Search Results (380)

This study analyzes spatiotemporal aridity dynamics in Central Kazakhstan (1960–2022) using a monthly Aridity Index (AI = P/PET), where P is precipitation and PET is potential evapotranspiration, Mann–Kendall trend analysis, and climate zone classification. Results reveal a northeast–southwest aridity gradient, with Aridity Index ranging from 0.11 to 0.14 in southern deserts to 0.43 in the Kazakh Uplands. Between 1960–1990 and 1991–2022, southern regions experienced intensified aridity, with Aridity Index declining from 0.12–0.15 to 0.10–0.14, while northern mountainous areas became more humid, where Aridity Index increased from 0.40–0.44 to 0.41–0.46. Seasonal analysis reveals divergent patterns, with winter showing improved moisture conditions (52.4% reduction in arid lands), contrasting sharply with aridification in spring and summer. Summer emerges as the most extreme season, with hyper-arid zones (8%) along with expanding arid territories (69%), while autumn shows intermediate conditions with notable dry sub-humid areas (5%) in northwestern regions. Statistical analysis confirms these observations, with northern areas showing positive Aridity Index trends (+0.007/10 years) against southwestern declines (−0.003/10 years). Key drivers include rising temperatures (with recent degradation) and variable precipitation (long-term drying followed by winter and spring), and PET fluctuations linked to temperature. Since 1991, arid zones have expanded from 40% to 47% of the region, with semi-arid lands transitioning to arid, with a northward shift of the boundary. These changes are strongly seasonal, highlighting the vulnerability of Central Kazakhstan to climate-driven aridification. Full article

This study investigates the seasonal dynamics of energy balance, evapotranspiration (ET), and Net Ecosystem Production (NEP) in the Dengkou desert ecosystem of Inner Mongolia, China. Using eddy covariance and meteorological data from 2019 to 2022, the research focuses on understanding how these processes interact in one of the world’s most water-limited environments. This arid research area received an average of 109.35 mm per annum precipitation over the studied period, classifying the region as a typical arid ecosystem. Seasonal patterns were observed in daily air temperature, with extremes ranging from −20.6 °C to 29.6 °C. Temporal variations in sensible heat flux (H), latent heat flux (LE), and net radiation (Rn) peaked during summer season. The average ground heat flux (G) was mostly positive throughout the observation period, indicating heat transmission from atmosphere to soil, but showed negative values during the winter season. The energy balance ratio for the studied period was in the range of 0.61 to 0.80, indicating challenges in achieving energy closure and ecological shifts. ET exhibited two annual peaks influenced by vegetation growth and climate change, with annual ET exceeding annual precipitation, except in 2021. Net ecosystem production (NEP) from 2019 to 2020 revealed that the Dengkou desert were a net source of carbon, indicating the carbon loss from the ecosystem. In 2021, the Dengkou ecosystem shifted to become a net carbon sink, effectively sequestrating carbon. However, this was sharply reversed in 2022, resulting in a significant net release of carbon. The study findings highlight the complex interactions between energy balance components, ET, and NEP in desert ecosystems, providing insights into sustainable water management and carbon neutrality strategies in arid regions under climate change effect. Full article

Arid and semi-arid areas serve a critical regulatory function within the global carbon cycle. Understanding the response mechanisms of vegetation productivity to variations in moisture availability represents a fundamental scientific challenge in elucidating terrestrial carbon dynamics. This study systematically disentangled the respective influences of summer surface soil moisture (RSM) and precipitation (PRE) on gross primary productivity (GPP) across arid and semi-arid regions of China from 2000 to 2022. Utilizing GPP datasets alongside correlation analysis, ridge regression, and data binning techniques, the investigation yielded several key findings: (1) Both GPP and RSM exhibited significant upward trends within the study area, whereas precipitation showed no statistically significant trend; notably, GPP demonstrated the highest rate of increase at 0.455 Cg m⁻² a⁻¹. (2) Decoupling analysis indicated a coupled relationship between RSM and PRE; however, their individual effects on GPP were not merely a consequence of this coupling. Controlling for evapotranspiration and root-zone soil moisture interference, the analysis revealed that under conditions of elevated RSM, the average increase in summer–autumn GPP (SA_GPP) was 0.249, significantly surpassing the increase observed under high-PRE conditions (−0.088). Areas dominated by RSM accounted for 62.13% of the total study region. Furthermore, examination of the aridity gradient demonstrated that the predominance of RSM intensified with increasing aridity, reaching its peak influence in extremely arid zones. This research provides a quantitative assessment of the differential impacts of RSM and PRE on vegetation productivity in China’s arid and semi-arid areas, thereby offering a vital theoretical foundation for improving predictions of terrestrial carbon sink dynamics under future climate change scenarios. Full article

