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Keywords = Middle-Lower Yangtze River Basin

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16 pages, 4272 KiB  
Article
Prediction Analysis of Integrative Quality Zones for Corydalis yanhusuo W. T. Wang Under Climate Change: A Rare Medicinal Plant Endemic to China
by Huiming Wang, Bin Huang, Lei Xu and Ting Chen
Biology 2025, 14(8), 972; https://doi.org/10.3390/biology14080972 (registering DOI) - 1 Aug 2025
Viewed by 200
Abstract
Corydalis yanhusuo W. T. Wang, commonly known as Yanhusuo, is an important and rare medicinal plant resource in China. Its habitat integrity is facing severe challenges due to climate change and human activities. Establishing an integrative quality zoning system for this species is [...] Read more.
Corydalis yanhusuo W. T. Wang, commonly known as Yanhusuo, is an important and rare medicinal plant resource in China. Its habitat integrity is facing severe challenges due to climate change and human activities. Establishing an integrative quality zoning system for this species is of significant practical importance for resource conservation and adaptive management. This study integrates multiple data sources, including 121 valid distribution points, 37 environmental factors, future climate scenarios (SSP126 and SSP585 pathways for the 2050s and 2090s), and measured content of tetrahydropalmatine (THP) from 22 sampling sites. A predictive framework for habitat suitability and spatial distribution of effective components was constructed using a multi-model coupling approach (MaxEnt, ArcGIS spatial analysis, and co-kriging method). The results indicate that the MaxEnt model exhibits high prediction accuracy (AUC > 0.9), with the dominant environmental factors being the precipitation of the wettest quarter (404.8~654.5 mm) and the annual average temperature (11.8~17.4 °C). Under current climatic conditions, areas of high suitability are concentrated in parts of Central and Eastern China, including the Sichuan Basin, the middle–lower Yangtze plains, and coastal areas of Shandong and Liaoning. In future climate scenarios, the center of suitable areas is predicted to shift northwestward. The content of THP is significantly correlated with the mean diurnal temperature range, temperature seasonality, and the mean temperature of the wettest quarter (p < 0.01). A comprehensive assessment identifies the Yangtze River Delta region, Central China, and parts of the Loess Plateau as the optimal integrative quality zones. This research provides a scientific basis and decision-making support for the sustainable utilization of C. yanhusuo and other rare medicinal plants in China. Full article
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23 pages, 5120 KiB  
Article
Diagnosis of Performance and Obstacles of Integrated Management of Three-Water in Chaohu Lake Basin
by Jiangtao Kong, Yongchao Liu, Jialin Li and Hongbo Gong
Water 2025, 17(14), 2135; https://doi.org/10.3390/w17142135 - 17 Jul 2025
Viewed by 227
Abstract
The integration of water resources, water environment, and water ecology (hereinafter “three-water”) is essential not only for addressing the current water crisis but also for achieving sustainable development. Chaohu Lake is an important water resource and ecological barrier in the middle and lower [...] Read more.
