Search Results (60)

Lagrangian Coherent Structures (LCSs) in the mesoscale circulation of the Western Equatorial Atlantic (WEA), a region governed by the North Brazil Current (NBC) and its retroflection, are analyzed. Observations from 63 surface drifters deployed between 2018 and 2019 were combined with ocean analysis/forecast fields. The Finite-Time Lyapunov Exponent (FTLE) was computed using 15- and 90-day integrations to identify transport barriers and persistent structures. FTLE ridges showed strong seasonal correspondence with drifter trajectories, with 34–74% of drifter positions lying within 0.25° of attracting or repelling LCSs. Characteristic FTLE magnitudes reached ~0.3 d⁻¹, implying particle separation e-folding times of approximately 3.3 days. Spatial agreement between drifter-derived and model-based FTLE fields exhibited similar variability across seasons, with the highest correspondence during periods of intensified frontal activity. These results indicate that a substantial portion of the observed drifter motion follows or remains close to FTLE-defined pathways, supporting the robustness of the Lagrangian structures identified in the WEA. Overall, the study provides the first quantitative LCS-based characterization of mesoscale transport in this region, revealing recurrent eddies, instability zones, and flow boundaries associated with the NBC system and its interaction with the North Equatorial Countercurrent. Full article

Surface drifter trajectory prediction is essential for applications in environmental management, maritime safety, and climate studies. This survey paper reviews research from the past two decades, and systematically classifies the evolution of methodologies into six successive generations, including numerical models, data assimilation, statistical and probabilistic approaches, machine learning, deep learning, and hybrid or AI-based data assimilation (1st–5.5th Generation). To our knowledge, this is the first systematic generational classification of trajectory prediction methods. Each generation revealed distinct strengths and limitations. Numerical models ensured physical consistency but suffered from accumulated forecast errors in observation-sparse regions. Data assimilation improved short-term accuracy as observing networks expanded, while machine learning and deep learning enhanced short-range forecasts but faced challenges such as error accumulation and insufficient physical constraints in longer horizons. More recently, hybrid frameworks and AI-based data assimilation have emerged, combining physical models with deep learning and traditional statistical techniques, thereby opening new possibilities for accuracy improvements. By comparing methodologies across generations, this survey provides a roadmap that helps researchers and practitioners select appropriate approaches depending on observation density, forecast lead time, and application objectives. Finally, this paper highlights that future systems should shift focus from deterministic tracks toward credible uncertainty estimates, region-aware designs, and physically consistent prediction frameworks. Full article

This study examines the seasonal variability of surface currents in the South China Sea (SCS) and its adjacent regions, employing trajectory data from four seasonal deployments of Beidou drifters in the northern SCS. These observations are supplemented by reanalysis datasets, as well as satellite-derived sea surface wind and sea surface height data. The principal findings of this research are summarized as follows: (1) Drifter trajectories in the SCS exhibit pronounced seasonal characteristics. During autumn and winter, drifters predominantly move westward, ultimately merging with the SCS Western Boundary Current (SCSWBC). In spring, drifters are frequently entrained by mesoscale eddies. In summer, drifter trajectories generally move northeastward toward the Luzon Strait and the Taiwan Strait, with drifters subsequently returning to the SCS through these straits in autumn or winter before either joining the SCSWBC or settling in the coastal waters of Hainan. (2) The observed average drifter velocities show strong consistency with the CMEMS-reanalyzed current data during both the summer and winter seasons. (3) The surface current speeds along drifter trajectories in winter exhibit significant interannual variability, primarily driven by variations in wind speed. When the Niño 3.4 index exceeds ±0.5 °C (positive/negative phase), wind speeds and current speeds often reach their minimum (positive phase) or maximum (negative phase) values. These results enhance our understanding of the seasonal dynamics of surface currents in the SCS and their linkage to large-scale climatic variability. Full article

