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19 pages, 2023 KB  
Article
Chemical Composition, Antioxidant, Analgesic, and Wound-Healing Effects of Pinus pinaster Aiton and Pinus halepensis Mill Needles: A Natural Approach to Pain and Oxidative Stress Management
by Widad Tbatou, Hassan Laaroussi, Beybeti Ishagh, Karima El Yagoubi, Akissi Zachée Louis Evariste, Bruno Eto, Badiaa Lyoussi and Zineb Benziane Ouaritini
Processes 2026, 14(2), 369; https://doi.org/10.3390/pr14020369 (registering DOI) - 21 Jan 2026
Abstract
Pine needles are traditional herbal remedies used for centuries to treat various ailments, including rheumatism, bronchitis, burns, inflammation, and infections. This study aimed to evaluate the antioxidant, analgesic (peripheral and central), and wound-healing activities of Pinus pinaster (PPN) and Pinus halepensis (PAN) needles [...] Read more.
Pine needles are traditional herbal remedies used for centuries to treat various ailments, including rheumatism, bronchitis, burns, inflammation, and infections. This study aimed to evaluate the antioxidant, analgesic (peripheral and central), and wound-healing activities of Pinus pinaster (PPN) and Pinus halepensis (PAN) needles while identifying the bioactive compounds responsible for these effects. Phytochemical analysis revealed several phenolic compounds, including p-coumaroylquinic acid, quercetin, narcissin, and myricetin-3-O-glucoside. Both extracts showed strong antioxidant activity, with high total phenolic content (TPC: 384.84 ± 0.84 and 524.46 mg GAE/g DM for PPN and PAN, respectively) and flavonoid content (TFC: 109.44 ± 0.62 and 111.64 ± 0.62 mg QE/g DM, respectively). Peripheral analgesic activity, assessed using the acetic acid-induced writhing test, revealed that PAN (300 mg/kg) significantly reduced pain by 72.3%, while central analgesic effects, evaluated by the tail immersion test, were comparable to the reference drug for both extracts. In vivo wound-healing tests showed accelerated wound contraction and complete closure by day 21, indicating strong regenerative potential. Overall, this study demonstrates that PPN and PAN needle extracts possess significant antioxidant, analgesic, and wound-healing activities, supporting their traditional use and highlighting their potential as natural therapeutic agents for managing oxidative stress, pain, and skin injuries. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Analysis and Processes of Bioactive Components in Natural Products)
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15 pages, 242 KB  
Review
Real-World Evidence for Psychiatric Disorders from the German Disease Analyzer Database: A Narrative Review
by Karel Kostev, Marcel Konrad and Jens Bohlken
Brain Sci. 2026, 16(1), 115; https://doi.org/10.3390/brainsci16010115 (registering DOI) - 21 Jan 2026
Abstract
The German IQVIA Disease Analyzer (DA) database has become an increasingly important source of real-world evidence for psychiatric research. Over the past decade, and particularly since 2020, DA-based studies have addressed a broad spectrum of psychiatric outcomes including depression, anxiety disorders, schizophrenia, bipolar [...] Read more.
The German IQVIA Disease Analyzer (DA) database has become an increasingly important source of real-world evidence for psychiatric research. Over the past decade, and particularly since 2020, DA-based studies have addressed a broad spectrum of psychiatric outcomes including depression, anxiety disorders, schizophrenia, bipolar disorder, dementia, sleep disorders, and the mental health consequences of chronic somatic diseases and of contracting COVID-19. Using large, representative outpatient cohorts, these studies have examined factors associated with the incidence of psychiatric disorders, patterns of psychiatric and somatic comorbidity, treatment trajectories, and long-term outcomes under routine care conditions. The DA database’s longitudinal structure, nationwide coverage, and inclusion of multiple medical specialties enable it to capture psychiatric disorders throughout patient lifetimes and across different clinical contexts. This narrative review summarizes psychiatric research using the DA database that has been published since 2020, focusing on study design, main findings, methodological strengths and limitations, and implications for future psychiatric epidemiology and clinical research. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Neuropsychiatry)
18 pages, 854 KB  
Article
HPV and HIV Among Youth: Exploring the Role of Knowledge, Risk Perception, and Attitude to Vaccination in Prevention Strategies
by Silvia Cocchio, Andrea Cozza, Matilde Obici, Elisabetta Conte, Claudia Cozzolino Cangiano, Nicoletta Parise, Patrizia Furlan and Vincenzo Baldo
Vaccines 2026, 14(1), 101; https://doi.org/10.3390/vaccines14010101 - 21 Jan 2026
Abstract
Background: Sexually transmitted infections (STIs) represent a significant public health problem due to their impact. Knowledge about them, perceptions of the risk of contracting them, and adherence to prevention strategies such as HPV vaccination are, at various levels, key factors in preventing [...] Read more.
