatiotemporal dynamics of hydrological mass changes in the Amazon Basin from 2002 to 2021. Results reveal pronounced spatial heterogeneity in the annual amplitude of TWS, exceeding 65 cm near the Amazon River and decreasing to less than 25 cm in peripheral mountainous regions. This distribution likely reflects the interplay between precipitation and topography. Vertical displacement measurements from the Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) show strong correlations with GRACE-derived hydrological load deformation (mean Pearson correlation coefficient = 0.72) and reduce its root mean square (RMS) by 35%. Furthermore, the study demonstrates that existing hydrological models, which neglect groundwater dynamics, underestimate hydrological load deformation. Principal component analysis (PCA) of the Amazon GNSS network demonstrates that the first principal component (PC) of GNSS vertical displacement aligns with abrupt interannual TWS fluctuations identified by GRACE during 2010–2011, 2011–2012, 2013–2014, 2015–2016, and 2020–2021. These fluctuations coincide with extreme precipitation events associated with the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO), confirming that ENSO modulates basin-scale interannual hydrological variability primarily through precipitation anomalies. This study provides new insights for predicting extreme hydrological events under climate warming and offers a methodological framework applicable to other critical global hydrological regions. Full article

Precipitable water vapor (PWV) is a critical component of the Earth’s atmosphere, playing a pivotal role in weather systems, climate dynamics, and hydrological cycles. Accurate estimation of PWV is essential for numerical weather prediction, climate modeling, and atmospheric correction in remote sensing. Ground-based observation stations can only provide PWV measurements at discrete points, whereas spaceborne infrared remote sensing enables spatially continuous coverage, but its retrieval algorithm is restricted to clear-sky conditions. This study proposes an innovative approach that uses ensemble learning models to integrate infrared and microwave satellite data and other geographic features to achieve all-weather PWV retrieval. The proposed product shows strong consistency with IGRA radiosonde data, with correlation coefficients (R) of 0.96 for the ascending orbit and 0.95 for the descending orbit, and corresponding RMSE values of 5.65 and 5.68, respectively. Spatiotemporal analysis revealed that the retrieved PWV product exhibits a clear latitudinal gradient and seasonal variability, consistent with physical expectations. Unlike MODIS PWV products, which suffer from cloud-induced data gaps, the proposed method provides seamless spatial coverage, particularly in regions with frequent cloud cover, such as southern China. Temporal consistency was further validated across four east Asian climate zones, with correlation coefficients exceeding 0.88 and low error metrics. This algorithm establishes a novel all-weather approach for atmospheric water vapor retrieval that does not rely on ground-based PWV measurements for model training, thereby offering a new solution for estimating water vapor in regions lacking ground observation stations. Full article

As key components of the climate system, clouds exert a significant influence on the Earth’s radiation budget and hydrological cycle. However, studies focusing on cloud properties over Central Asia are still limited, and the impacts of cloud variability on regional temperature and precipitation remain poorly understood. This study uses reanalysis and multi-source remote sensing datasets to investigate the spatiotemporal characteristics of clouds and their influence on regional climate. The cloud cover increases from the southwest to the northeast, with mid and low-level clouds predominating in high-altitude regions. All clouds have shown a declining trend during 1981–2020. According to satellite data, the sharpest decline in total cloud cover occurs in summer, while reanalysis data show a more significant reduction in spring. In addition, cloud cover changes influence the local climate through radiative forcing mechanisms. Specifically, the weakening of shortwave reflective cooling and the enhancement of longwave heating of clouds collectively exacerbate surface warming. Meanwhile, precipitation is positively correlated with cloud cover, and its spatial distribution aligns with the cloud water path. The cloud phase composition in Central Asia is dominated by liquid water, accounting for over 40%, a microphysical characteristic that further impacts the regional hydrological cycle. Full article

