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Search Results (378)

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Keywords = hourly PM2.5

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14 pages, 623 KB  
Article
Temporal Eating Patterns and Ultra-Processed Food Consumption Assessed from Mobile Food Records of Australian Adults
by Janelle D. Healy, Satvinder S. Dhaliwal, Christina M. Pollard, Amelia J. Harray, Lauren Blekkenhorst, Fengqing Zhu and Deborah A. Kerr
Nutrients 2025, 17(20), 3302; https://doi.org/10.3390/nu17203302 - 21 Oct 2025
Viewed by 451
Abstract
Background/Objective: Temporal eating patterns and ultra-processed food (UPF) consumption have independently been associated with obesity and non-communicable diseases. Little is known about the temporal patterns of UPF consumption, as data is challenging to collect. Temporal data can be extracted from mobile food records [...] Read more.
Background/Objective: Temporal eating patterns and ultra-processed food (UPF) consumption have independently been associated with obesity and non-communicable diseases. Little is known about the temporal patterns of UPF consumption, as data is challenging to collect. Temporal data can be extracted from mobile food records (mFRs). The aim of this study was to identify the temporal eating patterns of those consuming UPFs using an mFR. Methods: A combined sample of 243 young (18–30 years) and 148 older (>30 years) adults completed a 4-day mFR. The time of eating was extracted from the mFR image metadata. UPFs were identified using the NOVA food classification system. The proportion of total energy intake (EI) from UPFs was calculated hourly. Using chi-square tests, a day-of-the-week analysis compared weekends (Friday–Sunday) with weekdays (Monday–Thursday). A multivariate logistic regression of UPF EI terciles was conducted, expressed as odds ratios and 95% confidence intervals. Results: The proportion of total EI from UPFs was significantly different between younger adults (mean ± SD = 48.8 ± 15.6%) and older adults (36.1 ± 15.1%) (p < 0.001). Age-differentiated 24 h temporal eating pattern analysis found that younger adults had two distinct UPF EI peaks, with the highest at 8 pm, followed by 1 pm. Older adults followed a more conventional three-meal pattern with an additional peak at 7 am. Weekend UPF EI was higher than on weekdays for older adults (~560 kJ, p = 0.003), with no difference for younger adults. Multivariable logistic regression found no significant associations between UPF intake terciles and demographic variables (sex, BMI, education). Conclusions: The peak UPF EI occurred at conventional mealtimes, and UPFs accounted for a substantial proportion of energy intake, especially for younger adults. The timing of UPF EI provides important information for developing public health nutrition interventions. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue New Advances in Dietary Assessment)
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15 pages, 2951 KB  
Article
Urban–Rural PM2.5 Dynamics in Kraków, Poland: Patterns and Source Attribution
by Dorota Lipiec, Piotr Lipiec and Tomasz Danek
Atmosphere 2025, 16(10), 1201; https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos16101201 - 17 Oct 2025
Viewed by 387
Abstract
Hourly PM2.5 concentrations were measured from February to May 2025 by a network of low-cost sensors located in urban Kraków and its surrounding municipalities. Temporal variability associated with the transition from the heating period to the spring months, together with spatial contrasts, [...] Read more.
