Search Results (1,065)

Civil aviation safety remains a critical concern globally, with continuous efforts aimed at reducing accidents and fatalities. This paper focuses on the comprehensive evaluation of civil aviation safety in the Slovak Republic over the past several years, with the main objective of identifying prevailing trends and key risk factors. A comprehensive analysis of 155 accidents and incidents was conducted based on selected operational parameters. Logistic regression was applied to identify potential causal factors influencing various levels of injury severity in aviation accidents. Moreover, the prediction model can also be used to predict the probability of specific injury severity for accidents with given parameter values. The results indicate a clear declining trend in the annual number of aviation safety events; however, the fatality rate has stagnated or slightly increased in recent years. Human error, particularly mistakes and intentional violations of procedures, was identified as the dominant causal factor across all sectors of civil aviation, including flight operations, airport management, maintenance, and air navigation services. Despite technological advancements and regulatory improvements, human-related failures persist as a major safety challenge. The findings highlight the critical need for targeted strategies to mitigate human error and enhance overall aviation safety in the Slovak Republic. Full article

Traffic accidents pose a significant threat to public safety, resulting in numerous fatalities, injuries, and a substantial economic burden each year. The development of predictive models capable of the real-time forecasting of post-accident impact using readily available data can play a crucial role in preventing adverse outcomes and enhancing overall safety. However, existing accident predictive models encounter two main challenges: first, a reliance on either costly or non-real-time data, and second, the absence of a comprehensive metric to measure post-accident impact accurately. To address these limitations, this study proposes a deep neural network model known as the cascade model. It leverages readily available real-world data from Los Angeles County to predict post-accident impacts. The model consists of two components: Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) and a Convolutional Neural Network (CNN). The LSTM model captures temporal patterns, while the CNN extracts patterns from the sparse accident dataset. Furthermore, an external traffic congestion dataset is incorporated to derive a new feature called the “accident impact” factor, which quantifies the influence of an accident on surrounding traffic flow. Extensive experiments were conducted to demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed hybrid machine learning method in predicting the post-accident impact compared to state-of-the-art baselines. The results reveal a higher precision in predicting minimal impacts (i.e., cases with no reported accidents) and a higher recall in predicting more significant impacts (i.e., cases with reported accidents). Full article

This work focuses on the possibilities of generating synthetic data for machine learning in hazard prediction in area-based speed monitoring systems. The purpose of the research conducted was to develop a methodology for generating realistic synthetic data to support the design of a continuous vehicle speed monitoring system to minimize the risk of traffic accidents caused by speeding. The SUMO traffic simulator was used to model driver behavior in the analyzed area and within a given road network. Data from OpenStreetMap and field measurements from over a dozen speed detectors were integrated. Preliminary tests were carried out to record vehicle speeds. Based on these data, several simulation scenarios were run and compared to real-world observations using average speed, the percentage of speed limit violations, root mean square error (RMSE), and percentage compliance. A new metric, the Combined Speed Accuracy Score (CSAS), has been introduced to assess the consistency of simulation results with real-world data. For this study, a basic hazard prediction model was developed using LoRaWAN sensor network data and environmental contextual variables, including time, weather, location, and accident history. The research results in a method for evaluating and selecting the simulation scenario that best represents reality and drivers’ propensities to exceed speed limits. The results and findings demonstrate that it is possible to produce synthetic data with a level of agreement exceeding 90% with real data. Thus, it was shown that it is possible to generate synthetic data for machine learning in hazard prediction for area-based speed control systems using traffic simulators. Full article

This study is the first to systematically integrate supervised machine learning (decision tree) and association rule mining techniques to analyze accident data from the Taipei Metro system, conducting a large-scale data-driven investigation into both passenger injury and train malfunction events. The research demonstrates strong novelty and practical contributions. In the passenger injury analysis, a dataset of 3331 cases was examined, from which two highly explanatory rules were extracted: (i) elderly passengers (aged > 61) involved in station incidents are more likely to suffer moderate to severe injuries; and (ii) younger passengers (aged ≤ 61) involved in escalator incidents during off-peak hours are also at higher risk of severe injury. This is the first study to quantitatively reveal the interactive effect of age and time of use on injury severity. In the train malfunction analysis, 1157 incidents with delays exceeding five minutes were analyzed. The study identified high-risk condition combinations—such as those involving rolling stock, power supply, communication, and signaling systems—associated with specific seasons and time periods (e.g., a lift value of 4.0 for power system failures during clear mornings from 06:00–12:00, and 3.27 for communication failures during summer evenings from 18:00–24:00). These findings were further cross-validated with maintenance records to uncover underlying causes, including brake system failures, cable aging, and automatic train operation (ATO) module malfunctions. Targeted preventive maintenance recommendations were proposed. Additionally, the study highlighted existing gaps in the completeness and consistency of maintenance records, recommending improvements in documentation standards and data auditing mechanisms. Overall, this research presents a new paradigm for intelligent metro system maintenance and safety prediction, offering substantial potential for broader adoption and practical application. Full article

