Search Results (860)

Accurately tracking the spatial and temporal variations of water vapor is indispensable for weather forecasting and climate adaptation, yet remains challenging due to the sparse coverage and discontinuity of ground-based observations. Satellite remote sensing, particularly from geostationary satellites like Meteosat Third Generation Imager-1 (MTG-I1), offers continuous, high-resolution data. To the best of our knowledge, MTG-I1 is the first geostationary satellite equipped with a near-infrared (NIR) spectral band specifically designed for detecting water vapor. To address the lack of precipitable water vapor (PWV) data derived from the Flexible Combined Imager (FCI) onboard MTG-I1, a novel semi-empirical (SE) algorithm optimized for PWV retrieval is proposed. Validation against ground-based PWV measurements using an initial test set and a temporally independent test set yielded relative errors of no more than 0.10, indicating stable retrieval performance outside the model-development period. The FCI-derived PWV retrievals were also more accurate than the corresponding MODIS PWV data. Compared to the traditional radiative transfer model (RTM)-based retrieval method, the SE method shows greater adaptability to systematic differences between the observed and RTM-simulated FCI reflectance. After correcting for radiometric degradation, the RTM-based algorithm achieves a 41% reduction in absolute error and a 47% reduction in relative error, bringing its accuracy in line with the SE algorithm. Overall, the proposed SE algorithm demonstrates superior robustness and adaptability, and can provide more reliable remote sensing PWV data to support weather forecasting and climate research. Full article

This paper evaluates a dense, total-variation-based optical flow method for retrieving wildfire smoke plume motion vectors from geostationary, deep-space, and airborne remote sensing imagery. Using multiple major fire events, we assess the robustness of the approach across a range of spatial resolutions and time intervals. The test cases include Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellite (GOES) observations of the 2025 Los Angeles Fires and the 2024 Park Fire, imagery from NASA’s Enhanced MODIS Airborne Simulator (eMAS) for the 2019 Sheridan and Williams Flats Fires, and a complementary Park Fire image pair from the Earth Polychromatic Imaging Camera (EPIC) aboard the Deep Space Climate Observatory (DSCOVR). Optical flow is computed directly on radiance fields, and smoke plumes are isolated using smoke masks derived from the Segmentation, Instance Tracking, and data Fusion Using multi-SEnsor imagery (SIT-FUSE) framework where available. Performance is evaluated by comparing the root mean square error (RMSE) between original image pairs and between the first image and the second image after warping with the retrieved motion field. RMSE is computed both globally and over smoke-only regions. Across GOES and eMAS cases, optical flow systematically reduces RMSE, often by more than a factor of two within smoke regions, indicating substantially improved frame-to-frame alignment of plume structures after motion correction. The DSCOVR/EPIC case, despite its coarser spatial resolution and longer temporal separation, also shows a marked reduction in global RMSE, demonstrating that the method remains informative under a broader range of observational conditions. For a selected subset of 10 consecutive GOES Park Fire pairs, we additionally compare the retrieved smoke motion vectors with collocated winds from the High-Resolution Rapid Refresh (HRRR) model and find the closest agreement in a broad lower-tropospheric layer centered near 875 hPa. These results show that dense optical flow can capture fine-scale plume evolution in high-temporal-resolution datasets while also providing useful motion estimates in coarser, global-view imagery. RMSE reduction is interpreted here as evidence of improved motion-compensated alignment, while the HRRR comparison provides initial physical context rather than independent validation. The resulting smoke motion vector fields provide a foundation for future comparison with model winds and for applications in plume analysis, fire hazard monitoring, and air quality studies. Full article

