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1,005 Results Found

  • Article
  • Open Access
13 Citations
4,822 Views
20 Pages

31 January 2024

Fitting probability distribution functions to observed data is the standard way to compute future design floods, but may not accurately reflect the projected future pattern of extreme events related to climate change. In applying the latest coupled m...

  • Article
  • Open Access
5 Citations
3,810 Views
15 Pages

30 August 2020

As a coupled large-scale oceanic and atmospheric pattern in the Southern Ocean, the Antarctic circumpolar wave (ACW) has substantial impacts on the global climate. In this study, using the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts ERA5 datas...

  • Article
  • Open Access
5 Citations
2,574 Views
16 Pages

Revisiting the Influence of ENSO on the Arctic Stratosphere in CMIP5 and CMIP6 Models

  • Jinggao Hu,
  • Yifan Shen,
  • Jiechun Deng,
  • Yanpei Jia,
  • Zixu Wang and
  • Anqi Li

26 April 2023

The Arctic stratospheric response to El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is assessed using the historical simulations provided by the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phases 5 and 6 (CMIP5 and CMIP6, respectively). CMIP6 models can...

  • Article
  • Open Access
12 Citations
4,704 Views
26 Pages

18 September 2022

Future climate projections and their uncertainties affect many aspects of the world, so reliable assessments are essential for policymakers who need to prepare mitigation measures in the context of climate change. In this study, we examined the proje...

  • Article
  • Open Access
8 Citations
4,487 Views
9 Pages

A Performance Evaluation of Potential Intensity over the Tropical Cyclone Passage to South Korea Simulated by CMIP5 and CMIP6 Models

  • Doo-Sun R. Park,
  • Hyeong-Seog Kim,
  • Minho Kwon,
  • Young-Hwa Byun,
  • Maeng-Ki Kim,
  • Il-Ung Chung,
  • Jeong-Soo Park and
  • Seung-Ki Min

17 September 2021

Potential intensity (PI) is a metric for climate model evaluation of TC-related thermodynamic conditions. However, PI is utilized usually for assessing basin-wide TC-related thermodynamic conditions, and not for evaluating TC passage to a certain reg...

  • Article
  • Open Access
39 Citations
7,637 Views
20 Pages

Evaluating global climate model (GCM) outputs is essential for accurately simulating future hydrological cycles using hydrological models. The GCM multi-model ensemble (MME) precipitation simulations of the Climate Model Intercomparison Project Phase...

  • Article
  • Open Access
6 Citations
6,443 Views
12 Pages

4 October 2019

The warming climate significantly modifies the global water cycle. Global evapotranspiration has increased over the past decades, yet climate models agree on the drying trend of land surface. In this study, we conducted an intercomparison analysis of...

  • Article
  • Open Access
4 Citations
5,971 Views
14 Pages

Activity Characteristics of the East Asian Trough in CMIP5 Models

  • Xiong Chen,
  • Xing Liu,
  • Xin Li,
  • Mingyang Liu and
  • Minghao Yang

14 February 2018

In this paper, the performances of 12 CMIP5 (Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 5) models for simulating the climatology and interannual variability of the East Asian trough (EAT) are assessed using the National Centers for Environmental Pre...

  • Article
  • Open Access
20 Citations
7,914 Views
28 Pages

Future Changes in Water Supply and Demand for Las Vegas Valley: A System Dynamic Approach based on CMIP3 and CMIP5 Climate Projections

  • Neekita Joshi,
  • Kazi Tamaddun,
  • Ranjan Parajuli,
  • Ajay Kalra,
  • Pankaj Maheshwari,
  • Lorenzo Mastino and
  • Marco Velotta

The study investigated the impact on water supply and demand as an effect of climate change and population growth in the Las Vegas Valley (LVV) as a part of the Thriving Earth Exchange Program. The analyses evaluated future supply and demand scenario...

  • Article
  • Open Access
17 Citations
4,595 Views
26 Pages

16 October 2023

Extreme climate change events are major causes of devastating impacts on socioeconomic well-being and ecosystem damage. Therefore, understanding the performance of appropriate climate models representing local climate characteristics is critical for...

  • Article
  • Open Access
23 Citations
8,125 Views
29 Pages

2 October 2016

Since the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) experiments exhibit limited skill in reproducing the statistical properties of prevailing precipitation regimes over the major Himalayan watersheds (Indus, Ganges, Brahmaputra and Mekong...

