Search Results (486)

Despite the extensive evidence supporting the effectiveness of cognitive stimulation, differences in results may be due to the influence of cognitive and non-cognitive aspects in people with dementia. The aim of this systematic review is to identify the most reliable variables in forecasting the effectiveness of cognitive stimulation in people with mild to moderate dementia. According to PRISMA guidelines, the research was conducted using five databases (PubMed, Scopus, Cochrane, Web of Science, APA PsycInfo), considering randomized controlled trials. A total of six studies were included. Different aspects moderating the gain resulting from cognitive intervention were collected and assessed in terms of demographic, cognitive, emotional, social, and quality of life parameters. People with dementia benefit more from cognitive intervention if they are female, if they have a low formal education level, a low baseline level of cognitive function, and lower depressive symptoms, and if caregivers actively participate in sessions. Quality of life, if low at baseline, also seems to improve following CST intervention. A deeper understanding of the cognitive and non-cognitive aspects ensuring improvement after cognitive stimulation may guide future research to develop more personalized interventions. Full article

Accurate forecasting of energy consumption in buildings is essential for achieving energy efficiency and reducing carbon emissions. However, many existing models rely on limited input variables and overlook the complex influence of indoor environmental quality (IEQ). In this study, we assess the performance of hybrid machine learning ensembles for predicting hourly energy demand in a smart office environment using high-frequency IEQ sensor data. Environmental variables including carbon dioxide concentration (CO₂), particulate matter (PM_2.5), total volatile organic compounds (TVOCs), noise levels, humidity, and temperature were recorded over a four-month period. We evaluated two ensemble configurations combining support vector regression (SVR) with either Random Forest or LightGBM as base learners and Ridge regression as a meta-learner, alongside single-model baselines such as SVR and artificial neural networks (ANN). The SVR combined with Random Forest and Ridge regression demonstrated the highest predictive performance, achieving a mean absolute error (MAE) of 1.20, a mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) of 8.92%, and a coefficient of determination (R²) of 0.82. Feature importance analysis using SHAP values, together with non-parametric statistical testing, identified TVOCs, humidity, and PM_2.5 as the most influential predictors of energy use. These findings highlight the value of integrating high-resolution IEQ data into predictive frameworks and demonstrate that such data can significantly improve forecasting accuracy. This effect is attributed to the direct link between these IEQ variables and the activation of energy-intensive systems; fluctuations in humidity drive HVAC energy use for dehumidification, while elevated pollutant levels (TVOCs, PM_2.5) trigger increased ventilation to maintain indoor air quality, thus raising the total energy load. Full article

This study investigates the use of a Random Forest (RF), an artificial intelligence (AI) model, to estimate the planetary boundary layer height (PBLH) over Central Amazonia from climatic elements data collected during the GoAmazon experiment, held in 2014 and 2015, as it is a key metric for air quality, weather forecasting, and climate modeling. The novelty of this study lies in estimating PBLH using only surface-based meteorological observations. This approach is validated against remote sensing measurements (e.g., LIDAR, ceilometer, and wind profilers), which are seldom available in the Amazon region. The dataset includes various meteorological features, though substantial missing data for the latent heat flux (LE) and net radiation (Rn) measurements posed challenges. We addressed these gaps through different data-cleaning strategies, such as feature exclusion, row removal, and imputation techniques, assessing their impact on model performance using the Root Mean Square Error (RMSE), Mean Absolute Error (MAE), and $r^2$ metrics. The best-performing strategy achieved an RMSE of 375.9 m. In addition to the RF model, we benchmarked its performance against Linear Regression, Support Vector Regression, LightGBM, XGBoost, and a Deep Neural Network. While all models showed moderate correlation with observed PBLH, the RF model outperformed all others with statistically significant differences confirmed by paired t-tests. SHAP (SHapley Additive exPlanations) values were used to enhance model interpretability, revealing hour of the day, air temperature, and relative humidity as the most influential predictors for PBLH, underscoring their critical role in atmospheric dynamics in Central Amazonia. Despite these optimizations, the model underestimates the PBLH values—by an average of 197 m, particularly in the spring and early summer austral seasons when atmospheric conditions are more variable. These findings emphasize the importance of robust data preprocessing and higtextight the potential of ML models for improving PBLH estimation in data-scarce tropical environments. Full article