The Haiyang-2B (HY-2B) satellite, launched on 25 October 2018, carries both active and passive microwave sensors, including a scanning microwave Radiometer (SMR), to deliver high-precision, all-weather global observations. Sea surface temperature (SST) is among its key products. We evaluated the HY-2B SMR Level-4A (L4A) SST (25 km resolution) over the North Pacific (0–60°N, 120°E–100°W) for the period 1 October 2023 to 31 March 2025 using the extended triple collocation (ETC) and dual-pairing methods. These comparisons were made against the Remote Sensing System (RSS) microwave and infrared (MWIR) fused SST product and the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) in situ SST Quality Monitor (iQuam) observations. Relative to iQuam, HY-2B SST has a mean bias of –0.002 °C and a root mean square error (RMSE) of 0.279 °C. Compared to the MWIR product, the mean bias is 0.009 °C with an RMSE of 0.270 °C, indicating high accuracy. ETC yields an equivalent standard deviation (ESD) of 0.163 °C for HY-2B, compared to 0.157 °C for iQuam and 0.196 °C for MWIR. Platform-specific ESDs are lowest for drifters (0.124 °C) and tropical moored buoys (0.088 °C) and highest for ship and coastal moored buoys (both 0.238 °C). Both the HY-2B and MWIR products exhibit increasing ESD and RMSE toward higher latitudes, primarily driven by stronger winds, higher columnar water vapor, and elevated cloud liquid water. Overall, HY-2B SST performs reliably under most conditions, but incurs larger errors under extreme environments. This analysis provides a robust basis for its application and future refinement. Full article

The Surface Water and Ocean Topography (SWOT) mission provides unprecedented high-resolution observations of sea-surface height. However, their direct use in ocean circulation studies is complicated by the presence of small-scale unbalanced motion signals and instrumental noise, which hinder accurate estimation of geostrophic velocities. To address these limitations, we developed an adaptive convolutional neural network (CNN)-based filtering technique that refines SWOT-derived sea-level observations. The network includes multi-head attention layers to exploit information on concurrent wind fields and standard altimetry interpolation errors. We train the model with a custom loss function that accounts for the differences between geostrophic velocities computed from SWOT sea-surface topography and simultaneous in-situ drifter velocities. We compare our method to existing filtering techniques, including a U-Net-based model and a variational noise-reduction filter. Our adaptive-filtering CNN produces accurate velocity estimates while preserving small-scale features and achieving a substantial noise reduction in the spectral domain. By combining satellite and in-situ data with machine learning, this work demonstrates the potential of an adaptive CNN-based filtering approach to enhance the accuracy and reliability of SWOT-derived sea-level and velocity estimates, providing a valuable tool for global oceanographic applications. Full article

This data descriptor presents the HF radar and drifter datasets, along with the methods used to process and apply them in a previously published study on the validation of surface current measurements in a region characterized by highly variable coastal dynamics. The data were collected in the framework of a large-scale Lagrangian experiment, which included extensive drifter deployment and the generation of virtual trajectories based on HF radar-derived flow fields. Both Eulerian and Lagrangian approaches were used to assess radar performance through correlation and RMSE metrics, with additional refinement achieved via Kriging interpolation. The validation results, published in Remote Sensing, demonstrated good agreement between HF radar and drifter observations, particularly when quality control parameters were optimized. The datasets and associated methodologies described here support ongoing efforts to enhance HF radar tuning strategies and improve surface current monitoring in complex marine environments. Full article

