Search Results (100)

The human–environment interaction on the Qinghai–Xizang Plateau determines the direction of global human sustainable development, making it necessary to propose a refined prediction for this relationship. Currently, there is a lack of a predictive method for human–environment relationships, especially at the grid scale. This study focuses on Qinghai Province and proposes a human–environment relationship simulation method based on cellular automata (CA), utilizing land-use data and a remote sensing-based ecological (RSEI) index. The method enables grid-scale explicit predictions of human–environment relationships. The results show that by 2030, the human–environment relationship in Qinghai Province will become more diverse, with the coordination ratio rising to 11% and the degradation ratio to 7%. The ecological protection scenario serves a defensive role, preventing 3835 km² of land from degradation. In contrast, the urban development scenario plays a revitalizing role, achieving a coordinated area 2% larger than the business-as-usual scenario. By 2030, about 8956 km² of land in Qinghai will be suitable for agricultural revitalization, and 54,340 km² must be reserved for ecological protection. Due to the high-altitude environment, the human–environment relationship aligns only with the right half of the Environmental Kuznets Curve, namely, development brings greater harmony. We further discover the lag in the natural system’s response, for artificially increasing vegetation cover will not quickly improve habitat quality. Likewise, leapfrogging expansion in the urban development scenario may conceal long-term ecological risks behind short-term coordination. For stakeholders and policymakers, this study provides refined and differentiated governance measures at the grid scale, while highlighting the need to focus on underdeveloped regions and remain vigilant about the lag in human–environment relationship responses. Full article

Reconciling economic growth with environmental sustainability and energy security is a defining challenge for resource-constrained emerging economies. This study examines whether Jordan follows the Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC) and the Energy Kuznets Curve (EnKC)—two hypotheses positing that as an economy grows, its environmental degradation and energy consumption follow an inverted U-shaped curve in relation to per capita GDP—as counterparts to the original Kuznets curve. While these relationships have been investigated in cross-country settings, little attention has been given to individual emerging economies such as Jordan, where energy and environmental issues are among the most pressing challenges of the new century. The existence of EKC and EnKC curves is tested using a “time-varying parametric (TVP) framework”—specifically, the unobserved components model (UCM), utilizing annual data from 1980 to 2024. Further tests are carried out to validate the nonlinearity hypothesis using the variable-addition test and non-nested model selection tests. Moreover, we augment the EKC and EnKC by incorporating trade openness and urbanization as control variables. For robustness, we support the UCM results with the Dynamic OLS (DOLS) long-run estimator. The results support the EnKC across the entire battery of tests, with a turning point of roughly USD 4000–4650 depending on specification. For the EKC, the OLS quadratic estimation does not exhibit a clear inverted-U; however, once a stochastic trend (UCM) or appropriate covariates (Trade, Urban) are introduced, the inverted-U re-emerges with a turning point near USD 4149–4874. This study contributes novel empirical evidence on the EKC and EnKC for Jordan using a TVP framework. Whereas prior studies have explored the EKC in Jordan, this study systematically validates both the energy and environmental variants of the Kuznets curve using robust econometric strategies. The results offer valuable policy insights for sustainable development in Jordan and other resource-constrained emerging economies facing analogous development–environment trade-offs within international climate transition frameworks. Full article

India has been witnessing a high growth rate of aggregate income in the current era of globalization. Even though the per capita income is yet to catch up, this led to an improved global status in 2025, with India becoming the fifth largest economy in terms of aggregate GDP. However, the economic gains have been accompanied by a host of environmental problems. In particular, the increase in carbon emissions is emerging as the biggest challenge in achieving the Sustainable Development Goals by 2030. While some national policy initiatives exist, Indian states have also started implementing new public policies for a contextualized environmental management at a sub-national level to curtail the negative impact of carbon emissions on sustainable development. In this context, this study seeks to explore three aspects: first, the characteristics of the series for per capita CO₂ (PCCO₂) emissions, per capita state domestic product (PCGSDP), and per capita R&D (PCR&D) spending aimed at safeguarding the environment in Indian states; second, the prevalence of both enduring and near-term linkages among the three variables in distinct panels; and third, the constantly changing interplay involving income and carbon emissions in the midst of R&D spending for the environment in the Indian states from 2008–2025. While the series for PCGSDP and PCR&D is seen rising along with PCCO₂ in most states, there are some exceptional states like Delhi and Kerala where trends of PCCO₂ are falling. The panel cointegration and VECM results show that the three indicators, viz., income, PCCO₂ and R&D spending, have a stable long-run relationship, and that income and R&D cause CO₂ emissions in all states’ panels and the panel of developed states. Using several polynomials between the income and CO₂ emission nexus over several panels of states and using panel cointegration techniques, the study reveals that static panel fixed effects models are most appropriate in the case of all states’ panels and the panel of developed states to establish an inverted Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC), and that R&D spending has worked as a significant control variable to justify the declining shape of the EKC. The study recommends a continuous increase in R&D spending by all states of any development stature to achieve sustainable development in the earliest possible time. Full article