Biochar, a carbon-rich material derived from biomass, presents a sustainable solution to several pressing challenges in U.S. agriculture, including soil degradation, carbon emissions, and waste management. Despite global advancements, the U.S. biochar market remains underexplored in terms of economic viability, adoption potential, and sector-specific applications. This narrative review synthesizes two decades of literature to examine biochar’s applications, production methods, and market dynamics, with a focus on its economic and environmental role within the United States. The review identifies biochar’s multifunctional benefits: enhancing soil fertility and crop productivity, sequestering carbon, reducing greenhouse gas emissions, and improving water quality. Recent empirical studies also highlight biochar’s economic feasibility across global contexts, with yield increases of up to 294% and net returns exceeding USD 5000 per hectare in optimized systems. Economically, the global biochar market grew from USD 156.4 million in 2021 to USD 610.3 million in 2023, with U.S. production reaching ~50,000 metric tons annually and a market value of USD 203.4 million in 2022. Forecasts project U.S. market growth at a CAGR of 11.3%, reaching USD 478.5 million by 2030. California leads domestic adoption due to favorable policy and biomass availability. However, barriers such as inconsistent quality standards, limited awareness, high costs, and policy gaps constrain growth. This study goes beyond the existing literature by integrating market analysis, SWOT assessment, cost–benefit findings, and production technologies to highlight strategies for scaling biochar adoption. It concludes that with supportive legislation, investment in research, and enhanced supply chain transparency, biochar could become a pivotal tool for sustainable development in the U.S. agricultural and environmental sectors. Full article

Urban air pollution remains a significant environmental and public health issue, especially in European coastal cities such as Klaipėda. However, there is still a lack of local-scale knowledge on how land use structure influences pollutant distribution, highlighting the need to address this gap. This study addresses this by examining the spatial distribution of nitrogen dioxide (NO₂) concentrations in Klaipėda’s seaport city and several inland and coastal resort towns in Lithuania. The research specifically asks how different land cover types and demographic factors affect NO₂ variability and population exposure risk. Data were collected using passive sampling methods and analyzed within a GIS environment. The results revealed clear air quality differences between industrial/port zones and greener resort areas, confirmed by statistically significant associations between land cover types and pollutant levels. Based on these findings, a Land Use Pollution Pressure index (LUPP) and its population-weighted variant (PLUPP) were developed to capture demographic sensitivity. These indices provide a practical decision-support tool for sustainable urban planning, enabling the assessment of pollution risks and the forecasting of air quality changes under different land use scenarios, while contributing to local climate adaptation and urban environmental governance. Full article

Efficient antenna orientation of transmitters is essential for improving wireless signal quality and coverage, especially in large-scale and complex 6G networks. Identifying the best antenna angles is difficult due to the nonlinear interaction among orientation, signal propagation, and interference. This paper introduces a digital twin-based evaluation approach utilizing ray tracing simulations to assess the influence of antenna orientation on critical performance metrics: path gain, received signal strength (RSS), and signal-to-interference-plus-noise ratio (SINR). A thorough array of orientation scenarios was simulated to produce a dataset reflecting varied coverage conditions. The dataset was utilized to investigate antenna configurations that produced the optimal and suboptimal performance for each parameter. Additionally, three machine learning models—k-nearest neighbors (KNN), multi-layer perceptron (MLP), and XGBoost—were developed to forecast ideal configurations. XGBoost had superior prediction accuracy compared to the other models, as evidenced by regression outcomes and cumulative distribution function (CDF) analyses. The proposed workflow demonstrates that learning-based predictors can uncover orientation refinements that conventional grid sweeps overlook, enabling agile, interference-aware optimization. Key contributions include an end-to-end digital twin methodology for rapid what-if analysis and a systematic comparison of lightweight machine learning predictors for antenna orientation. This comprehensive method provides a pragmatic and scalable solution for the data-driven optimization of wireless systems in real-world settings. Full article

