Search Results (1,396)

There is an obvious correlation between the photovoltaic (PV) output of different physical levels; that is, the overall power change trend of large-scale regional (high-level) stations can provide a reference for the prediction of the output of sub-regional (low-level) stations. The current PV prediction methods have not deeply explored the multi-level PV power generation elements and have not considered the correlation between different levels, resulting in the inability to obtain potential information on PV power generation. Moreover, traditional probabilistic prediction models lack adaptability, which can lead to a decrease in prediction performance under different PV prediction scenarios. Therefore, a probabilistic prediction method for short-term PV power based on multi-level adaptive dynamic integration is proposed in this paper. Firstly, an analysis is conducted on the multi-level PV power stations together with the influence of the trend of high-level PV power generation on the forecast of low-level power generation. Then, the PV data are decomposed into multiple layers using the complete ensemble empirical mode decomposition with adaptive noise (CEEMDAN) and analyzed by combining fuzzy entropy (FE) and mutual information (MI). After that, a new multi-level model prediction method, namely, the improved dual dynamic adaptive stacked generalization (I-Stacking) ensemble learning model, is proposed to construct short-term PV power generation prediction models. Finally, an improved dynamic adaptive kernel density estimation (KDE) method for prediction errors is proposed, which optimizes the performance of the prediction intervals (PIs) through variable bandwidth. Through comparative experiments and analysis using traditional methods, the effectiveness of the proposed method is verified. Full article

The alloy Pr${}_2$Fe${}_{16.75}$Ni${}_{0.25}$ has been examined to investigate its structural properties, critical behavior, and magnetocaloric effects. Rietveld’s refinement of X-ray diffraction patterns has revealed a rhombohedral structure with an $R\overline{3}m$ space group. Pr${}_2$Fe${}_{16.9}$Ni${}_{0.25}$ also demonstrates a direct magnetocaloric effect near room temperature, accompanied by a moderate magnetic entropy change ($-\Delta S_M^{\max }$ = 5.5 J kg${}^{-1}$ K${}^{-1}$ at ${\mu }_0\Delta H=5$ T) and a broad working temperature range. Furthermore, the Relative Cooling Power (RCP) is approximately 89% of the widely recognized gadolinium (Gd) for ${\mu }_0\Delta H=2$ T. This compound exhibits a commendable magnetocaloric response, on par with or even surpassing that of numerous other intermetallic alloys. Critical behavior was analyzed using thermo-magnetic measurements, employing methods such as the modified Arrott plot, critical isotherm analysis, and Kouvel-Fisher techniques. The obtained critical exponents ($\beta$, $\gamma$, and $\delta$) exhibit similarities to those of the 3D-Ising model, characterized explicitly by intermediate range interactions. Full article

The commercialization of proton-conducting fuel cells (PCFCs) is hindered by the limited electroactivity and durability of cathodes at intermediate temperatures ranging from 400 to 700 °C, a challenge exacerbated by an insufficient understanding of high-entropy perovskite (HEP) materials for oxygen reduction reaction (ORR) optimization. This study introduces an yttrium-doped HEP to address these limitations. A comparative analysis of Ce_0.2−xY_xBa_0.2Sr_0.2La_0.2Ca_0.2CoO_3−δ (x = 0, 0.2; designated as CBSLCC and YBSLCC) revealed that yttrium doping enhanced the ORR activity, reduced the thermal expansion coefficient (19.9 × 10⁻⁶ K⁻¹, 30–900 °C), and improved the thermomechanical compatibility with the BaZr_0.1Ce_0.7Y_0.1Yb_0.1O_3−δ electrolytes. Electrochemical testing demonstrated a peak power density equal to 586 mW cm⁻² at 700 °C, with a polarization resistance equaling 0.3 Ω cm². Yttrium-induced lattice distortion promotes proton adsorption while suppressing detrimental Co spin-state transitions. These findings advance the development of durable, high-efficiency PCFC cathodes, offering immediate applications in clean energy systems, particularly for distributed power generation. Full article