Background: Sexually transmitted infections (STIs) represent a significant public health problem due to their impact. Knowledge about them, perceptions of the risk of contracting them, and adherence to prevention strategies such as HPV vaccination are, at various levels, key factors in preventing the spread of STIs. The study therefore aimed to investigate and evaluate, in a group of young Italians, the level of knowledge, perception of risk and propensity to adhere to preventive strategies, including vaccination against papillomavirus. Methods: A cross-sectional study was conducted by administering a questionnaire to young people aged between 16 and 30, residing in four macro-geographical areas, collecting socio-demographic, behavioral and knowledge data. Levels of knowledge about STIs and HPV were classified into four categories (low, medium without awareness, medium with awareness, high). Risk perception was assessed on a scale of 1 to 10. Results: A total of 2576 questionnaires were collected, revealing that general knowledge about STIs is limited: only 12.5% of participants demonstrated a high level of knowledge, while 27.1% demonstrated a low level; with regard to HPV, 41.3% of the sample demonstrated a low level of knowledge. The perception of the risk of contracting HIV and HPV was low in most subjects (average score of approximately 2.9 out of 10), with no significant differences related to levels of knowledge about HPV. Potential adherence to HPV vaccination was high (83.0% considered vaccination useful), but among unvaccinated subjects, almost half expressed concerns about vaccination, related to poor knowledge and mistrust of vaccines in general. Factors associated with a higher frequency of self-reported STIs included older age, transgender identity, non-heterosexual orientation, and risky sexual behavior. Conclusions: The results emerging from the study highlight the urgent need to strengthen educational and preventive interventions aimed at young people. Raising awareness of the risk of contracting STIs and the importance of vaccination are key targets for health promotion interventions. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Vaccines and Public Health)
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21 pages, 3990 KB  
Article
Enhancing Thermo-Mechanical Behavior of Bio-Treated Silts Under Cyclic Thermal Stresses
by Rashed Rahman, Tejo V. Bheemasetti, Tanvi Govil and Rajesh Sani
Geosciences 2026, 16(1), 48; https://doi.org/10.3390/geosciences16010048 - 21 Jan 2026
Abstract
Freeze-thaw (F-T) cycles in seasonally frozen regions induce progressive volumetric strains leading to degradation of soils’ mechanical properties and performance of earthen infrastructure. Conventional chemical stabilization techniques often are not adaptive to cyclic thermal stresses and do not address the fundamental phase changes [...] Read more.