Sepsis remains a leading global cause of mortality, with delayed recognition and empirical antibiotic overuse fueling poor outcomes and rising antimicrobial resistance. This systematic scoping review evaluates the current landscape of artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) applications in sepsis care, focusing on early detection, personalized antibiotic management, and resistance forecasting. Literature from 2019 to 2025 was systematically reviewed following PRISMA-ScR guidelines. A total of 129 full-text articles were analyzed, with study quality assessed via the JBI and QUADAS-2 tools. AI-based models demonstrated robust predictive performance for early sepsis detection (AUROC 0.68–0.99), antibiotic stewardship, and resistance prediction. Notable tools, such as InSight and KI.SEP, leveraged multimodal clinical and biomarker data to provide actionable, real-time support and facilitate timely interventions. AI-driven platforms showed potential to reduce inappropriate antibiotic use and nephrotoxicity while optimizing outcomes. However, most models are limited by single-center data, variable interpretability, and insufficient real-world validation. Key challenges remain regarding data integration, algorithmic bias, and ethical implementation. Future research should prioritize multicenter validation, seamless integration with clinical workflows, and robust ethical frameworks to ensure safe, equitable, and effective adoption. AI and ML hold significant promise to transform sepsis management, but their clinical impact depends on transparent, validated, and user-centered deployment. Full article

The prediction and management of water quality are critical to ensure sustainable water resources, particularly in regions like Malaysia, where rivers face increasing pollution from industrialisation, agriculture, and urban expansion. This review aims to provide a comprehensive analysis of machine learning (ML) models and statistical methods applied in forecasting and classification of water quality. A particular focus is given to hybrid models that integrate multiple approaches to improve predictive accuracy and robustness. This study also reviews water quality standards and highlights the environmental context that necessitates advanced predictive tools. Statistical techniques such as residual analysis, principal component analysis (PCA), and feature importance assessment are also explored to enhance model interpretability and reliability. Comparative tables of model performance, strengths, and limitations are presented alongside real-world applications. Despite recent advancements, challenges remain in data quality, model interpretability, and integration of spatio-temporal and fuzzy logic techniques. This review identifies key research gaps and proposes future directions for developing transparent, adaptive, and accurate models. The findings can also guide researchers and policymakers towards the development of smart water quality management systems that enhance decision-making and ecological sustainability. Full article

Investigating land cover patterns, changes in carbon stocks, and forecasting future conditions are essential for formulating regional sustainable development strategies and enhancing ecological and environmental quality. This study centers on Guiyang, a mountainous urban area in southwestern China, to analyze the dynamic changes in land cover and their effects on carbon stocks from 2000 to 2035. A carbon stocks assessment framework was developed using a cellular automaton-based artificial neural network model (CA-ANN), the InVEST model, and the geographical detector model to predict future land cover changes and identify the primary drivers of variations in carbon stocks. The results indicate that (1) from 2000 to 2020, impervious surfaces expanded significantly, increasing by 199.73 km². Compared to 2020, impervious surfaces are projected to increase by 1.06 km², 13.54 km², and 34.97 km² in 2025, 2030, and 2035, respectively, leading to further reductions in grassland and forest areas. (2) Over time, carbon stocks in Guiyang exhibited a general decreasing trend; spatially, carbon stocks were higher in the western and northern regions and lower in the central and southern regions. (3) The level of greenness, measured by the normalized vegetation index (NDVI), significantly influenced the spatial variation of carbon stocks in Guiyang. Changes in carbon stocks resulted from the combined effects of multiple factors, with the annual average temperature and NDVI being the most influential. These findings provide a scientific basis for advancing low-carbon development and constructing an ecological civilization in Guiyang. Full article

