Search Results (2,169)

Global climate change is causing increasing fluctuations in winter temperatures, including episodes of warm conditions above 9 °C. Such events disrupt cold acclimation in plants and can induce deacclimation, reducing frost tolerance and altering, among other things, hormonal regulation. This study investigated hormonal and molecular changes associated with cold acclimation and deacclimation in oilseed rape (Brassica napus L.) cultivars Kuga and Thure. Plants were grown under different conditions: non-acclimated (17 °C for three weeks), cold-acclimated (4 °C for three weeks), and deacclimated (16/9 °C day/night for one week). Detailed hormone analysis included auxins, gibberellins, cytokinins, stress-related hormones, and the expression of hormone-related genes (BnABF2, BnAOS, BnARF1, BnARR6, BnICS1, BnRGA, and BnWRKY57). Hormone concentrations in leaves changed dynamically in response to deacclimation with increased amounts of growth-promoting hormones and decreased amounts of stress hormones. Additionally, alterations in gene expression during deacclimation, such as in BnABF2 and BnICS1, may function as protective mechanisms to help maintain or regain frost tolerance during reacclimation when temperatures decline again after the warm period. These findings improve the understanding of hormonal and molecular responses involved in the deacclimation of oilseed rape. Full article

Articulated arm coordinate measuring machines are designed for in situ use directly in manufacturing environments, enabling efficient dimensional control outside of climate-controlled laboratories. This study investigates the influence of ambient temperature variation on the accuracy of length measurements performed with the Hexagon Absolute Arm 8312. The experiment was carried out in a laboratory setting simulating typical shop floor conditions through controlled temperature changes in the range of approximately 20–31 °C. A calibrated steel gauge block was used as a reference standard, allowing separation of the influence of the measuring system from that of the measured object. The results showed that the gauge block length changed in line with the expected thermal expansion, while the articulated arm coordinate measuring machine exhibited only a minor residual thermal drift and stable performance. The experiment also revealed a constant measurement offset of approximately 22 µm, likely due to calibration deviation. As part of the study, an uncertainty budget was developed, taking into account all relevant sources of influence and enabling a more realistic estimation of accuracy under operational conditions. The study confirms that modern carbon composite articulated arm coordinate measuring machines with integrated compensation can maintain stable measurement behavior even under fluctuating temperatures in controlled environments. Full article

Forestry carbon sinks play a crucial role in mitigating climate change and protecting ecosystems, significantly contributing to the development of carbon trading systems. Remote sensing technology has become increasingly important for monitoring carbon sinks, as it allows for precise measurement of carbon storage and ecological changes, which are vital for forecasting carbon prices. Carbon prices fluctuate due to the interaction of various factors, exhibiting non-stationary characteristics and inherent uncertainties, making accurate predictions particularly challenging. To address these complexities, this study proposes a method for predicting carbon trading prices influenced by multiple factors. We introduce a Decomposition (DECOMP) module that separates carbon price data and its influencing factors into trend and cyclical components. To manage non-stationarity, we propose the KAN with Multi-Domain Diffusion (KAN-MD) module, which efficiently extracts relevant features. Furthermore, a Wave-MH attention module, based on wavelet transformation, is introduced to minimize interference from uncertainties, thereby enhancing the robustness of the model. Empirical research using data from the Hubei carbon trading market demonstrates that our model achieves superior predictive accuracy and resilience to fluctuations compared to other benchmark methods, with an MSE of 0.204% and an MAE of 0.0277. These results provide reliable support for pricing carbon financial derivatives and managing associated risks. Full article

