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30 pages, 2504 KiB  
Article
Battery Energy Storage Systems: Energy Market Review, Challenges, and Opportunities in Frequency Control Ancillary Services
by Gian Garttan, Sanath Alahakoon, Kianoush Emami and Shantha Gamini Jayasinghe
Energies 2025, 18(15), 4174; https://doi.org/10.3390/en18154174 - 6 Aug 2025
Abstract
Battery energy storage systems (BESS) are considered a good energy source to maintain supply and demand, mitigate intermittency, and ensure grid stability. The primary contribution of this paper is to provide a comprehensive overview of global energy markets and a critical analysis of [...] Read more.
Battery energy storage systems (BESS) are considered a good energy source to maintain supply and demand, mitigate intermittency, and ensure grid stability. The primary contribution of this paper is to provide a comprehensive overview of global energy markets and a critical analysis of BESS’ participation in frequency control ancillary service (FCAS) markets. This review synthesises the current state of knowledge on the evolution of the energy market and the role of battery energy storage systems in providing grid stability, particularly frequency control services, with a focus on their integration into evolving high-renewable-energy-source (RES) market structures. Specifically, solar PV and wind energy are emerging as the main drivers of RES expansion, accounting for approximately 61% of the global market share. A BESS offers greater flexibility in storage capacity, scalability and rapid response capabilities, making it an effective solution to address emerging security risks of the system. Moreover, a BESS is able to provide active power support through power smoothing when coupled with solar photovoltaic (PV) and wind generation. In this paper, we provide an overview of the current status of energy markets, the contribution of battery storage systems to grid stability and flexibility, as well as the challenges that BESS face in evolving electricity markets. Full article
27 pages, 7775 KiB  
Article
Fourier–Bessel Series Expansion and Empirical Wavelet Transform-Based Technique for Discriminating Between PV Array and Line Faults to Enhance Resiliency of Protection in DC Microgrid
by Laxman Solankee, Avinash Rai and Mukesh Kirar
Energies 2025, 18(15), 4171; https://doi.org/10.3390/en18154171 - 6 Aug 2025
Abstract
The growing demand for power and the rising awareness of the need to reduce carbon footprints have led to wider acceptance of photovoltaic (PV)-integrated microgrids. PV-based microgrids have numerous significant advantages over other distributed energy resources; however, creating a dependable protection scheme for [...] Read more.
The growing demand for power and the rising awareness of the need to reduce carbon footprints have led to wider acceptance of photovoltaic (PV)-integrated microgrids. PV-based microgrids have numerous significant advantages over other distributed energy resources; however, creating a dependable protection scheme for the DC microgrid is difficult due to the closely resembling current and voltage profiles of PV array faults and line faults in the DC network. The conventional methods fail to clearly discriminate between them. In this regard, a fault-resilient scheme exploiting the inherent characteristics of Fourier–Bessel Series Expansion and Empirical Wavelet Transform (FBSE-EWT) has been utilized in the present work. In order to enhance the efficacy of the bagging tree-based ensemble classifier, Artificial Gorilla Troop Optimization (AGTO) has been used to tune the hyperparameters. The hybrid protection approach is proposed for accurate fault detection, discrimination between scenarios (source-side fault and line-side fault), and classification of various fault types (pole–pole and pole–ground). The discriminatory attributes derived from voltage and current signals recorded at the DC bus using the hybrid FBSE-EWT have been utilized as an input feature set for the AGTO tuned bagging tree-based ensemble classifier to perform the intended tasks of fault detection and discrimination between source faults (PV array faults) and line faults (DC network). The proposed approach has been found to outperform the decision tree and SVM techniques, demonstrating reliability in terms of discriminating between the PV array faults and the DC line faults and resilience against fluctuations in PV irradiance levels. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section A1: Smart Grids and Microgrids)
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21 pages, 2441 KiB  
Article
Reliability Enhancement of Puducherry Smart Grid System Through Optimal Integration of Electric Vehicle Charging Station–Photovoltaic System
by M. A. Sasi Bhushan, M. Sudhakaran, Sattianadan Dasarathan and V. Sowmya Sree
World Electr. Veh. J. 2025, 16(8), 443; https://doi.org/10.3390/wevj16080443 - 6 Aug 2025
Abstract
Distributed generation strengthens distribution network reliability by placing generators close to load centers. The integration of electric vehicle charging stations (EVCSs) with PV systems mitigates the effects of EV charging burden. In this research, the objective is to combineEVCSs with distributed generation (DG) [...] Read more.