This study analyzes air pollution time-series big data to assess stationarity, seasonal patterns, and the performance of machine learning models in forecasting PM2.5 concentrations. Fifty-two low-cost sensors (LCS) were deployed across Krakow city and its surroundings (Poland), collecting hourly air quality data and generating nearly 20,000 observations per month. The network captured both spatial and temporal variability. The Kwiatkowski–Phillips–Schmidt–Shin (KPSS) test confirmed trend-based non-stationarity, which was addressed through differencing, revealing distinct daily and 12 h cycles linked to traffic and temperature variations. Additive seasonal decomposition exhibited time-inconsistent residuals, leading to the adoption of multiplicative decomposition, which better captured pollution outliers associated with agricultural burning. Machine learning models—Ridge Regression, XGBoost, and LSTM (Long Short-Term Memory) neural networks—were evaluated under high spatial and temporal variability (winter) and low variability (summer) conditions. Ridge Regression showed the best performance, achieving the highest $R^2$ (0.97 in winter, 0.93 in summer) and the lowest mean squared errors. XGBoost showed strong predictive capabilities but tended to overestimate moderate pollution events, while LSTM systematically underestimated PM2.5 levels in December. The residual analysis confirmed that Ridge Regression provided the most stable predictions, capturing extreme pollution episodes effectively, whereas XGBoost exhibited larger outliers. The study proved the potential of low-cost sensor networks and machine learning in urban air quality forecasting focused on rare smog episodes (RSEs). Full article

Industrial energy systems are increasingly required to reduce operating costs and CO₂ emissions while integrating variable renewable energy sources. Managing these objectives under uncertainty requires advanced optimization strategies capable of delivering reliable and real-time decisions. To address these challenges, this study focuses on the short-term operational planning of an industrial energy supply system using the rolling horizon approach (RHA). The RHA offers an effective framework to handle uncertainties by repeatedly updating forecasts and re-optimizing over a moving time window, thereby enabling adaptive and responsive energy management. To solve the resulting nonlinear and constrained optimization problem at each RHA iteration, we propose a novel hybrid algorithm that combines Bayesian optimization (BO) with the Interior Point OPTimizer (IPOPT). While global deterministic and stochastic optimization methods are frequently used in practice, they often suffer from high computational costs and slow convergence, particularly when applied to large-scale, nonlinear problems with complex constraints. To overcome these limitations, we employ the BO–IPOPT, integrating the global search capabilities of BO with the efficient local convergence and constraint fulfillment of the IPOPT. Applied to a large-scale real-world case study of a food and cosmetic industry in Germany, the proposed BO–IPOPT method outperformed state-of-the-art solvers in both solution quality and robustness, achieving up to 97.25%-better objective function values at the same CPU time. Additionally, the influence of key parameters, such as forecast uncertainty, optimization horizon length, and computational effort per RHA iteration, was analyzed to assess their impact on system performance and decision quality. Full article

Dissolved oxygen (DO) is widely recognized as a fundamental parameter in assessing water quality, given its critical role in supporting aquatic ecosystems. Accurate estimation of DO levels is crucial for effective management of riverine environments, especially in anthropogenically stressed regions. In this study, a hybrid machine learning (ML) framework is introduced to predict DO concentrations, where optimization is performed through Genetic Algorithm Search with Cross-Validation (GASearchCV). The methodology was applied to a dataset collected from the Sitnica River in Kosovo, comprising more than 18,000 observations of temperature, conductivity, pH, and dissolved oxygen. The ML models Elastic Net (EN), Support Vector Regression (SVR), and Light Gradient Boosting Machine (LGBM) were fine-tuned using cross-validation and assessed using five performance metrics: coefficient of determination (${\mathrm{R}}^2$), root mean square error (RMSE), mean absolute error (MAE), mean absolute relative error MARE, and mean square error (MSE). Among them, the LGBM model yielded the best predictive results, achieving an ${\mathrm{R}}^2$ of 0.944 and RMSE of 8.430 mg/L on average. A Monte Carlo Simulation-based uncertainty analysis further confirmed the model’s robustness, enabling comparison of the trade-off between uncertainty and predictive precision. Comparison with recent studies confirms the proposed framework’s competitive performance, demonstrating the effectiveness of automated tuning and ensemble learning in achieving reliable and real-time water quality forecasting. The methodology offers a scalable and reliable solution for advancing data-driven water quality forecasting, with direct applicability to real-time environmental monitoring and sustainable resource management. Full article