The finance–environment nexus in Sub-Saharan Africa remains complex, particularly in nations where institutional quality and fiscal policies are in an early stage. To address this, the study evaluates the impact of financial development on environmental sustainability in Sub-Saharan Africa, emphasising the moderating roles of environmental taxes and regulatory quality. Using a balanced panel methodology across 11 SSA nations from 2006 to 2023, the study employs a multi-estimation model (fixed effects (FE), Fully Modified Ordinary Least Squares (FMOLS) and Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL)) to capture both short- and long-run relationships. From the analysis, the FE and FMOLS estimates indicate that financial development significantly increases ecological footprints, while foreign direct investment and government expenditure are associated with lower environmental footprints. However, the ARDL estimates reveal that environmental taxes and regulatory quality significantly reduce the ecological footprint, motivating a policy shift. Most importantly, the moderation estimation reveals that environmental taxes condition the finance–environment nexus in SSA. This depicts that while financial development worsens environmental outcomes, its adverse effects are nullified and reversed under a stronger environmental tax framework. These findings are relevant to the Environmental Kuznets Curve theory and draw insights from the institutional and financial intermediation theory. The study provides evidence that financial development, when integrated with effective environmental taxation and institutional quality, promotes environmental sustainability in SSA. Policymakers are therefore urged to strengthen environmental tax frameworks, integrate green financial intermediation and intensify regulatory institutions to achieve a sustainable finance–environment model and support SDG 13 in SSA. Full article

As a primary energy consumer and carbon emitter, the construction industry (CI) faces a growing conflict between traditional energy-intensive growth models and global sustainable development goals. To promote the sustainable development of the CI, this study establishes a sequential analytical framework following the logic of “coupling evaluation–driving force identification–causal inference” across 30 developed economies (DE) from 2000 to 2022. Initially, the coupling coordination degree (CCD) between the economic and environmental systems of the CI was evaluated, utilizing the Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC) to characterize the transition from relative to absolute decoupling. The results show that the economy and the environment in the construction industry (CEECI) for DE is generally high (0.70–0.90). Subsequently, based on Green Innovation Growth (GIG) theory, Panel Data Analysis (PDA) is employed to identify the key drivers of the coupling between the economy and CEECI. The results show that for every 1% increase in per capita GDP, CEECI increases by approximately 0.035; for every 1% increase in science and technology investment (ST Inv), CEECI increases by 0.045; and for every 1 unit increase in building energy use (BEU), CEECI decreases by 0.008. Furthermore, Granger causality analysis (GCA) was used to examine the bidirectional predictive relationship. Furthermore, there is a two-way correlation between GDP and CEECI, and a one-way correlation between CEECI and ST Inv. Overall, our results show that further decoupling requires innovation, not just economic growth; therefore, the CI should optimize its industrial structure, prioritize technological innovation, strengthen lifecycle energy management, and promote coordinated global CI improvement. Full article