Distributed generation strengthens distribution network reliability by placing generators close to load centers. The integration of electric vehicle charging stations (EVCSs) with PV systems mitigates the effects of EV charging burden. In this research, the objective is to combineEVCSs with distributed generation (DG) units in the Puducherry smart grid system to obtain optimized locations and enhance their reliability. To determine the right nodes for DGs and EVCSs in an uneven distribution network, the modified decision-making (MDM) algorithm and the model predictive control (MPC) approach are used. The Indian utility 29-node distribution network (IN29NDN), which is an unbalanced network, is used for testing. The effects of PV systems and EVCS units are studied in several settings and at various saturation levels. This study validates the correctness of its findings by evaluating the outcomes of proposed methodological approaches. DIgSILENT Power Factory is used to conduct the simulation experiments. The results show that optimizing the location of the DG unit and the size of the PV system can significantly minimize power losses and make a distribution network (DN) more reliable. Full article
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23 pages, 3337 KiB  
Article
Imbalance Charge Reduction in the Italian Intra-Day Market Using Short-Term Forecasting of Photovoltaic Generation
by Cristina Ventura, Giuseppe Marco Tina and Santi Agatino Rizzo
Energies 2025, 18(15), 4161; https://doi.org/10.3390/en18154161 - 5 Aug 2025
Abstract
In the Italian intra-day electricity market (MI-XBID), where energy positions can be adjusted up to one hour before delivery, imbalance charges due to forecast errors from non-programmable renewable sources represent a critical issue. This work focuses on photovoltaic (PV) systems, whose production variability [...] Read more.
In the Italian intra-day electricity market (MI-XBID), where energy positions can be adjusted up to one hour before delivery, imbalance charges due to forecast errors from non-programmable renewable sources represent a critical issue. This work focuses on photovoltaic (PV) systems, whose production variability makes them particularly sensitive to forecast accuracy. To address these challenges, a comprehensive methodology for assessing and mitigating imbalance penalties by integrating a short-term PV forecasting model with a battery energy storage system is proposed. Unlike conventional approaches that focus exclusively on improving statistical accuracy, this study emphasizes the economic and regulatory impact of forecast errors under the current Italian imbalance settlement framework. A hybrid physical-artificial neural network is developed to forecast PV power one hour in advance, combining historical production data and clear-sky irradiance estimates. The resulting imbalances are analyzed using regulatory tolerance thresholds. Simulation results show that, by adopting a control strategy aimed at maintaining the battery’s state of charge around 50%, imbalance penalties can be completely eliminated using a storage system sized for just over 2 equivalent hours of storage capacity. The methodology provides a practical tool for market participants to quantify the benefits of storage integration and can be generalized to other electricity markets where tolerance bands for imbalances are applied. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Advanced Forecasting Methods for Sustainable Power Grid: 2nd Edition)
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31 pages, 5644 KiB  
Article
Mitigation Technique Using a Hybrid Energy Storage and Time-of-Use (TOU) Approach in Photovoltaic Grid Connection
by Mohammad Reza Maghami, Jagadeesh Pasupuleti, Arthur G. O. Mutambara and Janaka Ekanayake
Technologies 2025, 13(8), 339; https://doi.org/10.3390/technologies13080339 - 5 Aug 2025
Abstract
This study investigates the impact of Time-of-Use (TOU) scheduling and battery energy storage systems (BESS) on voltage stability in a typical Malaysian medium-voltage distribution network with high photovoltaic (PV) system penetration. The analyzed network comprises 110 nodes connected via eight feeders to a [...] Read more.