The integration of water resources, water environment, and water ecology (hereinafter “three-water”) is essential not only for addressing the current water crisis but also for achieving sustainable development. Chaohu Lake is an important water resource and ecological barrier in the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River, undertaking such functions as agricultural irrigation, urban water supply, and flood control and storage. Studying the performance of “three-water” in the Chaohu Lake Basin will help to understand the pollution mechanism and governance dilemma in the lake basin. It also provides practical experience and policy references for the ecological protection and high-quality development of the Yangtze River Basin. We used the DPSIR-TOPSIS model to analyze the performance of the river–lake system in the Chaohu Lake Basin and employed an obstacle model to identify factors influencing “three-water.” The results indicated that overall governance and performance of the “three-water” in the Chaohu Lake Basin exhibited an upward trend from 2011 to 2022. Specifically, the obstacle degree of driving force decreased by 19.6%, suggesting that economic development enhanced governance efforts. Conversely, the obstacle degree of pressure increased by 34.4%, indicating continued environmental stress. The obstacle degree of state fluctuated, showing a decrease of 13.2% followed by an increase of 3.8%, demonstrating variability in the effectiveness of water resource, environmental, and ecological management. Additionally, the obstacle degree of impact declined by 12.8%, implying the reduced efficacy of governmental measures in later stages. Response barriers decreased by 5.8%. Variations in the obstacle degree of response reflected differences in response capacities. Spatially, counties and districts at the origins of major rivers and their lake outlets showed lower performance levels in “three-water” management compared to other regions in the basin. Notably, Wuwei City and Feidong County exhibited better governance performance, while Feixi County and Chaohu City showed lower performance levels. Despite significant progress in water resource management, environmental improvement, and ecological restoration, further policy support and targeted countermeasures remain necessary. Counties and districts should pursue coordinated development, leverage the radiative influence of high-performing areas, deepen regional collaboration, and optimize, governance strategies to promote sustainable development. Full article
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25 pages, 11278 KiB  
Article
Analysis of Droughts and Floods Evolution and Teleconnection Factors in the Yangtze River Basin Based on GRACE/GFO
by Ruqing Ren, Tatsuya Nemoto, Venkatesh Raghavan, Xianfeng Song and Zheng Duan
Remote Sens. 2025, 17(14), 2344; https://doi.org/10.3390/rs17142344 - 8 Jul 2025
Viewed by 402
Abstract
In recent years, under the influence of climate change and human activities, droughts and floods have occurred frequently in the Yangtze River Basin (YRB), seriously threatening socioeconomic development and ecological security. The topography and climate of the YRB are complex, so it is [...] Read more.
In recent years, under the influence of climate change and human activities, droughts and floods have occurred frequently in the Yangtze River Basin (YRB), seriously threatening socioeconomic development and ecological security. The topography and climate of the YRB are complex, so it is crucial to develop appropriate drought and flood policies based on the drought and flood characteristics of different sub-basins. This study calculated the water storage deficit index (WSDI) based on the Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) and GRACE-Follow On (GFO) mascon model, extended WSDI to the bidirectional monitoring of droughts and floods in the YRB, and verified the reliability of WSDI in monitoring hydrological events through historical documented events. Combined with the wavelet method, it revealed the heterogeneity of climate responses in the three sub-basins of the upper, middle, and lower reaches. The results showed the following. (1) Compared and verified with the Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI), self-calibrating Palmer Drought Severity Index (scPDSI), and documented events, WSDI overcame the limitations of traditional indices and had higher reliability. A total of 21 drought events and 18 flood events were identified in the three sub-basins, with the lowest frequency of drought and flood events in the upper reaches. (2) Most areas of the YRB showed different degrees of wetting on the monthly and seasonal scales, and the slowest trend of wetting was in the lower reaches of the YRB. (3) The degree of influence of teleconnection factors in the upper, middle, and lower reaches of the YRB had gradually increased over time, and, in particular, El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) had a significant impact on the droughts and floods. This study provided a new basis for the early warning of droughts and floods in different sub-basins of the YRB. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Remote Sensing in Natural Resource and Water Environment II)
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16 pages, 2983 KiB  
Article
Birds as Biodiversity Beacons: Identifying Conservation Priority Areas Through Multi-Dimensional Diversity in China
by Fei Duan, Shuyi Zhu, Xiaoyun Shi, Xiaoli Shen and Sheng Li
Diversity 2025, 17(7), 442; https://doi.org/10.3390/d17070442 - 21 Jun 2025
Viewed by 369
Abstract
Biodiversity conservation plays a pivotal role in achieving sustainable development and fostering harmonious coexistence between humans and nature. This study identifies avian conservation priority areas across China by analyzing multi-dimensional biodiversity, incorporating species diversity, functional diversity, and phylogenetic diversity. Through systematic conservation planning [...] Read more.