In this work, the portability of the Robust Satellite Techniques for FIRES detection and monitoring (RST-FIRES) has been preliminary experimented on the Spinning Enhanced Visible and InfraRed Imager (SEVIRI) aboard the Meteosat Second Generation (MSG) satellite in Rapid Scan Service (RSS) mode. Such a configuration offers 5 min of revisit time as compared with 15 min in the standard mode (0-degree). The impact in early fire detection has been assessed and quantified, also in comparison with the results of the RST-FIRES implemented on MSG/SEVIRI 0-degree data, using the official fire bulletins of the Calabria Region (Southern Italy) for the events occurred during July 2022, for which the official regional fire catalogue was available. The results obtained suggest that SEVIRI-RSS data could allow for a rather systematic earlier detection and a better sensitivity than SEVIRI 0-degree because of the improved temporal (and spatial) resolutions. These findings are remarkable in view of the next implementation of RST-FIRES on Meteosat Third Generation/Flexible Combined Imager (MTG/FCI) data, to exploit the improved spatial (2–1 km) and temporal (10–2.5 min) resolutions offered by such a new-generation geostationary mission, together with a more suitable dynamic range in the MIR spectral region (saturation at ~500 K @3.8 micron). The use of synthetic background reference fields would allow, in fact, for a straightforward RST-FIRES application to MTGI/FCI data allowing for a more effective fire early warning system. Full article

Accurate short-term estimation of clear-sky Global Horizontal Irradiance (GHI) is vital for solar resource assessment and grid operations, yet existing methods rely on sparse radiometers and coarse global weather reanalysis (e.g., MERRA-2 at 50–70 km spatial resolution with 1 month latency). To achieve scalability in high-precision estimation, we propose a framework that removes dependence on ground measurements by combining multi-satellite observations with reanalysis variables in a physics-supervised machine-learning paradigm. We developed a multi-source-fused high-resolution environmental dataset with 5 min granularity and 1 km spatial precision, incorporating Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellite (GOES-16) observations, polar-orbiting satellite (AURA) data, and MERRA-2 reanalysis. As supervisory physics, we harmonized two complementary parameterized radiative transfer models (MAC2 and REST2V5). The harmonized GHI estimates are used as training labels for a Multilayer Perceptron (MLP) and a Residual Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) network model. The trained MLP model achieved a root mean square error (RMSE) of 66.67 $\mathrm{W}/{\mathrm{m}}^2$, representing a 7.50% reduction over the conventional MERRA-2-driven baseline. For 30-min-ahead forecasting, the LSTM model reduced RMSE by 29.37% over the persistence baseline. Evaluated at four climatically diverse U.S. sites, the system achieves ground-sensor-like accuracy and is deployable anywhere within GOES-16 coverage. Full article

Atmospheric Motion Vectors (AMVs) from geostationary satellites are a critical observational source for data assimilation, particularly in regions with sparse observations, such as the Southern Hemisphere. This study evaluates the impact of assimilating AMVs from the Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellite (GOES) series into the Numerical Modeling and Assimilation System (SMNA) used at the Center for Weather Forecasting and Climate Studies of the National Institute for Space Research (CPTEC/INPE). The SMNA consists of the Brazilian Global Atmospheric Model (BAM) coupled with the Gridpoint Statistical Interpolation (GSI) data assimilation system. Two experiments were conducted in February 2024: a control experiment that assimilated all conventional observations along with AMVs from GOES-16 and GOES-18 satellites, and a second experiment (data denial), in which the AMVs were excluded. This time period coincided with the formation of the tropical cyclone Akará offshore the southeast coast of Brazil. The diagnostic analysis of the assimilation process indicates a substantial increase in the relative contribution of wind observations to the cost function and a reduction in the differences between the background and the analysis, particularly in the mid and upper troposphere. Forecast verification showed that assimilating AMV data led to a reduction in RMSE and an increase in anomaly correlations for several variables, including wind and temperature at various vertical levels. The positive impact of GOES AMV data on the representation of the tropical cyclone Akará is evident in the improved positioning, intensity, and circulation structure of the cyclone, particularly during its intensification phase. With tropical cyclone events over South America becoming more frequent in recent years, results from this study indicate the critical need to assimilate AMV data to improve forecast skill. Furthermore, the assimilation of GOES AMVs significantly enhances the representation of atmospheric circulation over South America, particularly improving the predictability of large-scale events such as cyclones in the South Atlantic. Full article