This study examines the effects of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) per capita, its squared and cubic terms (GDP² and GDP³), renewable energy, fossil fuels, nuclear energy, and research and development (R&D) on environmental sustainability in G20 countries from 1994 to 2023, with a specific focus on testing the N-shaped Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC) hypothesis. CS-ARDL serves as the baseline estimator, and robustness is checked using FMOLS and DOLS estimators and an alternative dependent variable, greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. The coefficients of GDP, GDP², and GDP³ follow the expected +, −, + pattern of a cubic specification, indicating nonlinear income–environment dynamics. However, the implied turning points are not observed within the sample range, suggesting that a full N-shaped EKC trajectory is not empirically supported for G20 countries. Renewable energy consumption and R&D investment have negative coefficients, suggesting they help reduce environmental degradation. Fossil fuel consumption significantly increases ecological pressure, whereas nuclear energy shows a positive but insignificant effect. The findings remain robust across alternative estimators and when GHG emissions are used. Overall, the findings indicate that economic growth alone cannot ensure environmental sustainability, underscoring the need for renewable energy expansion, technological innovation, and reduced reliance on fossil fuels. Full article

This study investigates the relationship between economic growth and environmental performance in selected Middle East and North Africa (MENA) countries through the lens of the Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC) hypothesis. Due to data availability constraints, our sample includes Algeria, Egypt, Lebanon, Mauritius, Morocco, and Oman, covering the period 1990–2022. Using annual panel data, we apply panel cointegration techniques alongside Fully Modified Ordinary Least Squares (FMOLS) and Dynamic Ordinary Least Squares (DOLS) estimators, complemented by Granger causality tests, to examine the interaction among GDP per capita, renewable energy consumption, and transport service exports in determining CO₂ emissions per unit of GDP. The empirical findings provide only partial support for the EKC: while the DOLS results confirm an inverted U-shaped income–emissions relationship, the FMOLS estimations contradict it, suggesting a more complex and nonlinear pattern. Beyond testing the EKC, this study contributes two novel dimensions to the literature. First, it shows that renewable energy exerts a statistically significant negative effect on carbon intensity in the long run, despite weak short-run causality, highlighting the delayed but durable environmental benefits of clean energy adoption. Second, it introduces transport service exports as a proxy for structural economic transformation, capturing the role of trade-driven diversification in reducing emissions. By embedding renewable energy deployment and service-based trade dynamics into the EKC framework, the study advances a more policy-relevant and region-specific understanding of the growth–environment nexus in the selected MENA economies. The results underscore the importance of scaling renewable energy, promoting low-carbon service sectors, and aligning trade and environmental policies to ensure that economic growth supports long-term climate objectives. Full article

Exploring the relationship between economic development and environmental protection holds substantial theoretical value for the sustainable progress of minority regions. This paper initially analyzes the overarching mechanisms governing economic growth and climate change challenges in industrial decarbonization toward carbon neutrality. Subsequently, it conducts an empirical analysis utilizing historical economic and environmental data from five provinces to investigate the trajectory of economic development and shifts in environmental quality. The objective of this paper is to flatten the environmental Kuznets curve (EKC) in northwest minority areas, ensuring the continuous enhancement of environmental quality and green transformation in tandem with economic growth, thereby forging a low-pollution pathway for sustainable development. It is observed that an EKC characteristic exists between the economy and the environment in these regions, evolving from discoordination to primary coordination. The environment and economic development in ethnic minority areas of China are progressing slowly, and there is an urgent need for sustainable development reforms. The environment and economic development in ethnic minority areas of China from 2003 to 2022 are progressing slowly, and there is an urgent need for sustainable development reforms. During the economic development process, minimizing environmental pollution should be a fundamental prerequisite, with a focus on industrial ecological advancement, intensifying governmental environmental protection measures, and boosting green technological innovation to strive for a flattening of the EKC and advance a trajectory toward sustainable development. Full article

The relationship between economic progress and environmental quality remains a central focus in global sustainability discourse. This study examines the link between per capita economic growth and CO₂ emissions across 128 countries from 1996 to 2022, controlling for energy consumption, trade volume, and foreign direct investment (FDI) inflows. It also evaluates the role of governance quality—measured by regulatory quality and its volatility—while considering the globalization index as a confounding factor influencing CO₂ emissions. We test the Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC) hypothesis, which suggests that emissions initially rise with income but decline after reaching a certain economic threshold. Our findings confirm the global presence of the EKC. The analysis further shows that trade openness, governance, and globalization significantly influence FDI inflows, with FDI, in turn, reinforcing institutional quality through improved governance and globalization indicators. However, in countries with weaker governance and regulatory frameworks, FDI tends to promote pollution-intensive industrial growth, lending support to aspects of the Pollution Haven Hypothesis (PHH). We find a significant departure in EKC explained by post-COVID governance and globalization compromises, which induced the environment towards the PHH phenomenon. These results highlight the need for context-specific policy measures that align economic development with environmental constraints. Full article