Biodiversity conservation plays a pivotal role in achieving sustainable development and fostering harmonious coexistence between humans and nature. This study identifies avian conservation priority areas across China by analyzing multi-dimensional biodiversity, incorporating species diversity, functional diversity, and phylogenetic diversity. Through systematic conservation planning using Zonation version 4 software, we delineated priority areas across these diversity dimensions. Our results demonstrate a distinct south-to-north diversity gradient in China’s avifauna, with functional and phylogenetic diversity hotspots concentrated in Yunnan Province, the Hengduan Mountains, Hainan Island, Taiwan Island, and southeastern coastal regions. The identified priority conservation areas cover 14.6% of China’s terrestrial territory, protecting 89.8% of the country’s bird species—including 93.5% of endemic species and 88.9% of critically endangered species. Notably, existing nature reserves encompass merely 8.1% of these priority areas, revealing substantial conservation gaps within the current protection framework. Building upon China’s 3C Zoning Framework (Cities and farms, Shared landscapes, and Large wild areas), we propose zone-specific conservation strategies, with particular emphasis on strengthening protected area networks in the eastern coastal regions and the middle-lower Yangtze River basin, where urbanization pressures are most acute. These findings highlight the critical importance of incorporating multi-dimensional diversity in conservation planning and offer novel perspectives for optimizing China’s protected area system. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Biodiversity Conservation)
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14 pages, 1239 KiB  
Article
The Adsorption Characteristics and Impact Mechanism of Phosphorus by Surface Sediments in Natural Freshwater Lakes
by Qiang Zhang, Yang Yang, Xu Liu and Fazhi Xie
Water 2025, 17(12), 1775; https://doi.org/10.3390/w17121775 - 13 Jun 2025
Viewed by 392
Abstract
A lake is a sink, source, and converter of phosphorus, and its ability to intercept phosphorus in water bodies is receiving increasing attention. In this study, the Nanyi Lake sediment in the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River basin was taken [...] Read more.
A lake is a sink, source, and converter of phosphorus, and its ability to intercept phosphorus in water bodies is receiving increasing attention. In this study, the Nanyi Lake sediment in the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River basin was taken as the research object, and the phosphorus adsorption capacity and influencing factors of the sediment in the basin were investigated through a control variable experiment. The adsorption capacities of sediments at the sample points are L1 > L3 > L2, with maximum values of 372.41 mg/kg, 332.53 mg/kg, and 346.27 mg/kg, respectively. Equilibrium adsorption is reached at approximately 5 h for L1 and L2, and 10 h for L3. The interaction between sediment and phosphorus involves physical adsorption and mono-layer adsorption. The increase in temperature does not promote phosphorus migration from overlying water to sediments, but instead triggers phosphorus release from sediments, indicating an exothermic process for phosphorus adsorption on sediments. When the phosphorus concentration in overlying water is below and above 1 mg/L, increasing disturbance intensity results in enhanced phosphorus adsorption and release in sediments, respectively. The presence of humus in the overlying water, especially humic acid compared with fulvic acid, causes stronger adsorption of phosphorus on sediments. Overall, this study contributes to our understanding of phosphorus adsorption characteristics and mechanisms in Nanyi Lake sediments, providing valuable insights for managing and conserving this freshwater ecosystem. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Water Quality and Contamination)
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17 pages, 12268 KiB  
Article
Ecological Risk Assessment of Watersheds Based on Adaptive Cycling Theory—A Case Study of Poyang Lake Ecological and Economic Zone
by Yixi Gu, Jiaxuan Wang, Xinyi Su and Kaili Zhang
Land 2025, 14(6), 1265; https://doi.org/10.3390/land14061265 - 12 Jun 2025
Viewed by 823
Abstract
Under the global urbanization context, irrational land use patterns have exacerbated ecosystem imbalance. Developing watershed ecological risk assessment methods based on adaptive cycle theory holds significant scientific importance for flood risk prevention. This study established a watershed ecological risk assessment framework within the [...] Read more.