Accurate surface downward shortwave radiation (SDSR) is essential for solar resource assessment, photovoltaic applications, and land–atmosphere studies. Although ERA5 is widely used in radiation-related research, its SDSR estimates over China still show considerable uncertainties under complex topographic and climatic conditions. Using hourly observations from the 162-station China Meteorological Administration (CMA) radiation network during April 2024–March 2025, of which 160 stations were retained after quality control, this study systematically evaluated ERA5 SDSR and developed a physics-guided Light Gradient Boosting Machine (LightGBM) correction framework. Raw ERA5 exhibits a strong systematic positive bias (PBIAS = 57.40%, ME = 124.2 W/m²) together with a pronounced nonlinear structural bias, characterized by overestimation under low-radiation conditions and underestimation under high-radiation conditions. The largest errors occur in the Southern Monsoon region in summer and the Northwest Arid region in spring, indicating the combined effects of cloud extinction, aerosol attenuation, and terrain-related representativeness differences. To address these mechanisms, the correction model incorporates physically relevant predictors from ERA5 and Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS), including cloud microphysical variables, aerosol optical depth, solar geometry, and elevation. SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) analysis shows that the learned correction behavior is broadly consistent with known radiative-transfer processes. On the independent station hold-out test set, the correction increases the Pearson correlation coefficient from 0.8680 to 0.8967 and reduces RMSE from 173.1 to 100.8 W/m², while substantially suppressing the strong positive bias of raw ERA5. Additional robustness tests, including season-blocked validation, interpolation-sensitivity analysis, ablation experiments, and multi-model comparison, further support the stability of the framework. External benchmarking against FY-4B and Himawari also shows that the corrected ERA5 substantially narrows the gap relative to independent geostationary satellite products. Overall, the proposed framework provides an effective and physically interpretable approach for improving ERA5 SDSR over China. Full article

Detecting hail from remote sensing observations remains challenging because hail develops rapidly and its signatures may appear at different levels within a storm. Ground-based radar and geostationary meteorological satellites are the two primary observing systems for this task, yet their observations are often spatially misaligned. Satellite measurements mainly characterize the thermal structure near the cloud top, whereas radar observations capture the lower-level precipitation core. This mismatch is further exacerbated by satellite parallax, namely the apparent horizontal shift of high cloud tops caused by the oblique viewing geometry of a geostationary satellite, together with the vertical tilt of convective storms. Existing joint methods generally combine satellite cloud-top information with radar precipitation information directly, without explicitly correcting the spatial displacement, which limits detection accuracy. To address this issue, we propose HailDeformer, a deep learning framework that first aligns satellite and radar features through a bidirectional deformable cross-attention module equipped with a position-wise confidence gate and optimized with smoothness, contrastive alignment, and observation-structure consistency losses, and then refines the fused representation using an inter-scale attention module and a wavelet-guided refinement module. Experiments on a four-region dataset from China show that HailDeformer consistently outperforms Direct Fusion, Manual Weighting, Cross-Attention Fusion, and Optical Flow Alignment, achieving a mean Average Precision at IoU 0.5 (mAP@0.5) of 0.916, an F1 score of 0.864, a Critical Success Index (CSI) of 0.760, and the lowest False Alarm Ratio (FAR) of 0.149. Ablation studies further confirm that all proposed modules and associated constraints contribute to the overall performance, with the alignment module providing the largest improvement. Additional evaluations demonstrate that HailDeformer remains effective throughout storm evolution and under challenging observational conditions. Full article