  • Proceeding Paper
  • Open Access
5 Citations
2,356 Views
8 Pages

Climate change affects many meteorological parameters that could result in spatiotemporal variations of the hydrological cycle. These variations can affect local rainfall intensities or design storms; therefore, it is necessary to assess the local ef...

  • Article
  • Open Access
41 Citations
5,921 Views
14 Pages

Assessment of Precipitation Simulations in Central Asia by CMIP5 Climate Models

  • Zhijie Ta,
  • Yang Yu,
  • Lingxiao Sun,
  • Xi Chen,
  • Guijin Mu and
  • Ruide Yu

25 October 2018

The Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) provides data, which is widely used to assess global and regional climate change. In this study, we evaluated the ability of 37 global climate models (GCMs) of CMIP5 to simulate historical pre...

  • Article
  • Open Access
9 Citations
9,707 Views
16 Pages

Use of SSU/MSU Satellite Observations to Validate Upper Atmospheric Temperature Trends in CMIP5 Simulations

  • Lilong Zhao,
  • Jianjun Xu,
  • Alfred M. Powell,
  • Zhihong Jiang and
  • Donghai Wang

24 December 2015

The tropospheric and stratospheric temperature trends and uncertainties in the fifth Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5) model simulations in the period of 1979–2005 have been compared with satellite observations. The satellite data include...

  • Article
  • Open Access
7 Citations
5,853 Views
10 Pages

29 January 2016

Observational evidence shows that the Walker circulation (WC) in the tropical Pacific has strengthened in recent decades. In this study, we examine the WC trend for 1979–2005 and its relationship with the precipitation associated with the El Niño Sou...

  • Article
  • Open Access
52 Citations
11,199 Views
11 Pages

CMIP5 Projected Changes in the Annual Cycle of Indian Monsoon Rainfall

  • Pravat Jena,
  • Sarita Azad and
  • Madhavan Nair Rajeevan

2 March 2016

The annual cycle of Indian monsoon rainfall plays a critical role in the agricultural as well as the industrial sector. Thus, it is necessary to evaluate the behaviour of the monsoon annual cycle in a warming climate. There are several studies on the...

  • Article
  • Open Access
17 Citations
5,651 Views
28 Pages

Uncertainties in the Annual Cycle of Rainfall Characteristics over West Africa in CMIP5 Models

  • Magatte Sow,
  • Moussa Diakhaté,
  • Ross D. Dixon,
  • Françoise Guichard,
  • Diarra Dieng and
  • Amadou T. Gaye

20 February 2020

We analyse uncertainties associated with the main features of the annual cycle of West African rainfall (amplitude, timing, duration) in 15 CMIP5 simulations over the Sahelian and Guinean regions with satellite daily precipitation estimates. The annu...

  • Article
  • Open Access
28 Citations
6,768 Views
13 Pages

18 August 2017

Using the CMIP5 model outputs, a few characteristics of Indian Summer Monsoon (ISM) rainfall and Niño 3.4 temperature are analysed during June–July–August–September (JJAS). Focusing on specified regions around central-northeast India, some general ch...

  • Article
  • Open Access
10 Citations
3,853 Views
18 Pages

A Comparison Study of Observed and the CMIP5 Modelled Precipitation over Iraq 1941–2005

  • Salam A. Abbas,
  • Yunqing Xuan,
  • Ali H. Al-Rammahi and
  • Haider F. Addab

9 November 2022

This paper presents an analysis of the annual precipitation observed by a network of 30 rain gauges in Iraq over a 65-year period (1941–2005). The simulated precipitation from 18 climate models in the CMIP5 project is investigated over the same...

  • Article
  • Open Access
9 Citations
3,288 Views
15 Pages

2 October 2019

In this study, the impact of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) on the China winter temperature (CWT) was assessed on an interdecadal timescale, and the capacities of the 35 models of the fifth Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5) were as...

  • Article
  • Open Access
1 Citations
2,640 Views
20 Pages

CMIP5 Decadal Precipitation over an Australian Catchment

  • Md Monowar Hossain,
  • A. H. M. Faisal Anwar,
  • Nikhil Garg,
  • Mahesh Prakash and
  • Mohammed Abdul Bari

7 February 2024

The fidelity of the decadal experiment in Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase-5 (CMIP5) has been examined, over different climate variables for multiple temporal and spatial scales, in many previous studies. However, most of the studies were...