Ocean surface radial current velocities can be derived from synthetic aperture radar (SAR) Doppler shift observations using the Doppler centroid technique and a recently developed Doppler velocity model. However, comprehensive evaluations of the accuracy and reliability of these retrievals remain limited. To address this gap, we analyzed 6341 Sentinel-1 SAR scenes acquired over the South China Sea (SCS) between December 2017 and October 2023, in conjunction with drifting buoy observations, to systematically validate the retrieved radial current velocities. A linear fitting method and the dual co-polarization Doppler velocity (DPDop) model were applied to correct for the influence of non-geophysical factors and sea state effects. The validation against the drifter data yielded a bias of 0.01 m/s, a root mean square error (RMSE) of 0.18 m/s, and a mean absolute error (MAE) of 0.16 m/s. Further comparisons with the Surface and Merged Ocean Currents (SMOC) dataset revealed bias, RMSE, and MAE values of 0.07 m/s, 0.14 m/s, and 0.12 m/s in the Beibu Gulf, and −0.06 m/s, 0.23 m/s, and 0.19 m/s in the Kuroshio intrusion area. These results demonstrate that SAR Doppler measurements have a strong potential to complement existing ocean observations in the SCS by providing high-resolution (1 km) ocean surface current maps. Full article

Eddy identification and tracking are essential for understanding ocean dynamics. This study employed the elliptical Gaussian function (EGF) simulations and the py-eddy-tracker (PET) algorithm, validated by Surface Velocity Program (SVP) drifter data, to track eddies in the western North Pacific Ocean. The PET method effectively identified large- and mesoscale eddies but struggled with submesoscale features, indicating areas for improvement. Simulated satellite altimetry by EGF, mirroring Surface Water and Ocean Topography (SWOT)’s high-resolution observations, confirmed PET’s capability in processing fine-scale data, though accuracy declined for submesoscale eddies. Over 22 years, 1,188,649 eddies were identified, mainly concentrated east of Taiwan. Temporal analysis showed interannual variability, more cyclonic than anticyclonic eddies, and a seasonal peak in spring, likely influenced by marine conditions. Short-lived eddies were uniformly distributed, while long-lived ones followed major currents, validating PET’s robustness with SVP drifters. The launch of the SWOT satellite in 2022 has enhanced fine-scale ocean studies, enabling the detection of submesoscale eddies previously unresolved by conventional altimetry. SWOT observations reveal intricate eddy structures, including small cyclonic features in the northwestern Pacific, demonstrating its potential for improving eddy tracking. Future work should refine the PET algorithm for SWOT’s swath altimetry, addressing data gaps and unclosed contours. Integrating SWOT with in situ drifters, numerical models, and machine learning will further enhance eddy classification, benefiting ocean circulation studies and climate modeling. Full article

High-frequency (HF) ocean radars have become essential tools for monitoring surface currents, offering real-time, wide-area coverage with cost-effectiveness. This study compares the compact CODAR system (MABT, 13 MHz) and the square-array phased-array radar (KNTN, 8 MHz) deployed at Cape Maobitou, Taiwan. Radial velocity measurements were evaluated against data from the Global Drifter Program (GDP), and a quality control (QC) mechanism was applied to improve the data’s reliability. The results indicated that KNTN provides broader spatial coverage, whereas MABT demonstrates higher precision in radial velocity measurements. Baseline velocity comparisons between MABT and KNTN revealed a correlation coefficient of 0.77 and a root-mean-square deviation (RMSD) of 0.23 m/s, which are consistent with typical values reported in previous radar performance evaluations. Drifter-based velocity comparisons showed an initial correlation of 0.49, with an RMSD of 0.43 m/s. In more stable oceanic regions, the correlation improved to 0.81, with the RMSD decreasing to 0.24 m/s. To clarify, this study does not include multiple environmental scenarios but focuses on cases where both radar systems operated simultaneously and where surface drifter data were available within the overlapping area. Comparisons are thus limited by these spatiotemporal conditions. Radar data may still be affected by environmental or human factors, such as ionospheric variations, interference from radio frequency management issues, or inappropriate parameter settings, which could reduce the accuracy and consistency of the observations. International ocean observing programs have developed quality management procedures to enhance data reliability. In Taiwan, the Taiwan Ocean Research Institute (TORI) has established a data quality management mechanism based on international standards for data filtering, noise reduction, and outlier detection, improving the accuracy and stability of radar-derived velocity measurements.To eliminate the effects caused by different center frequencies between MABT and KNTN, this study used the same algorithms and parameter settings as much as possible in all steps, from Doppler spectra processing to radial velocity calculation, ensuring the comparability of the data. This study highlights the strengths and limitations of compact and phased-array HF radar systems based on co-observed cases under consistent operational conditions. Future research should explore multi-frequency radar integration to enhance spatial coverage and measurement precision, improving real-time coastal current monitoring and operational forecasting. Full article