This study investigates the impact of Time-of-Use (TOU) scheduling and battery energy storage systems (BESS) on voltage stability in a typical Malaysian medium-voltage distribution network with high photovoltaic (PV) system penetration. The analyzed network comprises 110 nodes connected via eight feeders to a pair of 132/11 kV, 15 MVA transformers, supplying a total load of 20.006 MVA. Each node is integrated with a 100 kW PV system, enabling up to 100% PV penetration scenarios. A hybrid mitigation strategy combining TOU-based load shifting and BESS was implemented to address voltage violations occurring, particularly during low-load night hours. Dynamic simulations using DIgSILENT PowerFactory were conducted under worst-case (no load and peak load) conditions. The novelty of this research is the use of real rural network data to validate a hybrid BESS–TOU strategy, supported by detailed sensitivity analysis across PV penetration levels. This provides practical voltage stabilization insights not shown in earlier studies. Results show that at 100% PV penetration, TOU or BESS alone are insufficient to fully mitigate voltage drops. However, a hybrid application of 0.4 MWh BESS with 20% TOU load shifting eliminates voltage violations across all nodes, raising the minimum voltage from 0.924 p.u. to 0.951 p.u. while reducing active power losses and grid dependency. A sensitivity analysis further reveals that a 60% PV penetration can be supported reliably using only 0.4 MWh of BESS and 10% TOU. Beyond this, hybrid mitigation becomes essential to maintain stability. The proposed solution demonstrates a scalable approach to enable large-scale PV integration in dense rural grids and addresses the specific operational characteristics of Malaysian networks, which differ from commonly studied IEEE test systems. This work fills a critical research gap by using real local data to propose and validate practical voltage mitigation strategies. Full article
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28 pages, 14684 KiB  
Article
SDT4Solar: A Spatial Digital Twin Framework for Scalable Rooftop PV Planning in Urban Environments
by Athenee Teofilo, Qian (Chayn) Sun and Marco Amati
Smart Cities 2025, 8(4), 128; https://doi.org/10.3390/smartcities8040128 - 4 Aug 2025
Viewed by 176
Abstract
To sustainably power future urban communities, cities require advanced solar energy planning tools that overcome the limitations of traditional approaches, such as data fragmentation and siloed decision-making. SDTs present a transformative opportunity by enabling precision urban modelling, integrated simulations, and iterative decision support. [...] Read more.
To sustainably power future urban communities, cities require advanced solar energy planning tools that overcome the limitations of traditional approaches, such as data fragmentation and siloed decision-making. SDTs present a transformative opportunity by enabling precision urban modelling, integrated simulations, and iterative decision support. However, their application in solar energy planning remains underexplored. This study introduces SDT4Solar, a novel SDT-based framework designed to integrate city-scale rooftop solar planning through 3D building semantisation, solar modelling, and a unified geospatial database. By leveraging advanced spatial modelling and Internet of Things (IoT) technologies, SDT4Solar facilitates high-resolution 3D solar potential simulations, improving the accuracy and equity of solar infrastructure deployment. We demonstrate the framework through a proof-of-concept implementation in Ballarat East, Victoria, Australia, structured in four key stages: (a) spatial representation of the urban built environment, (b) integration of multi-source datasets into a unified geospatial database, (c) rooftop solar potential modelling using 3D simulation tools, and (d) dynamic visualization and analysis in a testbed environment. Results highlight SDT4Solar’s effectiveness in enabling data-driven, spatially explicit decision-making for rooftop PV deployment. This work advances the role of SDTs in urban energy transitions, demonstrating their potential to optimise efficiency in solar infrastructure planning. Full article
(This article belongs to the Topic Sustainable Building Development and Promotion)
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20 pages, 1895 KiB  
Article
Distributed Low-Carbon Demand Response in Distribution Networks Incorporating Day-Ahead and Intraday Flexibilities
by Bin Hu, Xianen Zong, Hongbin Wu and Yue Yang
Processes 2025, 13(8), 2460; https://doi.org/10.3390/pr13082460 - 4 Aug 2025
Viewed by 159
Abstract
In this paper, we present a distributed low-carbon demand response method in distribution networks incorporating day-ahead and intraday flexibilities on the demand side. This two-stage demand dispatch scheme, including day-ahead schedule and intraday adjustment, is proposed to facilitate the coordination between power demand [...] Read more.