The United Arab Emirates has become increasingly concerned about carbon dioxide emissions due to their impact on climate change and the environment, as it is one of the top ten world oil producers. This reflects its recognition of the need for sustainable development. Therefore, this research aims to study the dynamic impact of economic growth, urbanization, energy consumption, and economic openness on CO₂ emissions, during the period 1975–2022. To capture these effects, a novel dynamic ARDL is employed to separate the impact of each variable separately. The results indicate that the effect of GDP per capita on carbon emissions is negative, as a 1% increase in economic growth leads to a decrease in carbon dioxide emissions by 0.6%. Moreover, the findings confirm that the UAE economy does not apply to the Kuznets curve in developing countries. Furthermore, the impact of energy consumption, urbanization, and trade openness is positive on CO₂ emissions, as a 1% increase in each raises CO₂ by 0.17%, 11.6%, and 1.2%, respectively. These findings are important for decision makers in the environmental field to make decisions to reduce carbon emissions by altering the impact of economic variables and spread awareness towards reducing carbon emissions. Full article

The study of the relationship between human economic activity and the state of the environment in recent decades is reflected, among others, in the study of the environmental Kuznets curve (EKC) hypothesis. Numerous attempts have been made to examine the existence of the EKC by correlating various measures of environmental devastation with GDP per capita indicators. In this study, the aim and research gap were to compare and confirm/exclude the obtained results with the studies previously conducted by the authors, which referred to the analysis of the EKC in relation to general GHG emissions. In this analysis, GHG emissions per capita were assumed. In recent years, in the EU countries, more and more attention has been paid to research on the EKC focused on GHG emissions, and a certain research gap has been noticed in the direction of EKC analyses for PM_2.5 and PM₁₀. In the context of PM emissions, the very negative impact on human health should be emphasized. The authors decided to analyze the EKC hypothesis based on the current available data also in relation to PM emissions. In this study, a group of socio-economic variables in the form of GDP, gross electricity production, passenger cars, and population were used in relation to GHG, PM_2.5, and PM₁₀ emissions in the EU-27 countries. The study used multiple regression analysis to test the direction of the relationship between pollutant emissions and GDP. In the case of Germany, a negative correlation was obtained for GHG, PM_2.5, PM₁₀ emissions, and GDP. The EKC approach can be successfully used both in system awareness (qualitative) and quantitative studies to prepare scenarios of changes in greenhouse gas and PM emissions and to create strategic planning, manage resources, promote innovation, and in climate policy. Full article

Egypt, as a nation, is committed to achieving ecological sustainability, which helps to protect the environment for future generations, thereby ensuring a balance between energy production, environmental health, and economic development. With regard to this vision, this research utilized the autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) estimator to probe how hydroelectricity, digitalization, and natural gas affect ecological degradation within the Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC) in Egypt. This study further used two distinct environmental proxies, namely, CO₂ emissions and the ecological footprint. The result of the ARDL estimator indicates that there is an inverted U-shaped association between economic growth and environmental sustainability, while urbanization does not affect environmental sustainability. Moreover, hydroelectricity, digitalization, and natural gas negatively impact environmental sustainability in Egypt. Furthermore, the frequency domain causality approach showed that there is a two-way causality pathway between environmental sustainability and its regressors. Based on this outcome, policymakers should prioritize decoupling economic growth from environmental degradation by investing in green infrastructure, sustainable industries, and circular economy models. Full article