Freeze-thaw (F-T) cycles in seasonally frozen regions induce progressive volumetric strains leading to degradation of soils’ mechanical properties and performance of earthen infrastructure. Conventional chemical stabilization techniques often are not adaptive to cyclic thermal stresses and do not address the fundamental phase changes of porous media, underscoring the need for sustainable alternatives. This study explores the potential of extracellular polymeric substances (EPS) produced by the psychrophilic bacterium Polaromonas hydrogenivorans as a bio-mediated soil treatment to enhance freeze-thaw durability. Two EPS formulations were examined—EPS 1 (high ice-binding activity) and EPS 2 (low ice-binding activity)—to evaluate their effectiveness in improving volumetric stability and thawing strength of silty soil subjected to ten F-T cycles. Tests were conducted at four moisture contents (12%, 18%, 24%, and 30%) and three EPS concentrations (3, 10, and 20 g/L). Volumetric strain measurements quantified freezing expansion and thawing contraction, while unconfined compressive strength assessed post-thaw mechanical integrity. The untreated soils exhibited maximum net volumetric strains (γNet) of 5.62% and only marginal strength recovery after ten F-T cycles. In contrast, EPS 1 at 20 g/L mitigated volumetric changes across all moisture contents and increased compressive strength to 191.2 kPa. EPS 2 yielded moderate improvements, reducing γNet to 0.98% and enhancing strength to 183.9 kPa at 30% moisture. Lower EPS concentrations (3 and 10 g/L) partially mitigated volumetric strain, with performance strongly dependent on moisture content. These results demonstrate that psychrophilic EPS, particularly EPS 1, effectively suppresses ice formation within soil pores and preserves mechanical structure, offering a sustainable, high-performance solution for stabilizing frost-susceptible soils in cold-regions. Full article
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29 pages, 8627 KB  
Article
Spatial–Temporal Evolution and Driving Mechanism of Territorial Space Conflicts in Rapid Urbanization Areas from the Perspective of Suitability: An Empirical Study of Jinan City, China
by Piling Sun, Junxiong Mo, Nan Li, Dengdeng Hou and Qingguo Liu
Land 2026, 15(1), 191; https://doi.org/10.3390/land15010191 - 21 Jan 2026
Abstract
The precise identification of territorial space conflicts (TSCs) and their driving mechanisms is key to enhancing spatial security governance. Taking Jinan City as a case study, this research evaluates territorial space suitability across production, living, and ecological dimensions, proposes an empirical TSC identification [...] Read more.
The precise identification of territorial space conflicts (TSCs) and their driving mechanisms is key to enhancing spatial security governance. Taking Jinan City as a case study, this research evaluates territorial space suitability across production, living, and ecological dimensions, proposes an empirical TSC identification model, and employs GeoDetector to analyze spatiotemporal evolution patterns and driving mechanisms. The results indicated that (1) from 2000 to 2020, significant spatial heterogeneity characterized the suitability of production–living–ecological spaces in Jinan City. High suitability zones of production and living space expanded in the northern plain along the Yellow River and central piedmont plain, respectively, while those of ecological space contracted in the southern mountainous and hilly areas. (2) Significant spatiotemporal variations in territorial space conflicts (TSCs) were observed in Jinan City over the past two decades. Intense conflicts dominated production–living and production–ecological space interactions, while moderate conflicts were prevalent in living–ecological and production–living–ecological space interactions. Production–living space conflict zones expanded, living–ecological space conflict zones contracted, and production–ecological and production–living–ecological space conflict zones showed consistent expansion trends. (3) The spatiotemporal evolution of territorial space conflicts is jointly driven by the natural environment, geographical location, social economy, and regional policies. The interaction of driving factors exhibited significant dual-factor and nonlineal enhancement effects. Finally, this study provides some scientific references for the comprehensive management and pattern optimization of territorial space in Jinan City. Full article
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21 pages, 2566 KB  
Article
Multimodal Wearable Monitoring of Exercise in Isolated, Confined, and Extreme Environments: A Standardized Method
by Jan Hejda, Marek Sokol, Lydie Leová, Petr Volf, Jan Tonner, Wei-Chun Hsu, Yi-Jia Lin, Tommy Sugiarto, Miroslav Rozložník and Patrik Kutílek
Methods Protoc. 2026, 9(1), 15; https://doi.org/10.3390/mps9010015 - 21 Jan 2026
Abstract
This study presents a standardized method for multimodal monitoring of exercise execution in isolated, confined, and extreme (ICE) environments, addressing the need for reproducible assessment of neuromuscular and cardiovascular responses under space- and equipment-limited conditions. The method integrates wearable surface electromyography (sEMG), inertial [...] Read more.