In this paper, we present a distributed low-carbon demand response method in distribution networks incorporating day-ahead and intraday flexibilities on the demand side. This two-stage demand dispatch scheme, including day-ahead schedule and intraday adjustment, is proposed to facilitate the coordination between power demand and local photovoltaic (PV) generation. We employ the alternating direction method of multipliers (ADMM) to solve the dispatch problem in a distributed manner. Demand response in a 141-bus test system serves as our case study, demonstrating the effectiveness of our approach in shifting power loads to periods of high PV generation. Our results indicate remarkable reductions in the total carbon emission by utilizing more distributed PV generation. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Modeling, Operation and Control in Renewable Energy Systems)
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19 pages, 10990 KiB  
Article
Geospatial Assessment and Economic Analysis of Rooftop Solar Photovoltaic Potential in Thailand
by Linux Farungsang, Alvin Christopher G. Varquez and Koji Tokimatsu
Sustainability 2025, 17(15), 7052; https://doi.org/10.3390/su17157052 - 4 Aug 2025
Viewed by 189
Abstract
Evaluating the renewable energy potential, such as that of solar photovoltaics (PV), is important for developing renewable energy policies. This study investigated rooftop solar PV potential in Thailand based on open-source geographic information system (GIS) building footprints, solar PV power output, and the [...] Read more.
Evaluating the renewable energy potential, such as that of solar photovoltaics (PV), is important for developing renewable energy policies. This study investigated rooftop solar PV potential in Thailand based on open-source geographic information system (GIS) building footprints, solar PV power output, and the most recent land use data (2022). GIS-based overlay analysis, buffering, fishnet modeling, and spatial join operations were applied to assess rooftop availability across various building types, taking into account PV module installation parameters and optimal panel orientation. Economic feasibility and sensitivity analyses were conducted using standard economic metrics, including net present value (NPV), internal rate of return (IRR), payback period, and benefit–cost ratio (BCR). The findings showed a total rooftop solar PV power generation potential of 50.32 TWh/year, equivalent to 25.5% of Thailand’s total electricity demand in 2022. The Central region contributed the highest potential (19.59 TWh/year, 38.94%), followed by the Northeastern (10.49 TWh/year, 20.84%), Eastern (8.16 TWh/year, 16.22%), Northern (8.09 TWh/year, 16.09%), and Southern regions (3.99 TWh/year, 7.92%). Both commercial and industrial sectors reflect the financial viability of rooftop PV installations and significantly contribute to the overall energy output. These results demonstrate the importance of incorporating rooftop solar PV in renewable energy policy development in regions with similar data infrastructure, particularly the availability of detailed and standardized land use data for building type classification. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Energy Sustainability)
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23 pages, 3940 KiB  
Article
Recovery Strategies for Combined Optical Storage Systems Based on System Short-Circuit Ratio (SCR) Thresholds
by Qingji Yang, Baohong Li, Qin Jiang and Qiao Peng
Energies 2025, 18(15), 4112; https://doi.org/10.3390/en18154112 - 3 Aug 2025
Viewed by 225
Abstract
The penetration rate of variable energy sources in the current power grid is increasing, with the aim being to expand the use of these energy sources and to replace the traditional black start power supply. This study investigates the black start of a [...] Read more.