Hourly PM2.5 concentrations were measured from February to May 2025 by a network of low-cost sensors located in urban Kraków and its surrounding municipalities. Temporal variability associated with the transition from the heating period to the spring months, together with spatial contrasts, were assessed with principal component analysis (PCA), urban–rural difference curves, and a detailed examination of the most severe smog episode (12–13 February). Particle trajectories generated with the HYSPLIT dispersion model, run in a coarse-grained, 36-task parallel configuration, were combined with kernel density mapping to trace emission pathways. The results show that peak concentrations coincide with the heating season; rural sites recorded higher amplitudes and led the urban signal by up to several hours, implicating external sources. Time-series patterns, PCA loadings, and HYSPLIT density fields provided mutually consistent evidence of pollutant advection toward the city. Parallelizing HYSPLIT on nine central processing unit (CPU) cores reduced the runtime from more than 600 s to about 100 s (speed-up ≈ 6.5), demonstrating that routine episode-scale analyses are feasible even on modest hardware. The findings underline the need to extend monitoring and mitigation beyond Kraków’s administrative boundary and confirm that coarse-grained parallel HYSPLIT modeling, combined with low-cost sensor data and relatively basic statistics, offers a practical framework for rapid source attribution. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue High-Performance Computing for Atmospheric Modeling (2nd Edition))
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27 pages, 5180 KB  
Article
Using Statistical Methods to Identify the Impact of Solid Fuel Boilers on Seasonal Changes in Air Pollution
by Ewa Bakinowska, Alicja Dota, Rafał Urbaniak, Bartosz Ciupek, Marcin Żurawski and Marek Dębczyński
Energies 2025, 18(20), 5428; https://doi.org/10.3390/en18205428 - 15 Oct 2025
Viewed by 297
Abstract
Air pollution with particulate matter (PM), recognized by the EU and WHO as a significant factor affecting human health, is subject to standards. Exceeding these standards on a daily or annual basis poses an increased health risk. This article presents an analysis of [...] Read more.
Air pollution with particulate matter (PM), recognized by the EU and WHO as a significant factor affecting human health, is subject to standards. Exceeding these standards on a daily or annual basis poses an increased health risk. This article presents an analysis of data from 2022 to 2024 from the administrative area of Pleszew (Poland), which, in 2023, ranked second in the country in terms of annual PM10 concentration [µg/m3]. The main cause of the poor air quality is identified as so-called “low emissions” resulting from residential heating using high-emission coal-fired boilers. The methods used in this analysis not only identified the main causes of pollutant emissions but also demonstrated the seasonal impact of these sources on air quality, both on an annual and daily basis. The analysis utilized statistical tools such as a mixed linear regression model and Tukey’s post hoc tests performed after analysis of variance (ANOVA). The obtained regression model of PM10 concentration on the outside air temperature (defining the intensity of operation of heating devices) clearly indicates the predicted air pollution. Dividing the day into three time intervals proved to be an effective analytical tool enabling the identification of periods with the highest risk of high PM10 concentrations. The highest average PM10 concentration values were recorded in the autumn and winter months between 3:00 PM and 9:00 PM. The developed methods can serve as fundamental tools for local government authorities, guiding further energy policy directions for the study area to improve the identified situation. At the same time, daily and hourly air pollution analysis clearly confirmed the characteristics of inefficient heat sources, which will allow residents to protect their health by avoiding spending time outdoors during peak particulate matter concentration hours. Until the energy situation in the region changes, this will continue. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Energy and Environmental Economics for a Sustainable Future)
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33 pages, 6714 KB  
Article
Spatiotemporal Characterization of Atmospheric Emissions from Heavy-Duty Diesel Trucks on Port-Connected Expressways in Shanghai
by Qifeng Yu, Lingguang Wang, Siyu Pan, Mengran Chen, Kun Qiu and Xiqun Huang
Atmosphere 2025, 16(10), 1183; https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos16101183 - 14 Oct 2025
Viewed by 277
Abstract
Heavy-duty diesel trucks (HDDTs) are recognized as significant sources of air pollutants and greenhouse gases (GHGs) along freight corridors in port cities. Despite their impact, few studies have provided detailed spatiotemporal insights into their emissions within port-adjacent highway systems. This study presents a [...] Read more.