To address the freezing damage to tunnel lining caused by frost heaving of the surrounding rock in water-rich tunnels in cold regions, a numerical thermo-mechanical coupling model for tunnel-surrounding rock that considers the anisotropy of frost heave deformation was established by examining overall frost heaves in a freeze–thaw cycle. Using a COMSOL Multiphysics 6.0 platform and the sequential coupling method, the temperature field evolution of tunnel-surrounding rock, freezing cycle development, and distribution characteristics of the frost heaving force of a tunnel lining under different minimum temperatures, numbers of negative temperature days, frost heave ratios, and anisotropy coefficients of frost heave deformation were systematically simulated. The results revealed that the response of the temperature field of tunnel-surrounding rock to the external temperature varies spatially with time lags, the shallow surface temperatures and the area around the lining fluctuate with the climate, and the temperature of the deep surrounding rock is dominated by the geothermal gradient. The extent of the freezing cycle and the frost heaving force increase significantly when lowering the minimum temperature. The maximum frost heaving force usually occurs in the region of the side wall and the spring line, and tensile stress is prone to be generated at the spring line; the influence of slight fluctuations in the minimum temperature or the short shift in the coldest day on the frost heaving force is limited. A substantial increase in frost heaving force is observed with higher frost heave ratios; for example, an increase from 0.25% to 2.0% results in a 116% rise at the sidewall. Although the increase in the anisotropy coefficient of frost heave deformation does not change the overall distribution pattern of frost heaving force, it can exacerbate the directional concentration of frost heave strain, which can increase the frost heaving force at the periphery of the top arch of the lining. This study revealed the distribution pattern and key influencing factors of the freezing cycle and frost heaving force for tunnels, providing a theoretical basis and data reference for the frost resistance design of tunnels in cold regions. Full article

Temperature fluctuations caused by climate change and global warming pose a threat to fish. The burbot (lota lota) population is particularly sensitive to increased water temperature, but the systematic impacts of high-temperature exposure on their liver and intestinal health remain unclear. In January of 2025, we collected wild adult burbot individuals from the Ussuri River (water temperature: about 2 °C), China. The burbot were exposed to 2 °C, 7 °C, 12 °C, 17 °C, and 22 °C environments for 96 h; then, the liver and intestinal contents were subsequently collected for histopathology observation, immunohistochemistry, biochemical index assessment, and transcriptome/16S rDNA sequencing analysis. There was obvious liver damage including hepatocyte necrosis, fat vacuoles, and cellular peripheral nuclei. Superoxide dismutase (SOD), catalase (CAT), and glutathione peroxidase (GSH-Px) activities were elevated and subsequently decreased. Additionally, the malondialdehyde (MDA) level significantly increased with increasing temperature. These results indicate that 7 °C (heat stress temperature), 12 °C (tipping point for normal physiological metabolism status), 17 °C (tipping point for individual deaths), and 22 °C (thermal limit) are critical temperatures in terms of the physiological response of burbot during their breeding period. In the hepatic transcriptome profiling, 6538 differentially expressed genes (DEGs) were identified, while KEGG enrichment analysis showed that high-temperature stress could affect normal liver function by regulating energy metabolism, immune, and apoptosis-related pathways. Microbiomics also revealed that acute heat stress could change the intestinal microbe community structure. Additionally, correlation analysis suggested potential regulatory relationships between intestinal microbe taxa and immune/apoptosis-related DEGs in the liver. This study revealed the potential impact of environmental water temperature changes in cold habitats in winter on the physiological adaptability of burbot during the breeding period and provides new insights for the ecological protection of burbot in the context of global climate change and habitat warming. Full article

Legume crops are sensitive to shifting environmental conditions, as they depend on a narrow range of climatic stability for growth and nitrogen fixation. This research sought to assess the sustainability of Faba Asturiana (FA) cultivation under current and future climatic scenarios by establishing generalized linear mixed models (GLMMs). Specifically, it aimed to (1) investigate the effects of significant climatic stressors, including higher nighttime temperatures and extended drought periods, on crop viability, (2) analyze future scenarios based on Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5), and (3) recommend adaptive measures to mitigate threats. Six spatial GLMMs were developed, incorporating variables such as extreme temperatures, precipitation, and the drought duration. Under present-day conditions (1971–2000), all the models exhibited strong predictive performances (AUC: 0.840–0.887), with warm nights (tasminNa20) consistently showing a negative effect on suitability (coefficients: −0.58 to −1.16). Suitability projections under future climate scenarios revealed considerable variation among the developed models. Under RCP 4.5, Far Future, Model 1 projected a 7.9% increase in the mean suitability, while under RCP 8.5, Far Future, the same model showed a 78% decline. Models using extreme cold, drought, or precipitation as climatic stressors (e.g., Models 2–4) revealed the most significant suitability losses under RCP 8.5, with the reductions exceeding 90%. In contrast, comprising variables less affected by severe fluctuations, Model 6 showed relative stability in most of the developed scenarios. The model also produced the highest mean suitability (0.130 ± 0.207) in an extreme projective scenario. The results highlight that high night temperatures and prolonged drought periods are the most limiting factors for FA cultivation. ecological niche models (ENMs) performed well, with a mean AUC value of 0.991 (SD = 0.006) and a mean TSS of 0.963 (SD = 0.024). According to the modeling results, among the variables affecting the current distribution of Protected Geographical Indication-registered AF, prspellb1 (max consecutive dry days) had the highest effect of 28.3%. Applying advanced statistical analyses, this study provides important insights for policymakers and farmers, contributing to the long-term sustainability of PGI agroecosystems in a warming world. Full article