In this study, we introduced a novel Trajectory-Channel Transport Model (TCTM) to unravel spatiotemporal dynamics of PM_2.5 pollution. By integrating high-resolution simulations from the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model with the Nested Air-Quality Prediction Modeling System (WRF-NAQPMS) and 72 h backward-trajectory analysis, TCTM enables the precise identification of source regions, the delineation of key transport corridors, and a quantitative assessment of regional contributions to receptor sites. Focusing on four Yangtze River Delta cities (Hangzhou, Shanghai, Nanjing, Hefei) during a January 2020 pollution event, the results demonstrate that TCTM’s Weighted Concentration Source (WCS) and Source Pollution Characteristic Index (SPCI) outperform traditional PSCF and CWT methods in source-attribution accuracy and resolution. Unlike receptor-based statistical approaches, TCTM reconstructs pollutant transport processes, quantifies spatial decay, and assigns contributions via physically interpretable metrics. This innovative framework offers actionable insights for targeted air-quality management strategies, highlighting its potential as a robust tool for pollution mitigation planning. Full article

Air quality forecasts play a crucial role in informing the public about atmospheric pollutant levels that pose risks to human health and the environment. The accuracy of these forecasts strongly depends on the quality and resolution of the input data used in the modelling process. At HungaroMet, the Hungarian Meteorological Service, the CHIMERE chemical transport model is used to provide two-day air quality forecasts for the territory of Hungary. This study compares two configurations of the CHIMERE model: the current operational setup, which uses climatological averages from the LMDz-INCA database for boundary conditions, and a test configuration that incorporates real-time boundary conditions from the CAMS global forecast. The primary objective of this work was to assess how the use of real-time versus climatological boundary conditions affects modelled concentrations of key pollutants, including NO₂, O₃, PM₁₀, and PM_2.5. The model results were evaluated against observational data from the Hungarian Air Quality Monitoring Network using a range of statistical metrics. The results indicate that the use of real-time boundary conditions, particularly for aerosol-type pollutants, improves the accuracy of PM₁₀ forecasts. This improvement is most significant under meteorological conditions that favour the long-range transport of particulate matter, such as during Saharan dust or wildfire episodes. These findings highlight the importance of incorporating dynamic, up-to-date boundary data, especially for particulate matter forecasting—given the increasing frequency of transboundary dust events. Full article

Regional ecological environmental quality (EEQ) is a vital indicator for environmental management and supporting sustainable development. However, the absence of robust and accurate EEQ prediction models has hindered effective environmental strategies. This study proposes a novel approach to address this gap by integrating the ecological index (EI) model with several predictive models, including autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA), convolutional neural network (CNN), long short-term memory (LSTM), and cellular automata (CA), to forecast regional EEQ. Initially, the spatiotemporal evolution of the input data used to calculate the EI score was analyzed. Subsequently, tailored prediction models were developed for each dataset. These models were sequentially trained and validated, and their outputs were integrated into the EI model to enhance the accuracy and coherence of the final EEQ predictions. The novelty of this methodology lies not only in integrating existing predictive models but also in employing an innovative fusion technique that significantly improves prediction accuracy. Despite data quality issues in the case study dataset led to higher prediction errors in certain regions, the overall results exhibit a high degree of accuracy. A comparison of long-term EI predictions with EI assessment results reveals that the R² value for the EI score exceeds 0.96, and the kappa value surpasses 0.76 for the EI level, underscoring the robust performance of the integrated model in forecasting regional EEQ. This approach offers valuable insights into exploring regional EEQ trends and future challenges. Full article