The penetration rate of variable energy sources in the current power grid is increasing, with the aim being to expand the use of these energy sources and to replace the traditional black start power supply. This study investigates the black start of a photovoltaic storage joint system based on the system’s short-circuit ratio threshold. Firstly, the principles and control modes of the photovoltaic (PV) system, energy storage system (ESS), and high-voltage direct current (DC) transmission system are studied separately to build an overall model; secondly, computational determinations of the short-circuit ratio under different scenarios are introduced to analyze the strength of the system, and the virtual inertia and virtual damping of the PV system are configured based on this; finally, the change trend of the storage system’s state of charge (SOC) is computed and observed, and the limits of what the system can support in each stage are determined. An electromagnetic transient simulation model of a black start system is constructed in PSCAD/EMTDC, and according to the proposed recovery strategy, the system frequency is maintained in the range of 49.4~50.6 Hz during the entire black start process; the fluctuation in maximum frequency after the recovery of the DC transmission system is no more than 0.1%; and the fluctuation in photovoltaic power at each stage is less than 3%. In addition, all the key indexes meet the requirements for black start technology, which verifies the validity of the strategy and provides theoretical support and a practical reference for the black start of a grid with variable energy sources. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Analysis and Control of Power System Stability)
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15 pages, 2903 KiB  
Article
Electrophysiological Substrate and Pulmonary Vein Reconnection Patterns in Recurrent Atrial Fibrillation: Comparing Thermal Strategies in Patients Undergoing Redo Ablation
by Krisztian Istvan Kassa, Adwity Shakya, Zoltan Som, Csaba Foldesi and Attila Kardos
J. Cardiovasc. Dev. Dis. 2025, 12(8), 298; https://doi.org/10.3390/jcdd12080298 - 2 Aug 2025
Viewed by 270
Abstract
Background: The influence of the initial ablation modality on pulmonary vein (PV) reconnection and substrate characteristics in redo procedures for recurrent atrial fibrillation (AF) remains unclear. We assessed how different thermal strategies—ablation index (AI)-guided radiofrequency (RF) versus cryoballoon (CB) ablation—affect remapping findings during [...] Read more.
Background: The influence of the initial ablation modality on pulmonary vein (PV) reconnection and substrate characteristics in redo procedures for recurrent atrial fibrillation (AF) remains unclear. We assessed how different thermal strategies—ablation index (AI)-guided radiofrequency (RF) versus cryoballoon (CB) ablation—affect remapping findings during redo pulmonary vein isolation (PVI). Methods: We included patients undergoing redo ablation between 2015 and 2024 with high-density electroanatomic mapping. Initial PVI modalities were retrospectively classified as low-power, long-duration (LPLD) RF; high-power, short-duration (HPSD) RF; or second-/third-generation CB. Reconnection sites were mapped using multielectrode catheters. Redo PVI was performed using AI-guided RF. Segments showing PV reconnection were reisolated; if all PVs remained isolated and AF persisted, posterior wall isolation was performed. Results: Among 195 patients (LPLD: 63; HPSD: 30; CB: 102), complete PVI at redo was observed in 0% (LPLD), 23.3% (HPSD), and 10.1% (CB) (p < 0.01 for LPLD vs. HPSD). Reconnection patterns varied by technique; LPLD primarily affected the right carina, while HPSD and CB showed reconnections at the LSPV ridge. Organized atrial tachycardia was least frequent after CB (12.7%, p < 0.002). Conclusion: Initial ablation strategy significantly influences PV reconnection and post-PVI arrhythmia patterns, with implications for redo procedure planning. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Atrial Fibrillation: New Insights and Perspectives)
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32 pages, 1970 KiB  
Review
A Review of New Technologies in the Design and Application of Wind Turbine Generators
by Pawel Prajzendanc and Christian Kreischer
Energies 2025, 18(15), 4082; https://doi.org/10.3390/en18154082 - 1 Aug 2025
Viewed by 204
Abstract
The growing global demand for electricity, driven by the development of electromobility, data centers, and smart technologies, necessitates innovative approaches to energy generation. Wind power, as a clean and renewable energy source, plays a pivotal role in the global transition towards low-carbon power [...] Read more.
