Flooding Prevention Strategies for Flood-Prone Cities Under Climate Change

A special issue of Urban Science (ISSN 2413-8851). This special issue belongs to the section "Urban Environment and Sustainability".

Deadline for manuscript submissions: 31 December 2026 | Viewed by 876

Special Issue Editors


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Guest Editor
School of Geography and Planning, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou 510276, China
Interests: enhanced risk and resilience of complex disasters; hydrological remote sensing; digital and intelligent disaster risk prevention and control; infrastructure-based disaster prevention and mitigation
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Guest Editor
School of Computer Science, China University of Geosciences, Wuhan 430074, China
Interests: hydrological remote sensing; deep learning–based remote sensing image processing; applications of remote sensing in water resources and environmental monitoring; digital twins and large-scale foundation models

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Guest Editor
Changjiang River Scientific Research Institute, Wuhan 430010, China
Interests: water hazard risk analysis; watershed and urban runoff modeling

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Guest Editor
School of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Cardiff University, Cardiff, UK
Interests: remote sensing; physical process-based modelling; machine learning; agent-based modelling; flood; landslide; soil moisture; precipitation; climate change
Special Issues, Collections and Topics in MDPI journals

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Guest Editor
Changjiang River Scientific Research Institute, Wuhan 430010, China
Interests: spatiotemporal monitoring using remote sensing
Special Issues, Collections and Topics in MDPI journals

Special Issue Information

Dear Colleagues,

Climate change is fundamentally reshaping hydrological cycles, leading to more frequent, intense, and unpredictable flooding events that threaten cities globally. Consequently, coastal, riverine, and rapidly urbanizing areas face escalating risks to infrastructure, economies, ecosystems, and human well-being. The increasing complexity of urban flood dynamics calls for a paradigm shift from reactive response to integrated and adaptive prevention strategies for flood-prone cities; therefore, this Special Issue aims to explore innovative methodologies and technologies that enhance flood resilience, and we seek contributions that advance both theoretical frameworks and practical applications in flood risk management in the face of climate uncertainty.

In this Special Issue, original research articles and reviews are welcome, and research areas may include, but are not limited to, the following themes:

(1) Climate-informed flood risk modeling and forecasting, including advances in predictive analytics, ensemble modeling under uncertainty, and the integration of artificial intelligence and remote sensing for early warning systems;

(2) Hybrid grey–green–blue infrastructure systems that combine traditional engineering solutions with ecological design to enhance adaptive capacity and multifunctional benefits;

(3) Nature-based solutions such as constructed wetlands, urban green corridors, and permeable landscapes that mitigate flood impacts;

(4) Infrastructure resilience focusing on the performance evaluation, retrofitting strategies, and lifecycle management of critical systems under extreme events;

(5) Urban planning and land use adaptation, including climate-responsive zoning, spatial optimization for risk reduction, and community-based resilience planning.

Dr. Ming Zhong
Dr. Xiaohong Yang
Prof. Dr. Shengmei Yang
Dr. Lu Zhuo
Prof. Dr. Song Ye
Guest Editors

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Keywords

  • flooding
  • risk
  • urban infrastructure
  • resilience
  • climate change
  • remote sensing

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Published Papers (1 paper)

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Research

22 pages, 4100 KB  
Article
Explainable Machine Learning-Based Urban Waterlogging Prediction Framework
by Yinghua Deng and Xin Lu
Urban Sci. 2026, 10(3), 156; https://doi.org/10.3390/urbansci10030156 - 13 Mar 2026
Viewed by 622
Abstract
Urban waterlogging has become a critical challenge to urban sustainability under the combined pressures of rapid urbanization and increasingly frequent extreme weather events. However, traditional predictive models struggle to achieve real-time, point-specific early warning effectively, primarily due to the interference of redundant high-dimensional [...] Read more.
Urban waterlogging has become a critical challenge to urban sustainability under the combined pressures of rapid urbanization and increasingly frequent extreme weather events. However, traditional predictive models struggle to achieve real-time, point-specific early warning effectively, primarily due to the interference of redundant high-dimensional data and the inability to handle severe data imbalance. This study proposes a lightweight and interpretable machine learning framework for real-time waterlogging hotspot prediction, based on a multi-dimensional feature space. Specifically, we implement a Lasso-based mechanism to distill 37 multi-source variables into five core determinants. This process effectively isolates dominant environmental drivers while filtering noise. To further overcome the recall bottleneck, we propose a Synthetic Minority Over-sampling Technique based on Weighted Distance and Cleaning (SMOTE-WDC) algorithm that incorporates weighted feature distances and density-based noise cleaning. Validating the framework on datasets from Shenzhen (2023–2024), we demonstrate that the integrated Gradient Boosting Decision Tree (GBDT) model integrated with this strategy achieves optimal performance using only five features, yielding an F1-score of 0.808 and an Area Under the Precision-Recall Curve (AUC-PR) of 0.895. Notably, a Recall of 0.882 is attained, representing a 4.6% improvement over the baseline. This study contributes a cost-effective, high-sensitivity approach to disaster risk reduction, advancing predictive urban waterlogging management. Full article
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