As 6G mobile communications evolve, Low Earth Orbit (LEO) satellite mobile edge computing (MEC) enables globally seamless computing. However, the high mobility of LEO satellites disrupts service continuity and resource stability. Existing approaches often use oversimplified models that ignore multi-beam interference and dynamic task queueing. To address this, we establish a hierarchical Geostationary Earth Orbit (GEO)–LEO synergistic architecture, where the integration is implemented by utilizing GEO satellites as stability anchors and remote cloud relays, while LEO satellites provide low-latency edge processing. We formulate fine-grained models for two-level beam-centric communication and preemptive dynamic queueing. The resulting joint task offloading and resource allocation problem is a complex mixed-integer nonlinear program (MINLP). To effectively solve this MINLP, we decouple it hierarchically: first determine discrete offloading decisions, then optimize continuous resource allocations based on them, proposing a novel framework termed G²DRL (GNN-enhanced Game-theoretic and deep reinforcement learning). Simulation results demonstrate that G²DRL significantly reduces the weighted sum of system delay and energy, showing superior convergence stability and performance over state-of-the-art DRL baselines. Full article

The launch of the Flexible Combined Imager (FCI) sensor aboard the Meteosat Third Generation (MTG) satellite enables higher temporal and spatial resolution for geostationary environmental monitoring. This study explores the feasibility of near-real-time fire detection using MTG-FCI data. Two unsupervised approaches are evaluated on data covering the Italian territory: a conventional threshold method, applying fixed radiometric thresholds and brightness temperature differences between 3.8 μm and 10.5 μm, and an experimental Lightweight U-Net autoencoder for anomaly detection. The autoencoder is trained exclusively on fire-free imagery, with fires identified as statistical anomalies in the reconstruction error, refined through local and global z-score analysis. Validation combines high-resolution Sentinel-2 imagery, Fire Radiative Power (FRP) and data from European Forest Fire Information System (EFFIS). Results demonstrate that MTG-FCI can trigger active fire alerts prior to polar overpasses in $67.32\%$ of the synchronized cases, providing a median early detection lead time of 21.00 min and reaching an advance of up to approximately 6 h in exceptional instances. While the spatial resolution limits detailed fire-front mapping, the high temporal resolution enables a robust near-real-time alerting system, providing enhanced detection of transient fire events that are not captured by lower-frequency polar-orbiting sensors. Full article

Continuous monitoring and nowcasting of tornadic near-storm environments remain challenging, particularly in regions with limited ground-based weather radar coverage. High-spatiotemporal-resolution geostationary satellite remote sensing offers a valuable approach to track the evolution of severe convective storms. Combining 10 min cloud-top brightness temperature (TBB) data from the Himawari-8 satellite and ERA5 reanalysis, this study investigates the atmospheric environments of 177 documented tornadoes in China from 2016 to 2023. Tracking storm convective centers using TBB minima reveals clear regional differences in tornadogenesis paradigms. Southern China tornadoes exhibit a “dynamically driven” pattern within quasi-steady, warm, and moist environments. These environments feature low Lifted Condensation Levels (LCL; ~790 m) and weak Convective Inhibition (CIN). Intense low-level wind shear and storm-relative helicity (SRH) dominate the convective triggering. Northern China tornadoes follow a “coupled thermodynamic-kinematic” paradigm under relatively drier and cooler backgrounds. Their initiation relies on the rapid, synchronized accumulation of Mixed-Layer convective available potential energy (MLCAPE) and deep-layer SRH. Furthermore, intensity-based comparative analysis indicates that significant tornadoes (Enhanced Fujita [EF] scale, EF ≥ 2) are favored by higher MLCAPE, deep-layer shear, and lower LCLs compared to weak ones (EF ≤ 1). Himawari-8 TBB data capture a more rapid pre-storm convective cloud-top cooling for strong tornadoes, with medians reaching −73 °C. This study demonstrates that combining high-frequency satellite observations with reanalysis data provides quantitative precursor signals for regional severe tornado nowcasting. Full article