This study presents a standardized method for multimodal monitoring of exercise execution in isolated, confined, and extreme (ICE) environments, addressing the need for reproducible assessment of neuromuscular and cardiovascular responses under space- and equipment-limited conditions. The method integrates wearable surface electromyography (sEMG), inertial measurement units (IMU), and electrocardiography (ECG) to capture muscle activation, movement, and cardiac dynamics during space-efficient exercise. Ten exercises suitable for confined habitats were implemented during analog missions conducted in the DeepLabH03 facility, with feasibility evaluated in a seven-day campaign involving three adult participants. Signals were synchronized using video-verified repetition boundaries, sEMG was normalized to maximum voluntary contraction, and sEMG amplitude- and frequency-domain features were extracted alongside heart rate variability indices. The protocol enabled stable real-time data acquisition, reliable repetition-level segmentation, and consistent detection of muscle-specific activation patterns across exercises. While amplitude-based sEMG indices showed no uniform main effect of exercise, robust exercise-by-muscle interactions were observed, and sEMG mean frequency demonstrated sensitivity to differences in movement strategy. Cardiac measures showed limited condition-specific modulation, consistent with short exercise bouts and small sample size. As a proof-of-concept feasibility study, the proposed protocol provides a practical and reproducible framework for multimodal physiological monitoring of exercise in ICE analogs and other constrained environments, supporting future studies on exercise quality, training load, and adaptive feedback systems. The protocol is designed to support near-real-time monitoring and forms a technical basis for future exercise-quality feedback in confined habitats. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Biomedical Sciences and Physiology)
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15 pages, 402 KB  
Article
Acute Effects of Three Recovery Interventions on Post-Practice Vertical Jump Force-Time Metrics in Female Basketball Players
by Dimitrije Cabarkapa, Damjana V. Cabarkapa, Dora Nagy, Richard Repasi, Tamas Laczko and Laszlo Ratgeber
J. Funct. Morphol. Kinesiol. 2026, 11(1), 44; https://doi.org/10.3390/jfmk11010044 - 21 Jan 2026
Abstract
Objectives: The purpose of the present study was to investigate the acute effects of cold-water immersion (CWI), cryotherapy (CRT), and intermittent pneumatic compression (IPC) on lower-body neuromuscular performance in female basketball players. Methods: Eighteen athletes volunteered to participate (body mass = [...] Read more.
Objectives: The purpose of the present study was to investigate the acute effects of cold-water immersion (CWI), cryotherapy (CRT), and intermittent pneumatic compression (IPC) on lower-body neuromuscular performance in female basketball players. Methods: Eighteen athletes volunteered to participate (body mass = 63.0 ± 7.2 kg; height = 171.4 ± 6.5 cm; age = 16.4 ± 1.2 years), completing testing at three time points: (i) pre-practice, (ii) post-practice, and (iii) 45–60 min following a randomly assigned recovery intervention. At each time point, athletes performed three countermovement vertical jumps on a dual force plate system sampling at 1000 Hz (VALD Performance). To standardize external load across groups, all players wore inertial measurement units (Kinexon). Results: The two-way repeated measures ANOVA showed no statistically significant interaction (p > 0.05) between the three testing time points and recovery modalities for any of the analyzed variables. However, a significant main effect of time was observed, with 13 of 20 force-time metrics (65%), including jump height, reactive strength index-modified, contraction time, and concentric peak and mean force, declining post-recovery compared with pre-practice values, regardless of the recovery intervention applied. External load measures (e.g., total distance, number of jumps) remained consistent across groups. Conclusions: Overall, these findings suggest that CWI, CRT, and IPC were no more effective than passive recovery (i.e., control group) in mitigating post-practice declines in lower-body force and power-producing capacities. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Physiological and Biomechanical Foundations of Strength Training)
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17 pages, 5670 KB  
Article
Gne-Depletion in C2C12 Myoblasts Leads to Alterations in Glycosylation and Myopathogene Expression
by Carolin T. Neu, Aristotelis Antonopoulos, Anne Dell, Stuart M. Haslam and Rüdiger Horstkorte
Cells 2026, 15(2), 199; https://doi.org/10.3390/cells15020199 - 20 Jan 2026
Abstract
GNE myopathy is a rare genetic neuromuscular disorder caused by mutations in the GNE gene. The respective gene product, UDP-N-acetylglucosamine 2-epimerase/N-acetylmannosamine kinase (GNE), is a bifunctional enzyme that initiates endogenous sialic acid biosynthesis. Sialic acids are important building blocks [...] Read more.