Under the global urbanization context, irrational land use patterns have exacerbated ecosystem imbalance. Developing watershed ecological risk assessment methods based on adaptive cycle theory holds significant scientific importance for flood risk prevention. This study established a watershed ecological risk assessment framework within the adaptive cycle framework, focusing on the Poyang Lake Ecological Economic Zone in the middle-lower Yangtze River Basin. The results revealed that high-risk ecological areas clustered around the Poyang Lake water system with scattered urban distribution, while medium-risk zones dominated the study area. Low-risk regions primarily concentrated in the Yuanhe Plain of southwestern region. The system exhibited significant spatial heterogeneity in “exposure” and “disturbance” risks. Medium–high exposure pixels accounted for 43.3% with a dispersed distribution, whereas disturbance pixels concentrated in Poyang Lake waters and developed urban areas (64.34%), indicating that disturbance exerted a stronger influence on risk assessment outcomes. Governance practices demonstrated that policy preferences may introduce biases into watershed ecological risk evaluations. Multi-scenario simulations using an Ordered Weighted Averaging (OWA) algorithm identified risk-uncertain zones in southeastern hilly areas and northern Poyang Lake waters, while distinguishing stable high/low-risk regions unaffected by decision-making influences. These findings provide critical references for formulating sustainable watershed management strategies. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Ecological and Disaster Risk Assessment of Land Use Changes)
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18 pages, 2147 KiB  
Article
Multi-Scale Impacts of Land Use Change on River Water Quality in the Xinxian River, Yangtze River Basin
by Yongsheng Guo, Ying Liu, Weilin Li, Xiting Cai, Xinyi Liu and Haikuo Liao
Water 2025, 17(10), 1541; https://doi.org/10.3390/w17101541 - 20 May 2025
Viewed by 472
Abstract
This study investigated the impact of land use change on water quality in the Xinxian River Basin amidst rapid urbanization. While previous studies have predominantly focused on single-scale buffer analyses or specific land use types, the interactions between multi-scale riparian buffers and diverse [...] Read more.
This study investigated the impact of land use change on water quality in the Xinxian River Basin amidst rapid urbanization. While previous studies have predominantly focused on single-scale buffer analyses or specific land use types, the interactions between multi-scale riparian buffers and diverse land cover dynamics remain rarely understudied, particularly in a rapidly urbanizing county in the Yangtze River Basin. Land use type data for the Xinxian River Basin in 2000, 2010, and 2020 were acquired using GIS technology, and subsequent analysis quantified land use pattern changes over this 20-year period. Additionally, 2023 land use data for riparian buffer zones (50 m, 100 m, 200 m, 400 m, and 600 m) were obtained via GIS and subjected to Redundancy Analysis (RDA) with 2023 water quality monitoring data to evaluate the impact of land use on water quality. The results revealed significant land use conversion dynamics, particularly between natural and anthropogenic cover types. Forest cover exhibited negative correlations with riverine nutrient concentrations, while built-up areas displayed strong positive associations, especially at finer scales (50–100 m buffers). Notably, the dominant influencing factor shifted from built-up land at smaller buffer scales (50–100 m) to forest land at larger scales (400–600 m), whereas agricultural land showed no significant correlation. These findings highlight scale-dependent relationships between land use and aquatic ecosystems, emphasizing the critical role of spatial planning in mitigating urbanization impacts. The work is conducive to the sustainable development of Longgan Lake National Wetland Nature Reserve and the protection of water ecology in the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Water Quality and Contamination)
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22 pages, 13999 KiB  
Article
Integrating Multi-Model Coupling to Assess Habitat Quality Dynamics: Spatiotemporal Evolution and Scenario-Based Projections in the Yangtze River Basin, China
by Yuzhou Zhang, Jianxin Yang, Weilong Wu and Diwei Tang
Sustainability 2025, 17(10), 4699; https://doi.org/10.3390/su17104699 - 20 May 2025
Viewed by 371
Abstract
As a pivotal ecological–economic nexus in China, the Yangtze River Basin (YRB)’s spatiotemporal evolution of habitat quality (HQ) profoundly influences regional sustainable development. This study establishes a tripartite analytical framework integrating remote sensing big data, socioeconomic datasets, and ecological modeling. By coupling the [...] Read more.