Heavy-duty diesel trucks (HDDTs) are recognized as significant sources of air pollutants and greenhouse gases (GHGs) along freight corridors in port cities. Despite their impact, few studies have provided detailed spatiotemporal insights into their emissions within port-adjacent highway systems. This study presents a high-resolution, hourly emission inventory at the road-segment level for six major expressways in Shanghai, one of China’s leading port cities. The emission estimates are derived using a locally adapted COPERT V model, calibrated with HDDT GPS trajectory data and detailed road network information from OpenStreetMap. The inventory quantifies emissions of CO2, NOx, CO, PM, and VOCs, highlighting distinct temporal and spatial variation patterns. Weekday emissions consistently exceed those of weekends, with three prominent traffic-related peaks occurring between 5:00–7:00, 10:00–12:00, and 14:00–16:00. Spatial analysis identifies the G1503 and S20 expressways as major emission corridors, with S20 exhibiting particularly high emission intensity relative to its length. Combined spatiotemporal patterns reveal that weekday emission hotspots are more concentrated, reflecting typical freight activity cycles such as morning dispatch and afternoon return. The findings provide a scientific basis for formulating more precise emission control measures targeting HDDT operations in urban port environments. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Traffic Related Emission (3rd Edition))
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17 pages, 4562 KB  
Article
Retrieval of Atmospheric Visibility and Its Driving Factors in Shanghai, China
by Xiaowen Gui, Jing Ren, Guoyin Wang, Yuying Wang, Miao Zhang and Xiaoyan Wang
Atmosphere 2025, 16(10), 1181; https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos16101181 - 14 Oct 2025
Viewed by 276
Abstract
The combined effects of meteorological factors and aerosol chemical compositions on atmospheric visibility in Shanghai were investigated in this study based on the observed hourly dataset during 2022–2024. Correlation analysis and random forest modeling are employed to quantify the relative contributions of these [...] Read more.
The combined effects of meteorological factors and aerosol chemical compositions on atmospheric visibility in Shanghai were investigated in this study based on the observed hourly dataset during 2022–2024. Correlation analysis and random forest modeling are employed to quantify the relative contributions of these factors. The results reveal significant negative correlations between visibility and both PM2.5 concentration and relative humidity, with partial correlation coefficient of −0.62 and −0.61. Nitrate, ammonium, and other aerosol components substantially modulate these relationships. The random forest model explains 83% of the variance when only meteorological variables are considered, increasing to 93% with the inclusion of aerosol chemical composition. Under 30 km high-visibility conditions, PM2.5 is the dominant predictor (39%) of atmospheric visibility variation, followed by relative humidity (35%). In contrast, during low-visibility conditions (lower than 7.5 km), relative humidity becomes the primary contributor (30%), the influence of PM2.5 weakens (18%), and aerosol chemical components account for a larger share (30%). These findings provide important insights into the mechanisms governing visibility variability under different environmental conditions. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Air Quality)
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8 pages, 1888 KB  
Proceeding Paper
AtmoHub: A National Atmospheric Composition Hub for Air Quality Monitoring and Forecasting in Greece
by Anna Kampouri, Stergios Kartsios, Thanos Kourantos, Maria Tsichla, Kalliopi Artemis Voudouri, Anna Gialitaki, Thanasis Georgiou, Eleni Drakaki, Marios Mermigkas, Vassilis Spyrakos and Vassilis Amiridis
Environ. Earth Sci. Proc. 2025, 35(1), 36; https://doi.org/10.3390/eesp2025035036 - 18 Sep 2025
Viewed by 407
Abstract
AtmoHub, the Greek Copernicus National Collaboration Programme (NCP) gateway, delivers daily air quality forecasts aligned with the EC Air Quality Directives and provides in situ measurements for key pollutants (NO2, O3, PM10, PM2.5, SO2), as well as [...] Read more.