Amphibians are the most threatened vertebrates, yet their resilience in relation to growth and locomotor performance with rising temperatures remains poorly understood. Here, we chose a critically endangered amphibian—the Chinhai spiny newt (Echinotriton chinhaiensis)—as the study species and set four water temperature gradients (20 °C, 24 °C, 28 °C, and 32 °C) to simulate climate changes. The thermal performance to climate warming was quantified by measuring morphometric parameters, basal metabolic rate (oxygen consumption rate), and the locomotor performance of Chinhai spiny newt larvae. We found that the optimal temperature range for Chinhai spiny newt larvae is 24–28 °C. Within the temperature range of 24–28 °C, the growth, oxygen consumption rate, and locomotor performance of the larvae were positively correlated with temperature. High temperatures inhibited larval growth, oxygen consumption rate, and locomotor performance, and the temperature threshold was 32 °C. In addition, Chinhai spiny newt larvae are more sensitive to acute temperature changes, meaning that climate-driven extreme events (e.g., heatwaves and droughts) pose significant threats to their larvae. The optimal temperature range obtained from this study could guide artificial breeding and early warming; future studies should integrate controlled temperature fluctuations in order to understand the thermal adaption of this threatened species. Full article

Conventional asphalt is prone to cracking in cold climates due to its poor flexibility and limited ability to regulate temperature. This study investigates the use of low-temperature microencapsulated phase-change materials (MPCMs) to improve both the thermal storage and low-temperature performance of asphalt. MPCMs were incorporated into asphalt through physical blending at various concentrations. The physical, thermal, and rheological properties of the asphalt were then systematically evaluated. Tests included penetration, softening point, ductility, thermogravimetric analysis (TGA), and dynamic shear rheometer (DSR). The addition of MPCMs increased penetration and ductility. It slightly reduced the softening point and viscosity. These changes suggest improved flexibility and workability at low temperatures. Rheological tests showed reductions in rutting and fatigue factors. This indicates better resistance to thermal and mechanical stresses. Bending Beam Rheometer (BBR) results further confirmed that MPCMs lowered creep stiffness and increased the m-value. These findings demonstrate improved crack resistance under cold conditions. Thermal cycling tests also showed that MPCMs delayed the cooling process and reduced temperature fluctuations. This highlights their potential to enhance both energy efficiency and the durability of asphalt pavements in cold regions. Full article

This study investigates the spatio-temporal dynamics of Climate Potential Productivity (CPP) in Central Africa during 1901–2019 using the Thornthwaite Memorial model coupled with Mann–Kendall tests based on high spatial and temporal resolution data. The results demonstrate the climate–vegetation interactions under global warming: (1) Central Africa exhibited a statistically significant warming trend (r² = 0.33, p < 0.01) coupled with non-significant rainfall reduction, suggesting an emerging warm–dry climate regime that parallels meteorological trends observed in North Africa. (2) Central Africa exhibited an overall increasing trend in CPP, with temporal fluctuations closely aligned with precipitation variability. Specifically, the CPP in Central Africa has undergone three distinct phases: an increasing phase (1901–1960), a decreasing phase (1960–1980), and a slow recovery phase (1980–2019). The multiple intersection points between the UF and UB curves indicate that Central Africa’s CPP has been significantly affected by climate change under global warming. (3) The correlation of CPP–Temperature was mainly positive, mainly distributed in the Lower Guinea Plateau and the northern part of the Congo Basin (r² = 0.26, p < 0.1). The relationship of CPP–Precipitation showed predominantly a very strong positive correlation (r² = 0.91, p < 0.01). Full article