GNE myopathy is a rare genetic neuromuscular disorder caused by mutations in the GNE gene. The respective gene product, UDP-N-acetylglucosamine 2-epimerase/N-acetylmannosamine kinase (GNE), is a bifunctional enzyme that initiates endogenous sialic acid biosynthesis. Sialic acids are important building blocks for the glycosylation machinery of cells and are typically found at the terminal ends of glycoprotein N- and O-glycans. The exact pathomechanism of GNE myopathy remains elusive, and a better understanding of the disease is urgently needed for the development of therapeutic strategies. The purpose of this study was to examine the effects of hyposialylation on glycan structures and subsequent downstream effects in the C2C12 Gne knockout cell model. No overall remodeling of N-glycans was observed in the absence of Gne, but differences in glycosaminoglycan expression and O-GlcNAcylation were detected. Expression analysis of myopathogenes revealed concomitant down-regulation of muscle-specific genes. Among the top candidates were the sodium channel protein type 4 subunit α (Scn4a), voltage-dependent L-type calcium channel subunit α-1s (Cacna1s), ryanodine receptor 1 (Ryr1), and glycogen phosphorylase (Pygm), which are associated with excitation-contraction coupling and energy metabolism. The results suggest that remodeling of the glycome could have detrimental effects on intracellular signaling, excitability of skeletal muscle tissue, and glucose metabolism. Full article
25 pages, 9604 KB  
Article
Shaft-Rate Magnetic Field Localization Algorithm Based on Improved Exponential Triangular Optimization
by Bozhong Lei, Ranfeng Wang, Cheng Chi, Lu Yu, Zhentao Yu and Dan Wang
J. Mar. Sci. Eng. 2026, 14(2), 216; https://doi.org/10.3390/jmse14020216 - 20 Jan 2026
Abstract
Addressing the issues of low positioning accuracy and poor robustness in shaft-rate magnetic fields, this study introduces the Improved Exponential Triangular Optimization Algorithm (IETO). By incorporating adaptive attenuation factors, dynamic population reduction, and intelligent boundary contraction strategies, it significantly enhances the global search [...] Read more.
Addressing the issues of low positioning accuracy and poor robustness in shaft-rate magnetic fields, this study introduces the Improved Exponential Triangular Optimization Algorithm (IETO). By incorporating adaptive attenuation factors, dynamic population reduction, and intelligent boundary contraction strategies, it significantly enhances the global search capability and robustness. A magnetic dipole localization model is developed, and comparative simulations show that IETO achieves reliable accuracy and robustness under low signal-to-noise ratio (SNR) conditions, reducing localization error by 7.82% compared with the conventional Exponential Triangular Optimization Algorithm (ETO). The effects of base station deployment, number of stations, and sea depth on localization performance are further examined, and the capability of IETO for dynamic target tracking is verified. Preliminary sea trial results confirm the practical feasibility and engineering applicability of the proposed method. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Advanced Studies in Marine Data Analysis)
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32 pages, 2119 KB  
Article
Longitudinal Mobility and Temporal Use Patterns in Urban Parks: Multi-Year Evidence from the City of Las Vegas, 2018–2022
by Shuqi Hu, Zheng Zhu and Pai Liu
Sustainability 2026, 18(2), 1060; https://doi.org/10.3390/su18021060 - 20 Jan 2026
Abstract
Urban parks are central to public health and equity, yet less is known about how park travel distance, park “attractor” types, and time-of-day visitation rhythms co-evolved through and after the COVID-19 pandemic. Using anonymized smartphone mobility traces for public parks in Las Vegas, [...] Read more.