As a pivotal ecological–economic nexus in China, the Yangtze River Basin (YRB)’s spatiotemporal evolution of habitat quality (HQ) profoundly influences regional sustainable development. This study establishes a tripartite analytical framework integrating remote sensing big data, socioeconomic datasets, and ecological modeling. By coupling the InVEST and PLUS models with Theil–Sen median trend analysis and Mann–Kendall tests, we systematically assessed HQ spatial heterogeneity across the basin during 2000–2020 and projected trends under 2030 scenarios (natural development (S1), cropland protection (S2), and ecological conservation (S3)). Key findings reveal that basin-wide HQ remained stable (0.599–0.606) but exhibited marked spatial disparities, demonstrating a “high-middle reach (0.636–0.649), low upper/lower reach” pattern. Urbanized downstream areas recorded the minimum HQ (0.478–0.515), primarily due to landscape fragmentation from peri-urban expansion and transportation infrastructure. Trend analysis showed that coefficient of variation (CV) values ranged from 0.350 to 2.72 (mean = 0.768), indicating relative stability but significant spatial variability. While 76.98% of areas showed no significant HQ changes, 15.83% experienced declines (3.56% with significant degradation, p < 0.05) concentrated in urban agglomerations (e.g., the Wuhan Metropolitan Area, the Yangtze River Delta). Only 7.18% exhibited an HQ improvement, predominantly in snowmelt-affected Qinghai–Tibet Plateau regions, with merely 0.95% showing a significant enhancement. Multi-scenario projections align with Theil–Sen trends, predicting HQ declines across all scenarios. S3 curbs decline to 0.33% (HQ = 0.597), outperforming S1 (1.07%) and S2 (1.15%). Nevertheless, downstream areas remain high-risk (S3 HQ = 0.476). This study elucidated compound drivers of urbanization, agricultural encroachment, and climate change, proposing a synergistic “zoning regulation–corridor restoration–cross-regional compensation” pathway. These findings provide scientific support for balancing ecological protection and high-quality development in the Yangtze Economic Belt, while offering systematic solutions for the sustainable governance of global mega-basins. Full article
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20 pages, 11096 KiB  
Article
Microplastics in Surface Water in the Yangtze River, China: Basin-Wide Observation, Multiple Ecological Risk Assessment and Sustainability
by Qi Luo, Jijun Gao and Bo Gao
Sustainability 2025, 17(9), 4162; https://doi.org/10.3390/su17094162 - 5 May 2025
Viewed by 792
Abstract
The Yangtze River Basin (YRB) is an important source of marine microplastics (MPs). However, unscientific research methods in previous studies have led to inaccurate estimates of the occurrence and ecologic risk of MPs. This study aimed to comprehensively assess the distribution and ecological [...] Read more.
The Yangtze River Basin (YRB) is an important source of marine microplastics (MPs). However, unscientific research methods in previous studies have led to inaccurate estimates of the occurrence and ecologic risk of MPs. This study aimed to comprehensively assess the distribution and ecological risks of MPs in the YRB, through investigating the occurrence of full-size MPs in the surface waters of the YRB over 3 years. The Size Effect was developed based on the impact of size and MP-carried pollutants on human health, and combined with multiple methods to evaluate the potential risks of MPs. The average MP abundance in the YRB was 8797 ± 12,281 items/m3, dominated by polypropylene and fragments. The small MPs (<0.3 mm; 92.52%) were the driving factor of the MP spatial heterogeneity. Interestingly, the Three Gorges Dam significantly altered the MP distribution and weakened the MP transportation. Agricultural activities, wastewater treatment plants, and atmospheric deposition were the main sources of MPs in the YRB. Multiple ecological risk assessment indicated that the MP risk in the YRB was at the middle–low level. This study addresses the occurrence of <0.05 mm MPs in the YRB, provides insights for MP risk assessment, and serves as a reference for sustainable management. Full article
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24 pages, 13146 KiB  
Article
Identifying the Peak Flowering Dates of Winter Rapeseed with a NBYVI Index Using Sentinel-1/2
by Fazhe Wu, Peng Lu, Shengbo Chen, Yucheng Xu, Zibo Wang, Rui Dai and Shuya Zhang
Remote Sens. 2025, 17(6), 1051; https://doi.org/10.3390/rs17061051 - 17 Mar 2025
Viewed by 1731
Abstract
Determining the peak flowering dates of winter rapeseed is crucial for both increasing yields and developing tourism resources. Currently, the Normalized Difference Yellow Index (NDYI), widely used for monitoring these dates, faces stability and accuracy issues due to atmospheric interference and limited optical [...] Read more.