This study investigates the complex interconnections between renewable energy adoption, carbon dioxide (CO₂) emissions, and economic factors in 50 countries marked by high rates of coronary heart disease (CHD) between 2000 and 2020. Utilizing a sophisticated two-step system generalized method of moments (GMM) estimator and panel data method, our analysis reveals a significant negative impact of renewable energy on greenhouse gas emissions, emphasizing the role of sustainable energy sources in mitigating environmental and quality of life degradation. Additionally, our findings support the existence of the environmental Kuznets curve (EKC), demonstrating an inverted U-shaped relationship between gross domestic product (GDP) per capita and CO₂ emissions. In line with nascent studies, the EKC for CO₂ emissions suggests that as a country’s GDP per capita increases, the CO₂ emissions initially rise but eventually decline after reaching a certain level of economic development, forming an inverted U-shaped relationship. Specifically, nations facing high cardiovascular heart disease mortality rates display an important link between renewable energy integration and improved environmental quality. These insights underscore the urgency for countries to transition rapidly to green energy, advocating for policies that promote renewable technologies through partnerships between the public, private sector, and government entities. Furthermore, the study emphasizes the necessity of innovative structural reforms in developing countries to stimulate economic growth beyond the EKC turning point, ensuring sustainable development while curbing their carbon footprint resulting from economic activities. Future research should explore the broader global contexts, considering variables like social capital and globalization to inform targeted policies aimed at safeguarding public health and the environment. Full article

The development of animal husbandry directly affects climate change and the ecological environment. This study aims to explore the relationship between carbon emissions from animal husbandry and economic growth in Inner Mongolia and to provide theoretical and countermeasure support for sustainable development. Based on the environmental Kuznets theory, the present situation of animal husbandry and economic growth in this region is analyzed. By analyzing slaughter and storage data for cow, sheep, hog, and poultry from 2000 to 2022, we calculated carbon emissions using the IPCC coefficient method. The environmental Kuznets curve is used to control variables such as human capital, government intervention, openness, technological innovation, and environmental protection expenditure. The findings show that carbon emissions from cows and sheep have risen significantly over the past 23 years, while the hog industry has remained stable. Both the number of poultry farms and their carbon emissions have declined. Economic growth is one reason for the increase in carbon emissions, while government intervention and openness have had mixed results. To ensure sustainable development, Inner Mongolia should strengthen government supervision, increase investment in environmental protection, expand opening-up, improve rural education, and promote low-carbon growth. Full article

Recent events, such as the financial crisis, oil price shocks or fluctuations, Brexit, the US–China trade war, the COVID-19 pandemic, the Russia–Ukraine conflict and the subsequent energy crisis, have surged global economic policy uncertainty. As climate change has recently been more pronounced around the globe, discussions about climate policies and related uncertainties have also become a major concern. This study investigates the role of economic policy uncertainty (EPU) and climate policy uncertainty (CPU) on climate change (environmental degradation) for selected emerging and developed economies, expanding the IPAT framework and merging it with the Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC) hypothesis. The IPAT framework examines the impact (I) of population (P), affluence (A), and technology (T) on the environment, whereas the EKC hypothesis proposes an inverted U-shaped curve between affluence and environmental degradation. Two models were created and tested for emerging and developed countries, namely Model 1 with EPU and Model 2 with CPU. A Pooled Mean Group (PMG) estimator is employed to investigate the interrelation between carbon dioxide (CO₂) emissions and selected variables; namely the real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) per capita, squared real GDP per capita, renewable share in consumption, the EPU, the CPU and population. Test results indicate that the EKC hypothesis is verified only in Model 1 and for emerging countries, whereas population escalates climate change in both country groups. Furthermore, in line with the consumption effect theorized earlier in the literature, EPU is negatively related to carbon emissions in emerging countries. Thus, the EPU leads to a decrease in the use of energy and pollution-intensive commodities and mitigates climate change in EMEs. Compatible with our ex-ante expectations, renewable energy consumption alleviates climate change in both country groups in the short term. In Model 2, with CPU, we find no evidence supporting the EKC hypothesis for any country groups. However, we reaffirm that renewable energy consumption decreases CO₂ emissions in developed countries, which is in support of the argument that energy transition holds the key to tackling climate change. Finally, CPU is associated with a decrease in CO₂ emissions in emerging countries in the short term, potentially leading to a reduction in overall economic activity and alleviating climate change. This might also be attributable to the fact that the decisions of economic agents substantially rely on current and future policy (both economic and climate) expectations. Overall, verifying the EKC hypothesis for emerging countries in Model 1, we might argue that there is good potential for emerging countries to save money and time on environmental costs via the adoption of clean technologies and related policies. Last but not least, on a global scale, energy transition with better utilization of renewable sources holds the key to tackling climate change and reducing emissions. Full article