AtmoHub, the Greek Copernicus National Collaboration Programme (NCP) gateway, delivers daily air quality forecasts aligned with the EC Air Quality Directives and provides in situ measurements for key pollutants (NO2, O3, PM10, PM2.5, SO2), as well as insights into environmental phenomena such as pollen dispersion, smoke, volcanic activity, and dust transport. To address a previous lack of coordinated atmospheric services in Greece, it utilizes the WRF-Chem model for downscaling CAMS data. Offering hourly forecasts at 5 km resolution, AtmoHub supports researchers, authorities, and the public, promoting climate resilience and informed air quality management through a centralized, accessible platform. Full article
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26 pages, 2590 KB  
Article
IoT-Based Unsupervised Learning for Characterizing Laboratory Operational States to Improve Safety and Sustainability
by Bibars Amangeldy, Timur Imankulov, Nurdaulet Tasmurzayev, Baglan Imanbek, Gulmira Dikhanbayeva and Yedil Nurakhov
Sustainability 2025, 17(18), 8340; https://doi.org/10.3390/su17188340 - 17 Sep 2025
Viewed by 645
Abstract
Laboratory buildings represent some of the highest energy-consuming infrastructure due to stringent environmental requirements and the continuous operation of specialized equipment. Ensuring both energy efficiency and indoor air quality (IAQ) in such spaces remains a central challenge for sustainable building design and operation. [...] Read more.
Laboratory buildings represent some of the highest energy-consuming infrastructure due to stringent environmental requirements and the continuous operation of specialized equipment. Ensuring both energy efficiency and indoor air quality (IAQ) in such spaces remains a central challenge for sustainable building design and operation. Recent advances in Internet of Things (IoT) systems allow for real-time monitoring of multivariate environmental parameters, including CO2, total volatile organic compounds (TVOC), PM2.5, temperature, humidity, and noise. However, these datasets are often noisy or incomplete, complicating conventional monitoring approaches. Supervised anomaly detection methods are ill-suited to such contexts due to the lack of labeled data. In contrast, unsupervised machine learning (ML) techniques can autonomously detect patterns and deviations without annotations, offering a scalable alternative. The challenge of identifying anomalous environmental conditions and latent operational states in laboratory environments is addressed through the application of unsupervised models to 1808 hourly observations collected over four months. Anomaly detection was conducted using Isolation Forest (300 trees, contamination = 0.05) and One-Class Support Vector Machine (One-Class SVM) (RBF kernel, ν = 0.05, γ auto-scaled). Standardized six-dimensional feature vectors captured key environmental and energy-related variables. K-means clustering (k = 3) revealed three persistent operational states: Empty/Cool (42.6%), Experiment (37.6%), and Crowded (19.8%). Detected anomalies included CO2 surges above 1800 ppm, TVOC concentrations exceeding 4000 ppb, and compound deviations in noise and temperature. The models demonstrated sensitivity to both abrupt and structural anomalies. Latent states were shown to correspond with occupancy patterns, experimental activities, and inactive system operation, offering interpretable environmental profiles. The methodology supports integration into adaptive heating, ventilation, and air conditioning (HVAC) frameworks, enabling real-time, label-free environmental management. Findings contribute to intelligent infrastructure development, particularly in resource-constrained laboratories, and advance progress toward sustainability targets in energy, health, and automation. Full article
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28 pages, 16807 KB  
Article
PM2.5 Concentration Prediction: Ultrahigh Spatiotemporal Resolution Achieved by Combining Machine Learning and Low-Cost Sensors
by Junfeng Li, Jiaqi Chen, Ran You and Qingqing He
Sensors 2025, 25(17), 5527; https://doi.org/10.3390/s25175527 - 5 Sep 2025
Viewed by 1272
Abstract
PM2.5 pollution is still serious in densely populated cities with frequent traffic activities, and it continues to threaten public health. Therefore, it is urgent that we obtain ultrahigh-resolution data that can reveal its complex spatiotemporal variation characteristics, supporting more refined environmental governance [...] Read more.