Determining the peak flowering dates of winter rapeseed is crucial for both increasing yields and developing tourism resources. Currently, the Normalized Difference Yellow Index (NDYI), widely used for monitoring these dates, faces stability and accuracy issues due to atmospheric interference and limited optical data during the flowering period. This research examines changes in remote-sensing parameters caused by canopy variations during winter rapeseed’s flowering period from crop canopy morphological characteristics and canopy optical properties. By integrating Sentinel-1 and Sentinel-2 data, a new spectral index, the Normalized Backscatter Yellow Vegetation Index (NBYVI), is introduced. The study uses phenological characteristics and the random forest classification algorithm to create a map of winter rapeseed in parts of the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River Basin, achieving a Kappa coefficient of 90.57%. It evaluates the effectiveness of crop morphological indices in monitoring growth stages and explores the impacts of elevation and latitude on the peak flowering dates of winter rapeseed. The error ranges for predicting the peak flowering dates with the NDYI (traditional optical index) and the VV (crop morphological index) are generally 2–7 days and 2–6 days, respectively, while the error range for the NBYVI index is generally 0–4 days, demonstrating superior stability and accuracy compared to the NDYI and VV indices. Full article
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27 pages, 10742 KiB  
Article
A Deep Learning Framework for Long-Term Soil Moisture-Based Drought Assessment Across the Major Basins in China
by Ye Duan, Yong Bo, Xin Yao, Guanwen Chen, Kai Liu, Shudong Wang, Banghui Yang and Xueke Li
Remote Sens. 2025, 17(6), 1000; https://doi.org/10.3390/rs17061000 - 12 Mar 2025
Viewed by 972
Abstract
Drought is a critical hydrological challenge with ecological and socio-economic impacts, but its long-term variability and drivers remain insufficiently understood. This study proposes a deep learning-based framework to explore drought dynamics and their underlying drivers across China’s major basins over the past four [...] Read more.
Drought is a critical hydrological challenge with ecological and socio-economic impacts, but its long-term variability and drivers remain insufficiently understood. This study proposes a deep learning-based framework to explore drought dynamics and their underlying drivers across China’s major basins over the past four decades. The Long Short-Term Memory network was employed to reconstruct gaps in satellite-derived soil moisture (SM) datasets, achieving high accuracy (R2 = 0.928 and RMSE = 0.020 m3m−3). An advanced explainable artificial intelligence (XAI) approach was applied to unravel the mechanistic relationships between SM and critical hydrometeorological variables. Our results revealed a slight increasing trend in SM value across China’s major basins over the past four decades, with a more pronounced downward trend in cropland that was more sensitive to water resource management. XAI results demonstrated distinct regional disparities: the northern arid regions displayed pronounced seasonality in drought dynamics, whereas the southern humid regions were less influenced by seasonal fluctuations. Surface solar radiation and air temperature were identified as the primary drivers of droughts in the Haihe, Yellow, Southwest, and Pearl River Basins, whereas precipitation is the dominant factor in the Middle and Lower Yangtze River Basins. Collectively, our study offers valuable insights for sustainable water resource management and land-use planning. Full article
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20 pages, 6165 KiB  
Article
Prediction and Spatiotemporal Dynamics of Vegetation Index Based on Deep Learning and Environmental Factors in the Yangtze River Basin
by Yin Wang, Nan Zhang, Mingjie Chen, Yabing Zhao, Famiao Guo, Jingxian Huang, Daoli Peng and Xiaohui Wang
Forests 2025, 16(3), 460; https://doi.org/10.3390/f16030460 - 5 Mar 2025
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 731
Abstract
Accurately predicting the vegetation index (VI) of the Yangtze River Basin and analyzing its spatiotemporal trends are essential for assessing vegetation dynamics and providing recommendations for environmental resource management in the region. This study selected the key climate factors most strongly correlated with [...] Read more.