The large-scale integration of volatile and intermittent renewables necessitates greater flexibility in the power system. Improving this flexibility is key to achieving a high proportion of renewable energy consumption. In this context, the scientific selection of energy storage technology is of great significance for the construction of new power systems. From the perspective of life cycle cost analysis, this paper conducts an economic evaluation of four mainstream energy storage technologies: lithium iron phosphate battery, pumped storage, compressed air energy storage, and hydrogen energy storage, and quantifies and compares the life cycle cost of multiple energy storage technologies. On this basis, a three-dimensional multi-energy storage comprehensive evaluation indicator system covering economy, technology, and environment is constructed. The improved grade one method and entropy weight method are used to determine the comprehensive performance, and the fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method is used to carry out multi-attribute decision-making on the multi-energy storage technology in the source, network, and load scenarios. The results show that pumped storage and compressed air energy storage have significant economic advantages in long-term and large-scale application scenarios. With its fast response ability and excellent economic and technical characteristics, the lithium iron phosphate battery has the smallest score change rate (15.2%) in various scenarios, showing high adaptability. However, hydrogen energy storage technology still lacks economic and technological maturity, and breakthrough progress is still needed for its wide application in various application scenarios in the future. Full article

Under the “dual carbon” goals and rapid clean energy development, power grids face challenges including rapid load growth, uneven power flow distribution, and limited transmission capacity. This paper proposes a novel FACTS device with fault tolerance and switchable topology that maintains power flow control over multiple lines during N-1 faults, enhancing grid safety and economy. The paper establishes a steady-state mathematical model based on additional virtual nodes and provides power flow calculation methods to accurately reflect the device’s control characteristics. An entropy-weighted TOPSIS method was employed to establish a quantitative evaluation system for assessing the grid performance improvement after FACTS device integration. To address interaction issues among multiple flexible devices, an optimization planning model considering th3e coordinated effects of UPFC and VSC-HVDC was constructed. Multi-objective particle swarm optimization obtained Pareto solution sets, combined with the evaluation system, to determine the optimal configuration schemes. Considering wind power uncertainty and fault risks, we propose a system-level coordinated operation strategy. This strategy constructs probabilistic risk indicators and introduces topology switching control constraints. Using particle swarm optimization, it achieves a balance between safety and economic objectives. Simulation results in the Jiangsu power grid scenarios demonstrated significant advantages in enhancing the transmission capacity, optimizing the power flow distribution, and ensuring system security. Full article

Microchannel heat sinks (MCHSs) have emerged as an alternative for dissipating high heat rates. However, manufacturing MCHSs can be expensive, so exploring low-cost additive manufacturing using 3D printing is warranted. Before fabrication, the entropy minimization method helps to optimize MCHSs, enhancing their cooling capacity while maintaining their power consumption. We employed this method through computational simulation of laminar water flow in rectangular microchannels ($\mathsf{\mu }$C) and minichannels (mC), considering two heat fluxes (10 and 50 kW/m²). The results showed that the frictional entropy is only appreciable in the smallest and largest channels. These computational results enabled the fabrication of the optimal $\mathsf{\mu }$C and mC, whose experimental implementation validated the computational findings. Moreover, we computationally studied the effect of using rGO-Ag water-based nanofluids as a coolant. In general, a reduction in total entropy generation was observed at a heat flux of 50 kW/m². Although at lower heat flux (10 kW/m²), mC was the best option. Channels with lower heights were more effective at higher heat fluxes (≥50 kW/m²). Our findings offer a cost-effective strategy for fabricating high-performance cooling systems while also highlighting the interplay among heat flux, entropy generation, and nanofluid-enhanced cooling. Full article