This study assesses future agricultural drought risk in the Ganjiang River Basin under climate change and land use change. A coupled analysis framework was established using the SWAT hydrological model, the CMIP6 climate models (SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5, SSP5-8.5), and the PLUS land use simulation model. Key methods included the Standardized Soil Moisture Index (SSMI), travel time theory for drought event identification and duration analysis, Mann–Kendall trend test, and the Pettitt change-point test to examine soil moisture dynamics from 2027 to 2100. The results indicate that the CMIP6 ensemble performs excellently in temperature simulations, with a correlation coefficient of R² = 0.89 and a root mean square error of RMSE = 1.2 °C, compared to the observational data. The MMM-Best model also performs well in precipitation simulations, with R² = 0.82 and RMSE = 15.3 mm, compared to observational data. Land use changes between 2000 and 2020 showed a decrease in forestland (−3.2%), grassland (−2.8%), and construction land (−1.5%), with an increase in water (4.8%) and unused land (2.7%). Under all emission scenarios, the SSMI values fluctuate with standard deviations of 0.85 (SSP1-2.6), 1.12 (SSP2-4.5), and 1.34 (SSP5-8.5), with the strongest drought intensity observed under SSP5-8.5 (minimum SSMI = −2.8). Drought events exhibited spatial and temporal heterogeneity across scenarios, with drought-affected areas ranging from 25% (SSP1-2.6) to 45% (SSP5-8.5) of the basin. Notably, abrupt changes in soil moisture under SSP5-8.5 occurred earlier (2045–2050) due to intensified land use change, indicating strong human influence on hydrological cycles. This study integrated the CMIP6 climate projections with high-resolution human activity data to advance drought risk assessment methods. It established a framework for assessing agricultural drought risk at the regional scale that comprehensively considers climate and human influences, providing targeted guidance for the formulation of adaptive water resource and land management strategies. Full article

Water infiltration into soil is a key process in regulating the hydrological cycle and sustaining ecosystem services in high-Andean environments. However, limited information is available regarding its dynamics in these ecosystems. This study evaluated the influence of three types of vegetation cover and soil properties on water infiltration in a high-Andean environment. A double-ring infiltrometer, the Water Drop Penetration Time (WDPT, s) method, and laboratory physicochemical characterization were employed. Soils under forest cover exhibited significantly higher quasi-steady infiltration rates (i_s, 0.248 ± 0.028 cm·min⁻¹) compared to grazing areas (0.051 ± 0.016 cm·min⁻¹) and agricultural lands (0.032 ± 0.013 cm·min⁻¹). Soil organic matter content was positively correlated with i_s. The modified Kostiakov infiltration model provided the best overall fit, while the Horton model better described infiltration rates approaching i_s. Sand and clay fractions, along with K⁺, Ca²⁺, and Mg²⁺, were particularly significant during the soil’s wet stages. In drier stages, increased Na⁺ concentrations and decreased silt content were associated with higher water repellency. Based on WDPT, agricultural soils exhibited persistent hydrophilic behavior even after drying (median [IQR] from 0.61 [0.38] s to 1.24 [0.46] s), whereas forest (from 2.84 [3.73] s to 3.53 [24.17] s) and grazing soils (from 4.37 [1.95] s to 19.83 [109.33] s) transitioned to weakly or moderately hydrophobic patterns. These findings demonstrate that native Andean forest soils exhibit a higher infiltration capacity than soils under anthropogenic management (agriculture and grazing), highlighting the need to conserve and restore native vegetation cover to strengthen water resilience and mitigate the impacts of land-use change. Full article

Atmospheric warming results in increase in temperatures for the mean, the coldest, and the hottest day of the year, season, or month. Global warming leads to a large increase in the atmospheric water vapor content and to changes in the hydrological cycle, which include an intensification of precipitation extremes. Using the GISS-E2.1 climate model, we present the future changes in the coldest and hottest daily temperatures as well as in extreme precipitation indices (under four main Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs)). The increase in the wet-day precipitation ranges between 6% and 15% per 1 °C global surface temperature warming. Scaling of the 95th percentile versus the total precipitation showed that the sensitivity for the extreme precipitation to the warming is about 10 times stronger than that for the mean total precipitation. For six precipitation extreme indices (Total Precipitation, R95p, RX5day, R10mm, SDII, and CDD), the histograms of probability density functions become flatter, with reduced peaks and increased spread for the global mean compared to the historical period of 1850–2014. The mean values shift to the right end (toward larger precipitation and intensity). The higher the GHG emission of the SSP scenario, the more significant the increase in the index change. We found an intensification of precipitation over the globe but large uncertainties remained regionally and at different scales, especially for extremes. Over land, there is a strong increase in precipitation for the wettest day in all seasons over the mid and high latitudes of the Northern Hemisphere. There is an enlargement of the drying patterns in the subtropics including over large regions around Mediterranean, southern Africa, and western Eurasia. For the continental averages, the reduction in total precipitation was found for South America, Europe, Africa, and Australia, and there is an increase in total precipitation over North America, Asia, and the continental Russian Arctic. Over the continental Russian Arctic, there is an increase in all precipitation extremes and a consistent decrease in CDD for all SSP scenarios, with the maximum increase of more than 90% for R95p and R10 mm observed under SSP5–8.5. Full article