As traffic accidents caused by black ice during the winter continue to occur, there is a growing need for technologies that enable drivers to recognize and respond to black ice in advance. In particular, to reduce major accidents and associated casualties, it is essential to provide timely information and prevent incidents through accurate prediction. This paper proposes an artificial intelligence (AI) technology capable of detecting and predicting black ice using multimodal data. The study aims to enable a preemptive response in the field of digital disaster safety and discusses the applicability and effectiveness of the proposed approach in real-world road environments. Full article

Hydrogen is a potential key component of a carbon-neutral energy carrier and an input to marine industrial processes. This study examines the consequences of coupled hydrogen release and marine environmental factors during floating photovoltaic hydrogen production (FPHP) system failures. A validated three-dimensional numerical model of FPHP comprehensively characterizes hydrogen leakage dynamics under varied rupture diameters (25, 50, 100 mm), transient release duration, dispersion patterns, and wind intensity effects (0–20 m/s sea-level velocities) on hydrogen–air vapor clouds. FLACS-generated data establish the concentration–dispersion distance relationship, with numerical validation confirming predictive accuracy for hydrogen storage tank failures. The results indicate that the wind velocity and rupture size significantly influence the explosion risk; 100 mm ruptures elevate the explosion risk, producing vapor clouds that are 40–65% larger than 25 mm and 50 mm cases. Meanwhile, increased wind velocities (>10 m/s) accelerate hydrogen dilution, reducing the high-concentration cloud volume by 70–84%. Hydrogen jet orientation governs the spatial overpressure distribution in unconfined spaces, leading to considerable shockwave consequence variability. Photovoltaic modules and inverters of FPHP demonstrate maximum vulnerability to overpressure effects; these key findings can be used in the design of offshore platform safety. This study reveals fundamental accident characteristics for FPHP reliability assessment and provides critical insights for safety reinforcement strategies in maritime hydrogen applications. Full article

This study developed and validated an integrated theoretical framework combining the Theory of Planned Behavior (TPB) and the Technology Acceptance Model (TAM) to investigate how driving assistance technologies (DATs) influence risky driving behaviors among young urban Chinese drivers. Based on this framework, we proposed and tested several hypotheses regarding the effects of psychological and technological factors on risky driving intentions and behaviors. A survey was conducted with 495 young drivers in Shaoguan, Guangdong Province, examining psychological factors, technology acceptance, and their influence on risky driving behaviors. Structural equation modeling revealed that the integrated TPB-TAM explained 58.3% of the variance in behavioral intentions and 42.6% of the variance in actual risky driving behaviors, significantly outperforming single-theory models. Attitudes toward risky driving (β = 0.287) emerged as the strongest TPB predictor of behavioral intentions, while perceived usefulness (β = −0.172) and perceived ease of use (β = −0.113) of driving assistance technologies negatively influenced risky driving intentions. Multi-group analysis identified significant gender and driving experience differences. Logistic regression analyses demonstrated that model constructs significantly predicted actual traffic violations and accidents. These findings provide theoretical insights into risky driving determinants and practical guidance for developing targeted interventions and effective traffic safety policies for young drivers in urban China. Full article

Background: Renal trauma accounts for approximately 3–5% of all trauma cases, predominantly affecting young males. The most common etiology is blunt trauma, particularly due to road traffic accidents, and it frequently occurs as part of polytrauma involving multiple organ systems. Management strategies are primarily dictated by hemodynamic stability, overall clinical condition, comorbidities, and injury severity graded according to the AAST classification. This study aimed to evaluate the effectiveness of non-operative management (NOM) in high-grade renal trauma (AAST grades III–V), beyond its established role in low-grade injuries (grades I–II). Secondary endpoints included the identification of independent prognostic factors for NOM failure and in-hospital mortality. Methods: We conducted a retrospective observational study including patients diagnosed with blunt renal trauma who presented to the Emergency Department of Policlinico Umberto I in Rome between 1 January 2013 and 30 April 2024. Collected data comprised demographics, trauma mechanism, vital signs, hemodynamic status (shock index), laboratory tests, blood gas analysis, hematuria, number of transfused RBC units in the first 24 h, AAST renal injury grade, ISS, associated injuries, treatment approach, hospital length of stay, and mortality. Statistical analyses, including multivariable logistic regression, were performed using SPSS v28.0. Results: A total of 244 patients were included. Low-grade injuries (AAST I–II) accounted for 43% (n = 105), while high-grade injuries (AAST III–V) represented 57% (n = 139). All patients with low-grade injuries were managed non-operatively. Among high-grade injuries, 124 patients (89%) were treated with NOM, including observation, angiography ± angioembolization, stenting, or nephrostomy. Only 15 patients (11%) required nephrectomy, primarily due to persistent hemodynamic instability. The overall mortality rate was 13.5% (33 patients) and was more closely associated with the overall injury burden than with renal injury severity. Multivariable analysis identified shock index and active bleeding on CT as independent predictors of NOM failure, whereas ISS and age were significant predictors of in-hospital mortality. Notably, AAST grade did not independently predict either outcome. Conclusions: In line with the current international literature, our study confirms that NOM is the treatment of choice not only for low-grade renal injuries but also for carefully selected hemodynamically stable patients with high-grade trauma. Our findings highlight the critical role of physiological parameters and overall ISS in guiding management decisions and underscore the need for individualized assessment to minimize unnecessary nephrectomies and optimize patient outcomes. Full article