This study explores the machinability of Incoloy 800HT (high temperature) under a sustainable lubrication approach, employing a twin-nozzle minimum quantity lubrication (MQL) system with groundnut oil as a green cutting fluid. The evaluation focuses on key performance indicators, including surface roughness, tool flank wear, power consumption, carbon emissions, and chip morphology. Groundnut oil, a biodegradable and nontoxic lubricant, was chosen to enhance environmental compatibility while maintaining effective cutting performance. The Taguchi L₁₆ orthogonal array (three factors and four levels) was utilized to conduct experimental trials to analyze machining characteristics. The best surface quality (surface roughness, Ra = 0.514 µm) was obtained at the lowest depth of cut (0.2 mm), modest feed (0.1 mm/rev), and moderate cutting speed (160 m/min). The higher ranges of flank wear are found under higher cutting speed conditions (320 and 240 m/min), while lower wear values (<0.09 mm) were observed under lower speed conditions (80 and 160 m/min). An entropy-integrated multi-response optimization using the MOORA (multi-objective optimization based on ratio analysis) method was employed to identify optimal machining parameters, considering the trade-offs among multiple conflicting objectives. The entropy method was used to assign weights to each response. The obtained optimal conditions are as follows: cutting speed = 160 m/min, feed = 0.1 mm/rev, and depth of cut = 0.2 mm. Optimized outcomes suggest that this green machining strategy offers a viable alternative for sustainable manufacturing of difficult-to-machine alloys like Incoloy 800 HT. Full article

The complex interplay between the cardiac and the respiratory systems, termed cardiorespiratory coupling (CRC), is a bidirectional phenomenon that can be affected by pathologies such as heart failure (HF). In the present work, the potential changes in strength of directional CRC were assessed in HF patients classified according to their cardiac rhythm via two measures of coupling based on k-nearest neighbor (KNN) estimation approaches, cross-entropy (CrossEn) and state space correspondence (SSC), applied on the heart period (HP) and respiratory (RESP) variability series, while also accounting for the complexity of the cardiac and respiratory rhythms. We tested the measures on 25 HF patients with sinus rhythm (SR, age: 58.9 ± 9.7 years; 23 males) and 41 HF patients with ventricular arrhythmia (VA, age 62.2 ± 11.0 years; 30 males). A predominant directionality of interaction from the cardiac to the respiratory rhythm was observed in both cohorts and using both methodologies, with similar statistical power, while a lower complexity for the RESP series compared to HP series was observed in the SR cohort. We conclude that CrossEn and SSC can be considered strictly related to each other when using a KNN technique for the estimation of the cross-predictability markers. Full article

This paper presents the exponentiated power shanker (EPS) distribution, a fresh three-parameter extension of the standard Shanker distribution with the ability to extend a wider class of data behaviors, from right-skewed and heavy-tailed phenomena. The structural properties of the distribution, namely complete and incomplete moments, entropy, and the moment generating function, are derived and examined in a formal manner. Maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) techniques are used for estimation of parameters, as well as a Monte Carlo simulation study to account for estimator performance across varying sample sizes and parameter values. The EPS model is also generalized to a regression paradigm to include covariate data, whose estimation is also conducted via MLE. Practical utility and flexibility of the EPS distribution are demonstrated through two real examples: one for the duration of repairs and another for HIV/AIDS mortality in Germany. Comparisons with some of the existing distributions, i.e., power Zeghdoudi, power Ishita, power Prakaamy, and logistic-Weibull, are made through some of the goodness-of-fit statistics such as log-likelihood, AIC, BIC, and the Kolmogorov–Smirnov statistic. Graphical plots, including PP plots, QQ plots, TTT plots, and empirical CDFs, further confirm the high modeling capacity of the EPS distribution. Results confirm the high goodness-of-fit and flexibility of the EPS model, making it a very good tool for reliability and biomedical modeling. Full article