Fluctuating weather patterns challenge renewable energy stability in microgrids, making accurate load forecasting essential. This study focuses on power load forecasting in rural microgrids in the Diamond Harbour sector of Kolkata, India. The current research proposes long short-term memory for weather prediction and artificial neural networks for load forecasting under different climatic conditions. The result shows higher prediction accuracy (R²: 0.8852, MSE: 0.0043), outperforming GRU, SVM, ARIMA, and SARIMA, contributing to Sustainable Development Goals 7 and 13, which is essential for a sustainable and resilient power supply. Full article

In recent years, early olive fruit drop has been observed in the northern Mediterranean regions, causing significant economic losses, although the exact cause remains unknown. Recent studies have identified several possible causes; however, our understanding of how olive trees respond to these environmental stresses remains limited. This study includes an analysis of selected meteorological and flowering data for Olea europaea L. “Istrska belica” to evaluate the use of a chilling and forcing model for a better understanding of flowering time dynamics under a changing climate. The flowering process is influenced by high diurnal temperature ranges (DTRs) during the pre-flowering period, resulting in earlier flowering. Despite annual fluctuations due to various climatic factors, an increase in DTRs has been observed in recent decades, although the mechanisms by which olive trees respond to high DTRs remain unclear. The chilling requirements are still well met in the region (1500 ± 250 chilling units), although their total has declined over the years. According to the Chilling Hours Model, chilling units—referred to as chilling hours—represent the number of hours with temperatures between 0 and 7.2 °C, accumulated throughout the winter season. Growing degree hours (GDHs) are strongly correlated with the onset of flowering. These results suggest that global warming is already affecting the synchrony between olive tree phenology and environmental conditions in the northern Mediterranean and may be one of the reason for the green drop. Full article

A novel approach to managing domestic heating systems through IoT technologies is introduced in this paper. The system optimizes energy consumption by dynamically adapting to electricity and fuel price fluctuations while maintaining user comfort. Integrating smart devices significantly reduce energy costs and offer a favorable payback period, positioning the solution as both sustainable and economically viable. Efficient heating management is increasingly critical amid growing energy and environmental concerns. This strategy uses IoT devices to collect real-time data on prices, consumption, and user preferences. Based on this data, the system adjusts heating settings intelligently to balance comfort and cost savings. IoT connectivity manages continuous monitoring and dynamic optimization in response to changing conditions. This study includes a real-case comparison between a conventional central heating system and an IoT-managed electric radiator setup. By applying automation rules linked to energy pricing and user habits, the system enhances energy efficiency, especially in cold climates. The economic evaluation shows that using low-cost IoT devices yields meaningful savings and achieves equipment payback within approximately three years. The results demonstrate the system’s effectiveness, demonstrating that smart, adaptive heating solutions can cut energy expenses without sacrificing comfort, while offering environmental and financial benefits. Full article

Building-integrated photovoltaic (BIPV) windows present a viable path towards carbon neutrality in the building sector. However, conventional BIPV windows, such as semi-transparent photovoltaic (STPV) glazings, still suffer from inadequate thermal insulation, which limits their effectiveness across different climate conditions. To address this issue, the cadmium telluride-based vacuum PV glazing has been developed to enhance the thermal performance of BIPV applications. To fully understand the complex thermal behaviour under real-world operational scenarios, this study introduces a one-dimensional transient heat transfer model that can efficiently capture the time-dependent thermal dynamics of this novel glazing system. Based on the numerical solutions using the explicit finite difference method (FDM), the temperature profile of the vacuum PV glazing can be obtained dynamically. Consequently, the heat gain of the semi-transparent vacuum PV glazing can be calculated under time-varying outdoor and indoor conditions. The validated heat transfer model was applied under four different scenarios, viz. summer daytime, summer nighttime, winter daytime, and winter nighttime, to provide a detailed analysis of the dynamic thermal behaviour, including the temperature variation and the energy flow. The dynamic thermal characteristics of the vacuum PV glazing calculated by the transient heat transfer model demonstrate its excellent thermal insulation and solar control capabilities. Moreover, the thermal performance of vacuum PV glazing was compared with a standard double-pane window under various weather conditions of a typical summer day and a typical winter day. The results indicate that the vacuum PV glazing can effectively minimise both heat gain and heat loss. The fluctuation of the inner surface temperature can be controlled within a limited range away from the set point of the indoor room temperature. Therefore, the vacuum PV glazing contributes to stabilising the temperature of the indoor environment despite the fluctuating solar radiation and periodic outdoor temperature. It is suggested that the vacuum PV glazing has the potential to enhance the climate adaptability of BIPV windows under different climate backgrounds. Full article