Urban parks are central to public health and equity, yet less is known about how park travel distance, park “attractor” types, and time-of-day visitation rhythms co-evolved through and after the COVID-19 pandemic. Using anonymized smartphone mobility traces for public parks in Las Vegas, USA (2018–2022), we construct weekly origin–destination flows between census block groups (CBGs) and parks and link origins to socio-economic indicators. We first estimate visitor-weighted mean travel distance with a segmented time-series model that allows pandemic-related breakpoints. Results show that average park-trip distance (≈8.4 km pre-pandemic), including a substantial share of long-distance trips (≈52% of visits), contracted sharply at the onset of COVID-19, and that both travel radii and seasonal excursion peaks only partially rebounded by 2022. Next, cross-sectional OLS/WLS models (R2 ≈ 0.08–0.14) indicate persistent socio-spatial disparities: CBGs with higher educational attainment and larger shares of Black and Hispanic residents are consistently associated with shorter park-trip distances, suggesting constrained recreational mobility for socially disadvantaged groups. We then identify a stable two-type park typology—local versus regional attractors—using clustering on origin diversity and long-distance share (silhouette ≈ 0.46–0.52); this typology is strongly related to visitation volume and temporal usage profiles. Finally, mixed-effects models of evening and late-night visit shares show that regional attractors sustain higher nighttime activity than local parks, even as citywide evening/late-night visitation dipped during the mid-pandemic period and only partly recovered thereafter. Overall, our findings reveal a durable post-pandemic re-scaling of park use toward more proximate, CBG-embedded patterns layered on enduring inequities in access to distant, destination-oriented parks. These insights offer actionable evidence for equitable park planning, targeted investment in high-need areas, and time-sensitive management strategies that account for daytime versus nighttime use. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Sustainable Urban Designs to Enhance Human Health and Well-Being)
14 pages, 4934 KB  
Article
Optimal Schemes for the Enrichment Zones of Co-Rich Ferromanganese Crusts on Seamounts
by Yonggang Liu, Yong Yang, Gaowen He, Zhenquan Wei, Weilin Ma, Kehong Yang, Donghong Liang, Shuang Hong and Ranran Du
J. Mar. Sci. Eng. 2026, 14(2), 209; https://doi.org/10.3390/jmse14020209 - 20 Jan 2026
Abstract
The optimization of enrichment zones for Co-rich crusts involves multiple factors such as crust thickness, elemental content, topography, slope, and biological distribution, making it a complicated research endeavor. Based on survey data from the contract area, the present study pioneers the integration of [...] Read more.
The optimization of enrichment zones for Co-rich crusts involves multiple factors such as crust thickness, elemental content, topography, slope, and biological distribution, making it a complicated research endeavor. Based on survey data from the contract area, the present study pioneers the integration of environmental factors into enrichment zone selection. It conducts a comprehensive analysis of resource, environment, and mining considerations, alongside optimization methodologies. Quantitative indicators for resource, environment, and mining are spatially correlated and assigned to corresponding grid cells. A weighted scoring method is proposed to compare enrichment zone selection results under different weightings, finally forming the optimal enrichment zone selection scheme. This scheme fully achieves the maximization of resource reserves, the protection of biological communities, and the safeguarding of future mineral development. It also provides technical reference for enrichment zone selection of deep-sea minerals such as polymetallic nodules and hydrothermal sulfides. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Geological Oceanography)
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20 pages, 10816 KB  
Article
Numerical and Performance Optimization Research on Biphase Transport in PEMFC Flow Channels Based on LBM-VOF
by Zhe Li, Runyuan Zheng, Chengyan Wang, Lin Li, Yuanshen Xie and Dapeng Tan
Processes 2026, 14(2), 360; https://doi.org/10.3390/pr14020360 - 20 Jan 2026
Abstract
Proton exchange membrane fuel cells (PEMFC) are recognized as promising next-generation energy technology. Yet, their performance is critically limited by inefficient gas transport and water management in conventional flow channels. Current rectangular gas channels (GC) restrict reactive gas penetration into the gas diffusion [...] Read more.