Xylosalsola chiwensis (Popov) Akhani & Roalson is listed in the Red Data Book of Kazakhstan as a rare species with a limited distribution, occurring in small populations in Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan, and Turkmenistan. The aim of this study is to deepen the understanding of the ecological conditions of its habitats, the floristic composition of its associated plant communities, the species’ morphological and anatomical characteristics, and its molecular phylogeny, as well as to identify the main threats to its survival. The ecological conditions of the X. chiwensis habitats include coastal sandy plains and the slopes of chinks and denudation plains with gray–brown desert soils and bozyngens on the Mangyshlak Peninsula and the Ustyurt Plateau at altitudes ranging from −3 to 270 m above sea level. The species is capable of surviving in arid conditions (less than 100 mm of annual precipitation) and under extreme temperatures (air temperatures exceeding 45 °C and soil surface temperatures above 65 °C). In X. chiwensis communities, we recorded 53 species of vascular plants. Anthropogenic factors associated with livestock grazing, industrial disturbances, and off-road vehicle traffic along an unregulated network of dirt roads have been identified as contributing to population decline and the potential extinction of the species under conditions of unsustainable land use. The morphometric traits of X. chiwensis could be used for taxonomic analysis and for identifying diagnostic morphological characteristics to distinguish between species of Xylosalsola. The most taxonomically valuable characteristics include the fruit diameter (with wings) and the cone-shaped structure length, as they differ consistently between species and exhibit relatively low variability. Anatomical adaptations to arid conditions were observed, including a well-developed hypodermis, which is indicative of a water-conserving strategy. The moderate photosynthetic activity, reflected by a thinner palisade mesophyll layer, may be associated with reduced photosynthetic intensity, which is compensated for through structural mechanisms for water conservation. The flow cytometry analysis revealed a genome size of 2.483 ± 0.191 pg (2n/4x = 18), and the phylogenetic analysis confirmed the placement of X. chiwensis within the tribe Salsoleae of the subfamily Salsoloideae, supporting its taxonomic distinctness. To support the conservation of this rare species, measures are proposed to expand the area of the Ustyurt Nature Reserve through the establishment of cluster sites. Full article

Kiwifruit is a high-value subtropical crop with significant nutritional and economic importance, but its cultivation faces growing challenges due to climate change, particularly in Caucasus. This study aims to study the impact of abiotic stressors such as temperature extremes, drought, and frost on the yield of the ‘Hayward’ cultivar over a 20-year period (from 2003 to 2022). Using a combination of agroclimatic data analysis, measurements of soluble solid content, and soil moisture assessments, this research identified key factors which limit kiwifruit cultivation productivity. The results revealed a high yield variability—68%, with the mean value declining by 16.6% every five years due to increasing aridity and heat stress. Extreme temperature rises of up to 30 °C caused yield losses of 79–89%, and the presence of frost led to declines of 71–94%. In addition, it is objectively proven that the vulnerability of kiwifruit is subject to climate-driven water imbalances. This highlights the need for adaptive strategy formation in the area of optimized irrigation for the sustainable cultivation of fruit in the subtropics. One of the study’s limitations was that it was organized around a single variety of kiwifruit (‘Hayward’). In view of the fact that there are significant differences in growth characteristics among kiwifruit varieties, future research should focus on overcoming this shortcoming. Full article

The distinctive leaf and twig heteromorphism in Euphrates poplar (Populus euphratica Oliv.) reflects its adaptive strategies to cope with arid environments across ontogenetic stages. In the key distribution area of P. euphratica forests in China, we sampled P. euphratica twigs (which grow in the current year) at different age classes (1-, 3-, 5-, 8-, and 11-year-old trees), then analyzed their morphological traits, biomass allocation, as well as allometric relationships. Results revealed significant ontogenetic shifts: seedlings prioritized vertical growth by lengthening stems (32.06 ± 10.28 cm in 1-year-olds) and increasing stem biomass allocation (0.36 ± 0.14 g), while subadult trees developed shorter stems (6.80 ± 2.42 cm in 11-year-olds) with increasesd petiole length (2.997 ± 0.63 cm) and lamina biomass (1.035 ± 0.406 g). Variance partitioning showed that 93%–99% of the trait variation originated from age and individual differences. Standardized major axis analysis demonstrated a consistent “diminishing returns” allometry in biomass allocation (lamina–stem slope = 0.737, lamina–petiole slope = 0.827), with age-modulated intercepts reflecting developmental adjustments. These patterns revealed an evolutionary trade-off strategy where subadult trees optimized photosynthetic efficiency through compact architecture and enhanced hydraulic safety, while seedlings prioritized vertical space occupation. Our findings revealed that heteromorphic twigs play a pivotal role in modular trait coordination, providing mechanistic insights into P. euphratica’s adaptation to extreme aridity throughout its lifespan. Full article