PM2.5 pollution is still serious in densely populated cities with frequent traffic activities, and it continues to threaten public health. Therefore, it is urgent that we obtain ultrahigh-resolution data that can reveal its complex spatiotemporal variation characteristics, supporting more refined environmental governance and health risk prevention and control. This study first carried out ground monitoring based on low-cost sensors combined with observation results, which were corrected with the national environmental monitoring station data. This study also introduced multi-source auxiliary variables and constructed a machine learning model through the stacking ensemble learning method. The model combines corrected low-cost sensor data with high-resolution prediction factors to achieve ultrahigh-spatiotemporal-resolution prediction of PM2.5 at 100 m × 100 m spatial resolution and hourly temporal resolution. The results show that the constructed model shows good prediction ability in 5-fold cross validation, with an overall R2 of 0.93 and a root mean square error (RMSE) of 3.09 μg/m3. The spatiotemporal analysis based on the prediction results further revealed that the PM2.5 concentration in the city showed significant variation characteristics at both the ultra-local scale and the short-term scale, reflecting the high heterogeneity of urban air pollution. In addition, by comparing and analyzing the monitoring data of a national environmental monitoring station that were not used in the correction, it was found that the corrected low-cost sensor data significantly reduced the prediction uncertainty, reducing the RMSE from 72.068 μg/m3 to 16.759 μg/m3, verifying its effectiveness in high spatiotemporal resolution air quality monitoring. This shows that low-cost sensors are expected to make up for the problem of insufficient spatial coverage in traditional national environmental monitoring stations, supporting the successful assessment of urban-level air pollution and health risk management, and therefore having broad application prospects. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Environmental Sensing)
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27 pages, 17296 KB  
Article
Submicron Particles and Micrometeorology in Highly Densified Urban Environments: Heavy-Tailed Probability Study
by Patricio Pacheco Hernández, Eduardo Mera Garrido, Gustavo Navarro Ahumada, Javier Wachter Chamblas and Steicy Polo Pizan
Atmosphere 2025, 16(9), 1044; https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos16091044 - 2 Sep 2025
Viewed by 540
Abstract
Submicron particles (SPs), with diameters less than 1.0 μm, are a serious health risk, and urban meteorology variables (MVs), impacted by human activity, can support their sustainability. This study, in a city immersed in a basin geomorphology, is carried out during the summer [...] Read more.
Submicron particles (SPs), with diameters less than 1.0 μm, are a serious health risk, and urban meteorology variables (MVs), impacted by human activity, can support their sustainability. This study, in a city immersed in a basin geomorphology, is carried out during the summer period of high temperatures and variable relative humidity. An area of high urban density was selected, with the presence of high-rise buildings, urban canyons that favor heat islands, low forestation, intense vehicular traffic, and extreme conditions for MVs. Hourly measurements, in the form of time series, record the number of SPs (for diameters of 0.3, 0.5, and 1.0 μm) along with MVs (temperature (T), relative humidity (RH), and wind speed magnitude (WS)). The objective is to verify whether MVs (RH, T) promote the sustainability of SPs. For this purpose, Spearman’s analysis and a heavy-tailed probability function were used. The central tendency probability, a Gaussian distribution, was discarded since its probability does not discriminate extreme events. Spearman’s analysis yielded significant p-values and correlations between PM10, PM5.0, PM2.5, and SPs. However, this was not the case between MVs and SPs. By applying a heavy-tailed probability analysis to extreme events, the results show that MVs such as T and RH act in ways that can favor the accumulation and persistence of SP concentrations. This tendency could have been exacerbated during the measurement period by heat waves and a geographical environment under the influence of a prolonged drought resulting from climate change and global warming. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Air Quality and Health)
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17 pages, 2412 KB  
Article
Evaluation of an Hourly Empirical Method Against ASCE PM (2005), for Hyper-Arid to Subhumid Climatic Conditions of the State of California
by Constantinos Demetrios Chatzithomas
Meteorology 2025, 4(3), 22; https://doi.org/10.3390/meteorology4030022 - 26 Aug 2025
Viewed by 469
Abstract
Accurate estimations of reference evapotranspiration (ETo) are critical for hydrologic studies, efficient crop irrigation, water resources management and sustainable development. The evaluation of an empirical method was carried out to estimate hourly ETo, utilizing short-wave radiation and relative humidity as a surrogate of [...] Read more.