African hydrological systems are incredibly complex and highly sensitive to climate variability. This review synthesizes observational data, remote sensing, and climate modeling to understand the interactions between fluvial processes, water cycle dynamics, and anthropogenic pressures. Currently, these systems are experiencing accelerating warming (+0.3 °C/decade), leading to more intense hydrological extremes and regionally varied responses. For example, East Africa has shown reversed temperature–moisture correlations since the Holocene onset, while West African rivers demonstrate nonlinear runoff sensitivity (a threefold reduction per unit decline in rainfall). Land-use and land-cover changes (LULCC) are as impactful as climate change, with analysis from 1959–2014 revealing extensive conversion of primary non-forest land and a more than sixfold increase in the intensity of pastureland expansion by the early 21st century. Future projections, exemplified by studies in basins like Ethiopia’s Gilgel Gibe and Ghana’s Vea, indicate escalating aridity with significant reductions in surface runoff and groundwater recharge, increasing aquifer stress. These findings underscore the need for integrated adaptation strategies that leverage remote sensing, nature-based solutions, and transboundary governance to build resilient water futures across Africa’s diverse basins. Full article

Evapotranspiration (ET) crucially regulates water storage dynamics and is an essential component of the terrestrial water cycle. Understanding ET dynamics is fundamental for sustainable water resource management, particularly in regions facing increasing drought risks under climate change. In regions like southwestern China, where extreme drought events are prevalent due to complex terrain and climate warming, ET becomes a key factor in understanding water availability and drought dynamics. Using the SWAT model, this study investigates ET dynamics and influencing factors in the Jizi Basin, Yunnan Province, a small basin with over 71% forest coverage. The model calibration and validation results demonstrated a high degree of consistency with observed discharge data and ERA5, confirming its reliability. The results show that the annual average ET in the Jizi Basin is 573.96 mm, with significant seasonal variations. ET in summer typically ranges from 70 to 100 mm/month, while in winter, it drops to around 20 mm/month. Spring ET exhibits the highest variability, coinciding with the occurrence of extreme hydrological events such as droughts. The monthly anomalies of ET effectively reproduce the spring and early summer 2019 drought event. Notably, ET variation exhibits significant uncertainty under scenarios of +1 °C temperature and −20% precipitation. Furthermore, although land use changes had relatively small effects on overall ET, they played crucial roles in promoting groundwater recharge through enhanced percolation, especially forest cover. The study highlights that, in addition to climate and land use, soil moisture and groundwater conditions are vital in modulating ET and drought occurrence. The findings offer insights into the hydrological processes of small forested basins in southwestern China and provide important support for sustainable water resource management and effective climate adaptation strategies, particularly in the context of increasing drought vulnerability. Full article

Flood control infrastructure is essential for the development of cities and the population’s well-being. The goal is to protect human and economic resources by reducing the inundation area and controlling the flood level and peak discharges. Detention basins can do this by storing a large volume of water to be released after the peak discharge. By doing this, a large amount of energy is stored, which can be recovered via micro-hydropower. In addition, as the release flow is controlled and almost constant, Pumps as Turbines (PAT) could be a feasible and economic option in these cases. Thus, this study investigates the feasibility of micro-hydropower (MHP) in urban detention basins, using the Santa Lúcia detention basin in Belo Horizonte as a case study. The methodology involved hydrological modeling, hydraulic analysis, and economic and environmental assessment. The results demonstrated that PAT selection has a crucial role in the feasibility of the MHP, and exploiting rainfall with lower intensities but higher frequencies is more attractive. Using multiple PATs with different operating points also showed promising results in improving energy production. In addition to the economic benefits, the MHP in the detention basin produces minimal environmental impact and, as it exploits a wasted energy source, it also reduces the carbon footprint in the urban water cycle. Full article

