Search Results (179)

The online coupling of aerosols and clouds and its effect on surface global horizontal irradiance (GHI) has not yet been thoroughly investigated in the Weather Research and Forecasting Model with Solar extensions (WRF-Solar), despite its potential significance for solar energy applications. This study addresses this critical gap by implementing a computationally efficient, coupled aerosol–cloud scheme and evaluating its impacts on GHI predictability. Simulations with online aerosol–cloud coupling are systematically compared to uncoupled simulations during March 2021, a period marked by two distinct pollution episodes over north China. The online coupling enhances aerosol optical depth (AOD) simulations, increasing the correlation coefficient from 0.19 to 0.51 while reducing the absolute bias from 0.54 to 0.48 and root mean square error from 0.82 to 0.72, compared to uncoupled simulations. Enhanced cloud microphysics (droplet concentration, water path) yields better cloud optical depth estimates, reducing all-sky GHI bias by 14.5% (63.5 W/m² for the uncoupled scenario and 54.3 W/m² for the coupled scenario) through improved aerosol–cloud–meteorology interactions. Notably, the simultaneous spatiotemporal improvement of both AOD and GHI suggests enhanced internal consistency in aerosol–cloud–radiation interactions, which is crucial for operational solar irradiance forecasting in pollution-prone regions. The results also highlight the practical value of incorporating online aerosol coupling in solar forecasting models. Full article

Since dust aerosols are one of the major pollutants in Georgia, it is important to study the aeolian desert dust (ADD) invasion to Georgia from the neighboring deserts to find out its contribution to the dust pollution problem. Therefore, the main objective of this study is to investigate the history, frequency and routes of ADD invasions to the Caucasus (Georgia) using modern models and technologies for 1.5 years. Using WRF-Chem/dust, CAMS and HYSPLIT mathematical models; MODIS satellite images; and PM10 field data, 38 cases of not strong ADD invasions to Georgia were found, and two typical cases are presented and analyzed in this paper. The results of the modeling studies from 15 March 2023 to 15 September 2024 showed that the WRF-Chem/dust (GOCART) v.4.5.1 model simulated the ADD transport to Georgia from the surrounding deserts quite well. Daily monitoring of ADD migration routes showed that in the easternmost region of Georgia (the most vinicultural and agricultural region), the number of ADD invasions was approximately three times higher than in other regions of Georgia, which is a novelty of this study due to the lack of ground dust measurement stations in the easternmost region of Georgia. Full article

Cities house more than half of the world’s population and are responsible for more than 70% of the world anthropogenic CO₂ emissions. Therefore, quantifications of emissions from major cities, which are only less than a hundred intense emitting spots across the globe, should allow us to monitor changes in global fossil fuel CO₂ emissions in an independent, objective way. The study adopted a high-spatiotemporal-resolution regional assimilation method using satellite observation data and atmospheric transport model WRF-Chem/DART to assimilate CO₂ concentration and fluxes in Lisbon, a major city in Portugal. It is based on Zhang’s assimilation method, combined OCO-2 XCO₂ retrieval data, ODIAC 1 km anthropogenic CO₂ emissions and Ensemble Adjustment Kalman Filter Assimilation. By employing three two-way nested domains in WRF-Chem, we refined the spatial resolution of the CO₂ concentrations and fluxes over Lisbon to 3 km. The spatiotemporal distribution characteristics and main driving factors of CO₂ concentrations and fluxes in Lisbon and its surrounding cities and countries were analyzed in March 2020, during the period affected by COVID-19 pandemic. The results showed that the monthly average CO₂ and XCO₂ concentrations in Lisbon were 420.66 ppm and 413.88 ppm, respectively, and the total flux was 0.50 Tg CO₂. From a wider perspective, the findings provide a scientific foundation for urban carbon emission management and policy-making. Full article

Surface ozone (O₃) is a multifaceted threat that not only deteriorates the environment but also poses risks to human health. Here, we estimated the seamless hourly surface O₃ in China using Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) with multisource data fusion to investigate spatiotemporal differences in O₃ during multistage COVID-19, and the response of O₃ variation to meteorology and emissions were explored using Shapley Additive Explanations (SHAP) and WRF-Chem. The results indicate that the optimized model demonstrated higher accuracy, with CV-R² of 0.96–0.97 and RMSE of 4.58–5.00 μg/m³. Benefitting from the full coverage of the dataset, the underestimated O₃ was corrected and hotspots of short-term O₃ pollution events were successfully captured. O₃ increased by 16.8% during the lockdown, with high values clustered in the north and west, attributed to the weakened urban NOx titration resulting from reduced emissions. During the control and regulation period, O₃ levels declined year by year. O₃ exhibited significant fluctuations in the Pearl River Delta but remained stable in western China, with both regions demonstrating high sensitivity to meteorological variability. Among these, solar radiation and temperature were the key meteorological factors. The seamless high-resolution O₃ datasets will enable more insightful analyses regarding the spatiotemporal characterization and cause analysis. Full article