Proton exchange membrane fuel cells (PEMFC) are recognized as promising next-generation energy technology. Yet, their performance is critically limited by inefficient gas transport and water management in conventional flow channels. Current rectangular gas channels (GC) restrict reactive gas penetration into the gas diffusion layer (GDL) due to insufficient longitudinal convection. At the same time, the complex multiphase interactions at the mesoscale pose challenges for numerical modeling. To address these limitations, this study proposes a novel cathode channel design featuring laterally contracted fin-shaped barrier blocks and develops a mesoscopic multiphase coupled transport model using the lattice Boltzmann method combined with the volume-of-fluid approach (LBM-VOF). Through systematic investigation of multiphase flow interactions across channel geometries and GDL surface wettability effects, we demonstrate that the optimized barrier structure induces bidirectional forced convection, enhancing oxygen transport compared to linear channels. Compared with the traditional straight channel, the optimized composite channel achieves a 60.9% increase in average droplet transport velocity and a 56.9% longer droplet displacement distance, while reducing the GDL surface water saturation by 24.8% under the same inlet conditions. These findings provide critical insights into channel structure optimization for high-efficiency PEMFC, offering a validated numerical framework for multiphysics-coupled fuel cell simulations. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Materials Processes)
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19 pages, 2065 KB  
Article
Multiscale Wind Forecasting Using Explainable-Adaptive Hybrid Deep Learning
by Fatih Serttas
Appl. Sci. 2026, 16(2), 1020; https://doi.org/10.3390/app16021020 - 19 Jan 2026
Abstract
This study presents a multiscale, uncertainty-aware hybrid deep learning approach addressing the short-term wind speed prediction problem, which is critical for the reliable planning and operation of wind energy systems. Wind signals are decomposed using adaptive variational mode decomposition (VMD), and the resulting [...] Read more.
This study presents a multiscale, uncertainty-aware hybrid deep learning approach addressing the short-term wind speed prediction problem, which is critical for the reliable planning and operation of wind energy systems. Wind signals are decomposed using adaptive variational mode decomposition (VMD), and the resulting wind components are processed together with meteorological data through a dual-stream CNN–BiLSTM architecture. Based on this multiscale representation, probabilistic forecasts are generated using quantile regression to capture best- and worst-case scenarios for decision-making purposes. Unlike fixed prediction intervals, the proposed approach produces adaptive prediction bands that expand during unstable wind conditions and contract during calm periods. The developed model is evaluated using four years of meteorological data from the Afyonkarahisar region of Türkiye. While the proposed model achieves competitive point forecasting performance (RMSE = 0.700 m/s and MAE = 0.54 m/s), its main contribution lies in providing reliable probabilistic forecasts through well-calibrated uncertainty quantification, offering decision-relevant information beyond single-point predictions. The proposed method is compared with a classical CNN–LSTM and several structural variants. Furthermore, SHAP-based explainability analysis indicates that seasonal and solar-related variables play a dominant role in the forecasting process. Full article
(This article belongs to the Topic Advances in Wind Energy Technology: 2nd Edition)
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22 pages, 405 KB  
Article
A Cointegrated Ising Spin Model for Asynchronously Traded Futures Contracts: Spread Trading with Crude Oil Futures
by Kostas Giannopoulos
J. Risk Financial Manag. 2026, 19(1), 79; https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm19010079 - 19 Jan 2026
Viewed by 93
Abstract
Pairs trading via futures calendar spreads offers a robust market-neutral approach to exploiting transient mispricings, yet real-time implementation is hindered by asynchronous trading. This paper introduces a Cointegrated Ising Spin Model, CISM, for real-time signal generation in high-frequency spread trading. The model [...] Read more.