Climate change has intensified over recent decades, prompting shifts in forest management strategies, particularly in the Sudetes region of Poland, where native species like Norway spruce (Picea abies), European beech (Fagus sylvatica), and silver fir (Abies alba) have historically dominated. To address these changes, non-native species such as Douglas fir (Pseudotsuga menziesii) have been introduced as potential alternatives. This study, conducted in the Jugów and Świerki forest districts, compared the soil properties and water retention capacities of Douglas fir (Dg) and Norway spruce (Sw) stands (age classes from 8–127 years) in the Fresh Mountain Mixed Forest Site habitat. Field measurements included temperature, humidity, organic matter content, water capacity, and granulometric composition. Results indicate that, in comparison to Sw stands, Dg stands were consistently linked to soils that were naturally finer textured. The observed hydrological changes were mostly supported by these textural differences: In all investigated circumstances, Dg soils demonstrated greater water retention, displaying a water capacity that was around 5% higher. In addition to texture, Dg stands showed reduced soil water repellency and a substantially greater organic matter content (59.74% compared to 27.91% in Sw), which further enhanced soil structure and moisture retention. Conversely, with increasing climatic stress, Sw soils, with coarser textures and less organic matter, showed decreased water retention. The study highlights the importance of species selection in sustainable forest management, especially under climate change. Future research should explore long-term ecological impacts, including effects on microbial communities, nutrient cycling, and biodiversity, to optimize forest resilience and sustainability. Full article

Wetlands are critical components of the global carbon cycle, yet their carbon sink dynamics under hydrological fluctuations remain insufficiently understood. This study employed the Carnegie-Ames-Stanford Approach (CASA) model to estimate the net ecosystem productivity (NEP) of the Dongting Lake wetland and explored the spatiotemporal dynamics and driving mechanisms of carbon sinks from 2000 to 2022, utilizing the Theil-Sen median trend, Mann-Kendall test, and attribution based on the differentiating equation (ADE). Results showed that (1) the annual mean spatial NEP was 50.24 g C/m²/a, which first increased and then decreased, with an overall trend of −1.5 g C/m²/a. The carbon sink was strongest in spring, declined in summer, and shifted to a carbon source in autumn and winter. (2) Climate variability and human activities contributed +2.17 and −3.73 g C/m²/a to NEP, respectively. Human activities were the primary driver of carbon sink degradation (74.30%), whereas climate change mainly promoted carbon sequestration (25.70%). However, from 2000–2011 to 2011–2022, climate change shifted from enhancing to limiting carbon sequestration, mainly due to the transition from water storage and lake reclamation to ecological restoration policies and intensified climate anomalies. (3) NEP was negatively correlated with precipitation and water level. Land use adjustments, such as forest expansion and conversion of cropland and reed to sedge, alongside maintaining growing season water levels between 24.06~26.44 m, are recommended to sustain and enhance wetland carbon sinks. Despite inherent uncertainties in model parameterization and the lack of sufficient in situ flux validation, these findings could provide valuable scientific insights for wetland carbon management and policy-making. Full article