  • Article
  • Open Access
3 Citations
2,288 Views
18 Pages

7 November 2022

In this study, a pattern detection method is applied on the RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 simulation outputs of seven GCMs—disseminated by the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5)—to determine whether atmospheric teleconnection patte...

  • Article
  • Open Access
13 Citations
5,442 Views
17 Pages

Climatology and Interannual Variability of Winter North Pacific Storm Track in CMIP5 Models

  • Minghao Yang,
  • Xin Li,
  • Ruiting Zuo,
  • Xiong Chen and
  • Liqiong Wang

25 February 2018

We examine the capability of thirteen Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP) phase 5 (CMIP5) models in simulating climatology and interannual variability of Winter North Pacific Storm Track (WNPST). It is found that nearly half of the selected...

  • Article
  • Open Access
7 Citations
3,372 Views
16 Pages

The East China Shelf Seas, comprising the Bohai Sea, the Yellow Sea, and the shelf region of East China Sea, play significant roles among the shelf seas of the Western North Pacific Ocean. The projection of sea surface temperature (SST) changes in th...

  • Article
  • Open Access
1 Citations
876 Views
14 Pages

Influence of Satellite and Presatellite Periods on the Validation of Major Sudden Stratospheric Warmings in Historical CMIP5 Simulations

  • Víctor Manuel Chávez-Pérez,
  • Juan Antonio Añel,
  • Citlalli Almaguer-Gómez and
  • Laura de la Torre

This study assesses the ability of fourteen CMIP5 climate models to reproduce the main characteristics of major stratospheric sudden warmings (SSWp) in historical simulations. Model performance is evaluated through comparisons with three reanalysis d...

  • Article
  • Open Access
19 Citations
4,410 Views
19 Pages

Prediction of Droughts in the Mongolian Plateau Based on the CMIP5 Model

  • Yongzhen Li,
  • Siqin Tong,
  • Yongbin Bao,
  • Enliang Guo and
  • Yuhai Bao

5 October 2020

Understanding the variations of future drought under climate warming can provide the basis for mitigation efforts. This study utilized the standardized precipitation evapotranspiration index (SPEI), empirical mode decomposition (EMD) and empirical or...

  • Article
  • Open Access
4 Citations
7,841 Views
16 Pages

Future Rainfall Erosivity over Iran Based on CMIP5 Climate Models

  • Behnoush Farokhzadeh,
  • Ommolbanin Bazrafshan,
  • Vijay P. Singh,
  • Sepide Choobeh and
  • Mohsen Mohseni Saravi

27 November 2022

Soil erosion affects agricultural production, and industrial and socioeconomic development. Changes in rainfall intensity lead to changes in rainfall erosivity (R-factor) energy and consequently changes soil erosion rate. Prediction of soil erosion i...

  • Article
  • Open Access
2,057 Views
14 Pages

An Evaluation of Precipitation in Dongting Lake Basin on CMIP5 Models

  • Yiwen Yin,
  • Shuai Jiang,
  • Jie Peng,
  • Hao Zhu,
  • Neng Ruan and
  • Wei Wang

26 September 2022

The rainfall in the Dongting Lake Basin influences tens of millions of people, and its long-term change remains uncertain. In this paper, 15 CMIP5 models with precipitation data for the time period of 2006–2019 for which reliable observations a...

  • Communication
  • Open Access
25 Citations
4,994 Views
9 Pages

2 February 2019

After being repeatedly struck by droughts in the last few decades, water managers and stakeholders in the Southeast U.S. dread the future extremes that climate change might cause. In this study, the length of future dry periods is assessed using a su...

  • Article
  • Open Access
2 Citations
1,915 Views
21 Pages

24 February 2022

Using the self-organizing maps (SOM) method, we ranked and compared the simulation results of atmospheric circulation and precipitation for 32 global climate models (GCMs) in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) over China, and f...

  • Article
  • Open Access
25 Citations
5,130 Views
19 Pages

9 November 2019

This study evaluates 32 climate models from CMIP5 compared with a daily gridded observation dataset of extreme precipitation indices including total extreme precipitation (R95p), maximum consecutive five days of precipitation (RX5day) and wet days la...