Post-monsoon open-field stubble burning in northwestern (NW) India—a key agricultural region known as the “breadbasket”—is a longstanding practice used to clear fields. Satellite observations spanning over two decades have revealed significant upward trends in crop production, vegetative greenness, and the frequency of post-harvest fires, with this last contributing to hazardous air quality during the peak burning season (mid-October to mid-November). Since 2022, thermal anomaly data from Aqua-MODIS and SNPP-VIIRS sensors have shown a sharp decline in reported fire events—an observation that contrasts starkly with the concurrent rise in regional aerosol loading detected from space. This apparent discrepancy became particularly pronounced in 2024–2025, prompting a closer examination using high-temporal-resolution imagery from the Advanced Meteorological Imager (AMI) on the geostationary satellite GEO-KOMPSAT-2A. These observations revealed a clear spike in fire-related signals occurring around and after 4:00 p.m. local time, i.e., outside the typical noon to 2:00 p.m. detection window of the MODIS and VIIRS. A fire detection algorithm exploiting the fire-sensitive shortwave-infrared 3.8 μm signal and its contrast to 11.2 μm infrared observations is designed to adopt AMI observations and applied to its multi-year observations (2019–2025). The resulting fire dataset unambiguously shows a gradual shift in stubble burning activity toward the late afternoon hours beginning in 2022 which is underreported by polar-orbiting satellites. The orbital drift of NASA’s MODIS sensor on the Aqua platform allows detection of some of the gradually shifting fires during afternoon hours, but the MODIS still misses a large number of fires occurring around and after 4 p.m. The AMI’s relatively coarse spatial resolution (~4 km), a consequence of its slant viewing geometry over NW India, imposes inherent limitations on quantifying the full extent of fire occurrences. The operational air quality forecasting models currently assimilate satellite fire detections predominantly captured during early afternoon overpasses of the MODIS and VIIRS. The temporal shift in fire activity complicates such forecast, leading to a substantial underestimation of emissions. Intense stubble burning and the resulting air pollution highlight the need for effective crop residue management practices for mitigating the frequency of open biomass burning and thereby reducing episodic degradation of air quality and its associated public health and economic impacts. Full article

The orbital drift of the Fengyun-4B (FY-4B) satellite from 133°E to 105°E in early 2024 significantly altered its viewing geometry over China, providing a unique opportunity to evaluate the impact of satellite positioning on the accuracy of downward surface shortwave radiation (DSSR) retrievals. In this study, FY-4B DSSR products before and after the drift were systematically evaluated using a strictly matched common set of 141 first-order radiation stations from the China Meteorological Administration during the summer seasons of 2023 and 2024. The results show that the post-drift product achieved markedly improved satellite–ground consistency, with the correlation coefficient increasing from 0.93 to 0.95 and the RMSE decreasing by 11.8% from 111.5 to 99.58 W/m², while the mean bias remained close to zero. Spatially, the historical east–west disparity in retrieval accuracy was substantially mitigated, mainly because the westward orbital shift reduced the viewing zenith angle over western China and thereby weakened geometric distortions and atmospheric path-length errors. Further analyses across longitude, latitude, land cover, elevation, cloud regime, and diurnal cycle consistently indicate that the optimized viewing geometry was the dominant driver of the post-drift improvement, although residual errors remain in complex terrain and heterogeneous cloud conditions. These results demonstrate that the orbital shift to 105°E fundamentally enhanced the reliability of FY-4B DSSR products over China and provide useful guidance for future geostationary satellite deployment and radiation product application in solar energy assessment and numerical weather prediction. Full article

Quicker identifying abilities are required due to the rising frequency and severity of wildfires. Although polar-orbiting satellites with medium and high resolution can accurately identify wildfires, the majority of available fire detection images originate from such platforms. However, their low temporal revisit rates restrict the potential for early warning. Geostationary satellites provide minute-level, continuous monitoring that corresponds with the quick onset of wildfires; however, their dependence on conventional threshold methods and coarse spatial resolution result in notable detection errors. This study developed an integrated deep learning framework for accurate wildfire detection in low-resolution geostationary imagery in order to get over these restrictions. A novel dynamic index, the Dynamic Normalized Burn Ratio—Thermal (DNBRT), was proposed to characterize wildfire progression by integrating instantaneous thermal anomalies with dynamic vegetation signals. Based on this, a Fire Spatiotemporal Network (FST-Net) was designed, with an efficient residual backbone, a Convolutional Block Attention Module (CBAM) for feature refinement, and a Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory (BiLSTM) network to capture temporal evolution. Trained and evaluated on an FY-4B-based fire/non-fire dataset, the proposed framework demonstrated superior performance. FST-Net outperformed benchmark models, improving accuracy and recall by averages of 10.30% and 9.32% respectively while achieving faster inference speed. An ablation experiment confirmed the critical role of fusing thermal and vegetation features in DNBRT, with 92.7% accuracy and 94.9% recall. Compared to the FY-4B fire product, the proposed framework enables earlier detection, maintains more complete tracking of fire progression, and exhibits greater robustness under complex burning conditions while achieving sub-hectare (0.36 ha) detection sensitivity at the 2 km resolution. By synergizing a discriminative dynamic index with an efficient spatiotemporal architecture, this work provides an effective solution for operational, real-time monitoring of small and early-stage wildfires from geostationary satellites. Full article