The growing global demand for electricity, driven by the development of electromobility, data centers, and smart technologies, necessitates innovative approaches to energy generation. Wind power, as a clean and renewable energy source, plays a pivotal role in the global transition towards low-carbon power systems. This paper presents a comprehensive review of generator technologies used in wind turbine applications, ranging from conventional synchronous and asynchronous machines to advanced concepts such as low-speed direct-drive (DD) generators, axial-flux topologies, and superconducting generators utilizing low-temperature superconductors (LTS) and high-temperature superconductors (HTS). The advantages and limitations of each design are discussed in the context of efficiency, weight, reliability, scalability, and suitability for offshore deployment. Special attention is given to HTS-based generator systems, which offer superior power density and reduced losses, along with challenges related to cryogenic cooling and materials engineering. Furthermore, the paper analyzes selected modern generator designs to provide references for enhancing the performance of grid-synchronized hybrid microgrids integrating solar PV, wind, battery energy storage, and HTS-enhanced generators. This review serves as a valuable resource for researchers and engineers developing next-generation wind energy technologies with improved efficiency and integration potential. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Advancements in Marine Renewable Energy and Hybridization Prospects)
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25 pages, 17227 KiB  
Article
Distributed Online Voltage Control with Feedback Delays Under Coupled Constraints for Distribution Networks
by Jinxuan Liu, Yanjian Peng, Xiren Zhang, Zhihao Ning and Dingzhong Fan
Technologies 2025, 13(8), 327; https://doi.org/10.3390/technologies13080327 - 31 Jul 2025
Viewed by 115
Abstract
High penetration of photovoltaic (PV) generation presents new challenges for voltage regulation in distribution networks (DNs), primarily due to output intermittency and constrained reactive power capabilities. This paper introduces a distributed voltage control method leveraging reactive power compensation from PV inverters. Instead of [...] Read more.
High penetration of photovoltaic (PV) generation presents new challenges for voltage regulation in distribution networks (DNs), primarily due to output intermittency and constrained reactive power capabilities. This paper introduces a distributed voltage control method leveraging reactive power compensation from PV inverters. Instead of relying on centralized computation, the proposed method allows each inverter to make local decisions using real-time voltage measurements and delayed communication with neighboring PV nodes. To account for practical asynchronous communication and feedback delay, a Distributed Online Primal–Dual Push–Sum (DOPP) algorithm that integrates a fixed-step delay model into the push–sum coordination framework is developed. Through extensive case studies on a modified IEEE 123-bus system, it has been demonstrated that the proposed method maintains robust performance under both static and dynamic scenarios, even in the presence of fixed feedback delays. Specifically, in static scenarios, the proposed strategy rapidly eliminates voltage violations within 50–100 iterations, effectively regulating all nodal voltages into the acceptable range of [0.95, 1.05] p.u. even under feedback delays with a delay step of 10. In dynamic scenarios, the proposed strategy ensures 100% voltage compliance across all nodes, demonstrating superior voltage regulation and reactive power coordination performance over conventional droop and incremental control approaches. Full article
14 pages, 2314 KiB  
Article
The Effect of Nematic Liquid Crystal on the Performance of Dye-Sensitized Solar Cells
by Paweł Szubert and Stanisław A. Różański
Crystals 2025, 15(8), 705; https://doi.org/10.3390/cryst15080705 - 31 Jul 2025
Viewed by 128
Abstract
The motivation for increasing the efficiency of renewable energy sources is the basic problem of ongoing research. Currently, intensive research is underway in technology based on the use of dye-sensitized solar cells (DSSCs). The aim of this work is to investigate the effect [...] Read more.
The motivation for increasing the efficiency of renewable energy sources is the basic problem of ongoing research. Currently, intensive research is underway in technology based on the use of dye-sensitized solar cells (DSSCs). The aim of this work is to investigate the effect of modifying the iodide electrolyte with liquid crystals (LCs) known for the self-organization of molecules into specific mesophases. The current–voltage (I-V) and power–voltage (P-V) characteristics were determined for the ruthenium-based dyes N3, Z907, and N719 to investigate the influence of their structure and concentration on the efficiency of DSSCs. The addition of a nematic LC of 4-n-pentyl-4-cyanobiphenyl (5CB) to the iodide electrolyte influences the I-V and P-V characteristics. A modification of the I-V characteristics was found, especially a change in the values of short circuit current (ISC) and open circuit voltage (VOC). The conversion efficiency for cells with modified electrolyte shows a complex dependence that first increases and then decreases with increasing LC concentration. It may be caused by the orientational interaction of LC molecules with the titanium dioxide (TiO2) layer on the photoanode. A too high concentration of LC may lead to a reduction in total ionic conductivity due to the insulating effect of the elongated polar molecules. Full article
(This article belongs to the Collection Liquid Crystals and Their Applications)
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22 pages, 3409 KiB  
Article
Short-Term Prediction Intervals for Photovoltaic Power via Multi-Level Analysis and Dual Dynamic Integration
by Kaiyang Kuang, Jingshan Zhang, Qifan Chen, Yan Zhou, Yan Yan, Litao Dai and Guanghu Wang
Electronics 2025, 14(15), 3068; https://doi.org/10.3390/electronics14153068 - 31 Jul 2025
Viewed by 178
Abstract
There is an obvious correlation between the photovoltaic (PV) output of different physical levels; that is, the overall power change trend of large-scale regional (high-level) stations can provide a reference for the prediction of the output of sub-regional (low-level) stations. The current PV [...] Read more.