Pairs trading via futures calendar spreads offers a robust market-neutral approach to exploiting transient mispricings, yet real-time implementation is hindered by asynchronous trading. This paper introduces a Cointegrated Ising Spin Model, CISM, for real-time signal generation in high-frequency spread trading. The model links the macro-level equilibrium of cointegration with micro-level agent interactions, representing prices as magnetizations in an agent-based system. A novel Δ-weighted arbitrage force dynamically adjusts agents’ corrective behavior to account for information staleness. Calibrated on tick-by-tick Brent crude oil futures, the model produces a time-varying probability of spread reversion, enabling probabilistic trading decisions. Backtesting demonstrates a 74.65% success rate, confirming the CISM’s ability to generate stable, data-driven arbitrage signals in asynchronous environments. The model bridges macro-level cointegration with micro-level agent interactions, representing prices as magnetizations within an agent-based Ising system. A novel feature is a Δ-weighted arbitrage force, where the corrective pressure applied by agents in response to the standard Error Correction Term is dynamically amplified based on information staleness. The model is calibrated on historical tick data and designed to operate in real time, continuously updating its probability-based trading signals as new quotes arrive. The model is framed within the context of Discrete Choice Theory, treating agent transitions as utility-maximizing decisions within a Vector Logistic Autoregressive (VLAR) framework. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Financial Innovations and Derivatives)
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25 pages, 12246 KB  
Article
Evolutionary History, Transcriptome Expression Profiles, and Abiotic Stress Responses of the SBP Family Genes in the Three Endangered Medicinal Notopterygium Species
by Dan-Ting Zhang, Yan-Jun Cheng, Rui Yang, Hui-Ling Wang, Xiao-Jing He, Cai-Yun Luo, Zhong-Hu Li and Mi-Li Liu
Int. J. Mol. Sci. 2026, 27(2), 979; https://doi.org/10.3390/ijms27020979 - 19 Jan 2026
Viewed by 45
Abstract
Squamosa promoter binding protein (SBP) plays a vital role in plant growth, development, and responses to abiotic stresses. The genus Notopterygium is an endangered perennial herbaceous plant mainly distributed in the high-altitude Qinghai–Tibet Plateau and adjacent areas, which possibly occurred the adaptive evolution [...] Read more.
Squamosa promoter binding protein (SBP) plays a vital role in plant growth, development, and responses to abiotic stresses. The genus Notopterygium is an endangered perennial herbaceous plant mainly distributed in the high-altitude Qinghai–Tibet Plateau and adjacent areas, which possibly occurred the adaptive evolution to the extreme environmental conditions. In this study, we firstly determined the genome-wide structural characteristics, evolutionary history, and expression profiles of the SBP family genes in Notopterygium species by using genome, transcriptome, and DNA resequencing data. We have also investigated the response patterns of SBPs of N. franchetii to the drought and high-temperature stresses. The 21, 18, and 18 SBP family genes of three Notopterygium species, N. incisum, N. franchetii, and N. forrestii, were, respectively, identified and classified into eight subfamilies, with four subfamily members regulated by miR156. The structure analysis showed that the members of the same SBP subfamily had similar structures and conserved motif composition. Cis-element analysis suggested that those SBP genes may have been essential to the growth and environmental adaptation of Notopterygium. The expansion of the SBP gene family was mainly caused by the whole genome duplication/segmental duplication and transposable element duplication. Evolutionary analysis showed the SBP gene family experienced severe contraction events and most of the gene copies underwent purification selection. Population genetics analysis based on SBPs variations suggested that the genus Notopterygium species have obvious genetic structure and interspecific differentiation. RNA-seq and qRT-PCR experiments demonstrated that the expressions of SBPs genes in Notopterygium were not species-specific, but tissue-specific. NinSBP08 and NinSBP10/12 may have played the key roles in heat tolerance and drought resistance, respectively. These results provided novel insights into the evolutionary history of the SBP gene family in the endangered herb Notopterygium species in the high-altitude Qinghai–Tibet Plateau and adjacent areas. Full article
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