This study investigates the impact of desert dust on precipitation patterns using multi-model simulations. Dust-based processes of formation/removal of ice nuclei (IN) and cloud condensation nuclei (CCN) are investigated by using both the online access model WRF-CHIMERE and the online integrated model WRF-Chem. Comparisons of model predictions with rainfall measurements (GRISO: Spatial Interpolation Generator from Rainfall Observations) over the Italian peninsula show the models’ ability to reproduce heavy orographic precipitation in alpine regions. To quantify the impact of the mineral dust transport concomitant to the atmospheric river (AR) on cloud formation, a sensitivity study is performed by using the WRF-CHIMERE model (i) by setting dust concentrations to zero and (ii) by modifying the settings of the Thompson Aerosol-Aware microphysics scheme. Statistical comparisons revealed that WRF-CHIMERE outperformed WRF-Chem. It achieved a correlation coefficient of up to 0.77, mean bias (MB) between +3.56 and +5.01 mm/day, and lower RMSE and MAE values (~32 mm and ~22 mm, respectively). Conversely, WRF-Chem displayed a substantial underestimation, with an MB of −25.22 mm/day and higher RMSE and MAE values. Our findings show that, despite general agreement in spatial precipitation patterns, both models significantly underestimated the peak daily rainfall in pre-alpine regions (e.g., 216 mm observed at Malga Valine vs. 130–140 mm simulated, corresponding to a 35–40% underestimation). Although important instantaneous changes in precipitation and temperature were modeled at a local scale, no significant total changes in precipitation or air temperature averaged over the entire domain were observed. These results underline the complexity of aerosol–cloud interactions and the need for improved parameterizations in coupled meteorological models. Full article

PM_2.5 pollution poses significant risks to human health and the environment, underscoring the importance of accurate PM_2.5 simulation. This study simulated a representative PM_2.5 pollution event using the Weather Research and Forecasting model coupled with chemistry (WRF-Chem), incorporating the assimilation of infrared atmospheric motion vector (AMV) data from the Fengyun-4A (FY-4A) satellite. A comprehensive analysis was conducted to examine the meteorological characteristics of the event and their influence on PM_2.5 concentration simulations. The results demonstrate that the assimilation of FY-4A infrared AMV data significantly enhanced the simulation performance of meteorological variables, particularly improving the wind field and capturing local and small-scale wind variations. Moreover, PM_2.5 concentrations simulated with AMV assimilation showed improved spatial and temporal agreement with ground-based observations, reducing the root mean square error (RMSE) by 8.2% and the mean bias (MB) by 15.2 µg/m³ relative to the control (CTL) experiment. In addition to regional improvements, the assimilation notably enhanced PM_2.5 simulation accuracy in severely polluted cities, such as Tangshan and Tianjin. Mechanistic analysis revealed that low wind speeds and weak atmospheric divergence restricted pollutant dispersion, resulting in higher near-surface concentrations. This was exacerbated by cooler nighttime temperatures and a lower planetary boundary layer height (PBLH). These findings underscore the utility of assimilating satellite-derived wind products to enhance regional air quality modeling and forecasting accuracy. This study highlights the potential of FY-4A infrared AMV data in improving regional pollution simulations, offering scientific support for the application of next-generation Chinese geostationary satellite data in numerical air quality forecasting. Full article