The Geostationary Interferometric Infrared Sounder (GIIRS) onboard the FengYun-4B weather satellite provides critical upwelling atmospheric infrared radiance. To address the limitations of the previous sounder (FY-4A/GIIRS) in terms of spatial resolution and spectral coverage, FY-4B/GIIRS has increased the spatial resolution to 12 km and added more spectral channels in the long-wave band to enhance the observation details and information content of weather systems. To evaluate its baseline performance, a comprehensive preflight test campaign—encompassing spectral and radiometric assessments—was conducted in a thermal vacuum (TVAC) chamber. Spectral characterization via laser measurements confirmed the instrument spectral response function (ISRF) is highly consistent with the theoretical cardinal sine function (sinc). Gas-cell tests demonstrated that, after correcting for off-axis effect, the spectral calibration errors are on average less than 5 ppm, validated against Line-By-Line Radiative Transfer Model (LBLRTM) simulations. The radiometric calibration employed temperature-variable blackbodies for noise performance and radiometric accuracy assessments. The radiometric sensitivity, characterized by Noise Equivalent differential Radiance (NEdR), is less than 0.5 and 0.1 mW/(m²·sr·cm⁻¹) in the long-wave infrared (LWIR) and mid-wave infrared (MWIR) bands, respectively. To address the LWIR detector nonlinearity, an iterative polynomial fitting algorithm based on spectral responsivity invariance was implemented. This correction reduces the radiometric deviation from >1.0 K to ~0.2 K, meeting the 0.7 K accuracy requirement across a 180–315 K dynamic range. Conversely, the MWIR band exhibits high linearity but is limited by noise when observing low-temperature scenarios and can only meet the 0.7 K requirement within the range of 250 to 315 K. Full article

Existing technologies can achieve relative geometric correction and stabilization of geostationary satellite image sequences through fixed land scene matching or homonymous point adjustment. However, these methods heavily rely on fixed land areas, rendering them completely ineffective in vast ocean regions with only ship targets. Additionally, the trajectories of ship targets after processing still exhibit noticeable jitter, hindering motion information analysis. To address these issues, this paper proposes a joint image adjustment and stabilization method based on multi-target trajectories in marine environments: (1) An optimized target detection algorithm based on a multi-scale heterogeneous convolution module is introduced, which extracts background and target features through convolutions of different scales, enabling accurate detection and tracking of weak small targets in the image sequence frame by frame. (2) Curve fitting is performed on the detected positions of the same ship across multiple frames to simulate its motion trajectory under stabilized conditions. Combined with the prior assumption of uniform motion, an equal-division strategy is adopted to determine the corrected positions of the target in the image sequence. (3) The deviation correction values of multiple targets within the same frame are obtained, and based on the principle of intra-frame deviation consistency, precise image stabilization is achieved under multi-target constraints. Experiments based on Gaofen-4 satellite image sequences demonstrate that this method reduces the average position deviation of ship targets in the original images from 8.5 pixels (425 m) to 3.4 pixels (170 m), a decrease of approximately 59.41%, effectively improving the relative geometric accuracy of the image sequence and significantly eliminating target trajectory jitter. Full article