The Southeastern Tropical Indian Ocean (SETIO) forms part of the global ocean conveyor belt and thermohaline circulation that has a significant influence in controlling the global climate. This region of the ocean has very few observations using surface drifters, and this study presents, for the first time, paths of satellite tracked drifters released in the Timor Sea (123.3° E, 13.8° S). The drifter data were used to identify the ocean dynamics, forcing mechanisms and connectivity in the SETIO region. The data set has high temporal (~5 min) and spatial (~120 m) resolution and were collected over an 8-month period between 17 September 2020 and 25 May 2021. At the end of 250 days, drifters covered a region separated by ~8000 km (83–137° E, 4–21° S) and transited through several forcing mechanisms including semidiurnal and diurnal tides, submesoscale and mesoscale eddies, channel and headland flows, and inertial currents generated by tropical storms. Initially, all the drifters moved as a single cluster, and at 120° E longitude they entered a region of high eddy kinetic energy defined here as the ‘SETIO Mixing Zone’ (SMZ), and their movement was highly variable. All the drifters remained within the SMZ for periods between 3 and 5 months. Exiting the SMZ, drifters followed the major ocean currents in the system (either South Java or South Equatorial Current). Two of the drifters moved north through Lombok and Sape Straits and travelled to the east as far as Aru Islands. The results of this study have many implications for connectivity and transport of buoyant materials (e.g., plastics), as numerical models do not have the ability to resolve many of the fine-scale physical processes that contribute to surface transport and mixing in the ocean. Full article

The validation of HF radar systems remains an area with significant scope for advancement, particularly in terms of linking data quality with system operational parameters, fully utilizing the potential of redundant data (e.g., overlapping radial measurements), and accurately capturing the spatiotemporal variability observed by independent devices, such as drifters. In this study, we conducted a large-scale Lagrangian measurement campaign in the Tuscan Archipelago, aimed at validating surface current data from the HF radar network. This radar network, a recent addition to the area, monitors an oceanographic region critical to Mediterranean dynamics. The validation was executed using different approaches: a Eulerian method, comparing the radial velocities measured by radar with drifter-derived velocities along radial directions; a Lagrangian method, contrasting the observed drifter trajectories with the synthetic virtual trajectories generated from radar-based flow fields; and radar-to-radar comparisons with the concurrent utilization of two radars in same point. Through fine-tuning of the quality control parameters and an analysis of the impact of different thresholds of such parameters, we assessed the radar’s ability to capture dynamic processes, identifying both strengths and limitations. Our results not only confirm the utility of HF radar in coastal monitoring but also provide a basis for improving calibration strategies, ultimately supporting more accurate, high-resolution radar observations in complex marine environments. Full article

The main goal of this study is to develop a method for finding the joint probability distribution of the state of the characteristics of the NEMO (Nucleus for European Modeling of the Ocean) ocean dynamics model with data assimilation using the Generalized Kalman filter (GKF) method developed earlier by the authors. The method for finding the joint distribution is based on the Karhunen–Loeve decomposition of the covariance function of the joint characteristics of the ocean. Numerical calculations of the dynamics of ocean currents, surface and subsurface ocean temperatures, and water salinity were carried out, both with and without assimilation of observational data from the Argo project drifters. The joint probability distributions of temperature and salinity at individual points in the world ocean at different depths were obtained and analyzed. The Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) system was also simulated using the NEMO model with and without data assimilation, and these results were compared to each other and analyzed. Full article