This study investigates the effects of transcutaneous electroacupuncture stimulation (TEAS) on eyeblink rate, EEG, and heart rate variability (HRV), emphasising whether eyeblink data—often dismissed as artefacts—can serve as useful physiological markers. Sixty-six participants underwent four TEAS sessions with different stimulation frequencies (2.5, 10, 80, and 160 pps, with 160 pps as a low-amplitude sham). EEG, ECG, PPG, and respiration data were recorded before, during, and after stimulation. Using non-parametric statistical analyses, including Friedman’s test, Wilcoxon, Conover–Iman, and bootstrapping, the study found significant changes across eyeblink, EEG, and HRV measures. Eyeblink laterality, particularly at 2.5 and 10 pps, showed strong frequency-specific effects. EEG power asymmetry and spectral centroids were associated with HRV indices, and 2.5 pps stimulation produced the strongest parasympathetic HRV response. Blink rate correlated with increased sympathetic and decreased parasympathetic activity. Baseline HRV measures, such as lower heart rate, predicted participant dropout. Eyeblinks were analysed using BLINKER software (v. 1.1.0), and additional complexity and entropy (‘CEPS-BLINKER’) metrics were derived. These measures were more predictive of adverse reactions than EEG-derived indices. Overall, TEAS modulates multiple physiological markers in a frequency-specific manner. Eyeblink characteristics, especially laterality, may offer valuable insights into autonomic function and TEAS efficacy in neuromodulation research. Full article

The Internet of Things (IoT) holds transformative potential in fields such as power grid optimization, defense networks, and healthcare. However, the constrained processing capacities and resource limitations of IoT networks make them especially susceptible to cyber threats. This study addresses the problem of detecting intrusions in IoT environments by evaluating the performance of deep learning (DL) models under different data and algorithmic conditions. We conducted a comparative analysis of three widely used DL models—Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs), Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), and Bidirectional LSTM (biLSTM)—across four benchmark IoT intrusion detection datasets: BoTIoT, CiCIoT, ToNIoT, and WUSTL-IIoT-2021. Each model was assessed under balanced and imbalanced dataset configurations and evaluated using three loss functions (cross-entropy, focal loss, and dual focal loss). By analyzing model efficacy across these datasets, we highlight the importance of generalizability and adaptability to varied data characteristics that are essential for real-world applications. The results demonstrate that the CNN trained using the cross-entropy loss function consistently outperforms the other models, particularly on balanced datasets. On the other hand, LSTM and biLSTM show strong potential in temporal modeling, but their performance is highly dependent on the characteristics of the dataset. By analyzing the performance of multiple DL models under diverse datasets, this research provides actionable insights for developing secure, interpretable IoT systems that can meet the challenges of designing a secure IoT system. Full article

We revisit the problem of random search walks in the two-dimensional (2D) space between concentric absorbing annuli, in which a searcher performs random steps until finding either the inner or the outer ring. By considering step lengths drawn from a power-law distribution, we obtain the exact analytical result for the search efficiency $\eta$ in the ballistic limit, as well as an approximate expression for $\eta$ in the regime of searches starting far away from both rings, and the scaling behavior of $\eta$ for very small initial distances to the inner ring. Our numerical results show good overall agreement with the theoretical findings. We also analyze numerically the absorbing probabilities related to the encounter of the inner and outer rings and the associated Shannon entropy. The power-law exponent marking the crossing of such probabilities (equiprobability) and the maximum entropy condition grows logarithmically with the starting distance. Random search walks inside absorbing annuli are relevant, since they represent a mean-field approach to conventional random searches in 2D, which is still an open problem with important applications in various fields. Full article