Coastal blue carbon ecosystems (traditional types such as mangroves, salt marshes, and seagrass meadows; emerging types such as tidal flats and mariculture) play pivotal roles in capturing and storing atmospheric carbon dioxide. Reliable assessment of the spatial and temporal variation and the carbon storage potential holds immense promise for mitigating climate change. Although previous field surveys and regional assessments have improved the understanding of individual habitats, most studies remain site-specific and short-term; comprehensive, multi-decadal assessments that integrate all major coastal blue carbon systems at the national scale are still scarce for China. In this study, we integrated 30 m Landsat imagery (1992–2022), processed on Google Earth Engine with a random forest classifier; province-specific, literature-derived carbon density data with quantified uncertainty (mean ± standard deviation); and the InVEST model to track coastal China’s mangroves, salt marshes, tidal flats, and mariculture to quantify their associated carbon stocks. Then the GeoDetector was applied to distinguish the natural and anthropogenic drivers of carbon stock change. Results showed rapid and divergent land use change over the past three decades, with mariculture expanded by 44%, becoming the dominant blue carbon land use; whereas tidal flats declined by 39%, mangroves and salt marshes exhibited fluctuating upward trends. National blue carbon stock rose markedly from 74 Mt C in 1992 to 194 Mt C in 2022, with Liaoning, Shandong, and Fujian holding the largest provincial stock; Jiangsu and Guangdong showed higher increasing trends. The Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) was the primary driver of spatial variability in carbon stock change (q = 0.63), followed by precipitation and temperature. Synergistic interactions were also detected, e.g., NDVI and precipitation, enhancing the effects beyond those of single factors, which indicates that a wetter climate may boost NDVI’s carbon sequestration. These findings highlight the urgency of strengthening ecological red lines, scaling climate-smart restoration of mangroves and salt marshes, and promoting low-impact mariculture. Our workflow and driver diagnostics provide a transferable template for blue carbon monitoring and evidence-based coastal management frameworks. Full article

Image analysis is a valuable approach in a wide array of environmental applications. Mapping land cover categories depicted from satellite images enables the monitoring of landscape dynamics. Such a technique plays a key role for land management and predictive ecosystem modelling. Satellite-based mapping of environmental dynamics enables us to define factors that trigger these processes and are crucial for our understanding of Earth system processes. In this study, a reclassification scheme of image analysis was developed for mapping the adjusted categorisation of land cover types using multispectral remote sensing datasets and Geographic Resources Analysis Support System (GRASS) Geographic Information System (GIS) software. The data included four Landsat 8–9 satellite images on 2015, 2019, 2021 and 2023. The sequence of time series was used to determine land cover dynamics. The classification scheme consisting of 17 initial land cover classes was employed by logical workflow to extract 10 key land cover types of the coastal areas of Bab-el-Mandeb Strait, southern Red Sea. Special attention is placed to identify changes in the land categories regarding the thermal saline lake, Lake Assal, with fluctuating salinity and water levels. The methodology included the use of machine learning (ML) image analysis GRASS GIS modules ‘r.reclass’ for the reclassification of a raster map based on category values. Other modules included ‘r.random’, ‘r.learn.train’ and ‘r.learn.predict’ for gradient boosting ML classifier and ‘i.cluster’ and ‘i.maxlik’ for clustering and maximum-likelihood discriminant analysis. To reveal changes in the land cover categories around the Lake of Assal, this study uses ML and reclassification methods for image analysis. Auxiliary modules included ‘i.group’, ‘r.import’ and other GRASS GIS scripting techniques applied to Landsat image processing and for the identification of land cover variables. The results of image processing demonstrated annual fluctuations in the landscapes around the saline lake and changes in semi-arid and desert land cover types over Djibouti. The increase in the extent of semi-desert areas and the decrease in natural vegetation proved the processes of desertification of the arid environment in Djibouti caused by climate effects. The developed land cover maps provided information for assessing spatial–temporal changes in Djibouti. The proposed ML-based methodology using GRASS GIS can be employed for integrating techniques of image analysis for land management in other arid regions of Africa. Full article