Accurate estimations of reference evapotranspiration (ETo) are critical for hydrologic studies, efficient crop irrigation, water resources management and sustainable development. The evaluation of an empirical method was carried out to estimate hourly ETo, utilizing short-wave radiation and relative humidity as a surrogate of vapor pressure deficit (VPD), calibrated under semi-arid conditions and validated for different climatic regimes (hyper-arid, arid, subhumid) using American Society of Civil Engineers Penman–Monteith (ASCE PM) (2005) values as a standard, for the state of California. For hyper-arid climatic conditions, the empirical method resulted in underestimation and had coefficient of determination (R2) values of 0.88–0.95 and root mean square error (RMSE) values of 0.062–0.115 mm h−1. Hyper-arid climatic conditions correspond to lower R2 and different relations between the vapor pressure deficit (VPD) and the relative humidity function (1/lnRH) that the empirical method utilizes. For the other climatic regimes (arid, semi-arid, subhumid), the empirical method performed satisfactorily. The RMSE was calculated for groups of empirical estimates corresponding to various wind velocity values, and it was satisfactory for >99% of wind speed values (u2). The RMSE was also calculated for grouped values of the estimates of the empirical method corresponding to observed VPDs and was satisfactory for >97% of all observed values of VPD, except for hyper-arid stations (59% of u2 and 60% of all observed values of VPD). Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Early Career Scientists' (ECS) Contributions to Meteorology (2025))
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19 pages, 2631 KB  
Article
Urban Air Quality Management: PM2.5 Hourly Forecasting with POA–VMD and LSTM
by Xiaoqing Zhou, Xiaoran Ma and Haifeng Wang
Processes 2025, 13(8), 2482; https://doi.org/10.3390/pr13082482 - 6 Aug 2025
Viewed by 632
Abstract
The accurate and effective prediction of PM2.5 concentrations is crucial for mitigating air pollution, improving environmental quality, and safeguarding public health. To address the challenge of strong temporal correlations in PM2.5 concentration forecasting, this paper proposes a novel hybrid model that integrates the [...] Read more.
The accurate and effective prediction of PM2.5 concentrations is crucial for mitigating air pollution, improving environmental quality, and safeguarding public health. To address the challenge of strong temporal correlations in PM2.5 concentration forecasting, this paper proposes a novel hybrid model that integrates the Particle Optimization Algorithm (POA) and Variational Mode Decomposition (VMD) with the Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) network. First, POA is employed to optimize VMD by adaptively determining the optimal parameter combination [k, α], enabling the decomposition of the original PM2.5 time series into subcomponents while reducing data noise. Subsequently, an LSTM model is constructed to predict each subcomponent individually, and the predictions are aggregated to derive hourly PM2.5 concentration forecasts. Empirical analysis using datasets from Beijing, Tianjin, and Tangshan demonstrates the following key findings: (1) LSTM outperforms traditional machine learning models in time series forecasting. (2) The proposed model exhibits superior effectiveness and robustness, achieving optimal performance metrics (e.g., MAE: 0.7183, RMSE: 0.8807, MAPE: 4.01%, R2: 99.78%) in comparative experiments, as exemplified by the Beijing dataset. (3) The integration of POA with serial decomposition techniques effectively handles highly volatile and nonlinear data. This model provides a novel and reliable tool for PM2.5 concentration prediction, offering significant benefits for governmental decision-making and public awareness. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Environmental and Green Processes)
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11 pages, 1359 KB  
Communication
Temporal Distribution of Milking Events in a Dairy Herd with an Automatic Milking System
by Vanessa Lambrecht Szambelan, Marcos Busanello, Mariani Schmalz Lindorfer, Rômulo Batista Rodrigues and Juliana Sarubbi
Animals 2025, 15(15), 2293; https://doi.org/10.3390/ani15152293 - 6 Aug 2025
Viewed by 516
Abstract
This study aimed to evaluate daily patterns of hourly milking frequency (MF) in dairy cows milked with an automatic milking system (AMSs), considering the effects of season, parity order (PO), days in milk (DIM), and milk yield (MY). A retrospective longitudinal study was [...] Read more.