Drifter observations can provide high-resolution surface velocity data (Lagrangian data), commonly used to reconstruct Eulerian velocity fields. Gaussian Process Regression (GPR), a machine learning method based on Gaussian probability distributions, has been widely applied for velocity field interpolation due to its ability to provide interpolation error estimates and handle separations between particles. However, its evaluation has primarily relied on cross-validation, which approximates temporal and spatial correlations but does not fully capture their dependencies, limiting the comprehensiveness of performance assessment. Moreover, GPR has not been rigorously tested on model datasets with reference velocity fields to evaluate its overall accuracy and the reliability of the error estimate. This study addresses these gaps by (1) assessing the accuracy of GPR-reconstructed fields and their error estimates, (2) evaluating GPR performance across temporal and spatial dimensions, and (3) analyzing the relationship between training data density and prediction accuracy. Using six metrics, GPR predictions are evaluated on a double-gyre model and a Navy Coastal Ocean Model (NCOM). Results show that GPR achieves high accuracy, contingent on sampling density and velocity magnitude, while validating the posterior covariance matrix as a reliable error predictor. These findings provide critical insights into the strengths and limitations of GPR in oceanographic applications. Full article

Accurately and rapidly predicting marine drifter trajectories under conditions of information scarcity is critical for addressing maritime emergencies and conducting marine surveys with resource-limited unmanned vessels. Machine learning-based tracking methods, such as Long Short-Term Memory networks (LSTM), offer a promising approach for trajectory prediction in such scenarios. This study combines satellite observations and idealized simulations to compare the predictive performance of LSTM with a resource-dependent dynamic tracking method (DT). The results indicate that when driven solely by historical drifter paths, LSTM achieves better trajectory predictions when trained and tested on relative trajectory intervals rather than the absolute positions of individual trajectory points. In general, LSTM provides a more accurate geometric pattern of trajectories at the initial stages of forecasting, while DT offers superior accuracy in predicting specific trajectory positions. The velocity and curvature of ocean currents jointly influence the prediction quality of both methods. In regions characterized by active sub-mesoscale dynamics, such as the fast-flowing and meandering Kuroshio Current and Kuroshio Current Extension, DT predicts more reliable trajectory patterns but lacks precision in detailed position estimates compared to LSTM. However, in areas dominated by the fast but relatively straight North Equatorial Current, the performance of the two methods reverses. The two methods also demonstrate different tolerances for noise and sampling intervals. This study establishes a baseline for selecting machine learning methods for marine drifter prediction and highlights the limitations of AI-based predictions under data-scarce and resource-constrained conditions. Full article

Wave-induced mixing can enhance vertical mixing in the upper ocean, facilitating the exchange of heat and momentum between the surface and deeper layers, thereby influencing ocean circulation and climate patterns. Building on previous research, this study proposes a wave-induced mixing parameterization scheme (referred to as EXP3) specifically designed for typhoon periods. This scheme was integrated into the fully coupled ocean–wave–atmosphere model COAWST and applied to analyze Typhoon In-Fa (2021) as a case study. The simulation results were validated against publicly available data, demonstrating a good overall match with observed phenomena. Subsequently, a comparative analysis was conducted between the EXP3 scheme, the previous scheme (EXP2) and the original model scheme (EXP1). Validation against Argo and Drifter buoy data revealed that both EXP2 and EXP3, which include wave-induced mixing effects, resulted in a decrease in the simulated mixed layer depth (MLD) and mixed layer temperature (MLT), with EXP3 showing closer alignment with the observed data. Compared to the other two experiments, EXP3 enhanced vertical motion in the ocean due to intensified wave-induced mixing, leading to increased upper-layer water divergence and upwelling, a decrease in sea surface temperature and accelerated rightward deflection of surface currents. This phenomenon not only altered the temperature structure of the ocean surface layer but also significantly impacted the regional ocean dynamics. Full article