Understanding vegetation responses to atmospheric drought is critical for arid ecosystem management under climate change. However, the threshold of the response mechanism of grassland in arid regions to atmospheric drought remains unclear. This study investigates how vapor pressure deficit (VPD) regulates grassland gross primary productivity (GPP) in Xinjiang, China, using MODIS and other multi-source remote sensing data (2000–2020). The results show intensified atmospheric drought in central Tianshan Mountains and southern Junggar Basin, with VPD exhibiting a widespread increasing trend (significant increase: 15.75%, extremely significant increase: 4.68%). Intensified atmospheric drought occurred in the central Tianshan Mountains and southern Junggar Basin. Integrated analyses demonstrate that VPD has a dominant negative impact on GPP (path coefficient = −0.58, p < 0.05), primarily driven by atmospheric drought stress. A ridge regression-derived threshold was identified at 0.61 kPa, marking the point where VPD transitions from stimulating to suppressing productivity. Spatially, 58.75% of the total area showed a significant increase in GPP. These findings advance the mechanistic understanding of atmospheric drought impacts on arid ecosystems and inform adaptive grassland management strategies. Full article

Climate change represents a major global challenge, with semi-arid regions like the province of Almería being particularly vulnerable. Almería’s dependence on climate-sensitive sectors such as agriculture and tourism, coupled with the absence of perennial rivers, increases its exposure to extreme events including heatwaves, droughts, and extreme precipitation events like storms. This study proposes a semi-quantitative methodology to assess climate risk across different sectors at the municipal level, combining indicators of hazard, exposure and vulnerability within the framework of the IPCC AR6. Exposure and vulnerability indicators were derived from regional, national and European datasets, while hazards were characterized using downscaled Essential Climate Variables. After data collection, the indicators were normalized using a percentile-based approach to ensure their comparison and replicability, especially in data-scarce contexts. The results reveal both sectoral and spatial patterns of risk under three different climate change scenarios, highlighting municipalities with a higher level of exposure, vulnerability and risk. Although the static nature of exposure and vulnerability indicators represents a limitation in future risk quantification, the findings remain valuable for identifying priority areas for targeted adaptation and mitigation strategies. The proposed semi-quantitative risk methodology based on indicators is of great interest and relevance for understanding differences at local scales, as well as for implementing adaptation and mitigation solutions adjusted to the real needs of each municipality. Full article

Accelerating climate change poses significant risks to water security and ecological stability in arid regions due to the increasing frequency and intensity of extreme precipitation events. As a climate-sensitive area, the inland river basin (IRB) of Northwest China—a critical water source for local ecosystems and socioeconomic activities—remains insufficiently studied in terms of future extreme precipitation dynamics. This study evaluated the spatiotemporal evolution of extreme precipitation in the IRB under a new low radiative forcing scenario (SSP1-1.9) by employing four global climate models (GCMs: GFDL-ESM4, MRI-ESM2, MIROC6, and IPSL-CM6A-LR). Eight core extreme precipitation indices were analyzed to quantify changes during the near future (NF: 2021–2050) and far future (FF: 2071–2100) periods. Our research demonstrated that all four models were capable of capturing seasonal patterns and exhibited inherent uncertainty. The annual total precipitation (PRCPTOT) in mountainous regions showed minimal variation, while desert areas were projected to experience a 2-6-fold increase in precipitation in the NF and FF. The Precipitation Intensity Index (SDII) weakened by approximately −10% in mountainous areas but strengthened by around +10% in desert regions. Most mountainous areas showed an increase in the maximum consecutive dry days (CDD), whereas desert regions exhibited extended maximum consecutive wet days (CWD). Moderate rainfall (P1025) variations primarily ranged between −5% and +20%, with greater fluctuations in desert areas. Heavy rainfall (PG25) fluctuated between −40% and +40%, reflecting stark contrasts in extreme precipitation between arid basins and mountainous zones. The maximum 1-day precipitation (Rx1day) and maximum 5-day precipitation (Rx5day) both showed significant increases, which indicated heightened risks from extreme rainfall events in the future. Moreover, the IRB region experienced increased total precipitation, enhanced rainfall intensity, more frequent alternations between drought and precipitation, more frequent moderate-to-heavy rainfall days, and higher daily precipitation extremes in both the NF and FF periods. These findings provide critical data for regional development planning and emergency response strategy formulation. Full article