Concrete is a fundamental material in structural engineering, widely used in critical infrastructure such as bridges, nuclear power plants, and dams. These structures may be subjected to extreme dynamic loads resulting from natural disasters, industrial accidents, or missile impacts. Therefore, a comprehensive understanding of concrete behavior under high strain rates is essential for safe and resilient design. Experimental investigations, particularly spalling tests, have highlighted the strain-rate sensitivity of concrete in dynamic tensile loading conditions. This study presents a macroscopic 3D discrete element model specifically developed to simulate the dynamic response of concrete subjected to extreme loading. Unlike conventional continuum-based models, the proposed discrete element framework is particularly suited to capturing damage and fracture mechanisms in cohesive materials. A key innovation lies in incorporating a physically grounded strain-rate dependency directly into the local cohesive laws that govern inter-element interactions. The originality of this work is further underlined by the validation of the discrete element model under dynamic tensile loading through the simulation of spalling tests on normalstrength concrete at strain rates representative of severe impact scenarios (30–115 s⁻¹). After calibrating the model under quasi-static loading, the simulations accurately reproduce key experimental outcomes, including rear-face velocity profiles and failure characteristics. Combined with prior validations under high confining pressure, this study reinforces the capability of the discrete element method for modeling concrete subjected to extreme dynamic loading, offering a robust tool for predictive structural assessment and design. Full article

With the global increase in maritime activities, the frequency of maritime accidents has risen, underscoring the urgent need for faster and more efficient search and rescue (SAR) solutions. This study presents an intelligent unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV)-based maritime rescue system that combines GPS-driven dynamic path planning with vision-based dual-target detection and tracking. Developed within the Gazebo simulation environment and based on modular ROS architecture, the system supports stable takeoff and smooth transitions between multi-rotor and fixed-wing flight modes. An external command module enables real-time waypoint updates. This study proposes three path-planning schemes based on the characteristics of drones. Comparative experiments have demonstrated that the triangular path is the optimal route. Compared with the other schemes, this path reduces the flight distance by 30–40%. Robust target recognition is achieved using a darknet-ROS implementation of the YOLOv4 model, enhanced with data augmentation to improve performance in complex maritime conditions. A monocular vision-based ranging algorithm ensures accurate distance estimation and continuous tracking of rescue vessels. Furthermore, a dual-target-tracking algorithm—integrating motion prediction with color-based landing zone recognition—achieves a 96% success rate in precision landings under dynamic conditions. Experimental results show a 4% increase in the overall mission success rate compared to traditional SAR methods, along with significant gains in responsiveness and reliability. This research delivers a technically innovative and cost-effective UAV solution, offering strong potential for real-world maritime emergency response applications. Full article

The Dangerous Goods Transportation (DGT) presents significant challenges, requiring a strong and systematic risk assessment framework to ensure the safety and efficiency of the supply chain. This study addresses a critical gap by integrating a deterministic and holistic approach to risk assessment and management. Utilizing Geographic Information Systems (GIS), meteorological data, and material-specific information, the research develops a data-driven approach to identify analyze, evaluate, and mitigate risks associated with DGT. The main objectives include monitoring dangerous goods flows to identify critical risk areas, optimizing emergency response using a shared model, and providing targeted training for stakeholders involved in DGT. The study leverages Information and Communication Technologies (ICT) to systematically collect, interpret, and evaluate data, producing detailed risk scenario maps. These maps are instrumental in identifying vulnerable areas, predicting potential accidents, and assessing the effectiveness of risk management strategies. This work introduces an innovative GIS-based risk assessment model that combines static and dynamic data to address various aspects of DGT, including hazard identification, accident prevention, and real-time decision support. The results contribute to enhancing safety protocols and provide actionable insights for policymakers and practitioners aiming to improve the resilience of technological systems for road transport networks handling dangerous goods. Full article