The objective of this article is to conduct a review to analyze global trends in the use of air pollution models under the influence of climate variability (CV) over urban areas. Five scientific databases were used (2013–2024): Scopus, ScienceDirect, SpringerLink, Web of Science, and Google Scholar. The frequency of citations of the variables of interest in the selected scientific databases was analyzed by means of an index using quartiles (Q). The results showed a hierarchy in the use of models: regional climate models/RCMs (Q3) > statistical models/SMs (Q3) > chemical transport models/CTMs (Q4) > machine learning models/MLMs (Q4) > atmospheric dispersion models/ADMs (Q4). RCMs, such as WRF, were essential for generating high-resolution projections of air pollution, crucial for local impact assessments. SMs, such as GAM, excelled in modeling nonlinear relationships between air pollutants and climate variables. CTMs, such as WRF-Chem, simulated detailed atmospheric chemical processes vital for understanding pollutant formation and transport. MLMs, such as ANNs, improved the accuracy of predictions and uncovered complex patterns. ADMs, such as HYSPLIT, evaluated air pollutant dispersion, informing regulatory strategies. The most studied pollutants globally were O₃ (Q3) > PM (Q3) > VOCs (Q4) > NOx (Q4) > SO₂ (Q4), with models adapting to their specific characteristics. Temperature emerged as the dominant climate variable, followed by wind, precipitation, humidity, and solar radiation. There was a clear differentiation in the selection of models and variables between high- and low-income countries. CTMs predominated in high-income countries, driven by their ability to simulate complex physicochemical processes, while SMs were preferred in low-income countries, due to their simplicity and lower resource requirements. Temperature was the main climate variable, and precipitation stood out in low-income countries for its impact on PM removal. VOCs were the most studied pollutant in high-income countries, and NOx in low-income countries, reflecting priorities and technical capabilities. The coupling between regional atmospheric models and city-scale air quality models was vital; future efforts should emphasize intra-urban models for finer urban pollution resolution. This study highlights how national resources and priorities influence air pollution research over cities under the influence of CV. Full article

Combined air pollution of ozone and PM_2.5 often occurs in coal-based cities of China such as Taiyuan City. In this study, the Weather Research and Forecasting/Chemistry (WRF-Chem) model was employed to simulate a combined high air pollution event of ozone and PM_2.5 in Taiyuan City from 20 May to 29 May 2015,with the maximum daily 8-hour average (MDA8) for ozone exceeding 140 ppbv and PM_2.5 concentrations surpassing $200\mu \mathrm{g}{\mathrm{m}}^{-3}$. We further investigated the drivers of the combined air pollution in Taiyuan during the polluted period. The simulation results showed that the model can well simulate the combined pollution event in Taiyuan, with assessment parameters within reasonable ranges. Moreover, by analyzing the observational data and simulations, the major factors causing the PM_2.5 pollution in Taiyuan during this time period were suggested to be local emissions and pollutant transport from the North China Plain (NCP) located to the east of Taiyuan. In addition, unfavorable meteorological and geographical conditions in Taiyuan also play important roles in forming severe PM_2.5 pollution. Regarding the ozone pollution in Taiyuan, we suggest that the mechanism dominating the pollution event is that of ozone-rich air being transported to Taiyuan at high altitudes and then mixed downwards, resulting in an increase of the ground-level ozone in Taiyuan. Furthermore, we found local emissions and emissions from Taiyuan Basin and Henan Province, which are located to the south of Taiyuan, contributing significantly to the ozone pollution in Taiyuan City during this time. Full article

Reducing anthropogenic fossil fuel CO₂ (FFCO₂) emissions in urban areas is key to mitigating climate change. To better understand the spatial characteristics and temporal variations in urban CO₂ levels in the Beijing (BJ) region, we conducted a long-term CO₂ simulation study by using the Weather Research and Forecasting WRF-Chem model and CO₂ observation data. To assess the model performance, three representative sites with high-precision CO₂ observation data were chosen in this study: the rural regional background Shangdianzi (SDZ) site, the suburban Xianghe (XH) site, and the urban BJ site. The simulation results generally captured the observed variations at these three sites, but the model performed much better at the SDZ and XH sites, with mean biases of −0.7 ppm and −2.3 ppm, respectively, and RMSE of 12.3 ppm and 21.4 ppm, respectively. The diurnal variations in the model results agreed well with those in the observed CO₂ concentrations at the SDZ and XH sites during all seasons. In the meanwhile, the diurnal variations in the modeled FFCO₂ were similar to those in the CO₂ observation with a positive bias at the BJ site, which may have been caused by higher emissions especially in winter. Moreover, both the modeled FFCO₂ and biospheric CO₂ (BIOCO₂) have positive correlations with the observed CO₂ concentration, whereas the planetary boundary layer height (PBLH) and observed CO₂ concentration exhibited negative correlations at all sites. In addition, the contributions of FFCO₂ and BIOCO₂ to CO₂ varies depending on the seasons and the location of sites. Full article