There is an obvious correlation between the photovoltaic (PV) output of different physical levels; that is, the overall power change trend of large-scale regional (high-level) stations can provide a reference for the prediction of the output of sub-regional (low-level) stations. The current PV prediction methods have not deeply explored the multi-level PV power generation elements and have not considered the correlation between different levels, resulting in the inability to obtain potential information on PV power generation. Moreover, traditional probabilistic prediction models lack adaptability, which can lead to a decrease in prediction performance under different PV prediction scenarios. Therefore, a probabilistic prediction method for short-term PV power based on multi-level adaptive dynamic integration is proposed in this paper. Firstly, an analysis is conducted on the multi-level PV power stations together with the influence of the trend of high-level PV power generation on the forecast of low-level power generation. Then, the PV data are decomposed into multiple layers using the complete ensemble empirical mode decomposition with adaptive noise (CEEMDAN) and analyzed by combining fuzzy entropy (FE) and mutual information (MI). After that, a new multi-level model prediction method, namely, the improved dual dynamic adaptive stacked generalization (I-Stacking) ensemble learning model, is proposed to construct short-term PV power generation prediction models. Finally, an improved dynamic adaptive kernel density estimation (KDE) method for prediction errors is proposed, which optimizes the performance of the prediction intervals (PIs) through variable bandwidth. Through comparative experiments and analysis using traditional methods, the effectiveness of the proposed method is verified. Full article
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23 pages, 849 KiB  
Article
Assessment of the Impact of Solar Power Integration and AI Technologies on Sustainable Local Development: A Case Study from Serbia
by Aco Benović, Miroslav Miškić, Vladan Pantović, Slađana Vujičić, Dejan Vidojević, Mladen Opačić and Filip Jovanović
Sustainability 2025, 17(15), 6977; https://doi.org/10.3390/su17156977 - 31 Jul 2025
Viewed by 172
Abstract
As the global energy transition accelerates, the integration of solar power and artificial intelligence (AI) technologies offers new pathways for sustainable local development. This study examines four Serbian municipalities—Šabac, Sombor, Pirot, and Čačak—to assess how AI-enabled solar power systems can enhance energy resilience, [...] Read more.
As the global energy transition accelerates, the integration of solar power and artificial intelligence (AI) technologies offers new pathways for sustainable local development. This study examines four Serbian municipalities—Šabac, Sombor, Pirot, and Čačak—to assess how AI-enabled solar power systems can enhance energy resilience, reduce emissions, and support community-level sustainability goals. Using a mixed-method approach combining spatial analysis, predictive modeling, and stakeholder interviews, this research study evaluates the performance and institutional readiness of local governments in terms of implementing intelligent solar infrastructure. Key AI applications included solar potential mapping, demand-side management, and predictive maintenance of photovoltaic (PV) systems. Quantitative results show an improvement >60% in forecasting accuracy, a 64% reduction in system downtime, and a 9.7% increase in energy cost savings. These technical gains were accompanied by positive trends in SDG-aligned indicators, such as improved electricity access and local job creation in the green economy. Despite challenges related to data infrastructure, regulatory gaps, and limited AI literacy, this study finds that institutional coordination and leadership commitment are decisive for successful implementation. The proposed AI–Solar Integration for Local Sustainability (AISILS) framework offers a replicable model for emerging economies. Policy recommendations include investing in foundational digital infrastructure, promoting low-code AI platforms, and aligning AI–solar projects with SDG targets to attract EU and national funding. This study contributes new empirical evidence on the digital–renewable energy nexus in Southeast Europe and underscores the strategic role of AI in accelerating inclusive, data-driven energy transitions at the municipal level. Full article
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