  • Article
  • Open Access
14 Citations
5,037 Views
35 Pages

2 November 2019

This paper investigates the temperature and precipitation extremes over the Arabian Peninsula using data from the regional climate model RegCM4 forced by three Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) models and ERA–Interim reanaly...

  • Proceeding Paper
  • Open Access
1 Citations
1,570 Views
14 Pages

Climate parameter projections obtained by global and regional models (GCM and RCM, respectively) offer a challenge to many researchers in terms of controlling the quality of the outcome data using several scales. In the literature, the proposed model...

  • Article
  • Open Access
10 Citations
4,611 Views
29 Pages

Bias-Corrected CMIP5 Projections for Climate Change and Assessments of Impact on Malaria in Senegal under the VECTRI Model

  • Papa Fall,
  • Ibrahima Diouf,
  • Abdoulaye Deme,
  • Semou Diouf,
  • Doudou Sene,
  • Benjamin Sultan,
  • Adjoua Moïse Famien and
  • Serge Janicot

On the climate-health issue, studies have already attempted to understand the influence of climate change on the transmission of malaria. Extreme weather events such as floods, droughts, or heat waves can alter the course and distribution of malaria....

  • Article
  • Open Access
32 Citations
4,578 Views
24 Pages

19 October 2019

Huai River Basin (HRB) is an important food and industrial production area and a frequently drought-affected basin in eastern China. It is necessary to consider the future drought development for reducing the impact of drought disasters. Three global...

  • Article
  • Open Access
46 Citations
6,830 Views
18 Pages

Evaluating Future Flood Scenarios Using CMIP5 Climate Projections

  • Narayan Nyaupane,
  • Balbhadra Thakur,
  • Ajay Kalra and
  • Sajjad Ahmad

17 December 2018

Frequent flooding events in recent years have been linked with the changing climate. Comprehending flooding events and their risks is the first step in flood defense and can help to mitigate flood risk. Floodplain mapping is the first step towards fl...

  • Article
  • Open Access
1 Citations
910 Views
14 Pages

Temporal Variability of Major Stratospheric Sudden Warmings in CMIP5 Climate Change Scenarios

  • Víctor Manuel Chávez-Pérez,
  • Juan A. Añel,
  • Citlalli Almaguer-Gómez and
  • Laura de la Torre

2 October 2025

Major stratospheric sudden warmings are key processes in the coupling between the stratosphere and the troposphere, exerting a direct influence on mid-latitude climate variability. This study evaluates projected changes in the frequency of these phen...

  • Article
  • Open Access
7 Citations
3,041 Views
18 Pages

CMIP5-Based Spatiotemporal Changes of Extreme Temperature Events during 2021–2100 in Mainland China

  • Hong Ying,
  • Hongyan Zhang,
  • Ying Sun,
  • Jianjun Zhao,
  • Zhengxiang Zhang,
  • Xiaoyi Guo,
  • Hang Zhao,
  • Rihan Wu and
  • Guorong Deng

28 May 2020

The increasing number of extreme climate events is having a great impact on the terrestrial ecosystem. In this study, we applied a Taylor diagram to evaluate the 7 extreme temperature indices (ETI) of 12 models and the multi-model ensemble (MME) mean...

  • Article
  • Open Access
2 Citations
3,046 Views
19 Pages

27 April 2022

Climate data records of soil moisture (SM) are fundamental for improving our understanding of long-term dynamics in the coupled water, energy, and carbon cycles over land. However, many of these studies rely on models for which the errors are not yet...

  • Article
  • Open Access
32 Citations
4,235 Views
28 Pages

The basins of the Júcar and Segura rivers, on the Mediterranean coast of the Iberian Peninsula, present a special water problem and are of particular interest regarding climate change. These basins are very vulnerable to a possible scenario of decrea...

  • Article
  • Open Access
11 Citations
4,689 Views
17 Pages

1 October 2018

Utilizing reanalysis and high sensitivity W-band radar observations from CloudSat, this study assesses simulated high-latitude (55–82.5°) precipitation and its future changes under the RCP8.5 global warming scenario. A subset of models was selected b...