The northern slope of the Tibetan Plateau (TP) is the crucial affected area for dust originating from the Taklimakan Desert (TD). However, few studies have focused on the meteorological element responses to TD dust over different surface types near the TP. Satellite data and the Weather Research and Forecasting model coupled with chemistry (WRF-Chem) were used to analyze the dust being transported from the TD to the TP and its effect from 30 July to 2 August 2016. In the TD, the middle-upper dust layer weakened the solar radiation reaching the lower dust layer, which reduced the temperature within the planetary boundary layer (PBL) during daytime. At night, the dust’s thermal preservation effect increased temperatures within the PBL and decreased temperatures at approximately 0.5 to 2.5 km above PBL. In the TP without snow cover, dust concentration was one-fifth of the TD, while the cooling layer intensity was comparable to the TD. However, within the PBL, the lower concentration and thickness of dust allowed dust to heat atmospheric continuously throughout the day. In the TP with snow cover, dust diminished planetary albedo, elevating temperatures above 6 km, hastening snow melting, which absorbed latent heat and increased the atmospheric water vapor content, consequently decreasing temperatures below 6 km. Surface meteorological element responses to dust varied significantly across different surface types. In the TD, 2 m temperature (T₂) decreased by 0.4 °C during daytime, with the opposite nighttime variation. In the TP without snow cover, T₂ was predominantly warming. In the snow-covered TP, T₂ decreased throughout the day, with a maximum cooling of 1.12 °C and decreased PBL height by up to 258 m. Additionally, a supplementary simulation of a dust event from 17 June to 19 June 2016 further validated our findings. The meteorological elements response to dust is significantly affected by the dust concentration, thickness, and surface type, with significant day–night differences, suggesting that surface types and dust distribution should be considered in dust effect studies to improve the accuracy of climate predictions. Full article

PM_2.5 levels increase in cities during the first hours of the year due to combustion activities and the use of fireworks. In Quito (2800 masl), the capital of Ecuador, air quality records at the beginning of 2020 to 2025 (6 years) ranged between 13.4 and 217.8 µg m⁻³ (maximum mean levels for 24 h), most of them being higher than 15.0 µg m⁻³, the current recommended concentration by the World Health Organization (WHO), highlighting the need to decrease these emissions and promote actions to reduce the exposure to these extreme events. Air pollution forecasting as a preventive warning system could help achieve this objective. Therefore, the primary aim of this research was to analyze the variation in PM_2.5 levels in this city during the initial hours of the year to define, through numerical experiments, the spatiotemporal configuration of PM_2.5 emissions to reproduce the observed PM_2.5 levels and obtain insights to build an emission-based forecasting tool. For this purpose, we modeled atmospheric variables and the PM_2.5 levels using the Weather Research and Forecasting with Chemistry (WRF-Chem) model. Consistent with the behavior suggested by records of associated meteorological variables, the modeled planetary boundary layer height (PBLH) was generally lower in the city’s south compared with the center and the north. The records and modeled results indicated that in the south, the higher PM_2.5 levels were produced by higher emissions and lower values of the PBLH compared with the center and north, highlighting the importance of reducing the PM_2.5 emissions. The emission maps used for modeling the dispersion at the beginning of 2024 and 2025 are proposed as inputs for the future forecasting of the PM_2.5 levels at the start of the year, as preventive information for the public, to discourage, in advance, both combustion activities and the use of fireworks and to take action to avoid exposure. Full article

Having good replication of the soil moisture evolution is desirable to properly simulate the dust emissions and atmospheric dust load because soil moisture increases the cohesive forces of soil particles, modulating the wind erosion threshold above which emissions occur. To reduce errors, one can use soil moisture retrievals from space-borne microwave radiometers. Here, we explore the potential of inserting soil moisture retrievals from the Soil Moisture Active Passive (SMAP) satellite into the Weather Research and Forecasting model coupled with Chemistry (WRF-Chem) to improve dust simulations. We focus our analysis on the contiguous U.S. due to the presence of important dust sources and good observational networks. Our analysis extends over the first year of SMAP retrievals (1 April 2015–31 March 2016) to cover the annual soil moisture variability and go beyond extreme events, such as dust storms, in order to provide a statistically robust characterization of the potential added value of the soil moisture retrievals. We focus on the Goddard Chemistry Aerosol Radiation and Transport (GOCART) model from the Air Force Weather Agency (GOCART-AFWA) dust emission parameterization that represents soil moisture modulations of the wind erosion threshold with a parameterization developed by fitting observations. The dust emissions are overestimated by the GOCART-AFWA parameterization and result in an overestimation of the aerosol optical depth (AOD). Sensitivity experiments show that emissions reduced to 25% in the GOCART-AFWA simulations largely reduced the AOD bias over the Southwest and lead to better agreement with the standard WRF-Chem parameterization of dust emissions (GOCART) and with observations. Comparisons of GOCART-AFWA simulations with emissions reduced to 25% with and without SMAP soil moisture insertion show added value of the retrievals, albeit small, over the dust sources. These results highlight the importance of accurate dust emission parameterizations when evaluating the impact of remotely sensed soil moisture data on numerical weather prediction models. Full article