Accurately predicting the vegetation index (VI) of the Yangtze River Basin and analyzing its spatiotemporal trends are essential for assessing vegetation dynamics and providing recommendations for environmental resource management in the region. This study selected the key climate factors most strongly correlated with three vegetation indexes (VI): the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI), Enhanced Vegetation Index (EVI), and kernel Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (kNDVI). Historical VI and climate data (2001–2020) were used to train, validate, and test a CNN-BiLSTM-AM deep learning model, which integrates the strengths of Convolutional Neural Networks (CNN), Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory (BiLSTM), and Attention Mechanism (AM). The performance of this model was compared with CNN-BiLSTM, LSTM, and BiLSTM-AM models to validate its superiority in predicting the VI. Finally, climate simulation data under three Shared Socioeconomic Pathway (SSP) scenarios (SSP1-1.9, SSP2-4.5, and SSP5-8.5) were used as inputs to the CNN-BiLSTM-AM model to predict the VI for the next 20 years (2021–2040), aiming to analyze spatiotemporal trends. The results showed the following: (1) Temperature, precipitation, and evapotranspiration had the highest correlation with VI data and were used as inputs to the time series VI model. (2) The CNN-BiLSTM-AM model combined with the EVI achieved the best performance (R2 = 0.981, RMSE = 0.022, MAE = 0.019). (3) Under all three scenarios, the EVI over the next 20 years showed an upward trend compared to the previous 20 years, with the most significant growth observed under SSP5-8.5. Vegetation in the source region and the western part of the upper reaches increased slowly, while significant increases were observed in the eastern part of the upper reaches, middle reaches, lower reaches, and estuary. The analysis of the predicted EVI time series indicates that the vegetation growth conditions in the Yangtze River Basin will continue to improve over the next 20 years. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Mapping and Modeling Forests Using Geospatial Technologies)
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25 pages, 5717 KiB  
Article
Risk Assessment of Extreme Drought and Extreme Wetness During Growth Stages of Major Crops in China
by Mingyang Sun, Yongjiu Dai, Shulei Zhang and Hongbin Liang
Sustainability 2025, 17(5), 2221; https://doi.org/10.3390/su17052221 - 4 Mar 2025
Cited by 4 | Viewed by 916
Abstract
Climate change has increased the frequency of extreme droughts and floods in China, threatening agricultural production and food security. However, the impacts of these extreme precipitation events on crops (maize, wheat, and rice) during key growth stages remain poorly understood. To address this, [...] Read more.
Climate change has increased the frequency of extreme droughts and floods in China, threatening agricultural production and food security. However, the impacts of these extreme precipitation events on crops (maize, wheat, and rice) during key growth stages remain poorly understood. To address this, we developed a three-step analytical framework: First, we used transpiration data to identify critical crop growth stages across China. Then, we applied a 10-day standardized precipitation evapotranspiration index (SPEI) to quantify drought and extreme wetness conditions during each growth phase. Finally, we integrated these data into an XGBoost model to assess the relationship between extreme weather and crop yield fluctuations. The results show that maize is most sensitive to water variability during both development and mid-season stages, while wheat is particularly vulnerable to drought during development and rice is mainly affected by water stress during the mid-season. Extreme drought risks are highest in the Northeast Plain, North China Plain, and southern China, while extreme wetness risks are concentrated in the middle and lower Yangtze River basin and southeastern coastal regions. Notably, extreme drought risks are significantly more pronounced than those associated with extreme wetness. These findings highlight the urgent need for targeted agricultural strategies to promote sustainable agricultural development. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Air, Climate Change and Sustainability)
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23 pages, 5838 KiB  
Article
Understanding the Dynamics of PM2.5 Concentration Levels in China: A Comprehensive Study of Spatio-Temporal Patterns, Driving Factors, and Implications for Environmental Sustainability
by Yuanlu Miao, Chunmei Geng, Yuanyuan Ji, Shengli Wang, Lijuan Wang and Wen Yang
Sustainability 2025, 17(4), 1742; https://doi.org/10.3390/su17041742 - 19 Feb 2025
Cited by 2 | Viewed by 1203
Abstract
Over the past decade, China’s air quality has improved significantly. To further mitigate the concentration levels of fine particulate matter (PM2.5), this study analyzed the spatio-temporal evolution of PM2.5 concentrations from 2012 to 2022. Furthermore, the study integrated the generalized [...] Read more.