Mathematical modeling and computer visualization of hazardous zones of toxic substance cloud spread that occur during different accidents at industrial enterprises located near residential areas are in high demand to support the operational planning of evacuation measures and accident response. The possible chain-like nature of fires and explosions of containers with toxic substances inside increases the importance of predicting changes in hazardous zone parameters in real time. The objective of this study is to develop algorithms for the development of a mathematical model of a hazardous zone during an explosion and fire at an enterprise. The subject of this study is a software tool created for the visualization of hazardous substance emission zones in real time, superimposed onto a development map to determine potential damage to human health and for the operational planning of evacuation measures. The proposed model takes into account variables such as the air temperature, wind speed and direction, the mass of the substance at each explosion and fire site, etc. C# and Visual Studio 2022 languages and an SQL database were used to create a software tool for visualizing the hazardous area. The testing of the calculation model and software used for the visualization of the hazardous zones of toxic substance cloud spread are presented on the basis of explosion cases involving a railway tank containing ammonia and the combustion of polyvinyl chloride at a chemical industry enterprise. The results confirmed the operability of the software and the prospects of its use in regard to the mitigation of the consequences of human-made accidents. Full article

Chemical leakage accidents in chemical industrial parks pose significant threats to personnel safety, particularly during evacuation processes, where individual behavior and evacuation strategies have a considerable impact on overall efficiency. This study takes a leakage incident at an alkylation unit as a case study. First, ALOHA5.4.7 software was used to simulate the influence of meteorological conditions across different seasons on the dispersion range of toxic gases, thereby generating an annual comprehensive risk zone distribution map. Subsequently, different evacuation scenarios were constructed in Pathfinder2024.1.0605, with the integration of trigger mechanisms to simulate individual behaviors during evacuation, such as variations in risk perception and peer influence. Furthermore, this study expanded the conventional application scope of Pathfinder—typically limited to small-scale building evacuations—by successfully adapting it for large-scale evacuation simulations in chemical industrial parks. The feasibility of such simulations was thereby demonstrated, highlighting the software’s potential. According to the simulation results, exit configuration, shelter placement, and individual behavior modeling significantly affect the total evacuation time. This study provides both theoretical insights and practical guidance for emergency response planning in chemical industrial parks. Full article

Transformer-based models have demonstrated outstanding performance in trajectory prediction; however, their complex architecture demands substantial computing power, and their performance degrades significantly in long-term prediction. A transformer model was developed to predict vehicle trajectory in urban low-speed T-intersections. Microscopic traffic simulation data were generated to train the trajectory-prediction model; furthermore, validation data focusing on atypical scenarios were also produced. The appropriate loss function to improve prediction accuracy was explored, and the optimal input/output sequence length for efficient data management was examined. Various driving-characteristics data were employed to evaluate the model’s generalization performance. Consequently, the smooth L1 loss function showed outstanding performance. The optimal length for the input and output sequences was found to be 1 and 3 s, respectively, for trajectory prediction. Additionally, improving the model structure—rather than diversifying the training data—is necessary to enhance generalization performance in atypical driving situations. Finally, this study confirmed that the additional features such as vehicle position and speed variation extracted from the original trajectory data decreased the model accuracy by about 21%. These findings contribute to the development of applicable lightweight models in edge computing infrastructure to be installed at intersections, as well as the development of a trajectory prediction and accident analysis system for various scenarios. Full article

Roof water inrush accidents in coal mine driving roadways occur frequently in China, accounting for a high proportion of major coal mine water hazard accidents and causing serious losses. Aiming at the lack of research on the mechanism of roof water inrush in driving roadways and the difficulty of predicting water inrush accidents, this paper constructs a local damage criterion for coal–rock mass and a seepage–fracture coupling model based on peridynamics (PD) bond theory. It identifies three zones of water-conducting channels in roadway surrounding rock, the water fracture zone, the driving fracture zone, and the water-resisting zone, revealing that the damage degree of the water-resisting zone dominates the transformation mechanism between delayed and instantaneous water inrush. A discriminant function for the effectiveness of water-conducting channels is established, and a single-index prediction and evaluation system based on damage critical values is proposed. A “geometry damage” dual-control water inrush prediction model within the PD framework is constructed, along with a non-local action mechanism model and quantitative prediction method for water inrush. Case studies verify the threshold for delayed water inrush and criteria for instantaneous water inrush. The research results provide theoretical tools for roadway water exploration design and water hazard prevention and control. Full article