  • Article
  • Open Access
8 Citations
3,809 Views
22 Pages

Evaluation of Historical CMIP5 GCM Simulation Results Based on Detected Atmospheric Teleconnections

  • Erzsébet Kristóf,
  • Zoltán Barcza,
  • Roland Hollós,
  • Judit Bartholy and
  • Rita Pongrácz

Atmospheric teleconnections are characteristic to the climate system and exert major impacts on the global and regional climate. Accurate representation of teleconnections by general circulation models (GCMs) is indispensable given their fundamental...

  • Article
  • Open Access
7 Citations
3,584 Views
23 Pages

2 March 2020

The meridional temperature gradient between mid and high latitudes decreases by Arctic amplification. Following this decrease, the circulation in the mid latitudes may change and, therefore, the meridional flux of heat and moisture increases. This mi...

  • Article
  • Open Access
19 Citations
4,466 Views
19 Pages

10 July 2018

Projecting future changes of streamflow in the Jinsha River Basin (JRB) is important for the planning and management of the west route of South-to-North Water Transfer Project (SNWTP). This paper presented an analysis of the implications of CMIP5 cli...

  • Article
  • Open Access
16 Citations
3,661 Views
11 Pages

Evaluation of CMIP5 Climate Models Using Historical Surface Air Temperatures in Central Asia

  • Yufei Xiong,
  • Zhijie Ta,
  • Miao Gan,
  • MeiLin Yang,
  • Xi Chen,
  • Ruide Yu,
  • Markus Disse and
  • Yang Yu

26 February 2021

Using historical data compiled by the Climate Research Unit, spatial and temporal analysis, trend analysis, empirical orthogonal function (EOF) analysis, and Taylor diagram analysis were applied to test the ability of 24 Coupled Model Intercomparison...

  • Article
  • Open Access
1 Citations
669 Views
32 Pages

Evaluation of WRF-Downscaled CMIP5 Climate Simulations for Precipitation and Temperature over Thailand (1976–2005): Implications for Adaptation and Sustainable Development

  • Chakrit Chotamonsak,
  • Duangnapha Lapyai,
  • Atsamon Limsakul,
  • Kritanai Torsri,
  • Punnathorn Thanadolmethaphorn and
  • Supachai Nakapan

6 November 2025

Dynamical downscaling is an essential approach for bridging the gap between coarse-resolution global climate models and regional details required for climate impact assessment and sustainable development planning. Thailand, a climate-sensitive countr...

  • Article
  • Open Access
29 Citations
8,944 Views
18 Pages

3 November 2015

Monsoons are the life and soul of India’s financial aspects, especially that of agribusiness in deciding cropping patterns. Around 80% of the yearly precipitation occurs from June to September amid monsoon season across India. Thus, its seasonal mean...

  • Article
  • Open Access
5 Citations
3,926 Views
27 Pages

Evaluation of Surface Upward Longwave Radiation in the CMIP6 Models with Ground and Satellite Observations

  • Jiawen Xu,
  • Xiaotong Zhang,
  • Chunjie Feng,
  • Shuyue Yang,
  • Shikang Guan,
  • Kun Jia,
  • Yunjun Yao,
  • Xianhong Xie,
  • Bo Jiang and
  • Xiang Zhao
  • + 1 author

6 November 2021

Surface upward longwave radiation (SULR) is an indicator of thermal conditions over the Earth’s surface. In this study, we validated the simulated SULR from 51 Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6) general circulation models (GCMs) through a...

  • Article
  • Open Access
7 Citations
3,778 Views
21 Pages

22 April 2020

Estimating the changes in the spatial–temporal characteristics of extreme temperature events under future climate scenarios is critical to provide reference information to help mitigate climate change. In this study, we analyzed 16 extreme temp...

  • Article
  • Open Access
52 Citations
6,431 Views
20 Pages

Comparison between CMIP5 and CMIP6 Models over MENA Region Using Historical Simulations and Future Projections

  • Mohammed Magdy Hamed,
  • Mohamed Salem Nashwan,
  • Mohammed Sanusi Shiru and
  • Shamsuddin Shahid

20 August 2022

The study evaluated the ability of 11 global climate models of the latest two versions of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5 and CMIP6) to simulate observed (1965–2005) rainfall, maximum (Tmax) and minimum (Tmin) temperatures, mea...

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