Climate change intensifies hydrological cycles, leading to an increased variability in terrestrial water storage anomalies (TWSAs) and a heightened drought risk. Understanding the spatiotemporal dynamics of TWSAs and their driving factors is crucial for sustainable water management. While previous studies have primarily attributed TWSAs to regional factors, this study employs wavelet coherence, partial correlation analysis, and multiple linear regression to comprehensively analyze TWSA dynamics and their drivers in the Hengduan Mountains (HDM) region from 2003 to 2022, incorporating both regional and global influences. Additionally, dry–wet variations were quantified using the GRACE-based Drought Severity Index (GRACE-DSI). Key findings include the following: The annual mean TWSA showed a non-significant decreasing trend (−2.83 mm/y, p > 0.05), accompanied by increased interannual variability. Notably, approximately 36.22% of the pixels in the western HDM region exhibited a significantly decreasing trend. The Nujiang River Basin (NRB) (−17.17 mm/y, p < 0.01) and the Lancang (−17.17 mm/y, p < 0.01) River Basin experienced the most pronounced declines. Regional factors—particularly precipitation (PRE)—drove TWSA in 59% of the HDM region, followed by potential evapotranspiration (PET, 28%) and vegetation dynamics (13%). Among global factors, the North Atlantic Oscillation showed a weak correlation with TWSAs (r = −0.19), indirectly affecting it via winter PET (r = −0.56, p < 0.05). The decline in TWSAs corresponds to an elevated drought risk, notably in the NRB, which recorded the largest GRACE-DSI decline (slope = −0.011, p < 0.05). This study links TWSAs to climate drivers and drought risk, offering a framework for improving water resource management and drought preparedness in climate-sensitive mountain regions. Full article

Climate change continues to pose significant challenges to global water security, with dams being particularly vulnerable to hydrological cycle alterations. This study investigated the climate-based impact on the hydrology of the Doğancı dam, located in Bursa, Turkey, using feed-forward neural networks (FNNs). The modeling used meteorological parameters as inputs. The employed FNN comprised one input, hidden, and output layer. The efficacy of the models was evaluated by comparing the correlation coefficients (R), mean squared errors (MSE), and mean absolute percentage errors (MAPE). Furthermore, two training algorithms, namely Levenberg-Marquardt and resilient backpropagation, were employed to determine the algorithm that yields more accurate output predictions. The findings of the study showed that the model using air temperature, solar radiation, solar intensity, evaporation, and evapotranspiration as predictors for the water budget and water level of the Doğancı dam exhibited the lowest MSE (0.59) and MAPE (1.31%) and the highest R (0.99) compared to other models under LM training. The statistical analysis determined no significant difference (p > 0.05) between the Levenberg and Marquardt and resilient backpropagation training algorithms. However, a visual interpretation revealed that the Levenberg-Marquardt algorithm outperformed the resilient backpropagation, yielding lower errors, higher correlation values, and faster convergence for the models tested in this study. The novelty of this study lies in the use of certain meteorological inputs, particularly snow depth, for dam inflow forecasting, which has seldom been explored. Moreover, this study compared two widely used ANN training algorithms and applied the modeling framework to a region of strategic importance for Turkey’s water security. This study highlights the effectiveness of ANN-based modeling for hydrological forecasting and determining climate-induced impacts on water bodies such as dams and reservoirs. Full article

Urbanization and climate change have disrupted natural water circulation by increasing impervious surfaces and altering rainfall patterns, leading to reduced groundwater infiltration, deteriorating water quality, and heightened flood risks. This study investigates the application of Low Impact Development (LID) and flood control facilities as structural measures to address these challenges in the upper watershed of the Fucha River in Bogotá, Colombia. The methodology involved analyzing watershed characteristics, defining circulation problems, setting hydrological targets, selecting facility types and locations, evaluating performance, and conducting an economic analysis. To manage the target rainfall of $26.5$$\mathrm{m}$$\mathrm{m}$ under normal conditions, LID facilities such as vegetated swales, rain gardens, infiltration channels, and porous pavements were applied, managing approximately 2362 ${\mathrm{m}}^3$ of runoff. For flood control, five detention tanks were proposed, resulting in a 31.8% reduction in peak flow and a 7.3% decrease in total runoff volume. The flooded area downstream was reduced by $46.8$$\mathrm{h}\mathrm{a}$, and the benefit–cost ratio was calculated at 1.02. These findings confirm that strategic application of LID and detention facilities can contribute to effective urban water cycle management and disaster risk reduction. While the current disaster management approach in Bogotá primarily focuses on post-event response, this study highlights the necessity of transitioning toward proactive disaster preparedness. In particular, the introduction and expansion of flood forecasting and warning systems are recommended as non-structural measures, especially in urban areas with complex infrastructure and climate-sensitive hydrology. Full article