This study aimed to evaluate daily patterns of hourly milking frequency (MF) in dairy cows milked with an automatic milking system (AMSs), considering the effects of season, parity order (PO), days in milk (DIM), and milk yield (MY). A retrospective longitudinal study was conducted on a commercial dairy farm in southern Brazil over one year using data from 130 Holstein cows and 94,611 milking events. MF data were analyzed using general linear models. Overall, hourly MF followed a consistent daily pattern, with peaks between 4:00 and 11:00 a.m. and between 2:00 and 6:00 p.m., regardless of season, PO, DIM, or MY category. MF was higher in primiparous (2.84/day, p = 0.0013), early-lactation (<106 DIM; 3.00/day, p < 0.0001), and high-yielding cows (≥45 L/day; 3.09/day, p < 0.0001). High-yielding cows also showed sustained milking activity into the late nighttime. Although seasonal and individual factors significantly affected MF, they had limited influence on the overall daily distribution of milkings. These results suggest stable behavioral patterns within the specific AMS management conditions observed in this study and suggest that adjusting milking permissions and feeding strategies based on cow characteristics may improve system efficiency. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Sustainability of Local Dairy Farming Systems)
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31 pages, 1803 KB  
Article
A Hybrid Machine Learning Approach for High-Accuracy Energy Consumption Prediction Using Indoor Environmental Quality Sensors
by Bibars Amangeldy, Nurdaulet Tasmurzayev, Timur Imankulov, Baglan Imanbek, Waldemar Wójcik and Yedil Nurakhov
Energies 2025, 18(15), 4164; https://doi.org/10.3390/en18154164 - 6 Aug 2025
Cited by 2 | Viewed by 1286
Abstract
Accurate forecasting of energy consumption in buildings is essential for achieving energy efficiency and reducing carbon emissions. However, many existing models rely on limited input variables and overlook the complex influence of indoor environmental quality (IEQ). In this study, we assess the performance [...] Read more.
Accurate forecasting of energy consumption in buildings is essential for achieving energy efficiency and reducing carbon emissions. However, many existing models rely on limited input variables and overlook the complex influence of indoor environmental quality (IEQ). In this study, we assess the performance of hybrid machine learning ensembles for predicting hourly energy demand in a smart office environment using high-frequency IEQ sensor data. Environmental variables including carbon dioxide concentration (CO2), particulate matter (PM2.5), total volatile organic compounds (TVOCs), noise levels, humidity, and temperature were recorded over a four-month period. We evaluated two ensemble configurations combining support vector regression (SVR) with either Random Forest or LightGBM as base learners and Ridge regression as a meta-learner, alongside single-model baselines such as SVR and artificial neural networks (ANN). The SVR combined with Random Forest and Ridge regression demonstrated the highest predictive performance, achieving a mean absolute error (MAE) of 1.20, a mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) of 8.92%, and a coefficient of determination (R2) of 0.82. Feature importance analysis using SHAP values, together with non-parametric statistical testing, identified TVOCs, humidity, and PM2.5 as the most influential predictors of energy use. These findings highlight the value of integrating high-resolution IEQ data into predictive frameworks and demonstrate that such data can significantly improve forecasting accuracy. This effect is attributed to the direct link between these IEQ variables and the activation of energy-intensive systems; fluctuations in humidity drive HVAC energy use for dehumidification, while elevated pollutant levels (TVOCs, PM2.5) trigger increased ventilation to maintain indoor air quality, thus raising the total energy load. Full article
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30 pages, 13783 KB  
Article
Daily Reference Evapotranspiration Derived from Hourly Timestep Using Different Forms of Penman–Monteith Model in Arid Climates
by A A Alazba, Mohamed A. Mattar, Ahmed El-Shafei, Farid Radwan, Mahmoud Ezzeldin and Nasser Alrdyan
Water 2025, 17(15), 2272; https://doi.org/10.3390/w17152272 - 30 Jul 2025
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 1166
Abstract
In arid and semi-arid climates, where water scarcity is a persistent challenge, accurately estimating reference evapotranspiration (ET) becomes essential for sustainable water management and agricultural planning. The objectives of this study are to compare hourly ET among P–M ASCE, P–M FAO, and P–M [...] Read more.