Over the past decade, China’s air quality has improved significantly. To further mitigate the concentration levels of fine particulate matter (PM2.5), this study analyzed the spatio-temporal evolution of PM2.5 concentrations from 2012 to 2022. Furthermore, the study integrated the generalized additive model (GAM) and GeoDetector to investigate the main driving factors and explored the complex response relationships between these factors and PM2.5 concentrations. The results showed the following: (1) The annual average concentration of PM2.5 in China peaked in 2013. The annual reductions of PM2.5 in each city ranged from 1.48 to 7.33 μg/m3. In each year, the PM2.5 concentrations were always consistently higher in north and east China and lowest in northeast and southwest China. (2) In terms of spatial distribution, the North China Plain, the Middle and Lower Yangtze River Plain, and the Sichuan Basin exhibited the highest PM2.5 concentration levels and showed high aggregation characteristics. (3) The GeoDetector analysis identified the concentrations of SO2, NO2, and CO and the meteorological conditions as important factors influencing the spatial differentiation of PM2.5. The results of the GAM showed that the meteorological factors, such as temperature, atmospheric pressure, wind speed, and precipitation, generally had specific inflection points in their effects on the PM2.5 concentration levels. The relationship of PM2.5 with the gross domestic product and population density followed an inverted U shape. The PM2.5 concentrations under the land use types of cropland, barren, impervious, and water were higher than others. The concentration of PM2.5 decreased significantly under all land use types. Our work can be used as a strong basis for providing insights crucial for developing long-term pollution control strategies and promoting environmental sustainability. Full article
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16 pages, 3704 KiB  
Article
Exploring the Driving Forces of Ecosystem Services in the Yangtze River Basin, China
by Zhenwei Wang, Jinjin Mao, Yelin Peng, Jiahui Wu, Xiaochun Wang and Lilan Su
Land 2025, 14(2), 411; https://doi.org/10.3390/land14020411 - 16 Feb 2025
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 746
Abstract
Ecosystem services (ESs) are increasingly recognized as critical to sustainable development and human well-being and are frequently used as indicators in environmental governance policies. However, existing studies mostly assess the performance of isolated single ESs, ignoring the management data needs of local governments [...] Read more.
Ecosystem services (ESs) are increasingly recognized as critical to sustainable development and human well-being and are frequently used as indicators in environmental governance policies. However, existing studies mostly assess the performance of isolated single ESs, ignoring the management data needs of local governments for comprehensive gate-keeping and the easy monitoring of regional ecosystems, and lacking holistic gate-keeping indicators for local ESs. To address these shortcomings, this study assessed the spatial changes in five main ESs in the Yangtze River basin (YTRB) in China by creating a comprehensive ESs indicator (CESI) using multi-source data, and introduced the hotspot analyses and spatial econometric models to explore the driving forces of CESI. Results showed that during the study period, the CESI in the YTRB increased from 0.44 in 2000 to 0.47 in 2020. High-value areas were mainly concentrated in the hilly and mountainous regions, whereas the low-value areas were predominantly situated in the plain areas. From 2000 to 2020, the hot spots of CESI were primarily located in the middle and the lower reaches of the YTRB. Conversely, the cold spots were situated in the upper reaches of the YTRB. The regression analysis revealed a significant negative association between socioeconomic factors and CESI, while a significant positive association between natural background factors and CESI. Of the natural background factors, average precipitation has the largest positive effect on CESI, with each 1% increase resulting in up to 0.369% increase in CESI. In contrast, GDP density had the greatest negative impact on CESI, with each 1% increase triggering a reduction in CESI of up to 6.210%. The findings suggest that CESI, which integrates multiple ESs, can effectively simplify the difficulty of regional ecological regulation. The driving mechanism indicates that environmental protection policies, when combined with the natural conditions and intensity of human activities in the region, would be more coherent with varying regulatory intensities. Full article
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