Traditional perforated duct designs fail to resolve the energy consumption-uniformity conflict in semi-closed greenhouses. To address this, we develop a CFD-RSM-NSGA-II framework that simultaneously minimizes velocity non-uniformity (CV-v), pressure loss (ΔP), and temperature variation (CV-t). Key parameters—hole diameter (6–10 mm), spacing (30–70 mm), and inlet velocity (4–8 m/s)—are co-optimized. Model validation showed that the mean relative errors were 8.6% for velocity, 2.3% for temperature, and pressure deviations below 5 Pa, with the response surface model achieving an R² of 0.9831 (p < 0.0001). Larger hole diameters improved CV-v, while wider spacings led to a decrease in uniformity. Pressure loss followed an opposite trend. Temperature variation was mostly affected by inlet velocity. Sensitivity analysis revealed that hole diameter was the most influential factor, followed by spacing and velocity, with a significant interaction between diameter and spacing. Using entropy-weighted TOPSIS coupled with NSGA-II, the optimization identified an optimal configuration (hole diameter = 9.0 mm, spacing = 65 mm, velocity = 7.0 m/s). This solution achieved a 58.8% reduction in CV-v, a 10.8% decrease in ΔP, and a 5.2% improvement in CV-t, while stabilizing inlet static pressure at 72.8 Pa. Critically, it reduced power consumption by 17.4%—directly lowering operational costs for farmers. The “larger diameter, wider spacing” strategy resolves energy-uniformity conflicts, demonstrating how integrated multi-objective process control enables efficient greenhouse ventilation. Full article

This study systematically investigates the impact of Cu²⁺ doping on the structural, magnetic, and magnetocaloric properties of Cu_xCo_1−xCr₂O₄ nanoparticles synthesized via a solution combustion method. Cu incorporation up to x = 20% induces a progressive structural transformation from a cubic spinel to a trigonal corundum phase, as confirmed by X-ray diffraction and Raman spectroscopy. The doping process also leads to increased particle size, improved crystallinity, and reduced agglomeration. Magnetic measurements reveal a transition from hard to soft ferrimagnetic behavior with increasing Cu content, accompanied by a notable rise in the Curie temperature from 97.7 K (x = 0) to 140.2 K (x = 20%). The magnetocaloric effect (MCE) is significantly enhanced at higher doping levels, with the 20% Cu-doped sample exhibiting a maximum magnetic entropy change (−ΔS_M) of 2.015 J/kg-K and a relative cooling power (RCP) of 58.87 J/kg under a 60 kOe field. Arrott plot analysis confirms that the magnetic phase transitions remain second-order in nature across all compositions. These results demonstrate that Cu doping is an effective strategy for tuning the magnetostructural response of CoCr₂O₄ nanoparticles, making them promising candidates for low-temperature magnetic refrigeration applications. Full article

We develop a symmetry-based variational theory that shows the coarse-grained balance of work inflow to heat outflow in a driven, dissipative system relaxed to the golden ratio. Two order-2 Möbius transformations—a self-dual flip and a self-similar shift—generate a discrete non-abelian subgroup of $\mathrm{PGL}(2,\mathbb{Q}\left(\sqrt{5}\right))$. Requiring any smooth, strictly convex Lyapunov functional to be invariant under both maps enforces a single non-equilibrium fixed point: the golden mean. We confirm this result by (i) a gradient-flow partial-differential equation, (ii) a birth–death Markov chain whose continuum limit is Fokker–Planck, (iii) a Martin–Siggia–Rose field theory, and (iv) exact Ward identities that protect the fixed point against noise. Microscopic kinetics merely set the approach rate; three parameter-free invariants emerge: a $62\%:38\%$ split between entropy production and useful power, an RG-invariant diffusion coefficient linking relaxation time and correlation length ${\mathcal{D}}_{\alpha }={\xi }^z/\tau$, and a $\vartheta ={45}^{\circ }$ eigen-angle that maps to the golden logarithmic spiral. The same dual symmetry underlies scaling laws in rotating turbulence, plant phyllotaxis, cortical avalanches, quantum critical metals, and even de-Sitter cosmology, providing a falsifiable, unifying principle for pattern formation far from equilibrium. Full article