Dust is one of the most important problems of human societies in arid and semi-arid areas. This study analyzed the rising and propagation of the dust storm occurring from 21 to 23 May 2016 in Isfahan province (Central Iran) by using the WRF-Chem and HYSPLIT models. The dust storm was visualized using visible imagery and coarse-mode aerosol optical depth data from satellite sensor data, and dust emission and transport were simulated for Central Iran by using WRF-Chem with the AFWA and GOCART schemes. The results show that the dust concentration in Sistan and Baluchistan province and the Persian Gulf was as high as 2000 µg/m³, and both schemes estimate the highest amount of dust emissions from the central parts of Iran and the eastern part of Isfahan province. PM10 data of Yazd station was used to verify the model outputs, which showed that the AFWA dust scheme has a higher correlation coefficient with observations (0.62) than the GOCART dust scheme. This case study suggests that WRF-Chem dust schemes simulate dust rising and propagation in Central Iran with reasonably good reliability, though further determination and enhancement are still required for an accurate prediction of dust concentration and extents. Full article

Accurate identification of dust emission sources is crucial for simulating dust aerosols in atmospheric chemical models. Therefore, a dynamically updated dust source function (DSF) was developed within the dust emission scheme of the Weather Research and Forecasting model coupled with chemistry (WRF-Chem) to simulate an East Asian dust storm event from 13 to 16 March 2021. Utilizing satellite-derived input of vegetation cover, snow cover, soil texture, and land use, the DSF was updated to better identify dust source areas over bare soils and sparsely vegetated regions in western China and central-western Mongolia. With the updated DSF, simulated dust emissions increase significantly over western China and Mongolia. The dust aerosol simulations demonstrate substantial improvements in near-surface PM₁₀ concentrations, a better agreement with remotely sensed dust aerosol optical depth (DOD), and a more accurate representation of the vertical distribution of dust extinction coefficients compared to observations. This study highlights the importance of integrating real-time data to accurately characterize dust emission sources, thereby improving atmospheric environment simulations. Full article

We used WRF-Chem to simulate ash transport from eruptions of Chile’s Calbuco volcano on 22–23 April 2015. Massive ash and SO₂ ejections reached the upper troposphere, and particulates transported over South America were observed over Argentina, Uruguay, and Brazil via satellite and surface data. Numerical simulations with the coupled Weather Research and Forecasting–Chemistry (WRF-Chem) model from 22 to 27 April covered eruptions and particle propagation. Chemical and aerosol parameters utilized the GOCART (Goddard Chemistry Aerosol Radiation and Transport) model, while the meteorological conditions came from NCEP-FNL reanalysis. In WRF-Chem, we implemented a more efficient methodology to determine the Eruption Source Parameters (ESP). This permitted each simulation to consider a sequence of eruptions and a time varying ESP, such as the eruption height and mass and the SO₂ eruption rate. We used two simulations (GCTS1 and GCTS2) differing in the ash mass fraction in the finest bins (0–15.6 µm) by 2.4% and 16.5%, respectively, to assess model efficiency in representing plume intensity and propagation. Analysis of the active synoptic components revealed their impact on particle transport and the Andes’ role as a natural barrier. We evaluated and compared the simulated Aerosol Optical Depth (AOD) with VIIRS Deep Blue Level 3 data and SO₂ data from Ozone Mapper and Profiler Suite (OMPS) Limb Profiler (LP), both of which are sensors onboard the Suomi National Polar Partnership (NPP) spacecraft. The model successfully reproduced ash and SO₂ transport, effectively representing influencing synoptic systems. Both simulations showed similar propagation patterns, with GCTS1 yielding better results when compared with AOD retrievals. These results indicate the necessity of specifying lower mass fraction in the finest bins. Comparison with VIIRS Brightness Temperature Difference data confirmed the model’s efficiency in representing particle transport. Overestimation of SO₂ may stem from emission inputs. This study demonstrates the feasibility of our implementation of the WRF-Chem model to reproduce ash and SO₂ patterns after a multi-eruption event. This enables further studies into aerosol–radiation and aerosol–cloud interactions and atmospheric behavior following volcanic eruptions. Full article