In recent years, droughts and extreme weather events have witnessed increasing frequency around the globe, leading to a growing number of issues related to soil cracking that severely impact the stability of engineering projects and ecological environments. This study mainly investigates the cracking of clay in arid areas of Xinjiang. An experiment is conducted in a climate simulation laboratory, in which we explored the evolution of soil drying cracks under different (straight/curved) boundary constraints. The crack development process is quantitatively described through the use of digital imaging technology and by combining parameters such as crack rate, fractal dimension, and water-holding performance at different boundaries. The following conclusions were drawn: Under curved boundary conditions, cracks expand in a curve-like manner, and the cracks in the boundary area are densely distributed. However, under straight boundary conditions, penetrating straight cracks are formed, and the soil blocks present as regular polygons. Boundary conditions significantly impact the residual water content. Under straight boundary conditions, the residual masses of strongly and weakly bound water are significantly higher than those under curved boundary conditions. The complexity of the crack network under the curved boundary condition is higher, and its fractal dimension is significantly greater than that under the straight boundary condition. A quantitative analysis based on the use of digital image processing technology indicates that the boundary geometry has a significant controlling effect on the crack propagation path. This research provides guidance on the prevention and control of soil engineering cracking and damage in arid regions. Full article

Urban forests are very important for the environment and for people, especially in semi-arid cities where there is not much greenery. This makes heat stress worse and makes the city less livable. This paper presents a comprehensive geospatial methodology for selecting afforestation sites in the expanding semi-arid urban area of Şanlıurfa, Turkey, characterized by minimal forest cover, rapid urbanization, and extreme weather conditions. We identified nine ecological and infrastructure criteria using high-resolution Sentinel-2 images and features from the terrain. These criteria include slope, aspect, topography, land surface temperature (LST), solar radiation, flow accumulation, land cover, and proximity to roads and homes. After being normalized to make sure they were ecologically relevant and consistent, all of the datasets were put together into a GIS-based Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis (MCDA) tool. The Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) was then used to weight the criteria. A deep learning-based semantic segmentation model was used to create a thorough classification of land cover, primarily to exclude unsuitable areas such as dense urban fabric and water bodies. The final afforestation suitability map showed that 151.33 km² was very suitable and 192.06 km² was suitable, mostly in the northeastern and southeastern urban fringes. This was because the terrain and subclimatic conditions were good. The proposed methodology illustrates that urban green infrastructure planning can be effectively directed within climate adaptation frameworks through the integration of remote sensing and spatial decision-support tools, especially in ecologically sensitive and rapidly urbanizing areas. Full article

The response mechanisms of vegetation dynamics to climate change in arid regions, particularly under extreme low-altitude and high-temperature environments, remain unclear. Focusing on China’s lowest and hottest Turpan-Hami Basin, this study investigates the spatiotemporal evolution of vegetation cover (using MODIS NDVI) and its response to temperature, precipitation, and potential evapotranspiration (PET) based on data from 2001 to 2020. Theil–Sen trend analysis, the Mann–Kendall test, and Pearson correlation were employed. Key findings include the following: (1) NDVI exhibited a significant increasing trend, with the largest rise in winter and peak values in summer. Spatially, high NDVI was concentrated in oasis and mountainous forest-grassland zones, while low values prevailed in desert Gobi regions; 34.2% of the area showed significant improvement, though localized degradation occurred. (2) Temperature showed no significant overall correlation with NDVI, except for strong positive correlations in limited high-altitude cold zones (2.9%). Precipitation had minimal influence (no correlation in 75.4% of the area), with localized positive responses in northwestern foothills linked to runoff. PET exhibited positive correlations (weak or strong) with NDVI across nearly half of the region (46.8%), predominantly in oasis-desert and piedmont transition zones. (3) Human activities, notably irrigation and shelterbelt projects, are key drivers of oasis vegetation restoration. Critically, the positive PET-NDVI correlation challenges the conventional paradigm viewing evapotranspiration solely as water stress. This study elucidates the compound responses of vegetation dynamics to climatic and anthropogenic factors in a low-altitude arid region, providing a scientific basis for ecological restoration and water resource management optimization. Full article