In arid and semi-arid climates, where water scarcity is a persistent challenge, accurately estimating reference evapotranspiration (ET) becomes essential for sustainable water management and agricultural planning. The objectives of this study are to compare hourly ET among P–M ASCE, P–M FAO, and P–M KSA mathematical models. In addition to the accuracy assessment of daily ET derived from hourly timestep calculations for the P–M ASCE, P–M FAO, and P–M KSA. To achieve these goals, a total of 525,600-min data points from the Riyadh region, KSA, were used to compute the reference ET at multiple temporal resolutions: hourly, daily, hourly averaged over 24 h, and daily as the sum of 24 h values, across all selected Penman–Monteith (P–M) models. For hourly investigation, the comparison between reference ET computed as average hourly values and as daily/24 h values revealed statistically and practically significant differences. The Wilcoxon test confirmed a statistically significant difference (p < 0.0001) with R2 of 94.75% for ASCE, 94.87% for KSA at hplt = 50 cm, 92.41% for FAO, and 92.44% for KSA at hplt = 12 cm. For daily investigation, comparing the sum of 24 h ET computations to daily ET measurements revealed an underestimation of daily ET values. The Wilcoxon test confirmed a statistically significant difference (p < 0.0001), with R2 exceeding 90% for all studied reference ET models. This comprehensive approach enabled a rigorous evaluation of reference ET dynamics under hyper-arid climatic conditions, which are characteristic of central Saudi Arabia. The findings contribute to the growing body of literature emphasizing the importance of high-frequency meteorological data for improving ET estimation accuracy in arid and semi-arid regions. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Hydrology)
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14 pages, 2557 KB  
Article
Enhancing Medium-Term Load Forecasting Accuracy in Post-Pandemic Tropical Regions: A Comparative Analysis of Polynomial Regression, Split Polynomial Regression, and LSTM Networks
by Agus Setiawan
Energies 2025, 18(15), 3999; https://doi.org/10.3390/en18153999 - 27 Jul 2025
Viewed by 557
Abstract
This research focuses on medium-term load forecasting in a tropical region post-pandemic. This study presents one of the first attempts to analyze medium-term forecasting using half-hourly resolution in the Java-Bali power system post-COVID-19 period. The dataset comprises load measurements recorded every 30 min [...] Read more.
This research focuses on medium-term load forecasting in a tropical region post-pandemic. This study presents one of the first attempts to analyze medium-term forecasting using half-hourly resolution in the Java-Bali power system post-COVID-19 period. The dataset comprises load measurements recorded every 30 min (48 data points per day) from 2014 to 2022. Three distinct methods, namely polynomial regression, split polynomial regression, and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks, were employed and compared to predict the electricity load demand. The analysis found that LSTM outperformed the other methods, exhibiting the lowest error rates with Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) at 3.86% and Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE) at 1247.93. Additionally, a consistent observation emerged, showing that all methods performed better in predicting load demand during nighttime hours (6 p.m. to 6 a.m.). The hypothesis is that data stability during nighttime, with fewer significant fluctuations, contributed to the improved prediction accuracy. These findings provide valuable insights for improving load forecasting in the post-pandemic tropical region and offer opportunities for enhancing power grid efficiency and reliability. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section F: Electrical Engineering)
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