As a critical ecologicalbarrier in the semi-arid to semi-humid transition zone of northern China, the interaction between afforestation and climatic stressors in the Yellow River Basin constitutes a pivotal scientific challenge for regional sustainable development. However, the synthesis effects of afforestation and climate on primary productivity require further investigation. Integrating multi-source remote sensing data (2000–2020), meteorological observations with the Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI) and an improved CASA model, this study systematically investigates spatiotemporal patterns of vegetation net primary productivity (NPP) responses to extreme drought events while quantifying vegetation coverage’s regulatory effects on ecosystem drought sensitivity. Among drought events identified using a three-dimensional clustering algorithm, high-intensity droughts caused an average NPP loss of 23.2 gC·m⁻² across the basin. Notably, artificial irrigation practices in the Hetao irrigation district significantly mitigated NPP reduction to −9.03 gC·m⁻². Large-scale afforestation projects increased the NDVI at a rate of 3.45 × 10⁻⁴ month⁻¹, with a contribution rate of 78%, but soil moisture competition from high-density vegetation reduced carbon-sink benefits. However, mixed forest structural optimization in the Three-North Shelterbelt Forest Program core area achieved local carbon-sink gains, demonstrating that vegetation configuration alleviates water competition pressure. Drought amplified the suppressive effect of afforestation through stomatal conductance-photosynthesis coupling mechanisms, causing additional NPP losses of 7.45–31.00 gC·m⁻², yet the April–July 2008 event exhibited reversed suppression effects due to immature artificial communities during the 2000–2004 baseline period. Our work elucidates nonlinear vegetation-climate interactions affecting carbon sequestration in semi-arid ecosystems, providing critical insights for optimizing ecological restoration strategies and climate-adaptive management in the Yellow River Basin. Full article

Efforts to counteract climate change-induced challenges and increase agricultural productivity are growing across Africa. The Southern African region has observed a continuous myriad of weather extremes and hazard occurrences, impacting agrifood systems. The decline in agrifood systems results in food insecurities. The adoption of Climate-Smart Agriculture (CSA) technologies is key to building climate-resilient agricultural systems. CSA adoption is limited by several factors, including a lack of institutional support, deficiencies in policy integration, and insufficient numbers of agricultural advisors. This study was conducted in semi-arid areas in the Free State and Limpopo provinces, South Africa. This manuscript presents the upscaling of CSA towards the enhancement of sustainable agrifood systems. The respondents included of 196 smallholder farmers and 125 agricultural advisors who participated in CSA training. CSA practices include agroecological cropping systems and micro-catchments. Technology transfer requires qualitative and quantitative approaches for adoption efficacy. The CSA Acceptance Model has missing factors that were modified, including usability, profitability, sustainability, and the perceived cost of acceptance. The participatory living laboratory approach was key to using demonstration trials, on-farm training, and training of intermediaries. Through the effectiveness of technology transfer and reciprocal systems, smallholder farmers can transition to commercial levels and contribute to sustainable agrifood systems. Full article

Existing wet tropical urban drainage systems often fail to accommodate runoff generated during extreme rainfall. Water-sensitive urban design (WSUD) systems have the potential to retrofit the existing urban drainage system by enhancing infiltration and retention functions. However, studies supporting this assumption were based on temperate or arid climatic conditions, raising questions about its relevance in wet tropical catchments. To answer these questions, in this study a comprehensive modelling study of WSUD effectiveness in a tropical environment was implemented. Engineers Park, a small sub-catchment of 0.27 km² at Saltwater Creek, Cairns, Queensland, Australia was the study site in which the flood mitigation capabilities of grey and WSUD systems under major (1% Annual Exceedance Probability—AEP), moderate (20% AEP), and minor (63.2% AEP) magnitudes of rainfall were evaluated. A detailed one-dimensional (1D) and coupled 1D2D hydrodynamic model in MIKE+ were developed and deployed for this study. The results highlighted that the existing grey infrastructure within the catchment underperformed during major events resulting in high peak flows and overland flow, while minor rainfall events increased channel flow and shifted the location of flooding. However, the integration of WSUD with grey infrastructure reduced peak flow by 0% to 42%, total runoff volume by 0.9% to 46%, and the flood extent ratio to catchment area from 0.3% to 1.1%. Overall, the WSUD integration positively contributed to reduced flooding in this catchment, highlighting its potential applicability in tropical catchments subject to intense rainfall events. However, careful consideration is required before over-generalization of these results, since the study area is small. The results of this study can be used in similar study sites by decision-makers for planning and catchment management purposes, but with careful interpretation. Full article